iv vc investment criteria-libre
TRANSCRIPT
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In partial fulfilment of the
Full time Masters of Business
Administration degree
Business Mastery Project
Presented to
Guy Fraser-Sampson
Visiting Lecturer in Finance
Cass Business School
City University
Venture Capital Investment Criteria An analysis of criteria and their relative importance
Izindi Visagie, #100058177
Word count: 14,458
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The graphic on the front cover illustrates the main industries Venture
Capitalists invest in, i.e. Cleantech, IT, Telecoms and Biotech. The team
picture illustrates the underpinning of Venture Capital by people, the
entrepreneurial team and the Venture Capitalists.
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Table of Contents
Abbreviations ................................................................................................... 8
Executive summary .......................................................................................... 9
1. Introduction .............................................................................................. 14
2. Background ............................................................................................. 18
2.1 Main VC markets .............................................................................. 18
2.2 Main industries .................................................................................. 20
2.3 Recent changes ................................................................................ 21
3. Research Methodology............................................................................ 23
3.1 Literature review and desktop research ............................................ 23
3.2 Interview sample selection ................................................................ 23
3.3 Interview methodology ...................................................................... 25
3.4 Ranking and rating of criteria and elements within criteria ................ 27
3.5 Coding of responses ......................................................................... 28
4. Ranking of criteria ................................................................................... 30
4.1 Management team ............................................................................ 34
4.2 Market Drivers .................................................................................. 35
4.3 Unique and disruptive product .......................................................... 35
4.4 Scalable Business Model .................................................................. 36
4.5 Commercial Proof of Concept ........................................................... 36
4.6 VC specific factors ............................................................................ 36
5. Ranking of elements of criteria ................................................................ 39
5.1 Team................................................................................................. 39
5.2 Market ............................................................................................... 51
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5.3 Product ............................................................................................. 53
5.4 VC specific factors ............................................................................ 57
6. Effect of the stage of the investment company on ranking of criteria ... 60
7. Effect of phase of fund on ranking of criteria ........................................ 62
8. Effect of VCs experience on ranking of criteria .................................... 64
9. Effect of size of the VCs fund on ranking of criteria ............................. 67
10. Effect of types of VC investors on ranking of criteria ............................ 70
11. Effect of the country/culture within which the VC operates .................. 73
12. Other factors ........................................................................................ 77
12.1 VCs evaluation of unsolicited proposals........................................... 77
12.2 Negotiating anti-dilution measures .................................................... 78
13. Limitations ............................................................................................ 80
14. Suggestions for further research .......................................................... 81
15. Conclusions and recommendations ..................................................... 82
Appendices .................................................................................................... 94
Appendix 1: Analysis of VC returns: UK, USA and S&P500 ....................... 94
Appendix 2: Five year progression of VC investment ................................. 96
2.1 The United States of America ........................................................ 97
2.2 The United Kingdom ...................................................................... 98
2.3 Switzerland .................................................................................. 101
2.4 China ........................................................................................... 103
2.5 Germany ...................................................................................... 104
2.6 Israel ............................................................................................ 105
2.7 Canada ........................................................................................ 106
2.8 France ......................................................................................... 107
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2.9 A selection of other countries ...................................................... 108
Appendix 3: VC investment by industry and expectations of future
investment by industry .............................................................................. 110
Appendix 4: Interview questions ............................................................... 112
Appendix 5: Methodology for division of firms between stages ................ 115
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List of Tables
Table 1: List of questions developed and explained in this paper ............... 16
Table 2: Investment criteria with brief explanation and evidence for use .... 30
Table 3: Results from VC interviews on the relative importance of criteria . 33
Table 4: Average of VCs ratings of the importance of the elements of VC
specific criterion ........................................................................... 37
Table 5: Elements/characteristics within the Management Team criterion . 39
Table 6: Summary of the order of relative importance of criteria, as found by
Franke et al (2008) ........................................................................ 41
Table 7: Results from VC interviews on relative importance of elements of
Team criterion ............................................................................... 45
Table 8: Elements of the Product criterion, together with justification for their
use ................................................................................................ 53
Table 9: Results from VC interviews on the relative importance of the
elements of the Product criterion................................................... 54
Table 10: Elements of VC specific criterion, together with justification for their
use ................................................................................................ 57
Table 11: Results from VC interviews on the relative importance of elements
of the VC specific criterion ............................................................ 58
Table 12: Order of criteria for Later (20% seed and
early investments as proportion of portfolio) ................................. 61
Table 13: Comparison of relative importance of criteria by later stage
investors and VCs from firms who manage funds in excess of 100
million ............................................................................................ 68
Table 14: Comparative rankings of investment criteria by Privately backed
VCs, Government backed VCs and VCTs .................................... 72
Table 15: Comparison of ranking of investment criteria by VCs operating in
different cultures. (UK average is an average of 14 responses) ... 75
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List of figures
Figure 1: The Constellation of Venture Capital Investment Criteria ............... 10
Figure 2: Private Equity as a percentage of GDP .......................................... 19
Figure 3: Summary of order of importance of investment criteria ................... 32
Figure 4: Relative importance of criteria ........................................................ 34
Figure 5: Relative importance of elements of the Team criterion ................... 46
Figure 6: Preferences on market timing entry ................................................ 51
Figure 7: Illustration of importance of elements of the Product criterion ........ 54
Figure 8: Relative importance of elements of the Product criterion ................ 55
Figure 9: Ranking of elements of Product criterion according to experience . 56
Figure 10: Relative importance of elements of VC specific factors ................ 58
Figure 11: Relative importance of VC specific criterion elements .................. 59
Figure 12: Comparison of relative importance of criteria early and later stage
investors ........................................................................................................ 61
Figure 13: Traffic light of VCs indications on investment criteria in the later
phase of a fund .............................................................................................. 62
Figure 14: Comparison of rankings of criteria by VCs with less than 10 years
experience vs VCs with more than 10 years experience ............................... 65
Figure 15: The combined values VCs from the two groups (more and less
experienced) place on the characteristics of a team/entrepreneur ................ 65
Figure 16: Comparison of investment criteria by VCs in firms managing funds
smaller than 100m vs firms managing funds larger than 100m .................. 67
Figure 17: Ranking of criteria by the two groups of VCs: one group who
manage funds less than 100 million, and the other who manage funds larger
than 100 million ............................................................................................ 68
Figure 18: Comparison of average value of rankings by VCs with different
investors: private, government and VCTs ...................................................... 71
Figure 19: Returns of VC in UK and US, against that of the S&P 500 ........... 94
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Figure 20: Returns of top quartile VC funds in UK and US ............................ 95
Figure 21: Returns of UK VC: Top quartile vs all funds .................................. 95
Figure 22: Number of all VC and PE investments .......................................... 97
Figure 23: Value of all VC and PE investments in the US .............................. 97
Figure 25: Value of VC and PE investments in the UK .................................. 98
Figure 26: VC investment in the UK by value and number ............................ 98
Figure 27: Switzerland VC investment statistics for the last 12 months ....... 101
Figure 29: Value of VC and PE investments in Switzerland ......................... 102
Figure 28: Number of VC and PE investments in Switzerland ..................... 102
Figure 30: VC investments by number and value ........................................ 102
Figure 33: Number of PE and VC investments in China .............................. 103
Figure 32: VC investment in China .............................................................. 103
Figure 31: Value of PE and VC investments in China ................................. 103
Figure 35: Value of VC and PE investments in Germany ............................ 104
Figure 34: Number of VC and PE investments in Germany ......................... 104
Figure 36: Number and value of VC investments......................................... 104
Figure 37: Value of VC and PE investments in Israel .................................. 105
Figure 38: Number of VC and PE investments in Israel ............................... 105
Figure 39: Number and value of VC investments in Israel ........................... 105
Figure 41: Value of VC and PE investments in Canada .............................. 106
Figure 42: Number and value of VC investments in Canada ....................... 106
Figure 40: Number of VC and PE investments in Canada ........................... 106
Figure 44: Value of VC and PE investments in France ................................ 107
Figure 43: Number of VC and PE investments in France ........................... 107
Figure 45: Number and value of VC investments in France ......................... 107
Figure 46: VC Investment statistics worldwide by industry .......................... 110
Figure 47: Anticipated level of investment change in sectors ..................... 111
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Abbreviations
BVCA British Venture Capital Association
EVCA European Venture Capital Association
NVCA National Venture Capital Association (US)
PE Private Equity
VC Venture Capital
VCs Venture Capitalists
VCTs Venture Capital Trusts
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Executive summary
Decision making criteria employed by VCs has been a source of fascination to
many; entrepreneurs seeking funding, VCs seeking comparability and
academics seeking wisdom. This paper considers investment criteria used by
Venture Capitalists (VCs). It reviews the available literature and, through an
entirely new data set collected for the purpose of this paper, sets out and
analyses the relative importance VCs attribute to the following criteria:
Management Team
Market Drivers
Product
Scalable Business Model
Commercial Proof of Concept
VC specific factors such as pre-existing portfolio and fund phase
Sixteen VCs ranked the above criteria in relative order of importance. Figure 1
below illustrates the findings of this paper that for the sixteen VCs interviewed,
Management Team is the most important criterion, shortly followed by Market,
then Product, Scalable Business Model, Commercial Proof of Concept, and
lastly VC specific factors.
