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Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001 Lake Arrowhead, California

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Page 1: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights,

and Transit Policy

Brian D. Taylor

Hiroyuki Iseki

UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies

October 2001

Lake Arrowhead, California

Page 2: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Transit Equity?

• In recent years, most equity debates in public transit concerned the “fair” distribution of resources among jurisdictions.

• Tendency is toward treating voters equally.

Page 3: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Transit Equity?

• But the use of transit is very uneven spatially.The 10 largest U.S. transit systems account for

over 60% of all transit trips.About 1/3 of all U.S. transit trips are taken in

metropolitan New York.

Page 4: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Transit Equity?

• The results are uneven in two ways:Transit systems in the oldest and largest central

cities receive the highest taxpayer subsidies, in absolute terms.

Transit riders on newer, smaller suburban transit systems tend to receive the highest taxpayer subsidies, in relative terms.

Page 5: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Transit Equity?

Operating Subsdies Total Total Operating

and Passengers - 1998 Operating Unlinked SubsidySubsidies Passengers Per Trip

New York City Transit Authority $913,162,490 2,225,622,700 $0.41San Francisco Municipal Railway $204,007,010 219,508,000 $0.93

Livermore-Amador WHEELS, CA $4,365,070 1,462,500 $2.98Triangle Transit Authority, NC $2,377,420 682,500 $3.48

Source: National Transit Database

Page 6: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Why do we subsidize public transit?• Direct benefits: Provide mobility for those without

access to private vehicles, and travel options for those who choose not to drive.

• Indirect benefits: Decrease traffic congestion and reduce travel times for all travelers; reduce energy consumption, vehicle emissions, suburban sprawl, amount of land devoted to roads, motor vehicle noise, and accident costs.

• Network/Service economies: Subsidies are required to maintain comprehensive transit route networks with sufficient service frequencies to avoid a downward spiral of declining ridership and service.

Page 7: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Why do we subsidize public transit?

• Compensate for policy bias in favor of private vehicles: Subsidize transit fares to compensate for public policies which do not fully charge drivers for the social costs of auto use.

• Equity: Public transit is an indispensable social service that provides access to basic needs for transit dependents.

Page 8: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

The Truth About Transit:Most Transit Users are Bus Riders,

and Most Bus Riders are Poor

Source: 1995 Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey.

MODE MEDIAN HOUSEHOLDINCOME CATEGORY

MODAL HOUSEHOLDINCOME CATEGORY

Transit Bus $15,000 - $19,999 $ 5,000 - $ 9,999Urban Rail $30,000 - $34,999 $15,000 - $19,999Commuter Rail $40,000 - $44,999 $55,000 - $59,999Private Vehicle $45,000 - $49,999 $35,000 - $39,999

Overall, 1/3 of all transit users come from households with 1995 incomes below $15,000, and 3/5 from households with 1995 incomes below $30,000 (Pucher, 1998).

Page 9: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Conflicting Policy Goals

Serve low-income transit dependents

Expand commuter-oriented services

ISTEA and TEA-21 mandates require the expenditure of federal funds for transportation purposes to comply with Title VI of the Civil Rights Act; these have prompted civil rights lawsuits against transit agencies over supposedly discriminatory fare policies and/or expansion of commuter-oriented services.

Page 10: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Policy Questions Guiding This Issue

• Who “wins” and who “loses” in the subsidy of public transit?– In general, is the subsidy of public transit

progressive or regressive with respect to income?

– More specifically, how are transit subsidies distributed among various classes of riders?

Page 11: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Findings in a Nutshell

1. Because the tax system is generally progressive, transit subsidies tend to transfer benefits from higher-income people to low-income people.

Page 12: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Findings in a Nutshell

1. Because the tax system is generally progressive, transit subsidies tend to transfer benefits from higher-income people to low-income people. although low-income non-transit-users are

significant losers in this transfer.

Page 13: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Findings in a Nutshell

1. Because the tax system is generally progressive, transit subsidies tend to transfer benefits from higher-income people to low-income people. although low-income non-transit-users are

significant losers in this transfer. If the goal is simply income redistribution,

there are better ways to do it than subsidizing transit.

