july 25, 2013 fixed income update and outlook kris ullman, divisional director, eastern canada greg...
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JULY 25, 2013
Fixed IncomeUpdate and Outlook
Kris Ullman, Divisional Director, Eastern Canada
Greg Nott, CFA, Chief Investment Officer
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THIS PUBLICATION IS INTENDED FOR INVESTMENT ADVISORS ONLY AND IS NOT INTENDED FOR, NOR CAN IT BE PROVIDED TO, INVESTORS OR POENTIAL INVESTORS. IT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE A SALES COMMUNICATION AS DEFINED BY NATIONAL INSTRUM 81-102, “MUTUAL FUNDS.”
Nothing in this publication is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities, or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type. This information is made available on an “as is” basis. Russell investments Canada Limited does not make any warranty or representation regarding the information.
Indices and benchmarks are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. Returns represent past performance, and are not a guarantee of future performance and are not indicative of any specific investment. Index return information is provided by vendors and although deemed reliable, is not guaranteed by Russell investments or its affiliates. Due to timing of information, indices may be adjusted after the publication of this report.
This publication may contain forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements that are predictive in nature, that depend upon or refer to future events or conditions, or that include words such as "expects", "anticipates", "plans", "believes", "estimates" or negative versions thereof and similar expressions. In addition, any statement that may be made concerning future performance, strategies or prospects, and possible future Fund action, is also a forward-looking statement. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and projections about future events and are inherently subject to, among other things, risk, uncertainties and assumptions about economic factors. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and actual events and results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made in this publication. Any number of important factors could contribute to these digressions, including, but not limited to, general economic, political and market factors, interest and foreign exchange rates, capital markets, business competition, technological change, changes in government regulations, unexpected judicial or regulatory proceedings, and catastrophic events. No model or group of models can offer a precise estimate of future returns available from capital markets.
Unless otherwise stated, all yield measures are yield-to-maturity. Yield-to-Maturity: The rate of return anticipated on a bond if it is held until the maturity date.
Unless otherwise stated all index data is sourced from © BNY Mellon Asset Servicing. All rights reserved.
This report contains Standard & Poor’s proprietary data and is provided for the recipient's internal use only.
p.2FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO
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Important information
Important informationDEX Indices: Source: PC-Bond, a business unit of TSX Inc. Copyright © TSX Inc. 2013. All rights reserved. The information contained herein may not be redistributed, sold or modified or used to create any derivative work without the prior written consent of TSX Inc.
THE USER AGREES THAT TSX INC. AND THE PARTIES FROM WHOM TSX INC. OBTAINS DATA DO NOT HAVE ANY LIABILITY FOR THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF THE DATA PROVIDED OR FOR DELAYS, INTERRUPTIONS OR OMISSIONS THEREIN OR THE RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED THROUGH THE USE OF THIS DATA.THE USER FURTHER AGREES THAT NEITHER TSX INC. NOR THE PARTIES FROM WHOM IT OBTAINS DATA MAKE ANY REPRESENTATION, WARRANTY OR CONDITION, EITHER EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM THE USE OF THE DATA, OR AS TO THE MERCHANTABLE QUALITY OR FITNESS OF THE DATA FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE.
The MSCI information may only be used for your internal use, may not be reproduced or redisseminated in any form and may not be used to create any financial instruments or products or any indices. The MSCI information is provided on an “as is” basis and the user of this information assumes the entire risk of any use it may make or permit to be made of this information. Neither MSCI, any of its affiliates or any other person involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating the MSCI information (collectively, the “MSCI Parties”) makes any express or implied warranties or representations with respect to such information or the results to be obtained by the use thereof, and the MSCI Parties hereby expressly disclaim all warranties (including, without limitation, all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, timeliness, non-infringement, merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose) with respect to this information. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall any MSCI Party have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including, without limitation, lost profits) even if notified of, or if it might otherwise have anticipated, the possibility of such damages.
The Russell Investments Logo and Indices are a trademark or registered trademark of Frank Russell Company and are used under license by Russell Investments Canada Limited.
Russell Investments Canada Limited is a wholly owned subsidiary of Frank Russell Company and was established in 1985. Russell Investments Canada Limited and its affiliates, including Frank Russell Company, are collectively known as “Russell Investments.”