The importance of Product, Commercial Proof of Concept and Scalability of
Business should not be underestimated, even though these rank lower
relative to Team and Market. Some VCs will not invest unless all of these
criteria are met.
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Figure 1: The Constellation of Venture Capital Investment Criteria - summary of relative importance of criteria and elements within criteria
Within some of these six listed criteria, VCs consider certain elements more
important than others. This paper breaks down the elements and analyses
their relative importance. Within the Team criterion, Personal Motivation and
Industry Experience are the most important elements. General likeability
achieve a mid-ranking as a result of VCs polarised views on this criterion,
with some seeing it as crucial and others irrelevant. Field and Level of
Education is considered least important of the Team characteristics analysed.
Previous studies have found Field and Level of Education to be very
important, but this paper suggests that VCs do not consider it as important as
any of the other Team characteristics. The findings that Personal Motivation
ranks highest and Field and Level of Education lowest make new
contributions to the literature. The importance VCs attribute to General
Product Team Market Investment
decision making
Scalable
business model
VC factors Commercial
Proof of Concept
Product Team Market Investment
decision making
Scalable
business model
VC factors Commercial
Proof of Concept
Product Team
First mover
Second mover
No preference
VC Factors
Investment
decision making
Scalable
business model
Commercial Proof of Concept Market
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Likeability has never been tested and this paper contributes to the literature in
that respect.
Data analysed for this paper suggests that, within the Market criterion, VCs
generally prefer first movers over second movers when considering a
potential investment. Within Product, VCs consider Need or Want by far the
most important element, more important than Non-appropriability, Flexibility or
Persistence. In considering new investments, VCs consider the timeframe
within which the company will deliver a return on investment to be more
important than the phase of their fund or pre-existing portfolio.
The author considers whether the order of importance of the six criteria above
changes depending on the:
Stage of the company invested in. The group of VCs in which early
stage investments make up more than 20% of all investments, consider
Commercial Proof of Concept 5th in order of importance, whereas later
stage investors consider Commercial Proof of Concept the 3rd most
important criterion. The two groups consider the remaining criteria
similar in order of relative importance.
Experience of the VC . Although the order of criteria is not different for
VCs with more or less experience, the more experienced VCs appear
to place a higher premium on Team, Market and VC specific factors
relative to their less experienced colleagues. More experienced VCs
rank the characteristics of a good team (i.e. elements within the Team
criterion), in the same order as less experienced VCs, disproving
previous findings that less experienced VCs attached different
importance to criteria.
Phase of the VCs fund . The majority of VCs say that the order of
importance of criteria would change in the later phase of their fund with
VC specific factors increasing in relative importance.
Size of the VCs fund. VCs in firms managing larger funds considered
Market to be slightly more important than Team; VCs in firms managing
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smaller funds considered Team much more important than Market.
Scalable Business Model is considered more important by VCs in
smaller firms, taking 3rd place whereas for VCs in larger firms, this
criterion falls to 5th place. VCs in larger firms appear to consider VC
specific factors almost twice as important as their counterparts in the
smaller firms do.
Country/culture within whi ch the VC operates. The limited sample
indicates that there is no marked difference between the relative
rankings of VCs in the UK, Canada and Europe. However, the author
considers that the small sample size does not provide sufficient
information on criteria employed by VCs in countries outside of the UK
and further research is recommended.
The paper also reflects on the following:
Whether VCs use a different process to assess the business proposals
received through referrals from within their existing networks than they
do if a proposal is received cold. It is found that in the large majority of
cases VCs do not use different processes, although VCs feel the
quality of referred business plans are universally better.
Whether UK VCs tend to use anti-dilution measures. It is found that UK
VCs tend to use anti-dilution measures more infrequently than their
American counterparts are reported to do.
Entrepreneurs should tailor their approaches to VCs taking account of their
own company stage, but also of the size of the VC firm they are approaching
and the phase of that VCs fund/s. Entrepreneurs should be aware that VCs
backed by different types of investors may consider criteria in different order
of importance. The country within which the VC operates may also have an
effect on their investment approach.
Entrepreneurs should try to be referred to VCs by someone within VCs
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networks. VCs are of the view that referred business plans are on the whole
better than proposals received cold. In negotiating investment agreements,
entrepreneurs should not assume that all VCs used anti-dilution measures.
This paper is important for entrepreneurs seeking funding, VCs and the
academic investigation of VC decision making because it provides a new data
set, a considered refinement of existing criteria used in other studies and an in
depth statistical analysis of the importance VCs attach to those criteria. The
research undertaken for this paper is important and highly relevant, being the
only study (the author is aware of) that focuses on UK VCs.
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1. Introduction
Decision making criteria employed by VCs has been a source of fascination to
many; entrepreneurs seeking funding, VCs seeking comparability and
academics seeking wisdom. VCs are considered experts in identifying
promising companies, as is evidenced by the higher survival rate of VC
backed ventures, compared to non-VC backed ventures (Kunkel,1990).
Although the success of VC-backed companies may simply be evidence of
the assistance and benefits a company receives by virtue of its relationship
with the VC, it may also be that VCs superior selection skills enables them to
spot the winners early on.
