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IST-3 collaborators meeting Professor Peter Sandercock University of Edinburgh, UK ISS conference, Capetown, October 2006

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IST-3 collaborators meeting. Professor Peter Sandercock University of Edinburgh, UK ISS conference, Capetown, October 2006. Outline. What do we know? Analysis of existing trials of thrombolysis for stroke Overall effects: risks and benefit Subgroups: effect of time & age - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: IST-3 collaborators meeting

IST-3 collaborators meeting

Professor Peter SandercockUniversity of Edinburgh, UK

ISS conference, Capetown, October 2006

Page 2: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Outline• What do we know? Analysis of existing trials of

thrombolysis for stroke– Overall effects: risks and benefit – Subgroups: effect of time & age

• Who is treated? Current use of rt-PA in Europe & USA

• Do we need further randomised trials? YES• Randomised trials of IV thrombolysis• IST-3 protocol• Progress with trial• Imaging update

Page 3: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Background

Page 4: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Percent dead Diff. per Placebo Treated 1000

Streptokinase 12.0% 9.2% 28Aspirin 11.8% 9.8% 24

P < 0.00001 for both comparisons. NOTE: The 22% reduction in the odds of death observed in ISIS-2 was

identical to the estimate of benefit from a meta-analysis of all previous trials

ISIS-2: 17,000 patients with acute MI

Page 5: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Rapid change in clinical practice. Thrombolysis for MI increased markedly after publication of

megatrials in ‘86 & ‘87

GISSI

ISIS-2GISSI

AIMSISIS-2

ASSET

Ketley and Woods Lancet 1993: 342: 891-4

Page 6: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Trials in acute stroke have been far too small

“It is still not sufficiently widely appreciated just how large clinical trials need to be to detect reliably the sort of moderate, but important, differences in major outcomes that might exist (especially if effects in different subgroups are to be assessed reliably).”

Collins and MacMahon Lancet 2001; 357: 373-380

Page 7: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Randomised trials of thrombolysis vs control in acute myocardial infarction

Total no. patients by 1994! 58,600

Randomised trials trials of thrombolysis vs control in acute ischaemic stroke

Total (all agents) 5,675

rt-PA 2,700

rt-PA < 3hrs 930

rt-PA aged > 80 years 42

Page 8: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Previous trials of rt-PA

Page 9: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Review of trials of thrombolysis with rt-PA for acute ischaemic stroke

• Risks– Symptomatic cerebral haemorrhage – Death

• Benefits– Reduced ‘death or dependency’– ?reduction in massive cerebral oedema?

• Subgroup analyses: effect of– Time to treatment– Age– Risk factors for intracerebral haemorrhage– Appearance of CT scan

Page 10: IST-3 collaborators meeting

rt-PA < 6 hrs RISK: symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage (SICH)

More with control More with rt-PA

Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews 2004

< 3 hours

3 – 6 hours

Page 11: IST-3 collaborators meeting

rt-PA < 6hrs RISK: effects on death

Non-significant 16% increase in deaths (95% CI, 6% reduction to 44%

increase)

rt-PA saves lives rt-PA kills

Page 12: IST-3 collaborators meeting

POSSIBLE BENEFIT of rt-PA < 6hrs ? Reduction in symptomatic cerebral

oedema

Page 13: IST-3 collaborators meeting

rt-PA <6 hours: BENEFIT = reduction in ‘death or dependency’, despite risk

20% reduction with rt-PA (95% CI 7-23%)BUT the significant between- trial

heterogeneity (I2=62%) makes result unreliable

Page 14: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Areas of uncertainty

Page 15: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Review of trials of thrombolysis with rt-PA for acute ischaemic stroke

• Risks– Symptomatic cerebral haemorrhage – Death

• Benefits– Reduced ‘death or dependency’– ?reduction in massive cerebral oedema?

