john plunkett presentation to the vermont systems planning committee south burlington, vt

*FORECAST 20Electricity Savings in Vermont From 20 Years of Continued End-Use Efficiency Investment

John Plunkett Presentation to The Vermont Systems Planning Committee South Burlington, VTDecember 9, 2009

*OverviewForecast ResultsStatewideResidentialBusinessZonalBudgetsCost Benefit AnalysisMethodologyMajor Drivers of ChangeCodes & StandardsCFLs vs. SSLSensitivity AnalysisConclusion & Recommendations

*The Big Picture963 GWh / year by 2027

188 MW / year Summer Peak by 2027

160 MW / year Winter Peak by 2027

Societal TestElectric System TestPV of Net Benefits ($M)$1,719$1,016Benefit-Cost Ratio4.113.47

*Comments Received

*50 / 50 Zonal ForecastRedone, based on sector energy dataAdditional appendix item will include details

*From VELCOQuestion: How to apply study resultsResponse: The conclusion and recommendations section now include detailed application instructions

Comment: Inclusion of the 90 / 10 zonal forecastResponse: The report now includes this

*From GMP and DPSAddressed in report as appropriate

Memo by end of week to answer any remaining comments and questions

*Statewide Electric Forecasts

*Projected Growth Rates

YearsENERGY (GWh)SUMMER PEAK (MW)VELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSM2008-20120.8%1.3%(0.5)%1.2%1.6%0.3%2013-20170.7%1.1%0.2%0.9%1.3%0.2%2018-20271.0%1.6%1.6%1.2%1.6%1.4%2008-20270.8%1.4%0.7%1.1%1.5%0.8%

*Statewide Energy ForecastStatewide Energy Forecast

*Summer Peak Demand ForecastSummer Peak Demand Forecast

*Winter Peak Demand ForecastWinter Peak Demand Forecast

*90 / 10 Scenario DevelopmentAssumed substantial reductions in yields in all markets:

Lower kWh per $ of program investment

Lower summer peak kW per kWh saved

*90 / 10 Forecast Results

YearsSUMMER PEAK (MW)VELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSM2008-20121.2%1.6%1.0%2013-20170.9%1.3%0.9%2018-20271.2%1.6%1.5%2008-20271.1%1.5%1.2%

*90 / 10 Summer Peak Demand Savings Forecast

*Residential Forecasts

*Projected Residential Growth Rates

YearsENERGY (GWh)SUMMER PEAK (MW)VELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSM2008-20120.8%1.1%(1.8%)1.9%1.7%0.1%2013-20170.7%0.8%0.5%1.6%1.3%0.4%2018-20271.2%2.0%3.0%1.7%2.0%2.5%2008-20270.8%1.3%1.0%1.7%1.6%1.3%

*Residential Electric Energy Requirements

*Residential Summer Peak Demand Forecast

*Residential Winter Peak Demand Forecast

*Residential Incremental MWh Saved, by End Use

*Residential Cumulative MWh Saved, by End Use

*Residential Incremental Summer Peak MW Saved, by End Use

*Residential Cumulative Summer Peak MW Saved, by End Use

*Business Forecasts

*Projected Business Growth Rates

YearsENERGY (GWh)SUMMER PEAK (MW)VELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSM2008-20120.8%1.4%0.2%0.8%1.6%0.4%2013-20170.7%1.3%0.1%0.6%1.3%0.0%2018-20270.9%1.4%0.8%0.8%1.4%0.8%2008-20270.8%1.4%0.4%0.8%1.4%0.5%

*Business Electric Energy Requirements

*Business Summer Peak Demand Forecast

*Business Winter Peak Demand Forecast

*Business Incremental MWh Saved, by End Use

*Business Cumulative MWh Saved, by End Use

*Business Incremental Summer Peak MW Saved, by End Use

*Business Cumulative Summer Peak MW Saved, by End Use

*Zonal Forecasts

*Vermont Potential Load Zones

*

VT Marble

Vermont Marble Usage Summary by Sector (Less OMYA)

KWHTot

20072008Jan - Sept. 2009

Commercial2,995,4242,990,9041,729,119

Residential7,422,1936,563,3913,316,399

Grand Total10,417,6179,554,2955,045,518

OMYA (from DPS)217,791,043207,477,710

FERC-2007 kWh

PUBLIC SERVICE DEPARTMENT (PSD)

STATE OF VERMONT

KWH Unit Sales 2007-State of Vermont

Other and

Public StreetPublicTotal Kwh SalesKwh Sales

ResidentialCommercialIndustrial& HighwayAuthoritiesto Ultimate Consumersfor Resale

Companykwh# Cust.Kwh#Cust.Kwh#Cust.kwhkwhkwhTotal Custkwh

Barton10,816,6671,9523,230,1191680.00.099,602893,66215,040,0502,1510.015,040,050

Burlington Electric Dept (BED)90,623,45216,210219,672,1383,70950,340,38433,949,6850.0364,585,65919,9220.0364,585,659

Central Vermont Public Service (CVPS)1,003,055,000135,591885,713,00022,106425,356,000376,233,00017,0002,320,374,000157,909680,338,0003,000,712,000

Enosburg Falls13,191,2501,4161,671,0771137,216,601210.01,630,67923,709,6071,5930.023,709,607

Green Mountain Power580,895,00079,155710,950,00014,240675,479,000294,339,00057,0001,971,720,00093,479209,461,0002,181,181,000

Hardwick23,120,1353,8114,160,1433654,248,62123145,13250,09531,724,1264,2170.031,724,126

Hyde Park8,593,6951,1492,811,5501190.00.081,312559,39312,045,9501,3510.012,045,950

Jacksonville3,543,090634623,56951965,35640.00.05,132,0156890.05,132,015

Johnson5,370,7747391,240,590988,102,668166,889371,47315,092,3948910.015,092,394

Ludlow16,244,1883,00421,387,88668514,082,9243419,07068,18252,202,2503,6960.052,202,250

Lyndonville33,055,6404,71910,080,46072027,323,35845515,6660.070,975,1245,4840.070,975,124

Morrisville20,344,5253,24024,520,8435400.00.0239,6240.045,104,9923,7810.045,104,992

Northfield10,733,8201,6512,790,09117613,244,97717267,5401,971,13929,007,5672,2830.029,007,567

Orleans4,075,3645871,546,819676,777,60010.0550,11212,949,8956750.012,949,895

Readsboro1,645,744267266,46543279,668984,5040.02,276,3813190.02,276,381

Stowe21,952,2693,13636,749,4816749,350,3431296,8494,063,46472,412,4063,8640.072,412,406

Swanton25,648,3953,11328,921,0804240.00.0319,1400.054,888,6153,5402,532,66057,421,275

Vermont Electric Coop (VEC).227,219,68433,833115,846,8942,959103,569,37991,178,1596,816,729454,630,84537,23941,544,000496,174,845

Vermont Marble6,410,7828054,657,15376217,791,043298,4000.0228,957,37889021,905,279250,862,657

Washington Electric Coop (WEC)62,491,08210,0583,488,1832683,356,227120.00.069,335,49210,3380.069,335,492

Total2,169,030,556305,0702,080,327,54147,6011,567,484,14923218,273,57217,048,9285,852,164,746354,311955,780,9396,807,945,685

14%

NOTES:

