jtong presentation

8/6/2019 JTong Presentation

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/jtong-presentation 1/19



Bridging Science and Policy forlim h n Im n A i n

2



CMA/ NCC/ NCCC

China Meteorolo ical Administration

National Climate Center

3



China Meteorological

Administration (CMA)

Ministerial-level institution under theChinese State Council, est. 1949

organisational and operational

management of the nationalme eoro og ca serv ces as a w o e

Atmospheric Observation (EO)

IPCC C air

WMO Chair

4http:/ / www.cma.gov.cn/ en/



o eratin under CMA est. 1995

operates the Meteorological Service official climate modeling c imate researc or C ina

provides policy advice on climate,State Council

estimates economic value of climate

5

. . . .



National Center

on mate ange

Objectives to:

technology at professional and servicelevels

play a more active role of CMA’s reply toclimate change in China

enhance International cooperation

strengthen the decision-making and public

6serv ce unc ons o c ma e c ange.



Climate System modeling Division

Development of climate system model

Model evaluation

Atmospheric model Oceanic model

Other model

Monitorin & Detection Division

Climate monitoring & detection for contemporary eraHistorical climate monitoring & detection

Climate monitoring & detection for modern times

Monitorin & Dia nostics Division

Monitoring for ecology on land Monitoring & prediction for typhoon, ocean and ENSO

Climate monitoring & detection for variety of extreme climate eventsNCCC

Climate Prediction Division

Monthly climate predictionExtended-term forecast

Seasonal prediction Specialized climate prediction

Global extreme climate event monitoringMonitoring & prediction for general circulation and monsoon

Division of Climate Policy Support I PCC and policy support Advances in climate change research

Division of Climate Assessment &

Environment OperationClimate change impac t assessmentClimate change scenarios and forecast evalua tion

Division of Application ServiceDisaster impact and its forecast evaluation

Climate impact assessmentDrought monitoring & prediction

7

Climate resource Centre Cl imate resource and i ts eva luat ion Wind and solar energy eva luat ion



Weekly Predictions on dryness and wetness in China

8



Water and Climate Change Projections in

naAdaptation to Climate Change in Larger

nese ver as ns

Jiang Tong, Marco Gemmer, Su Buda, Li Xiucang

Zhai J ianqing, Liu Bo, Gao Chao and Tao Hui

9



Water and Climate Change Projections

in ChinaAdaptation to Climate Change in Larger

Chinese River Basins

Introduction

Data and methods

Water and Climate Change

Pro ections Adaptation to Climate Change

10



Introduction

Climate warming stared from 1980s in Chinaas ma e a requent roug t an oo s

which bring about billions in loss to agricultural.

11



Introduction

China is a seriously watershortage country, the totalvolume of fresh water

resources in China is 2.8 trillion3

6% in the world; However, per

ca ita volume of waterresources is only 1/4 of worldaverage because of the huge

.

Climate warmin has alread

worse such situation of watershortage.

12



Topography and Drainage Systems

13



Precipitation

Average Annual

1459.1 inch



Larger Chinese River Basins

15



Large Chinese River Basins

Cate. ICate. I IIII IIIIII

SonghuajiangSonghuajiang 8 188

LiaoheLiaohe 6 122

HaiheHaihe 4 155

HuangheHuanghe 8 299

HuaiheHuaihe 5 155

122 45522 455

SouthereastSouthereast 7 111

PearlPearl100 222

SouthwestSouthwest 6 144

NorthwestNorthwest 144 333

TotalTotal 8080 214214

16



Data and methods

483 observed meteorological stations with monthly

Center of China Meteorological Administration inChina during 1961-2000.

17



Data and methods

projected data of 3840 grids from ECHAM5/ MPI--

scenarios and 21st century (2001-2050) increasedCO2 concentration (B1, A1B and A2)

The resolution isdeveloped to 0.5*0.5with the interpolate

.

18



Observed Climate Chan e in China

World-wide

China

19

jtong presentation

Documents