• Subgroup analyses: effect of– Time to treatment– Age– Stroke severity– Risk factors for intracerebral haemorrhage– Appearance of CT scan

Page 16: IST-3 collaborators meeting

rt-PA trials meta-analysis. Benefit declines with increasing time to treatment, but scope

for benefit up to 6h (Lancet 2004; 363: 768–74)

Benefit

Harm

3 hours 6 hours

Upper and lower 95% confidence limits

Line of no effect

Page 17: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Only a small, variable proportion of patients are treated with rt-PA

Country no. no. % treated hospitals patients rt-PA (range)

USA 42 1,195 4.1% (0-12%) USA 29 3,948 1.8% (0-10%) USA 137 23,058 1.6% (0-5%)

Germany 104 13,440 3.0% (0-18%)

Page 18: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Effect of hospital, age and race, and presence of neurologist on likelihood of receiving

thrombolysis for acute ischaemic stroke among 23,058 acute stroke patients from 137 community

hospitals in USA

• In 35% of hospitals, no patients at all given rt-PA.

• Strong trends to LESS rt-PA use:– with increasing age of the patient, – if no neurologist available.

Reed et al. Stroke 2001: 32; 1832-44

Page 19: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Number of older patients with acute stroke per year in UK

87,000 patients aged > 70 years 47,000 patients aged > 80 years

= A big problem for acute medical services!

Page 20: IST-3 collaborators meeting

9 am. This 85 year old man suddenly cannot speak and his right arm is weak. At 3hrs, CT confirms it is an ischaemic stroke: should he be treated? does his

age affect his response to thrombolysis?

?

Page 21: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Effect of age on benefit from rt-PA

• Analysis of major randomised trials of rt-PA for stroke

• Adjustment for age did not modify the relation between benefit and time

• No subgroup analysis to answer the simple questions:– Does age alter the balance of risk and benefit?– Should there be an upper age limit for

treatment?

Lancet 2004; 363: 768–74

Page 22: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Effect of stroke severity (NIHSS) on good outcome with rt-PA

1.22.6 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.1

0.1

1

10

0-5 6-10 11-15 16-20 > 20 AllPatients

Baseline NIHSS Score

Log

(OR

) goo

d ou

tcom

e

Test for equal OR’s: Chi-square (4 DF) = 1.70; p = 0.79

No evidence of difference in treatment benefit of rt-PA across the five NIHSS severity groups

Ingall et al Stroke. 2004;35:2418-2424.

Page 23: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Effect of age on risk? (NINDS trial): factors which predict intracerebral haemorrhage

• Baseline NIHSS > 20• Age > 70 years• Ischaemic changes present on

initial CT• Glucose > 16.7 mmol/L

Ingall et al Stroke. 2004;35:2418-2424.

Page 24: IST-3 collaborators meeting

1.9 2.61.4

0.1

1

10

0 1 >=2Number of SICH Risk Factors

Log

(OR

)

Test for equal OR’s: Chi-square (2 DF) = 1.77; p = 0.41

= no evidence of a difference in risk of SICH in these three groups

Outcome by no. of SICH risk factors, adjusted for co-variates

Page 25: IST-3 collaborators meeting

NINDS conclusions on SICH.

Subgroup analyses suggested that some clinical characteristics were related to the occurrence of SICH

However, after adjustment, the differences between subgroups were not statistically significant.

Cannot predict reliably who will develop SICH

Ingall et al Stroke. 2004;35:2418-2424.

Page 26: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Early ischaemia signs on CT

4 hours 24 hours

Hypodensity : loss of grey/white differentiation, loss of the lentiform nucleus

Swelling : effacement of sulci, compression of ventricle

Page 27: IST-3 collaborators meeting

‘Early ischaemia’ signs on CT: effect on response to rt-PA

• Two randomised trials, 1,926 patients.• No evidence that ‘early infarct sign’

significantly modifies effect of thrombolysis

• But analysis has insufficient statistical power – need larger trials

Wardlaw et al, Radiology 2005: 235: 444

Page 28: IST-3 collaborators meeting

What is known: summary• Limited rt-PA trial data (2,100 patients)• Very limited data of effects in older

people• Effects on death unclear• ‘Time is brain’; early treatment is best• Clear ~3% risk of fatal brain

haemorrhage• Despite risk, potential for net benefit for

selected patients up to 6hrs.