NLG

FILE: Revenue & Usage 2007.xls

1_MWhUsage

April 2007 - March 2008

SectorLoadZoneZoneAnnualMWh

CommercialANewport78432

CommercialBSt. Albans114287

CommercialCJohnson35513

CommercialDMorrisville81185

CommercialEMontpelier216865

CommercialFSt. Johnsbury72583

GBED219672

CommercialHIBM235147

CommercialIChittenden\Addison GMP483245

CommercialJMiddlebury67817

CommercialKCentral - Barnard168301

LFlorence4657

CommercialMRutland253391

CommercialNAscutney79509

CommercialOSouthern338109

CommercialPHighgate55609

IndustrialANewport41896

IndustrialBSt. Albans92793

IndustrialCJohnson131828

DMorrisville0

IndustrialEMontpelier81405

IndustrialFSt. Johnsbury21320

GBED50340

HIBM0

IndustrialIChittenden\Addison GMP107021

IndustrialJMiddlebury53032

IndustrialKCentral - Barnard40694

LFlorence217791

IndustrialMRutland106824

IndustrialNAscutney13494

IndustrialOSouthern152244

IndustrialPHighgate60231

ResidentialANewport90991

ResidentialBSt. Albans149095

ResidentialCJohnson85195

ResidentialDMorrisville79066

ResidentialEMontpelier247022

ResidentialFSt. Johnsbury83022

GBED90623

HIBM0

ResidentialIChittenden\Addison GMP342122

ResidentialJMiddlebury79709

ResidentialKCentral - Barnard221348

LFlorence6411

ResidentialMRutland282964

ResidentialNAscutney94973

ResidentialOSouthern355740

ResidentialPHighgate72718

Subtotal5366740

Total5366740

100%

Source qry: 3b_MWhUsagexSectorxZone

BED

Energy Forecast (50/50 Weather)

ResidentialCom & IndLightingSystemAdjustedResidentialCom & IndTotalEnergy Use

YearEnergy UseEnergy UseEnergy UseEnergy UseAirportLF GasEnergy UseDSMDSMDSMAfter DSM

(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)(MWH)

2007(918)(2,608)(3,525)

200895,208279,7923,950378,950(7,169)(911)370,869(2,119)(6,022)(8,142)362,728

200995,610281,7503,950381,310(7,214)(911)373,185(3,454)(9,816)(13,271)359,914

201096,288284,1813,950384,419(7,273)(911)376,235(5,123)(14,558)(19,682)356,553

201197,002286,7333,950387,686(7,334)(911)379,440(6,946)(19,737)(26,683)352,757

201298,382290,0533,950392,385(7,423)(911)384,050(8,949)(25,428)(34,376)349,674

201399,070292,0203,950395,040(7,474)(911)386,655(10,774)(30,615)(41,390)345,265

201499,680294,6423,950398,272(7,535)(911)389,826(12,509)(35,547)(48,057)341,769

2015100,241296,9943,950401,185(7,590)(911)392,684(14,211)(40,404)(54,615)338,069

2016101,250299,8633,950405,063(7,663)(911)396,488(15,819)(45,148)(60,967)335,522

2017101,490301,8593,950407,299(7,706)(911)398,682(17,344)(49,859)(67,204)331,478

2018101,944304,2713,950410,165(7,760)(911)401,494(18,791)(54,452)(73,243)328,250

2019102,591306,5993,950413,140(7,816)(911)404,413(20,141)(59,004)(79,145)325,268

2020103,699310,0013,950417,651(7,901)(911)408,838(21,370)(63,473)(84,844)323,995

2021103,597311,8763,950419,423(7,935)(911)410,577(22,544)(67,851)(90,395)320,182

2022104,071314,5543,950422,575(7,995)(911)413,669(23,771)(72,185)(95,956)317,713

2023104,466317,1603,950425,577(8,051)(911)416,614(24,858)(76,401)(101,259)315,355

2024105,320320,2863,950429,556(8,127)(911)420,518(25,944)(80,843)(106,787)313,731

2025105,272322,1153,950431,337(8,160)(911)422,265(27,036)(84,769)(111,805)310,460

2026105,676324,2563,950433,882(8,208)(911)424,762(28,179)(89,024)(117,202)307,560

2027106,051326,3013,950436,302(8,254)(911)427,136(29,162)(92,835)(121,997)305,139

Summer Peak Forecast (50/50 Weather)

ResidentialCom & IndLightingSystemAdjustedResidentialCom & IndTotalSummer Peak

YearCP-kWCP-kWCP-kWSummer PeakAirportLF GasSummer PeakDSMDSMDSMAfter DSM

(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)

2007------(0.4)Res DSMC/I DSM

200815.255.40.070.6(1.1)(0.2)69.3-0.37-0.51(1.0)67.539%53%

200915.556.10.071.6(1.1)(0.2)70.3-0.61-0.83(1.6)67.3

201015.756.80.072.4(1.1)(0.2)71.1-0.90-1.23(2.3)66.7

201115.757.50.073.2(1.1)(0.2)71.9-1.22-1.67(3.1)65.9

201215.857.50.073.3(1.1)(0.2)71.9-1.58-2.15(4.1)64.2

201315.958.30.074.2(1.2)(0.2)72.8-1.90-2.59(4.9)63.5

201416.358.50.074.8(1.2)(0.2)73.4-2.20-3.01(5.7)62.5

201516.558.80.075.3(1.2)(0.2)73.9-2.50-3.42(6.4)61.6

201616.559.80.076.3(1.2)(0.2)74.9-2.79-3.82(7.2)61.1

201716.760.30.077.0(1.2)(0.2)75.6-3.08-4.21(7.9)60.4

201816.660.50.077.1(1.2)(0.2)75.7-3.36-4.59(8.6)59.1

201916.760.90.077.6(1.2)(0.2)76.2-3.63-4.96(9.3)58.2

202017.261.00.078.2(1.2)(0.2)76.8-3.89-5.32(10.0)57.6

202117.361.70.079.0(1.2)(0.2)77.6-4.14-5.66(10.7)57.1

202217.362.50.079.8(1.2)(0.2)78.3-4.40-6.01(11.3)56.6

202317.463.10.080.4(1.3)(0.2)79.0-4.64-6.34(12.0)56.0

202417.363.20.080.5(1.3)(0.2)79.1-4.89-6.69(12.6)54.9

202517.663.40.081.0(1.3)(0.2)79.5-5.12-7.00(13.2)54.2

202617.863.80.081.7(1.3)(0.2)80.2-5.37-7.34(13.8)53.6

202718.064.20.082.2(1.3)(0.2)80.7-5.59-7.64(14.4)53.0

Winter Peak Forecast (50/50 Weather)

ResidentialCom & IndLightingSystemAdjustedResidentialCom & IndTotalWinter Peak

YearCP-kWCP-kWCP-kWWinter PeakAirportLF GasWinter PeakDSMDSMDSMAfter DSM

(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)

2007------(0.4)Res DSMC/I DSM

200816.936.90.854.6(1.0)(0.2)53.4-0.78-0.26(1.0)51.375%25%

200916.837.60.955.3(1.0)(0.2)54.1-1.27-0.42(1.7)50.7

201017.037.90.955.8(1.0)(0.2)54.6-1.88-0.62(2.5)49.6

201117.338.20.856.3(1.0)(0.2)55.1-2.55-0.84(3.4)48.3

201217.638.20.856.6(1.0)(0.2)55.4-3.28-1.09(4.4)46.7

201317.239.00.857.1(1.0)(0.2)55.9-3.95-1.31(5.3)45.4

201417.439.40.957.6(1.0)(0.2)56.4-4.59-1.52(6.1)44.2

201517.539.70.958.1(1.0)(0.2)56.8-5.21-1.73(6.9)42.9

201617.839.50.958.2(1.0)(0.2)57.0-5.82-1.93(7.7)41.5

201717.940.40.859.1(1.0)(0.2)57.9-6.41-2.12(8.5)40.8

201817.640.80.859.2(1.1)(0.2)57.9-6.99-2.31(9.3)39.3

201917.741.10.859.6(1.1)(0.2)58.3-7.55-2.50(10.1)38.2

202018.041.20.860.0(1.1)(0.2)58.7-8.10-2.68(10.8)37.2

202118.041.80.960.6(1.1)(0.2)59.4-8.63-2.86(11.5)36.4

202218.242.20.861.2(1.1)(0.2)59.9-9.16-3.03(12.2)35.5

202318.442.60.861.7(1.1)(0.2)60.4-9.66-3.20(12.9)34.7

202418.242.50.861.5(1.1)(0.2)60.2-10.19-3.37(13.6)33.1

202518.143.20.962.1(1.1)(0.2)60.8-10.67-3.53(14.2)32.4

202618.243.50.962.6(1.1)(0.2)61.2-11.18-3.70(14.9)31.5

202718.343.80.963.1(1.1)(0.2)61.7-11.64-3.85(15.5)30.7

Summer Peak Forecast (90/10 Weather)

