iv.f. greenhouse gas emissions (academy square) · city(of(los(angeles(( march(2016...

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Academy Square Project IV.F. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Page IV.F1 IV. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ANALYSIS F. GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS 1. INTRODUCTION This section evaluates the potential impacts of the Project on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. GHGs are emitted by both natural processes and human activities. The accumulation of GHGs in the atmosphere regulates the earth’s temperature. The State of California has undertaken initiatives designed to address the effects of GHGs, and to establish targets and emission reduction strategies for GHG emissions in California. This analysis incorporates information in the Greenhouse Gas Technical Report, Academy Square Project, Los Angeles, California (included as Appendix G to this Draft EIR). There are several unique challenges to analyzing greenhouse gas emissions and climate change under the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), largely because of the global nature of climate change. Typical CEQA analyses address local actions that have local – or, at most, regional – impacts, whereas climate change presents the considerable challenge of analyzing the relationship between local activities and the resulting potential, if any, for global environmental impacts. Most environmental analyses examine the “projectspecific” impacts that a particular project is likely to generate. With regard to global climate change, however, it is generally accepted that while the magnitude of global warming effects is substantial, the contribution of an individual general development project is so small that direct projectspecific significant impacts (albeit not cumulative significant impacts) are highly unlikely. Global climate change is also fundamentally different from other types of air quality impact analyses under CEQA in which the impacts are all measured within, and are linked to, a discrete region or area. Instead, a global climate change analysis must be considered on a global level, rather than the typical local or regional setting, and requires consideration of not only emissions from the project under consideration, but also the extent of the displacement, translocation, and redistribution of emissions. In the usual context, where air quality is linked to a particular location or area, it is appropriate to consider the creation of new emissions in that specific area to be an environmental impact whether or not the emissions are truly “new” emissions to the overall globe. When the impact is a global one, however, it makes more sense to consider whether the emissions really are new emissions, or are merely being moved from one place to another. For example, the approval of a new developmental plan or project does not necessarily create new automobile drivers the primary source of a land use project’s emissions. Rather, due to the “relocation” factor, new land use projects often merely redistribute existing mobile emissions; 1 accordingly, the use of models that measure overall emissions increases without accounting for existing emissions will substantially overstate the impact of the development project on global warming. This makes an accurate analysis of GHG emissions substantially different 1 For example, a new subdivision of 500 homes generates 5,000 new trips per day and those trips would be added to the local streets and intersections. Trips that are associated with those homes presumably would emit roughly the same volume of GHGs in the City as they would if they were traveling the same number of miles in Cleveland, Ohio. While raw vehicle trip counts accurately predict changes in congestion at intersections, the same certainty cannot be provided for climate change. The trips would certainly increase the number of vehicles passing through local intersections, but they will not increase the amount of GHG emissions into the world’s atmosphere if those trips simply have been relocated from another location on the planet. Gases that trap heat in the atmosphere are called greenhouse gases.

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Page 1: IV.F. Greenhouse Gas Emissions (Academy Square) · City(of(Los(Angeles(( March(2016 (Academy(Square(Project(( ( IV.F.(Greenhouse(Gas(Emissions( (Page(IV.F

Academy  Square  Project       IV.F.  Greenhouse  Gas  Emissions    Page  IV.F-­‐1  

IV.  ENVIRONMENTAL  IMPACT  ANALYSIS  F.  GREENHOUSE  GAS  EMISSIONS    

 

1. INTRODUCTION  

This   section   evaluates   the   potential   impacts   of   the   Project   on   greenhouse   gas   (GHG)   emissions.    GHGs  are  emitted  by  both  natural  processes  and  human  activities.    The  accumulation  of  GHGs  in  the  atmosphere  regulates  the  earth’s  temperature.    The  State  of  California  has  undertaken  initiatives  designed  to  address  the  effects  of  GHGs,  and  to  establish   targets   and  emission   reduction   strategies   for  GHG  emissions   in  California.    This  analysis   incorporates   information   in   the  Greenhouse  Gas  

Technical   Report,   Academy   Square  Project,   Los  Angeles,   California   (included   as  Appendix  G  to  this  Draft  EIR).      

There  are  several  unique  challenges   to  analyzing  greenhouse  gas  emissions  and  climate  change  under  the  California  Environmental  Quality  Act  (CEQA),  largely  because  of  the  global  nature  of  climate  change.    Typical  CEQA  analyses  address   local  actions  that  have   local  –  or,  at  most,   regional  –   impacts,  whereas  climate  change  presents  the  considerable  challenge  of  analyzing  the  relationship  between  local  activities  and   the   resulting   potential,   if   any,   for   global   environmental   impacts.     Most   environmental   analyses  examine   the   “project-­‐specific”   impacts   that   a   particular   project   is   likely   to   generate.    With   regard   to  global   climate   change,   however,   it   is   generally   accepted   that  while   the  magnitude   of   global  warming  effects   is   substantial,   the   contribution   of   an   individual   general   development   project   is   so   small   that  direct  project-­‐specific  significant  impacts  (albeit  not  cumulative  significant  impacts)  are  highly  unlikely.    

Global   climate   change   is   also   fundamentally   different   from  other   types   of   air   quality   impact   analyses  under  CEQA  in  which  the  impacts  are  all  measured  within,  and  are  linked  to,  a  discrete  region  or  area.    Instead,  a  global  climate  change  analysis  must  be  considered  on  a  global   level,   rather   than  the  typical  local   or   regional   setting,   and   requires   consideration   of   not   only   emissions   from   the   project   under  consideration,  but  also  the  extent  of  the  displacement,  translocation,  and  redistribution  of  emissions.    In  the  usual  context,  where  air  quality  is  linked  to  a  particular  location  or  area,  it  is  appropriate  to  consider  the  creation  of  new  emissions   in  that  specific  area  to  be  an  environmental   impact  whether  or  not  the  emissions  are  truly  “new”  emissions  to  the  overall  globe.    When  the  impact  is  a  global  one,  however,  it  makes  more   sense   to   consider  whether   the   emissions   really   are   new   emissions,   or   are  merely   being  moved  from  one  place  to  another.    For  example,  the  approval  of  a  new  developmental  plan  or  project  does   not   necessarily   create   new   automobile   drivers   -­‐   the   primary   source   of   a   land   use   project’s  emissions.     Rather,   due   to   the   “relocation”   factor,   new   land   use   projects   often   merely   redistribute  existing   mobile   emissions;1   accordingly,   the   use   of   models   that   measure   overall   emissions   increases  without   accounting   for   existing   emissions  will   substantially   overstate   the   impact   of   the   development  project   on   global  warming.     This  makes   an   accurate   analysis   of  GHG   emissions   substantially   different                                                                                                                            1     For   example,   a   new   subdivision   of   500   homes   generates   5,000   new   trips   per   day   and   those   trips  would   be  

added   to   the   local   streets  and   intersections.     Trips   that  are  associated  with   those  homes  presumably  would  emit   roughly  the  same  volume  of  GHGs   in  the  City  as   they  would   if   they  were  traveling  the  same  number  of  miles   in   Cleveland,   Ohio.     While   raw   vehicle   trip   counts   accurately   predict   changes   in   congestion   at  intersections,  the  same  certainty  cannot  be  provided  for  climate  change.    The  trips  would  certainly  increase  the  number  of  vehicles  passing  through  local  intersections,  but  they  will  not  increase  the  amount  of  GHG  emissions  into  the  world’s  atmosphere  if  those  trips  simply  have  been  relocated  from  another  location  on  the  planet.  

Gases   that   trap  heat   in   the  atmosphere   are  called  greenhouse  gases.  

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City  of  Los  Angeles     March  2016  

Academy  Square  Project       IV.F.  Greenhouse  Gas  Emissions    Page  IV.F-­‐2  

from  other  air  quality  impacts,  where  the  “addition”  of  redistributed  emissions  to  a  new  locale  can  make  a  substantial  difference  to  overall  air  quality.  

2. ENVIRONMENTAL  SETTING  

A. Global  Climate  Change  

The  earth’s  natural  warming  process   is  known  as   the  “greenhouse  effect.”    Certain  atmospheric  gases  act  as  an  insulating  blanket  for  solar  energy  to  keep  the  global  average  temperature  in  a  suitable  range  for   life   support.     The   greenhouse   effect   raises   the   temperature   of   the   earth’s   surface   by   about   60  degrees  Fahrenheit.    With  the  natural  greenhouse  effect,  the  average  temperature  of  the  earth  is  about  45   degrees   Fahrenheit;  without   it,   the   earth  would   be   about  minus   15   degrees.     It   is   normal   for   the  earth’s  temperature  to  fluctuate  over  extended  periods  of  time.    Over  the  past  one  hundred  years,  the  earth’s  average  global  temperature  has  generally  increased  by  one  degree  Fahrenheit.    In  some  regions  of  the  world,  the  increase  has  been  as  much  as  four  degrees  Fahrenheit.  

Scientists   studying   the  particularly   rapid   rise   in  global   temperatures  during   the   late   twentieth  century  believe  that  natural  variability  alone  does  not  account  for  that  rise.    Rather,  human  activity  spawned  by  the  industrial  revolution  has  likely  resulted  in  increased  emissions  of  carbon  dioxide  and  other  forms  of  GHGs,  primarily  from  the  burning  of  fossil  fuels  (i.e.,  during  motorized  transport,  electricity  generation,  consumption   of   natural   gas,   industrial   activity,   manufacturing,   etc.)   and   deforestation,   as   well   as  agricultural  activity  and  the  decomposition  of  solid  waste.      

The   principal   GHGs   are   carbon   dioxide   (CO2),  methane   (CH4),   nitrous   oxide   (N2O),   sulfur   hexafluoride  (SF6),  perfluorocarbons   (PFCs),  hydrofluorocarbons   (HFCs),  and  water  vapor   (H2O).    The  most  common  GHG   is   carbon   dioxide   (CO2),   which   constitutes   approximately   84   percent   of   all   GHG   emissions   in  California.2    Worldwide,   the  State  of  California   ranks  as   the  12th   to  16th   largest  emitter  of  CO2  and   is  

responsible   for   approximately   two   percent   of   the  world’s   CO2   emissions.3     CO2   is  the  reference  gas  for  climate  change  because   it   is   the  predominant  GHG  emitted.    To  account  for  the  varying  warming  potential  of  different  GHGs,  GHG  emissions  are  often  quantified  and  reported  as  CO2  equivalents  (CO2e).    

B. Existing  Conditions  

Existing   land   uses   within   the   Project   Site   include   three   commercial   buildings   with   a   total   of  approximately   42,763   square   feet   of   floor   area,   surface   parking   areas,   and   lawn   areas.     The   existing  buildings  are  currently  used  as  creative  office  space.    The  criteria  pollutant  emissions  from  these  existing  land  uses  were  estimated  using  CalEEMod  as  shown  in  Table  IV.F-­‐1  (Existing  Conditions  GHG  Emissions).      

                                                                                                                         2   California  Energy  Commission,  2006.  3   California  Energy  Commission,  2006.  

GHG   emissions  are   quantified  as  CO2e.  

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Table  IV.F-­‐1  Existing  Conditions  GHG  Emissions  

Categorya  CO2e  Emissionsb  

(MT/year)  

Area   0.004  Energy  Use   413  Water  Use   94  Waste  Disposal   18  Traffic   834  

Total   1,359  Notes:    MT/year  =  metric  tons  per  year    a    CO2e  emissions  were  estimated  using  CalEEMod  version  2013.2.2  for  all  operational  categories.    This  estimate  is  based  on  existing  land  uses,  existing  water  use  estimates,  and  trip  rates  estimated  by  Fehr  &  Peers.  b    CO2e  includes  CO2,  CH4,  and  N2O  emissions,  which  are  weighted  by  their  respective  global  warming  potentials.    Source:    Ramboll  Environ  US  Corporation,  May  2015.  

C. Regulatory  Framework  

Climate  change  and  GHG  emissions  are  governed  by  an  evolving  body  of  laws,  regulations,  and  case  law.    Below   are   summaries   of   some   of   the   key   regulations;   however,   the   discussion   below   should   not   be  considered  exhaustive  of  this  growing  body  of  regulation.      

i ) Federal  

1) Supreme   Court   Ruling   in   Massachusetts   et   al.   v.   Environmental  Protection  Agency  

The   George   W.   Bush   Administration’s   approach   to   addressing   climate   change   was   challenged   in  Massachusetts  et  al.  v.  Environmental  Protection  Agency  (EPA),  549  US  497  (2007).    In  this  decision,  the  U.S.   Supreme   Court   held   that   the   United   States   Environmental   Protection   Agency   (USEPA)   was  authorized  by  the  Clean  Air  Act  to  regulate  CO2  emissions  from  new  motor  vehicles.4    The  Court  did  not  mandate  that  the  USEPA  enact  regulations  to  reduce  GHG  emissions,  but  found  that  the  only  instances  in  which  the  USEPA  could  avoid   taking  action  were   if   it   found  that  GHGs  do  not  contribute   to  climate  change  or  if   it  offered  a  “reasonable  explanation”  for  not  determining  that  GHGs  contribute  to  climate  change.    

On  December  7,  2009,  the  USEPA  issued  an  “endangerment  finding”  under  the  Clean  Air  Act,  concluding  that   GHGs   threaten   the   public   health   and  welfare   of   current   and   future   generations   and   that  motor  vehicles   contribute   to   greenhouse   gas   pollution.5     These   findings   provide   the   basis   for   adopting   new  

                                                                                                                         

4     Massachusetts,   et   al.   v.   Environmental   Protection   Agency   (2007),   website:  http://www.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/05-­‐1120.ZS.html,  accessed:  November  2014.  