Many studies have considered VC decision making (Wells, 1974) (Tyebjee
and Bruno, 1984) (MacMillan et al, 1985) (Hisrich, 1990) (Hall and Hofer,
1993) (Muzyka et al,1996) (Shepherd, 1999 (a)) (Zacharakis and Meyer,
2000) (Silva, 2004) (Franke et al, 2008) (Hudson, 2005) (Gimmon and Levie,
2009) (Huyghe, 2011) (Petty and Gruber, 2011), but to the authors best
knowledge, no studies have to date been undertaken specifically on UK VCs
investment criteria. This paper aims to change that, with a focus largely on UK
VCs and their decision making. As a comparative control measure and sense-
test, a Canadian VC and a Pan-European VC were included within the
sample.
VCs decision making processes can be divided into five stages; origination,
screening, evaluation, deal structuring and post investment activities (Tyebjee
and Bruno, 1984)1
1 Other literature sometimes add due diligence and cashing out as stages in the Venture Capitalists
management process- as referred to by (Hudson, 2005)
. Proposals are received by VCs in the origination stage,
with numbers thinning out at every subsequent stage. Hudson (2005)
determined investment ratios to vary between 1.46% and 3.4% of proposals
seen. Most of the VCs interviewed for this paper estimate their investment
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ratios to be even lower, at between 0.1% and 2%.
Academic sources suggest that VCs use different criteria in making their
decisions at different stages of the decision-making process, i.e. screening
and evaluation stages (Hall and Hofer, 1993). The author found that the
processes for screening and evaluation differ amongst individuals in practice2
.
Screening and evaluation stages of the VCs decision making process are
dynamic in nature, not static, and the process is being continually updated by
the firm over time (Petty, 2009). Activities in the VC decision-making process
arise simultaneously rather than consecutively (Huyghe, 2011) and for this
reason no distinction is made between decision making in the screening and
evaluation phases.
The large numbers of business plans reviewed by VCs necessitate the use of
shortcuts, engaging in selective perception according to the VCs interests,
backgrounds, experiences and attitudes. Intuition is relied upon heavily by
VCs: a non-conscious process created from distilled experience (Gilovich et
al, 2002). Gladwell (2005) describes this process as rapid cognition.
Explaining and justifying the considerations that inform such an intuitive
decision is difficult to pin-point.
The author will set out in this paper the results from interviews with sixteen
VCs and the aggregated ranking of criteria will be calculated and analysed.
The author will consider whether and to what extent VC fund phase, fund size,
VC investors, their experience, culture within they operate or stage of the
company they invest in, may have an effect on the relative importance of
2 Often the more junior VCs would screen business plans, but the threshold would vary across firms,
with some firms setting deliberately low thresholds and some setting stricter criteria. In other firms, the
experienced VCs would carry out the screening process themselves. Sometimes the individuals carrying
out the screening process would not consciously use different methods for screening as they would in
evaluation; screening would just be filtering the sensible plans. In the words of one of the VCs
interviewed: We weed out the nutters.
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criteria and these possibilities are considered in this paper.
A list of the questions as they arise in the text below, are summarized here for
ease of reference:
Table 1: List of questions developed and explained in this paper
VC decision making is complicated by a variety of biases, including
overconfidence, gamblers fallacy3, risk aversion4, competitive irrationality5
3 When a VC feels that the reversal of bad luck in the form of a run of bad investments, is due soon
,
4 When a VC is risk averse when protecting gains in a current portfolio, or risk averse when responding
to losses, i.e. may make more conservative decisions in the later phase of the fund when some of the
earlier investments have already failed
No. Questions Chapter
1 In what order of relative importance do VCs rank investment criteria? 4
2 In what order of relative importance do VCs rank team characteristics? 5.1
3 Do VCs consider first movers more favourably than second movers when considering a potential investment?
5.2
4 Within the Product criterion, do VCs consider non-appropriability, whether the product satisfies a need or a want, or whether the product is flexible or persistent more important relative to the other elements within the Product criterion?
5.3
5 What is the relative importance to VCs of portfolio balancing, fund phase and timeframe within which the company will deliver a return on investment, within the VC specific criterion?
5.4
6 In making early stage investments, do VCs place more importance on Market and Product relative to other investment criteria? Do they place more importance on Team relative to other criteria in making later stage investments?
6
7 Do VC specific factors become more important relative to other investment criteria in the latter phase of a VCs fund?
7
8 Do experienced and less inexperienced VCs rank investment criteria in different orders of preference?
8
9 Do VCs managing larger funds consider criteria in different order of importance to VCs managing smaller funds?
9
10 Do VCs who are backed by different types of investors, i.e. Government backed VCs, privately backed VCs or VCTs rank investment criteria in different orders of importance?
10
11 All else equal, do VCs from different cultures/countries rank investment criteria in different orders of preference?
11
12 Do VCs use different processes to consider business proposals received through referrals from within their existing networks than they do when considering proposals received cold?
12.1
13 Do UK VCs tend to use anti-dilution measures in their investment contracts? 12.2
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groupthink6, escalation of commitment7 and retrievability8
. Situational factors
could also influence the way the VC perceives a business plan, for instance
time pressures the VC is under when he/she considers a business plan or the
setting of a meeting. Characteristics of the target company could also affect
the decision making by the VC: novelty of the business plan or its
presentation, motion, sounds, size, background, proximity and similarity of the
team or the business plan (Robbins et al, 2010).
In asking VCs how much importance they attach to different criteria when
assessing new ventures, the retrievability bias may creep in and distort
results. VCs may also post-rationalise previous decisions; their reflections
may not be an accurate description of their actions at the time of evaluating
the investment. The Research Methodology in section 3 explains why the
interview methodology adopted by the author was considered appropriate to
elicit the relative importance of criteria despite the above limitations.
The author proceeds by providing background to the VC industry, setting out
the research methodology, analysing the rankings of criteria and elements
and suggesting further research. Limitations of the research methods and
findings are considered. The paper concludes with recommendations.
5 When a VC has a desire for higher returns on his investments than other VCs, and this desire makes
his decisions irrational
6 When decisions are made by a group of VCs who have lost the ability to think independently, sharing
an illusion of unanimity
7 Particularly in cases where a VC considers that keeping a certain investment or making further follow
on investments in the company is a good thing purely because of the commitment already made;
thereby unable to ignore sunk costs
8 Where a VC bases judgement on information most readily available; an example of this would be
where a VC wishes to make investment into a specific type of industry, and only recalls the last
successful exit, but does not remember the myriad of failures within the same industry
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2. Background
2.1 Main VC markets
The first venture capital (VC) funds were created in the US back in 19469
, but
it was only in the 1970s, after the forming of firms like Kleiner, Perkins,
Caufield & Byers and Sequoia Capital that the VC industry in the US really
started developing. Today the US continues to be home to the largest venture
capital industry in the world, investing $22 billion in 2010 (National Venture
Capital Association, 2011).
In the UK, the VC market began to take off in the 1980s10
, but it was not until
the late 1990s that it started to take hold in the rest of Europe. Venture capital
in Asia is still relatively new, despite the fact that the first Asian VC firm was
set up in Japan in 1970.