Copyright © Russell Investments Canada Limited 2013. All rights reserved. This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments.
Date of publication: July 2013. RETAIL-2013-07-23-0591 (EXP-07-2014).
p.3FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO
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The investment world today
›Return assumptions are low, yet return requirements remain high
›Investors want more certainty than they can afford
›Increasing uncertainty with fixed income investments
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p.4
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Source: Investment Analyzer, as of April, 2013
Products Category Average Advisor Holdings
# of Products 438
# of Equity Products 261
# of Fixed Income (FI) Products 105
# of Mutual Funds 170
Key Ratios Average (CAN$)
AUM per Product $224,426
AUM per Equity Product $527,352
AUM per FI Product $760,566
p.5
Russell Disciplined Investing Program
43.7%
23.6%
6.9%
1.6%
24.0%
EqutiyFixed IncomeCashAlternativeBalanced
Source: Russell Disciplined Investing Program. Calculated as of April 2013.
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p.6
Russell Disciplined Investing ProgramAverage advisor asset allocation
p.7
Examples of 2012 financial magazine covers
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The “wall of worry” might not be that high in the end
p.8FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO
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What does the future hold?
Source: Financial Post, June 3, 2013
Part I
Fixed Income Review
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p.9
Jan-1
2
Jan-1
2
Feb-1
2
Feb-1
2
Mar
-12
Mar
-12
Apr-12
Apr-12
May
-12
Jun-1
2
Jun-1
2
Jul-1
2
Jul-1
2
Aug-12
Aug-12
Sep-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oct-1
2
Nov-12
Nov-12
Dec-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Jan-1
3
Feb-1
3
Mar
-13
Mar
-13
Apr-13
Apr-13
May
-13
May
-13
Jun-1
31
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8 Bond Yields & Market Volatility
Canada 10 Yr - Yield US 10 Yr - Yield
Bo
nd
Yie
ld
p.10
Fed “tapering” comments spook
markets
Fed “tapering” comments spook
markets
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
“Taper” tantrum: Bond yields spike An overreaction to Fed comments
p.11
Recent GoC Yield Curves
Last 30 days
Significant spike in yields on mid-term Canadas
Less so in short and long end
Source: Bloomberg as of July 19, 2013Data is historical and is not indicative of future results.
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GoC yield curve changes
Last 2 years
Short yields relatively unchanged
Longer term yields still well below 2011 levels
p.12
Source: Beutel Goodman, PC Bond. Yield data as of July 2nd, 2013, illustrating the difference in yield between DEX Long Corporate Index vs. DEX Long Canadas Index. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. Data is historical and is not indicative of future results.
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(%)
Long corporate yield spreads remain attractive
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Source: FactSet, Russell Investments. Note: Data from 12/31/12 – 7/17/2013.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. Data is historical and is not indicative of future results.
Option Adjusted Spread (OAS) Analysis
Canada & US Baa Indexes EMD & High Yield IndexesOAS (%)
OAS (%)
Credit spreads have widened as bond yields rose
This is not typical and we expect it to reverse
12/31/1
2
01/15/1
3
01/30/1
3
02/14/1
3
03/01/1
3
03/16/1
3
03/31/1
3
04/15/1
3
04/30/1
3
05/15/1
3
05/30/1
3
06/14/1
3
06/29/1
3
07/14/1
31.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
Barclays Capital US Baa Index Barclays Capital Canada Baa Index
12/31/1
2
01/15/1
3
01/30/1
3
02/14/1
3
03/01/1
3
03/16/1
3
03/31/1
3
04/15/1
3
04/30/1
3
05/15/1
3
05/30/1
3
06/14/1
3
06/29/1
3
07/14/1
32.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
5.5
6.0
Barclays Capital EM Bond Index BofA ML US HY Index
p.13
Credit spreads widened, but started to recover
p.14
Outlook:
› Significant increase in bond yields post-Fed comments appears to be an ‘over-reaction’ in our opinion
› We would expect bond yields to stabilize at levels lower than current
› But 10 year GoCs yields not likely to re-test the 2.0% level
› We believe rates unlikely to rise significantly from here:
› Given only slow global growth
› Given inflation staying low
› Given central banks will stay accommodative
› Bond Yields are expected to stay relatively ‘range bound’ for rest of 2013
› 2.10% - 2.40% on the 10-year
› Search for yield trade likely continues – credit spreads could narrow again
›We still expect modest positive single digit Total Returns for 2013
There is no guarantee that any stated expectations will occur and are subject to change based on economic conditions. Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.