5     United   States   Environmental   Protection   Agency,   Endangerment,   and   Cause   or   Contribute   Findings   for  Greenhouse   Gases   under   Section   202(a)   of   the   Clean   Air   Act,   website:  http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/endangerment/,  accessed:  November  2014.  

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national   regulations   to  mandate  GHG  emission   reductions  under   the   federal  Clean  Air  Act.    The  EPA’s  endangerment  finding  paves  the  way  for  federal  regulation  of  GHGs.  

Under   the   Consolidated   Appropriations   Act   of   2008   (HR   2764),   Congress   has   established   mandatory  GHG  reporting  requirements  for  some  emitters  of  GHGs.    In  addition,  on  September  22,  2009,  the  EPA  issued  the  Final  Mandatory  Reporting  of  Greenhouse  Gases  Rule.    The  rule  requires  annual  reporting  to  the  EPA  of  GHG  emissions  from  large  sources  and  suppliers  of  GHGs,  including  facilities  that  emit  25,000  metric  tons  (MT)  or  more  a  year  of  GHGs.  

2) United  States  Environmental  Protection  Agency  and  National  Highway  Traffic  Safety  Administration  Joint  Rulemaking  for  Vehicle  Standards  

In   response   to   the  Massachusetts   v.   EPA   ruling   discussed   above,   the   Bush   Administration   issued   an  Executive  Order  on  May  14,  2007,  directing   the  USEPA,   the  Department  of  Transportation   (DOT),  and  the  Department  of  Energy  to  establish  regulations  that  reduce  GHG  emissions  from  motor  vehicles,  non-­‐road  vehicles,  and  non-­‐road  engines  by  2008.    

On   October   10,   2008,   the   National   Highway   Traffic   Safety   Administration   (NHTSA)   released   a   final  environmental   impact   statement   analyzing   proposed   interim   standards   for   passenger   cars   and   light  trucks  in  model  years  2011  through  2015.    The  NHTSA  issued  a  final  rule  for  model  year  2011  on  March  30,  2009.6  

On   May   7,   2010,   the   USEPA   and   the   NHTSA   issued   a   final   rule   regulating   fuel   efficiency   and   GHG  pollution  from  motor  vehicles   for  cars  and   light-­‐duty  trucks   for  model  years  2012–2016.7    On  May  21,  2010,  President  Barack  Obama  issued  a  memorandum  to  the  Secretaries  of  Transportation  and  Energy,  and   the  Administrators  of   the  USEPA  and   the  NHTSA  calling   for  establishment  of  additional   standards  regarding   fuel   efficiency   and   GHG   reduction,   clean   fuels,   and   advanced   vehicle   infrastructure.8     In  response  to  this  directive,  USEPA  and  NHTSA  issued  a  Supplemental  Notice  of  Intent  announcing  plans  to  propose  stringent,  coordinated  federal  greenhouse  gas  and  fuel  economy  standards  for  model  year  2017-­‐2025  light-­‐duty  vehicles.9    The  agencies  proposed  standards  projected  to  achieve  163  grams/mile  of  CO2  in  model  year  2025,  on  an  average  industry  fleet  wide  basis,  which  is  equivalent  to  54.5  miles  per  gallon  if  this  level  were  achieved  solely  through  fuel  efficiency.    California  has  announced  its  support  of  

                                                                                                                         6     National   Highway   Traffic   Safety   Administration,   Laws   &   Regulations,   CARE   -­‐   Fuel   Economy,   Average   Fuel  

Economy  Standards  Passenger  Cars  and  Light  Trucks  Model  Year  2011,  Final  Rule,  March  23,  2009,  website:  http://www.nhtsa.gov/DOT/NHTSA/Rulemaking/Rules/Associated%20Files/CAFE_Updated_Final_Rule_MY2011.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

7     United   States  Environmental  Protection  Agency,   Light  Duty  Vehicle  Greenhouse  Gas  Emission   Standards  and  Corporate   Average   Fuel   Economy   Standards,   Final   Rule,   May   7,   2010,   website:  https://www.federalregister.gov/articles/2010/05/07/2010-­‐8159/light-­‐duty-­‐vehicle-­‐greenhouse-­‐gas-­‐emission-­‐standards-­‐and-­‐corporate-­‐average-­‐fuel-­‐economy-­‐standards,  accessed:  November  2014.  

8     Government   Printing   Office,   Federal   Register,   Vol.   75,   No.   101,   Presidential   Documents,   Improving   Energy  Security,  American  Competitiveness  and  Job  Creation,  and  Environmental  Protection  Through  a  Transformation  of  Our  Nation's  Fleet  of  Cars  and  Trucks,  May  21,  2010,  website:  http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-­‐2010-­‐05-­‐26/html/2010-­‐12757.htm,  accessed:  November  2014.  

9   Government  Printing  Office,  Federal  Register,  Vol.  76,  No.  153,  Proposed  Rules,  2017-­‐2025  Model  Year  Light-­‐Duty   Vehicle   GHG   Emissions   and   CAFÉ   Standards:   Supplemental   Notice   of   Intent,   August   9,   2011,   website:  http://gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-­‐2011-­‐08-­‐09/pdf/2011-­‐19905.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

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this   national   program.10     The   final   rule   was   adopted   in   October   2012,   and   NHSTA   intends   to   set  standards  for  model  years  2022-­‐2025  in  a  future  rulemaking.11,  12.  

3) Heavy-­‐duty  Engines  and  Vehicles  Fuel  Efficiency  Standards  

In  addition  to  the  regulations  applicable  to  cars  and  light-­‐duty  trucks,  on  August  9,  2011,  the  USEPA   and   the   NHTSA   announced   fuel   economy   and   GHG   standards   for   medium-­‐   and  heavy-­‐duty   trucks,  which   applies   to   vehicles   from  model   years   2014   through  2018.13     The  

USEPA  and   the  NHTSA  have  adopted   standards   for  CO2  emissions  and   fuel   consumption,   respectively,  tailored   to  each  of   three  main  vehicle   categories:   combination   tractors,  heavy-­‐duty  pickup   trucks  and  vans,   and   vocational   vehicles.     According   to  USEPA,   this   program  will   reduce  GHG  emissions   and   fuel  consumption  for  affected  vehicles  by  6  percent  to  23  percent.    

4) Energy  Independence  and  Security  Act  

On  December  19,  2007,  the  Energy  Independence  and  Security  Act  of  2007  (EISA)  was  signed  into  law.14    Among   other   key   measures,   the   EISA   would   do   the   following,   which   would   aid   in   the   reduction   of  national  GHG  emissions,  both  mobile  and  non-­‐mobile:  

1. Increase  the  supply  of  alternative  fuel  sources  by  setting  a  mandatory  Renewable  Fuel  Standard  requiring  fuel  producers  to  use  at  least  36  billion  gallons  of  biofuel  in  2022.  

2. Prescribe   or   revise   standards   affecting   regional   efficiency   for   heating   and   cooling   products,  procedures  for  new  or  amended  standards,  energy  conservation,  energy  efficiency  labelling  for  consumer  electronic  products,  residential  boiler  efficiency,  electric  motor  efficiency,  and  home  appliances.  

3. While  superseded  by  NHTSA  and  USEPA  actions  described  above,  EISA  also  set  miles  per  gallon  targets  for  cars  and  light  trucks  and  directed  the  NHTSA  to  establish  a  fuel  economy  program  for  medium-­‐  and  heavy-­‐duty  trucks  and  create  a  separate  fuel  economy  standard  for  work  trucks.  

                                                                                                                         10   California   Air   Resource   Board,   Commitment   Letter   to   National   Program,   July   28,   2011,   website:  

http://www.epa.gov/otaq/climate/letters/carb-­‐commitment-­‐ltr.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  11   National  Highway  Traffic  Safety  Administration,  Federal  Register,  Vol.  77,  No.  199,  Rules  &  Regulations,  2017  

and  Later   Model   Year   Light-­‐Duty   Vehicle   Greenhouse   Gas   Emissions   and   Corporate   Average   Fuel   Economy  Standards,   effective   December   14,   2012,   website:   https://federalregister.gov/a/2012-­‐21972,  accessed:  November  2014.    

12   National  Highway  Traffic  Safety  Administration,  Corporate  Average  Fuel  Economy  Standards,  Passenger  Cars  and   Light   Trucks,   Model   Years   2017-­‐2025,   Final   Environmental   Impact   Statement,   July   2012,   website:  http://www.nhtsa.gov/staticfiles/rulemaking/pdf/cafe/FINAL_EIS.pdf.  Accessed:  November,  2014.  

13   United   States   Environmental   Protection   Agency,   Office   of   Transportation   and   Air   Quality.   EPA   and   NHTSA  Adopt   First-­‐Ever   Program   to   Reduce  Greenhouse  Gas   Emissions   and   Improve   Fuel   Efficiency   of  Medium-­‐and  Heavy-­‐Duty   Vehicles,   August   2011,   website:   http://www.epa.gov/otaq/climate/documents/420f11031.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

14   Government   Printing   Office,   Energy   Independence   and   Security   Act   of   2007,   January   4,   2007,   website:  http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/BILLS-­‐110hr6enr/pdf/BILLS-­‐110hr6enr.pdf,  accessed:  November,  2014.  

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Additional   provisions   of   the   EISA   address   energy   savings   in   government   and   public   institutions,  promoting  research   for  alternative  energy,  additional   research   in  carbon  capture,   international  energy  programs,  and  the  creation  of  “green  jobs.”  

i i ) State  

1) Assembly  Bill  32  (Statewide  GHG  Reductions)  

The   California  Global  Warming   Solutions   Act   of   2006   (AB   32)  was   signed   into   law   in   September  2006  after  considerable  study  and  expert   testimony  before  the  Legislature.    The   law   instructs   the  California  Air   Resources   Board   (CARB)   to   develop   and   enforce   regulations   for   the   reporting   and   verifying   of  statewide  GHG  emissions.    The  Act  directed  CARB  to  set  a  GHG  emission  limit  based  on  1990  levels,  to  be  achieved  by  2020.    The  bill  set  a  timeline  for  adopting  a  scoping  plan  for  achieving  GHG  reductions  in  a  technologically  and  economically  feasible  manner.15  

The   heart   of   the   bill   is   the   requirement   that   statewide   GHG   emissions   be   reduced   to   1990   levels   by  2020.    The  bill   required  CARB  to  adopt   rules  and  regulations   in  an  open  public  process   to  achieve  the  maximum   technologically   feasible   and   cost-­‐effective   GHG   reductions.     CARB   accomplished   the   key  milestones  set  forth  in  AB  32  including  the  following:  

• June  30,  2007.     Identification  of  discrete  early  action  GHG  emissions   reduction  measures.    On  June   21,   2007,   CARB   satisfied   this   requirement   by   approving   three   early   action   measures.16  These  were  later  supplemented  by  adding  six  other  discrete  early  action  measures.17  

• January   1,   2008.     Identification   of   the   1990   baseline   GHG   emissions   level   and   approval   of   a  statewide  limit  equivalent  to  that  level  and  adoption  of  reporting  and  verification  requirements  concerning  GHG  emissions.    On  December   6,   2007,   CARB   approved   a   statewide   limit   on  GHG  emissions  levels  for  the  year  2020  consistent  with  the  determined  1990  baseline.18  

• January   1,   2009.     Adoption   of   a   scoping   plan   for   achieving   GHG   emission   reductions.     On  December   11,   2008,   CARB   adopted   Climate   Change   Scoping   Plan:   A   Framework   for   Change  (Scoping  Plan),  discussed  in  more  detail  below.19  

                                                                                                                         15   Legislative   Counsel   of   California,   California   Assembly   Bill   32,   September   2006,   website:  

http://www.leginfo.ca.gov/pub/05-­‐06/bill/asm/ab_0001-­‐0050/ab_32_bill_20060927_chaptered.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

16   California  Air  Resources  Board,   Summary  of  Board  Meeting,  Consideration  of  Recommendations   for  Discrete  Early   Actions   for   Climate   Change   Mitigation   in   California,   June   21-­‐22,   2007,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/board/ms/2007/ms062107.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

17   California  Air  Resources  Board,  Summary  of  Board  Meeting,  Public  Meeting  to  Consider  Approval  of  Additions  to  Reduce  Greenhouse  Gas  Emissions  under  the  California  Global  Warming  Solutions  Act  of  2006  and  to  Discuss  Concepts   for   Promoting   and   Recognizing   Voluntary   Early   Actions,   October   25-­‐26,   2007,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/board/ms/2007/ms102507.pdf,  accessed:  November,  2014.  

18   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Staff   Report,   California   1990   Greenhouse   Gas   Emissions   Level   and   2020  Emissions   Limit,   November   16,   2007,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/inventory/pubs/reports/staff_report_1990_level.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

19   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Climate   Change   Scoping   Plan,   December   2008,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/adopted_scoping_plan.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

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• January  1,  2010.    Adoption  and  enforcement  of  regulations  to  implement  the  “discrete”  actions.  Several  early  action  measures  have  been  adopted  and  became  effective  on  January  1,  2010.20,  21  

• January  1,  2011.    Adoption  of  GHG  emissions  limits  and  reduction  measures  by  regulation.    On  October   28,   2010,   CARB   released   its   proposed   cap-­‐and-­‐trade   regulations,   which   would   cover  sources  of  approximately  85  percent  of  California's  GHG  emissions.22    CARB’s  Board  ordered  its  Executive   Director   to   prepare   a   final   regulatory   package   for   cap-­‐and-­‐trade   on   December   16,  2010.23  

• January   1,   2012.     GHG   emissions   limits   and   reduction   measures   adopted   in   2011   became  enforceable.  