Within Europe, the UK has one of the most active VC markets. However, total
UK VC investment only represents 0.05% of UK GDP, just over a third of the
0.14% in the US (Lerner, 2011)11. Other European countries are well behind
the UK in PE investment12
9 With the formation of American Research and Development Corporation (ARDC) and J.H. Whitney &
Company in 1946 (Wilson April 1985)
as a proportion of GDP, with Sweden our closest
competitor.
10 This is despite the fact that 3i was also founded in 1946, the same time of the creation of the first VC
funds in the US.
11 In 2010 US GDP was $14,658 trillion and the UK GDP was $2,247 trillion (nominal, IMF data)
12 Note that Figure 2 represents Private Equity as a proportion of GDP, not just Venture Capital, which
is why the PE investments as a % of GDP is higher than stated in the text
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Figure 2: Private Equity as a percentage of GDP for European countries in 2010 Source: EVCA website
Analyses of VC investments on a country level for the US, UK, Switzerland,
China, Germany, Israel, Canada and France are contained in Appendix 2.
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2.2 Main industries
VC operates mostly in four industries:
IT
Telecoms and
Life Science13
Cleantech/Energy
and 14
For a breakdown of the investment statistics by industry and the VC industrys
expectation of future VC investment by industry, see Appendix 3.
13 Within Europe, private equity firms invested 5.7bn in 810 life science c ompanies during the course
of 2010, up from 3.4bn in 795 companies in 2009. Life science was the most inv ested sector in Europe
in terms of companies financed in 2010, and the second largest market in value terms. Of the
investment in life science, more than 80% of companies financed in this sector in the last four years
were venture-backed, equating to 24% of the total amount invested in life science (ECVA, 2011).
14 Fraser-Sampson (2010) refers to IT, Telecoms and Life Science. In the authors view
Cleantech/Energy deserves to be a category in its own right with a total deal value of 12,533.63 million
for the last 12 months as at 21 August 2011 (Data obtained from Thomson One Banker).
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2.3 Recent changes
The financial crisis has affected every stage of VC operations by affecting
returns15 (see Appendix 1) and exits. Across the world, the time taken to
successfully exit a VC investment through flotation now averages almost 7
and a half years, the longest time seen over the past two decades (Yannis
Pierrakis, NESTA 2010). Over 80% of global VCs believe that current IPO
activity levels in their home countries are too low (Deloitte, 2011), indicating
that the VC market worldwide is having trouble exiting investments through
traditional means16. As a result of low returns and problems with exits, raising
new funds has become more difficult17
.
VCs are also changing in terms of where investments are made and who they
invest with. In what appears to be an effort to diversify their investment
portfolio or capitalize on more favourable markets, investors are increasingly
more inclined to invest outside of their home countries. More than half of
investors (57%) plan to increase their investment activity outside their home
countries during the next five years and an additional 35% plan to maintain
their level of investment (Deloitte, 2011). Syndication18
15 The impact of the financial crisis does not appear to be as severe as that of the dotcom crisis. During
the dotcom crisis in 2002, VC firms suffered a significant decrease (approximately 1.8x in terms of
multiples and 89% in terms of IRR). VC has shown no evidence of similar decrease in the current crisis
(Yannis Pierrakis, NESTA 2010).
is now commonplace
16 Private secondary markets are increasing in popularity; most prominently, Facebook private shares
were sold when the IPO was delayed (Financial Times, 2011)
17 In the years leading up to the financial crisis, between 70-85 new funds were raised each quarter in
the US. Since then, the number has fallen to around 35-50 (National Venture Capital Association, 2011).
In a study carried out by Deloitte (2009), 88% of 725 respondent VCs from the Americas, Asia Pacific,
Europe and Israel felt that commercial bank investors willingness to invest in VC from 2009 to 2012
would decrease. 87% were equally pessimistic about investment banks. About 60% were not optimistic
about corporate operating funds, insurance companies, corporate venture capital, and endowments
increasing their investments.
18 Syndicates are formed by a lead investor who finds other investors who are willing to co-invest in a
particular company. Syndication can prove useful for risk diversification of the VCs portfolio, information
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within Europe, and corporate venture capital is increasing19
. The proliferation
of government backed VC funds, particularly in the UK, is further changing the
industry.
sharing amongst VCs, improved screening by providing a 2nd opinion, deal flow by reciprocation, etc.
(Soderblom, 2006)
19 In 2009 the most active CVC worldwide was Novartis Venture Funds. Other active CVCs include J&J
(Business Insights, 2010). Many CVCs are set up as evergreen funds that aim to operate independently
of their parent organizations on a commercial basis.
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3. Research Methodology
3.1 Literature review and desktop research
A literature review was undertaken to draw up a list of investment criteria
accepted as criteria used by VCs in investment decision making. Research on
different methods of data collection informed the authors decision to employ
the interview method. A wide range of Venture Capital firms were investigated
in terms of size, industry specialization, company stage preferences, and
limited partners in order to devise an appropriate representative sample to
approach. Data on levels of investment by firms per country (as reported in
Appendix 2) and analysis of VC returns (as reported in Appendix 1) was
gathered from Thomson One Banker.
3.2 Interview sample selection
The author approached 20
venture capital investment managers in the UK,
continental Europe and Canada to obtain a sample of VCs representative of
the UK industry (in as much as the sample size allows). For Question 7 the
results from the interviews were divided by country/culture the VC operates in,
e.g. UK, Canada and Europe.
Care was taken to ensure that the VCs interviewed represented a cross-
section of types of limited partners. The majority of VCs interviewed are from
firms backed by Private Limited Partners; two VCs are with Government
backed funds; two VCs are from Venture Capital Trusts and one VC is from a
corporate venture fund. For Question 6 the results from interviews were
divided by investor type: Government backed, Private backed and VCTs.
VCs from all the major industries commonly targeted by the VC industry (IT,
20 Four interviews were arranged through referrals and one through the authors personal contacts. The
other 11 VCs were unknown to the author
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Life Science, Cleantech and Telecoms) were included in the sample of
interviewed VCs. Due to some overlaps in industries, interview results could
not be isolated by industry.
Different stage investors from early to late stage were included within the
sample, and were isolated into two groups for Question 2 21
. This was
problematic as most of the VCs invest across a range of stages from early to
late, with the later stage investments tending towards larger amounts and
therefore slightly skewing the data. Some VCs did however tend to make
more early stage investments than others. The author calculated the number
of seed and early stage investors as a proportion of total number of
investments, and divided the group of 16 VCs into two, one group within
which the firm made seed or early stage investments in more than 20% of all
their investments, and the other group where seed or early stage investments
made up less than 20% of all their investments. Although a 20% proportion
does not sound very large, 20% seems to be a significantly high proportion in
the firms surveyed.
VCs with different lengths of experience were included in the sample, from
one VC with 5 months experience, to a VC with over 25 years experience.
For Question 4, the group was divided into 2 groups with 8 members each;
the first group contains VCs with less than 10 years experience22
, and the 2nd
VCs with more than 10 years experience.
The author was careful to ensure that a cross-section of VCs managing
different size funds, were included within the sample. For Question 5, the VCs
21 Thomson One Banker provides details of the different stage investments made by VC firms. The
definitions used by Thomson One Banker to capture the stage of each investment, are included at
Appendix 5
22 From the range of experiences, the natural half-way mark appeared to be 10 years, with the less
experienced VCs mostly ranging around the 5 year experience mark, and the more experienced VCs
well in excess of 20 years
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were divided into two groups: Eight VCs who are associated with firms who
manage less than 10 million, and the other eight who are associated with
firms who manage more than 10 million.