Page 29: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Current use of rt-PA in clinical practice

Page 30: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Current rt-PA approval for use in routine clinical practice

• Patient MUST be– able to be treated within 3 hours– aged under 80– not have a history of prior stroke + Diabetes– not have any of the standard exclusions– NIHSS < 25– No extensive infarction on CT

• There must be a discussion of risk/consent

Page 31: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Variation in use of rt-PA for acute ischaemic stroke ‘within licence’ in Europe

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

rt-PA

for s

troke

per

mill

ion

pop'

n

FinlandAustriaSwedenNorwayBelgiumSpainGermanyNetherlandsDenmarkItalyUKGreeceFrancePortugal

SITS register (2003-5) March 2005

Page 32: IST-3 collaborators meeting

We need further large trials to: • Determine reliably:

– whether there are patients outside strict criteria of current approval who benefit < 3hrs

– which type of patients benefit 3-6 hours– Balance of risk and benefit in older patients

• Contribute further evidence to:– persuade doubting clinicians to change practice– reduce inequalities in patient access to treatment– persuade health authorities to fund:

• cost of drug treatment • a well-organised acute stroke service in every acute

hospital

Page 33: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Current small scale randomised trials of i.v. thrombolysis

Trial Thrombolytic agent

Patient selection trial size & time window

EPITHET rt-PA Clinical, CT (+ DWI/PWI MRI) 3-6 hours 100 patients

DIAS -2 Desmoteplase DWI/PWI or CT perfusion 3-9 hours 186 patients

ECASS III rt-PA Clinical and CT 3-4 hours 800 patients

Page 34: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Third International Stroke Trial. A large randomised trial to answer the question: can a

wider variety of patients be treated?

Target: 6000 patients from 300 centres in 36 Countries

Page 35: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Main features of IST - 3 • International, multi-centre, Prospective,

Randomised, Open, Blinded Endpoints study of i.v. rt-PA vs control. Independent. Investigator-led

• Primary outcome: the proportion of patients alive and independent at six months (Modified Rankin 0,1 or 2)

• Randomisation by telephone or internet with on-line minimisation to balance key prognostic factors.

• Blinded central review of all scans

Page 36: IST-3 collaborators meeting

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

May

200

0

Nov

200

0

May

200

1

Nov

200

1

May

200

2

Nov

200

2

May

200

3

Nov

200

3

May

200

4

Nov

200

4

May

200

5

Nov

200

5

May

200

6

Nov

200

6

May

200

7

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s .

Recruitment

Recruitment at 28.10.06: 648 patients from 65 centres in 9 countries.

Page 37: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Recruitment by countryCountry No. centres Pts. %

UK 22 252 38%

Poland 4 128 21%

Norway 9 94 15%

Italy 12 56 10%

Belgium 2 45 8%

Australia 9 36 5%

Sweden 9 24 3%

AustriaCanada

11

54

1%1%

Page 38: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Countries in process of joining/seeking to join trial

In process• Czech Republic• Hungary• India• Mexico• Portugal

Seeking to join• Argentina• Belarus• Brazil• Chile• South Africa• Switzerland• Taiwan• Thailand • Ukraine

Page 39: IST-3 collaborators meeting

120 patients aged over 80

Age at randomisation

020406080

100120140160180200

50 orunder

51-60 61-70 71-80 81-90 91-100 Over100

Age in years at randomisation

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

192 patients aged > 80 = increased world evidence base 5 x!

Page 40: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Delay between stroke onset and randomisation

020406080

100120140160180

1 or less 1 to 2 2 to 3 3 to 4 4 to 5 5 to 6Hours between stroke onset and randomisation

Num

ber o

f pat

ient

s

Median = 4.1 hours

Page 41: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Report of the IST 3 Data Monitoring Committee

The Data Monitoring Committee for the IST-3 trial reviewed the interim outcome data on 26 September 2006, and had no safety concerns. We would encourage all collaborators to support this important trial and the study organisers to explore all appropriate ways to achieve the required rate of recruitment as rapidly as possible.

Professor Rory Collins, Chairman

Page 42: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Summary• IST-3 is obtaining very important data about

thrombolysis, outside the current licence• It has already increased the world randomised

evidence base on the effect of rt-PA in patients aged > 80, by 5 times!