As  noted  above,  on  December  11,  2008,  CARB  adopted  the  Scoping  Plan  to  achieve  the  goals  of  AB  32.    The   Scoping   Plan   establishes   an   overall   framework   for   the  measures   that   will   be   adopted   to   reduce  California’s   GHG   emissions   for   various   categories   of   emissions.     CARB   determined   that   achieving   the  1990  emission  level  by  2020  would  require  an  approximately  28.5  percent  reduction  of  GHG  emissions  in   the   absence  of   new   laws   and   regulations   (referred   to   as   “business   as   usual”   or   “No  Action   Taken”  [NAT]).    The  Scoping  Plan  evaluates  opportunities  for  sector-­‐specific  reductions,  integrates  all  CARB  and  Climate   Action   Team   early   actions   and   additional   GHG   reduction   measures   by   both   entities,   and  identifies   additional  measures   to   be   pursued   as   regulations,   and   outlines   the   role   of   a   cap-­‐and-­‐trade  program.    The  key  elements  of  the  Scoping  Plan  include  the  following:24  

• Expanding   and   strengthening   existing   energy   efficiency   programs   as   well   as   building   and  appliance  standards;  

• Achieving  a  statewide  renewable  energy  mix  of  33  percent;  

• Developing  a  California  cap-­‐and-­‐trade  program  that   links  with  other  Western  Climate  Initiative  partner  programs  to  create  a  regional  market  system  and  caps  sources  contributing  85  percent  of  California's  GHG  emissions;  

• Establishing  targets  for  transportation-­‐related  GHG  emissions  for  regions  throughout  California,  and  pursuing  policies  and  incentives  to  achieve  those  targets;  

                                                                                                                         20   California  Air  Resources  Board,   Summary  of  Board  Meeting,  Consideration  of  Recommendations   for  Discrete  

Early   Actions   for   Climate   Change   Mitigation   in   California,   June   21-­‐22,   2007,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/board/ms/2007/ms062107.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

21   California  Air  Resources  Board,  Summary  of  Board  Meeting,  Public  Meeting  to  Consider  Approval  of  Additions  to  Reduce  Greenhouse  Gas  Emissions  under  the  California  Global  Warming  Solutions  Act  of  2006  and  to  Discuss  Concepts   for   Promoting   and   Recognizing   Voluntary   Early   Actions,   October   25-­‐26,   2007,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/board/ms/2007/ms102507.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

22   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Proposed   Regulation   to   Implement   the   California   Cap-­‐and-­‐Trade   Program,  December   16,   2010,   website:   http://www.arb.ca.gov/regact/2010/capandtrade10/capandtrade10.htm,  accessed:  November  2014.  

23   California   Air   Resources   Board,   California   Cap-­‐and-­‐Trade   Program,   Resolution   10-­‐42,   December   16,   2010,  website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/regact/2010/capandtrade10/res1042.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

24   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Climate   Change   Scoping   Plan,   December   2008,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/adopted_scoping_plan.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

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• Adopting   and   implementing   measures   pursuant   to   existing   state   laws   and   policies,   including  California's  clean  car  standards,  goods  movement  measures,  and  the  Low  Carbon  Fuel  Standard;  and  

• Creating   targeted   fees,   including   a   public   goods   charge   on   water   use,   fees   on   high   global  warming  potential  gases,  and  a  fee  to  fund  the  administrative  costs  of  the  State  of  California's  long-­‐term  commitment  to  AB  32  implementation.  

In   connection   with   preparation   of   the   supplement   to   the   Functional   Equivalent   Document,   CARB  released  revised  estimates  of  the  expected  2020  emission  reductions  in  consideration  of  the  economic  recession  and  the  availability  of  updated  information  from  development  of  measure-­‐specific  regulations.    Incorporation   of   revised   estimates   in   consideration   of   the   economic   recession   reduced   the   projected  2020   emissions   from   596   metric   tonnes   of   CO2   equivalent   (MTCO2e)   to   545   million   MTCO2e  (MMTCO2e).25    Under  this  scenario,  achieving  the  1990  emissions  level  would  require  a  reduction  of  GHG  emissions   of   118  MMTCO2e,   or   21.7   percent,   to   achieve   in   2020   emissions   levels   in   the   “business   as  usual”   condition.     This   revised   reduction   represents   a   6.8   percentage   point   reduction   from   the   28.5  percent   level  determined   in  CARB’s  2008  Scoping  Plan.    The  2020  AB  32  baseline  was  also  updated  to  account   for   measures   incorporated   into   the   inventory,   including   Pavley   (vehicle   model-­‐years   2009   -­‐  2016)  and  the  renewable  portfolio  standard  (12%  -­‐  20%).    Inclusion  of  these  measures  further  reduced  the   2020   baseline   to   507   MMTCO2e.     As   a   result,   based   on   both   the   economic   recession   and   the  availability   of   updated   information   from   development   of   measure-­‐specific   regulations,   achieving   the  1990  emission  level  would  now  require  a  reduction  of  GHG  emissions  of  80  MMTCO2e  or  a  reduction  by  approximately  16  percent  (down  from  the  28.5  percent  level  determined  in  CARB’s  2008  Scoping  Plan)  by  2020  in  the  “business  as  usual”  or  NAT  condition.26,27  

On  October  1,  2013,  CARB  released  a  discussion  draft  first  update  to   the  Scoping  Plan.    The  discussion  draft   recalculates  1990  GHG  emissions   using   Intergovernmental   Panel   on   Climate   Change  (IPCC)  Fourth  Assessment  Report  released  in  2007.    Using  the  AR4  global   warming   potentials   (GWPs),   the   427   MMTCO2e   1990  emissions   level   and   2020   GHG   emissions   limit   would   be   slightly  higher,   at   431   MMTCO2e.28     Based   on   the   revised   estimates   of  expected  2020  emissions  identified  in  the  2011  supplement  to  the  Functional  Environmental  Document  and  updated  1990  emissions  levels   identified   in   the  draft   first  update  to   the  Scoping  Plan,  achieving  the  1990  emission   level  would  require   a   reduction   of   76  MMTCO2e   (down   from  507  MMTCO2e)   or   a   reduction   by   approximately   15  

                                                                                                                         25   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Status   of   Scoping   Plan   Recommended   Measures,   July   25,   2011,   website:  

http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/status_of_scoping_plan_measures.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  26   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Status   of   Scoping   Plan   Recommended   Measures,   July   25,   2011,   website:  

http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/status_of_scoping_plan_measures.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  27   California  Air  Resources  Board,  Final  Supplement  to  the  AB  32  Scoping  Plan  Functional  Equivalent  Document,  

website:   http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/final_supplement_to_sp_fed.pdf,  accessed:  December  2014.  

28   California  Air  Resources  Board,  Climate  Change  Scoping  Plan  First  Update,  Discussion  Draft  for  Public  Review  and   Comment,   October   2013,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/2013_update/discussion_draft.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

Global   warming   potentials  (GWPs)   are   one   type   of  simplified   index   based   upon  radiative   properties   that   can   be  used   to   estimate   the   potential  future   impacts   of   emissions   of  different  gases  upon  the  climate  system,  in  a  relative  sense.      

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percent  (down  from  28.5  percent)  to  achieve  in  2020  emissions  levels  in  the  “business  as  usual”  or  NAT  condition.29,  30,  31    

However,   it   should  be  noted   that   in   a   recent  California   Supreme  Court  decision   (Center   for  Biological  Diversity  v  California  Department  of  Fish  and  Wildlife),  the  court  held  that  a  significance  criterion  framed  in   terms   of   efficiency   is   superior   to   a   simple   numerical   threshold   because   long-­‐term   growth   in  California’s  population  and  economic  activity  will  occur  in  different  ways  throughout  the  State  and  will  inevitably  result  in  increased  GHG  emissions.    CEQA  is  not  intended  as  a  population  or  economic  control  measure.    Meeting  Statewide  reduction  goals  does  not  preclude  all  new  development,  but  rather,   the  Scoping  Plan  assumes  continued  growth  and  depends  on  increased  efficiency  and  conservation  in   land  use  and   transportation   from  all  Californians.     The  Scoping  Plan  does  not   relate   the  Statewide   level  of  reduction   effort   to   the   percentage   of   reduction   that   would   or   should   be   required   from   individual  projects.    Thus,  a  project-­‐level  reduction  that  meets  or  exceeds  the  Scoping  Plan’s  quantified  percentage  reduction   goal   does   not   in   and  of   itself   demonstrate   consistency  with  AB   32.     For   example,   as   noted  above,   a   15   percent   Statewide   reduction   of   GHG   emissions   from   the   “business   as   usual”   or   NAT  condition  is  required  to  achieve  1990  levels  by  2020;  however,  this  reduction  percentage  is  not  intended  to  be  a  quantified  impact  threshold  at  the  project  level  and,  therefore,  should  not  be  misinterpreted  to  mean   projects   must   achieve   a   minimum   of   15   percent   reduction   from   “business   as   usual”   or   NAT  conditions  in  order  for  a  project’s  specific  or  cumulative  impacts  to  be  less  than  significant.  

A   “business   as   usual”   comparison   as   a   sole   criterion   of   significance   does   not   substantiate  whether   a  significant  impact  would  result.    However,  should  a  lead  agency  choose  to  rely  on  a  quantified  threshold  of  significance,  albeit  not  required,  CEQA  demands  the  agency  research  and  document  the  quantitative  parameters  essential  to  that  method.     It  should  be  noted  that  the  City  has  not  developed  a  quantified  threshold  of  significance  for  GHG  emissions.    The  primary  threshold  of  significance  is  based,  instead,  on  qualitative  consistency  with  GHG  reduction  plans,  policies,  and  performance  standards.    A  quantification  of  existing  and  projected  GHG  emissions  by  the  Project  is  nonetheless  still  required  under  CEQA.  

2) Renewable  Portfolio  Standards  (SB  1078,  SB  107,  and  SBX1-­‐2)  

Established  in  2002  under  Senate  Bill  (SB)  1078,  and  accelerated  in  2006  under  SB  107  and  again  in  2011  under  SBX1-­‐2,  California’s  Renewable  Portfolio  Standards  (RPS)  requires  retail  sellers  of  electric  services  to  increase  procurement  from  eligible  renewable  energy  resources  to  33  percent  of  total  retail  sales  by  2020.32,33,34    The  33  percent  standard   is  consistent  with  the  RPS  goal  established   in  the  Scoping  Plan.35                                                                                                                              29   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Status   of   Scoping   Plan   Recommended   Measures,   July   25,   2011,   website:  

http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/status_of_scoping_plan_measures.pdf,  accessed:  December  2014.  30   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Final   Supplement   to   the   AB   32   Scoping   Plan   Functional   Equivalent  

Document,  website:   http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/final_supplement_to_sp_fed.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

31   California  Air  Resources  Board,  Climate  Change  Scoping  Plan  First  Update,  Discussion  Draft  for  Public  Review  and   Comment,   October   2013,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/2013_update/discussion_draft.pdf,  accessed:  November,  2014  

32   Legislative   Counsel   of   California,   Senate   Bill   1078,   September   2002,   website:  http://www.energy.ca.gov/portfolio/documents/documents/SB1078.PDF,  accessed:  November  2014.  

33   Legislative   Counsel   of   California,   Senate   Bill   1368,   September   2006,   website:  http://www.energy.ca.gov/emission_standards/documents/sb_1368_bill_20060929_chaptered.pdf.  accessed:  November  2014.  

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As  interim  measures,  the  RPS  requires  20  percent  of  retail  sales  to  be  sourced  from  renewable  energy  by  2013,   and   25   percent   by   2016.   Initially,   the   RPS   provisions   applied   to   investor-­‐owned   utilities,  community  choice  aggregators,  and  electric  service  providers.    SBX1-­‐2  added,  for  the  first  time,  publicly-­‐owned  utilities   to  the  entities  subject   to  RPS.36    The  expected  growth   in  RPS  to  meet  the  standards   in  effect  in  2008  is  not  reflected  in  the  “business  as  usual”  calculation  in  the  AB  32  Scoping  Plan,  discussed  below.     In   other   words,   the   Scoping   Plan’s   “business   as   usual”   2020   does   not   take   credit   for  implementation  of  RPS  that  occurred  after  its  adoption.37  

3) GHG  Emissions  Standard  for  Baseload  Generation  (SB  1368)  

Senate  Bill  1368  (SB  1368),  which  was  signed  into  law  on  September  29,  2006,  prohibits  any  retail  seller  of  electricity  in  California  from  entering  into  a  long-­‐term  financial  commitment  for  baseload  generation  if   the   GHG   emissions   are   higher   than   those   from   a  combined-­‐cycle  natural  gas  power  plant.    This  performance  standard  (i.e.,  reducing  long-­‐term  GHG  emissions  as  a  result  of   electrical   baseload   generation)   applies   to   electricity  generated   both   within   and   outside   of   California,   and   to  publicly  owned  as  well  as  investor-­‐owned  electric  utilities.  

4) Mobile  Source  Reductions  (AB  1493)  

Assembly   Bill   1493,   the   “Pavley   Standard”,   required   CARB   to   adopt   regulations   by  January  1,  2005,  to  reduce  GHG  emissions  from  non-­‐commercial  passenger  vehicles  and  light-­‐duty  trucks  of  model  year  2009  through  2016.    The  bill  also  required  the  California  

Climate   Action   Registry   to   develop   and   adopt   protocols   for   the   reporting   and   certification   of  GHG  emissions  reductions  from  mobile  sources  for  use  by  CARB  in  granting  emission  reduction  credits.    The  bill  authorizes  CARB  to  grant  emission  reduction  credits  for  reductions  of  GHG  emissions  prior  to  the  date  of  enforcement  of  regulations,  using  model  year  2000  as  the  baseline  for  reduction.  