3.3 Interview methodology
The author carried out sixteen semi-structured interviews over the course of
the summer (2011); six were in person, nine by telephone, and one over
email. The interviews in person lasted on average 45 minutes (up to 2 hours
in one case, but no shorter than 30 minutes) and telephone interviews on
average 35 minutes. The questions posed to VCs are included in Appendix 4,
but scope was allowed for general discussion around the criteria and
weightings. Detailed contemporaneous notes were made of the discussions23
.
Early studies into venture capital decision making relied primarily on
interviews and surveys that are prone to post hoc recall and rationalization
biases (Zacharakis and Meyer, 1998). Findings that VCs actually employ
different criteria to what they say they employ, (Hall and Hofer, 1993) (D.
Shepherd, 1999 (a))24
have further placed in doubt the usefulness of post hoc
interview techniques.
Subsequently, different methods of analysis such as conjoint analysis (D.
Shepherd, 1999 (a)), repertory grid (Hisrich, 1990) (Zacharakis and Meyer,
2000), and verbal protocol analysis (Mason and Stark, 2004) have been used
to elicit VCs views on the importance of investment criteria. Although
valuable, the limitations of the small sample size (in the Mason and Stark
study), artificiality and the oversimplication of the context of the cases
presented to VCs in some of these studies cannot be ignored. Furthermore, in
23 These notes can be made available on an anonymised basis
24 Shepherd also found that VCs have a tendency to overstate the least important criteria and
understate the most important criteria when self-reporting post hoc
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the authors view the Shepherd study is limited in its scope in that it only
includes two personal characteristics of the entrepreneur, namely industry
related competence and educational capability, which were both found to be
more important to VCs than the remaining criteria. The author finds the
remaining criteria tested by Shepherd (1999) useful in the sense that they
prove that VCs prefer certainty, long lead times, and low competition.
However, using conjoint analysis to assess a new venture defined by a list of
one-dimensional criteria fails to take account of VCs intuitive assessment of
nuances and intangible factors around a particular venture and its team.
Shepherds study also does not consider the degree of relative importance
VCs attach to Market, Product, Scale, Commercial Proof of Concept or Team.
Observation, as a method of determining the importance of criteria used,
paints a picture limited by the circumstances of the particular business plan
and is therefore also inappropriate as the basis for generalizations. Qualitative
analysis of longitudinal data, as applied by Petty and Gruber (2011), is
valuable to determine the reasons VCs reject proposals, but such data is
limited to the reasons for rejection recorded by the VC, which may or may not
be an accurate reflection of his/her thought patterns. In addition to all the
other limitations, the logistical difficulties of all of these methods were
considered to be prohibitive.
In contrast, the interviewees responses are based on real cases from their
experience and/or learnings. The author attempted to eliminate post hoc recall
and rationalization biases by structuring the questions such to require
respondents to both rank and rate separately25
25 Note that the paper only reports the ratings where the importance of a criterion/element may have
been in question, such as in section 4.6
the given criteria, akin to that
of a repertory grid. The interview set-up was also used as a method of
discussing the questions and responses rather than leaving it to the VC to
respond to a written questionnaire. The author has found this open ended and
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questioning method of interviewing useful to get behind the heuristics
employed by the VCs in their decision making. To further overcome the
limitations of the post hoc interview method, VCs were asked specific
questions such as would the order of criteria be different if an investment is
considered in the later phase of a fund. Although the espoused criteria is a
product of the interviewed VCs experience and learning, it is likely that the
views presented during interviews are accurate indicators of how those same
VCs consider business plans at present or in future. Furthermore, the author
feels that VCs should be given some credit for self-awareness and ability to
recognize biases in their responses. In the circumstances, despite its
limitations, the author feels the interview method is appropriate for eliciting the
relative importance of VCs decision-making criteria.
The author experienced that interviewees were not always receptive to highly
structured measurement instruments and were not always prepared to rank
and rate criteria. Interviewees generally viewed every deal to be peculiar to
itself, and resisted generalizations (Tyebjee and Bruno, 1984). However, the
interview process allowed the interviewees to query the listed criteria, express
views on the criteria and the freedom to explain their thought process.
To avoid reticence by the interviewees to speak freely, the author did not
record interviews and results of the interviews are anonymised in this paper. A
separate document that includes names and fund details of the interviewees
has been submitted to Cass Business School on a confidential basis.
3.4 Ranking and rating of criteria and elements within criteria
All interviewees were asked to rank the criteria/elements in order of
preference relative to the criteria/elements within the group. As a mechanism
for establishing the degree of importance of the criteria, interviewees were
asked also to rate every criterion/element on a scale of 1-10, 10 being most
important. Rankings are reported in the paper, but ratings are only reported
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where results were significant or important.
3.5 Coding of responses
Responses for all rankings were recorded, with 1 being most important.
Values were then attributed to each rank in accordance with the Borda count
method26
, i.e. for a list of 6 criteria/elements, where a criterion/element is
ranked 1st, it would acquire a value of 6. Fractional ranking was applied where
criteria/elements were considered equal by respondents, e.g. where the first
two ranked criteria/elements (in a list of 6) were considered equal, the value
attributed to both these criteria/elements would be (5+6)/2=5.5.
Where a VC considered a particular criterion/element to be unimportant, it
was allocated a value of zero (0). It was only within the Product and VC
Specific criteria that some VCs considered some elements to be unimportant.
In all other cases, criteria and elements were considered important and were
allocated a value according to their ranking in order of importance.
Excels Data Analysis Toolpak add-in was utilized to analyse the results from
the interviews, providing the mean, median, mode, variance for the sample,
skewness and kurtosis. The sum of the values attributed to the responses
formed the basis for the reported results, in accordance with the Borda count
method. It should be noted that, due to the small sample size of sixteen
26 The Borda count is a single-winner election method in which voters rank candidates in order of
preference. The Borda count determines the winner of an election by giving each candidate a certain
number of points corresponding to the position in which he or she is ranked by each voter. Once all
votes have been counted the candidate with the most points is the winner. Because it sometimes elects
broadly acceptable candidates, rather than those preferred by the majority, the Borda count is often
described as a consensus-based electoral system, rather than a majoritarian one. The Borda count was
developed independently several times, but is named for the 18th-century French mathematician
and political scientist Jean-Charles de Borda, who devised the system in 1770 (Wikipedia).
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respondents, the distribution of the results cannot be assumed to be a normal
distribution.
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4. Ranking of criteria
The criteria used within this paper, short explanations of their meanings and
literature source of previous use, are indicated below:
Table 2: Investment criteria with brief explanation and evidence for use
Investment criteria have been studied extensively over the years using
different methods, including interviews, conjoint analysis, verbal protocol
analysis, observation, etc. The relative importance of criteria have also been
extensively studied, with differences noted between VCs espoused criteria
(what they say they do) and what they actually do (Hall and Hofer, 1993).
Most sources indicate Management Team as the criterion VCs place
particular importance on (Muzyka et al, 1996) (Shepherd and Douglas, 1999)
(Silva, 2004) (Tyebjee and Bruno, 1981) with some finding Team to be the
Criteria Evidence for use
Means the entrepreneurial team and their characteristics.
