john tirpak science coordinator, gcpolcc gcpolcc steering committee meeting seafwa conference, hot...
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John Tirpak
Science Coordinator, GCPOLCC
GCPOLCC Steering Committee Meeting
SEAFWA Conference, Hot Springs, AR
October 9, 2012
Adaptation Science Management Team
The GCPO LCC Approach to Applying an SHC Conservation Framework
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Objectives
• Provide Steering Committee an overview of the Adaptation Science Management Team Workshop
• Highlight key findings and recommendations from Adaptation Science Management Team
• Identify next steps and provide opportunity for Steering Committee feedback
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Outline
• Past– Function and structure of ASMT
• Present– Meeting in Starkville, MS
• Conservation frameworks• Conceptual models• Conservation targets
• Future– Recommendations– Next steps
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Gulf Coastal Plains & Ozarks LCC
• Mission– To define, design, and deliver landscapes
capable of sustaining natural and cultural resources at desired levels now and into the future
• Steering Committee– Guide direction and set broad goals of
GCPOLCC
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• Integrate priorities across resource perspectives
• Incorporate future change into current planning
Long-Term Goals
LCC GoalsLong- and Short-Term
Short-Term Goals• Highlight LCC’s functional role
• Demonstrate tangible relevance
• Work with partnerships
• Support underserved partners
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LCC GoalsProjects with LCC Involvement
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Questions
• All of these are “good” projects, but are they the “right” projects?
• Who thinks through the technical challenges associated with the goals of the Partnership?
• Who has the big picture in mind?– How do individual projects add up to a
meaningful whole?– How do we communicate that big picture?
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Adaptation Science Management Team
StructureFish Herps Birds Mammals
Aquatic Inverts Plants Cultural Water
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Adaptation Science Management Team
StructureFish Herps Birds Mammals
Aquatic Inverts Plants Cultural Water
East Gulf Coastal Plain
Interior Highlands
Mississippi Alluvial Valley
West Gulf Coastal Plain
Gulf Coast
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Adaptation Science Management Team
StructureFish Herps Birds Mammals
Aquatic Inverts Plants Cultural Water
East Gulf Coastal Plain
R R B M M R B M
Interior Highlands
M R M B R M M R
Mississippi Alluvial Valley
B B R M R M R M
West Gulf Coastal Plain
R B B R R R B R
Gulf Coast M M B M M R R B
FunctionalResearcherManager Both
OrganizationalFederalStateNGO/PrivatePartnership
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Populating the ASMT
• Solicited nomination by partners, partnerships, individuals
• Worked with Partnership Council to make initial selections
• Steering Committee approved final decisions
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Adaptation Science Management Team
Official Members Fish Herps Birds Mammals Aquatic
Inverts Plants Culture Water
East Gulf Coastal Plain/ South Atlantic-Gulf, Tennessee
Tim Churchill (TWRA)
Jessica Homyack (Weyerhaeuser)
Barry Grand (USGS-Auburn)
Darren Miller (Weyerhaeuser)
Jeff Powell (USFWS)
Alex Wyss (TNC)
Ken Ppool (MDAH)
Scott Gain (USGS)
Interior Highlands/Missouri, Ohio, Upper Mississippi
Mike Kruse (MDC)
Bill Sutton (SEPARC-UTK)
Todd Jones-Farrand (CHJV)
Shauna Marquardt (USFWS)
David Bowles (NPS)
Esther Stroh (USGS-CEEC)
VACANT Dan Magoulick - (USGS-UA)
Mississippi Alluvial Valley/ Lower Mississippi
Hal Schramm (USGS-MSU)
Hardin Waddle (USGS-NWRC)
Randy Wilson (USFWS)
Joe Clark (UTK) Wendell Haag (USFS)
Sammy King (USGS-LSU)
Margo Schwadron (NPS)
Ed Lambert (USACE)
West Gulf Coastal Plain/ Arkansas-Red-White, TX-Gulf
Lee Holt (AGFC)
Craig Rudolph (USFS)
Jonathan Thompson (LMVJV)
Chris Comer (SFA)
Tony Brady (USFWS)
Jason Singhurst (TPWD)
VACANT VACANT