Page 14: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Findings in a Nutshell

2. Among transit users, the distribution of transit subsidies is generally regressive with respect to income.

higher-income transit users tend to be subsidized more than low-income transit users.

Estimating this distribution of transit subsidies among various transit users, however, is a complex endeavor.

Page 15: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Analysis Flowchart

C os t Effic iency

C ost per Vehicle H ourb y T im e o f D ay

b y L ine

C ost per Passenger-M ileb y T im e o f D ay

b y L ine

Trip C harasteristicsT im e o f D ayT ran sit L ine

T rip Dis tan ce

C ost per Passenger Trip Fare per Passenger Trip

Subsidy per Passenger Trip U ser G roups:E xp ress /L o ca l P ax,

C h o ice R id ers /T ran s it D e p end en ts

Subsidy per Passenger Tripam ong Vairous U ser G roups

O D Survey D ata

C ost Allocation S tudy

C om putation or Analysis

Page 16: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Data Sources

• LA MTA Reports1. Line Performance Trends Report

2. Consolidated Transit Service Reports

(Ridecheck Report)

3. Schedule Quality Report

• National Transit Database

Page 17: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

The Problem of PeakingThe marginal cost of transit service is typically highest in the peak period and peak direction.

• Lower labor efficiency:

– Limits on the use of part-time labor and of split- and spread-time shifts.

• Lower equipment utilization efficiency:

– Extra vehicles needed to meet peak period demand,

– A higher proportion of non-revenue service

(extra deadheading and trippers),

– Scaling facilities to accommodate peak service levels.

Page 18: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Time-of-Day Variation in Service Levels: Los Angeles MTA

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Nu

mb

er

of

Bu

s R

un

s

12 3 6 9 noon 3 6 9Time of Day

Owl AM Peak PM PeakMidday NightEvening

Page 19: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Comparison of Individual Line Costs Using a Partial Cost Allocation Model

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

Cost per In-S

ervic

e V

ehic

le H

our (

$U

S)

Bus Lines

Peak MTA ShoulderBase

Lines with 24 hour service

Page 20: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Comparison of Estimated Costs between the then-current LA MTA Model and a Full-Cost Allocation Model

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

Co

st p

er

In-S

erv

ice

Veh

icle

Hou

r ($

US

)

Base Base+ShoulderShoulder Peak

Other Capital

Vehicle Capital

Vehicle Hours

Vehicle Miles

Peak Vehicles

Boardings

Modified Fully-Allocated Model

CurrentMTAModel

Page 21: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Peak/Base Ratios of the Twenty-Seven Largest Transit Operators

1.41.5 1.5

1.6 1.6 1.61.7 1.7 1.7

1.8 1.81.9 1.9 1.9

2 2 22.1

2.2 2.2

2.62.7

2.8

3 3 33.1

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

MD

TA

OC

TA

LA

CM

TA

NY

CT

A

Mun

i

SCC

TD

SEPT

A

PAT

Tri

-Met

CT

A

D-D

OT

RT

A

NY

CD

OT

AC

Tra

nsit

RT

D

Met

ro N

orth

PAT

H

MA

RT

A

NJ

Tra

nsit

BA

RT

MB

TA

Met

ro (

Hou

ston

)

MT

C

DA

RT

Met

ro (

Kin

g)

WSD

OT

Mar

ylan

d M

TA

Transit Agency

Pea

k t

o B

ase

Rat

io

LA MTA

Page 22: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Comparison of Estimated Bus System and Light Rail Costs(Cost per Passenger Capacity Hour)

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

Cost per

Passenger

Capacity H

our

($U

S)

Base Shoulder Peak

Other Capital

Vehicle Capital

Vehicle Hours

Vehicle Miles

Peak Vehicles

Boardings

Bus System

CurrentMTAModel

Modified Fully-Allocated Model

$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

Cost per

Passnger

Capacity H

our

($U

S)