In   2004,   CARB   applied   to   the   USEPA   for   a   waiver   under   the   federal   Clean   Air   Act   to   authorize  implementation   of   these   regulations.     The   waiver   request   was   formally   denied   by   the   USEPA   in  December  2007  after  California  filed  suit  to  prompt  federal  action.    In  January  2008,  the  State  Attorney  General  filed  a  new  lawsuit  against  the  USEPA  for  denying  California's  request  for  a  waiver  to  regulate  and   limit   GHG   emissions   from   these   vehicles.     In   January   2009,   President   Barack   Obama   issued   a  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       34   California   Air   Resources   Board,   et   al.,   v.   Association   of   Irritated   Residents,   et   al.,   (2011),   website:  

http://www.crpe-­‐ej.org/crpe/images/stories/7.25.11_Petition_for_Review_FINAL_with_Exhibits_smaller_version.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

35   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Climate   Change   Scoping   Plan,   December   2008,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/adopted_scoping_plan.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

36   California   Air   Resources   Board,   et   al.,   v.   Association   of   Irritated   Residents,   et   al.,   2011,   website:  http://www.crpe-­‐j.org/crpe/images/stories/7.25.11_Petition_for_Review_FINAL_with_Exhibits_smaller_version.pdf,   accessed:  November  2014.  

37   California   Air   Resources   Board,   Climate   Change   Scoping   Plan   Appendices,   Vol.   I,   December   2008,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/cc/scopingplan/document/appendices_volume1.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

Baseload   is   the   minimum   amount   of  power   an   electrical,   or   other   utility,  company  must   generate   in   a  24-­‐hour  time   period   to   meet   estimated  demand  from  its  customers.  

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directive   to   the  USEPA   to   reconsider   California’s   request   for   a  waiver.    On   June   30,   2009,   the  USEPA  granted   the   waiver   to   California   for   its   GHG   emission   standards   for   motor   vehicles.     As   part   of   this  waiver,   USEPA   specified   the   following   provision:     CARB   may   not   hold   a   manufacturer   liable   or  responsible  for  any  noncompliance  caused  by  emission  debits  generated  by  a  manufacturer  for  the  2009  model   year.     CARB   has   adopted   a   new   approach   to   passenger   vehicles   (cars   and   light   trucks),   by  combining  the  control  of  smog-­‐causing  pollutants  and  GHG  emissions  into  a  single  coordinated  package  of  standards.    The  new  approach  also  includes  efforts  to  support  and  accelerate  the  numbers  of  plug-­‐in  hybrids  and  zero-­‐emission  vehicles   in  California.    These  standards  will   apply   to  all  passenger  and   light  duty  trucks  used  by  customers,  employees  of,  and  deliveries  to  the  Project.  

5) Low  Carbon  Fuel  Standard    

Executive  Order  S-­‐01-­‐07   (January  18,  2007)   requires  a  10  percent  or  greater   reduction   in   the  average  fuel  carbon  intensity  for  transportation  fuels   in  California  regulated  by  CARB.    CARB  identified  the  Low  Carbon  Fuel  Standard  (LCFS)  as  a  Discrete  Early  Action  item  under  AB  32,  and  the  final  resolution  (09-­‐31)  was  issued  on  April  23,  2009.38    In  2009,  CARB  approved  for  adoption  the  LCFS  regulation,  which  became  fully  effective  in  April  2010  and  is  codified  at  Title  17,  CCR,  Sections  95480-­‐95490.    The  LCFS  will  reduce  GHG  emissions  by  reducing  the  carbon  intensity  of  transportation  fuels  used  in  California  by  at  least  10  percent   by   2020.     Carbon   intensity   is   a   measure   of   the   GHG   emissions   associated   with   the   various  production,   distribution,   and   use   steps   in   the   “lifecycle”   of   a   transportation   fuel.     On   December   29,  2011,   the  U.S.   District   Court   for   the   Eastern  District   of   California   issued   several   rulings   in   the   federal  lawsuits  challenging  the  LCFS.    One  of  the  district  court’s  rulings  preliminarily  enjoined  the  CARB  from  enforcing   the   regulation.     In   January   2012,   CARB  appealed   that   decision   to   the  Ninth  Circuit   Court   of  Appeals.   On   September   18,   2013,   the   Ninth   Circuit   issued   its   decision   affirming   the   District   Court's  conclusion  that  LCFS  ethanol  and  initial  crude-­‐oil  provisions  are  not  facially  discriminatory,  but  returned  the  case  to  the  U.S.  District  Court   for   the  Eastern  District  of  California  to  determine  whether  the  LCFS  ethanol  provisions  are  discriminatory  in  purpose  and  effect.    Additionally,  the  Ninth  Circuit  returned  the  case   to   U.S.   District   Court   with   instructions   to   remove   the   preliminary   injunction   against   CARB’s  enforcement  of  the  regulation.  

6) Senate  Bill  97  

Per   Senate   Bill   97,   which   was   signed   into   law   on   August   24,   2007,   the   California   Natural   Resources  Agency  adopted  amendments  to  the  CEQA  Guidelines,  which  address  the  specific  obligations  of  public  agencies   when   analyzing   GHG   emissions   under   CEQA   to   determine   a   project’s   effects   on   the  environment   (codified   as   Public   Resources   Code   21083.05).     Specifically,   Public   Resources   Code  21083.05   states,   “The   Office   of   Planning   and   Research   and   the   Natural   Resources   Agency   shall  periodically   update   the   guidelines   for   the   mitigation   of   greenhouse   gas   emissions   or   the   effects   of  greenhouse  gas  emissions.”  

                                                                                                                         38   California  Air  Resources  Board,   Initial  Statement  of  Reason   for  Proposed  Regulation   for  The  Management  of  

High   Global   Warming   Potential   Refrigerant   for   Stationary   Sources,   October   23,   2009,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/regact/2009/gwprmp09/isorref.pdf,  accessed:  November  2014.  

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7) Senate  Bill  375  

In   September   2008,   the   California   legislature   adopted   SB   375,   legislation   which:   (1)   relaxes   CEQA  requirements  for  some  housing  projects  that  meet  goals   for  reducing  GHG  emissions;  and  (2)  requires  the  regional  governing  bodies  in  each  of  the  state’s  major  metropolitan  areas  to  adopt,  as  part  of  their  regional   transportation  plan,  “sustainable  community  strategies”   that  will  meet   the  region’s   target   for  reducing   GHG   emissions.     SB   375   creates   incentives   for   implementing   the   sustainable   community  strategies   by   allocating   federal   transportation   funds   only   to   projects   that   are   consistent   with   the  emissions  reductions.  

Local  governments  would  then  devise  strategies  for  housing  development,  road-­‐building  and  other  land  uses   to   shorten   travel   distances,   reduce   vehicular   travel   time   and  meet   the   new   targets.     If   regions  develop  these  integrated  land  use,  housing,  and  transportation  plans,  residential  projects  that  conform  to   the   sustainable   community   strategy   (and   therefore   contribute   to  GHG   reduction)   can  have  a  more  streamlined  environmental  review  process.  

8) Clean  Cars  

In   January  2012,  CARB  approved   the  Advanced  Clean  Cars  Program,  a  new  emissions-­‐control  program  for  model  year  2017  through  2025.    The  program  combines  the  control  of  smog,  soot,  and  GHGs  with  requirements   for   greater   numbers   of   zero-­‐emission   vehicles.     By   2025,   when   the   rules   will   be   fully  implemented,   the   new  automobiles  will   emit   34   percent   fewer   global  warming   gases   and   75   percent  fewer  smog-­‐forming  emissions.    

9) Green  Building  Code  (California  Code  of  Regulations,  Title  24)  

Although  not  originally  intended  to  reduce  greenhouse  gas  emissions,  California  Code  of  Regulations  (CCR)  Title  24  Part  6:  California’s  Energy  Efficiency  Standards  for  Residential  and   Nonresidential   Buildings,   was   first   adopted   in   1978   in   response   to   a   legislative  mandate   to   reduce   California’s   energy   consumption.     Since   then,   Title   24   has   been  amended  to  recognize  that  energy-­‐efficient  buildings  require  less  electricity  and  reduce  fuel  consumption,  which,   in-­‐turn,  decreases  GHG  emissions.    The  current  2013  Title  24  

standards  were  adopted  to  respond,  among  other  reasons,  to  the  requirements  of  AB  32.    Specifically,  new   development   projects   constructed   within   California   after   January   1,   2014   are   subject   to   the  mandatory   planning   and   design,   energy   efficiency,   water   efficiency   and   conservation,   material  conservation   and   resources   efficiency,   and   environmental   quality   measures   of   the   California   Green  Building   Standards   (CALGreen)   Code   (California   Code   of   Regulations,   Title   24,   Part   11).     The   outdoor  water   use   standards   of   the   CALGreen   Code   are   already   addressed   by   the   City’s  Water   Conservation  Ordinance.      

10) Executive  Order  B-­‐30-­‐15  

On  April   29,   1015,  Governor   Edmund  G.   Brown   Jr.   issued   an   executive   order   to   establish   a   California  greenhouse  gas  reduction  target  of  40  percent  below  1990  levels  by  2030.    This  new  emission  reduction  target  of  40  percent  below  1990  levels  by  2030  is  a  step  toward  the  ultimate  goal  of  reducing  emissions  by  80  percent  below  1990  levels  by  2050.    The  executive  order  also  specifically  addresses  the  need  for  climate  adaptation  and  directs  state  government  to:  

• Incorporate  climate  change  impacts  into  the  state’s  Five-­‐Year  Infrastructure  Plan;    

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• Update  the  Safeguarding  California  Plan  -­‐  the  state  climate  adaption  strategy  -­‐  to   identify  how  climate  change  will  affect  California   infrastructure  and  industry  and  what  actions  the  state  can  take  to  reduce  the  risks  posed  by  climate  change;  

• Factor  climate  change  into  state  agencies'  planning  and  investment  decisions;  and  

• Implement  measures  under  existing  agency  and  departmental  authority  to  reduce  greenhouse  gas  emissions.  

11) Cap-­‐and-­‐Trade  Program  

As  mentioned  above,  the  Scoping  Plan   identifies  a  cap-­‐and-­‐trade  program  as  one  of  the  strategies  the  State  will  employ   to   reduce  GHG  emissions   that  cause  climate  change.    The  cap-­‐and-­‐trade  program   is  implemented  by  CARB  and   “caps”  GHG  emissions   from   the   industrial,   utility,   and   transportation   fuels  sections,  which  account   for   roughly  85  percent  of   the  State’s  GHG  emissions.     The  program  works  by  establishing   a   hard   cap   on   about   85   percent   of   total   Statewide   GHG   emissions.   The   cap   starts   at  expected  business-­‐as-­‐usual  emissions  levels  in  2012,  and  declines  two  to  three  percent  per  year  through  2020.    Fewer  and  fewer  GHG  emissions  allowances  are  available  each  year,  requiring  covered  sources  to  reduce   their   emissions   or   pay   increasingly   higher   prices   for   those   allowances.     The   cap   level   is   set   in  2020   to   ensure   California   complies  with   AB   32’s   emission   reduction   target   of   returning   to   1990  GHG  emission  levels.  

The  scope  of  GHG  emission  sources  subject  to  cap-­‐and-­‐trade  in  the  first  compliance  period  (2013-­‐2014)  includes  all  electricity  generated  and   imported   into  California   (the   first  deliverer  of  electricity   into   the  State   in   the   “capped”  entity   and   that  one   that  will   have   to  purchase   allowances   as   appropriate),   and  large   industrial   facilities   emitting  more   than   25,000  MTCO2E   per   year   (e.g.,   oil   refineries   and   cement  manufacturers).     The   scope   of   GHG   emission   sources   subjected   to   cap-­‐and-­‐trade   during   the   second  compliance   period   (2015-­‐2017)   expands   to   include   distributors   of   transportation   fuels   (including  gasoline   and   diesel),   natural   gas,   and   other   fuels.     The   regulated   entity  will   be   the   fuel   provider   that  distributes  the  fuel  upstream  (not  the  gas  station).     In  total,  the  cap-­‐and-­‐trade  program  is  expected  to  include  roughly  350  large  businesses,  representing  about  600  facilities.    Individuals  and  small  businesses  will  not  be  regulated.  

Under   the   program,   companies   do   not   have   individual   or   facility-­‐specific   reduction   requirements.    Rather,  all  companies  covered  by  the  regulation  are  required  to  turn  in  allowances  in  an  amount  equal  to   their   total   GHG   emissions   during   each   phase   of   the   program.     The   program   gives   companies   the  flexibility   to   either   trade   allowances  with   others   or   take   steps   to   cost-­‐effectively   reduce   emissions   at  their  own  facilities.    Companies  that  emit  more  will  have  to  turn   in  more  allowances.    Companies  that  can  cut   their  emissions  will  have   to   turn   in   fewer  allowances.    Furthermore,  as   the  cap  declines,   total  GHG   emissions   are   reduced.     On   October   20,   2011,   CARB’s   Board   adopted   the   final   cap-­‐and-­‐trade  regulation.     The   cap-­‐and-­‐trade   program   began   on   January   1,   2012,   with   an   enforceable   compliance  obligation  beginning  with  the  2013  GHG  emissions.  

i i i ) Regional  and  Local  

1) South  Coast  Air  Quality  Management  District  Policies  (SCAQMD)  

SCAQMD  is  principally  responsible  for  comprehensive  air  pollution  control   in  the  Basin,  which   includes  Los  Angeles,  Orange,  and  the  urbanized  portions  of  Riverside  and  San  Bernardino  Counties,  including  the  Project   Site.     SCAQMD   works   directly   with   Southern   California   Association   of   Governments,   County  

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transportation  commissions,  and   local  governments  and  cooperates  actively  with  all   federal  and  State  government  agencies  to  regulate  air  quality.  