ResidentialCom & IndLightingSystemAdjustedResidentialCom & IndTotalSummer Peak

YearCP-kWCP-kWCP-kWSummer PeakAirportLF GasSummer PeakDSMDSMDSMAfter DSM

(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)(MW)

2007------(0.4)

2008---------75.0(1.1)(0.2)73.7------(1.0)72.7106%

2009---------76.0(1.1)(0.2)74.7------(1.6)73.1106%

2010---------76.9(1.1)(0.2)75.6------(2.3)73.2106%

2011---------77.7(1.1)(0.2)76.4------(3.1)73.2106%

2012---------77.8(1.1)(0.2)76.5------(4.1)72.4106%

2013---------78.8(1.2)(0.2)77.4------(4.9)72.5106%

2014---------79.4(1.2)(0.2)78.0------(5.7)72.4106%

2015---------80.0(1.2)(0.2)78.6------(6.4)72.2106%

2016---------81.0(1.2)(0.2)79.6------(7.2)72.4106%

2017---------81.8(1.2)(0.2)80.4------(7.9)72.4106%

2018---------81.8(1.2)(0.2)80.4------(8.6)71.8106%

2019---------82.4(1.2)(0.2)80.9------(9.3)71.6106%

2020---------83.0(1.2)(0.2)81.6------(10.0)71.6106%

2021---------83.9(1.2)(0.2)82.4------(10.7)71.8106%

2022---------84.7(1.2)(0.2)83.2------(11.3)71.9106%

2023---------85.4(1.3)(0.2)83.9------(12.0)72.0106%

2024---------85.5(1.3)(0.2)84.0------(12.6)71.4106%

2025---------86.0(1.3)(0.2)84.5------(13.2)71.3106%

2026---------86.7(1.3)(0.2)85.2------(13.8)71.4106%

2027---------87.2(1.3)(0.2)85.8------(14.4)71.4106%

Energy and Peak at BED border

3.05% added to customer meter level to get to BED border

103.05%factor

&LBURLINGTION ELECTRIC DEPARTMENT&"Book Antiqua,Bold"2008 IRP Forecast: Base Case Economy, High Case DSM&R&D

&C&P

BED:This sector includes sales to about 45 commercial customers at the Burlington airport.

BED:BED base case system energy forecast. Includes load to serve the City of Burlington and the Burlington International Airport.

Source:BED 2008 Integrated Resource PlanTable 3-4: System Peak & Energy forecast, pg. 40

BED:BED serves individual customers at the Airport, and provides energy efficiency programs to these customers. But this is not part of Load Zone G, so it would need to be subtracted out. There are no residential customers at the airport.

BED:The Burlington Landfill Gas is internal generation that reduces BED's load obligation. It needs to subtracted from the base forecast.

BED:BED's load obligation at it's system border. This does not include any transmission losses outside of Load Zone G.

BED:High case DSM projection (cumulative impact).

Source:BED 2008 Integrated Resource PlanTable 5-7: Net Cumulative Energy Efficiency Savings (at the BED Border)

BED:Adjusted forecast. Does not include transmission losses outside of Load Zone G.

BED:BED base case summer peak load forecast. Includes load need to serve the City of Burlington and the Burlington International airport.


BED:High case DSM projection.



BED:BED base case winter peak load forecast. Includes load need to serve the City of Burlington and the Burlington International airport.





BED:BED summer peak load forecast assuming a 90/10 weather scenario. Includes load need to serve the City of Burlington and the Burlington International Airport.

Source:BED 2008 Integrated Resource PlanTable 3-4: System Peak Forecast - Extreme Weather Scenario, pg. 42




Res MWhFcst by zone

YearMonthSouthernAscutneyRutlandFlorenceCentralMiddleburyBurGMPBEDIBMJohnsonMorrisvilleMontpelierStJohnsburyStAlbansHighgateNewportTotalTotal w/o BED

Residential

MWh

2007355,74094,973282,9647,422221,34879,709342,12290,623085,19579,066247,02283,022149,09572,71890,9912,282,0112,191,387

2008372,203105,744308,7737,652235,95090,365368,42992,390087,95283,541277,37290,839152,20287,987104,4432,465,8422,373,452

2009378,450107,280313,8707,759242,96691,767373,78392,780089,41584,870281,76992,230154,41189,242106,2122,506,8082,414,027

2010383,572108,490318,0367,840246,31492,889378,04593,438090,65385,956285,33793,355156,15990,214107,6762,537,9752,444,537

2011388,638109,685322,1437,924249,30693,987382,24494,131091,83587,019288,82994,480157,88291,166109,0792,568,3492,474,218

2012392,831110,624325,5517,984251,69294,875385,49995,470092,84887,861291,64395,369159,21891,895110,2692,593,6272,498,158

2013394,716111,250327,1248,034253,01095,389387,66196,138093,24288,326293,15095,872160,11692,442110,7882,607,2572,511,120

2014398,178112,061329,9508,089255,04096,137390,53896,730094,08689,035295,56296,642161,30593,090111,7642,628,2052,531,475

2015402,146112,986333,1838,151257,35597,001393,75097,274095,04389,855298,27697,501162,61693,819112,8922,651,8472,554,573

2016406,423113,911336,6218,211259,77797,889397,00498,253096,05590,741301,14098,418163,95194,548114,0822,677,0252,578,771

2017412,192115,291341,3108,306263,16099,151401,81298,486097,40691,937305,16099,692165,94295,661115,7292,711,2352,612,749

2018417,427116,472345,5638,387266,187100,273405,99098,927098,64493,023308,727100,817167,66596,613117,1932,741,9082,642,981

2019422,802117,681349,8748,468269,286101,418410,23199,555099,88294,130312,370101,971169,41397,565118,7182,773,3662,673,811

2020427,333118,663353,5458,530271,850102,376413,675100,6300100,95195,039315,410102,919170,82198,334120,0002,800,0762,699,445

2021433,271120,057358,3808,627275,305103,661418,546100,5310102,35896,279319,506104,222172,81199,448121,6472,834,6482,734,118

2022439,293121,409363,2458,716278,760104,947423,291100,9910103,82197,520323,601105,524174,778100,521123,3552,869,7702,768,779

2023445,343122,746368,1108,805282,214106,209427,973101,3740105,22898,761327,671106,798176,695101,574125,0632,904,5632,803,189

2024451,169123,970372,7998,886285,455107,424432,256102,2020106,57899,912331,540108,012178,443102,526126,7102,937,8832,835,680

2025458,289125,592378,5678,995289,587108,943437,967102,1560108,266101,397336,414109,551180,798103,822128,7232,979,0672,876,911

2026465,043127,072384,0439,092293,397110,368443,152102,5480109,898102,770340,937110,972182,934104,976130,6153,017,8182,915,270

2027471,994128,580389,6079,191297,315111,817448,443102,9120111,530104,166345,585112,453185,094106,171132,5673,057,4262,954,513

2028477,903129,775394,3559,267300,556113,009452,6210112,937105,340349,454113,637186,818107,082134,2452,987,0002,987,000

% of Non-BED Total

200815.7%4.5%13.0%0.3%9.9%3.8%15.5%3.9%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

200915.7%4.4%13.0%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.5%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201015.7%4.4%13.0%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.5%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201115.7%4.4%13.0%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.4%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201215.7%4.4%13.0%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.4%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201315.7%4.4%13.0%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.4%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201415.7%4.4%13.0%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.4%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201515.7%4.4%13.0%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.4%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201615.8%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.4%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201715.8%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.4%3.8%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.4%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201815.8%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.4%3.7%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.7%4.4%100.0%