Base Shoulder Peak

Other Capital

Vehicle Capital

Vehicle Hours

Vehicle Miles

Peak Vehicles

Light Rail

ImputedMTAModel

Modified Fully-Allocated Model

Using MTA Model and Fully-Allocated Model

Page 23: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

LA MTA Bus Rider Demographics1995 Household

Income < $7.5k $ 7.5-15k $ 15-35k $ 35-50k $ 50-75k > $ 75k

40.2% 29.0% 20.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.5%

Race/Ethnicity Native

Ame. Asian/PI

Isl. Black Hispanic White Other

1.1% 8.7% 22.1% 52.1% 12.5% 3.4%

Age Under 18 18 - 24 25 - 44 45 - 64 Over 65

7.6% 18.0% 44.3% 21.8% 8.3%

Sex Female Male

55.2% 44.8%

Data source: Service Planning Market Research Program, FY96-97 MTA Bus On-Board Passenger Survey.

Page 24: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Per Trip Subsidies for Service Types by Income

$0.00

$2.00

$4.00

$6.00

$8.00

$10.00

$12.00

Less than$15,000

$15,000 to30,000

$30,000 to50,000

$50,000 ormore

No answ er All

Income Level

US

$

Local Bus Express Bus Blue Line All Modes

Page 25: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Per Trip Subsidies for Service Types by Race/Ethnicity

$0.00

$2.00

$4.00

$6.00

$8.00

$10.00

$12.00

White Hispanic Black Asian/P.l.* AI**/Aleut Other AllRace/Ethnicity

US

$

Local Bus Express Bus Blue Line All Modes

Page 26: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Per Trip Subsidies for Service Types by Age Group

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

$9.00

$10.00

Under 18 18 to 21 22 to 65 Over 65 No answ er AllAge

US

$

Local Bus Express Bus Blue Line All Modes

Page 27: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Per Trip Subsidies for Service Types by Sex

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

$9.00

Male Female No answ er AllSex

US

$

Local Bus Express Bus Blue Line All Modes

Page 28: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Per Trip Subsidies by Time of Day by Income

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

$8.00

$9.00

Less than$15,000

$15,000 to30,000

$30,000 to50,000

$50,000 ormore

No answ er All

Income

US

$

Base Midday

Peak Not Specif ied

Page 29: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Factors Influencing Demographic Variation in Subsidies

1. Demographic variation in transit subsidies are due to demographic variation in service consumption.

Most of the differences in subsidy levels by income are due (primarily) to the longer average trip distances of higher-income riders and (secondarily) to their greater use of capital-intensive and commuter-oriented modes.

Page 30: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Factors Influencing Demographic Variation in Subsidies

2. Subsidies by time of day vary little after controlling for trip distance and travel mode.

The higher unit costs of service supplied during peak periods are mitigated by higher levels of peak-period utilization in the case of the LA MTA.

This would likely change, however, should the MTA expand peak-period service in an effort to reduce standees.

Page 31: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Comparison of Estimated Bus System and Light Rail Costs(Cost per Seat Hour)

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

Cost per

Seat H

our

($U

S)

Base Shoulder Peak

Other Capital

Vehicle Capital

Vehicle Hours

Vehicle Miles

Peak Vehicles

Boardings

Bus System

CurrentMTAModel

Modified Fully-Allocated Model

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

Cost per

Seat H

our

($U

S)

Base Shoulder Peak

Other Capital

Vehicle Capital

Vehicle Hours

Vehicle Miles

Peak Vehicles

Light Rail

ImputedMTAModel

Modified Fully-Allocated Model

Using MTA Model and Fully-Allocated Model

Page 32: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Two Caveats...

1 The results presented here are preliminary.

2 While the data are from Los Angeles, our focus is not on the MTA per se.• Given both the diversity of MTA riders and the

low levels of peaking on MTA buses and trains,• the MTA probably has less demographic

variation in subsidies than at most other transit operators nationwide.

Page 33: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Conclusions

Because the subsidy of a transit trip is a function of the variable cost of that trip minus the fare paid by a traveler, the key to equalizing subsidies is a fare policy.

Page 34: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Conclusions

1. Transit managers should have a clear sense of the variability of service production costs.

2. As a general principle, fares should be set to vary in rough proportion with costs.

3. The adoption of such a marginal, cost-based fare structure can simultaneously increase both efficiency and equity in the use and subsidy of transit service

Page 35: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

ConclusionsLinking fares to costs…

Efficiency would increase by:1. Encouraging passengers to consume more

inexpensive-to-provide transit service (short, off-peak bus trips);

2. Encouraging passengers to be more judicious in their consumption of expensive-to-provide transit service (long, peak trips on capital intensive modes).