• It is encouraging new centres to use thrombolysis in a randomised trial– Closely monitored– Adds to the randomised evidence

• It will provide uniquely useful data on the impact of clinical and CT findings on response to rt-PA

Page 43: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Persisting hyperdense artery sign, ASPECTS score and risk of developing mass effect: an

analysis based on the first 389 patients from the IST-3 Trial.

Kobayashi A,1,2 Skowronska M1,2, Bembenek J3, Sandercock P4, Kane I4, Czlonkowska A1,2, Lewis S4,

Wardlaw J4, for the IST-3 Collaborative Group

1 Medical Univerity of Warsaw, Poland, 2 Institute of Psychiatry and Neurology, Warsaw, Poland, 3 Wolski Hospital, Warsaw, Poland, 4 University of Edinburgh,

United Kingdom

Page 44: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Background• In patients with acute ischaemic stroke, the

hyperdense artery sign is a marker of fresh thrombus occluding the vessel

• The hyperdense artery sign– is associated with greater stroke severity – can disappear with reperfusion, – can persist if the artery remains occluded– If persistent, may predict infarct swelling

• No evidence that hyperdense artery on baseline CT influenced response to rt-PA in NINDS trial

Page 45: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Hyperdense artery

Page 46: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Aims of this analysis• In patients randomised in IST3, to

assess how often the hyperdense artery sign:– is seen on baseline CT scan– disappears by the time of second scan– is associated with ‘early ischaemic

change’ and mass effect on baseline and follow-up CT

• Assess associations with a persistent hyperdense artery

Page 47: IST-3 collaborators meeting

IST-3 image assessment protocol • Design:

– randomised controlled trial of rt-PA vs control in 6000 patients with acute ischaemic stroke < 6 hrs of onset

• Eligibility for the trial – No clear indication for, or contraindication to, thrombolysis with iv rt-PA.

• CT scan– Before randomisation (MR permitted)– Repeat CT at 24-48 hrs after randomisation

• All scans read centrally – blinded to clinical details, treatment allocation, and later events

• Detailed assessment of – site, size, location of early ischaemic change & swelling – ASPECTS score – presence of of hyperdense artery – haemorrhage, non stroke lesions etc.

Page 48: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Scale to assess swelling and mass effect

Wardlaw AJNR 1994

Page 49: IST-3 collaborators meeting

ASPECTS Score

Each of 10 MCA territory regions scored normal/ abnormal for hypodensity , and total no. abnormal areas subtracted from

10, so most extensive visible MCA ischaemia score = 0 (worst), no visible ischaemic change = 10 (best)

Page 50: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Material and methods• We included in this analysis data from all

patients randomised, for whom we had on 15.12.05: – Digitised copies of baseline and follow-up CT *

(we excluded patients with MR as baseline scan, or who had no follow-up CT)

– The (blinded) assessment by the expert central reader of both scans entered in database

• Analyses presented are based on the 389 patients who met these criteria

Page 51: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Frequency of hyperdense artery on baseline and follow-up CT

Present on baseline scan 152 (39%)

Present on follow-up scan 102 (26%)

Persisted (seen on 1st & 2nd scan) 88 (23%)

Present on baseline, disappeared by 2nd scan 64 (16%)

Page 52: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Baseline CT: hyperdense artery and early ischaemic changes & swelling

  Hyperdense artery present

n (%)

Hyperdense artery absent

n (%) p

Loss of grey/white matter definition 128 (84%) 101 (43%) <0.001

Loss of basal ganglia outline 98 (64%) 56 (24%) <0.001

Hypodensity 27 (18%) 19 (8%) 0.004

Any mass effect 96 (63%) 58 (24%) <0.001

ASPECTS score, mean 5.0 6.3 <0.001

Page 53: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Follow-up CT: ischaemic change and swelling in patients with and without persisting hyperdense

arteryHyperdense

artery persisted

n (%)

Hyperdense artery

disappearedn (%) p

Loss of grey/white definition 81 (92%) 50 (82%) 0.06

Loss of basal ganglia outline 71 (81%) 42 (69%) 0.2

Hypodensity 81 (92%) 53 (87%) 0.3

Any sign of mass effect 80 (91%) 51 (84%) 0.2

ASPECTS score (mean) 3.4 4.9 0.002

Page 54: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Summary• In IST-3, the hyperdense artery was seen on

baseline CT in 152/389 patients (39%)• In 64/152 (42%) the hyperdense artery was no

longer visible on the follow-up CT• Compared with patients without hyperdense artery

sign (HAS), patients with persisting HAS showed more extensive ischaemic change on both the baseline and follow-up CT

