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    10

    INCOME STATEMENT (in INR mn) 2000 2001

    INCOME

    Sales and operating income (Net of discs) 6066.59 8424.77Less: Excise duty (474.97) (622.56)

    TOTAL SALES 5591.62 7802.21

    EXPENDITURE

    Material Cost (5035.27) (7198.58)

    Employee Cost

    SG&A costs

    PROFIT BEFORE INT, DEP,TAX AND EXC ITEMS 556.35 603.63

    Less : Interest (349.60) (413.33)

    Less : Depreciation/Amortisation (175.72) (206.42)

    Add: Other Income 74.35 145.91

    PROFIT BEFORE TAX AND EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS 105.38 129.79

    Add/(Less) : Exceptional Item

    PROFIT BEFORE TAX AND PRIOR PERIOD ITEMS 105.38 129.79

    (Less) : Prior period items (Net) 121.57 108.04

    PROFIT BEFORE TAX 226.95 237.82

    Less: Provision for Taxation:

    Current Tax (0.40) (5.40)

    Deferred Tax (Refer Note B - 8 in Schedule M) 0.00 0.00

    Fringe Benefit Tax 0.00 0.00

    Excess (Tax) Provision for earlier years (1.82) 9.23

    PROFIT AFTER TAX 224.73 241.65Less: Minority Interest

    NET PROFIT ATTRIBUTABLE TO SHAREHOLDERS 224.73 241.65

    Add : Balance brought forward from previous year

    AMOUNT AVAILABLE FOR APPROPRIATION 224.73 241.65

    APPROPRIATIONS

    Dividend to shareholders of parent company:

    Equity Shares - Interim dividend

    Proposed Final dividend (35.33) (44.60)

    Tax on Dividend (includes tax on proposed div) (6.37) (3.83)

    Transfer to General Reserve (75.00) (100.00)

    Balance carried to Balance Sheet 108.04 93.22

    Per share data

    EPS (Rs.) Basic and Diluted - before exc item

    EPS (Rs.) Basic and Diluted - after exc item

    DPS (Rs)

    No of shares - eop

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    Key Figures

    Gross Profit 556.35 603.63

    EBITDA 556.35 603.63

    Operating Profit (EBIT) 380.63 397.21

    PBT 226.95 237.82

    Net Income 224.73 241.65

    Margins

    Gross Profit 9.95% 7.74%

    EBITDA 9.95% 7.74%

    Operating Profit (EBIT) 6.81% 5.09%

    PBT 4.06% 3.05%

    Net Income 4.02% 3.10%

    Purchases

    Assumptions

    Sales (Growth - YoY) 0.08

    Material Cost (as a % of Sales) 0.92

    Overheads

    Employee Cost (as a % of sales)

    SG&A costs (as a % of sales)

    Other income (Growth - YoY) 96.26%

    Other income (as a % of sales) 1.33% 1.87%

    Effective Tax Rate -0.98% 1.61%

    Dividend Payout Ratio

    Divident Tax RateMinority Interest as % of PAT

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    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    8,648.18 9,686.07 9,456.65 12,736.96 16,178.90 19,434.40 26,287.66(864.64) (1,034.31) (1,189.35) (1,337.25) (1,398.89)

    8,648.18 9,686.07 8,592.01 11,702.65 14,989.55 18,097.15 24,888.77

    (7,797.17) (8,497.67) (7,009.31) (10,013.87) (13,013.18) (15,156.02) (20,536.11)

    851.01 1,188.40 1,582.70 1,688.78 1,976.37 2,941.13 4,352.66

    (411.05) (402.50) (357.64) (220.36) (172.66) (194.64) (336.68)

    (255.80) (237.52) (326.18) (381.40) (513.35) (622.86) (1,039.14)

    28.66 93.30 67.40 554.22 391.03 829.41 1,584.47

    212.82 641.68 966.28 1,641.24 1,681.39 2,953.04 4,561.31

    212.82 641.68 966.28 1,641.24 1,681.39 2,953.04 4,561.31

    212.82 641.68 966.28 1,641.24 1,681.39 2,953.04 4,561.31

    (2.21) (50.13) (89.27) (317.64) (231.20) (369.84) (702.47)

    14.60 (110.45) (114.53) (116.08) (138.89) (318.61) 11.97

    (22.35) (24.04) 117.66

    7.00 24.80 2.13

    232.21 481.10 787.28 1,209.65 1,288.95 2,240.55 3,988.47(4.91) (17.72) 7.80 39.45 16.47