2) City  of  Los  Angeles  Policies  and  Regulations  

The   City   adopted   the   pertinent   provisions   of   the   2013   CALGreen   standards   through  Ordinance  No.  182,849,  adopted  December  17,  2013.  

Prior   to   this   and   the   adoption   of   previous   Green   Building   Ordinances,   the   City   began   to  address  the  issue  of  global  climate  change  by  publishing  Green  LA,  An  Action  Plan  to  Lead  the  Nation  in  Fighting  Global  Warming   (LA  Green  Plan).     This  document  outlines   the  goals   and  actions   the  City  has  established   to   reduce   the   generation   and   emission   of   GHGs   from   both   public   and   private   activities.    According   to   the  LA  Green  Plan,   the  City   is   committed   to   the  goal  of   reducing  emissions  of  CO2   to  35  percent  below  1990  levels.    To  achieve  this,  the  City  will:  

• Increase  the  generation  of  renewable  energy;  

• Improve  energy  conservation  and  efficiency;  and  

• Change  transportation  and  land  use  patterns  to  reduce  dependence  on  automobiles.  

In  December  2013,   the   Los  Angeles  City  Council   adopted   various  provisions  of   the  CALGreen  Code  as  part  of  Ordinance  No.  182,849,  thus  codifying  certain  provisions  of  the  2013  CALGreen  Code  as  the  new  Los  Angeles  Green  Building  Code  (LA  Green  Building  Code).    The  LA  Green  Building  Code  imposes  more  stringent  green  building  requirements  than  those  contained  within  the  CALGreen  Code,  and  is  applicable  to  the  construction  of  every  new  building,  every  new  building  alteration  with  a  permit  valuation  of  over  $200,000,   and   every   building   addition  unless   otherwise   noted.     Specific  mandatory   requirements   and  elective  measures  are  provided  for  three  categories:    

(1)  Low-­‐rise  residential  buildings;    

(2)  Nonresidential  and  high-­‐rise  residential  buildings;  and    

(3)  Additions  and  alterations  to  nonresidential  and  high-­‐rise  residential  buildings.  

3. ENVIRONMENTAL  IMPACTS    

A. Methodology  

As   discussed   under   “Assembly   Bill   32”   and   “Renewable   Portfolio   Standards”,   the   “business   as   usual”  condition   does   not   take   credit   for   implementation   of   the   RPS   that   occurred   after   its   adoption.    Therefore,  the  “business  as  usual”  calculation  of  greenhouse  gas  emissions  does  not  represent  the  most  conservative  approach  to  the  analysis  of  environmental   impacts.    The  methodology  discussed  below  is  generally  accepted  as  a  more  conservative  approach  to  calculate  greenhouse  gas  emissions.      

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i ) CalEEMod™  

This  analysis  primarily  used  the  California  Emission  Estimator  Model  version  2013.2.2  (CalEEMod™)39  to  assist   in   quantifying   the   GHG   emissions   in   the   inventories   presented   in   this   report   for   the   Project.    CalEEMod™   is   a   statewide   program   designed   to   calculate   both   criteria   and   GHG   emissions   from  development  projects  in  California.    This  model  was  developed  under  the  auspices  of  the  SCAQMD  and  received  input  from  other  California  air  districts,  and  is  currently  supported  by  several  lead  agencies  for  use   in   quantifying   the   emissions   associated   with   development   projects   undergoing   environmental  review.     CalEEMod™  uses  widely   accepted  models   for   emission   estimates   combined  with   appropriate  default   data   that   can   be   used   if   site-­‐specific   information   is   not   available.     These  models   and   default  estimates   use   sources   such   as   the   USEPA   AP-­‐42   emission   factors,40   CARB’s   on-­‐road   and   off-­‐road  equipment  emission  models  such  as   the  EMission  FACtor  model   (EMFAC)  and  the  Emissions   Inventory  Program   model   (OFFROAD),   and   studies   commissioned   by   California   agencies   such   as   the   California  Energy  Commission  and  CalRecycle.  

CalEEMod™   is   based   upon   the   Air   Resources   Board   (ARB)-­‐approved   Off-­‐Road   and   On-­‐Road   Mobile-­‐Source   Emission   Factor   models   (OFFROAD   and   EMFAC,   respectively),   and   is   designed   to   estimate  construction  and  operational  emissions   for   land  use  development  projects  and  allows   for   the   input  of  project  specific   information.    OFFROAD41   is  an  emissions  factor  model  used  to  calculate  emission  rates  from   off-­‐road   mobile   sources   (e.g.,   construction   equipment,   agricultural   equipment).     EMFAC42   is   an  emissions  factor  model  used  to  calculate  emissions  rates  from  on-­‐road  vehicles  (e.g.,  passenger  vehicles,  haul   trucks).     The   off-­‐road   diesel   emission   factors   used   by   CalEEMod™   are   based   on   the   ARB  OFFROAD2011  program.  

CalEEModTM   provides   a   simple   platform   to   calculate   both   construction   emissions   and   operational  emissions  from  a  land  use  project.    It  calculates  both  the  daily  maximum  and  annual  average  for  criteria  pollutants  as  well  as  total  or  annual  GHG  emissions.    The  model  also  provides  default  values  for  water  and  energy  use.    Specifically  the  model  aids  the  user  in  the  following  calculations:  

• Short-­‐term   construction   emissions   associated   with   demolition,   site   preparation,   grading,  building,  coating,  and  paving  from  off-­‐road  construction  equipment,  on-­‐road  mobile  equipment  associated   with   workers,   vendors,   and   hauling,   and   fugitive   dust   associated   with   grading,  demolition,   truck   loading,   and   roads,   and   volatile   emissions   of   reactive   organic   gasses   (ROG)  from  architectural  coating  and  paving.    Fugitive  dust  from  windblown  sources,  such  as  storage  piles   is   not   quantified   in   CalEEModTM,   which   is   consistent   with   approaches   taken   in   other  comprehensive  models.  

                                                                                                                         39   South   Coast   Air   Quality   Management   District,   2013,   California   Emissions   Estimator   Model,   website:  

http://www.CalEEMod.com/,  accessed:  December  2014.  40   The  USEPA  maintains  a  compilation  of  Air  Pollutant  Emission  Factors  and  process   information   for  several  air  

pollution  source  categories.    The  data  is  based  on  source  test  data,  material  balance  studies,  and  engineering  estimates,  website:  http://epa.gov/ttnchie1/ap42/,  accessed:  November  2014.  

41   California   Air   Resources   Board,   2011.   Off   Road   Mobile   Source   Emission   factors,   website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/msei/msei.htm,  accessed:  November  2014.  

42   California  Air  Resources  Board,  2013,  Mobile  Source  Emission  Inventory  -­‐-­‐  Current  Methods  and  Data,  website:  http://www.arb.ca.gov/msei/modeling.htm,  accessed:  November  2014.  

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• Operational   emissions   are   associated   with   the   fully   built   out   land   use   development,   such   as  on-­‐road   mobile   vehicle   traffic,   fugitive   dust   from   roads,   volatile   emissions   of   ROG   from  architectural  coating,  off-­‐road  emissions  from  landscaping  equipment,  volatile  emissions  of  ROG  from  consumer  products  and  cleaning  supplies,  natural  gas  use,  electricity  use,  water  use,  and  solid  waste  disposal.  

• One-­‐time   vegetation   sequestration   changes,   such   as   permanent  vegetation  land  use  changes  and  new  tree  plantings.  

Mitigation   impacts   to   both   short-­‐term   construction   and   operational  emissions   as   described   in   California   Air   Pollution   Control   Officers  Association’s   (CAPCOA)  Quantifying  Greenhouse  Gas  Mitigation  Measures.43     In   addition,   CalEEModTM  contains   default   values   and   existing   regulation  methodologies   to   use   in   each   specific   local   air   district  region.    Appropriate  statewide  default  values  can  be  used  if  regional  default  values  are  not  defined.    This  analysis   used   default   factors   for   Los   Angeles   –   South   Coast   County   area   that   is   within   the   SCAQMD  jurisdiction   for   the  GHG   emission   inventory,   unless   otherwise   noted   in   the  methodology   descriptions  below.  

This  analysis  directly  or  indirectly  relied  on  emissions  estimation  guidance  from  government-­‐sponsored  organizations,   government-­‐commissioned   studies   of   energy   use   patterns,   energy   surveys   by   other  consulting  firms,  project-­‐specific  studies  (e.g.,  Transportation  Analysis  Report,  lighting  energy  for  parking  structure),  and  emission  estimation  software  as  described  above.     In  cases  as  noted  below,  third-­‐party  studies   were   also   relied   upon   to   support   analyses   and   assumptions   made   outside   of   the   approach  described  above.  

i i ) Indirect  Greenhouse  Gas  Emissions  from  Electricity  Use  

The   indirect   GHG   emissions   created   as   a   result   of   electricity   use   are   based   on   the   following  methodology.     Indirect   emissions,   such   as   when   electricity   is   used   in   a   building,   are   typically   due   to  electricity   generation   from   offsite   power   plant   locations.     For   the   Project,   electrical   power  would   be  supplied  by  the  Los  Angeles  Department  of  Water  and  Power  (LADWP).  

Using  CalEEModTM,   the  electricity   intensities  are  multiplied  by  emission   intensity   factors   for   the  GHGs  and  are  classified  as  indirect  emissions.    For  this  Project,  the  CalEEMod  CO2  intensity  factor  is  modified  based  on  the  average  factor  from  2006  and  2007  to  account  for  the  RPS.    The  intensity  factors  for  total  energy   delivered   were   estimated   by   multiplying   the   percentage   of   energy   delivered   from   non-­‐renewable  energy  by  the  CO2  emissions  per  total  non-­‐renewable  energy  metric  calculated.    Total  energy  delivery   and   total   CO2   emissions   are   provided   in   LADWP/Utility   Protocol   Reports.     The   CO2   intensity  factor  presented  in  this  analysis  is  consistent  with  the  33  percent  RPS  for  2020.    The  estimate  provided  here  and  the  Utility  Protocol  Reports   issued  by  LADWP  assume  that  renewable  energy  sources  do  not  result   in  any  CO2  emissions.  CalEEModTM  emission  intensity  factors  for  CH4  and  N2O  were  used  for  this  Project  as  a  conservative  estimate  for  these  emissions.  

                                                                                                                         43   California  Air  Pollution  Control  Officers  Association,  Quantifying  Greenhouse  Gas  Mitigation  Measures,  August  

2010,   website:   http://www.capcoa.org/wp-­‐content/uploads/2010/11/CAPCOA-­‐Quantification-­‐Report-­‐9-­‐14-­‐Final.pdf,  accessed:  May  26,  2015.  

Carbon   sequestration   is  the   process   of   capture  and   long-­‐term   storage  of  atmospheric  CO2.  

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Details  regarding  the  specific  methodologies  used  by  CalEEMod™  can  be  found  in  the  CalEEMod™  User’s  Guide  and  associated  appendices.44      The  CalEEMod™  output  files  are  provided  for  reference  in  Appendix  A  to  the  Greenhouse  Gas  Technical  Report  (Appendix  G  to  this  Draft  EIR).  

i i i ) One-­‐Time  Emissions  

One-­‐time   emissions   are   those   emissions   that   are   not   reoccurring   over   the   life   of   the   project.     This  includes  emissions  associated  with  construction,  and  emissions  associated  with  land  use  changes.    The  emission   estimation   methodology   for   both   construction   and   vegetation   changes   are   described   in  Appendix  G   to   this  Draft   EIR.     The  maximum  daily   emissions   are  not   expected   to  be  higher   than   that  estimated  given  the  conservative  assumptions  included  in  this  analysis.  

B. Thresholds  of  Significance  

i ) Appendix  G  to  the  State  CEQA  Guidelines  

In   accordance  with   guidance  provided   in  Appendix  G   to   the   State  CEQA  Guidelines,   the  Project   could  have  a  significant  impact  if  it  were  to:  

a) Generate   greenhouse   gas   emissions,   either   directly   or   indirectly,   that   may   have   a   significant  impact  on  the  environment;  or  

b) Conflict  with  an  applicable  plan,  policy,  or   regulation  adopted   for   the  purpose  of   reducing  the  emissions  of  greenhouse  gases.  

Furthermore,   as  described   in   Section  15064.4(b)  of   the   State  CEQA  Guidelines,   this   analysis   considers  the   following   factors,  among  others,  when  assessing  the  significance  of   impacts   fro  GHG  emissions  on  the  environment:    

(1) The  extent  to  which  the  project  may  increase  or  reduce  greenhouse  gas  emissions  as  compared  to  the  existing  environmental  setting.  

(2) Whether   the   project   emissions   exceed   a   threshold   of   significance   that   the   lead   agency  determines  applies  to  the  project.  

(3) The   extent   to   which   the   project   complies   with   regulations   or   requirements   adopted   to  implement  a  statewide,  regional,  or  local  plan  for  the  reduction  or  mitigation  of  greenhouse  gas  emissions.  

i i ) City  of  Los  Angeles  CEQA  Thresholds  Guide  

The  L.A.  CEQA  Thresholds  Guide  does  not  provide  any  guidance  as  to  how  climate  change  issues  are  to  be  addressed  in  CEQA  documents.      

