ioc intergovernmental coordination group for the tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 november 2013, la romana,...

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Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the 9th of January 2014 Jamaica Conference Centre Kingston, Jamaica IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami and Other Coastal Hazards Warning System for the Caribbean and Adjacent Regions

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Page 1: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

UNESCO – IOC – CTIC – US NOAA ITICRegional Training Workshop on Strengthening Tsunami Warning

and Emergency Response Standard Operating Procedures and the Development of the ICG/CARIBE-EWS PTWC New Enhanced Products

4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic

Dr. Cesar TOROUNESCO

Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the 9th of January 2014 Jamaica Conference Centre

Kingston, Jamaica

IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami and Other Coastal Hazards Warning System for the Caribbean and Adjacent Regions

Page 2: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Over 75 Tsunamis have impacted the Caribbean in the past 500 years.

Fatalities Year Location

300 1842 Haiti1000 1853 Venezuela (possible that the

deaths were due to earthquake)

30 1867 US Virgin Islands100 1882 Panama142 1918 Puerto Rico

1790 1946 Dominican Republic75 1946 Dominican Republic

2 1991 Costa Rica7 2010 Haiti

TOTAL:3446

Since 1946 there has been an explosive

growth in population,

infrastructure and tourists along our

coast, at least 50,000 could be on the

beaches in a single day and hundreds of

thousand in the tsunami hazards

zones.

Page 3: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

ICG CARIBE EWS 32 Member States and 16 territories in the

Caribbean and Adjacent regions and 3 Observer States (Canada, Peru and Sri Lanka)

Established in 2005 8 Sessions have been held in Barbados, Venezuela,

Panama, Martinique, Nicaragua, Dominican Republic, Curacao and Trinidad and Tobago

Next session: May 13-15, 2014 St Thomas, United States Virgin Islands.

Page 4: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Guidance and planning documents

Tsunami and other Coastal Hazards Warning System for the Caribbean and Adjacent Regions (CARIBE-EWS), Implementation Plan 2013–2017, version 2.0. IOC Technical Series No. 78. [online] UNESCO/IOC

5.1 VULNERABILITY 5.2 HAZARD ASSESSMENT 5.3 MONITORING AND DETECTION SYSTEMS 5.4 TSUNAMI SERVICES 5.5 PUBLIC AWARENESS, EDUCATION

AND RESILIENCE

Page 5: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Guidance and planning documents

Communication Plan for the Interim Tsunami Advisory Information Service to the Caribbean Sea and Adjacent Regions

19 December 2007 Version

NOAA Richard H. Hagemeyer Pacific Tsunami Warning Center

Page 6: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Guidance and planning documents

Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission. Tsunami Public Awareness and Educations Strategy for the Caribbean and Adjacent Regions. IOC Technical Series No.107. Paris, UNESCO, 2013

Page 7: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

First real test: 12 Jan 2010

The survey was very useful to get an overview of the current status of the CARIBE EWS. Tsunami bulletins were received timely by most of the countries that answered the survey. On the other hand, it was identified that sea level was scarcely monitored during the event, and that some National Warning Centres (NWC) do not know how to access sea level data over the GTS or over the IOC Sea Level Observation Facility website. Most NWCs did not use any numerical models during the event. It was observed, as well, that countries placed in watch level were able to distribute warnings and even preventively evacuate some areas.

Page 8: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

8

ICG CARIBE EWS ExecutiveChair

Christa von Hillebrandt-Andrade (US NWS Caribbean Tsunami Warning Program, Puerto Rico, USA)

Vice ChairsPhilippe SARRON (Etat Major interministériel de Zone Antilles,

Préfecture de la région Martinique, France)A.L. Dawn FRENCH (National Emergency Management Organisation,

Saint Lucia) Víctor H. CANO PACHECHO (FUNVISIS, República Bolivariana de

Venezuela)

Past ChairLorna Inniss - BARBADOS

Page 9: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

9

Working Groups and Task Teams Working Groups Monitoring and Detection Systems, Warning

Guidance Hazard Assessment Tsunami Services (NEW, replaces Warning,

Dissemination and Communication) Preparedness, Readiness and Resilience

Task Teams Sea Level Network Capability Study (NEW) Performance Based Recognition Program (NEW) CARIBE WAVE 14 PTWC Enhanced Product Implementation Warning Communication and Dissemination (NEW)

Page 10: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Seismic Data Availability86% (109/126) of Core CARIBE EWS Stations are contributing in real time

Page 11: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Sea Level Data Availability

Port au Prince, Haiti sea level station, installed in 2012

•100% (7/7) of the proposed DART stations are installed•47% (50/107) of coastal sea level gauges are sharing data •Progress is much in thanks to donors outside the region, now the challenge is for the countries to maintain the stations

Page 12: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

CARIBE EWS Coastal Sea Level Monitoring Stations Progression (1960-2020)

0

20

40

60

80

10019

60

1964

1968

1972

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

2012

2016

2020

Num

ber

of S

tatio

ns

Current

Goal

MACCCPACC Indian 

Ocean Tsunami

CPACC and MACC were Projects executed by the Caribbean Community Center for Climate Change

Page 13: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Given the recognized potential of GPS stations towards the improvement of tsunami monitoring and detection, the CARIBE EWS supports initiatives towards strengthening these observational assets in the region.