201915.8%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.3%3.7%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.4%100.0%

202015.8%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.3%3.7%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.4%100.0%

202115.8%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.3%3.7%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.4%100.0%

202215.9%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.3%3.6%0.0%3.7%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.5%100.0%

202315.9%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.3%3.6%0.0%3.8%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.5%100.0%

202415.9%4.4%13.1%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.2%3.6%0.0%3.8%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.5%100.0%

202515.9%4.4%13.2%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.2%3.6%0.0%3.8%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.5%100.0%

202616.0%4.4%13.2%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.2%3.5%0.0%3.8%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.5%100.0%

202716.0%4.4%13.2%0.3%10.1%3.8%15.2%3.5%0.0%3.8%3.5%11.7%3.8%6.3%3.6%4.5%100.0%

12345678910111213141516

ONMLKJIGHCDEFBPA

16ANewport16

14BSt. Albans14

10CJohnson10

11DMorrisville11

12EMontpelier12

13FSt. Johnsbury13

8GBED8

9HIBM9

7IChittenden\Addison GMP7

6JMiddlebury6

5KCentral - Barnard5

4LProctor (Florence)4

3MRutland3

2NAscutney2

1OSouthern1

15PHighgate15

UnknownUnknown

Res Zonal GWh Forecast

50/50

Southern Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Ascutney Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Rutland Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Florence Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Central Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Middlebury Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)BurGMP Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)BED Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)IBM Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Johnson Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Morrisville Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Montpelier Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)StJohnsbury Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)StAlbans Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Highgate Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Newport Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)

ResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidentialResidential

YearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastBED ForecastFuture DSMBED Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSM

200832432812316200892933902008269272102622008770620082052088200200879803772008320325123122008NA10229920080.00.00.00.020087777375200873743712008241244923520087980377200813213451292008777837520089192389

2009325331243072009929478720092702742025520097706200920921215197200979806742009321327233032009NA10249820090.00.00.00.02009777867320097374569200924224618229200979816752009133135101252009777867220099193786

20103283353530020109395108520102722782924920107716201021121522193201080818732010324330342952010NA10359720100.00.00.00.020107879871201074758672010244249262232010808187320101341361412220107779871201092941084

201133133944295201194961283201127528136245201177162011213217281892011808211712011326333432902011NA10479620110.00.00.00.0201178801070201174761066201124625232219201181821172201113513818120201178791069201193951283

201233534349294201294971483201227828541244201277162012215220321882012818312712012329337482892012NA105109520120.00.00.00.0201279811270201275771166201224925537218201281831271201213613920119201278801269201294961483

201332833755282201392951580201327227945234201377162013210216351812013798113682013322331542772013NA106129420130.00.00.00.0201377801367201373751263201324325041210201380821369201313313722115201377791366201392951579

201432933956282201492951679201427228147234201477162014210217361812014798214682014322332552772014NA106139320140.00.00.00.0201478801367201473761363201424425142210201480821469201413313723114201477791366201492951679

201533134257285201593961680201527428347236201577162015212219361822015808214692015324334562792015NA107159220150.00.00.00.0201578811367201574761364201524525342211201580831469201513413823115201577801366201593961680

201633534662284201694971780201627728751236201677162016214221401822016818315692016327338612782016NA108179120160.00.00.00.0201679821567201675771464201624825746211201681841569201613514025115201678811466201694971780

201733835060290201794981781201728029050240201777162017216223381852017818414702017329341592832017NA108199020170.00.00.00.0201780831469201775781365201725025944215201782851570201713614124117201778811467201795981781

2018342358622962018951001783201828329651245201877162018218228391892018828615712018332348602882018NA109208920180.00.00.00.02018818515702018768014662018253264462192018838615712018137144251192018798314682018961001783

2019346365613042019961021785201928630251251201977162019220233391932019838815732019336354592952019NA110218820190.00.00.00.02019828614722019778114682019256270452242019838815732019139146251222019808414702019971031785

2020350372553172020971031588202028930846262202077162020223237352022020848913762020339361533072020NA111238820200.00.00.00.02020838813752020788312712020258275412342020849013762020140149221272020818613732020981051689

2021353379513282021981051491202129231342271202178172021224241322082021849112782021341366493172021NA111248720210.00.00.00.02021839012782021788411732021260279382422021859112792021141151201312021818712752021991061492

2022358387463412022991071394202229632038282202278172022227246292172022859211822022345373443292022NA111258620220.00.00.00.020228591118120227986107620222642853425120228693118220221421541813620228289107820221001091396

20233633964135520231001091198202330032734293202378172023230251262252023879410852023349380393412023NA112278520230.00.00.00.02023869310842023808897920232672913026120238795108520231441571614120238390981202310211111100

20243704063836820241021111010120243053353130420247817202423425724233202488979882024354389363532024NA112288520240.00.00.00.020248796987202482908822024272298282712024889798820241461601514620248492984202410411411103

20253754143537920251031131010420253093422931320257817202523726222239202589988902025358396343622025NA112298420250.00.00.00.020258898889202583928842025275304262782025909989120251481631414920258594886202510511610106

20263814243438920261041169106202631435028322202678182026240267222462026901018922026363404333712026NA113308320260.00.00.00.02026901008922026849488620262793112528520269110189320261501671315320268696888202610711910109

202738743336397202710511810108202731935830328202788182027244273232502027921039942027368412343772027NA113318220270.00.00.00.02027911029942027859688820272833172629120279210399520271521701415620278797889202710912210112

12345678910111213141516

12345678910111213141516

SouthernAscutneyRutlandFlorenceCentralMiddleburyBurGMPBEDIBMJohnsonMorrisvilleMontpelierStJohnsburyStAlbansHighgateNewport

Francis:Adjusted for losses from BED border to VELCO border.

Res Zonal Summer Peak Forecast

50/50

Southern Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Ascutney Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Rutland Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Florence Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Central Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Middlebury Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)BurGMP Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)BED Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)IBM Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Johnson Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Morrisville Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Montpelier Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)StJohnsbury Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)StAlbans Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Highgate Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Newport Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)



200854541542008151501520084545144200811012008343413420081313013200854541532008NA1601620080.00.00.00.020081313013200812120122008404014020081313013200822220222008131301320081515015

200955552542009161601520094646145200911012009353613520091313013200955552532009NA1711620090.00.00.00.020091313013200912120122009414114020091313013200923231222009131301320091516015

201056562542010161611520104747245201011012010363613520101414113201056552532010NA1711620100.00.00.00.020101313113201013131122010424224020101414113201023231222010131311320101616115

201157573542011161611520114847345201111012011373723520111414113201157563532011NA1711520110.00.00.00.020111414113201113131122011434324020111414113201123231222011131311320111616115

201259584542012171611520124948345201211012012383733520121414113201258574532012NA1721520120.00.00.00.020121414113201213131122012444334020121414113201224242222012141411320121616115

201359585532013171611520134948444201311012013383733420131414113201358575522013NA1721520130.00.00.00.020131414112201313131122013444343920131414113201324242212013141411220131616115

201459596532014171721520144949544201411012014383843420141414113201458586522014NA1721520140.00.00.00.020141414112201413131122014444443920141414113201424242212014141411220141716215

201560596532015171721520155049544201511012015393843420151514213201559586522015NA1831520150.00.00.00.020151414213201514131122015454453920151514213201524243212015141411220151717215

201662607532016171721520165150644201611012016393953420161515213201660597522016NA1831520160.00.00.00.020161514213201614132122016464554020161515213201625243222016141421220161717215

201763617542017181721520175251645201711012017403953520171515213201761607532017NA1831520170.00.00.00.020171514213201714142122017464554020171515213201725253222017151421320171817215

201864637552018181821520185352646201811012018414053520181515213201862617542018NA1841420180.00.00.00.020181515213201814142122018474654120181515213201826253222018151521320181818216