In concert, these two factors would work to decrease overall subsidies per rider.

Page 36: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

ConclusionsLinking fares to costs…

Equity would increase by:1. Lowering (in relative terms) the price of transit

services disproportionately consumed by low-income passengers; and

2. Increasing (relatively) the price of transit services disproportionately consumed by higher-income passengers.

In concert, these two factors would work to eliminate the regressivity of current transit subsidies.

Page 37: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights,

and Transit Policy

Brian D. Taylor

Hiroyuki Iseki

UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies

October 2001

Lake Arrowhead, California

Page 38: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001
Page 39: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Conclusions1. Transit managers should have a clear sense of the

variability of service productions costs.2. As a general principle, fares should be set to vary in

rough proportion with costs.3. The adoption of such a marginal cost-based fare structure

can simultaneously increase both efficiency and equity in the use and subsidy of transit service

Page 40: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Intended to be blank.

SUBSIDY COST FARE DISTANCE Cost/Distance

All $4.12 $4.94 $0.82 8.04 $0.61

Service Local Bus $3.17 $3.95 $0.77 6.33 $0.62Express Bus $6.28 $7.31 $1.03 13.52 $0.54Blue Line $7.85 $8.63 $0.79 12.21 $0.71

Time of Day Base 4.42 5.22 0.79 8.13 $0.64Midday 4.00 4.81 0.81 8.06 $0.60Peak 4.33 5.18 0.85 8.23 $0.63Not Specified 4.19 4.98 0.79 7.61 $0.65

Income Level Less than $15,000 $3.62 $4.40 $0.78 7.30 $0.60$15,000 to 30,000 $4.13 $4.95 $0.82 8.14 $0.61$30,000 to 50,000 $5.27 $6.18 $0.91 9.83 $0.63$50,000 or more $6.77 $7.72 $0.95 12.02 $0.64No answer $3.73 $4.55 $0.81 7.19 $0.63

Race/Ethnicity White $4.70 $5.47 $0.77 8.82 $0.62Hispanic $3.82 $4.67 $0.85 7.71 $0.61Black $3.88 $4.71 $0.82 7.46 $0.63Asian/P.l.* $4.88 $5.64 $0.76 9.22 $0.61AI**/Aleut $3.88 $4.68 $0.80 8.37 $0.56Other $4.18 $4.96 $0.78 8.49 $0.58

Sex Male $4.51 $5.31 $0.81 8.72 $0.61Female $3.93 $4.76 $0.83 7.72 $0.62No answer $3.55 $4.34 $0.79 6.95 $0.62

Age Under 18 $3.01 $3.76 $0.75 5.86 $0.6418 to 21 $3.54 $4.43 $0.88 7.14 $0.6222 to 65 $4.34 $5.20 $0.86 8.48 $0.61Over 65 $3.58 $3.88 $0.29 6.47 $0.60No answer $3.96 $4.77 $0.81 7.64 $0.62

Page 41: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Purpose of This Study

• Develop a cost estimation method that, in contrast to typical cost allocation models:

1. is more sensitive to cost variation by time of day,

2. takes into account vehicle and non-vehicle capital costs,

3. takes into account the passenger capacity of vehicles in various transit modes.

Page 42: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Data Sources

• LA MTA Reports1. Line Performance Trends Report

2. Consolidated Transit Service Reports

(Ridecheck Report)

3. Schedule Quality Report

• National Transit Database

Page 43: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Transit Cost Allocation Models• Service costs are a function of service outputs.

• Service outputs are most commonly measured in terms of: vehicle-hours, vehicle miles, and peak vehicles.

Variable CostsSemi-fixed

CostsFixed Costs

Vehicle hours Strong Strong Moderate

Vehicle miles Strong Moderate Weak

Peak vehicles Weak Strong Strong

Source: Adapted from Taylor (1975)

Page 44: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Partially- and Fully-Allocated Models

• Partially-allocated model

includes only variable costs and some semi-fixed costs to reflect the marginal costs of incremental service modifications.

