isabelle vincent - investing in policy transformation
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Investing in Policy Transformation :Experience from a Development Bank
Isabelle VINCENT
June the 22nd, 2011
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Fossil energy business model1.1
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Lack of change
in trends from
supply side
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Lack of change in trends from demand side1.3
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1980 1990 2000 2008 2020 2035
Million
China
Other non-OECD
United States
Other OECD
Passenger vehicles in the New Policies Scenario
Source : World Energy Outlook 2010
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Non sustainable growth since the industrialrevolution
Goods and services are under-priced
E&S externalities are not valued
Scarcity is not correctly valued
Path taken is the one of inaction although actionwould be economically relevant
Stern report : cost of CC inaction = 5% of global GDP each
year ; cost of action = 1% of global GDP each year
Wrong economic drivers1.4
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Change our representations
Change indicators of progress :
Green GDP
Sustainable development index (vs. HDI)
GDH : Gross Domestic Happiness
Give economic value to environment and resources
Technical, human, social and natural stock
Use new methodologies : increasing value of limitedresources, rethink the use of discounting rate
Shift form pre-supposed abundance tomanagement of shortage of resources ; DSM
1.5
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Technology or methodology ?2.2
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Where can development finance add value ?
Promoting Systemic approaches
Innovative economic and policy making methodologiesfactoring environmental externalities and scarcity ofresources ;
New institutional organizations favoring cross-sector andinter-ministerial dialogue to improve quality of political,
budgetary, technical decision making ;
Social engineering, to ensure proper design, appropriationand implementation of enabling, effective and sustainableclean energy policies by all stakeholders (including civilsociety and private sector) ;
R&D and massive dissemination of new technologies.
Focus on risk analysis : building resilience againstenergy shocks to come
2.1
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Example of capital stock valuation : Mozambique2.3
Technical K
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Challenge of urban density
Different sizes of suburb hosting500 households and
corresponding population withinthe range of public transportation
Associated
GHGemissionsrelated to
transportation(Vietnam)
2.4
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Resilience of Mexicos economy to fuel
prices2.5
Ruiz Npoles, Pablo (Sermanat)
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AFD Group
French ODA Agency: Public Company & Bank
AfD, PROPARCO : financing of the private sector, French GEF secretariat
Present in 80+ countries
6.8 billion committed in 2010
Energy & climate change agenda ~ 40% ; Asia ~ 1 billion
Wide range of financing tools
Untied aid
3.1
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Climate change policy lending (Vietnam)3.2
Loan to GOV :dialogue on apolicy matrix
TA : to supportthis dialogue onspecific issues
MONRE, MOF, MPI
Excecutive Board of NTP-RCC
National Steering Committee of NTP-RCC
Line agency A Line agency B Line agency C
Province A
Province B
Province C
Line agencieselaborate
sectorial policiescontributing toCC response
Provinces implement local climate change action plans
Eg : elaboration of aroad map on EE in the
steel sector
Eg : elaboration of a CC action plan in Danang
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Thank you for your attention
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AFD Groups geographic implantation
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AFD Groups committments, M
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Breakdown of (C)lean Energy commitments in 2009
(Total US$ 3.0 bn)
18%
11%5%
35%
5%
26%
Policy loans
Energy Efficiency
Renewable Energy
Fuel switch
Credit lines
Urban transport
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To build up overall capacity for climate change actions
in cross sectors in the Government of Vietnam
ClimateChangerelated
strategies,policies, etc.
Policy Action Sectors Main Responsible Ministries
MOIT
MARD
MOC
Related ministries
MOT, MOC, MOIT2) Transportation and Construction
3) Forestry and Agriculture
4) Waste Disposal
5) CDM
6) Water
8) Disaster Prevention
9) Forestry, Biodiversity and Agriculture
11) Health Care
7) Integrated Coastal Management
10) Transportation and Construction
MOC etc
MARD etcMARD
MARD, BCA etc
MOT, MOC
MOH
12) Assessment, Monitoring & Evaluation
13) Financial Mechanism
15) Awareness Raisingand Human Resource Development
MOST
MOF, MPIMPI
MOET
Mitigation
Adaptation
Cross-Cutting
Pillars
MONRE
1) Energy (Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency)
14) Mainstreaming CC issues to development planningand Program Management of NTP-RCC and SP-RCC
Policy matrix SP-RCC
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Outcome/TargetCY2010 Actions
(2nd Cycle)CY2011 Actions
(3rd Cycle)CY2009 Actions
(1st Cycle)
Achieve 3 % ofrenewable energyand new energy ofprimary energyconsumption by2010(about 5% in 2020and 11% in 2050)
Formulate Strategyand Master plan forRenewable EnergyDevelopment (2015-2025)
Finalize the draftDecree on encouragingand supportingRenewable Energydevelopment
Conduct a study how tofinance additional costsof renewable energy viaRenewable EnergyFund
Establish RenewableEnergy Fund asstipulated in theRenewable EnergyMaster plan
Adaptation
Cross-Cutting
Mitigation RE&EE
GoV develops a policy framework to promote the development of
commercial renewable energy and energy efficiency and conservation.Summary
*The number to be reconfirmed
Develop policyframework to save
5-8% of the totalenergy amountconsumednationwide in theperiod of 2011-2015
Prepare thelegislative
framework forimproving energyefficiency andconservationactivities in Vietnam
Prepare theregulations to
enforce the Law onenergy efficiencyand conservation
Complete theresearch of the
financial mechanismfor improving energyefficiency andconservationactivities in Vietnam
Content of Policy matrix, Vietnam
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1
Projects cycle
Based on the result,funds are made
available to GoV
DonorsandNGOs
(JICA)(AFD)
1st Cycle (2008-9) 2nd Cycle (2010) 3rd Cycle (2011)
Policy Dialogues between ministries and donors
GoV
Evaluate theachievement of 1st
Cycles PAs
Evaluate theachievement of 2nd
Cycles PAs
Evaluate theachievement of 3rd
Cycles PAs
Monitoring PAs by ministries and donors
Implementing Policy Actions (PAs)
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1st TM : identification
2nd TM : supervision
3rd TM : assessment
Based on the result,funds are made
available to GoV
Based on the result,funds are made
available to GoV
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Examples of EE/RE (and pollution
abatement) credit lines1
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EE/RE credit line in China
First credit line through 3 banks : HuaXia, China
Merchants Bank, SPDB -> 60 million euros ;
Financing of 12 projects in EE/RE : heat recoveryin cement and steel plants, up-grading of power
generation plant, waste-to-energy projects, powergeneration from biomass, etc.