Tyebjee (1984), MacMillan (1985) Hutt (1985) Hisrich (1990) Kahn (1987) Muzyka et al (1996)
Tyebjee (1984) Hutt (1985) Kahn (1987) Hisrich (1990)
Tyebjee (1984), MacMillan (1985)
Means the development of a product to the point of a functioning prototype that has potential to generate profit. This criterion was included as a stand-alone criterion to ascertain its importance relative to the other criteria, and to ascertain whether early or late stage investors would view the importance of this criterion differently.
Fulghieri and Sevilir (2009) Petty (2009)
Market drivers
MacMillan (1985)
Management Team
Unique, disruptive product
VC specific factors
Commercial proof of concept
Scalable business model
(Tyebjee, 1981), (Goslin, 1986) (Hisrich, 1990), (Hutt, 1985)
Means the size of the market/industry, the market need, the access to market and taget market. Associated with the market, are competition considerations including barriers to entry
Means uniqueness of the product, attributes of the product or profit margins.
Could possibly form part of the Market Drivers criterion, but were included separately to ascertain whether certain VCs consider potential scale more important relative to the other criteria.
Means the factors specific to the VC such as the funds portfolio, fund phase or timeframe within which a return is required in order to fit in with the time horizon of the fund
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most important reason for new venture success (Hutt, 1985) (Wells, 1974)
(Poindexter, 1976) (MacMillan, 1985). In the words of Arthur Rock, legendary
Silicon Valley VC:
I invest in people, not ideas. If you find good people, if
theyre wrong about the product, theyll make a switch, so
what good is it to understand the product that theyre talking
about in the first place? Arthur Rock
Shepherd (1999 (a)) carried out a survey on Australian VCs who ranked the
following criteria more or less equally: Industry related competence,
Competitive rivalry; Key Success Factor Stability; Lead Time; Timing of Entry;
Scope; Mimicry of entry wedge etc. However, using the conjoint analysis
method to show what VCs actually do (as opposed to what they say they do),
Shepherd showed that the same VCs ranked industry-related competence (a
Team characteristic) far higher than any of the other criteria. In another article
Shepherd (1999 (b)) explains that while market considerations (key success
factors, stability and timing) and competition considerations (lead time and
competitive rivalry) are important when assessing the survival chances of a
new venture, they are difficult to predict at new venture stage due to
uncertainties; VCs manage these uncertainties by choosing a management
team that will be able to cope with changes. If a VC felt confident in the
entrepreneurial team, he/she is more likely to invest, even if he/she was not
as confident in the venture itself (Payne, 2009).
The relationship between the VC and the entrepreneur is an essential
determinant of the success of ventures (Shepherd and Zacharakis, 2001) and
may be more important to the venture than the actual capital provided. It is
therefore important for the VC to choose the right team to invest in, and to
work on the relationship that is, in the words of one of the VCs interviewed for
this paper, likely to last longer than the average marriage.
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However, some sources suggest that Management Team is not the most
important criterion. (Hall and Hofer, 1993) found that most VCs stated that the
entrepreneur is the most important factor in making their decisions, but in fact
market factors are most important in the screening phase of their decisions.
Mason and Stark (2004) found that, in a real time situation mimicking the
screening stage of the VC investment process, VCs gave greatest emphasis
to market issues (33%) and financial issues (21%), with entrepreneur (12%)
and strategy (11%) of secondary importance. In light of the conflicting views
on the relative importance of investment criteria, the author set out to elicit
VCs views on the relative importance of the criteria:
Question 1: In what order of relative importance do VCs rank investment
criteria?
VCs were asked to rank the six criteria in order of importance; the Borda
count method was used to allocate values to each ranking. Fig. 3 below
summarizes the findings of the paper on the relative importance of the criteria;
section 5 below considers the relative importance of the different elements
within some criteria.
Product Team Market Investment
decision making
Scalable
business model
VC factors Commercial
Proof of Concept
Product Team Market Investment
decision making
Scalable
business model
VC factors Commercial
Proof of Concept
Product Team
First mover
Second mover
No preference
VC Factors
Investment
decision making
Scalable
business model
Commercial Proof of Concept Market
Figure 3: Summary o f order of importance of investment criteria
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A few of the VCs attributed equal rankings to some criteria because they felt it
was artificial to rank all the criteria, or more commonly that they would not
invest unless all six criteria were met. Most VCs felt that all of these criteria
were very important, and so although the criteria are ranked in order of
importance, it is not correct to assume that the lower ranked criteria are
unimportant. While the ranked criteria give a strong indication of what VCs
consider important, in evaluating a proposal with a view to investing (positive
action), some of the criteria may be more important as reasons for the VC to
not invest (negative action).
The sum of the values in Table 3 shows the highest sum value is attributed to
Management Team:
Table 3: Results from VC interviews on the relative importance of criteria
A histogram of the results paints a clearer picture, showing the relative
importance of the six criteria.
Mean 5.03 Mean 4.59 Mean 3.47 Mean 3.22 Mean 3.03 Mean 1.72Standard Error 0.35 Standard Error 0.29 Standard Error 0.32 Standard Error 0.22 Standard Error 0.32 Standard Error 0.31Median 5.75 Median 5.00 Median 3.25 Median 3.00 Median 3.00 Median 1.00Mode 6.00 Mode 5.00 Mode 2.50 Mode 3.00 Mode 3.00 Mode 1.00Standard Deviation 1.41 Standard Deviation 1.16 Standard Deviation 1.28 Standard Deviation 0.88 Standard Deviation 1.30 Standard Deviation 1.22Sample Variance 1.98 Sample Variance 1.34 Sample Variance 1.65 Sample Variance 0.77 Sample Variance 1.68 Sample Variance 1.50Kurtosis 0.92 Kurtosis 0.00 Kurtosis -0.95 Kurtosis 0.40 Kurtosis 0.87 Kurtosis 2.16Skewness -1.44 Skewness -0.66 Skewness 0.51 Skewness 1.01 Skewness 0.60 Skewness 1.66Range 4.00 Range 4.00 Range 4.00 Range 3.00 Range 5.00 Range 4.00Minimum 2.00 Minimum 2.00 Minimum 2.00 Minimum 2.00 Minimum 1.00 Minimum 1.00Maximum 6.00 Maximum 6.00 Maximum 6.00 Maximum 5.00 Maximum 6.00 Maximum 5.00Sum 80.50 Sum 73.50 Sum 55.50 Sum 51.50 Sum 48.50 Sum 27.50Count 16.00 Count 16.00 Count 16.00 Count 16.00 Count 16.00 Count 16.00Conf. Level(95.0%) 0.75 Conf. Level(95.0%) 0.62 Conf. Level(95.0%) 0.68 Conf. Level(95.0%) 0.47 Conf. Level(95.0%) 0.69 Conf. Level(95.0%) 0.65
Unique, disruptive Product Commercial proof of concept
Market drivers Scalable business modelManagement team VC specific issues such as own portfolio
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4.1 Management team
As expected, Management Team comes out on top with the highest sum,
mean and median. The sample variance of 1.98 is explained by two
respondents considering this criterion of less importance, with two rankings of
5th place. Another VC who ranked Management Team third in her list of
criteria, explained that although team is very important for her, if an idea was
particularly strong, she would take a balanced view of the venture as a whole.