• Fully-allocated model

includes most or all fixed costs for the use of comparing performance between modes or systems.

Page 45: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Average Cost Approach to Allocating Costs by Service Levels

6am 9 noon 3 6 9pm

a

b

|–––– t2 –––| |–––– t2 –––| No. of buses|–––––––––––––––––––––– 2t2 + t1 ––––––––––––––––––––––––|

6am 9 noon 3 6 9pm

a

b

|–––– t2 –––| |–––– t2 –––| No. of buses|–––––––––––––––––––––– 2t2 + t1 ––––––––––––––––––––––––|

C t a b UP 2 2 ( ) *

C t b UB 1 *

SC

C

t a b

t b

P

B

2 2

1

( )

a, b: the number of required buses CP, CB :vehicle hour-related costs of the Peak and Base serviceU :unit cost of service output

S :the ratio of peak costs to base costsSource: Adapted from Cervero (1980)

Page 46: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

The General Form of a Cost Allocation Model

C = U Xi i

i=

n

1

C :estimated costs i :a particular measurable service output which represents the scale of operationsn :number of service outputs included in the modelUi :unit cost of service output iXi :quantity or value of service output i in the analysis

Page 47: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Labor Utilization Factor for Vehicle Hour Unit Cost

• LUFi :Labor Utilization Factor for period i

• PHi :pay hours for period i

• VHi :vehicle hours for period i

• n : relative labor productivity (= (PHP/ VHP) / (PHB /VHB) = 1.302)

• s : vehicle hour coefficient (= VHP / VHB)

• PHP or B : pay hours for peak or base period

• VHP or B : vehicle hours for peak or base period

Un( s)

( ns)*UP V H V H

1

1U

( s)

( ns)*UB V H V H

1

1

L U FP H

V H

V HiP Hi

ii

i

i

i

Source: Adapted from Yu (1986) and Cherwony and Mundle (1978, 1980)

Page 48: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Accounting for Vehicle Utilization

• Vehicle Utilization: Lower during peak periods– To account for the variability in deadheading and inter-lining

between time periods, expenses were allocated to each period on the basis of total (or “scheduled”) vehicle miles, but costs were calculated on the basis of revenue (or “in-service”) vehicle miles and hours.

Period Rev VM Tot VM Cost per revenue VM .Peak 30 miles 60 miles ==> $ 600 $600 / 30 miles = $20.00 per revenue VMOff-peak 30 miles 40 miles ==> $ 400 $400 / 30 miles = $13.33 per revenue VM Daily Total Cost $1,000

Daily $1000 / 100 = $10 per SVMPeak 60 / 30 = 2.000 $10 * 2.000 = $20.00Off-peak 40 / 30 = 1.333 $10 * 1.333 = $13.33

Page 49: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Including Semi-Fixed and Vehicle Capital Costs

Service layer

6am 9 noon 3 6 9pm

peak a

base b

|–––– t2 –––| |–––– t2 –––| No. of buses |–––––––––––––––––––––– t1 + 2t2 –––––––––––––––––––––––|

Service layer

6am 9 noon 3 6 9pm

peak a

base b

|–––– t2 –––| |–––– t2 –––| No. of buses |–––––––––––––––––––––– t1 + 2t2 –––––––––––––––––––––––|

6am 9 noon 3 6 9pm

|–––– t2 –––| |–––– t2 –––| No. of buses |–––––––––––––––––––––– t1 + 2t2 –––––––––––––––––––––––|

C = ( t t )b U1 1 2 12 *

C = t a U2 2 22 *

Ct

t tC CP

2

2

2

2 11 2

C1 :The cost assigned to the base period

C2 :The costs of the additional peak service

Cp :The costs in the Peak period (2t2)

U :unit cost of service output in each periodSource: Adapted from Levinson (1978) and Cervero (1980)

Page 50: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Marginal Cost Approach to Allocating Vehicle Capital Costs

Service layer /# Buses 3am 6 9 noon 3pm 6 9

VI 6 $565

V 663 $31,207 $31,207

IV 168 $3,954 $7,908 $3,954

III 638 $12,012 $24,024 $12,012 $12,012

II 207 $3,248 $6,496 $3,248 $3,248 $3,248

I 58 $1,365 $682 $1,365 $682 $682 $682

Owl AM Peak Midday PM Peak Evening Night

Total Cost/Day $1,365 $51,668 $39,792 $51,103 $15,942 $3,930

Assumption: All buses in service during base periods are available for use during peak periods.