    232.21 481.10 782.37 1,191.93 1,296.75 2,280.00 4,004.94

    101.54 104.73 461.09 1,048.35 1,702.69 2,390.69 3,960.05

    333.75 585.83 1,243.46 2,240.28 2,999.44 4,670.69 7,964.99

    (59.02) (74.44) (84.32) (161.96) (183.07) (180.07) (219.29)

    (10.79) (22.79) (25.68) (30.57) (37.27)

    (170.00) (50.00) (100.00) (352.84) (400.00) (500.00) (1,000.00)

    104.73 461.39 1,048.35 1,702.69 2,390.69 3,960.05 6,708.43

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    851.01 1,188.40 1,582.70 1,688.78 1,976.37 2,941.13 4,352.66

    851.01 1,188.40 1,582.70 1,688.78 1,976.37 2,941.13 4,352.66

    595.21 950.88 1,256.52 1,307.38 1,463.02 2,318.27 3,313.52

    212.82 641.68 966.28 1,641.24 1,681.39 2,953.04 4,561.31

    232.21 481.10 787.28 1,209.65 1,288.95 2,240.55 3,988.47

    9.84% 12.27% 18.42% 14.43% 13.18% 16.25% 17.49%

    9.84% 12.27% 18.42% 14.43% 13.18% 16.25% 17.49%

    6.88% 9.82% 14.62% 11.17% 9.76% 12.81% 13.31%

    2.46% 6.62% 11.25% 14.02% 11.22% 16.32% 18.33%

    2.69% 4.97% 9.16% 10.34% 8.60% 12.38% 16.03%

    0.41 0.40 0.33 0.07 0.17 0.49 0.48

    0.90 0.88 0.82 0.86 0.87 0.84 0.83

    -80.36% 225.54% -27.76% 722.28% -29.44% 112.11% 91.04%

    0.33% 0.96% 0.78% 4.74% 2.61% 4.58% 6.37%

    9.11% -25.02% -18.52% -26.30% -23.34% -24.13% -12.56%

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    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    36,405.44 38,754.75 35,102.12(1,225.60) (843.43) (768.08)

    35,179.84 37,911.32 34,334.04 - - - -

    (31,308.22) (30,449.17) (29,682.45)

    3,871.62 7,462.15 4,651.59 - - - -

    (1,070.42) (1,505.20) (1,050.57)

    (1,632.42) (1,246.84) (1,801.02)

    1,796.98 468.86 605.91

    2,965.76 5,178.97 2,405.91 - - - -

    2,965.76 5,178.97 2,405.91 - - - -

    2,965.76 5,178.97 2,405.91 - - - -

    (668.37) (1,025.48) (876.21)

    126.85 66.04 742.56

    274.33

    2,698.57 4,219.53 2,272.26 - - - -133.19 (4.92) 24.93

    2,831.76 4,214.61 2,297.19 - - - -

    6,697.99 7,768.46 8,440.71

    9,529.75 11,983.07 10,737.90 - - - -

    (223.34) (317.56) (318.56)

    (37.95) (52.74) (51.68)

    (2,120.50) (1,100.00)

    9,268.46 9,492.27 9,267.66 - - - -

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    3,871.62 7,462.15 4,651.59

    3,871.62 7,462.15 4,651.59

    2,239.20 6,215.31 2,850.57

    2,965.76 5,178.97 2,405.91

    2,698.57 4,219.53 2,272.26

    11.01% 19.68% 13.55%

    11.01% 19.68% 13.55%

    6.37% 16.39% 8.30%

    8.43% 13.66% 7.01%

    7.67% 11.13% 6.62%

    (0.11) 0.93 (0.38)

    0.89 0.80 0.86

    13.41% -73.91% 29.23%

    5.11% 1.24% 1.76%

    -9.01% -18.53% -5.56%

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    2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

    - - - - -

    - - - - -

    - - - - -

    - - - - -

    - - - - -

    - - - - -

    - - - - -

    - - - - -

    - - - - -

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    10

    BALANCE SHEET (in INR m) 2000 2001

    FUNDS EMPLOYED

    Shareholders' FundsShare Capital 112.59 112.59

    Reserves and Surplus 1342.328 1415.236

    Shareholders' equity 1454.92 1527.83

    Loan Funds

    Secured Loans 2699.061 2802.59

    Unsecured Loans 551.432 712.089

    Loans 3250.49 3514.68

    Deferred Tax Liability (Net)

