jallc update and social network analysis exercise steadfast … · 2019. 8. 9. · john redmayne...
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NATO OA Workshop
JALLC Update and
Social Network Analysis
Exercise
STEADFAST JUNO 2010
John Redmayne
JALLC PORA 16 June 2011
Agenda
• Introduction to JALLC
• Review of recent projects
• Social Network Analysis in Exercise
STEADFAST JUNO 2010 (Dec 2010)
• E-mails
Introduction to JALLC
JALLC Mission
• MC 510
– Perform joint analysis of operations,
training, exercises, and experimentation
– Establish and maintain an interactive,
managed Lessons Learned Database
• 2010 POW
– Outreach to other NATO HQs, NATO
bodies, NATO nations and Partners
JALLC in the new ACT Structure
HQ SACT Norfolk, USA
SACTREPEUR, NATO HQ Brussels, BEL
Strategic
Plans, Policy
Integrated
Resource
Management
Capability
Development
Joint Force
Trainer
SACTREPEUR NATO HQ (Brussels, Bel)
Joint Warfare
Centre
Stavanger, NOR
Joint Forces
Training Centre
Bydgoszcz, POL
Interaction with
ACT required
NATO
Agencies/Bodies
NC3A
NSA
USJFCOM
Coordination with
ACT required
Centres of
Excellence
JALLC
Monsanto, PRT
NURC
La Spezia, ITA
Coordination with
ACT required
NATO Education
Facilities
NATO CIS School
Latina, ITA
NMIOTC
Souda Bay, GRC
NATO Defence
College
Rome, ITA
NATO School
Oberammergau,
DEU ACT SEE SHAPE (Mons, BEL)
MCD
SHAPE
(Mons, BEL)
Bi-SC Division
JALLC Organization
Commander
Chief of Staff
Production
Branch
7
Lessons Learned
Analysis Branch
22
Budget and
Finance Branch
3
Operations
Branch
4
Communications
& Information
Svstems
Management
Branch
4
Exercise/Training
and
Experimentation
Branch
3
Admin/Registry
Branch
3
Assistant
Coordination
Officer
Total PE = 50
Partnership Staff
Element
1
NCSA SE
Monsanto
4
Support to ISAF
Recent Reports
• OMLTs (E)
• Targeting (E)
• ISAF PRTs & CIMIC (E)
• Intelligence C2 & ISR (E)
• Info Sharing in ISAF (E)
• ISAF Logistics Operations (E)
• Strategic Communication (E)
• ISAF LL Process (E)
• RC-N Training
• ISAF Economic Footprint
• Sharing LL amongst Nations
• ISAF C2
Support to SCR
• LL from CA (Sedwill Report)
E – Bi-SC Endorsed
E* – IS/IMS Endorsed
Other Reports
KFOR
• C2 and Manoeuvre Forces (E)
• Multinational Logistics (E)
• INFO OPS in the Balkans (E)
• ISR Architecture
NRF
• Time Sensitive Targeting (E)
• C2 (SFJE 08) (E)
• EBAO at SFJR 08
• JFC Naples Assessment Process (E)
• DJSE Implementation (SFJE 09 & LJL 09) (E)
• Information Flow and C2 in a JHQ as observed in Ex SFJE10 (E)
NATO Wide
• Managing Partnership (E*)
• Force Generation (E)
• Interoperability of Dismounted Soldier Systems (E)
• NATO’s Military Contribution to a Comprehensive Approach to Ops (E)
• Multinational Medical Support in NATO (E)
• Outreach within ACO (E*)
• Interoperability Shortfalls in Current NATO Led Operations (E)
• Outsourcing Logistics (E)
• Medical Civil Military Interaction (E)
E – Bi-SC Endorsed
E* – IS/IMS Endorsed
Recent & Current
Reports/Projects ISAF
• Crisis Response Operations Urgent Requirement (CUR) process
• Fratricide Prevention (BALL report follow-up)
• POMLT Training
NRF
• Information Exchange and Mechanisms in a JHQ as observed in Ex SFJO 10
NATO Wide
• CMX
• NATO Intelligence Structures (E)
• Information Sharing in Counter-Piracy
• Defence metrics
SHAPE
• ACO Assessment
OUP
• Strategic Analysis Team (SHAPE)
• NATO HQ Lessons Identified
• JFC Naples LIs
NATO LL Portals
NATO LL Databases
Joint Analysis Handbook
• Third Edition
released in October
2007
• Electronic version
(Adobe Acrobat -
pdf) available in the
JALLC website
Lessons Learned Handbook
• First Edition released
20 October 2010 in
electronic version
(Adobe Acrobat - pdf)
• Second edition will
incorporate feedback
and include more
illustrations and
diagrams (2Q 2011)
• Feedback to:
Social Network Analysis in Exercise
SFJO10 (Dec 2010)
Background
• JALLC analysis in support of SFJO10
• Analysis of the JHQ – MAIN and
Forward Element (FE)
• MAIN
– Joint Effects Management Branch (JEMB)
– Joint Synchronization and Execution
Branch (JSEB)
• FE
– Theatre Engagement Centre (TEC)
– Joint Coordination Centre (JCC)
E-Mails
• Analysis based on Exchange Server log files of e-mails received by staff – 128 mailboxes
– 38407 individual e-mails
– 24754 exercise related
• Current analysis is limited because only JEMB, JSEB, TEC and JCC staff mailboxes
• Microsoft Research SNA tool NodeXL used to support the analysis – Seamless interface with MS Excel
– Free!
Social Network
Social Network (exc. Self loops)
JCC
JCC OPS COORD
Social Network
SN – Other Means
JHQ E-mails in Exercise
SFJO10 (Dec 2010)
E-mail Analysis
5.9%
42.7%
57.6%
69.3%
78.9%
88.7%94.3%
95.0%
96.6%98.6% 99.5% 99.8% 99.9%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Cu
mu
lati
ve F
req
ue
ncy
Fre
qu
en
cy
Received E-mails per day
Mean: 42.9
Distribution
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
90.0%
100.0%
0 15 30 45 60 75 90 105 120 135 150 165 180 195 210 225 240
Cu
mu
lati
ve F
req
ue
ncy
Number of Emails received per Day
Email Distribution Poisson Weibull Gamma Erlang Exponential
Correlation
0
50
100
150
200
250
Re
ceiv
ed
E-m
ails
Staff Member
08 Dec 2010 09 Dec 2010 10 Dec 2010 11 Dec 2010 12 Dec 2010 13 Dec 2010 14 Dec 2010
Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient
Date
Date
08 Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 Dec 13 Dec 14 Dec
08 Dec 1
09 Dec 0.890 1
10 Dec 0.832 0.921 1
11 Dec 0.838 0.900 0.930 1
12 Dec 0.857 0.907 0.900 0.948 1
13 Dec 0.842 0.864 0.901 0.906 0.925 1
14 Dec 0.828 0.791 0.775 0.773 0.795 0.860 1
E-mails vs Connectivity
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Tota
l exe
rcis
e e
-mai
ls r
ece
ive
d
Number of connected staff (vertex degree)
JEMB JSEB TEC JCC Linear Trend
m=6.09R2 = 0.8362
Minimize E-mail
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
All SFJO10 Only SFJO10External only
Pe
rce
nta
ge o
f all
e-m
ails
re
ceiv
ed
E-mail Traffic
JEMB JSEB TEC JCC Overall
Contact: John Redmayne PORA
Internet: www.jallc.nato.int
NS WAN: workspace.jallc.nato.int