june 2012 real estate market report

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  • 7/31/2019 June 2012 Real Estate Market Report

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    A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THEAUSTIN BOARD OF REALTORS

    June 2012 Quick Facts

    Market Overview 2

    New Listings 3

    Pending Sales 4

    Closed Sales 5

    Days On Market Until Sale 6

    Median Sales Price 7Average Sales Price 8

    9

    Housing Affordability Index 10

    Inventory of Homes for Sale 11

    Months Supply of Inventory 12

    Residential Sales Report

    + 8.6%

    Change in

    Median Sales Price

    Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

    Were halfway through 2012, and what a year its been. Residential real estate

    has finally taken some meaningful strides toward recovery, and theyve all been

    self-powered without divine (or governmental) intervention. Yes, there have

    been some head fakes in the past, but there's real reason to believe that market

    turnaround awaits us. Beyond home prices, key metrics to watch include Days

    on Market, Percent of List Price Received and Months Supply of Inventory.

    Locally, several indicators showed improvement. Let's see what the rest of our

    local data has to say.

    New Listings in the Austin region increased 5.5 percent to 3,748. Pending Sales

    were up 28.1 percent to 2,802. Inventory levels shrank 24.7 percent to 9,154

    units.

    Prices moved higher. The Median Sales Price increased 8.6 percent to

    $215,000. Days on Market was down 24.7 percent to 54 days. The supply-demand balance stabilized as Months Supply of Inventory was down 38.5

    percent to 4.5 months.

    We seem to be at a critical inflection point in our search for more employment

    opportunities. Job growth provides the dual benefit of stimulating new

    household growth as well as relieving distressed homeowners. There's also the

    positive feedback loop of housing creating jobs and jobs creating housing.

    Keeping the affordability picture afloat, the Fed has vowed to keep interest rates

    around 4.0 percent through mid-2013.

    - 24.7%

    Change in

    Inventory

    + 12.4%

    Change in

    Closed Sales

    Percent of List Price Received

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    Market OverviewKey market metrics for the current month and year-to-date.

    Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 6-2011 6-2012 + / YTD 2011 YTD 2012 + /

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2

    7.3

    166 - 0.2%

    - 24.7%

    - 38.5%

    9,154

    4.5

    172

    --

    -- --

    --

    --Months Supply

    of Homes for Sale

    Inventory of Homes for Sale

    + 8.6% $190,000 $200,000

    + 2.2%

    - 24.7% 82 68 - 17.1%

    + 5.3%

    + 2.5% 93.0% 95.1%

    + 1.1%

    2,187 2,802 + 28.1% 11,610 14,530 + 25.2%

    20,4923,551 3,748 + 5.5% 20,276

    2,356 2,647 + 12.4% 10,363

    New Listings

    Pending Sales

    Closed Sales

    93.8% 96.1%

    Housing Affordability Index

    Days on Market Until Sale

    Median Sales Price

    Average Sales Price

    Percent of Original

    List Price Received

    $262,654

    12,088 + 16.6%

    166

    12,160

    72 54

    176 + 2.4%

    --

    $253,084 $260,876 + 3.1%

    $198,000 $215,000

    $278,501 + 6.0%

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

    6-2009 6-2010 6-2011 6-2012

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    New ListingsA count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July 3,674 3,164 -13.9%

    August 2,978 2,702 -9.3%

    September 2,683 2,484 -7.4%

    October 2,543 2,483 -2.4%

    November 2,083 2,052 -1.5%

    December 1,795 1,585 -11.7%

    January 2,785 2,593 -6.9%

    February 2,669 2,892 +8.4%

    March 3,971 3,740 -5.8%

    April 3,756 3,693 -1.7%May 3,544 3,826 +8.0%

    June 3,551 3,748 +5.5%

    12-Month Avg 3,003 2,914 -3.0%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3

    3,7963,551

    3,748

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    5,000

    5,500

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical New Listing Activity

    23,710

    20,276 20,492

    2010 2011 2012

    Year To Date

    +1.1%-6.5% +5.5% -14.5%

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    Pending SalesA count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July 1,639 2,104 +28.4%

    August 1,527 1,862 +21.9%

    September 1,396 1,697 +21.6%

    October 1,423 1,635 +14.9%

    November 1,293 1,465 +13.3%

    December 1,163 1,267 +8.9%

    January 1,451 1,704 +17.4%

    February 1,569 2,031 +29.4%

    March 2,042 2,504 +22.6%

    April 2,107 2,671 +26.8%May 2,254 2,818 +25.0%

    June 2,187 2,802 +28.1%

    12-Month Avg 1,671 2,047 +22.5%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4

    1,656

    2,187

    2,802

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical Pending Sales Activity

    11,673 11,610

    14,530

    2010 2011 2012

    Year To Date

    +25.2%+32.1% +28.1% -0.5%

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    Closed SalesA count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July 1,654 2,182 +31.9%

    August 1,686 2,226 +32.0%

    September 1,425 1,823 +27.9%

    October 1,346 1,603 +19.1%

    November 1,340 1,498 +11.8%

    December 1,573 1,736 +10.4%

    January 1,059 1,196 +12.9%

    February 1,225 1,432 +16.9%

    March 1,782 2,101 +17.9%

    April 1,860 2,130 +14.5%May 2,081 2,582 +24.1%

    June 2,356 2,647 +12.4%

    12-Month Avg 1,616 1,930 +19.3%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5