                                                                                                                         44   South   Coast   Air   Quality   Management   District,   2013,   California   Emissions   Estimator   Model   User’s   Guide,  

Version  2013.2.2  July  2013,  website:  http://www.CalEEMod.com/,  accessed:  November  2014.  

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i i i ) SCAQMD  Tiered  Significance  Thresholds  

In   April   2008,   SCAQMD   convened   a   Working   Group   to   develop   GHG   significance   thresholds.   On  December  5,  2008,  the  SCAQMD  Governing  Board  adopted  its  staff  proposal  for  an  interim  CEQA  GHG  significance  threshold  for  projects  where  the  SCAQMD  is  the  lead  agency.    The  Board  has,  to  date,  only  adopted  an  interim  threshold  of  10,000  MTCO2E  per  year  for  industrial  stationary  source  projects.45    For  all   other   projects,   SCAQMD   staff   proposed   a   multiple   tier   analysis   to   determine   the   appropriate  threshold   to   be   used.     The   draft   proposal   suggests   the   following   tiers:   Tier   1   is   any   applicable   CEQA  exemptions,  Tier  2   is  consistency  with  a  GHG  reduction  plan,  Tier  3   is  a  screening  value  or  bright   line,  Tier  4  is  a  performance  based  standard  (i.e.,  it  considers  whether  the  project  generates  GHG  emissions  in   excess   of   applicable   performance   standards   for   the   project   service   population   [population   plus  employment],  and  Tier  5  is  GHG  mitigation  offsets.46  

According  to  the  presentation  given  at  the  September  28,  2010  Working  Group  meeting,  SCAQMD  staff  reviewed  the  tiered  significance  threshold  approach.47    The  proposed  tiers  are  as  follows:  

• Tier  1:  Determine  if  CEQA  categorical  exemptions  are  applicable.  If  not  move  to  Tier  2;    

• Tier  2:  Consider  whether  or  not  the  proposed  project   is  consistent  with  a  locally  adopted  GHG  reduction  plan   (often  called  a  Climate  Action  Plan)   that  has  gone   through  public  hearings  and  CEQA  review,  which  has  an  approved   inventory  that   includes  monitoring,  etc.     If  not,  move  to  Tier  3;    

• Tier  3:  For  all  land  use  types,  if  projects  are  less  than  3,000  metric  tonnes/year  of  carbon  dioxide  equivalents  (MTCO2e/year),  the  project  is  presumed  to  be  less  than  significant  for  GHGs.    If  the  project  exceeds  3,000  metric  tonnes  of  MTCO2e/year,  move  to  Tier  4.    More  specific  screening  thresholds  were  also  provided,  which   include  1,400  MTCO2e/year   for  commercial  projects  and  3,500  MTCO2e/year   for  residential  and  mixed  use  projects.    These  thresholds  were  based  on  a  review  of  the  Office  of  Planning  and  Research  database  which  included  711  CEQA  projects  using  a  90%  capture  approach;  

• Tier  4:  The  proposed  performance  standards  include  three  options:  

1. Percent  Emission  Reduction  Target  (no  further  recommendation);  

2. Early  Implementation  of  Applicable  AB  32  Scoping  Plan  Measures  (incorporated  into  option  3);  and  

3. SCAQMD  Efficiency  Target.  

                                                                                                                         45   South  Coast  Air  Quality  Management  District,  Board  Meeting  Date:  December  5,  2008,  Agenda  No.  31,  Interim  

CEQA   GHG   Significance   Threshold   for   Stationary   Sources,   Rules   and   Plans   for   use   by   the   AQMD,   website.  website:  http://www.aqmd.gov/home/governing-­‐board/agendas-­‐minutes,  accessed:  September  30,  2015.  

46   Ibid.  47   South   Coast   Air   Quality  Management   District,   2010.   CEQA   Significance   Thresholds  Working   Group  Meeting  

#15,   September   28,   website:   http://www.aqmd.gov/docs/default-­‐source/ceqa/handbook/greenhouse-­‐gases-­‐(ghg)-­‐ceqa-­‐significance-­‐thresholds/year-­‐2008-­‐2009/ghg-­‐meeting-­‐15/ghg-­‐meeting-­‐15-­‐minutes.pdf?sfvrsn=2,  accessed:  September  30,  2015.  

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For  option  3,  there  are  targets  for  2020  and  2035,  using  an  approach  similar  to  the  Bay  Area  Air  Quality  District  Thresholds.    

The  proposed  2020  target  is:  

o 4.8  MT/year  CO2e  per  service  population  for  project   level  threshold  (land  use  employment  only);  and  

o 6.6  MT/year  CO2e  per  service  population  for  plan  level  threshold.  

The  proposed  2035  target  is:  

o 3.0  MT/year  CO2e  per  service  population  for  project  level  threshold;    

o 4.1  MT/year  CO2e  per  service  population  for  plan  level  threshold;  and  

o Incorporate  Sustainable  Communities  and  Climate  Protection  Act  of  2008  or  Senate  Bill  375  (SB  375)  regional  targets.  

• Tier   5:   Off-­‐site   mitigation   for   life   of   project   (30   years),   if   this   threshold   is   to   be   used,   GHG  emissions   must   be   mitigated   to   less   than   the   Tier   3   screening   significance   threshold.   The  SCAQMD  clarified   that   offsets   should  have   a   30-­‐year   project   life,   should  be   real,   quantifiable,  verifiable,  and  surplus  and  will  be  considered  in  the  following  prioritized  manner:    

o Project  design  feature/onsite  reduction  measures;  

o Offsite  within  neighborhood;  

o Offsite  within  district;  

o Offsite  within  state;  

o Offsite  out  of  state;  and  

o Substitution   allowed   via   enforceable   commitment   (e.g.   when   an   offset   project   ends  prematurely).    

If  the  proposed  project  cannot  meet  any  of  the  tiers,  it  is  presumed  to  be  significant  for  GHG  emissions.    

The   Tier   4   percent   emission   reduction   target   is   based  on   a   percent   reduction   target   that   is   based  on  consistency  with  AB  32  as  it  was  based  on  the  same  numeric  reductions  calculated  in  the  Scoping  Plan  to  reach  1990  levels  by  2020.    

The  Working  Group  has  not  convened  since  the  fall  of  2010.    The  proposal  has  not  yet  been  considered  or   approved   for   use   by   the   SCAQMD   Board.   In   the   meantime,   no   GHG   significance   thresholds   are  approved  for  use  in  the  Basin.  

C. Project  Impacts    

Threshold   (a):     The   Project   could   have   a   significant   impact   if   it   were   to   generate   greenhouse   gas  emissions,  either  directly  or  indirectly,  that  may  have  a  significant  impact  on  the  environment.  

Impact  (a):    A  less-­‐than-­‐significant  impact  associated  with  GHG  emissions  would  occur.    

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The   following   discussion   presents   the   analyses   of   construction   and   operational   GHG   emissions.    Although   the   construction   and   operational   GHG   emissions   discussions   are   presented   separately,   the  level  of  impact  is  determined  by  combining  both  the  construction  and  operational  emissions.    As  such,  a  “Combined  Impact”  subheading  is  included  below.      

1) Construction  

The   construction   of   the   Project   would   begin   in   2016   and   would   be   completed   in   2018.     The   key  construction  phases  included  in  this  analysis  are:    

• Demolition   -­‐   involves   tearing  down  of   buildings   or   structures,   and   removal   of   any  paving   and  asphalt.  

• Site   Preparation   -­‐   involves   clearing   vegetation   (grubbing   and   tree/stump   removal)   and   stones  prior  to  grading.  

• Grading   -­‐   involves   the   cut   and   fill   of   land   to   ensure   the   proper   base   and   slope   for   the  construction  foundation.  

• Building  Construction  -­‐  involves  the  construction  of  structures  and  buildings.  

• Architectural  Coating   -­‐   involves  the  application  of  coatings  to  both  the   interior  and  exterior  of  buildings  or  structures.  

• Paving  -­‐  involves  the  laying  of  concrete  or  asphalt  for  walkways,  parking  lots,  or  roads.  

GHG   emissions   from   these   construction   phases   are   largely   attributable   to   fuel   use   from   construction  equipment   and   worker   commuting.     This   analysis   used   CalEEMod™   version   2013.2.2   to   quantify   the  construction   emissions.     The   construction   schedule,   off-­‐road   equipment   lists   and   equipment  specifications,  and  daily   trip  counts   for  workers,  vendors,  and  haul   trucks  as  estimated  for   the  Project  are  included  in  the  analysis.    CalEEMod™  default  values  were  used  for  equipment  and  vehicle  emission  factors,  equipment  load  factors,  and  vehicle  trip  lengths.    

This  analysis  was  based  on  a  mix  of  Project-­‐specific  estimates  and  CalEEMod  defaults  for  the  numbers  and  types  of  equipment  that  will  be  used  in  the  construction  of  the  Project  as  well  as  the  duration  of  the  different  construction  phases.    The  GHG  calculations  are  intended  to  estimate  long-­‐term  emissions.    The  construction  land  area,  schedule  and  equipment  lists,  and  grading  information,  are  in  Appendix  G.  

The  emission  calculations  associated  with  construction  equipment  are  from  off-­‐road  equipment  engine  use   based   on   the   equipment   list   and   phase   length.   The   fugitive   emissions   from   off-­‐road   equipment  performing   work   are   also   included   in   this   analysis.     The   GHG   emissions   associated   with   off-­‐road  construction  equipment  are  shown  in  Table  IV.F-­‐2  (Construction  GHG  Emissions).  

Construction  generates  on-­‐road  vehicle  exhaust,  evaporative,  and  dust  emissions  from  personal  vehicles  for  worker  and  vendor  commuting,  and  trucks  for  soil  and  material  hauling.    These  emissions  are  based  on  the  number  of  trips  and  vehicle  miles  travelled  (VMT)  along  with  emission  factors  from  EMFAC2011.      The  GHG  emission  from  on-­‐road  vehicles  associated  with  construction  is  shown  in  Table  IV.F-­‐2.  

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The   total   emissions   from   construction   are   summarized   in   Table   IV.F-­‐2.     Total  GHG  emissions   from   all  construction  phases  for  off-­‐road  and  on-­‐road  emissions  are  896  and  2,589  MT  CO2e,  respectively.    When  amortized   over   30-­‐year   project   lifetime,   the   construction   GHG   emissions   are   116   MT   CO2e/year.48    Detailed  emission  inventory  from  the  CalEEMod™  output  files  are  included  in  Appendix  G.  

Table  IV.F-­‐2  Construction  GHG  Emissions  

(MT  CO2e)  

Calendar  Year  Total  Off-­‐Road  

Emissions  

Total  On-­‐Road  Emissions   Total  Construction  Emissions  Worker   Vendor   Hauling  

2016   329   213   123   997   1,661  2017   471   668   413   0   1,552  2018   96   109   67   0   271  Total   896   990   602   997   3,485  

30-­‐Year  Amortized   116  Notes:  Construction  emissions  include  on-­‐site  and  off-­‐site  (worker/vendor/hauling)  emissions,  estimated  using  CalEEMod  v2013.2.2  or  methodologies  described  it  the  text.    CO2e  includes  CO2,  CH4,  and  N2O  emissions,  weighted  by  their  respective  global  warming  potentials.    Source:    Ramboll  ENVIRON  US  Corporation,  May  2015.  

2) Operation  

1) Vegetation  Changes  

Permanent   vegetation   changes   that   occur   as   a   result   of   Project   development   constitute   a   one-­‐time  change   in   the   carbon   sequestration   capacity   of   a   project.     In   this   case,   developed   land   would   be  converted  to  different  land  uses  with  additional  landscaped  areas  with  trees  and  vegetation.    This  would  result   in   an  overall   net   gain  of   carbon   sequestration  once   the   vegetation   reaches   a   steady   state   (i.e.,  new   vegetation   replaces   dying   vegetation).     Consequently,   vegetation   change   results   in   decrease   in  overall  GHG  emissions.  

The   change   in   vegetation   at   the   Project   Site   results   in   a   one-­‐time   net   sequestration   of   carbon   (see  Appendix   G).     The   Project   CO2e   sequestered   emissions   was   estimated   to   be   3.23  MTCO2e.     In   other  words,   the   Project   is   estimated   to   sequester   a   total   of   3.23   MTCO2e   or   0.11   MTCO2e   per   year   if  amortized  over  a  30-­‐year  project  lifetime.      

2) Annual  Operational  Emissions  

Emissions  from  mobile  and  area  sources  and  indirect  emissions  from  energy  and  water  use,  wastewater,  as   well   as   waste   management,   would   occur   every   year   after   buildout.     The   following   discussion  addresses  the  operational  GHG  emissions.  

                                                                                                                         48   This  approach  to  one-­‐time  construction  and  vegetation  change  GHG  emissions  is  based  on  the  GHG  Threshold  

Working   Group   Meeting   #13   Minutes   from   August   26,   2009,   website:   http://www.aqmd.gov/docs/default-­‐source/ceqa/handbook/greenhouse-­‐gases-­‐(ghg)-­‐ceqa-­‐significance-­‐thresholds/year-­‐2008-­‐2009/ghg-­‐meeting-­‐13/ghg-­‐meeting-­‐13-­‐minutes.pdf?sfvrsn=2,  accessed:  September  30,  2015.  