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Russell’s current fixed income outlook
p.15
Sub-adviser positioning commentsBeutel, Goodman & Company, Ltd.:
› Remain bearish on interest rates. Believe that the central banks will be successful in creating economic growth
› Still positive on long maturity liquid high quality corporates (utilities, pipelines)
Canso Investment Counsel Ltd:
› Still positive on credit but warning signs are increasing - Remain selective on new issuance
› Underweight to Cdn banks, large overweight to foreign financials (through Maples)
› Taking profits on longer maturity corps (Rogers, Bell, P3 issues) and re-investing in FRNs - now at 25% exposure.
Pacific Investment Mgmt. Company LLC:
› Expect weak economic growth to continue (below consensus forecast)
› Central banks stay ‘low for long’. Therefore neutral duration
› Given recent sell-off in credit markets – moving from a ‘risk reduction mode’ to ‘selectively adding risk’ – will add to non-domestic IG credit if spreads widen further
There is no guarantee that any stated expectations will occur and are subject to change based on economic conditions.Sub-advisers listed are current as of July 2013. Russell has the right to engage or terminate a sub-adviser at any time. The investment strategies are the goals of the individual sub-advisers there is no assurance that the exact objective will always be met.
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Why be Active in fixed income?
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p.16
› As yields have declined, and issuers having issued longer maturity debt, durations of benchmarks have increased significantly
› This increases the benchmark’s susceptibility to rate increases› As of January 2002, a 100bps increase in yields would result in an approx. index return of 0% over the
following 12 months for the DEX Universe Bond Index.
› As of January 2013, a 100bps increase in yields would result in an approx. index return of -4.5% over the following 12 months for the DEX Universe Bond Index.
p.17
Source: PC Bond Analytics, Debt Market IndicesThis is a hypothetical example and is not meant to represent any actual results. Indexes and/or benchmarks are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Jan-
02
Jun-
02
Nov-0
2
Apr-0
3
Sep-0
3
Feb-0
4
Jul-0
4
Dec-0
4
May
-05
Oct-0
5
Mar
-06
Aug-0
6
Jan-
07
Jun-
07
Nov-0
7
Apr-0
8
Sep-0
8
Feb-0
9
Jul-0
9
Dec-0
9
May
-10
Oct-1
0
Mar
-11
Aug-1
1
Jan-
12
Jun-
12
Nov-1
22
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8Dex Universe Bond Index
Yield Duration
Yie
ld (
%)
Du
ration
(years)
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Benchmark risk has increased
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› Duration Management
› Long duration vs. short duration (vs. the benchmark)
› Yield Curve Management
› Bullet vs. Barbell
› Sector Selection
› Governments vs. Corporates
› Skilled Security Selection
p.18
Flexibility of “active” management with fixed-income strategies
› Off-benchmark opportunities
› Non-domestic sovereign and corporates
› Securitized debt
› Floating Rate Notes
› Real Return Bonds
› High Yield/EMD (Hard/Local/Corp)
› Access to product
› Retail bond desks starved for inventory
› Better pricing
› Competitive retail pricing
p.19
Year 1 Impact based on yield and duration of RFIP* as of June 30, 2012: Yield: 2.85%, Duration: 5.88 years. Yr 1 yield change: Aggressive: +1.0%, Moderate: +0.70%, Conservative: +0.25%, *RFIP: Russell Fixed Income Pool Series FSource: Russell Investments. For illustrative purposes only and is meant to demonstrate the hypothetical effect on returns based on different yield scenarios. This is not a forecast of future results and not reflective of actual expectations.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.
