june 16-18, 2014 violent tornado outbreak meteorologist quincy vagell
TRANSCRIPT
June 16-18, 2014 Violent Tornado Outbreak
Meteorologist Quincy Vagell
Tornado OutbreakIngredients
June 1st, 2011
Storm Chasing Terrain
June 16-18, 2014 Tornado Reports
•82 Reports*•53 Confirmed**•5 EF-4 Tornadoes
Monday, June 16th
CAPE
•Convective
•Available
•Potential
•Energy
Courtesy:University of California,
Santa Barbara
Courtesy: SPC
SignificantTornado Parameter
• Instability• Updraft Rotation
• Wind Shear• Lifted Condensation Level
• Convective Inhibition
Courtesy: SPC
Courtesy: SPC
MUCAPE =5,765 J/kg!
Sig Tor13+!
“PracticallyPerfect Forecast”
Tornado Probabilities
Tuesday, June 17th
“PracticallyPerfect Forecast”
Tornado Probabilities
Wednesday, June 18th
“PracticallyPerfect Forecast”
Tornado Probabilities
*Reports via CIPShttp://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/
**From Wikipedia citing SPC storm reports