Gulf Coast/TX-Gulf Glenn Constant (USFWS)
JJ Apodaca (SEPARC-FSU)
Mark Woodrey (MSU)
Jeff Duguay (LDWF)
Meg Goecker (NOAA)
Julie Whitbeck (NPS)
Tina Shumate (MDMR)
Mike Shelton (ADCNR)
Functional OrganizationalResearcher FederalManager StateAbout 50-50 NGO/Private
Partnership
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A Charge from Steering Committee
Notes from April 2012 SC Meeting• “Task the Adaptation Science Management Team to
report back to the Steering Committee on how the issues of nutrient management/water quality, wetlands and ecosystem services within the GCPO LCC landscape should be addressed and/or science combined to have greatest impact on the Gulf, particularly with respect to the hypoxia issue. These three issues should be considered three of a larger set that the ASMT may address within the entire GCPO landscape. The focus should include how these connections can drive the science, conservation planning and decision support tools needed to fill gaps for connecting the GCPO LCC to the Gulf. The ASMT should address questions such as, do these issues need to be tackled together or independently? What is out there right now in terms of research and tools? What is missing?”
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A Charge from Steering Committee
Notes from April 2012 SC Meeting• “Task the Adaptation Science Management Team to
report back to the Steering Committee on how the issues of nutrient management/water quality, wetlands and ecosystem services within the GCPO LCC landscape should be addressed and/or science combined to have greatest impact on the Gulf, particularly with respect to the hypoxia issue. These three issues should be considered three of a larger set that the ASMT may address within the entire GCPO landscape. The focus should include how these connections can drive the science, conservation planning and decision support tools needed to fill gaps for connecting the GCPO LCC to the Gulf. The ASMT should address questions such as, do these issues need to be tackled together or independently? What is out there right now in terms of research and tools? What is missing?”
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A Charge from Steering Committee
Notes from April 2012 SC Meeting• “Task the Adaptation Science Management Team to
report back to the Steering Committee on how the issues of nutrient management/water quality, wetlands and ecosystem services within the GCPO LCC landscape should be addressed and/or science combined to have greatest impact on the Gulf, particularly with respect to the hypoxia issue. These three issues should be considered three of a larger set that the ASMT may address within the entire GCPO landscape. The focus should include how these connections can drive the science, conservation planning and decision support tools needed to fill gaps for connecting the GCPO LCC to the Gulf. The ASMT should address questions such as, do these issues need to be tackled together or independently? What is out there right now in terms of research and tools? What is missing?”
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A Charge from Steering Committee
Notes from April 2012 SC Meeting• “Task the Adaptation Science Management Team to
report back to the Steering Committee on how the issues of nutrient management/water quality, wetlands and ecosystem services within the GCPO LCC landscape should be addressed and/or science combined to have greatest impact on the Gulf, particularly with respect to the hypoxia issue. These three issues should be considered three of a larger set that the ASMT may address within the entire GCPO landscape. The focus should include how these connections can drive the science, conservation planning and decision support tools needed to fill gaps for connecting the GCPO LCC to the Gulf. The ASMT should address questions such as, do these issues need to be tackled together or independently? What is out there right now in terms of research and tools? What is missing?”
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Initial Tasks for the ASMT
• Outline a Conservation Adaptation Strategy– What does SHC look like in the GCPOLCC?
