is there a green future for israel?

New Energy Blueprint(c) Shai Agassi - June 2013

Israel - 2007

Israel -2025

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Understanding Renewables

Material Science + New Business Models

2009 - Most efficient solar panels (16%)

2013 - SolarCity - PV Utility (20% efficiency)

The same size as a standard 240-watt panel, the X-Series produces a mammoth 345 watts in the same footprint. Ideal for roofs where space is at a premium or where future expansion might be needed, X-Series panels are designed for demanding conditions such as Hawaii’s salt mist climate, partial shade or hot rooftop temperatures. More advantages of the X-Series line include:•Most energy from less space: X-Series solar panels deliver 44 percent more power per panel than conventional panels. This allows the system to create more power in a smaller footprint, with fewer panels. •Most electricity: X-Series solar panels produce more electricity than conventional panels. They convert more sunlight to electricity, producing 75 percent more energy per square foot over the first 25 years. •Most peace of mind: More guaranteed power. SunPower offers the best combined 25-year power and product warranty.. The X-Series panels are made with third-generation SunPower Maxeon® solar cells, which are built on a solid copper foundation delivering unmatched performance and reliability over the lifetime of the solar energy system.

Efficiency gains SunPower (25% efficiency)

2010-2015 same cost decrease in EV batteries

...2015-2020 price will cut in half again

Material Science Improvements...

...Drive lower unit costs

The Renewable Utility model

...pay as much as your utility bill today

...And allow me to take the profit from technology improvement

No upfront cost...

Israel - Energy Future

Israel - 2007

Electricity 2007 - Generation & wasted heat

Solar ??Solar ??

Natural GasNatural Gas7878

CoalCoal350350

Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat490490 RejectedRejected

EnergyEnergy366366

(310+56)(310+56)

Energy Energy ServicesServices

112112

residentialresidential5454

CommercialCommercial5353

IndustrialIndustrial6060

Domestic78

Imports350

54

53

60

18

18

20

36

35

40

310

Electricity 2025 - Generation & wasted heat

SolarSolar4040

CoalCoal4040

RejectedRejectedEnergyEnergy

275275


150150




Domestic300

Imports50

75

75

80

25

25

25

50

50

50

200


Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat430430

Israel (Petroleum)- 2007

Petroleum670

Exports180

190

160

140

25

TransportationTransportation190190


48


165165


183183(135+48)(135+48)

135

Israel transportation (EV)- 2025

10

TransportationTransportation8585

75


5050


7575

85

Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat125125 40

SolarSolar5050


Israel 2025 - New Energy Blueprint

SolarSolar4040

CoalCoal4040


300300


325325




Domestic300

Imports50

75

75

80

25

25

25

50

50

50

200



10TransportationTransportation8585

75


5050


7575

85

Electricity & Electricity & HeatHeat125125 40

SolarSolar5050




175

25

Domestic200

Domestic75

Israel 2025 - Energy Efficient & Independent

SolarSolar9090

CoalCoal4040


350350


400400




Domestic575

Imports50

75

75

80

25

25

25

50

50

225

240



10

TransportationTransportation8585 75

85

200

375

Israel - 2007

Israel’s Energy Future -Inevitable, if only we get

interests out of the way...Inevitable, if only we get

interests out of the way...