201965647572019181821620195453647201911012019424153620191615214201963627552019NA1841420190.00.00.00.020191515213201915142132019484754220191615214201926263232019151521320191818216

202066657582020181821620205554648202011012020424243720201616214202064637572020NA1841420200.00.00.00.020201615214202015152132020494854320201616214202026263232020151521320201918216

202167677602021191821720215655650202111012021434243820211616214202165646582021NA1841420210.00.00.00.020211616214202115151132021504954420211616214202127273242021151521420211919217

202269686622022191921720225756551202211012022444343920221616215202266666602022NA1851420220.00.00.00.020221616115202215151142022515054620221616215202227273252022161611420221919217

202370706642023191921820235858553202311012023444444120231717115202367675612023NA1951420230.00.00.00.020231716115202316151142023525144720231717115202328282252023161611520232020218

202471715662024202011820245959454202411012024454534220241717116202468685632024NA1851320240.00.00.00.020241717116202416161152024535244820241717116202428282262024161611520242020119

202573735682025202011920256060456202511012025464634320251717116202570705652025NA1951320250.00.00.00.020251717116202516161152025535345020251717116202529292272025171611520252020119

202674745692026202011920266161457202611012026474734420261818116202671715662026NA1961320260.00.00.00.020261818116202616161152026545445120261818117202629292272026171711620262121120

202776765712027212111920276263458202711012027484834520271818117202772725672027NA1961320270.00.00.00.020271818117202717171162027555645220271818117202730302282027171711620272121120

12345678910111213141516

12345678910111213141516



Res Zonal Winter Peak Forecast

50/50

Southern Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Ascutney Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Rutland Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Florence Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Central Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Middlebury Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)BurGMP Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)BED Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)IBM Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Johnson Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Morrisville Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Montpelier Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)StJohnsbury Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)StAlbans Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Highgate Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Newport Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)



200876771762008212202220086363163200822022008484914820081819018200875761752008NA1811720080.00.00.00.020081818018200817170172008565715620081819018200831310312008181801820082121021

200976762752009222202120096363162200922022009494914820091819018200975752742009NA1811720090.00.00.00.020091818018200917170172009575715620091919018200931311312009181801820092121021

201076762742010222212120106363261201022022010494914720101918118201075752732010NA1821620100.00.00.00.020101818117201017171172010575725520101919118201031311302010181811720102121121

201177763732011222112020116463360201122012011494924720111918118201176753712011NA1831620110.00.00.00.020111818117201117171162011575625420111918118201131311292011181811720112221120

201277754712012222112020126462359201222012012494834620121918117201276744702012NA1941520120.00.00.00.020121818117201217171162012575635320121918117201231312292012181811720122221120

201376735682013212111920136361456201321012013494734320131818116201374725672013NA1841420130.00.00.00.020131817116201317161152013565445020131818116201331302282013181711620132121119

201476726662014212021920146360555201421012014484644220141817116201474716652014NA1951420140.00.00.00.020141817116201417161152014565444920141818116201431292272014181711520142120219

201576726652015212021820156359554201521012015494644220151817216201574706642015NA1961320150.00.00.00.020151817215201517161152015565354820151817216201531293262015181711520152120218

201676717642016212021820166359653201621012016494654120161817215201675707632016NA1961320160.00.00.00.020161817215201617162142016575354820161917216201631293262016181721520162120218

201777717642017222021820176459653201721012017494554120171917215201775697622017NA1971220170.00.00.00.020171817215201717162142017575354720171917215201731293262017181621520172220218

201878727652018222021820186560654201821012018504654120181917216201876707632018NA1971120180.00.00.00.020181817215201817162142018585454820181917216201831293262018181721520182220218

201979747662019222021820196561655201921012019504754220191918216201976717642019NA1981120190.00.00.00.020191917216201918162152019585454920191918216201932293272019181721520192221219

202079757682020222121920206662656202021012020504744320201918216202077727652020NA1991120200.00.00.00.020201918216202018172152020585555020201918216202032303272020181721620202221219

202180767692021222121920216663657202122012021514844420211918217202177736672021NA1991020210.00.00.00.020211918216202118171152021595655120211918217202132303282021181721620212221219

202281776712022222122020226764559202222012022514944520221918217202278746682022NA19101020220.00.00.00.020221918117202218171162022605755220221919217202232313282022191811620222322220

202382796732023232222020236865560202322012023525044620232019117202379765702023NA2010920230.00.00.00.020231919117202318171162023605845420232019118202333312292023191811720232322221

202483805752024232212120246966462202422012024535134820242019118202480775722024NA1911920240.00.00.00.020242019118202418181172024615945520242019118202433322302024191811720242323121

202584825772025232312120257068464202522022025535234920252020118202581785742025NA1911820250.00.00.00.020252019118202519181172025626045720252020118202533322302025191911720252423122

202686845792026232312220267169465202622022026545335020262020119202682805752026NA1912720260.00.00.00.020262020119202619191172026636145820262020119202634332312026191911820262424122

202787865812027242312220277271466202722022027555435120272120119202782815772027NA2012720270.00.00.00.020272120119202719191182027646345920272120119202734342322027201911820272424123

12345678910111213141516

12345678910111213141516



CI MWhFcst by zone


C&I

MWh

2007490,35393,003360,215220,786208,995120,849590,266270,013235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,673,5743,403,561

2008490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266271,511235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,676,7343,405,223

2009490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266273,411235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,678,6343,405,223

2010490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266275,770235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,680,9933,405,223

2011490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266278,247235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,683,4703,405,223

2012490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266281,468235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,686,6913,405,223

2013490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266283,377235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,688,6003,405,223

2014490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266285,922235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,691,1453,405,223

2015490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266288,204235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,693,4273,405,223

2016490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266290,987235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,696,2113,405,223

2017490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266292,925235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,698,1483,405,223

2018490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266295,265235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,700,4883,405,223

2019490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266297,524235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,702,7473,405,223

2020490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266300,826235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,706,0493,405,223

2021490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266302,645235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,707,8693,405,223

2022490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266305,244235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,710,4673,405,223

2023490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266307,773235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,712,9973,405,223

2024490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266310,807235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,716,0303,405,223

2025490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266312,581235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,717,8053,405,223

2026490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266314,659235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,719,8823,405,223

2027490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266316,643235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,721,8663,405,223

2028490,35393,003360,215222,448208,995120,849590,266235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,405,2233,405,223

% of Non-BED Total

200814.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.0%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

200914.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.0%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201014.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.1%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201114.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.2%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201214.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.3%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201314.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.3%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201414.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.4%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201514.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.5%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201614.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.5%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201714.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.6%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201814.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.7%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

201914.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.7%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

202014.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.8%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

202114.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%8.9%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

202214.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%9.0%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

202314.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%9.0%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

202414.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%9.1%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

202514.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%9.2%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

202614.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%9.2%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

202714.4%2.7%10.6%6.5%6.1%3.5%17.3%9.3%6.9%4.9%2.4%8.8%2.8%6.1%3.4%3.5%100.0%

12345678910111213141516

ONMLKJIGHCDEFBPA

16ANewport16

14BSt. Albans14

10CJohnson10

11DMorrisville11

12EMontpelier12

13FSt. Johnsbury13

8GBED8

9HIBM9


6JMiddlebury6



3MRutland3

2NAscutney2

1OSouthern1

15PHighgate15

UnknownUnknown

CI MWhFcst by zone for DSM


C&I

MWh

2007490,35393,003360,2152,995208,995120,849590,266270,013235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,455,7833,185,770

2008490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266271,511235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,458,9433,187,432

2009490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266273,411235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,460,8433,187,432

2010490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266275,770235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,463,2023,187,432

2011490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266278,247235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,465,6793,187,432

2012490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266281,468235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,468,9003,187,432

2013490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266283,377235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,470,8093,187,432

2014490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266285,922235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,473,3543,187,432

2015490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266288,204235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,475,6363,187,432

2016490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266290,987235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,478,4203,187,432

2017490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266292,925235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,480,3573,187,432

