joel montero fiscal crisis and management assistance team california teachers association presidents...
TRANSCRIPT
Joel Montero
Fiscal Crisis and Management Assistance Team
California Teachers Association Presidents Meeting
San BernardinoFebruary 26, 2008
Talking Points• What is the Fiscal Crisis and Management Assistance Team (FCMAT)? • What Does FCMAT Do? • How Does FCMAT Respond to District and Other Requests? • What Sort of Data Analysis Does FCMAT Untilize?• How are Multi-Year Projections Created and Used? • What are the Basics of AB 1200 Oversight? • How Do Districts Typically Get Into Financial Trouble?• How Do Districts Assess What They Can Afford in the Collective Bargaining
Process? • What is the Latest with respect to the State’s Budget?
What is FCMAT?
• An Independent/External Public Agency of the State designed to Support Districts and COEs in areas that are related to:
School Finance
Human Resources
Data Management
What is FCMAT?
• A Small Core Staff composed of former School District and COE People (certificated and classified)
• FCMAT support is generally requested by School Districts
• FCMAT can be assigned by the COE, Superintendent of Public Instruction, or the Legislature
What Does FCMAT Do?
Solvency: The ability of a public agency to meet their financial obligations over time
Avoid Emergency Loans: Cash Insolvency
What Does FCMAT Do?
• Management Assistance by invitation• Technical Assistance-Help Desk and Remote• Professional/Product Development• California Schools Information Services (CSIS)• Fiscal Crisis Intervention
How Does FCMAT Respond to Requests?
• Online Job Management System (JMS) www.fcmat.orgStudy AgreementField WorkReport—Findings and RecommendationsOngoing support and follow up
• Job Data over time
Requests per Year (handout)
Total Number and Type (handout)
What Sort of Data Analysis does FCMAT Utilize?
• Fiscal Health Risk Analysis ToolContains both fiscal (number) and organizational impacts
Attempts to Identify the Potential Risk of Insolvency to the district
A Tool Among Other Tools and Indicators
How Are Multi-Year Projections Created and Used?
• FCMAT Budget Explorer™
External/Independent MYP Tool
Web Based Software Available to All
Uses Initial Assumptions from the SSC Dartboard
Direct Upload from the District’s Official Financial Information submitted to the CDE
Attempts to predict relative solvency over multiple years (1 to 5)
How Are Multi-Year Projections Abused?
• Garbage In, Garbage Out
Not Keeping the Assumptions Up To Date
Including Unrealistic Assumptions
Manipulation of the Numbers to Impact the Fiscal Bottom Line
• MYPs Require Constant Review and Analysis in order to Maintain their Viability as a Usable Tool
The Basics of AB 1200/2756
• County Office Review at a Minimum of Three Specific Data Collection Points
• Budget Approval
• First and Second Interim Reporting
• Positive, Qualified and Negative Certifications
• COE Must Assess Solvency for the Current Plus One or Two Years
• Disclosures
The Basics of AB 1200/2756
• Possible Actions Under a Qualified Certification
• Fiscal Expert Assignment
• Budget Analysis and New Financial Projections
• Approval of New Debt Issuance
• Longer Period of Review for Collective Bargaining Agreements
• Encumber all Contracts and Other Obligations
• Withhold Compensation from Superintendent and Governing Board
The Basics of AB 1200/2756
• Possible Actions Under a Negative Certification
• All Actions Under a Qualified plus:
• Develop and Impose a Budget in Consultation
• Stay or Rescind Any Action of the Board that is Inconsistent with Fiscal Recovery
• In Consultation with the District Develop a Fiscal Recovery Plan
• Assign a Fiscal Advisor
• May Not Abrogate any Provisions of the Collective Bargaining Agreement
The Basics of AB 1200/2756
• In the Event of Insolvency (Emergency Loan)
• Authority Transfer to the California Department of Education
• Assignment of a State Administrator
• Governing Board becomes Advisory Only
• Recovery and the Assignment of a State Trustee
How Do Districts Typically Get Into Financial Trouble?
• Overly Optimistic Estimates of the State’s Economy
• Overly Aggressive estimates of Enrollment, Attendance, ADA
• Failing to React Early Enough to Declining Enrollment
• Failure to Update Budget Assumptions
• Lack of Monitoring of Staffing Levels
• Underestimating Automatic Cost Growth
• Use of One-Time Money for Ongoing Expenses
• Adversarial Collective Bargaining Process
• Inadequate or Inaccurate Multi-year Projections
• Failure to Follow Through on Budget Decisions
• Poor Budget Monitoring
• Chronic, multi-year Deficit Spending
• Inadequate Reserves
How Do Districts Assess What They Can Afford in the Collective Bargaining Process?
• Big Picture
• Estimate Next Year’s Income• Enrollment (ADA)• Revenue Limit• Lottery• Special Purpose Funds• Local Income• Special Education
• Plan Next Year’s Expense• Actual Salary of Each Employee• Actual Benefit Cost of Each Employee• New Programs• Assumptions re: utilities, insurance, capital and equipment, etc.• Legal Costs
• What’s is the Balance?
How Do Districts Assess What They Can Afford in the Collective Bargaining Process?
• The More Granular View
• COLA 5.00%??
• Deficit Factor (0%?)
• Total Net Impact 5.00%
• Step and Column (~1.5%)
• Health and Welfare (1.5%??)
• Enrollment Adjustment (0%)
• Other Fiscal Impacts (0%)
• Total Available (absent change) 2%
How Do Districts Assess What They Can Afford in the Collective Bargaining Process?
• The More Granular View—2008-09
• COLA 4.94%
• Deficit Factor (6.99%)
• Total Net Impact (2.4%)
• Step and Column (~1.5%)
• Health and Welfare (1.5%??)
• Enrollment Adjustment (0%)
• Other Fiscal Impacts (0%)
• Total Available (absent change) (5.4%)
The Latest on the State’s Budget?• The Economy in General
• Fiscal Year 2007-08
• State of Fiscal Emergency
• Mid-Year Cuts?
• Fiscal Year 2008-09
• $16 billion projected state deficit
• Possible Suspension of Proposition 98
• ~$4 billion hit to Education
• Fiscal Year 2009-10
Questions