Year 1 Impact-4.0%
-3.0%
-2.0%
-1.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
-3.0
%
-1.3
%
1.4
%
1.5
%
Aggressive (+100bps)Moderate (+70bps)Conservative (+25ps)Actual RFIP 1 Yr as of 6/30/13 (Sr F)
Can 10 Yr Yield:6/29/12 = 1.74%6/28/13 = 2.44% 1Yr = +0.70%
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Scenario Analysis of the Russell Fixed Income PoolSeries F as of June 30, 2012
Difference: +2.8%
Russell Fixed Income Pool positioning
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p.20
p.21
Source: Wilshire Axiom, Russell Investments, Russell Fixed Income PoolData from Mar 31, 2008 to June 30, 2013. Data is historical and is not indicative of future results.
Yea
rs
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Mar-08
May-08
Jul-0
8
Sep-08
Nov-08
Jan-0
9
Mar-09
May-09
Jul-0
9
Sep-09
Nov-09
Jan-1
0
Mar-10
May-10
Jul-1
0
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-1
1
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-1
1
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-1
2
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-1
2
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-1
3
Mar-13
May-13
-2.00
-1.50
-1.00
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
Russell Fixed Income Pool Active Duration
Active Duration
Fixed Income Pool positioning over time
p.22
Fixed Income Pool sector positioning over time
Source: Wilshire Axiom, Russell Investments, Russell Fixed Income PoolData from March 31, 2008 to June 30, 2013. Data is historical and is not indicative of future results.
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Rat
io:
Ove
rwei
ght/
Und
erw
eigh
t
Mar
-08
May
-08
Jul-0
8
Sep-0
8
Nov-0
8
Jan-
09
Mar
-09
May
-09
Jul-0
9
Sep-0
9
Nov-0
9
Jan-
10
Mar
-10
May
-10
Jul-1
0
Sep-1
0
Nov-1
0
Jan-
11
Mar
-11
May
-11
Jul-1
1
Sep-1
1
Nov-1
1
Jan-
12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-1
2
Sep-1
2
Nov-1
2
Jan-
13
Mar
-13
May
-13
-25.00%
-20.00%
-15.00%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00% Fixed Income Pool Sector Overweight/Underweight
Feds Provis&Munis Cdn Corps Total Foreign
p.23
Source: Wilshire Axiom, Russell Investments, Russell Fixed Income Pool. Data from March 31, 2008 to June 30, 2013. Data is historical and is not indicative of future results. Sub-advisers are current as of June 2013. Russell has the right to engage or terminate a sub-adviser at any time.
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Dev
iatio
n fr
om
Str
ateg
ic W
eigh
ting
(%)
Mar
-08
May
-08
Jul-0
8
Sep-0
8
Nov-0
8
Jan-
09
Mar
-09
May
-09
Jul-0
9
Sep-0
9
Nov-0
9
Jan-
10
Mar
-10
May
-10
Jul-1
0
Sep-1
0
Nov-1
0
Jan-
11
Mar
-11
May
-11
Jul-1
1
Sep-1
1
Nov-1
1
Jan-
12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-1
2
Sep-1
2
Nov-1
2
Jan-
13
Mar
-13
May
-13
-0.05
-0.04
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05 Fixed Income Pool deviations from strategic weighting
Beutel Canso PIMCo
Fixed Income Pool sub-adviser positioning over time
Other Fixed Income Pool Exposures
› We are increasing our exposure to FRNs
p.24
Short Term Income Pool
Fixed Income Pool
Current FRN Exposure
20.4% 13.6%
Real Return Bonds (RRBs)
› We are very gradually increasing our exposure to RRBs
Fixed Income Pool
Current RRB Exposure
2.2%
Data as of June 30th, 2013. Source: Wilshire Axiom.
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Floating Rate Notes (FRNs)
Part II
Reviewing your Multi-Asset strategy:Russell in Action
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p.25
p.27
10%
27%
26%
5%
7%
5%
6%
5%
5%2% 2% Short Term Income Pool
Fixed Income Fund
Core Plus Fixed Income Pool
Global High Income Bond Pool
Canadian Dividend Pool
Focused Canadian Equity Pool
Focused US Equity Pool
Overseas Equity Fund
Global Equity Fund
Global Infrastructure Pool
Global Real Estate Pool
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Source: Russell Investments as of July 2013
Russell Income Essentials Portfolio68% Fixed Income / 32% Equities Target Allocation
2009 JUN
AUG
MAR
FEB
MAR
2010
hedged USD exposure
began incorporating asset class tilts into the portfolios
2011 removed USD hedge
US Equity: restructured from 11 sub-advisers to 6
DEC
APR
MAY
DEC
US Equity: +Mar Vista, Investment Partners, LLC -Montag & Caldwell
AUG
added strategic Short Term Income exposure
Added strategic Focused Canadian Equity and Focused US Equity exposures
2012
p.28
Sub-advisers are current as of the specified date. Russell has the right to engage or terminate a sub-adviser at any time.