2018490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266295,265235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,482,6973,187,432

2019490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266297,524235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,484,9563,187,432

2020490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266300,826235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,488,2583,187,432

2021490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266302,645235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,490,0783,187,432

2022490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266305,244235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,492,6763,187,432

2023490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266307,773235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,495,2063,187,432

2024490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266310,807235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,498,2393,187,432

2025490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266312,581235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,500,0143,187,432

2026490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266314,659235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,502,0913,187,432

2027490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266316,643235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,504,0753,187,432

2028490,35393,003360,2154,657208,995120,849590,266235,147167,34181,185298,27093,903207,080115,840120,3283,187,4323,187,432

% of Non-BED Total

200815.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%8.5%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

200915.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%8.6%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201015.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%8.7%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201115.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%8.7%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201215.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%8.8%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201315.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%8.9%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201415.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.0%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201515.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.0%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201615.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.1%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201715.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.2%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201815.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.3%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

201915.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.3%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

202015.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.4%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

202115.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.5%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

202215.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.6%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

202315.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.7%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

202415.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.8%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

202515.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.8%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

202615.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.9%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

202715.4%2.9%11.3%0.1%6.6%3.8%18.5%9.9%7.4%5.3%2.5%9.4%2.9%6.5%3.6%3.8%100.0%

12345678910111213141516

ONMLKJIGHCDEFBPA

16ANewport16

14BSt. Albans14

10CJohnson10

11DMorrisville11

12EMontpelier12

13FSt. Johnsbury13

8GBED8

9HIBM9


6JMiddlebury6



3MRutland3

2NAscutney2

1OSouthern1

15PHighgate15

UnknownUnknown

CI Zonal GWh Forecast

50/50

Southern Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Ascutney Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Rutland Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Florence Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Central Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Middlebury Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)BurGMP Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)BED Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)IBM Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Johnson Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Morrisville Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Montpelier Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)StJohnsbury Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)StAlbans Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Highgate Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)Newport Zone Energy Forecast (GWh)

Commercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and IndustrialCommercial and Industrial


20084894926487200893931922008359362435820082222230.12232008208210220720081201211120200858859375862008NA29962922008234236323320081671682166200881821812008297300429620089494193200820620822062008115116111520081201211119

200949350112489200994952932009362368935920092242270.122720092102135208200912212331212009594603145892009NA301102902009236240623520091681714167200982832812009300305729820099496294200920821252072009116118311620091211233120

2010497508184902010949639320103653731336020102252310.223020102122178209201012212541212010598612225902010NA3031628820102382449235201017017361672010828438120103023091129820109597394201021021582072010117120411620101221254120

2011500515254902011959859320113673791936020112272340.2234201121322011209201112312761212011602620305902011NA306212852011240247122352011171176916720118385481201130431415298201196995942011211218112072011118122611620111231266120

2012503523314912012959969320123703842336120122282370.3237201221522313209201212412981212012606629385912012NA31027282201224125115235201217217811168201283875812012306318192992012961006942012213221132072012119123711620121241288120

20135075303849120139610079320133723892836120132302400.4240201321622616209201312513191212013610638465912013NA31233279201324325418236201317318113168201384886812013308322232992013971017942013214224162082013120125911620131241309121

20145105374549220149710299320143753943336120142312440.42432014217229192102014126132111212014614646545922014NA3153827720142452572223620141741831516820148489781201431032727299201498103994201421522719208201412012711116201412513211121

201551354452492201597103109320153774003836120152332470.52462015219232222102015127134131212015618655635922015NA31743274201524626125236201517518618168201585909812015312331322992015981041094201521723022208201512112912116201512613413121

201651755159492201698105119320163804054436120162342500.62502016220235252102016127136151212016622664715922016NA320482722016248264282362016176188201682016869110812016314335362992016991061194201621823325208201612213014116201612713515121

201752155967492201799106139320173824114936220172362540.62532017222238282102017128138161212017627673805932017NA3225326920172502683223620171781912316820178693118220173173404129920171001071394201722023628208201712313216116201712813716121

201852456774493201899107149320183854165436220182382570.72562018224242322102018129140181212018631682895932018NA3255826720182512723523620181791932516820188794128220183193454530020181001091494201822123931208201812413417116201812913918121

2019528575814932019100109159420193884226036220192402610.82602019225245352102019130142201222019636692985932019NA3276326420192532763923620191801962816820198795138220193213495030020191011101694201922324334208201912513619116201913014120121

2020532582894932020101110179420203914286536220202412640.826320202272483821020201311442212220206417011075942020NA3316826320202552794323720201821993016820208896158220203243545430020201021121794202022524638208202012613821117202013114322121

2021537591964952021102112189420213944347036320212432680.926720212292524121120211321462412220216467111155952021NA3337226020212572834623720211832023316920218998168220213263595830120211031131895202122724940209202112714023117202113214524121

20225415991024972022103114199420223984407536520222462721.027120222312554321220221331482512220226527211235982022NA3367725920222602874923820221852043517020229099178220223293646230220221041152095202222925343210202212814124117202213314725122

20235466071055022023104115209520234014467736920232482761.027520232332594521420231351502612420236577311266052023NA33982257202326229150241202318620736171202390101178320233323706430620231051162096202323125744212202312914425119202313414926123

20245516161085082024104117209620244054537937420242502801.027820242352634621720241361522712520246637421306122024NA34286256202426429552244202418821037174202491102188420243353756530920241051182197202423326045215202413014625120202413515126125

20255566251105152025105119219820254084598137920252522841.028320252372664722020251371542712720256697531326202025NA34490253202526730053247202519021338176202592104188520253383806731320251061202199202523526446218202513114826122202513615327126

20265616351125232026106120219920264124668238420262552881.128720262392704822320261381562712920266767641346302026NA346952512026269304532512026192217381782026931051887202634238668318202610812221100202623726847221202613315026124202613815627128

202756764411353120271081222110120274174738339020272572921.129120272422754822620271401592813120276837751366392027NA348992492027272309542552027194220391812027941071988202734539269323202710912322102202724027248224202713415227125202713915828130

12345678910111213141516

12345678910111213141516



CI Zonal Summer Peak Forecast

50/50

Southern Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Ascutney Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Rutland Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Florence Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Central Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Middlebury Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)BurGMP Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)BED Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)IBM Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Johnson Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Morrisville Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Montpelier Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)StJohnsbury Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)StAlbans Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Highgate Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Newport Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)



200897981972008181901820087172171200844440.0442008414214120082424024200811711821162008NA591592008474714620083333033200816160162008596015920081919019200841411412008232302320082424024

2009981003982009191901820097274272200945450.0452009424314220092425124200911812131172009NA601592009474814720093434133200916170162009606125920091919019200942421412009232412320092425124

2010991024982010191911920107375372201045460.0462010424324220102425124201011912251182010NA611592010484924720103435133201016171162010606225920101919119201042432412010232412320102425124

20111001036982011192011920117376472201145470.1472011434424220112525124201112012471182011NA612602011485034720113435233201117171162011616335920111920119201142442412011242412320112525124

20121001057982012192011920127477572201246470.1472012434534220122526224201212112681182012NA612592012485034720123436233201217171162012616445920121920119201242443412012242522320122526224

20131011068982013192021920137478672201346480.14820134345442201325262242013122128101182013NA623592013485144720133436333201317181162013616556020131920219201343454412013242522320132526224

201410210710982014192021920147579772201446490.14920144346442201425262242014122129121182014NA623592014495254720143537333201417182162014626565920141921219201443454412014242522320142526224

201510210911982015192121920157580872201546490.14920154346542201525273242015123131141172015NA634592015495254720153537433201517182162015626675920152021219201543465412015242632320152527324

201610211013972016192121820167581971201646500.15020164447541201625273242016123132151172016NA644602016495364720163538433201617182162016626785920162021219201643465412016242632320162527324

2017103112149820172021319201776821172201747510.15120174448642201725284242017124135171172017NA644602017505474720173538533201717192162017636895920172021319201744476412017242632320172527424