    Minority Interest

    Total 4705.41 5042.51

    APPLICATION OF FUNDS

    Fixed Assets

    Gross Block 4307.223 5037.325

    Less: Depreciation/Amortisation -1734.74 -1930.053

    Net Block 2572.48 3107.27

    Add : Capital Work in Progress 371.49 53.18

    Net Fixed Assets

    Foreign exchange monetary trans.. Difference

    Deferred tax assets

    Investments 234.919 235.358Total Long Term Assets 3178.89 3395.81

    Current Assets, Loans and Advances

    Cash and Bank Balances 117.895 70.544

    Inventories 799.004 985.9

    Sundry debtors (receivables) 888.145 844.374

    Loans and Advances 407.181 376.253

    Total Current Assets 2212.23 2277.07

    Current Liabilities and Provisions

    Current Liabilities 584.244 613.964

    Provisions 127.809 81.696

    Total Current Liabilities 712.05 695.66

    Net Current Assets 1500.17 1581.41

    Miscellaneous expenditure 26.347 65.284

    Total 4705.41 5042.51

    check 1 1

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    Schedule G

    Current Liabilities

    1 Acceptances

    2 Sundry Creditors

    Trade (payables)

    Others

    3 Investor Education etc4 Other Liabilities

    Assumptions:

    Fixed Assets

    B Net Fixed Assets - Opening

    A Add: Capex

    A Add: Acquisitions / (Disposals)/WIP addns

    S Less: Depreciation

    E Net Fixed Assets - Ending

    Capex (as a % of sales)

    Depreciation (as a % of sales)

    Debt

    Average Debt

    Interest paid

    Interest cost %

    Cash and Bank Balances

    Interest earnedInterest rate %

    Ratio Analysis

    Solvency Ratios

    Current ratio 3.11 3.27

    Quick ratio 1.98 1.86

    Cash ratio 0.17 0.10

    Turnover Ratios

    Receivables turnover

    Inventory turnover

    Payables turnover

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    Average receivables collection period

    Average inventory processing period

    Average payment period

    Cash Conversion Cycle

    Other ReceivablesLoans and Advances as % of Sales 0.07 0.05

    Other Payables

    Acceptances as % of COGS

    Others Creditors as % of COGS

    Investor Education etc as % of COGS

    Other Liabilities as % of COGS

    Operating Efficiency

    Total asset turnover

    Net fixed asset turnover

    Equity turnover

    Operating Profitability

    Gross Profit Margin 0.10 0.08

    Operating Profit Margin 0.07 0.05

    Net Profit Margin 0.04 0.03

    Return on total capital 0.05 0.05

    Return on total equity 0.15 0.16

    ROE DuPont Analysis

    Profit Margin

    Asset Turnover

    Leverage

    ROE

    Financial Risk Ratios

    Debt to equity ratio

    Debt ratio

    Interest coverage ratio

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    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

    73.33 73.33 117.32 129.58 142.46 143.76 146.96

    1033.54 1407.95 1996.38 4830.52 8114.74 8917.59 12415.01

    1106.87 1481.28 2113.70 4960.10 8257.20 9061.35 12561.97

    2584.89 3473.21 3857.66 2038.15 3344.89 4171.68 10585.88

    777.08 575.15 352.34 1619.73 3875.44 12354.45 10498.65

    3361.97 4048.36 4210.00 3657.88 7220.33 16526.13 21084.53

    361.90 644.86 741.62 857.70 1042.04 1360.15 1302.30

    150.89 174.12 213.91

    4830.74 6174.50 7065.32 9475.68 16670.46 27121.75 35162.71

    5416.41 6645.08 7161.53 8359.50 14020.47 16671.47 24959.09

    (2308.62) (2513.76) (2825.21) (3083.57) (3778.96) (4392.48) (5834.90)

    3107.79 4131.32 4336.32 5275.93 10241.51 12278.99 19124.19

    165.36 113.10 405.99 929.70 1289.75 2356.85 4846.90

    84.23 161.84 148.89 990.23 2.23 38.84 456.373357.38 4406.26 4891.20 7195.86 11533.49 14674.68 24427.46

    101.47 106.27 208.35 159.62 1389.57 8749.11 5237.68

    1030.18 1350.02 1282.80 1762.05 3116.89 3532.43 4257.80

    768.83 815.15 1455.05 1784.38 2479.18 2948.11 4349.67

    550.38 760.33 811.42 1249.01 1963.46 2424.69 3552.70

    2450.86 3031.77 3757.62 4955.06 8949.10 17654.34 17397.85

    879.97 1079.72 1379.93 2039.53 2692.65 2917.82 3717.83

    97.53 184.97 225.48 691.29 1151.68 2330.30 2961.26

    977.50 1264.69 1605.41 2730.82 3844.33 5248.12 6679.09

    1473.36 1767.08 2152.21 2224.24 5104.77 12406.22 10718.76

    1.16 21.91 55.58 32.20 40.85 16.49

    4830.74 6174.50 7065.32 9475.68 16670.46 27121.75 35162.71

    1 1 1 1 1 1 1

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    2.51 2.40 2.34 1.81 2.33 3.36 2.60