• Prioritize science needed to develop and implement Conservation Adaptation Strategy– Develop a ‘Science Agenda’
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Adaptation Science Management Team
Inaugural Workshop• Three topics
– Conservation frameworks
– Conceptual models– Conservation
targets
• MSU-GRI– Starkville, MS– Sept 18-20, 2012
• ½ day, full day, ½ day
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Adaptation Science Management Team
Official Members Fish Herps Birds Mammals Aquatic
Inverts Plants Culture Water
East Gulf Coastal Plain/ South Atlantic-Gulf, Tennessee
Tim Churchill (TWRA)
Jessica Homyack (Weyerhaeuser)
Barry Grand (USGS-Auburn)
Darren Miller (Weyerhaeuser)
Jeff Powell (USFWS)
Alex Wyss (TNC)
Ken Ppool (MDAH)
Scott Gain (USGS)
Interior Highlands/Missouri, Ohio, Upper Mississippi
Mike Kruse (MDC)
Bill Sutton (SEPARC-UTK)
Todd Jones-Farrand (CHJV)
Shauna Marquardt (USFWS)
David Bowles (NPS)
Esther Stroh (USGS-CEEC)
VACANT Dan Magoulick - (USGS-UA)
Mississippi Alluvial Valley/ Lower Mississippi
Hal Schramm (USGS-MSU)
Hardin Waddle (USGS-NWRC)
Randy Wilson (USFWS)
Joe Clark (UTK) Wendell Haag (USFS)
Sammy King (USGS-LSU)
Margo Schwadron (NPS)
Ed Lambert (USACE)
West Gulf Coastal Plain/ Arkansas-Red-White, TX-Gulf
Lee Holt (AGFC)
Craig Rudolph (USFS)
Jonathan Thompson (LMVJV)
Chris Comer (SFA)
Tony Brady (USFWS)
Jason Singhurst (TPWD)
VACANT VACANT
Gulf Coast/TX-Gulf Glenn Constant (USFWS)
JJ Apodaca (SEPARC-FSU)
Mark Woodrey (MSU)
Jeff Duguay (LDWF)
Meg Goecker (NOAA)
Julie Whitbeck (NPS)
Tina Shumate (MDMR)
Mike Shelton (ADCNR)
Functional OrganizationalResearcher FederalManager StateAbout 50-50 NGO/Private
Partnership
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Adaptation Science Management Team
Meeting Attendees Fish Herps Birds Mammals Aquatic
Inverts Plants Culture Water
East Gulf Coastal Plain/ South Atlantic-Gulf, Tennessee
Ricky Campbell (USFWS)
Jessica Homyack (Weyerhaeuser)
No Proxy Darren Miller (Weyerhaeuser)
Jeff Powell (USFWS)
Alex Wyss (TNC)
Ken Ppool (MDAH)
Scott Gain (USGS)
Interior Highlands/Missouri, Ohio, Upper Mississippi
Mike Kruse (MDC)
Bill Sutton (SEPARC-UTK)
Todd Jones-Farrand (CHJV)
Shauna Marquardt (USFWS)
David Bowles (NPS)
Keith Grabner (USGS)
VACANT Dan Magoulick - (USGS-UA)
Mississippi Alluvial Valley/ Lower Mississippi
Hal Schramm (USGS-MSU)
Hardin Waddle (USGS-NWRC)
Randy Wilson (USFWS)
No Proxy Wendell Haag (USFS)
Brady Self (MSU)
No Proxy Ed Lambert (USACE)
West Gulf Coastal Plain/ Arkansas-Red-White, TX-Gulf
Lee Holt (AGFC)
Craig Rudolph (USFS)
Dan Twedt (USGS)
Chris Comer (SFA)
Tony Brady (USFWS)
Jason Singhurst (TPWD)
VACANT VACANT
Gulf Coast/TX-Gulf Glenn Constant (USFWS)
Keri Landry (LDWF)
Mark Woodrey (MSU)
Jeff Duguay (LDWF)
Meg Goecker (NOAA)
Julie Whitbeck (NPS)
No Proxy Mike Shelton (ADCNR)
Functional OrganizationalResearcher FederalManager StateAbout 50-50 NGO/Private
Partnership
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Adaptation Science Management Team
Meeting Attendees Fish Herps Birds Mammals Aquatic
Inverts Plants Culture Water
East Gulf Coastal Plain/ South Atlantic-Gulf, Tennessee
Ricky Campbell (USFWS)
Jessica Homyack (Weyerhaeuser)
No Proxy Darren Miller (Weyerhaeuser)
Jeff Powell (USFWS)
Alex Wyss (TNC)
Ken Ppool (MDAH)
Scott Gain (USGS)