2018104114169820182022319201877831272201847520.25120184448742201826284242018125137191182018NA6556020185054847201836395332018171931620186369105920182022319201844487412018252742320182628424

2019105115179820192022319201977851372201948520.25220194549742201926284242019126139211182019NA6556020195055847201936396332019171931620196470115920192022319201944497412019252742320192628424

2020106117199820202022419202078861472202048530.25320204550842202026295242020127140231182020NA6565920205156947202036406332020171931620206471125920202022419202045498412020252842320202629524

2021107119209820212022419202178871572202148540.25420214551942202126295242021128143251182021NA66660202151571047202136407332021182031620216572126020212023419202145509412021252852320212629524

2022108120229920222023419202279881672202249550.25420224651942202226305242022129145261192022NA67660202252581047202237417342022182041620226573136020222123419202245519422022252852320222630524

20231081222210020232123419202380901673202349550.25520234652942202327305252023130147271202023NA67761202352591148202337428342023182041720236674146120232123419202346529422023262952420232730524

20241091242310120242123419202480911774202449560.256202446531043202427306252024131149281212024NA687602024525911482024374283420241820417202466751461202421244192024465210432024262952420242730625

20251101262310220252124419202581921775202550570.257202547541044202527316252025133151281232025NA687602025536011492025384383520251821417202567761462202521244202025475310432025263062420252731625

20261111282410420262124520202682941776202651580.258202648541044202627316262026134154291252026NA688602026536111502026384483520261821417202668781463202621245202026475410442026263062520262731625

20271131302410520272125520202783951877202751590.259202748551045202728326262027135156291272027NA688602027546212512027384483620271921417202768791564202722255202027485510452027273162520272832626

12345678910111213141516

12345678910111213141516



CI Zonal Winter Peak Forecast

50/50

Southern Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Ascutney Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Rutland Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Florence Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Central Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Middlebury Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)BurGMP Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)BED Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)IBM Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Johnson Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Morrisville Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Montpelier Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)StJohnsbury Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)StAlbans Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Highgate Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Newport Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)



200877771762008151501420085657156200835350.0352008333313220081919019200892932922008NA390392008373713720082626026200813130132008474714620081515015200832331322008181801820081919019

200978793762009151501420095758256200935360.0362009333413320091919119200994953922009NA400402009373813720092727126200913130132009474824620091515015200933331322009181911820091919119

201078804762010151511420105859356201036360.0362010333423220101920119201094965922010NA401402010383823620102727126201013131132010484924620101515115201033342322010181911820101920119

201179816762011151511420115860456201136370.1372011343523220111920119201195987912011NA411402011383933620112728226201113131132011484934620111516114201133342322011191911820111920119

201279827752012151611420125860555201236370.1372012343533220122020219201295998912012NA411402012383933620122728226201213141122012485044620121516114201233353322012191921820121920218

201380838752013151621420135961655201336380.138201334364322013202121920139610010902013NA421402013384043620132728326201313141122013495154620131516214201334354322013192021820132020218

2014808510752014151621420145962755201437380.138201434364322014202121820149710212902014NA422402014394153620142729326201413142122014495164620141516214201434364322014192021820142021218

2015818611752015151621420156063855201537390.139201535375322015202131820159810314902015NA422412015394153620152829425201513142122015495274520151616214201534365312015192031820152021318

2016818713742016151621420166064954201637390.139201635375322016202131820169810415892016NA422402016394263520162830425201613142122016505384520161617214201634375312016192031720162021318

20178288147420171617314201760651154201737400.140201735386312017202241820179910617892017NA432412017394273520172830525201714152122017505494520171617314201735376312017192131720172022418

20188389167320181617314201861661254201838410.2402018353873120182022418201810010819882018NA4424120184043835201828305252018141531220185054104520181617314201835387312018202141720182022418

20198491177320191617314201961671354201938410.2412019363973120192122418201910110921882019NA4434120194043835201929316252019141531220195155114420191617314201935387312019202141720192022418

20208492197320201617414202062671453202038420.2412020363983120202123518202010111023872020NA4434120204044935202029316252020141531220205156124420201618414202035398312020202241720202122518

20218593207320211618414202162681553202139420.2422021364093120212123518202110211225882021NA45342202141451035202129327252021141531220215257124420211618414202136399312021202251720212123518

20228694227320221618414202263691653202239430.2432022374093120222123518202210311426882022NA45342202241451035202229327252022141641220225257134420221618414202236409312022202251720222123518

20238696227420231618414202363701654202339430.2432023374193120232124518202310411527892023NA45342202341461135202329338252023141641220235358144520231718414202336409312023202351720232124518

20248797237420241718414202464711754202439440.24420243741103220242124618202410511728892024NA454422024424711362024303382520241416412202453591445202417194142024374110312024212351820242124618

20258899237520251719414202565721755202540450.24520253842103220252224619202510611928912025NA464422025424711362025303482620251516412202554601446202517194142025374210322025212361820252224618

202689100247620261719514202665741756202640450.24520263843103320262225619202610712129922026NA464422026434811372026303482620261517413202654611446202617195152026384210322026212461820262225619

202790102247720271719515202766751857202741460.24620273843103320272225619202710812229932027NA474432027434912372027313582620271517413202755621547202717195152027384310332027212461820272225619

12345678910111213141516

12345678910111213141516



Zonal Summer Peak Forecast

50/50

Southern Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Ascutney Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Rutland Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Florence Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Central Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Middlebury Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)BurGMP Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)BED Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)IBM Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Johnson Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Morrisville Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Montpelier Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)StJohnsbury Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)StAlbans Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Highgate Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Newport Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Total Statewide w/o BED (Check)Total Statewide (Check)

YearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastBED ForecastFuture DSMBED Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMDifference

200813213321312008747507420081061062105200829290.02920086666165200839391382008175176217420086974173200868681682008161611520083838037200811011111092008313103020086363162200843441432008343413420081,0251,028141,01420081,0941,102151,088000.0000(0)0

200913413541312009757617520091081093105200930300.13020096869267200939401392009178179517520097075273200969691682009161611520093839138200911211331102009313113120096464262200944441432009353513420091,0421,049271,02320091,1121,124281,096000.0000(0)0

201013613861322010767717620101091105106201030300.13020106970367201040402392010180182717520107176274201069702682010161621420103939138201011411541112010323213120106465362201045451442010353623420101,0541,067411,02620101,1251,142431,100(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(0)0

201113814091322011777827620111111127106201130310.131201170714672011404123920111821851017520117277374201169713682011161731420113940238201111511761112011323223120116566462201145462442011363623420111,0661,083561,02720111,1381,160601,101(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(0)0

2012140143111312012787927720121121149106201231310.231201271726672012414133920121841871217520127277473201270713682012171731420124040238201211611971112012323323120126667562201245463442012363733420121,0761,098711,02720121,1481,175751,100000.0000(0)0

20131401441413020137880377201311211510105201331320.231201371737662013414233920131851891517420137378573201370724682013171741320134041338201311712091112013323333020136668662201346473442013363743420131,0821,108871,02120131,1541,186921,094(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(0)0

20141411461613020147981477201411311712104201431320.2322014727486620144142438201418619118174201473786732014707256820141717512201440413382014118121101112014333433020146668762201446474442014373843420141,0901,1211011,02020141,1631,2001071,093(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(0)0

20151431481813020157982478201511411814105201531320.2322015727596620154243439201518819420174201574796732015717356820151717512201541423392015119123121112015333443020156769762201546484442015373853420151,0991,1351141,02120151,1731,2141201,094(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(1)1

20161441502013020168083479201611612015104201631330.33220167376106620164243539201618919622174201674807732016717366720161718612201641424392016120124131112016333443020166870862201647485442016373953420161,1091,1491281,02120161,1831,2291351,094(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(1)1

20171461522213120178184580201711712216105201732330.33320177477116620174244539201719119924175201775818732017717476720171718711201742434392017121126141122017343543120176871962201747495442017383963420171,1231,1671391,02920171,1981,2481471,102000.0000(1)1

