isabelle vincent - investing in policy transformation

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    Investing in Policy Transformation :Experience from a Development Bank

    Isabelle VINCENT

    June the 22nd, 2011

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    Fossil energy business model1.1

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    Lack of change

    in trends from

    supply side

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    Lack of change in trends from demand side1.3

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1 000

    1 200

    1 400

    1 600

    1980 1990 2000 2008 2020 2035

    Million

    China

    Other non-OECD

    United States

    Other OECD

    Passenger vehicles in the New Policies Scenario

    Source : World Energy Outlook 2010

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    Non sustainable growth since the industrialrevolution

    Goods and services are under-priced

    E&S externalities are not valued

    Scarcity is not correctly valued

    Path taken is the one of inaction although actionwould be economically relevant

    Stern report : cost of CC inaction = 5% of global GDP each

    year ; cost of action = 1% of global GDP each year

    Wrong economic drivers1.4

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    Change our representations

    Change indicators of progress :

    Green GDP

    Sustainable development index (vs. HDI)

    GDH : Gross Domestic Happiness

    Give economic value to environment and resources

    Technical, human, social and natural stock

    Use new methodologies : increasing value of limitedresources, rethink the use of discounting rate

    Shift form pre-supposed abundance tomanagement of shortage of resources ; DSM

    1.5

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    Technology or methodology ?2.2

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    Where can development finance add value ?

    Promoting Systemic approaches

    Innovative economic and policy making methodologiesfactoring environmental externalities and scarcity ofresources ;

    New institutional organizations favoring cross-sector andinter-ministerial dialogue to improve quality of political,

    budgetary, technical decision making ;

    Social engineering, to ensure proper design, appropriationand implementation of enabling, effective and sustainableclean energy policies by all stakeholders (including civilsociety and private sector) ;

    R&D and massive dissemination of new technologies.

    Focus on risk analysis : building resilience againstenergy shocks to come

    2.1

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    Example of capital stock valuation : Mozambique2.3

    Technical K

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    Challenge of urban density

    Different sizes of suburb hosting500 households and

    corresponding population withinthe range of public transportation

    Associated

    GHGemissionsrelated to

    transportation(Vietnam)

    2.4

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    Resilience of Mexicos economy to fuel

    prices2.5

    Ruiz Npoles, Pablo (Sermanat)

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    AFD Group

    French ODA Agency: Public Company & Bank

    AfD, PROPARCO : financing of the private sector, French GEF secretariat

    Present in 80+ countries

    6.8 billion committed in 2010

    Energy & climate change agenda ~ 40% ; Asia ~ 1 billion

    Wide range of financing tools

    Untied aid

    3.1

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    Climate change policy lending (Vietnam)3.2

    Loan to GOV :dialogue on apolicy matrix

    TA : to supportthis dialogue onspecific issues

    MONRE, MOF, MPI

    Excecutive Board of NTP-RCC

    National Steering Committee of NTP-RCC

    Line agency A Line agency B Line agency C

    Province A

    Province B

    Province C

    Line agencieselaborate

    sectorial policiescontributing toCC response

    Provinces implement local climate change action plans

    Eg : elaboration of aroad map on EE in the

    steel sector

    Eg : elaboration of a CC action plan in Danang

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    Thank you for your attention

    [email protected]

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    AFD Groups geographic implantation

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    AFD Groups committments, M

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    Breakdown of (C)lean Energy commitments in 2009

    (Total US$ 3.0 bn)

    18%

    11%5%

    35%

    5%

    26%

    Policy loans

    Energy Efficiency

    Renewable Energy

    Fuel switch

    Credit lines

    Urban transport

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    To build up overall capacity for climate change actions

    in cross sectors in the Government of Vietnam

    ClimateChangerelated

    strategies,policies, etc.

    Policy Action Sectors Main Responsible Ministries

    MOIT

    MARD

    MOC

    Related ministries

    MOT, MOC, MOIT2) Transportation and Construction

    3) Forestry and Agriculture

    4) Waste Disposal

    5) CDM

    6) Water

    8) Disaster Prevention

    9) Forestry, Biodiversity and Agriculture

    11) Health Care

    7) Integrated Coastal Management

    10) Transportation and Construction

    MOC etc

    MARD etcMARD

    MARD, BCA etc

    MOT, MOC

    MOH

    12) Assessment, Monitoring & Evaluation

    13) Financial Mechanism

    15) Awareness Raisingand Human Resource Development

    MOST

    MOF, MPIMPI

    MOET

    Mitigation

    Adaptation

    Cross-Cutting

    Pillars

    MONRE

    1) Energy (Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency)

    14) Mainstreaming CC issues to development planningand Program Management of NTP-RCC and SP-RCC

    Policy matrix SP-RCC

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    Outcome/TargetCY2010 Actions

    (2nd Cycle)CY2011 Actions

    (3rd Cycle)CY2009 Actions

    (1st Cycle)

    Achieve 3 % ofrenewable energyand new energy ofprimary energyconsumption by2010(about 5% in 2020and 11% in 2050)

    Formulate Strategyand Master plan forRenewable EnergyDevelopment (2015-2025)

    Finalize the draftDecree on encouragingand supportingRenewable Energydevelopment

    Conduct a study how tofinance additional costsof renewable energy viaRenewable EnergyFund

    Establish RenewableEnergy Fund asstipulated in theRenewable EnergyMaster plan

    Adaptation

    Cross-Cutting

    Mitigation RE&EE

    GoV develops a policy framework to promote the development of

    commercial renewable energy and energy efficiency and conservation.Summary

    *The number to be reconfirmed

    Develop policyframework to save

    5-8% of the totalenergy amountconsumednationwide in theperiod of 2011-2015

    Prepare thelegislative

    framework forimproving energyefficiency andconservationactivities in Vietnam

    Prepare theregulations to

    enforce the Law onenergy efficiencyand conservation

    Complete theresearch of the

    financial mechanismfor improving energyefficiency andconservationactivities in Vietnam