A few VCs felt that the function of a VC was to complete/replace a team if
necessary.
This finding does not disprove the findings of (Hall and Hofer, 1993) as they
themselves found that VCs espoused Management Team to be the most
important criterion, although they then subsequently found that VCs acted
differently. However, the authors findings echo the conclusion reached by
Shepherd (1999 (a)) that VCs consider Team characteristics of higher
importance than other criteria.
Figure 4: Relative importance of criteria with Borda count values as indicated
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4.2 Market Drivers
Market Drivers is short on the heels of Management Team, with only 7 points
behind. This small gap between 1st and 2nd place is significant, as the next
criterion, Product, is 18 points behind Market.
According to Hall and Hofer (1993), VCs actions show that market factors are
the most important factor in the screening phase of their decisions. Mason
and Stark (2004) found VCs gave greatest emphasis to Market Issues with
Entrepreneur ranking much lower in order of importance. Zacharakis and
Meyer (2000) also found, using conjoint analysis, that the entrepreneur is not
as important as shown in previous studies, and that Market and competition
considerations were more important. The authors finding of a 2nd place
ranking for Market can be distinguished from that of Hall and Hofer (1993) and
Mason & Stark (2004) in that this study is not based solely on the screening
stage, but instead assesses the relative importance of criteria throughout the
entire selection process on a holistic basis. Equally, the authors finding that
Market ranks so high relative to other criteria is testament to the importance of
this criterion throughout the investment process and supports earlier studies
in that respect.
4.3 Unique and disruptive product
Unique and disruptive product is ranked 3rd in the list, quite far behind Market,
and shortly followed by Scalable Business Model and Commercial Proof of
Concept.
An explanation for a mid-ranking on Product well below that of Team could be
that in VC, the technology is rarely market-ready, and knowledge seated in
the Team is needed to modify or tailor the technology and associated
products/services to meet customer requirements. It makes sense for Market
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considerations to be more important than Product considerations as the
Product may evolve over time, but a market for a product has to exist or be
anticipated at the time of making an investment in a new venture.
4.4 Scalable Business Model
Scaleable Business Model is ranked 4th, very close to Product. This indicates
a need for the VC to see that there is potential for the venture to increase in
scale. The ranking of this criterion ahead of Commercial Proof of Concept
indicates the VCs need to envision a large scale business even before a
commercial proof of concept is established.
4.5 Commercial P roof of Concept
Commercial Proof of Concept is the 5th most important criterion according to
the VCs interviewed, with only one VC ranking this the most important
criterion. The distances between Commercial Proof of Concept, Scalable
Business Model and Product are however very small.
The importance of this criterion should however not be discounted. One later
stage investor said he would not invest in a venture without a proof of
concept. His view, echoed by other VCs, is that all of the listed criteria are
important and he would not invest unless all criteria were met.
4.6 VC specific factors
VC specific issues are ranked by far the least important. Nevertheless, it is
still not unimportant, with a mean rating higher than 5 for all three elements27
27 On a scale of 1 to 10, 1 signifying least importance and 10 signifying highest importance
.
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The average of the fifteen28
VCs who rated the elements of this criterion, are:
Table 4: Average of VCs ratings of the importance of the elements of VC specific criter ion
Confirmation of the importance of VC specific factors supports an earlier
finding by Petty (2009) that VC specific factors 29
, specifically the firms
portfolio, has an effect on the decisions made by VCs in assessing potential
investments. A subsequent report by the same author (Petty and Gruber,
2011) provides evidence for their finding that VC fund-related reasons are the
overall most important decision criteria with respect to rejecting a deal.
Two of the respondents are associated with VCTs. VCTs operate under
legislative constraints imposed by HMRC; as such the screening process
operated by VCTs necessitates discarding of business plans that do not fall
within the VCT criteria30
. Both VCs from VCTs considered VC specific factors
equally as important as the other factors (bar Market and Team, which were in
combined 1st place).
Some VCs said that they do not have hard and fast rules about the balance of
their portfolio or the fund phase and that they would always consider investing
in a business if it was a good business. Other VCs said VC specific factors
were rarely problematic for them due to the size of their funds.
28 One VC did not rate the elements of the VC specific criterion
29 VC specific factors were recognised by (Petty 2009) as including factors such as the fund phase,
the stage of the company and geographic region of the company. Geographic region within which
company is situated, was deliberately excluded as a criterion in the investment criteria proposed to
interviewees. This was done because not all the firms interviewed made investments outside of the UK
and as a result inclusion of this criteria would have skewed results.
30 http://www.hmrc.gov.uk/guidance/vct.htm#3 for guidance on VCT exclusions
Mean 6.7 Mean 6.9 Mean 6.1
PortfolioTimeframe for revenue
generation Fund phase
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The finding that VC specific factors rank least in order of importance should
be treated with caution, as a few VCs mentioned that VC specific issues
would be a gating criterion or a constraint or an override indicating that if
this criterion is not met at the screening stage, the business plan would not be
considered any further. At the stage where proposals are being seriously
considered, the VC specific issues are a given and as such not considered
as important relative to the other criteria. It emerges therefore, that VC
specific factors may be an important reason for VCs to reject a proposal.
Consequently, the importance of this criterion should not be underestimated.
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5. Ranking of elements of criteria
5.1 Team
Having found that Management Team is the most important criterion for VCs
when considering investments, the relative importance of the following
characteristics of that criterion were considered:
Table 5: Elements/characteristics within the Management Team criterion
Entrepreneurs have to sell their venture to investors, employees and
customers. According to the unimodel of persuasion, which explains how VCs
respond to entrepreneurs presentations, the processing of the content of a
message and cues other than the message, share the same route to the
receiver in his processing of information (Chen, 2009). Separating out the
message from the person and the qualities of the person delivering it, is
therefore very difficult. For the same reason, it may be difficult for VCs to
pinpoint exactly why they choose to back a particular entrepreneur/team, or
whether their choice was influenced more heavily by the entrepreneurs
personality or experience or education.
VCs want to back good people; the question is how to spot them. VCs
perceptions of others are often wrong, (Gladstone, 1988) as revealed by VCs
failure to achieve accurate human capital valuation in 57% of deals (Smart,
Entrepreneur/Team Evidence of relevance
Industry experience Franke et al (2008) Gimmon & Levie (2009)
Experience- previous venture Flynn (1991) Gimmon & Levie (2009)
Field and level of education Shepherd (1999), Franke et al (2008)
Leadership experience MacMillan (1985), Franke et al (2008) Gimmon & Levie (2009)
Entrepreneur investing own money Writers addition- "skin in the game"
Acquaintance among team members Franke et al (2008)
Ages of team members Franke et al (2008) Gimmon & Levie (2009)
Personal motivation Muzyka (1996)
General likeability Writers addition
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1999). Is it the case that VCs assess the wrong intangibles or do they attach
inappropriate degrees of importance to the intangibles?