1,9 million tCO2/year saved
TA for capacity building on EE/RE financing withinthe banks
2nd line for a total amount of 120 million euros
2
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EE/RE credit lines in India
70 million RE credit line with IREDA (IndianRenewable Energy Development Agency)
Small and medium sized projects targeted (maxamount of loan = 15 M)
Criteria : hydropower < 25 MW with limited E&Simpacts, wind IPP, biomass cogeneration (high
steam pressure), biomass power generation < 10MW, solar heat/electricity generation
50 million EE credit line with SIBDI (SmallIndustries Development Bank of India)
Minimum EE / GHG savings criteria
Potential projects : heat recovery, fuel shifts, A/Cimprovements, etc.
2
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EE credit line with Mandiri, Indonesia
100 million dollars credit line
Criteria : EE projects (heat recovery, replacement ofchillers, etc.), co-generation projects, fuel switchs,small scale renewable energy projects,
harnessing/use of GHG (eg : capture of gas fromwaste disposal)
Projects financed include the addition of a steamcycle to a simple cycle gas power plant
2
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Municipalities can play a key role in CO2 reduction
As direct energy consumers with potential energy conservation
(street lighting, public buildings, municipal transport fleets, schools,
hospitals )
As owners of urban infrastructures (local electricity grid, waste
treatment units, public transport )
As urban planners (land use, transport, urban waste and sewage
schemes)
1 Climate change and citiesGlobal strategy
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URBAN PLANNING
Master plan taking sustainable development into account:
Durbans urban fringes
URBAN MORPHOLOGY
Urban Shape Urban network and compactness: sizes of streets,
heights of buildings, etc.
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
Environmental approach to urban development
Eco-friendly neighbourhoods
BUILDINGS: energy efficiency
EQUIPMENTS: heating, air conditionning
USERS HABITS
URBAN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: SIX KEY ENTRIES
1 Sustainable urban planningGlobal strategy
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3 Case studies: AFD directfinancing to LAs
Examples of projects financed by AFD
Colombia - Medellin - social housing and green transport programme - Direct financing toMedellin Municipality 250MUSD
Brazil Curitiba support to local environment programme for urban transport and
environment (urban biodiversity) Direct financing to Curitiba with Central Gov. guarantee -36M
Morroco Al Omrane financing and capacity building to implement an environmentalapproach in the national urban and social housing programme Direct financing to Al Omrane- 50M
Tunisia 5 municipal projects upgrading municipal infrastructures (waste collection,sewage, etc.) Financing to Central Government transferred to public LA financing body -147M
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3 Case studies: AFD directfinancing to LAs
Examples of technical cooperation and study supported by AFD
Turkey Gaziantep: support to GHG emission inventory and to the city action plan(+ financing of the dedicated investment programme)
Study to be launched: learning from experience of French and European citiesclimate action plan to better support emerging cities, 8 case studies (4 Europeancities, 4 emerging cities), will imply exchange of experiences between the citiesstudied (seminar to present conclusions)
AFD strategy to support LAs through capacity building and financing investmentswill be explained through the presentation of 2 projects as case studies Vietnam
and South Africa
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3 Cities in Viet Nam
Ho Chi Minh City
First economic city: GDP 3,094 USD/inhab., increase: + 3.5 %/yr,produce 50% of VN GDP
7.1 M inhabitants: population doubled from 1989 to 2005 Congestion, insufficient public transport and equipment despitesignificant efforts
Danang / Can Tho
2 secondary cities (+/- 1 M inhbts), economically dynamic highly vulnerable to climate change the will to build up a dedicated strategy over the next 20-30 yrs
Case studies: AFD financingTo LAs through the state
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Issues:
support for design and implementation of public policies, particularly in the environmental sector
Can be implemented through partnerships with other institutions (vulnerability assessement)
3Case studies: AFD financingTo Las through the state
3 cities programs
Background:Supporting HCMC, Danang and Can Tho sustainable development
programs and master plans taking into account adaptation to climate
change, a major constraint
-> emerging thoughts around climate change at the national level (CCAP)
HCMC: sustainable social housing, waste managementDanang: Climate change action plan with ADBCan Tho: urban planning, sustainable urban projects