• IST-3 will therefore have substantial data to assess the influence of the hyperdense artery sign and early ischemic change on the response to i.v. rt-PA

Page 55: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Lots of new features on the website!www.ist3.com

Page 56: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Study protocol

Page 57: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Hypothesis #1

Intravenous thrombolysis with rt-PA administered to a wide range of patients with acute ischaemic stroke within six hours of symptom onset will increase the proportion of patients alive and independent at six months.

Page 58: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Hypothesis #2The balance of risks and benefits of thrombolysis may be modified by clinically important variables, including: –age–delay in treatment, –stroke severity, –initial brain scan appearances.

Page 59: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Main features of the IST - 3 • International, multi-centre, prospective,

randomised open treatment blinded end-point design (PROBE) study.

• Large and pragmatic - 6000 patients.• Eligibility criteria simple• Blinded assessment of outcome at 6 months.• Intention to treat analysis.• Pharmaceutical industry not involved in trial

development, operation or data management.

Page 60: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Exclusion Criteria (1)Contraindications to thrombolysis:

• Major surgery, trauma or gastrointestinal or urinary tract haemorrhage within the previous 21 days.

• Arterial puncture at a non-compressible site within the previous 7 days.

• Currently on oral anticoagulant or intravenous heparin therapy with abnormal coagulation (APPT and/or INR).

• Known defect of clotting or platelet function.• Women of childbearing potential (unless pregnancy

impossible) or known to be breastfeeding.

Page 61: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Exclusion Criteria (2)Not specified but might include:

• Prognosis very poor regardless of therapy; likely to be dead within months.

• Unlikely to be available for follow-up (eg, no fixed home address, visitor from overseas).

Page 62: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Eligibility Criteria (1) General Indications:

• Patients older than 16 years of age.• Symptoms and signs of clinically definite

acute stroke (mild, moderate or severe).• A clearly established time of stroke onset

that will allow thrombolysis to be given within six hours.

• CT or MR brain scanning has excluded intracranial haemorrhage.

Page 63: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Eligibility Criteria (2)

If your patient: • Has a clear indication for thrombolysis: Treat with rt-PA.

• Has a clear contraindication to thrombolysis: DO NOT treat with rt-PA.

• Thrombolysis is ‘promising but unproven,’ consider RANDOMISING the patient in IST-3.

Page 64: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Trial procedure: Brain imaging

• Mandatory initial scan (CT or MRI) before randomisation to rule out haemorrhage and stroke mimics.

• Patients eligible even if early ischaemic changes visible.

• Repeat CT at 24-48 hrs after randomisation.

Page 65: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Trial procedure: Ethics and Consent

• Each participating centre must obtain approval from the appropriate Ethics Committee / IRB

• Before randomisation, consent must be obtained from the patient or their relatives (or legal representative).

Page 66: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Randomisation (1)

• 24 hour computerised randomisation service: telephone or via ist3 website (www.ist3.com)

• Enter key demographic items and baseline data• Computer checks data for consistency.• Treatment allocated immediately.

Page 67: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Patients allocated thrombolysis

• Admit patient to acute stroke unit• Drug: recombinant tissue-type plasminogen

activator (rt-PA, Alteplase - Boehringer Ingelheim). • Dose: total dose of 0.9mg per kg of body weight up

to a maximum of 90mg. • Regimen: 10% of the total dose given as an

intravenous bolus delivered over one minute, with the remainder infused over the next 60 minutes.