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a. Area  Sources  

Area  sources   in  CalEEMod  consist  of  direct  sources  of  air  and  GHG  emissions.    Area  sources  with  GHG  emissions   relevant   to   the   Project   include   emissions   from   hearths   and   landscape   maintenance  equipment.     The   area   source  GHG   emissions   included   in   this   analysis   result   from   landscaping-­‐related  fuel  combustion  sources,  such  as  lawn  mowers.    For  purposes  of  this  analysis,  the  Project  is  assumed  to  include   natural   gas   fireplaces   in   89.5   percent   dwelling   units   based   on   CalEEModTM   defaults.49     GHG  emissions  due  to  natural  gas  combustion  in  buildings  other  than  from  fireplaces  are  excluded  from  this  section  since  they  are  included  in  the  emissions  associated  with  building  energy  use.  

The  GHG  emissions  for  the  Project  were  calculated  using  CalEEMod™  defaults  based  upon  the  land  uses  that  would   be   part   of   the   Project,   except   that   all   cooking   stoves  were   assumed   to   burn   natural   gas,  based   on   SCAQMD   Rule   445.     The   resulting   GHG   emissions   for   the   Project   are   shown   in   Table   9   of  Appendix  G.  

b. Energy  

GHGs  are  emitted  from  buildings  as  a  result  of  activities  for  which  electricity  and  natural  gas  are  typically  used   as   energy   sources.     Combustion   of   any   type   of   fuel   emits   CO2   and   other  GHGs   directly   into   the  atmosphere;  these  emissions  are  considered  to  be  direct  emissions  associated  with  a  building.    GHGs  are  also  emitted  during  the  generation  of  electricity  from  fossil  fuels;  these  emissions  are  considered  to  be  indirect  emissions.      

Energy  use  in  buildings  is  divided  into  energy  consumed  by  the  built  environment  and  energy  consumed  by   uses   that   are   independent   of   the   construction   of   the   building,   such   as   in   plug-­‐in   appliances.     In  California,  Title  24  governs  energy  consumed  by  the  built  environment,  mechanical  systems,  and  some  types  of  fixed  lighting.50    Non-­‐building  energy  use,  or  “plug-­‐in”  energy  use  can  be  further  subdivided  by  specific  end-­‐use   (e.g.,   refrigeration,   cooking,  office  equipment,  etc.).     To  calculate   the  building  energy  input   for   the   Project   (e.g.,   electricity,   and   natural   gas),   this   analysis   uses   default   values   provided   in  CalEEMod™,  which  are  based  on   the  California  Commercial  End  Use  Survey  and  Residential  Appliance  Saturation  Survey.51  

CalEEModTM   converts   the   resulting   energy   use   quantities   to   GHG   emissions   by   multiplying   by   the  appropriate   emission   factors   obtained   by   incorporating   information   on   local   electricity   production.  Unless   otherwise   noted,   CalEEMod™   default   parameters   were   used.     The   energy-­‐related   emissions  include  project  design  features  such  as,  installation  of  Energy  Star  appliances  for  the  Project.    The  Energy  Star  commitment  includes  appliances  such  as,  clothes  washers,  dishwashers,  refrigerators,  and  fans  and  the   improved   energy   efficiency   is   based   on   CalEEMod  default   assumptions.     These   appliances   reduce  GHG  emissions  associated  with  reduced  electricity  use.    Therefore,  the  CO2e  emissions  from  electricity  and   natural   gas   uses   were   estimated   to   be   2,656   and   364  MTCO2e/year,   respectively,   or   3,020  MTCO2e/year  total  (see  Appendix  G).                                                                                                                              49   Wood-­‐burning  fireplaces  and  stoves  are  largely  prohibited  in  the  South  Coast  Air  District  as  of  March  9,  2009.  

Rule  445.  50   Title  24,  Part  6,  of   the  California  Code  of  Regulations:  California's  Energy  Efficiency  Standards  for  Residential  

and  Nonresidential  Buildings,  website:  http://www.energy.ca.gov/title24/.  51   A   detailed   explanation   how   the   Residential   Appliance   Saturation   Survey   and  California   Commercial   End  Use  

Survey  data  was  processed  for  use  in  CalEEMod  is  available  in  CalEEMod  User’s  Guide  Appendix  E  pages  27-­‐32.  

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Additionally,  energy  use  (i.e.,  electricity  and  natural  gas)  by  swimming  pools  is  calculated  from  the  City  of   Oakland   Energy   Efficient   Commercial   Pool   Program   Preliminary   Facility   Reports.     The   estimated  emissions  from  the  swimming  pools  is  21  MTCO2e/year  (see  Appendix  G).  

c. Water  

Indirect  GHG  emissions   result   from   the  production  of   electricity   used   to   convey,   treat,   and  distribute  water   and   wastewater.     The   amount   of   electricity   required   to   convey,   treat,   and   distribute   water  depends   on   the   volume   of   water   as   well   as   the   sources   of   the   water.     Additional   emissions   from  wastewater  treatment  include  CH4  and  N2O,  which  are  emitted  directly  from  the  wastewater.    

The   analysis   assumes   a   20   percent   reduction   through   the   use   of   water   saving   fixtures   and   or   flow  restrictors  as  required  by  the  California  Green  Building  Standards  Code.    GHG  emissions  related  to  the  water  and  wastewater  conveyance  were  based  on  the  utility  emission  factors  consistent  with  the  Project  analysis.  

The  Project  was  estimated  to  have  52  and  38  Mgal/year  (million  gallons  per  year)  of  indoor  and  outdoor  water  use  and  was  estimated  to  result  in  492  MTCO2e/year  as  shown  in  Table  13  in  Appendix  G.  

d. Solid  Waste  

Municipal   solid   waste   is   the   amount   of   material   that   is   disposed   of   by   land   filling,   recycling,   or  composting.    CalEEModTM  calculates  the  indirect  GHG  emissions  associated  with  waste  that  is  disposed  of   at   a   landfill.     The   program   uses   annual   waste   disposal   rates   from   the   California   Department   of  Resources  Recycling  and  Recovery  (CalRecyle)  data  for   individual   land  uses.    The  emission  estimates   in  this  Project  were  based  on  CalEEModTM  default   factors.    CalEEModTM  uses  the  overall  California  Waste  Stream   composition   to   generate   the   necessary   types   of   different   waste   disposed   into   landfills.     The  program  quantifies  the  GHG  emissions  associated  with  the  decomposition  of  the  waste,  which  generates  methane   based   on   the   total   amount   of   degradable   organic   carbon.     The   program   quantifies   the   CO2  emissions  associated  with  the  combustion  of  methane,  if  applicable.      

The   analysis   assumes   the   CalEEMod   default   waste   diversion   assumptions.     This   is   a   conservative  estimate,  as  additional  waste  will  likely  be  diverted  from  landfills  by  a  variety  of  means,  such  as  reducing  the  amount  of  waste  generated,  recycling,  and/or  composting  to  meet  the  statewide  goal  of  75  percent  waste  diversion.52    The  CalEEMod™  solid  waste  module  determines  the  GHG  emissions  associated  with  the  disposal  of   solid  waste   into   landfills,   in  quantities   that  are  based  upon   land  use   type  according   to  waste  disposal  studies  conducted  by  CalRecycle.    For  this  module,  CalEEMod™  default  waste  generation  and   disposal   rates   were   used   since   site   specific   information   was   not   available.     GHG   emissions  associated  with  non-­‐landfill  diverted  waste  streams  are  not  considered,  because  it  is  generally  assumed  that   these   diversions   do   not   result   in   any   appreciable   amounts   of   GHG   emissions   when   operated  effectively.53    These  waste  diversion  alternatives  may  result  in  differences  in  life-­‐cycle  emissions  of  GHGs,  

                                                                                                                         52   CalRecycle,   2013.   California’s   75   Percent   Initiative,   website:   http://www.calrecycle.ca.gov/75percent/,  

accessed:  December  2014.  53   California  Air  Resources  Board,  2010,  Local  Government  Operations  Protocol,  Chapter  9.4.  

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but   it   is   not   appropriate   to   combine   life-­‐cycle   emissions   for   only   one   category   of   emissions.54     As  mentioned   previously,   biogenic   CO2   emissions   were   not   included   when   CARB   analyzed   the   GHG  emissions  inventory  under  AB  32.    Therefore,  they  are  not  included  in  the  Project  emissions  inventory.    

The  Project  was  estimated  to  generate  556  tons/year  of  solid  waste  and  was  estimated  to  result  in  253  MTCO2e/year  as  shown  in  Table  14  in  Appendix  G.    

e. Mobile  Sources  

The   GHG   emissions   associated   with   on-­‐road   mobile   sources   are   generated   from   residents,   workers,  customers,  and  delivery  vehicles  visiting  the  land  use  types  in  the  Project.    The  emissions  from  on-­‐road  mobile  sources   includes  running  and  starting  exhaust  emissions,  evaporative  emissions,  brake  and  tire  wear,   and   fugitive   dust   from   paved   and   unpaved   roads.     Starting   and   evaporative   emissions   are  associated   with   the   number   of   starts   or   time   between   vehicle   uses   and   the   assumptions   used   in  determining  these  values  are  described  below.    All  of  the  other  emissions  are  dependent  on  VMT.    This  analysis  estimated  traffic  emissions  using  the  Transportation  Demand  Management  (TDM)  adjusted  trip  rates  in  the  Transportation  Analysis  Report55  (Appendix  J).    Fehr  and  Peers  estimated  the  TDM  reduction  to  be  10  percent   for  peak  hour   trips;   and,   as  a   conservative  assumption,   the  TDM  reduction   for  daily  trips  is  9  percent.  

The  analysis  includes  the  benefit  of  reductions  from  the  regulatory  programs  such  as  Pavley,  LCFS,  and  Advance  Clean  Cars.     The  Pavley   Standard   required  CARB   to   adopt   regulations  by   January  1,   2005,   to  reduce   GHG   emissions   from   non-­‐commercial   passenger   vehicles   and   light-­‐duty   trucks   of   model   year  2009   and   thereafter.     The   CalEEModTM   model   includes   emission   reductions   for   non-­‐commercial  passenger  vehicles  and   light-­‐duty  trucks  of  model  year  2017  –  2025.  Executive  Order  S-­‐01-­‐07  (January  18,   2007)   requires   a   10   percent   or   greater   reduction   in   the   average   fuel   carbon   intensity   for  transportation  fuels  in  California  regulated  by  CARB.    The  regulation  went  into  effect  on  April  15,  2010,  and  requires  a  reduction  in  the  carbon  intensity  of  transportation  fuels  used  in  California  by  at  least  10  percent   by   2020.     It  imposes   fuel   requirements   on   fuel   sold   in   California,   which   will   decrease  GHG  emissions  by  reducing  the  full  fuel-­‐cycle  and  the  carbon  intensity  of  the  transportation  fuel  pool  in  California.    Reductions  due  to  LCFS  were  further  applied  to  CO2  emission  factors  after  adjustments  from  the  Pavley  Standard  for  scenario  years  2011  and  after.    This  is  also  included  in  the  CalEEModTM  model.    The   Advanced   Clean   Cars   program   introduced   in   2012,   combines   the   control   of   smog,   soot-­‐causing  pollutants  and  GHG  emissions  into  a  single  coordinated  package  of  requirements  for  model  years  2015  through  2025.    This  regulation  has  not  been  incorporated  into  CalEEModTM,  and  thus  an  estimate  of  the  GHG  emission  reductions  from  the  Advanced  Clean  Cars  program  were  estimated  separately.  

In  CalEEmodTM,  the  trip  type  breakdown  describes  the  purpose  of  the  trip  generated  at  each  land  use.    For  example,  the  trip  type  breakdown  indicates  the  percentage  of  trips  generated  at  single-­‐family  home  

                                                                                                                         54   This  inventory  represents  scope  1  and  2  emission  categories.  A  life-­‐cycle  analysis  of  waste  diversion  would  be  a  

scope  3   inventory.  CARB’s   Local  Government  Operations  Protocol  Version  1.1   (May  2010)   clearly   states   that  scope  3  emissions  should  not  be  combined  with  scope  1  and  2  emissions.    

55   Fehr  &  Peers,  Academy  Arts  Development  Project  –  Transportation  Analysis  Report,  February  2015.  

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for   work,   for   shopping,   and   for   other   purposes.     Two   sets   of   trip   type   breakdowns   are   used   in  CalEEModTM.56    

• Residential  Trips  –  These   trips   include  home-­‐work   (H-­‐W),  home-­‐shop   (H-­‐S),  or  home-­‐other   (H-­‐O).    An  H-­‐W  trip  represents  the  trip  from  the  home  to  the  workplace.  An  H-­‐S  trip  represents  the  trip   from   the   home   to   a   land   use   were   shopping   takes   place   (generally   retail).     An   H-­‐O  represents  all  other  types  of  trips  generated  by  the  resident,  such  as  school,  entertainment,  etc.    The   trip   type   breakdown   in   CalEEModTM   is   from   district-­‐supplied   information   or   the   1999  Caltrans   Statewide   Travel   Survey   is   used   as   default   or   specific   information   obtained   from   the  various  districts.    

• Commercial  Trips  –  These  trips  include  commercial-­‐customer  (C-­‐C),  commercial-­‐work  (C-­‐W)  and  commercial-­‐nonwork  (C-­‐NW).    A  C-­‐C  trip  represents  a  trip  made  by  someone  who  is  visiting  the  commercial   land  use   to   partake   in   the   services   offered   there.     The  C-­‐W   trip   represents   a   trip  made  by  someone  who   is  employed  by  the  commercial   land  use.    The  C-­‐NW  trip  represents  a  trip  associated  with  the  commercial  land  use  other  than  by  customers  or  workers.    An  example  of   C-­‐NW   trips   includes   trips  made  by  delivery   vehicles  of   goods   associated  with   the   land  use.    The   trip   type   breakdown   from   the   number   or   workers   and   or   truck   trips   from   Institute   of  Transportation  Engineers  and  an  analysis  of   information  provided  for  the  South  Coast  Air  Basin  was  used  as  default  to  assign  the  trip  type  breakdowns  for  all  land  uses  in  CalEEModTM.    