    1.45 1.33 1.54 1.17 1.52 2.69 1.97

    0.10 0.08 0.13 0.06 0.36 1.67 0.78

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    0.06 0.08 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.14

    0.10 0.12 0.18 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.17

    0.07 0.10 0.15 0.11 0.10 0.13 0.13

    0.03 0.05 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.12 0.16

    0.05 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.08 0.09 0.12

    0.21 0.32 0.37 0.24 0.16 0.25 0.32

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    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    147.56 158.80 159.30

    12527.90 21854.56 21563.36

    12675.46 22013.36 21722.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    29026.16 21607.92 28900.48

    9754.94 10119.41 10344.73

    38781.10 31727.33 39245.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    1150.63 2349.48 2107.01

    319.52 379.18 418.11

    52926.71 56469.35 63492.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    46482.57 48452.64 51632.78

    (9032.56) (10263.78) (11722.26)

    37450.01 38188.86 39910.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    5031.16 5056.34 6777.59

    120.81

    425.32 395.02

    2713.56 2564.07 327.5245194.73 46355.40 47410.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    3816.64 5036.74 10456.94

    5956.10 6909.51 6912.78

    5044.12 5186.13 5204.47

    4854.92 5182.70 5653.70

    19671.78 22315.08 28227.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    7364.57 7535.25 7861.38

    4578.52 4665.88 4284.17

    11943.09 12201.13 12145.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    7728.69 10113.95 16082.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    3.29

    52926.71 56469.35 63492.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

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    1.65 1.83 2.32

    1.15 1.26 1.75

    0.32 0.41 0.86

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    0.14 0.14 0.16

    0.11 0.20 0.14

    0.06 0.16 0.08

    0.08 0.11 0.07

    0.05 0.08 0.04

    0.21 0.19 0.10

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    2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

    1 1 1 1 1

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    10

    CASH FLOW STATEMENT (in INR mn) 2000 2001

    Cash Flow from Operating Activities:

    Profit before tax and prior period items 105.38 129.79

    Adjustment for:Depreciation/Impairment 175.72 206.42

    Impairment of Goodwill - -

    Provision for iminution in the value of investments

    provision for doubtful debts

    Prior period item (Net) - -

    Profit/ (Loss) on sale of investments / Assets (0.69) -

    Profit on disposal of subsidiaries - -

    Gain/loss on disposal of assets - 19.01

    Bad debt/ irrecoverable advance w/off

    Interest Expense / income - -

    Amortization- deferred Revenue Expenditure 9.38 21.46

    Interest Income (Net) 349.60 413.33

    Dividend Income (1.93) (1.74)

    exceptional items

    Exchange difference 14.25 15.55

    Operating Profit before Working Capital changes 651.70 803.83

    Adjustment for:

    Changes in working capital

    Trade Receivables (sundry debtors) (68.51) 59.62

    Increse/(decrease) in Miscellaneous Expenditure (2.60) (60.40)Other Receivables (loans & advances) - -

    Inventories (9.00) (186.90)

    Trade and other payables 101.83 (26.51)

    Changes in other current assets - -

    Cash generated from Operations 673.43 589.64

    Income tax paid (net of refund) (2.17) 18.77

    Interest paid (336.57) (440.78)

    Net cash generated from operating activities 334.70 167.63

    Cash Flow from Investing Activities:

    Purchase of Fixed Assets (712.62) (456.18)

    Proceeds from sale of Fixed Assets 3.88 1.99

    Purchase of Investment 2.03 (0.44)

    Loan from/to Companies 45.45 6.70

    Sale of Investment - -

    Interest received 64.04 26.39

    Dividend received 1.93 1.74

    Cash outflow on additional stake in subsidiary - -

    Cash inflow arising on disposal of subsidiary - -

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    exceptional itms - -

    Net cash used in investing activities (595.30) (419.80)

    Cash Flow from Financing Activities

    Proceeds from long term borrowings 320.27 264.19

    Proceeds from short term borrowings - -

    Repayment of long term borrowings - -

    Repayment of short term borrowings - -EXCHANGE DIFFERENCE (14.25) (15.55)

    Interest Paid - -

    Dividend and Dividend tax paid and Provisions (35.82) (43.82)