Interior Highlands/Missouri, Ohio, Upper Mississippi
Mike Kruse (MDC)
Bill Sutton (SEPARC-UTK)
Todd Jones-Farrand (CHJV)
Shauna Marquardt (USFWS)
David Bowles (NPS)
Keith Grabner (USGS)
VACANT Dan Magoulick - (USGS-UA)
Mississippi Alluvial Valley/ Lower Mississippi
Hal Schramm (USGS-MSU)
Hardin Waddle (USGS-NWRC)
Randy Wilson (USFWS)
No Proxy Wendell Haag (USFS)
Brady Self (MSU)
No Proxy Ed Lambert (USACE)
West Gulf Coastal Plain/ Arkansas-Red-White, TX-Gulf
Lee Holt (AGFC)
Craig Rudolph (USFS)
Dan Twedt (USGS)
Chris Comer (SFA)
Tony Brady (USFWS)
Jason Singhurst (TPWD)
VACANT VACANT
Gulf Coast/TX-Gulf Glenn Constant (USFWS)
Keri Landry (LDWF)
Mark Woodrey (MSU)
Jeff Duguay (LDWF)
Meg Goecker (NOAA)
Julie Whitbeck (NPS)
No Proxy Mike Shelton (ADCNR)
Functional OrganizationalResearcher FederalManager StateAbout 50-50 NGO/Private
Partnership
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Adaptation Science Management Team
Meeting Attendees Fish Herps Birds Mammals Aquatic
Inverts Plants Culture Water
East Gulf Coastal Plain/ South Atlantic-Gulf, Tennessee
Ricky Campbell (USFWS)
Jessica Homyack (Weyerhaeuser)
No Proxy Darren Miller (Weyerhaeuser)
Jeff Powell (USFWS)
Alex Wyss (TNC)
Ken Ppool (MDAH)
Scott Gain (USGS)
Interior Highlands/Missouri, Ohio, Upper Mississippi
Mike Kruse (MDC)
Bill Sutton (SEPARC-UTK)
Todd Jones-Farrand (CHJV)
Shauna Marquardt (USFWS)
David Bowles (NPS)
Keith Grabner (USGS)
VACANT Dan Magoulick - (USGS-UA)
Mississippi Alluvial Valley/ Lower Mississippi
Hal Schramm (USGS-MSU)
Hardin Waddle (USGS-NWRC)
Randy Wilson (USFWS)
No Proxy Wendell Haag (USFS)
Brady Self (MSU)
No Proxy Ed Lambert (USACE)
West Gulf Coastal Plain/ Arkansas-Red-White, TX-Gulf
Lee Holt (AGFC)
Craig Rudolph (USFS)
Dan Twedt (USGS)
Chris Comer (SFA)
Tony Brady (USFWS)
Jason Singhurst (TPWD)
VACANT VACANT
Gulf Coast/TX-Gulf Glenn Constant (USFWS)
Keri Landry (LDWF)
Mark Woodrey (MSU)
Jeff Duguay (LDWF)
Meg Goecker (NOAA)
Julie Whitbeck (NPS)
No Proxy Mike Shelton (ADCNR)
Functional Organizational ProxyResearcher FederalManager StateAbout 50-50 NGO/Private
Partnership
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Adaptation Science Management Team
Meeting Attendees Fish Herps Birds Mammals Aquatic
Inverts Plants Culture Water
East Gulf Coastal Plain/ South Atlantic-Gulf, Tennessee
Ricky Campbell (USFWS)
Jessica Homyack (Weyerhaeuser)
No Proxy Darren Miller (Weyerhaeuser)
Jeff Powell (USFWS)
Alex Wyss (TNC)
Ken Ppool (MDAH)
Scott Gain (USGS)
Interior Highlands/Missouri, Ohio, Upper Mississippi
Mike Kruse (MDC)
Bill Sutton (SEPARC-UTK)
Todd Jones-Farrand (CHJV)
Shauna Marquardt (USFWS)
David Bowles (NPS)
Keith Grabner (USGS)
VACANT Dan Magoulick - (USGS-UA)
Mississippi Alluvial Valley/ Lower Mississippi
Hal Schramm (USGS-MSU)
Hardin Waddle (USGS-NWRC)
Randy Wilson (USFWS)
No Proxy Wendell Haag (USFS)
Brady Self (MSU)
No Proxy Ed Lambert (USACE)
West Gulf Coastal Plain/ Arkansas-Red-White, TX-Gulf
Lee Holt (AGFC)
Craig Rudolph (USFS)
Dan Twedt (USGS)
Chris Comer (SFA)
Tony Brady (USFWS)
Jason Singhurst (TPWD)
VACANT VACANT
Gulf Coast/TX-Gulf Glenn Constant (USFWS)
Keri Landry (LDWF)
Mark Woodrey (MSU)
Jeff Duguay (LDWF)
Meg Goecker (NOAA)
Julie Whitbeck (NPS)
No Proxy Mike Shelton (ADCNR)
Functional Organizational ProxyResearcher Federal Remote Manager StateAbout 50-50 NGO/Private