The most consistent finding across studies is the importance VCs place on
the ability of management31, whether it be management skill (Tyebjee, 1981),
quality of management (Goslin, 1986) characteristics of the management
team (Hisrich, 1990), or managements track record (Hutt, 1985). It is clear
that a variety of team criteria are important to VCs; as a starting point to
determine what these are, the author adapted the 7 criteria Franke, et al
(2008)32 found to be most important (in order of preference)33
:
31 Except for (Hall, 1993) and (Keeley, 1989) who strangely found the entrepreneur/entrepreneur team
not be important predictors of VCs decision policies.
32 The author adapted the criteria used by Franke et al by combining University degree with Field of
education to instead refer to Field and level of education. Prior job experience was changed to refer
to Prior Start-up Experience in order to test the importance of this specific criterion. In the authors
view, the Industry Experience criterion already used by Franke et al (2008) encompass ed previous job
experience and as such was superfluous.
33 Franke et al (2008) carried out this study by asking 51 VCs in Germany and Austria to rank 20
teams described in terms of 7 characteristics. The control teams against which the decisions were
measured, was the preferred upper quintile of all the VCs chosen teams.
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Table 6: Summary of the order of relative importance of criteria, as found by Franke et al (2008)
Franke et al (2008) found
that it was not necessary
for all members of the
team to fulfil these criteria.
As such, heterogenous
teams may more easily
fulfil all of the criteria VCs
look for. However,
heterogenous teams are
more likely to not get
along in challenging
situations and so the author expects that VCs will consider this
interpersonality aspect when assessing new ventures.
Interestingly Franke et al (2008) found that a mixed team between ages 25
and 45 fares much worse than a team consisting exclusively of founders
between 35 and 45. During the authors first few interviews, VCs were asked
how important they consider age to be. After a few interviews it became
clear that it was difficult for VCs to weight age as an element without
specifying the age spectrum. Most VCs who were asked about age,
responded that age of the entrepreneur was not a factor unless on the outer
edges of the spectrum. The outer edges is highly subjective, (and
potentially age-ist!) and as a result the author decided to exclude age from
the list of characteristics.
1 Experience in relevant industry- all or some team members. This was found to be almost double as important as the field of education
2 Field of education- some engineering, some management
3 University degree- some or all team members
4 Leadership experience- all or some team members
5 Mutual acquaintance- for a long time professionally
6 Age of team members- between 35 and 45
7 Prior job experience- some start-up or some large firm
Order of importance of criteria- summary of findings by Franke et al (2008)*
* Each criterion consisted of the two elements stated in the alternative and were tested separately
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Gimmon and Levie (2009) found 7 key capabilities34
that enhance venture
performance. Four of these capabilities were included in the authors list of
criteria, overlapping with the criteria of Franke et al (2008). Entrepreneurial
mind-set was not included due to the all-encompassing non-specific nature
and also because one may assume that an entrepreneur would naturally have
some degree of entrepreneurial mind-set if he/she had chosen that path.
Founders team compatibility was not included as such, but inter-team
acquaintance is considered similar and this criterion has been included.
Learning ability was not included within the authors criteria, again due to the
highly subjective nature of its interpretation and difficulties associated with
recognising this capability in a person.
The criteria chosen by Gimmon and Levie (2009) and Franke et al (2008) do
not encapsulate any element of personality or charisma. In search of the
appropriate expression for such an element, the author considered Passion.
(Baum 2001) found that entrepreneurs traits, including tenacity, proactivity,
and passion for work, exerted positive effects on venture growth. Passion
has been advanced as an essential criterion:
The first crucial sign Ive learned to look for is passion - Jon
P. Goodman, private investor and founder of E2.
There are many moments that are filled with despair and
agony, when you have to fire people and cancel things and
deal with very difficult situations... its so hard (to build a
34 Gimmon and Levie (2009) determined that the following means and capabilities enhanced venture
performance: Education; Entrepreneurial mind-set- this includes a wide range of entrepreneurial
personality, culture and sense factor; Founders team compatibility; General management experience;
Industry experience; Learning ability; Start-up experience (provided learning had taken place). They also
found that academic titles, age, ethnicity, gender and parents were entrepreneurs did not enhance
venture performance.
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company) that if you dont have a passion, youll give up-
Steve Jobs, CEO of Apple Inc.
An entrepreneurs passion has been defined as intensive affective state
accompanied by cognitive and behavioural manifestations of high personal
value (Chen, 2009). In Chen et als study (2009) of the correlation between
passion and VCs funding decisions, the visible outward expressions of an
entrepeneurs passion was distinguised from the cognitive aspect they refer to
as preparedness. In the study, Passion was made to manifest through facial
expressions, body movement, tone of voice, and other nonverbal clues,
whereas Preparedness was made to manifest in content and substance of the
presentation. Perceived Preparedness was found to be positively related to
the VC funding decision, but the effects of perceived Passion was not
significant. This either shows that passion as perceived, is not important, or
that the definition of Passion is perhaps more nuanced than that defined.
Passion was not included as a criterion because the author simply did not
believe than outward expressions of passion is very persuasive without an
underlying preparedness. Preparedness was not included because the
author did not believe that preparedness in itself, or even combined with
Passion, would capture the personal characteristic required to persuade
investors.
An element of sincerity and credibility may be more valuable in persuading
VCs. If this is true, it could explain why Preparedness, manifesting in content
and substance, was positively related to the VC funding decision in Chens
(2009) study. It is on this front that entrepreneurs have particular difficulty to
persuade VCs that their new venture is plausible. The very newness of their
idea (desirable distinctiveness) may be considered undesirable to VCs by
virtue of inability of this distinctive idea to fit into institutionalised conventions
(Navis, 2011). Navis (2011) proposes that the nature of an entrepreneurs
distinctiveness is influenced by the market context; in an established market,
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the entrepreneur has to fit within the category (legitimised) but has to be
distinctive; in a new market, the entrepreneurial identity has to be definitional
for the category with an emphasis of distinctiveness, but has to align with
institutionalised understandings about the entrepreneurial role, activities and
orientation to legitimise the distinctive idea.
Credibility was not included because the writer felt that credibility in itself was
insufficient35
.
General Likeability was added by the author, as a proxy for the X-factor, the
element of personality VCs have a gut feel for. General likeability is also
deliberately expressed as such to ascribe to it the subjective element of
judgment.
Question 2: In what order of relative importance do VCs rank team
characteristics?
The intention was to test whether VCs consider it important to like who they
invest in, and if they do, how this element fared relative to the other elements.
The aggregated results from the VC interviews, are included in Table 4:
35 Subsequently an interviewee suggested Credible Ambition. See discussion below.
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Table 7: Results from VC interviews on relative importance of elements of Team criterio n
A histogram better illustrates the sum of the values calculated according to
the Borda method:
Mean 6.34Mean 6.34Mean 4.91Mean 4.13Standard Error 0.40Standard Error 0.34Standard Error 0.61Standard Error 0.42Median 6.75Median 6.50Median 5.50Median 4.00Mode 7.00Mode 8.00Mode 8.00Mode 4.00Standard Deviation 1.59Standard Deviation 1.38Standard Deviation 2.44Standard Deviation 1.69Sample Variance 2.52Sample Variance 1.89Sample Variance 5.94Sample Variance 2.85Kurtosis 2.78Kurtosis -0.17Kurtosis -1.66Kurtosis 0.45Skewness -1.54Skewness -0.73Skewness -0.11Skewness 0.7