is groupon right for your business - from paul cubbon for think! vcm webinar march 2011

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  • 8/6/2019 Is Groupon Right for Your Business - From Paul Cubbon for Think! VCM Webinar March 2011

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    WWW .THINKSOCIALMEDIA.COM

    SOCIAL MEDIA WORKSHOP

    WEBINAR BROUGHT TO YOU BY:

    Is GroupOn good for your business?

    Paul Cubbon Webinar March 9th 2011

    [email protected]

    www.blogs.ubc.ca/paulcubbon/

    Speaker notes in each slide provide reference links and more resources

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    Less than $15 to the salon for 1.5 hrs?!

    Follow the money. Consumer pays Groupon $29 for

    $130value

    Salon gets $14.50 from Group-on;

    installments over ~4 months

    Salon costs include staff, product,

    rent, utilities etc.

    Some costs fixed, some variable

    BUT, a loss maker on the single

    transaction

    SO, WHAT HAPPENSNEXT?

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    What happens next?

    IF Groupon customer is a NEW customer shecould:

    Return to buy at full price;

    Only return when deep discounts are offered;

    Influence other consumers, positive/negative

    Impact staff morale, positive/negative

    Impact customer service, positive/negative

    Think Lifetime Customer Value in differentscenarios

    Variations with upside

    If2 people consume $40, Pivogets $25 & possible repeat

    Expiring inventory; plus timecontrolled entry slots - $11 vs. $0

    Groupon Gap deal Aug 19th 2010 - $25

    for $50 value

    441,000 groupons

    sold = $11m+

    First national deal

    for local model

    Mutually attractive

    advertising?

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    Academic study 1

    Harvard: Is Groupon good for retailers? Jan10th 2011

    Working paper: To Groupon or not toGroupon? http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-063.pdf

    Key themes

    Price discrimination

    Advertising benefit

    Structured approach to questions businessesshould ask before deciding

    Academic Study 2Rice University, Fall 2010

    150Groupon businesses in 19 cities (6/09-8/10)66% profitable; 32% unprofitable.

    Restaurants were the most unprofitable category,describing Groupon customers as "entitled," poortippers, and definitely not repeat customers.

    Spas, on the other hand, were the most profitable

    (though their Groupon-using customers were still badtippers).

    42% said they would not use Groupon again

    Recommendations include: selective, partialoffers, designed to link to repeat behaviour.

    Living Social

    Competition

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    Jan 19th 2011: Living Social Sells >1

    million Amazon coupons: $13m+Like Gap Groupon

    A national, mass advertising play

    For Amazon, a $15 discount off of normal basket.

    Swarmjam

    More competitors. Barriers to entry?

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    eConsultancy view

    Group buying and the new customeracquisition lie Jan 20th 2011

    eConsultancy cont.

    Patricia Robles:

    Experiments with higher price, higher

    margin itemsExample:Fashion start-up

    Average consumer spend = $500

    Grouponis -$150 at $50 cost to consumer

    Run in multiple cities Fall 2010

    Net from consumer on purchase = $350

    Company also gets $25 from Group-on, in 3staggered installments.

    So far, only ~10% redeemed

    Intent is to follow-up with custom messaging togain repeat purchase and leverage word of mouth

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    Tourism Operator Groupon example

    Offer: $27 for 2 adult passes& voucher for product from gift

    store Equals50% off the retail rate (plus cc process ing fee)

    Offer delivered to 113 800 Grouponmembers

    39 000 opened the offer

    543 bought the offer

    Operator was paid $13.50 per voucher sold (~25% of normalprice)

    390 vouchers redeemed (= $19 value per voucher earned)

    150 unclaimed (and not yet expired) Grouponvisitors brought a total of 85 (full) paying guests with

    them

    Grouponvisitors spent an extra $1450 total in the gift store

    WHAT Qs WILL YOU ASK TO ASSESS IF THIS IS A GOOD RESULT?

    Business strategy and potential role for

    deep price discounts? STEP BACK

    Why offer discounted pricing at all?

    How does it fit your business model for Customer acquisition

    Retention

    Revenue growth ..or short-term cash management? Margin management and profitability?

    What are the long-term as well as short-termimplications?

    Will deep discounting be the new norm in yourcategory?

    Can you WIN with this tool?

    Will you start a price war?

    The cocaine

    analogy

    High-low

    pricing is

    devastating

    to the

    consumers

    opinion

    of your

    brand.

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    Demand peaks and valleys

    A

    B

    C

    The last scenario is what you should be trying to achieve with any price discounting. But for it

    to work, your core offering, the brand experience and perceived benefit has to superior

    to the next discounting competitor.

    Example of seasonality

    IF price discounting, alternative

    choices to Groupon, etc

    Coupons in

    existing

    media

    Loyalty

    cards

    Fundraiserbooks

    Direct

    promotion

    Should Groupon have accepted Googles $6

    billion offer?

    Google

    Offers

    News

    leaked

    Jan 20th 2011

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    Why we invested in Groupon

    the power of data

    VC Greylock explains investment as a focus on

    the data and potential to customize offerings

    Techcrunchinterview, Jan 11th,2011.

    What might happen in the next year? Volume of deals continues to increase, raising consumer

    expectations for deep discounts as the norm.

    Aggregators of discounts help consumers sort throughthe deals. (MS Bing March 2011 announcement)

    More extreme deals will be offered by those trying tostand-out on low price.

    At some point, the sale price becomes the list price.

    Each operator should press pause until it has its ownthought through strategy.

    Focus on value-add differentiators.

    http://bit.ly/eVpfZdeConsultancyMarch, 2011

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    What this means for tourism operators

    Near in vs. long-haul market One time vs. repeat business model

    Low vs. high margin

    Hotels and accommodation

    Bars/restaurants/retail

    Spas/beauty/gyms

    Adventure/experience/outdoor operators

    Takeaways

    What is your marketing strategy?

    Where does price discounting fit into this? (if at all.)

    Work through margin as well as revenue implications.

    Look at longer-term as well as short-term:

    Financial

    brand

    Can you customize to improve effectiveness?

    Partial discounts

    Time controlled

    Linking to subsequent behaviour

    Leveraging social media during and after usage.

    If you decide to price-discount, is Groupon (or a similaraggregator) your best choice?

    Q&A

    Questions?

    Comments?