Partnership
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Outline
• Past– Function and structure of ASMT
• Present– Meeting in Starkville, MS
• Conservation frameworks• Conceptual models• Conservation targets
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Conservation FrameworkDefined
• A group of logical categories for organizing conservation activities
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Conservation FrameworkStrategic Habitat Conservation
• Strategic Habitat Conservation is the approach endorsed by Steering Committee
Biological Planning Unit
Priority Species
Population Objectives
Limiting Factors
Species/Habitat Models
Landscape/Habitat Assessment
Assessment of Conservation Estate
Decision Support Tools
Habitat Objectives
Integrate Multiple Species Objectives
Conservation Treatments
Program Objectives
Conservation Tracking System
Habitat Inventory and Monitoring Program
Population Monitoring Program
Species/Habitat Model Assumptions
Conservation Treatment Assumptions
Keyfactor/Sensitivity Analyses
Spatial Data AnalysesAss
um
pti
on
-dri
ven
R
esea
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Crustacea Mollusks Plants Cultures
Bio
log
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Pla
nn
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Co
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rvat
ion
Des
ign
Del
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Ou
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GCPOLCC Operational Compass: Sustaining Natural and Cultural Resources Through Science, Technology and Partnerships
SHC Element Sub-element/Product Birds Mammals Reptiles Amphibia Fish Insects
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Key Question to ASMT
• How do we apply and adopt the broad SHC framework to the mission of the GCPOLCC?– What are valuable elements of a stepped-
down conservation framework?
• Explore approaches from multiple LCCs– Gulf Coastal Plains & Ozarks – Prediction – North Atlantic – Toolbox – Peninsular Florida – Scenario Planning– South Atlantic – Optimization
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Initial Feedback
• An overarching modeling framework is something to pursue in the very near term– Decision context for models is critical
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Initial Feedback
• “As simple as possible, but no simpler”
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Preliminary Recommendation
• Pursue a modeling approach that incorporates scenario planning and explicitly ties projections to specific conservation decisions
-Einstein
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Outline
• Past– Function and structure of ASMT
• Present– Meeting in Starkville, MS
• Conservation frameworks• Conceptual models
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Conceptual ModelDefined
• Tool to represent, communicate, and analyze the structure, function, and hierarchical relationships of systems
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Objective of Conceptual Modeling
• Level the information playing field– Developing conceptual models
collaboratively allows us collectively to see the system similarly
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Why is that Important?
