is it warm in here or is it just me? an overview of global warming matthew j. essery
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Is it warm in here or is it just
me?An overview of global
warmingMatthew J. Essery
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What to stay awake for:
What is Global Warming?Causes of Anthropogenic
Global Warming Is Global Warming Natural?Recent HistoryEffects of Global Warming
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What is Global Warming?
In the 20th century the Earth’s average near surface air temperature has risen 1 degree Fahrenheit (0.6 degrees Celsius).
Stories of grandparents walking through feet of snow to get to school (up hill both ways) might be true. . .
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General Scientific Opinion
Most of the warming during the last 50 years is due to
anthropogenic activities . . . HUMAN ACTIVITY.
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Anthropogenic Causes of Global Warming
Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and the greenhouse effect.
Agriculture, deforestation and the removal of large carbon sinks from the environment.
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How do humans produce greenhouse gases?
Humans like to burn stuff. When organic (carbon and hydrogen containing molecules) are burned they release heat and carbon dioxide, water and any impurities (carbon monoxide, sulfure dioxide, etc.).
Industry loves to burn stuff and produce volatile chemicals (vapor forming at normal pressure and temperature)
Internal combustion engine Power Plants
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How does the greenhouse effect work?
Greenhouse gases allow high frequency radiation from the sun through them (visible light, ultraviolet light, etc.)
The radiation hits the earth and is converted into heat.
Greenhouse gases absorb heat instead of letting it escape into space. The atmosphere heats up.
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It’s like what happens in a greenhouse. . .
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Plants and CO2
Plants are a natural sink for carbon dioxide.
Photosynthesis uses carbon dioxide
6H2O + 6CO2 ------> C6H12O6+ 6O2Water + carbon dioxide -----> Glucose + Oxygen
Sink means a storage place. Plants store carbon from the atmosphere by converting it into glucose.
Less plants = less carbon dioxide taken in which leads to more in the atmosphere which leads to more greenhouse effect.
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Where did all the plants go?
Agriculture Human habitation Industrial and Commercial
“development”
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“Growth for the sake of growth is the ideology of a
cancer cell.”
Edward Abbey
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Climate is affected by
human action.Everything affects everything else.
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Is Global Warming Natural?
Geologic history shows natural warming and cooling trends.
In the last 1,000,000 years, every 100,000 years or so there are cooling and warming periods.
Some warming trends are slow, some are quick.
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Ice Ages
150,000 y.a. Very Cold and Dry, Many Glaciers
130,000 y.a. Warmer and moister than today
110,000 y.a. Cold Again 100,000 y.a. Cooler than today but
warming up 95,000 y.a. Cold Again
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More Ice Ages
90,000 y.a. Getting Milder 70,000 y.a. Darn Cold and Glacial 60-25,000 y.a. Cooler and drier than
today 25-15,000 y.a. Freakin’ Cold (Last Glacial
Maximum) 14,500 y.a. Earth starts warming up
rapidly 13,500 y.a. Nearly as warm and moist as
today
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Another Ice Age?
12,800 y.a. Sudden Cooling 11,500 y.a. Sudden Cooling Suddenly
Ends 9,000 y.a Warmer and Moister than
today 8,200 y.a. Sudden Cooling Again 8,000 y.a. Warmer and Moister than
today 4,500 y.a. Mild Cooling. Similar to
today
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How do scientists know what temperature it was before written history?
Ice cores. Bubbles trapped in ancient ice show
trace gas composition. Isotopes in ice cores reflect
temperature changes, vapor pressure and other climate data.
Huge wealth of info. trapped in ice.
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According to one geologist: “the earth's
climate is a capricious beast; instead of taking its threat
seriously, we have been poking it with a sharp stick."
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1897-1904
Swedish scientist Svante Arrhenius studies anthropogenic carbon dioxide in atmosphere.
Small percentage changes in atmospheric carbon will have an effect several centuries later.
Good for plants. Good for vacations.
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1950s
Geophysicist Roger Revelle, with the help of Hans Suess, demonstrated that carbon dioxide levels in the air had increased as a result of the use of fossil fuels.
Fossil Fuels cause carbon dioxide change? They knew this in 1950?
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1965
1st government level publication about Global Warming (Roger Revell).
Most people don’t think humans can significantly change the atmosphere.
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1977
National Academy of Sciences releases “Energy and Climate” study which recommends more studies and not to panic at the possibility of global warming
Carbon dioxide is identified as a major greenhouse gas. 2/3rds of CO2 increase is from fossil fuels. 1/3 is from forest clearing
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1980’s
Congress discusses global warming Roger Revell reports on shrinking
glaciers and ice melting NASA scientists predict that global
warming should be observable in the 1990’s
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1990’s
Lots of countries start meeting to talk about Global Warming
1997. First Kyoto meeting. 1997. Senate says it will not ratify
anything that might harm U. S. economy.
1999. U. S. and Australia don’t sign Kyoto pact.
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2004
Eight Arctic nations finish long term study on effects of Global Warming on the Arctic.
The Arctic shrank almost 30% since 1970s.
Polar Bears will be extinct within 50-100 yrs.
250 scientists from 8 nations worked on study.
Bush administration disagreed.
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Effects of Global Warming
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Melting Ice
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Rising Seas
Loss of coastal areas where most human habitation is.
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Extreme Weather
Heat rising off of oceans causes much of the weather.
Including hurricanes.
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Massive ecosystem change
Even slight changes in temperatures can lead to species extinction, changed migrations, behavioral changes, etc.
Desertification of drier areas Flooding of coastal areas.