Page 51: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Modified Cost Models• Fully-Allocated Model -- Including all variable, semi-fixed, and fixed costs

FACi,j = OCi,j + CCi,j

= ( LUFi,j * UVH * VHi,j + UVM * VMi,j + PVCi,j + UTP * TPi,j )

* ( 1 + F ) + VCCi,j + OCC * ( IVHi,j / IVHday,system)

( LUFi,j = 1, F = UTP = 0 for LRT )

• Partially-Allocated Model I -- Excluding non-vehicle capital costs

PACi,j = OCi,j + VCCi,j

= ( LUFi,j * UVH * VHi,j + UVM * VMi,j + PVCi,j + UTP * TPi,j )

* ( 1 + F ) + VCCi,j

• Partially-Allocated Model II -- Including only variable and vehicle capital costs

PACi,j = OCi,j + VCCi,j

= ( LUFi,j * UVH * VHi,j + UVM * VMi,j ) + VCCi,j

Page 52: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Comparison of Individual Line Costs Using Partially-Allocated Model I

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

Cost per In-S

ervic

e V

ehic

le H

our (

$U

S)

Bus Lines

Peak MTA ShoulderBase

Lines with 24 hour service

Page 53: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Cost of Additional Vehicle Run for Five Sample Bus Lines by Time Periods

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

AM

pea

k

Mid

day

PM

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MTA

AM

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PM

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MTA

AM

pea

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Mid

day

PM

pea

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un (

$US

)

Line 4: Santa Monica

Blvd.

Line 45: Broadway - Mercury Ave.

Line 200: Alvarado St.

Line 204: Vermont Ave.

Line 446: San Pedro -

Union St.

Page 54: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Findings-Phase IIn this case study comparing these models with the one currently used by the LA MTA:1. Peak period bus costs are estimated to be higher (36 %);

2. Base period bus costs are estimated to be lower (15 %); 3. LRT unit costs are estimated to be substantially higher

than bus costs (57~113 %) per unit of passenger capacity. 4. Incremental changes in bus service are estimated to be

substantially lower (29~75 %), regardless of time-of-day.

Page 55: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Linking Model to Travel Data• Travel demographic data are drawn from the annual MTA

On-board Passenger Survey.

• Survey gathers information on trip characteristics and travel demographics.

• Approximately 5,000 surveys are collected each year; our cleaned, 3-year data set contains 10,710 records.

• The cost per passenger mile estimated from our model was applied to each record.

• These estimated trip costs can then be aggregated to compare differences among different demographic groups.

Page 56: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Preliminary Findings-Phase II• Consistent with the findings of other travel behavior surve

ys, the patterns of transit travel in Los Angeles vary systematically by rider demographics.

• The transit trips consumed by higher-income riders, men, and whites are estimated to be, on average, more expensive than the trips consumed by lower-income riders, women, and non-whites.

• These differences are mitigated somewhat, though not entirely, by the higher-fares charged for longer-distance express and transfer trips.

Page 57: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Conclusions• Current models do not account for the high degree of

variability in the cost of providing transit service.

• Such shortcomings make it difficult decision makers to make informed decisions regarding expansions, changes, or deletions of service.

• The preliminary results of our demographic analysis suggest that current patterns of transit utilization combine with relatively flat fare policies to favor higher-income riders over lower-income riders.

• This preliminary analysis supports the linking of transit fares to costs on both efficiency and equity grounds.

Page 58: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights,

and Transit Policy

Page 59: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Limitations of Current CostAllocation Models

• The models typically used in practice include all operating costs and exclude all capital costs, without regard to how such costs vary with the provision of service.

• The models are highly aggregated; they are typically based on systemwide costs and do not account for cost variation on individual routes, between various modes, or by time of day.