Strategic allocation enhancements
Other enhancements
Global Equity: +Sustainable, -Marsico Capital Management
Added strategic Global High Income Bond exposure
Global Equity: +Sanders Capital, LLC
added strategic Canadian Dividend exposure
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Russell Income Essentials Portfolio evolution
p.29
MAR
p.29FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO
INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
MAY
JUL
Russell Income Essentials Portfolio evolutionStrategic allocation enhancements
Other enhancements2013
Global High Income Bond Pool: +Lazard Asset Management (Canada), Inc.
added strategic Infrastructure and Real Estate exposures
JAN
Global Equity Pool: +Numeric Investors LLC, +Wellington Management Company, LLP-Arrowstreet Capital L.P. - McKinley Capital Management
Canadian Dividend Pool: +Invesco Canada Ltd.
Sub-advisers are current as of the specified date. Russell has the right to engage or terminate a sub-adviser at any time.
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
25.87
24.65
Russell Income Essentials Portfolio, Series F Russell 35/65 Composite, Series F
p.30
RIEP Actual vs. Russell 36/65 Composite*
Cu
mu
lativ
e R
etu
rn (
%)
RIEP (Actual) RIEP Composite RelativeAnnualized Return 4.48 4.29 0.19Return/Risk 0.72 0.69
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Source: Russell Investments, ConfluencePast performance is not indicative of future results.*The Russell 35/65 Composite, Series F represents the actual allocation of RIEP in 2008. Allocation is 33% Fixed Income Pool, 32% Core Plus Pool, 12% Canadian Equity Pool, 7% US Equity Pool, 8% Overseas Equity Pool, and 8% Global Equity Pool. Portfolio weights rebalanced back to target quarterly. The cumulative returns were calculated by taking a percentage of each of the pool’s return, net of Series F management fees and expenses.
Russell 35/65 Composite
Russell Income Essentials Portfolio evolution
p.31
20 %
18%
5%
19%
3%
10%
9%
7%
3%3% 3%
Chart Title Fixed Income Pool
Core Plus Fixed Income Pool
Global High Income Pool
Canadian Equity Pool
Smaller Companies Pool
US Equity Pool
Overseas Equity Pool
Global Equity Pool
Emerging Markets Equity Pool
Global Infrastructure Pool
Global Real Estate Pool
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Source: Russell Investments as of July 2013
Russell Diversified Monthly Income43% Fixed Income / 57% Equities Target Allocation
2009 JUN
MAR
FEB
MAR
APR
2010
EM Equity: restructured, added strategic EM Equity and Frontiers exposure
2011 removed USD hedge
DECAdded strategic Global High Income Bond exposure
hedged USD exposure
began incorporating asset class tilts into the portfolios
NOVadded strategic Smaller Companies exposure
US Equity: restructured from 11 sub-advisers to 6
JAN
DEC
APR
MAY
2012
Sub-advisers are current as of the specified date. Russell has the right to engage or terminate a sub-adviser at any time.
Strategic allocation enhancements
Other enhancements
Global Equity: +Sanders Capital, LLC
Cdn Equity: +Clarivest Asset Management LLC, - Greystone Management Investments Inc.
US Equity: +Mar Vista Investment Partners, L.P., -Montag & CaldwellGlobal Equity: +Sustainable, -Marsico Capital ManagementCdn Equity: +QV Investors Inc.,
- GCIC Ltd.
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
p.32
Russell Diversified Monthly Income Portfolio evolution
p.33
MAR
JANadded strategic Infrastructure and Real Estate exposures Global High Income Bond:
+Lazard Asset Management (Canada), Inc.