• Mission of LCC– Define, design, and deliver landscapes
capable of sustaining natural and cultural resources at desired levels now and into the future
• This requires us to see the system holistically– Connections among resource interests– Identification of key drivers, stressors, and
endpoints in the system
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Developing Conceptual ModelsSteps
• Henderson and O’Neil – Identify objectives
and uses of the model
– Delineate spatial and temporal scales
– Identify structural components of system
– Identify the sources of change in the system
• Henderson and O’Neil (2004)
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Objective of Conceptual Modeling
• Level the information playing field– Developing conceptual models
collaboratively allows us collectively to see the system similarly• Identify and organize system components• Identify relationships among these components• Effectively communicate system complexity
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Applications of Conceptual Model
• Integrate information across disciplines• Assess knowledge gaps and prioritize
science needs• Identify appropriate conservation
targets
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Developing Conceptual ModelsSteps
• Henderson and O’Neil – Identify objectives
and uses of the model
– Delineate spatial and temporal scales
• Henderson and O’Neil (2004)
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Spatial Scale
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Developing Conceptual ModelsSteps
• Henderson and O’Neil – Identify objectives
and uses of the model
– Delineate spatial and temporal scales
– Identify structural components of system
• Henderson and O’Neil (2004)
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Developing Conceptual ModelsSteps
• Henderson and O’Neil – Identify objectives
and uses of the model
– Delineate spatial and temporal scales
– Identify structural components of system
• Henderson and O’Neil (2004)
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Structural Components of the Model
• Henderson and O’Neil – Drivers– Stressors– Essential Ecosystem
Characteristics– Endpoints
• Henderson and O’Neil (2004)
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Model ComponentsDrivers
• Natural or anthropogenic factors that cause change in environmental conditions
• Climate change• Agriculture• Urbanization• Recreation• Transportation• Resource extraction• Others
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Model ComponentsStressors
• Physical, chemical, and biological changes that result from natural and human-caused forces (drivers) and effect other changes in ecosystem structure and function
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Model ComponentsStressors
• Examples stressors from urbanization (driver)– Forest fragmentation
• More edge, smaller patch sizes, loss of connectivity
– Increase in invasive species– Altered disturbance regimes
• Timing, duration, extent, frequency
– Increased water temperature– Altered flow
• Reduced flow, increased flashiness
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Model ComponentsEssential Ecosystem
Characteristics• Major components that stressors act
upon– Broad Habitat Types (USFWS &
NatureServe)
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Model ComponentsEndpoints
• Measureable ecosystem structures or functions that are considered ecologically significant and important to the public
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Model ComponentsEndpoints
• Endpoints occur at multiple organizational levels– Ecosystem
• Ecologically important processes
– Landscape• Spatial and temporal patterns of habitat
– Community• Biotic diversity and composition
– Species• Ecological role (habitat, functional, etc.)
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Developing Conceptual ModelsSteps
• Henderson and O’Neil – Identify objectives
and uses of the model
– Delineate spatial and temporal scales
– Identify structural components of system
– Identify the sources of change in the system
• Henderson and O’Neil (2004)
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Initial Feedback
• Conceptual modeling was a useful process for simplifying system complexity and narrowing down on science needs related to landscape-scale stressors and change
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Initial Feedback
• Fragmentation was top stressor in terrestrial systems
• Altered hydrology was top stressor in aquatic systems
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Preliminary Recommendation
• Invest LCC science capacity and funding on characterizing response of hydrology and fragmentation to key drivers across GCPO landscape
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Outline
• Past– Function and structure of ASMT
• Present– Meeting in Starkville, MS
• Conservation frameworks• Conceptual models• Conservation targets
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Model ComponentsEndpoints
• Endpoints can occur at multiple organizational levels– Ecosystem
• Ecologically important processes
– Landscape• Spatial and temporal patterns of habitat
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Model ComponentsEndpoints
• Endpoints can occur at multiple organizational levels– Ecosystem
• Ecologically important processes
– Landscape• Spatial and temporal patterns of habitat
– Community• Biotic diversity and composition
– Species• Ecological role (habitat, functional, etc.)