Page 60: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Next Steps

• Accounting for the directional peaking of demand,• Taking weekend operation directly into account in

computing vehicle and capital costs,• Applying a “cost centers” approach to differentiate

unit costs to discrete parts of the system,• Computing relative labor productivity factors on

individual lines from the ratio of pay hours to vehicle hours by time of day.

Page 61: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Figures for Cost Comparison Charts

TotalOther CapitalVehicle CapitalVehicle HoursVehicle MilesPeak VehiclesBoardings

$2.58$0.00$0.00$1.38$0.56$0.42$0.23Bus$2.21$0.18$0.07$1.21$0.50$0.13$0.12Base# of Seat: 43$2.64$0.18$0.17$1.22$0.53$0.31$0.24Shoulder$3.51$0.18$0.31$1.59$0.61$0.58$0.24Peak

$4.59$0.00$0.00$0.98$0.87$2.74$0.00Blue Line$9.90$5.37$0.73$0.95$0.81$2.04$0.00Base# of Seat: 76

$10.53$5.37$0.87$0.99$0.86$2.44$0.00Shoulder$11.58$5.37$1.14$0.98$0.90$3.20$0.00Peak

TotalCap.CostOp. CostOther CapitalVehicle CapitalVehicle HoursVehicle MilesPeak VehiclesBoardings

$111.10$ -$111.10$ -$ -$59.40$24.04$17.88$9.78

$94.96$10.57$84.39$7.58$2.99$52.15$21.56$5.58$5.10Base

$109.97$14.02$95.95$7.58$6.45$52.26$22.46$12.02$9.21Base+Shoulder

$113.42$14.82$98.60$7.58$7.24$52.28$22.67$13.50$10.15Shoulder

$151.01$21.07$129.94$7.58$13.49$68.28$26.02$25.15$10.49Peak

Comparison of Estimated Systemwide Costs between the MTA Model and the Fully-Allocated Model

Comparison of Estimated Bus System and LTR Costs

Page 62: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Summary of Modification• Modify MTA’s cost allocation model to more accurately

estimate costs on individual lines in different periods of day for the Metro Bus system– Labor Utilization Factor for VH costs

– Vehicle Usage Apportionment Factor (VUAF) and Weekend Operation Factor (WOF) for PV costs

– Proportional allocation of VM and TP costs

• Include capital costs to compare system wide costs between the Metro Bus System and the Blue Line– VUAF and WUF for vehicle capital costs

– Equal distribution of other capital costs by VH

• Use of In-service VH to compute costs in comparison to account for labor and vehicle utilization efficiency

Page 63: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Blue Line Operating Cost

Allocation

Unit Cost Calculation

Basis for AssignementPeak VehiclesVehicle HoursVehicle MilesOperating Expenses

Labor$0$6,744,037$0Operations$0$0$2,513,699Maintenance

$2,654,867$0$0Non-maintenance$1,980,953$0$0Administration

Fringe Benefits$0$3,414,865$0Operations$0$0$1,272,820Maintenance

$1,344,300$0$0Non-maintenance$1,003,062$0$0Administration

$15,463,218$0$205,758ServicesMaterials & Supplies

$0$0$48,134Operations$0$0$1,347,754Materials$0$0$473,326Non-maintenance

$38,754$0$0Administration$508,849$0$3,184,343Utilities

$1,679,301$0$0Casualty/Liability$32,476$0$0Taxes

$0$0$0Purchased Trans.$207,875$0$0Miscellaneous

($386,282)$0$0Expense Transfer$24,527,373$10,158,902$9,045,834Expenses Sub-total

34158,0962,997,000Service (Form 406):$721,393$64.26$3.02Unit Cost:

$2,818

Page 64: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

MTA Cost Allocation Model

• OC :estimated operating costs

• j :unit of analysis in question — system, line, etc.

• U :unit cost per service output

• VH :scheduled vehicle hours

• VM :scheduled vehicle miles

• PV :PM peak vehicles

• TP :total passengers

• F :fixed overhead cost factor

OCj = ( UVH * VHj + UVM * VMj + UPV * PVj + UTP * TPj ) * ( 1 + F )

Page 65: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Difficulties in the Study• MTA’s different reports used different definition of time

periods. For example, the AM peak is 5-9 a.m. in one report, while it is 6-9 a.m. in another.