The US NSF funded project COCONet of UNAVCO has integrated regional partners and facilitated a dramatic increase in GPS

Assets in the region. 85 stations are actively providing data.

In 2012 received supplementary funding to

install two collocated GPS and Sea Level Stations.

GPS Monitoring

Page 14: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Tsunami Services

14

Tsunami Alerts are currently provided for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands by NOAA NWS NTW (former WCATWC-Alaska) and for the rest of the CARIBE EWS by NOAA NWS

PTWC (Hawaii). CARIBE EWS has continued to support the US to continue with its Phased Approach for the establishment of a Warning Center in Puerto Rico where to the date it has

established the Caribbean Tsunami Warning Program which supports enhanced monitoring, training and readiness.

Page 15: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Tsunami Hazard and Risk Assessment

Around 10 MS have undertaken tsunami modeling

Need for improved digital elevation models

Need for the development of a unified data base of tsunami sources, including seismic, submarine landslides and volcanic.

Integrate GIS and Risk and Vulnerability aspects into these efforts

Even for areas that do not have tsunami inundation maps evacuation maps are necessary

Page 16: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Caribbean Tsunami Information Center

In 2013 the MoU was signed between Barbados and UNESCO/IOC for the establishment of the Caribbean Tsunami Information Center

Funding from UNDP/ERC Project and UNESCO

New brochures were created The Public Awareness and

Education Strategy was approved

Director has being hired Secondments and financial

support from Caribbean states and other partners will be required.

Page 17: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

CARIBE WAVE 2013Second Caribbean Wide Tsunami Exercise March 20, 2013…

94% of the member states and territories of the CARIBE EWS participated

481 organizations 50,000 participants Smooth dissemination

of messages from TWC to TWFP

Page 18: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

CARIBE WAVE 2014 Given the infrequency of events,

and the need to continually review and exercise plans and the success of CARIBE WAVE 2011 and 2013 exercises

CARIBE WAVE will be conducted EVERY year

Next exercise is March 26, 2014 2 Sources: Gulf of Mexico and

1755 Lisbon Continue to test Enhanced PTWC

products for the region. Given the trans Atlantic nature,

invite NEAMTWS to participate in the preparation and conduct of the exercise.

1755 Tsunami impact model, ten Brink et al, 2009

Tsunami Travel Time map

Page 19: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Performance Based Recognition Program

94% of CARIBE EWS nations and territories have designated Tsunami Contact and Warning Focal points for the coordination and warning within their areas of responsibility.

Currently there are 32 TsunamiReady™communities in the Caribbean.

A task team was established in 2013 to evaluate current community based programs and propose a program for adoption by the CARIBE EWS.

Page 20: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

Indeed significant advances have been made, but monumental tasks are still required to continue to strengthen the Tsunami and

Other Coastal Hazards Warning System for the Caribbean and Adjacent Regions. Nevertheless, and despite the current

challenging fiscal situations, in memory of the tens of thousands of lives that were lost and livelihoods that were disrupted by

earthquake and tsunami disasters over the past years and knowing the 100’s of thousands of lives and billions of dollars that could be lost when the next one strikes our region, the efforts must continue.

Page 21: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

The infrequency of the tsunamis can’t disarm us, like was the case of the still recent tragic events of Indian

Ocean and Haiti, the risk is just too high. Indeed, its full implementation will continue to require a multi-

disciplinary and multi sector community of policy makers, emergency and disaster managers, educators and social

and physical scientistsengaged with the local stakeholders and supported by our

governments and other donors.

Thank you, Gracias, Merci, Dank…

Page 22: IOC Intergovernmental Coordination Group for the Tsunami ...€¦ · 4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic Dr. Cesar TORO UNESCO Seismic Risk Forum from the 8th to the

UNESCO – IOC – CTIC – US NOAA ITICRegional Training Workshop on Strengthening Tsunami Warning

and Emergency Response Standard Operating Procedures and the Development of the ICG/CARIBE-EWS PTWC New Enhanced Products

4-8 November 2013, La Romana, Dominican Republic

Jamaica National Contact:Office of Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Management (ODPEM)

National Focal Point: Jamaica Meteorological Service

Christa G. von HillebrandtChair ICG/CARIBE EWS

Bernardo AliagaTechnical Secretary ICG/CARIBE EWS

UNESCO/IOC