20181481552313220188286581201811912418106201832340.333201875781167201843456392018193202261762018768187220187175867201818187112018424444020181231291511320183436531201869721063201848505442018384063420181,1351,1871501,03820181,2111,2681581,110000.0000(1)1

20191501582513320198387582201912012619108201932340.334201976801267201943466402019195206281772019778197220197275867201918198112019424554020191241311611520193436531201970731063201948516452019394163520191,1471,2071591,04820191,2241,2881691,120000.0000(1)1

20201521612613520208388683202012112820109202033350.3342020768112682020444664020201972083017920207782107220207276967202018198112020434554120201261331711620203537531202070741164202049516452020394273520201,1581,2241671,05720201,2351,3061771,129000.0000(1)1

20211541642713720218490684202112313120110202133350.33520217782136920214447741202119921231181202178831072202172771067202118199112021434654120211271351711820213537632202171761164202149526462021404273620211,1721,2451751,07120211,2501,3281851,143(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(1)1

20221561672813920228591685202212513321112202233360.33520227884137020224548741202220221532183202279841172202272771067202218209112022444754220221291381812020223638632202272771265202250537462022404373620221,1861,2661801,08620221,2651,3501921,158000.0000(1)1

20231581702814220238693687202312613621115202334360.33620237985137220234549742202320421932186202380841273202373781167202319209112023454854320231301401812220233639633202373781266202350547472023414473720231,1991,2871811,10620231,2791,3711921,179000.0000(1)1

20241601732814520248794688202412813821117202434370.33620248086137320244650743202420622233189202481841272202473781167202419209112024454954420241321421812520243639634202474791268202451557482024424573820241,2121,3071821,12620241,2931,3921941,198000.0000(1)1

20251631762814820258896690202513014121120202534370.33720258188137520254751744202520922633193202582851372202573791168202519219122025465054520251341451812720253740634202574811269202551567492025424673920251,2291,3311831,14820251,3101,4161961,220(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(1)1

20261651802915120268997691202613214321122202635380.33820268290137620264751744202621123033196202682861472202673801168202620219122026465054520261361481813020263741635202675821270202652567502026434773920261,2441,3541851,16920261,3271,4391991,241(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)(1)1

20271681832915420279099693202713414622124202735380.33820278391137820274852745202721423334199202783861472202773801269202720229122027475154620271381501813220273841636202776831271202752577502027434774020271,2601,3771891,18820271,3431,4632031,260000.0000(1)1

12345678910111213141516

12345678910111213141516



Zonal Winter Peak Forecast

50/50

Southern Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Ascutney Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Rutland Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Florence Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Central Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Middlebury Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)BurGMP Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)BED Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)IBM Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Johnson Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Morrisville Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Montpelier Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)StJohnsbury Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)StAlbans Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Highgate Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Newport Zone Winter Peak Forecast (MW)Total Statewide w/o BED (Check)Total Statewide (Check)

YearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastBED ForecastFuture DSMBED Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMDifference

2008152153315020087070269200811511631142008272712720087576274200839391382008155156315220085657156200852521512008202002020084141140200811511631132008313213120085555154200839391382008424314220081,0261,035231,01220081,0821,092241,068(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

2009153154614820097071368200911611751122009272712620097677373200939392382009156157615120095658256200952532502009202011920094142240200911611751122009323213120095556253200939392382009434324120091,0351,044431,00120091,0921,102451,057(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

201015415510146201071714672010117118711120102728226201076775722010393923720101571581014920105758356201052523492010202011920104242339201011611771102010323223020105556352201039392372010434334120101,0421,0506498620101,0991,108671,041000.00000.00

20111551561314320117172666201111811910109201128282252011777767120113940336201115815913146201157594552011525244820112021219201142423392011117118101082011323233020115656552201139403362011434344020111,0481,0568796920111,1051,114901,024(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

20121561571614120127172764201211811912107201228283252012777887020124040436201215916016143201257595542012525254720122021218201242424382012118118121062012323232920125656651201239404362012434443920121,0521,05910995020121,1091,1181131,004000.00000.00

201315515620137201371729632013118119151042013282832420137777106820133940535201315815920139201357606542013525274620132020318201342425372013117118151032013323242820135656749201339395352013434353820131,0491,05313292220131,1061,113137976000.00000.00

2014156156221352014717210622014119119171022014282842420147777116720144040634201415915922137201457607542014525274520142021318201442426362014118118161022014323252820145656848201439406342014434463720141,0521,05614790820141,1091,116154962(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

2015157157241342015727211612015119119181022015282842420157878126620154040634201516016024136201558617532015525284420152121318201542426362015118119181012015323252820155656848201540406342015444473720151,0581,06015990020151,1151,120167953(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

201615815826132201672721260201612012020100201628285232016787813652016404073320161601602613420165861853201652529432016212131720164343736201611911920992016333352720165757947201640407332016444473720161,0631,06317588820161,1201,124184940(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

20171591592713220177373126020171211212010120172828523201779791365201740407342017162162271352017586295320175252943201721214172017434373620171201202010020173333627201757571048201740407332017444473720171,0731,07118089120171,1311,133189944(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

201816116228134201873741361201812212321102201828285242018798014662018414173420181631642813620185962105220185252943201821214172018434483620181211222110120183333628201858581048201840417342018454583720181,0811,08818890020181,1401,149198952(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

201916216428136201974751362201912312521103201929295242019808114672019414273420191651672913820195962115220195253944201921214182019444483720191221242110320193334628201958591049201941417342019454683820191,0901,10418991520191,1491,166200966000.00000.00

202016316627139202074761363202012412621106202029295242020808214682020414273520201661692814120206063125120205253944202021224182020444573720201231252110520203434629202059601050202041427352020454683820201,0951,11618493220201,1551,179196983000.00000.00

202116516927142202175771265202112512921108202129305252021818313702021424373620211671722814420216063125120215253945202122224192021444573820211241272010720213435629202159611051202141427362021464783920211,1071,13518295220211,1671,1981941,004(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

202216717227145202276781266202212713120110202229305252022828413712022424373720221691742714720226164135120225254845202222223192022454673920221251292010920223435630202260621052202242437362022464874020221,1171,15217997320221,1781,2161921,024000.00000.00

20231681752515020237679116820231281331911420232931426202383861273202343446382023171177251522023616514512023525484620232223319202345477402023127132191132023353653120236063954202342446372023474874120231,1281,1701681,00320231,1891,2351811,053000.00000.00

20241701772415320247781117020241291351811720243031427202483871275202443456392024172180241552024626414502024525474720242223320202446486412024128134181152024353753220246164955202443446382024474974220241,1371,1881621,02620241,1991,2521761,076(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

20251721812415720257882117120251311381812020253031427202584891277202544466402025175183241592025636515502025525574820252224320202546496422025130136181182025353753220256265856202543456392025485074320251,1521,2101571,05220251,2151,2751731,102(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

20261741842316120267983117320261331401812220263032428202685901179202644476412026177186241632026646516492026525574820262324321202647496432026131139181212026363853320266266858202644466402026485164420261,1651,2301561,07420261,2291,2951721,123(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

20271771872416320278085117420271341431812420273132428202786921280202745476412027179190241652027646617492027525574820272324321202747506442027133141181232027363853420276367958202744476412027495274520271,1781,2511601,09020271,2431,3171771,140(0)(0)0.0(0)(0)(0)0.0(0)

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Zonal Summer Peak Forcst 9010

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Southern Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Ascutney Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Rutland Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Florence Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Central Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Middlebury Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)BurGMP Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)BED Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)IBM Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Johnson Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Morrisville Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Montpelier Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)StJohnsbury Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)StAlbans Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Highgate Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Newport Zone Summer Peak Forecast (MW)Total Statewide w/o BED (Check)Total Statewide (Check)

YearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjusted Forecast Net of Future DSMYearVELCO ForecastAdjusted VELCO ForecastFuture DSMAdjuste

john plunkett presentation to the vermont systems planning committee south burlington, vt

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