The   estimated   trip   length   is   based   on   the   Fehr   and   Peers   analysis   for   the   weekday   total   VMT.   The  estimated   trip   length   is   calculated   by   dividing   daily   VMT   by   total   daily   trips.     Based   on   the   Project’s  Transportation  Analysis  Report  (see  Appendix  J),  there  may  be  trip  reductions  due  to:    

• Transportation  Demand  Management  measures,  including:  

o Wide  sidewalks  and  pedestrian  plazas/paseos  accessible  to  the  neighborhood.  

o Street  trees  and  landscaped  pathways  between  buildings.  

o Improved  street  and  pedestrian  lighting.  

• Specific   intersection   improvements,   including  physical  mitigation  measures   and   signal   phasing  modifications.  

The  above-­‐identified  Transportation  Demand  Management  measures  would  reduce  trips  by  designing  a  pedestrian-­‐oriented   safe   network   that   encourages   and   facilitates   pedestrian   transportation   in   lieu   of  vehicle  trips.    The  accessibility  of  the  pedestrian  plazas/paseos  to  the  neighborhood  provide  for  a  direct  means  for  pedestrian  travel  to  and  from  the  Project  Site,  further  discouraging  the  need  or  desire  to  use  personal  motorized   transportation.    The  street   trees  and   landscaped  pathways  between  buildings  and  improved   street   and   pedestrian   lighting   contribute   toward   an   inviting   pedestrian   space   that   provides  meaningful  circulation  throughout  the  site  as  well  as  to  and  from  the  site,  and  pedestrian  safety.  

As  a  conservative  assumption,  a  trip  reduction  of  9  percent  was  applied  to  the  daily  trip  rate.    

                                                                                                                         56   South   Coast   Air   Quality   Management   District,   2013,   California   Emissions   Estimator   Model   User’s   Guide,  

Appendix   A,   page   20,   Version   2011.1,   February,   website:   http://www.CalEEMod.com/,   accessed:   November  2014.  

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Trip  link  types  further  describe  the  characteristics  of  the  trip  attracted  to  each  land  use,  whether  it  is  a  primary   trip,   a   diverted   link   trip,   or   a   pass-­‐by   trip.     For   example,   a   commercial   customer  pass-­‐by   trip  could  be  a  person  going  from  home  to  shop  on  his/her  way  to  work.    In  addition,  a  commercial  customer  diverted-­‐link   trip   could   be   a   person   going   from  home   to  work,   and   on   its  way  making   a   diversion   to  shop.     Pass-­‐by   trips   generate   virtually   no   additional   running   emissions   but   could   generate   additional  resting  and  startup  emissions.    Diverted  trips  generate  less  running  emissions  compared  to  primary  trips,  and  can  also  generate  additional  resting  and  startup  emissions.  

The  Transportation  Analysis  Report  (Appendix  J)  incorporated  a  reduction  related  to  pass-­‐by  trips  and  it  was  conservatively  assumed  that  there  were  no  additional  diverted  trips.    The  trip  rates,  based  on  the  traffic  analysis,  are  shown  in  Table  15a  in  Appendix  J.    

The  Project  was  estimated  to  generate  approximately  14,238,416  VMT/year  and  was  estimated  to  result  in   5,666   MTCO2e/year   as   shown   in   Table   16a   in   Appendix   G.     The   mobile   source   emissions   include  customer   trips   as   evaluated   by   CalEEModTM.     The   Project   was   estimated   to   generate   approximately  8,627,961   VMT/year.     The   estimated  mobile   source   emissions   if   the   customer   trips   are   excluded   are  3,433  MTCO2e/year,  as  shown  in  Table  16b  in  in  Appendix  G.    

3) Combined  Impact  

Consistent   with   AB   32,   this   analysis   compares   the   Project’s   emissions   to  the   SCAQMD  draft   efficiency   target   for   2020.     The   SCAQMD’s   draft   2020  target  for  project-­‐level  analysis  is  4.8  MT/year  CO2e  per  service  population  (i.e.,   residents   and   employees).     When   assessing   the   Project’s   GHG  emissions  with  this  methodology,  the  analysis  used  a  modified  emissions  inventory  to  compare  against  the  efficiency  target  because  the  SCAQMD’s  draft  definition  of  “service  population”  leads  to  a  negative  bias   for   projects  with  high  numbers   of   “customers”   or   “visitors,”   such   as   retail,   restaurants,   hospitals  and  medical  offices.    With  the  SCAQMD’s  draft  approach,  the  emissions  from  customers  and  visitors  are  included   in   the   total   emissions,   but   these   customers   and   visitors   are   excluded   from   the   service  population.  The  modified  emissions   inventory  used   in   this  analysis  evaluates   the  emissions  associated  with   the  defined   service  population;   as   such,  mobile   source  emissions  associated  with   customers  and  visitors  are  excluded  from  the  emissions  total.    

The  Project’s  combined  construction  and  operational  emissions  are  estimated  to  be  7,388  metric   tons  (MT)   CO2e/year   and   the   Project’s   efficiency   metric   (i.e.,   the   Project’s   GHG   emissions   divided   by   the  service   population)   is   estimated   to   be   3.91  MT/year   CO2e   per   service   population   (see   also   the   Tier   4  discussion  under  SCAQMD  Tiered  Significance  Thresholds,  above).    Therefore,  the  Project  would  result  in  less-­‐than-­‐significant   impacts   as   it   would   generate   GHG   emissions   that   are   below   the   SCAQMD   draft  efficiency  target  of  4.8  MT/year  CO2e  per  service  population  (see  Table  IV.F-­‐3,  Project  GHG  Emissions).  

The   service   population  is   the   residents   and  employees.  

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Table  IV.F-­‐3       Project  GHG  Emissions  

Categorya   CO2e  Emissionsb  

Area   58  Energy  Use   3,020  Water  Use   492  Waste  Disposal   253  Traffic   3,433  Swimming  Pool   21  

Subtotal   7,278  Construction  Amortized   116  Vegetation  Amortized   -­‐6  

Total   7,388  Service  Population  

Emissions  per  Service  Population  SCAQMD  Efficient  Metric  Threshold  Above  Threshold?  

1,890  3.91  4.8  No  

Note:    Totals  may  not  add  precisely  due  to  rounding.      a    CO2e  emissions  were  estimated  using  CalEEMod  version  2013.2.2.  b    CO2e  includes  CO2,  CH4,  and  N2O  emissions,  which  are  weighted  by  their  respective  global  warming  potentials.    Source:    Ramboll  Environ  US  Corporation,  May  2015.  

 

Threshold  (b):    The  Project  could  have  a  significant  impact  if  it  were  to  conflict  with  an  applicable  plan,  policy,  or  regulation  adopted  for  the  purpose  of  reducing  the  emissions  of  greenhouse  gases.  

Impact   (b):    A   less-­‐than-­‐significant   impact  with   respect   to  consistency  with  GHG  plans,  policies,  and  regulations  would  occur.      

As  discussed  previously,   the  ARB  AB32  Scoping  Plan  was  developed  to  direct   the  State  to  reduce  GHG  emissions   to   1990   levels.     The   measures   from   the   ARB   AB32   Scoping   Plan   are   applicable   to   State,  regional,   and   local   agencies   in   the   development   of   plans   to   reduce   GHG   emissions,   but   are   not  applicable  to  each  and  every  new  general  development  project.    However,  strategies  and  measures  have  been  implemented  on  the  State  level  by  example  of  the  2013  Title  24  CALGreen  Code  and  on  the  local  level  by  the  City  of  Los  Angeles  Green  Building  Code.  

As  discussed  previously,  the  SCAQMD’s  Tier  4  draft  4.8  MTCO2E  per  service  population  efficiency  target  was  proposed  based  on  the  goal  of  AB  32  to  reduce  statewide  GHG  emissions  to  1990  levels  by  2020.    As  shown  in  the  previous  analysis,  the  Project  would  have  an  efficiency  of  3.91  MTCO2e  of  GHGs  per  service  population.    Therefore,   the  Project  would  be  consistent  with   the  goals  of  AB  32.    Further,   the  Project  would  be  consistent  with  other  plans,  guidelines,  and  regulations,  including  the  2013  Title  24  CALGreen  Code  and  the  LA  Green  Building  Code,  and  Green  LA.    Based  on  this  information,  the  Project  would  not  conflict  with  an  applicable  plan,  policy  or  regulation  for  the  purpose  of  reducing  the  emissions  of  GHGs.    Therefore,  the  impact  of  the  Project  would  be  less  than  significant.  

4. CUMULATIVE  IMPACTS  

The  geographic  extent  of  GHG  emissions   is  global,  and  the  effect  of   these  emissions  on  global  climate  change  is  potentially  worldwide.    As  discussed  above,  emitting  GHGs  into  the  atmosphere  is  not  itself  an  

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adverse  environmental  effect.    Rather,  it  is  the  increased  accumulation  of  GHGs  in  the  atmosphere  that  may   result   in   global   climate   change;   the   consequences  of  which  may   result   in   adverse  environmental  effects.     The   State   has  mandated   a   goal   of   reducing   statewide   emissions   to   1990   levels   by   2020.     As  discussed  above,   the  Project  would  have  an  efficiency  of   3.91  MTCO2e  of  GHGs,  which  would  be   less  than  the  SCAQMD’s  draft  threshold  of  4.8  MTCO2e  per  service  population,  and,  therefore,  determined  to  be  a   less-­‐than-­‐significant   impact.    This  efficiency  target  was  established  based  on  the  goal  of  AB  32  to  reduce   statewide   GHG   emissions   to   1990   levels   by   2020.     Moreover,   because   of   the   global   scale   of  climate   change,   any   one   project’s   contribution   is   unlikely   to   be   significant   by   itself.     For   many   air  pollutants,   the   significance   of   their   environmental   impact   may   depend   greatly   on   where   they   are  emitted;  however,  for  GHG  is  does  not.    The  fact  that  carbon  dioxide  and  other  GHGs,  once  released  into  the  atmosphere,  are  not  contained  in  the  local  area  of  their  emissions  means  that  the  impacts  are  also  global  rather  than  local.    The  impact  of  the  proposed  Project  in  addition  to  the  related  projects  are  not  directly   relevant   to   the   determination   of   a   cumulative   impact   because   of   the   complex   physical,  chemical,   and   atmospheric   mechanisms   involved   in   global   climate   change.     Similar   to   the   proposed  Project,   the   related   projects   are   reasonably   anticipated   to   demonstrate   compliance   with   applicable  plans,   policies,   and   guidelines   addressing   GHG   emissions   and   climate   change,   which   would   further  reduce  GHG  emissions   to   the  extent   feasible  and  appropriate.    Furthermore,   the  GHG  emissions   from  the  Project  and  the  related  projects  would  be  negligible  compared  to  the  State  or  global  GHG  emissions.    As  such,  the  GHG  emissions  of  the  Project  in  combination  with  the  related  projects  would  not  result  in  a  cumulatively  significant  impact.  

5. MITIGATION  MEASURES    

The   Project  would   result   in   a   less-­‐than-­‐significant   impact   to   GHG   emissions,   as   the   Project  would   be  consistent  with   the  State’s  programs  to  achieve  specific  GHG  emissions  reductions,  as   reflected   in   the  assumptions   set   forth   above.     Furthermore,   many   of   the   project   design   features   listed   throughout  Section  IV.N  (Utilities  and  Energy)  would  support  the  reduction  of  GHG  emissions,   including  LEED  Gold  certification  for  the  proposed  office  buildings  and  LEED  Silver  certification  for  the  proposed  residential  building.    Nonetheless,   the   following  mitigation  measure   is   recommended   to   further   reduce   the   less-­‐than-­‐significant  impact  and  reflect  good  planning  practices  currently  promoted  by  the  City.    

MM  GHG-­‐1   To   encourage   carpooling   and   the   use   of   electric   vehicles   by   Project   residents  and   visitors,   at   least   twenty   (20)%   of   the   total   code-­‐required   parking   spaces  provided  for  all  types  of  parking  facilities,  but  in  no  case  less  than  one  location,  shall  be  capable  of  supporting  future  electric  vehicle  supply  equipment  (EVSE).  Plans  shall   indicate  the  proposed  type  and  location(s)  of  EVSE  and  also   include  raceway  method(s),  wiring   schematics  and  electrical   calculations   to  verify   that  the  electrical  system  has  sufficient  capacity  to  simultaneously  charge  all  electric  vehicles  at  all  designated  EV  charging  locations  at  their  full  rated  amperage.  Plan  design   shall   be  based  upon   Level   2  or   greater   EVSE  at   its  maximum  operating  ampacity.  Only  raceways  and  related  components  are  required  to  be  installed  at  the  time  of  construction.  When  the  application  of  the  20%  results  in  a  fractional  space,  round  up  to  the  next  whole  number.  A   label  stating  “EV  CAPABLE”  shall  be  posted   in  a  conspicuous  place  at   the  service  panel  or  subpanel  and  next   to  the  raceway  termination  point.  

6. LEVEL  OF  SIGNIFICANCE  AFTER  MITIGATION  

Impacts  associated  with  GHG  emissions  from  the  Project  would  be  less  than  significant.