MAY
Global Equity Pool: +Numeric Investors, +Wellington Management,-Arrowstreet Capital, - McKinley Capital
JUNUS Equity Pool: +Fiduciary Management, -First Eagle, -PENN Capital
Sub-advisers are current as of the specified date. Russell has the right to engage or terminate a sub-adviser at any time.
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Russell Diversified Monthly Income Portfolio evolution
Strategic allocation enhancements
Other enhancements2013
Russell Diversified Monthly Income Portfolio evolution
-30.00
-20.00
-10.00
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.0021.77
19.65
Russell Diversified Monthly Income Portfolio, Series F-5 Russell 60/40 Composite, Series F
p.34
RDMIP Actual vs. Russell 60/40 Composite*
Cu
mu
lati
ve
Re
turn
(%
)
RDMIP (Actual) RDMIP Composite RelativeAnnualized Return 3.82 3.48 0.35Return/Risk 0.40 0.38
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Source: Russell Investments, BNYMellon Workbench
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
*The Russell 60/40 Composite, Series F represents the actual allocation of RDMIP in 2008. Allocation is 20% Fixed Income Pool, 20% Core Plus Pool, 20% Canadian Equity Pool, 13.33% US Equity Pool, 13.33% Overseas Equity Pool, and 13.33% Global Equity Pool. Portfolio weights rebalanced back to target quarterly.
The cumulative returns were calculated by taking a percentage of each of the pool’s return, net of Series F management fees and expenses.
Russell 60/40 Composite
p.35
› We believe bond yields will stabilize around current levels for remainder of 2013› But Fixed Income total returns will remain low
› Therefore, at the Total Portfolio level, moderate to conservative investors will need to embrace more “growth” than times past, realizing that this will also increase risk
› Growth, however, does not necessarily equate to equity› Diversify sources of risk
› Growth exposure via fixed income = High Yield & EMD
› Growth exposure via non-traditional = GRE, GI, Commodities, Frontiers Mkt
› GOAL: Enhance total portfolio experience via improved risk-adjusted returns
› Consider actively-managed, globally diversified multi-asset strategiesp.35
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
Takeaways
www.russell.com“Russell,” “Russell Investments,” “Russell 1000,” “Russell 2000,” and “Russell 3000” are registered trademarks of the Frank Russell Company.
Q & A
Russell’s Fixed Income Line Up
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
p.37
PIMCoAllianceBernstein Canada, Inc. Goldman Sachs Asset Management, L.P.
Russell Fixed Income Line-up
*® Registered trademarks of Royal Bank of Canada. Used under license.As you move from left to right on the graph - increasing risk - there are different portfolios that can offer higher return potential, which is also matched by higher loss potential. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to increase return or reduce risk can result in unintentional reduction of returns. See the prospectus section "Who should invest in this fund?" for more information.“ Sub-advisers are current as of April 2013. Russell has the right to engage or terminate a sub-adviser at any time.
HIGHERLOWER
HIGHER
RISK
PO
TE
NT
IAL
RE
TU
RN
RUSSELL SHORT TERM INCOME POOL
RUSSELL FIXED INCOME POOL
RUSSELL CORE PLUS FIXED INCOME POOL
RUSSELL GLOBAL HIGH INCOME BOND POOL
RUSSELL LIFEPOINTS FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO
38
Russell Short Term Income PoolRussell Canadian Fixed Income FundRussell Core Plus Fixed Income PoolRussell Global High Income Bond Pool
DDJ Capital Management, LLCLogan Circle Partners, LLCLazard Asset Management (Canada), Inc.Stone Harbor Investment Partners LP
Beutel, Goodman & Company Ltd. Canso Investment Counsel Ltd. PIMCo
Phillips, Hager & North® AEGON Capital Management Inc. Canso Investment Counsel Ltd.
p.38
RUSSELL LIFEPOINTS CONSERVATIVE INCOME PORTFOLIO
FOR ADVISOR USE ONLY. DISTRIBUTION OR DISCLOSURE TO INVESTORS OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS IS PROHIBITED
www.russell.com“Russell,” “Russell Investments,” “Russell 1000,” “Russell 2000,” and “Russell 3000” are registered trademarks of the Frank Russell Company.
Thank you