james packer chogm presentation - 13 nov 2013

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    Crown Resorts13 November 2013

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    1. Sri Lanka: Compelling Macro Environment

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    Sri Lanka economic outlook

    IMF upgraded Sri Lanka to amiddle income country in2010

    3 successive years of strongGDP growth: 8.0% in 2010,8.2% in 2011 and 6.4% in2012

    GDP valued at US$59 billionin 2012. On track to meettarget of US$100 billion by2016

    GDP per capita estimated at

    US$5,500 in 2010. By 2012had risen to approx. US$6,200

    One of the highest literacyrates in South Asia91.2%

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    3.5hrs

    2.3hrs

    1.3hrs

    Major cities within easy travel to Sri Lanka Notable cities

    Cities within approx. 1.3 hours Chennai (Madras) Bangalore

    Cities within approx. 2.3 hours Mumbai

    Hydrabad

    Cities within approx. 3.5 hours Karachi Delhi Kolkata (Calcutta) Dhaka

    Illustrative5m - 10m

    >10m

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    Other Asia36

    Europe21

    MiddleEast139

    Maldives

    39

    SE Asia,

    69

    130 flights/week

    20flights/week

    Flights to SL from origin per week

    Daily flights from India: Chennai,Mumbai, Delhi and Bangalore

    Daily flights from South EastAsia: Bangkok, Jakarta, KualaLumpur and Singapore

    Daily flights from the MiddleEast: Bahrain, Abu Dhabi, Doha,Dubai and Kuwait

    Source: Colombo airport website; only scheduled flights so likely understated for Charter flights

    Significant existing lift and connection to Sri Lanka

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    Lonely Planet recently rated Sri Lanka as the number onecountry to visit in 2013

    Sri Lanka is one of the most talked about tourist destinationsglobally

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    Sri LankaGovernmentpromotingdevelopment oftourism infrastructureand attractions

    Government target of2.5 million touristarrivals by 2016

    Requires touristarrivals to grow by

    24% annually from2011 to 2016 on acompounded basis

    Actual

    1.01m

    2.50m

    3.52m

    0.0m

    0.5m

    1.0m

    1.5m

    2.0m

    2.5m

    3.0m

    3.5m

    4.0m

    '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23

    (annual arrivals by year; fcst and actual)

    Source: Sri Lanka Tourism Board; assume linear growth between now and 2016 and five percent thereafter

    Stated tourismgoal

    Sri Lanka tourismtrends

    Sri Lanka visitor arrivals2009-2023

    Sri Lanka tourism outlook

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    2. Asian Tourism Opportunity

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    9Source: IMF forecast; Innovation group; CLSA

    $3.03t

    $0t

    $1t

    $2t

    $3t

    '86 '91 '96 '01 '06 '11 '16

    FCST

    Growing exponentially quicklyIndia GDP USD trillions

    Indias burgeoning middle class

    population

    Size of Indian middle class estimatedat around 170 million1. Expected togrow by 40-50 million per annum overthe near term

    McKinsey Study estimates that by2025 there could be 580 millionmiddle class individuals in India2

    With rising middle class affluenceleisure related purchases such astravel are capturing a larger

    proportion of consumer spending

    1 Source: Indian National Council for Applied Economic Researchs

    (NCAER) Centre for Macro Consumer Research report, 2011

    2. Source: The Bird of Gold: The rise of Indias consumer market,

    McKinsey Global Institute , May 2007

    Indias GDP has been growing exponentially since 2000, a trend

    resulting in a burgeoning middle class

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    4.4 4.6 4.9 5.46.2 7.2

    8.39.8

    10.9 11.1 13.014.0 14.9

    20.0

    50.0

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015 2020

    2000-2012 CAGR: 11%

    Indian outbound travel

    has grown at a

    compound average

    growth rate (CAGR) of

    11% from 4 million in

    2000 to 15 million in

    2012.