    2,2112,356

    2,647

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical Closed Sales Activity

    11,03810,363

    12,088

    2010 2011 2012

    Year To Date

    +16.6%+6.6% +12.4% -6.1%

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    Days on Market Until SaleAverage number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July 70 74 +5.8%

    August 72 77 +7.1%

    September 77 78 +0.7%

    October 88 80 -8.7%

    November 86 80 -8.0%

    December 92 84 -8.8%

    January 88 83 -5.8%

    February 93 82 -11.5%

    March 92 79 -14.4%

    April 81 65 -20.1%May 76 61 -20.0%

    June 72 54 -24.7%

    12-Month Avg 81 73 -10.2%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6

    6772

    54

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical Days on Market Until Sale

    68

    82

    68

    2010 2011 2012

    Year To Date

    -17.1%+8.3% -24.7% +20.9%

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    Median Sales PriceMedian price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July $211,555 $190,000 -10.2%

    August $194,000 $191,500 -1.3%

    September $188,731 $185,000 -2.0%

    October $190,000 $187,785 -1.2%

    November $179,500 $184,000 +2.5%

    December $189,000 $186,950 -1.1%

    January $184,500 $176,500 -4.3%

    February $185,000 $190,000 +2.7%

    March $182,250 $197,000 +8.1%

    April $189,900 $205,000 +8.0%May $192,000 $209,153 +8.9%

    June $198,000 $215,000 +8.6%

    12-Mo. Median $190,913 $195,000 +2.1%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7

    $198,000 $198,000

    $215,000

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    $140,000

    $150,000

    $160,000

    $170,000

    $180,000

    $190,000

    $200,000

    $210,000

    $220,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical Median Sales Price

    $185,000 $190,000$200,000

    2010 2011 2012

    Year To Date

    +5.3%0.0% +8.6% +2.7%

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    Average Sales PriceAverage sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July $275,446 $255,611 -7.2%

    August $257,321 $250,351 -2.7%

    September $241,609 $244,565 +1.2%

    October $255,409 $247,299 -3.2%

    November $243,559 $242,519 -0.4%

    December $245,024 $242,411 -1.1%

    January $241,053 $223,203 -7.4%

    February $237,568 $248,306 +4.5%

    March $241,250 $255,172 +5.8%

    April $261,662 $263,838 +0.8%May $259,972 $269,407 +3.6%

    June $262,654 $278,501 +6.0%

    12-Month Avg $253,366 $254,572 +0.5%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8

    $265,235 $262,654$278,501

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    $180,000

    $190,000

    $200,000

    $210,000

    $220,000

    $230,000

    $240,000

    $250,000

    $260,000

    $270,000

    $280,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical Average Sales Price

    $238,921$253,084

    $260,876

    2010 2011 2012

    Year To Date

    + 3.1%- 1.0% + 6.0% + 5.9%

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    Percent of Original List Price Received

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July 93.1% 93.5% +0.4%

    August 92.4% 93.2% +0.8%

    September 91.9% 92.9% +1.1%

    October 91.2% 93.0% +2.0%

    November 91.3% 92.8% +1.7%

    December 91.5% 92.6% +1.2%

    January 91.6% 92.8% +1.4%

    February 92.3% 93.5% +1.3%

    March 92.6% 94.6% +2.2%

    April 93.4% 95.6% +2.4%May 93.4% 95.8% +2.5%

    June 93.8% 96.1% +2.5%

    12-Month Avg 92.5% 94.1% +1.7%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9

    Percentage found when dividing a propertys sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month,

    not accounting for seller concessions.

    94.1% 93.8% 96.1%

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    91%

    92%

    93%

    94%

    95%

    96%

    97%

    98%

    99%

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical Percent of Original List Price Received

    94.3% 93.0% 95.1%

    2010 2011 2012

    Year To Date

    +2.2%-0.3% +2.5% -1.3%

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    Inventory of Homes for SaleThe number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July 14,647 11,911 -18.7%

    August 13,968 11,269 -19.3%

    September 13,250 10,561 -20.3%

    October 12,417 10,076 -18.9%

    November 11,348 9,407 -17.1%

    December 10,016 8,291 -17.2%

    January 10,100 8,281 -18.0%

    February 10,287 8,434 -18.0%

    March 11,185 8,886 -20.6%

    April 11,861 9,160 -22.8%May 12,079 9,235 -23.5%

    June 12,160 9,154 -24.7%

    12-Month Avg 11,943 9,555 -19.9%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11

    14,349

    12,160

    9,154

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    11,000

    12,000

    13,000

    14,000

    15,000

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale

    -24.7%+6.9%

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    Months Supply of InventoryThe inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

    Month

    Prior

    Year

    Current

    Year+ /

    July 8.2 7.0 -14.9%

    August 8.0 6.5 -18.9%

    September 7.8 6.0 -23.0%

    October 7.4 5.7 -24.0%

    November 6.8 5.2 -22.8%

    December 6.0 4.6 -23.1%

    January 6.0 4.5 -24.8%

    February 6.2 4.5 -27.2%

    March 6.9 4.7 -32.2%

    April 7.6 4.7 -38.2%May 7.4 4.6 -37.7%

    June 7.3 4.5 -38.5%

    12-Month Avg 7.1 5.2 -27.0%

    All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12

    7.97.3

    4.5

    2010 2011 2012

    June

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011 1-2012

    Historical Months Supply of Inventory

    -38.5%-7.3%