ipsos european pulse: crisis in greece
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1 © 2015 Ipsos.
Ipsos European Pulse August 2015 The Crisis in Greece
2 © 2015 Ipsos.
GREEK CRISIS: WHO’S TO BLAME?
In all countries the Greek government is seen as most to blame for the Greek crisis, although views differ on the blame that other key actors share. For example, two thirds of people in Spain and Italy blame the German government, and three-quarters in France blame the EC
3 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Who’s to blame for the crisis in Greece?
HOW MUCH, IF AT ALL, DO YOU THINK EACH OF THE FOLLOWING IS TO BLAME FOR THE CURRENT CRISIS IN GREECE?
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
88% 57% 58% 39% 56% 46%
The Greek government
The Greek people
The European Commission
The International
Monetary Fund
Other European
governments (such as France
and Italy)
The German Government
% saying ‘a great deal’ or ‘a fair amount’
4 © 2015 Ipsos.
Who’s to blame for the crisis in Greece? By country
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
HOW MUCH, IF AT ALL, DO YOU THINK EACH OF THE FOLLOWING IS TO BLAME FOR THE CURRENT CRISIS IN GREECE?
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
% A great deal/ a fair amount
Average Belgium France Germany Great Britain
Hungary Italy Poland Spain Sweden
The Greek government
88% 90% 86% 94% 89% 89% 79% 87% 86% 90%
The International Monetary Fund
58% 58% 71% 51% 52% 59% 67% 64% 67% 32%
The European Commission
57% 58% 74% 51% 56% 49% 69% 58% 66% 34%
The Greek people 56% 49% 55% 63% 49% 59% 43% 85% 40% 61%
The German government
46% 46% 56% 32% 42% 33% 67% 51% 66% 19%
Other European governments (such as France and Italy)
39% 40% 55% 33% 38% 30% 36% 52% 48% 20%
5 © 2015 Ipsos.
GREEK CRISIS: DEBT RELIEF Across all nine countries, six in ten citizens agree that the austerity measures being imposed on Greece are making the Greek economy worse (including the majority of Germans). EU publics are split on the issue of Greek debt relief, with roughly half in support and half opposed to creditor countries writing off some of Greece’s debts. There is widespread concern in all countries that if the Greeks do not pay back their debts it would encourage others countries to borrow beyond their means.
6 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Is austerity making the situation in Greece worse?
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE AUSTERITY MEASURES BEING IMPOSED ON GREECE ARE JUST MAKING THEIR ECONOMY WORSE
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
22%
39%
31%
8% AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
August 2015
61%
39%
7 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Is austerity making the situation in Greece worse? By country
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE AUSTERITY MEASURES BEING IMPOSED ON GREECE ARE JUST MAKING THEIR ECONOMY WORSE
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
10
9
22
21
25
25
23
33
29
28
37
36
39
40
40
48
38
47
48
41
33
31
29
29
25
23
20
14
13
10
9
6
6
4
6
5
Sweden
Poland
Germany
Hungary
Belgium
France
GreatBritain
Spain
Italy
8 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Should some of Greece’s debts be written off?
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE COUNTRIES THAT HAVE LENT MONEY TO GREECE SHOULD WRITE OFF SOME OF ITS DEBTS
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
12%
34%
34%
20% AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
August 2015
46%
54%
9 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Should some of Greece’s debts be written off? By country
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE COUNTRIES THAT HAVE LENT MONEY TO GREECE SHOULD WRITE OFF SOME OF ITS DEBTS
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
8
10
9
10
10
16
13
15
15
24
23
25
30
31
35
41
43
53
35
35
47
35
37
33
34
29
23
32
32
19
25
22
17
12
13
10
Germany
France
Sweden
Hungary
Belgium
Spain
GreatBritain
Italy
Poland
10 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Should the Greeks pay back all that they owe, so that others aren’t encouraged to default?
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE GREEKS SHOULD PAY BACK ALL THEIR DEBTS OTHERWISE IT WILL JUST ENCOURAGE OTHER COUNTRIES TO THINK THEY CAN BORROW WITHOUT PAYING BACK WHAT THEY OWE
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
33%
40%
21%
6%
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
August 2015
73%
27%
11 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015 Should the Greeks pay back all that they owe, so that others aren’t encouraged to default? By country
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE GREEKS SHOULD PAY BACK ALL THEIR DEBTS OTHERWISE IT WILL JUST ENCOURAGE OTHER COUNTRIES TO THINK THEY CAN BORROW WITHOUT PAYING BACK WHAT THEY OWE
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
24
25
29
34
26
33
46
36
43
40
42
41
37
45
39
31
40
43
28
28
23
21
25
21
18
19
11
8
5
7
8
5
7
5
5
3
Italy
GreatBritain
Spain
France
Sweden
Belgium
Germany
Hungary
Poland
12 © 2015 Ipsos.