• Data were obtained in different years for different reports. • Many data such as SVH, SVM, IVH, IVM, PV, and TP

were not available for all six periods of day. (apportionment)

• IVH and IVM data were not available for some bus lines. (regression)

• Details of expense item assignment in MTA’s model for the Metro bus system were unknown.

• Nor was there a detailed breakdown of operating costs for the Blue Line.

• There is no specific way to compute annual capital costs.

Page 66: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Assumption: All buses in service during the period with the smaller number of in-service vehicles will be utilized in any other periods that have higher vehicle requirements.

Marginal Cost Approach to Allocating Vehicle Capital Costs

Page 67: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

The public finance of transportation is guided first and foremost by concerns over equity

PREMISE:

Page 68: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

CONFOUNDING NOTIONS OF EQUITY IN

TRANSPORTATION FINANCE

Type of Equity

Unit ofAnalysis

Market Equity OpportunityEquity

OutcomeEquity

GeographicStates, counties,legislative districts, etc.

T rans po rtatio n s p end ingin eac h juris d ic tio nm atc hes revenuec o llec tio ns in thatjuris d ic tio n

T rans p o rtatio n s p end ingis p ro po rtio nally eq ualac ros s jur is d ict ions

S p end ing in eac hjur is d ic tio n p rod uceseq ual levels o ftrans po rtatio nc ap ac ity/s ervic e

GroupModal Interests,racial/ethnic groups, etc.

Eac h gro up rec eivestrans p ortat io ns p end ing/b enefits inp rop o rtio n to taxes p aid

Eac h gro up rec eives ap ro po rtio nally eq uals hare o f trans po rtatio nreso urc es

T rans p o rtatio n s p end ingp ro duc es eq ual levels o fac c ess o r m o b ility ac ros sgro up s

IndividualResidents, voters,travelers, etc.

T he p ric es /taxes p aid b yind ivid uals fo rtrans p ortat io n s ho uld b ep rop o rtio n al to the c o stsim po sed

T rans p o rtatio n s p end ingp er p ers o n is eq ual

T rans p o rtatio n s p end ingeq ualizes ind ivid u allev els o f ac ces s o rm o b ility

Page 69: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

• What one individual, group, organization, or jurisdiction views as fair and equitable, another may view as unfair and unjust.

• Both views may be correct.

Unjust Equity

Page 70: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Types of Equity

• Market Equity: Bring prices in line with costs imposed and/or benefits received

• Opportunity Equity: Treat individuals, interest groups, or jurisdictions equally

• Outcome Equity: Redistribute resources to effect equal outcomes

Page 71: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Why do people debating equity in transportation seem so often to be

talking past one another?

Page 72: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Because they focus on different units of analysis

Page 73: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Units of Analysis in Transportation Policy

• Individuals: residents, voters, travelers, etc.

• Groups: modal interests, racial/ethnic groups, etc.

• Areas (geographic): states, counties, legislative districts, etc.

Page 74: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Factors Influencing Demographic Variation in Subsidies

1. Demographic variation in transit subsidies are due to demographic variation in service consumption.- Most of the differences in subsidy levels by income are due (primarily) to the longer average trip distances of higher-income riders and (secondarily) to their greater use of capital-intensive and commuter-oriented modes.

2. Subsidies by time of day vary little after controlling for trip distance and travel mode.- The higher unit costs of service supplied during peak periods are mitigated by higher levels of peak period utilization in the case of the LA MTA.- This would likely change, however, should the MTA expand peak period service in an effort to reduce standees.

Page 75: Just Transit? Transit Dependents, Civil Rights, and Transit Policy Brian D. Taylor Hiroyuki Iseki UCLA Institute of Transportation Studies October 2001

Transit Equity?

• The results are uneven in two ways:Transit systems in the oldest and largest central

cities receive the highest taxpayer subsidies, in absolute terms.

Transit riders on newer, smaller suburban transit systems tend to receive the highest taxpayer subsidies, in relative terms.