    Content of Policy matrix, Vietnam

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    1

    Projects cycle

    Based on the result,funds are made

    available to GoV

    DonorsandNGOs

    (JICA)(AFD)

    1st Cycle (2008-9) 2nd Cycle (2010) 3rd Cycle (2011)

    Policy Dialogues between ministries and donors

    GoV

    Evaluate theachievement of 1st

    Cycles PAs

    Evaluate theachievement of 2nd

    Cycles PAs

    Evaluate theachievement of 3rd

    Cycles PAs

    Monitoring PAs by ministries and donors

    Implementing Policy Actions (PAs)

    4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

    1st TM : identification

    2nd TM : supervision

    3rd TM : assessment

    Based on the result,funds are made

    available to GoV

    Based on the result,funds are made

    available to GoV

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    Examples of EE/RE (and pollution

    abatement) credit lines1

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    EE/RE credit line in China

    First credit line through 3 banks : HuaXia, China

    Merchants Bank, SPDB -> 60 million euros ;

    Financing of 12 projects in EE/RE : heat recoveryin cement and steel plants, up-grading of power

    generation plant, waste-to-energy projects, powergeneration from biomass, etc.

    1,9 million tCO2/year saved

    TA for capacity building on EE/RE financing withinthe banks

    2nd line for a total amount of 120 million euros

    2

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    EE/RE credit lines in India

    70 million RE credit line with IREDA (IndianRenewable Energy Development Agency)

    Small and medium sized projects targeted (maxamount of loan = 15 M)

    Criteria : hydropower < 25 MW with limited E&Simpacts, wind IPP, biomass cogeneration (high

    steam pressure), biomass power generation < 10MW, solar heat/electricity generation

    50 million EE credit line with SIBDI (SmallIndustries Development Bank of India)

    Minimum EE / GHG savings criteria

    Potential projects : heat recovery, fuel shifts, A/Cimprovements, etc.

    2

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    EE credit line with Mandiri, Indonesia

    100 million dollars credit line

    Criteria : EE projects (heat recovery, replacement ofchillers, etc.), co-generation projects, fuel switchs,small scale renewable energy projects,

    harnessing/use of GHG (eg : capture of gas fromwaste disposal)

    Projects financed include the addition of a steamcycle to a simple cycle gas power plant

    2

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    Municipalities can play a key role in CO2 reduction

    As direct energy consumers with potential energy conservation

    (street lighting, public buildings, municipal transport fleets, schools,

    hospitals )

    As owners of urban infrastructures (local electricity grid, waste

    treatment units, public transport )

    As urban planners (land use, transport, urban waste and sewage

    schemes)

    1 Climate change and citiesGlobal strategy

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    URBAN PLANNING

    Master plan taking sustainable development into account:

    Durbans urban fringes

    URBAN MORPHOLOGY

    Urban Shape Urban network and compactness: sizes of streets,

    heights of buildings, etc.

    URBAN DEVELOPMENT

    Environmental approach to urban development

    Eco-friendly neighbourhoods

    BUILDINGS: energy efficiency

    EQUIPMENTS: heating, air conditionning

    USERS HABITS

    URBAN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: SIX KEY ENTRIES

    1 Sustainable urban planningGlobal strategy

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    3 Case studies: AFD directfinancing to LAs

    Examples of projects financed by AFD

    Colombia - Medellin - social housing and green transport programme - Direct financing toMedellin Municipality 250MUSD

    Brazil Curitiba support to local environment programme for urban transport and

    environment (urban biodiversity) Direct financing to Curitiba with Central Gov. guarantee -36M

    Morroco Al Omrane financing and capacity building to implement an environmentalapproach in the national urban and social housing programme Direct financing to Al Omrane- 50M

    Tunisia 5 municipal projects upgrading municipal infrastructures (waste collection,sewage, etc.) Financing to Central Government transferred to public LA financing body -147M

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    3 Case studies: AFD directfinancing to LAs

    Examples of technical cooperation and study supported by AFD

    Turkey Gaziantep: support to GHG emission inventory and to the city action plan(+ financing of the dedicated investment programme)

    Study to be launched: learning from experience of French and European citiesclimate action plan to better support emerging cities, 8 case studies (4 Europeancities, 4 emerging cities), will imply exchange of experiences between the citiesstudied (seminar to present conclusions)

    AFD strategy to support LAs through capacity building and financing investmentswill be explained through the presentation of 2 projects as case studies Vietnam

    and South Africa

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    3 Cities in Viet Nam

    Ho Chi Minh City

    First economic city: GDP 3,094 USD/inhab., increase: + 3.5 %/yr,produce 50% of VN GDP

    7.1 M inhabitants: population doubled from 1989 to 2005 Congestion, insufficient public transport and equipment despitesignificant efforts

    Danang / Can Tho

    2 secondary cities (+/- 1 M inhbts), economically dynamic highly vulnerable to climate change the will to build up a dedicated strategy over the next 20-30 yrs

    Case studies: AFD financingTo LAs through the state

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    Issues:

    support for design and implementation of public policies, particularly in the environmental sector

    Can be implemented through partnerships with other institutions (vulnerability assessement)

    3Case studies: AFD financingTo Las through the state

    3 cities programs

    Background:Supporting HCMC, Danang and Can Tho sustainable development

    programs and master plans taking into account adaptation to climate

    change, a major constraint

    -> emerging thoughts around climate change at the national level (CCAP)

    HCMC: sustainable social housing, waste managementDanang: Climate change action plan with ADBCan Tho: urban planning, sustainable urban projects