• Avoid aspirin and heparin for 24 hours• All other standard treatments as usual• Clinical monitoring according to IST-3 protocol

Page 68: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Patients allocated control

• Admit patient to acute stroke unit• Patient must NOT be given rt-PA. • Aspirin can be started immediately• All other standard treatments as usual• Clinical monitoring according to IST-3

protocol

Page 69: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Monitoring vital signs and neurological status after randomisation

• Every 15 minutes for 2 hours (use manual not automated method for BP)

• Every 30 minutes for the next 6 hours• Hourly for a further 6 hours• 4 hourly for the next 36 hours• If there is any cause for concern,

review, report, document and increase observation frequency accordingly

Page 70: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Trial procedure: Haemorrhages during thrombolysis• Stop infusion immediately if significant

bleeding (intra- or extracranial) occurs.• Monitor blood pressure, maintain

circulating blood volume, transfuse blood as appropriate for patients with major extracranial bleeding.

• +/- neurosurgical opinion for intracranial haemorrhages.

Page 71: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Data collection at 7 days

• Demographic data. • Treatments given in hospital• Major clinical events within 7 days • Contact details of patient to permit

follow-up at 6 months (family doctor, address of relatives etc.).

• Send pre-randomisation and follow-up CT scans to Edinburgh (you can send via email, web, or post)

Page 72: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Data collection at six months

• Is the patient alive and independent?• Modified Rankin, quality of life• Assessed blind with a validated

postal or telephone questionnaire.

Page 73: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Events within 7 days

• Deaths from any cause.• Symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage

(fatal and non-fatal).

• Asymptomatic intracranial haemorrhage (repeat brain imaging data).

• Major extracranial haemorrhage (fatal, or requiring transfusion or operation).

• Recurrent ischaemic stroke.

Page 74: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Data analyses: ‘intention to treat’Subsidiary analyses, subdivided by:• Clinical stroke syndrome (OCSP)• Presence or absence of atrial fibrillation• Pre-randomisation scan appearances• Pre-randomisation antiplatelet use• Baseline risk• Blood pressure at randomisation• Antihypertensive use following randomisation• Age• Sex

Page 75: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Sample size: 6,000 patients • Assuming a power of 80%, an alpha level of 5%, with

6000 patients, mostly treated between 3 & 6 hours of onset, the trial could detect a 3% absolute difference in the primary outcome (the proportion of patients dead or dependent at 6 months).

• This absolute difference is clinically worthwhile, is consistent with the effect size observed among patients randomised between 3 & 6 hours of stroke onset in the Cochrane review of the rt-PA trials. It is also comparable with the absolute benefit seen with thrombolytic therapy for acute MI.

• If 3500 patients were recruited, the trial could detect a 4% absolute difference in the primary outcome.

• A sample size of 1000 patients could detect a 7% absolute difference in the primary outcome, which is consistent with the effect size among patients randomised within 3 hours of stroke in the Cochrane review.

Page 76: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Which imaging method to select patients for thrombolysis?

Page 77: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Do we need to see ‘mismatch’ with CT Perfusion/MR-DWI/PWI? –NO!

1. No reliable evidence that patients with mismatch benefit from thrombolysis – DIAS trial +

2. 50% of patients without mismatch get lesion growth, so could still benefit from treatment

3. Extra imaging increases delays to start of treatment

4. No consensus on definition of mismatch or how to assess perfusion

Page 78: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Do we need to see a blocked artery with CTA, MRA, IAA? – NO!

• Dogma: “only treat a blocked artery…”• Block may be below resolution of imaging

(No obvious block on CTA, MRA, IAA does not exclude a blocked vessel)?

• Lacunar stroke - Lacunar infarcts in NINDS benefited as much as other stroke subgroups

• Its not just the big vessels – what about the microcirculation – it needs to be unblocked too.

Page 79: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Further technique-specific issuesCT Perfusion/CTA• Contrast agents delay clot lysis times by >50% (Morcos Eur Radiol 2005;15:1463, Pislaru J Am Coll Cardiol 1998;32:1102,

Dehmer J Am Coll Cardiol 1995;25:1069)

DWI/PWI• 20-30% of acute stroke patients cannot be scanned for

medical reasons or MR contraindications (Hand et al JNNP 2005, Barber et al JNNP 2005, Singer Neurology

2004;62:1848)

IST imaging strategy• Plain CT is the primary method, but MRI permitted.• Need to gain maximal information from CT• Imaging sub-studies planned

Page 80: IST-3 collaborators meeting

CT scanning

Page 81: IST-3 collaborators meeting

web-based CT reading and feedback system:

• Log on to www.neuroimage.co.uk

• Register

• Do first 20 scans (2 batches)- get 1 CPD credit-get feedback

•Do all six batches - get 5 CPD credits

IST-3: Training to read CT scans

what you, the reference standard, five experts and all other specialties said about that scan, and a follow-up scan to see where the infarct appeared

Page 82: IST-3 collaborators meeting

IST-3 Imaging: Training materials to read scans

Page 83: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Early infarct signs on CT

4 hours 24 hours

Hypodensity : loss of grey/white differentiation, loss of the lentiform nucleus

Swelling : effacement of sulci, squashing the ventricle

Page 84: IST-3 collaborators meeting

IST-3. CT scan at baseline: Joanna Wardlaw’s opinion

Acute ischaemic change 72%

Hyperdense artery 44%

Periventricular lucencies 40%

Old vascular lesion 39%

Normal 4%

Non-stroke lesion* 1%

Haemorrhage 0%categories are not mutually exclusive: a patient may have more than

one feature. *both lesions were small incidental meningiomas

Page 85: IST-3 collaborators meeting

IST3 plans for CT analysis and international CT reading panel and

its methods

Page 86: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Maximising information from CT. Need to clarify relationships between:

Treatment risk (haemorrhage) and:• presence of ‘early infarct’ signs• white matter lesions• old infarcts/haemorrhages

Treatment benefit and ‘early infarct’ signs • how much density change = irreversible infarction?• is swelling without hypodensity important?• how important is dense artery sign?

Page 87: IST-3 collaborators meeting

CT ‘at 2 hrs’ after onset.On closer questioning, true onset

was at least 8 hrs before CT.48 hrs

How hypodense?

Page 88: IST-3 collaborators meeting

This is ‘marked hypodensity’: Lessons from this case

1. Infarct has very clearly demarcated edges, and marked hypodensity = ?irreversible infarction

2. Patients with right hemisphere symptoms may not notice when their stroke starts due to “neglect” (anosognosia).

3. Always review the patient’s history if CT suggests that the infarct is older than the stated time of onset would suggest.

Page 89: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Baseline < 3 hoursEarly left basal ganglia hypodensity

Follow-upHaemorrhagic transformation

Is this too much hypodensity?

Page 90: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Swelling without density change? (CT at 2 hrs)

5 hrs: swelling + density change

Page 91: IST-3 collaborators meeting

4 days – infarct in density change and swelling areas

IST3 00188

5 hrs - then swelling + density change

Page 92: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Dense artery sign: what does it predict?

Page 93: IST-3 collaborators meeting

IST3 00338 24 hours later – persistent dense MCA (thrombus)

Dense MCA & haemorrhagic transformation

4.5 hours after acute left hemiparesis

Page 94: IST-3 collaborators meeting

IST3 00343

48 hours later – persistent MCA occlusion

Persistent dense MCA & massive swelling

Acute right hemiparesis 4 hours ago

Page 95: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Dense artery sign: what does it predict?

A persistently dense MCA at 24-48 hrs may predict adverse events (bleeding or massive

swelling)

IST-3 will establish whether rt-PA causes disappearance of dense MCA sign and

reduces these adverse outcomes

Page 96: IST-3 collaborators meeting

What about microhaemorrhages, which can be seen on CT

(sometimes)?

CT

MR GRE

Page 97: IST-3 collaborators meeting

Old haemorrhage on CT, and rt-PA

White linear density; slit-like hole haemosiderin

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Purpose of central CT reading. Clarify relationships between:

• Early infarct signs and haemorrhage risk• Early infarct signs and treatment benefit

- how much density change? - how much swelling?

• White matter lesions & haemorrhage risk • Old infarcts/haemorrhages and risk• Appearance/disappearance of dense artery

sign and response to treatment

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IST3 – plans for CT reading• Central collection = potentially 12, 000 CT’s!• Electronic storage• Reading by panel of 20 experts• Web-based CT reading system developed from

ACCESS study• All scans read once• Subset read by all readers• CT reading advisory group met 6th October, panel

of 20 experts being assembled• Preliminary analyses on first 500 patients being

submitted for Lancet

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Edinburgh