    Net cash used in financing activities 270.20 204.82

    Net Inc/(Dec) in Cash and Cash Equivalents 9.60 (47.35)

    Cash and Cash Equivalents - bop 104.04 117.90

    Net effect of changes in exchange rate 4.25 -

    Cash and Cash Equivalents - eop 117.90 70.54

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    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    216.12 641.20 978.92 1,503.04 1,790.92

    254.33 237.45 321.98 347.70 441.55

    5.06 14.31 24.49 19.96

    2.23 11.99

    3.05 0.81 0.89 (10.53)

    15.80

    42.10 38.10 1.56 1.17

    (46.70) (2.96) (47.02)

    0.11 2.28 13.42 23.51

    407.42 402.50 357.55 213.19 146.63

    (1.26) (0.21) (3.19) (2.34)

    (9.47) (75.70)

    6.17 (22.57) (103.83) (61.49) 64.63

    938.50 1,299.84 1,538.66 1,959.39 2,428.48 - - -

    (120.51) (235.75) (621.87) (578.51) (1,085.39)

    (1.27) (24.19) (47.09) (0.13)

    (34.92) (321.07) 59.09 (479.25) (1,055.99)

    235.03 180.00 283.77 591.48 253.71

    1,018.10 921.75 1,235.46 1,446.02 540.68 - - -

    9.96 (54.20) (11.27) (174.51) (261.74)

    (453.92) (432.83) (395.75) (232.70) (110.45)

    574.14 434.72 828.44 1,038.81 168.49 - - -

    (390.82) (1,083.41) (823.77) (1,763.58) (2,393.30)

    12.20 25.36 (831.05) (1,395.10)

    (60.70) 14.57

    (59.15) (19.50) (14.50) (1.20) (49.00)

    41.10 15.74 11.39 6.38

    1.26 0.21 3.19 2.34

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    9.47 40.19

    (385.94) (1,123.42) (782.39) (2,581.25) (3,828.68) - - -

    (174.31) 745.66 199.21 19.30 1,578.50

    102.75

    (50.00) 1,508.86 3,169.11

    (44.63) (54.10) (136.45) (34.45) (189.43)

    (166.19) 691.56 62.76 1,493.71 4,558.18 - - -

    22.01 2.86 108.81 (48.73) 897.99 - - -

    70.54 92.55 99.54 208.35 159.62 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28

    4.13 24.67

    92.55 99.54 208.35 159.62 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28

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    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    - - - - - - - -

    - - - - - - - -

    - - - - - - - -

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    - - - - - - - -

    - - - - - - - -

    - - - - - - - -

    1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28

    1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28

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    2018 2019 2020

    - - -

    - - -

    - - -

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    - - -

    - - -

    - - -

    1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28

    1,082.28 1,082.28 1,082.28

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    Valuation Sheet

    FY 09

    DCF Summary 2000

    Net Income

    Depreciation

    Interest*(1-T)

    Capex

    Changes in working capital

    Free Cash Flow to Firm

    Date

    FCFF (explicit forecast)

    Terminal value

    Present value of "explicit forecast period" - till 2015E

    PV of Terminal Value

    Valuation Assumptions

    Terminal growth rate 5.0%

    Cost of debt 10.0%

    Beta 1.1Risk free rate (rf) 8.0%

    Market Premium 5.0%

    Cost of Equity

    WACC Calculation

    Total Debt

    Shareholders' equity

    Capitalization:Debt: Equity

    Debt: Total Capital

    Equity: Total Capital

    Cost of Equity

    WACC

    Hist

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    CB Research & Analytics Asian Paints Model

    EV Computation

    Present value of "explicit forecast period" - till 2015E

    PV of Terminal Value

    Total Valuation

    Less: Debt

    Less: Minority Interest

    Add: Cash and bank deposits

    Other adjustments:

    Add: Investments

    Add: Other non-operating assets

    Intrinsic Value (in mn)

    No of Shares (in mn)

    Share Price (INR)

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    FY 10 FY 11E FY 12E FY 13E FY 14E FY 15E

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    2012 2011 1905 1905 1905 1905

    rical Forecast

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    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

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    Peer Companies

    Debt

    CashMarket Price

    Shares Outstanding

    Equity Value

    Enterprise Value

    Capital Invested

    (In Crores)

    Sales

    Excise

    Net Sales

    COGS

    Total Expenses

    Operating Expenses

    EBITDA

    GP Margins

    EBITDA Margins

    Net Profit

    Net Profit Margins

    Total Assets

    Multiple Analysis

    P/E

    EV/Sales

    EV/EBITDA

    P/Sales

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