GREEK CRISIS: THE IMPLICATIONS FOR OTHERS Three quarters of the public expect that other Eurozone countries will face a similar crisis to Greece in the future. This belief is strong in France and Italy. Six in ten citizens of the EU states surveyed agree that Greece should never have joined the Euro, with this view being more common in Great Britain and Germany. Public opinion in most countries surveyed is evenly split on whether the Eurozone is strong enough to overcome the Greek crisis without serious damage. The public also have no clear view on whether the Greek crisis has shown that Europe’s leaders can be trusted to work together – half agree and half disagree.
13 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Is another ‘Greece’ going to happen to other Eurozone member state(s)?
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: OTHER COUNTRIES IN THE EUROZONE WILL FACE A SIMILAR CRISIS TO GREECE IN THE FUTURE
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
21%
51%
25%
4% AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
August 2015
72%
28%
14 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Is another ‘Greece’ going to happen to other Eurozone member state(s)? By country
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: OTHER COUNTRIES IN THE EUROZONE WILL FACE A SIMILAR CRISIS TO GREECE IN THE FUTURE
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
11
13
15
24
24
25
18
31
30
40
46
51
52
53
52
62
49
51
39
36
32
22
20
21
18
17
16
10
4
4
2
2
3
2
3
3
Hungary
Poland
Sweden
Germany
Belgium
Spain
GreatBritain
Italy
France
15 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Should Greece have never joined the Euro?
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: GREECE SHOULD NEVER HAVE JOINED THE EURO
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
26%
34%
32%
9%
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
August 2015
59%
41%
16 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Should Greece have never joined the Euro? By country
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: GREECE SHOULD NEVER HAVE JOINED THE EURO
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
19
17
26
29
23
28
19
38
31
29
34
32
30
36
33
44
27
38
38
37
32
30
29
32
32
26
28
14
12
9
12
11
7
4
9
3
Hungary
Spain
Belgium
France
Italy
Sweden
Poland
Germany
GreatBritain
17 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Has the Greek crisis increased trust in European leaders’ ability to work together?
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE CRISIS IN GREECE SHOWS THAT EUROPE’S LEADERS CAN BE TRUSTED TO WORK TOGETHER
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
7%
40%
37%
16%
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
August 2015
47%
53%
18 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Has the Greek crisis increased trust in European leaders’ ability to work together? By country
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE CRISIS IN GREECE SHOWS THAT EUROPE’S LEADERS CAN BE TRUSTED TO WORK TOGETHER
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
5
5
9
3
7
9
6
11
9
31
35
31
40
37
38
44
43
62
39
45
43
41
38
36
34
30
24
25
15
17
15
19
17
15
16
5
France
GreatBritain
Hungary
Sweden
Belgium
Italy
Germany
Spain
Poland
19 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Is the Eurozone strong enough to get through the Greek crisis without serious damage?
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE EUROZONE IS STRONG ENOUGH TO GET THROUGH THE GREEK CRISIS WITHOUT SERIOUS DAMAGE
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
8%
43% 38%
12% AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
August 2015
51% 49%
20 © 2015 Ipsos.
IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
Is the Eurozone strong enough to get through the Greek crisis without serious damage? By country
PLEASE INDICATE IF YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS: THE EUROZONE IS STRONG ENOUGH TO GET THROUGH THE GREEK CRISIS WITHOUT SERIOUS DAMAGE
BASE: 7,096 RESPONDENTS FROM NINE COUNTRIES (BELGIUM: 505, FRANCE, 1,016, GERMANY, 1,015, GREAT BRITAIN: 1,019, HUNGARY: 500, ITALY: 1,015, POLAND: 505, SPAIN: 1,016, SWEDEN: 505), JULY 24TH - AUGUST 7TH, 2015.
AGREE VERY MUCH
AGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE SOMEWHAT
DISAGREE VERY MUCH
5
6
9
6
5
10
8
10
13
28
38
38
44
46
42
46
52
49
43
44
37
39
42
37
35
32
30
24
12
16
11
7
10
11
6
8
France
Belgium
Germany
Sweden
GreatBritain
Italy
Hungary
Poland
Spain
21 © 2015 Ipsos.
Technical note IPSOS EUROPEAN PULSE: AUGUST 2015
THESE ARE FINDINGS OF RESEARCH CONDUCTED BY THE GLOBAL RESEARCH COMPANY IPSOS.
RESPONDENTS AGED 16-64 WERE INTERVIEWED VIA THE IPSOS GLOBAL @DVISOR ONLINE PANEL IN BELGIUM, FRANCE, GREAT BRITAIN, GERMANY, HUNGARY, ITALY, POLAND, SPAIN AND SWEDEN BETWEEN JULY 24 - AUGUST 7, 2015. APPROXIMATELY 1000+ INDIVIDUALS PARTICIPATED ON A COUNTRY BY COUNTRY BASIS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF BELGIUM, HUNGARY, POLAND AND SWEDEN WHERE EACH HAVE A SAMPLE APPROXIMATELY 500+.
22 © 2015 Ipsos.
Contacts
Bobby Duffy Managing Director, Ipsos Social Research Instititue [email protected]
Michael Clemence Senior Research Executive, Ipsos Social Research Institute [email protected]
+44 20 3473 3484
Mike Wheeler Senior Research Executive, Ipsos Social Research Institute [email protected]
+44 20 3473 3125
23 © 2015 Ipsos.
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