    The United Nations

    World Tourism

    Organization estimates

    Indian outbound travelto reach 50 million by

    2020

    Indian visitation

    trends

    Indian outbound tourism market2000-2020

    Source: Government of India, Bureau of Immigration, UNWTO

    Indian outbound travel market is growing strongly

    (Millions of travellers)

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    There are over 300 million middle class individuals in China alone - equal to the entire

    population of the USA

    By 2030 China is expected to have 1.4 billion middle class consumers compared to 365

    million in the USA and 414 million in Western Europe

    Source: Forbes: 2011

    The rising Chinese middle class

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    Outbound travel is one of the

    preferred leisure activities for

    Chinas middle class amid

    rising spending power

    In the year 2000, just over 10

    million Chinese tourists

    travelled abroad

    Outbound travel rose to 70

    million people in 2011

    CNTA estimates China

    outbound travel to reach 100

    million people by 2015

    10.5m12.1

    16.6

    20.2

    28.931.0

    34.5

    41.0

    45.847.7

    57.4

    70.0

    83 million

    100

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    110

    2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015

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    China outbound travel trendsChina outbound tourism market2000-2015

    Source: China National Tourism Administration CNTA & 2015 forecast by China National Tourism Association

    Growing Chinese middle classincreasing propensity to travel

    (Millions of travellers)

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    A 2011 McKinsey study found that the rapid increases in wealth,

    and the shifting social conventions that sanction the display ofthat wealth, are driving a growing infatuation for luxury goods

    By 2015 China will account for 20% of the global luxurymarket

    Chinese consumers want luxury travel, hotels, world classrestaurants, high end retail and the opportunity to gamble

    Chinese tourists prefer to visit major cities where they can enjoythese luxury experiences

    This all helps to explain why Chinese tourists are attracted toluxury integrated resorts

    Source: McKinsey & Co Mar 2011

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    80% of Chinese travelling outside the country for

    the f i rst t ime head for a casino and 90% of Chinese

    wh o travel to th e US vis i t Las Vegas

    Dr Marc Faber (US investment analyst)

    Understanding what Chinas rising middle class want

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    3. Singapores Integrated Resorts

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    First full year of IRs operation:

    Singapores GDP increased by 14.5%in 20101

    Employment:

    Approximately 22,000 people areemployed by the integrated resorts

    Support more than 40,000 jobsthroughout the economy1

    1. Sourced from Ministry of Trade and Industry Singapore

    Singapore monthly tourist arrivalsPre and post opening of the integrated resorts

    Economic and tourism impact ofintegrated resorts

    Source: Singapore Tourism Board

    Singapores integrated resorts economic and tourism benefits

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    16Source: Singapore Tourism Board Statistics

    Impact on Chinesevisitation to Singapore

    Chinese tourists to Singapore2002-2011

    The significant increase inChinese visitors to Singaporesince the opening of its IRs to1.58 million in 2011 represents:

    An increase of 34.7% on2010

    An increase of 68% on 2009(before the opening of theIRs)

    IRs open

    0.7m

    0.9m

    1.1m

    0.9m

    1.2m

    1.6m

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Singapores integrated resorts mainland Chinese visitors

    (Millions of travellers)

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    76%

    85%

    86% 86%

    189

    218

    247257

    70

    72

    74

    76

    78

    80

    82

    84

    86

    88

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    2009 2010 2011 2012

    Occupancy Rate (%) Average Room Rate (S$)

    Impact on Singaporetourism industry

    Singapore hotel occupancy and average room rates2009-2012

    Overall hotel occupancyincreased over the lastthree years

    Averaging 85-87%

    compared with 76%in 2009 before theintegrated resortsopened

    Source: Singapore Tourism Board Statistics

    The entire Singapore tourism industry has benefited

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    Prime MinisterLee HseinLoong

    Business-wise [the integrated resorts] have donevery well, Mr Lee said.

    Revenue-wise the government has done very well.

    From an urban planning point of view, it has done a

    lot for our skyline ... its helped our image

    enormously.

    The Prime Minister said it became imperative tobuild the two projects or lose out to rival jurisdictionsin the region.

    As the world was developing, as the business was

    developing, the casino became the integrated resort

    businessnot just making it a place to gamble.

    PUBLISHED: 13 OCTOBER 2012,AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW

    SingaporePrime Ministers recent comments

    C R t

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    Crown Resorts13 November 2013

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