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Conservation TargetsSpecies-level Endpoints
• Benefits– Strategic focus for conservation activities
• Planning and design• Management objectives• Monitoring programs
– Increased accountability and transparency– Offer a measureable biological response
tied directly to many agencies’ and organizations’ specific interests
– Connect individual species to ecosystem functions• Help link partners’ conservation priorities
–
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Species Conservation TargetsA Case Study from WGCP Open Pine• A vision for bird
conservation in WGCP open pine– Broadly described
desired state for pine
– What is specifically needed
– How much is needed
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West Gulf Coastal PlainOpen Pine Habitat
• Open pine priority– Forest, woodlands, and savannas
comprised mostly of pine with low basal area, open canopies and dense herbaceous understories in large interconnected blocks• How much pine?• How low does the basal area need to be?• How open the canopy?• How much understory?• How large the forest block?• How interconnected?
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West Gulf Coastal Plain Open Pine
Targets to Objectives• Setting
population objectives for species limited by desired habitat conditions provides habitat objectives as well
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An Outlined Process for the LCC
• Identify habitat types• Broadly describe desired states for each
habitat type• Identify species that respond to limiting
habitat conditions reflected in desired states– Quantify and document
relationships/thresholds
• Establish population objectives for species– Translate into habitat objectives
• Review and revise
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Surrogate SpeciesUSFWS Technical Guidance
• Clearly specify conservation objectives for surrogate species selection approach
• Identify geographic scale• Determine which species to consider• Select criteria to use in selecting
surrogate species• Establish surrogates
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Surrogate SpeciesUSFWS Technical Guidance
• Identify species requiring special attention
• Identify population objectives• Test for logic and consistency• Identify knowledge gaps and
uncertainties• Monitor the effectiveness of the
approach
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Connection Between Efforts
• USFWS is hosting Surrogate Species workshops in October– October 2-3, 2012 in Memphis, TN– October 24-25, 2012 in Lafayette, LA
• The Service would likely welcome the LCC’s leadership on species selection– Greg and I are attending both workshops
• The LCC can express its willingness to help– We have the outline of a process in place– We have a partner-based technical team in
place
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Initial Feedback
• There is value in using species as endpoints to define and design conservation
• If FWS is pursuing this approach, we need to align these efforts as much as possible
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Preliminary RecommendationConservation Targets
• Steering Committee endorses ASMT’s desire to use species endpoints to guide conservation design and align that with USFWS Surrogate Species effort
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Outline
• Past– Function and structure of ASMT
• Present– Meeting in Starkville, MS
• Conservation frameworks• Conceptual models• Conservation targets
• Future– Recommendations– Next steps
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Recommendations and Next Steps
Conservation Frameworks• Pursue a modeling approach that
incorporates scenario planning and explicitly ties projections to specific conservation decisions
• Next steps for ASMT– Identify clear decision contexts
• What kinds of decisions will this model inform?• How will this information specifically be used?
– Craft and circulate an RFP
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Preliminary RecommendationConceptual Models
• Invest LCC science capacity and funding on characterizing response of hydrology and fragmentation to key drivers across GCPO landscape
• Next Steps for ASMT– Review information from workshop
• Evaluate key drivers identified
– Identify additional conceptual models to complete
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Preliminary RecommendationConservation Targets
• Steering Committee endorses ASMT’s desire to use species endpoints to guide conservation design and align that with USFWS Surrogate Species effort
• Next steps for Steering Committee– Extend LCC’s offer to USFWS
• Next step for ASMT– Identify habitats and desired states for
them– Identify species that reflect desired
conditions– Document uncertainties in conservation
design
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GCPO LCC Science AgendaOutline
• Mission• Strategic Habitat Conservation
framework• Geographic constructs• Conceptual models
– Drivers, stressors, habitats, endpoints
• Modeling approach– Desired characteristics
• Key uncertainties– Planning and design
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ASMT Participant Feedback
• A large majority felt they were vested in the GCPOLCC and would participate in future meetings
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ASMT Participant Feedback
• A vast majority found the workshop a valuable use of their time and would like to meet at least annually