ioan manolescu joint work with demeter kiss and vladas … · introduction result result theorem...

50
Planar lattices do not recover from forest fires Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas Sidoravicius University of Geneva 31 March 2014 Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 1/8

Upload: others

Post on 01-Aug-2020

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Planar lattices do not recover from forest fires

Ioan ManolescuJoint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas Sidoravicius

University of Geneva

31 March 2014

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 1 / 8

Page 2: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction The model

What is self-destructive percolation?

Let p, δ ∈ [0, 1].Two percolation configurations:

ω - intensity p (measure Pp).

σ - intensity δ (small).

ωclose infinite cluster−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ωδ.

ωδ = ω ∨ σ is an enhancement of ω.

Call Pp,δ the measure for ω, σ, ωδ, . . . .

δc(p) = sup{δ : Pp,δ(0ωδ

←→∞) = 0}.

Question: δc(p)→ 0 as p ↘ pc?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 2 / 8

Page 3: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction The model

What is self-destructive percolation?

Let p, δ ∈ [0, 1].Two percolation configurations:

ω - intensity p (measure Pp).

σ - intensity δ (small).

ωclose infinite cluster−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ωδ.

ωδ = ω ∨ σ is an enhancement of ω.

Call Pp,δ the measure for ω, σ, ωδ, . . . .

δc(p) = sup{δ : Pp,δ(0ωδ

←→∞) = 0}.

Question: δc(p)→ 0 as p ↘ pc?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 2 / 8

Page 4: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction The model

What is self-destructive percolation?

Let p, δ ∈ [0, 1].Two percolation configurations:

ω - intensity p (measure Pp).

σ - intensity δ (small).

ωclose infinite cluster−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ωδ.

ωδ = ω ∨ σ is an enhancement of ω.

Call Pp,δ the measure for ω, σ, ωδ, . . . .

δc(p) = sup{δ : Pp,δ(0ωδ

←→∞) = 0}.

Question: δc(p)→ 0 as p ↘ pc?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 2 / 8

Page 5: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction The model

What is self-destructive percolation?

Let p, δ ∈ [0, 1].Two percolation configurations:

ω - intensity p (measure Pp).σ - intensity δ (small).

ωclose infinite cluster−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ωδ.

ωδ = ω ∨ σ is an enhancement of ω.

Call Pp,δ the measure for ω, σ, ωδ, . . . .

δc(p) = sup{δ : Pp,δ(0ωδ

←→∞) = 0}.

Question: δc(p)→ 0 as p ↘ pc?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 2 / 8

Page 6: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction The model

What is self-destructive percolation?

Let p, δ ∈ [0, 1].Two percolation configurations:

ω - intensity p (measure Pp).σ - intensity δ (small).

ωclose infinite cluster−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ωδ.

ωδ = ω ∨ σ is an enhancement of ω.

Call Pp,δ the measure for ω, σ, ωδ, . . . .

δc(p) = sup{δ : Pp,δ(0ωδ

←→∞) = 0}.

Question: δc(p)→ 0 as p ↘ pc?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 2 / 8

Page 7: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction The model

What is self-destructive percolation?

Let p, δ ∈ [0, 1].Two percolation configurations:

ω - intensity p (measure Pp).σ - intensity δ (small).

ωclose infinite cluster−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ωδ.

ωδ = ω ∨ σ is an enhancement of ω.

Call Pp,δ the measure for ω, σ, ωδ, . . . .

δc(p) = sup{δ : Pp,δ(0ωδ

←→∞) = 0}.

Question: δc(p)→ 0 as p ↘ pc?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 2 / 8

Page 8: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction Result

Result

Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius)

There exists δ > 0 such that, for all p > pc ,

Pp,δ(infinite cluster in ωδ) = 0.

So limp→pc δc(p) > 0

Corollary

Infinite parameter forest fires are not defined on planar lattices.

See Van den Berg and Brouwer 2004 for proof.

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 3 / 8

Page 9: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction Result

Result

Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius)

There exists δ > 0 such that, for all p > pc ,

Pp,δ(infinite cluster in ωδ) = 0.

So limp→pc δc(p) > 0

Corollary

Infinite parameter forest fires are not defined on planar lattices.

See Van den Berg and Brouwer 2004 for proof.

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 3 / 8

Page 10: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Introduction Result

Result

Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius)

There exists δ > 0 such that, for all p > pc ,

Pp,δ(infinite cluster in ωδ) = 0.

So limp→pc δc(p) > 0

Corollary

Infinite parameter forest fires are not defined on planar lattices.

See Van den Berg and Brouwer 2004 for proof.

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 3 / 8

Page 11: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Reminders on planar percolation

There exists pc ∈ [0, 1] such that

p < pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 0,

p > pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 1.

At pc ..

Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε∀n,

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 4 / 8

Page 12: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Reminders on planar percolation

There exists pc ∈ [0, 1] such that

p < pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 0,

p > pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 1.

At pc ..

Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε∀n,

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 4 / 8

Page 13: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Reminders on planar percolation

There exists pc ∈ [0, 1] such that

p < pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 0,

p > pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 1.

At pc ..

Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε∀n,

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 4 / 8

Page 14: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Reminders on planar percolation

There exists pc ∈ [0, 1] such that

p < pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 0,

p > pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 1.

At pc ..

Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε∀n,

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 4 / 8

Page 15: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Reminders on planar percolation

There exists pc ∈ [0, 1] such that

p < pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 0,

p > pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 1.

At pc ..

Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε∀n,

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 4 / 8

Page 16: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Reminders on planar percolation

There exists pc ∈ [0, 1] such that

p < pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 0,

p > pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 1.

At pc ..

Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε∀n,

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 4 / 8

Page 17: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Reminders on planar percolation

There exists pc ∈ [0, 1] such that

p < pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 0,

p > pc ⇒ Pp(infinite cluster) = 1.

At pc ..

Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε Ppc2n

n[ ]≥ ε∀n,

Ppc

n

[ ]≤ n−α1 Ppc

n

[ ]≤ n−α5

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 4 / 8

Page 18: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

A crossing probability estimate

ω containing crossing

delete crossing cluster−−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω̃enhancement−−−−−−−→ ω̃δ

Proposition

For δ > 0 small enough, as n→∞,

Ppc,δ ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 5 / 8

Page 19: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

A crossing probability estimate

ω containing crossingdelete crossing cluster−−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω̃

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ω̃δ

Proposition

For δ > 0 small enough, as n→∞,

Ppc,δ ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 5 / 8

Page 20: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

A crossing probability estimate

ω containing crossingdelete crossing cluster−−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω̃

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ω̃δ

Proposition

For δ > 0 small enough, as n→∞,

Ppc,δ ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 5 / 8

Page 21: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

A crossing probability estimate

ω containing crossingdelete crossing cluster−−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω̃

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ω̃δ

Proposition

For δ > 0 small enough, as n→∞,

Ppc,δ ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 5 / 8

Page 22: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

A crossing probability estimate

ω containing crossingdelete crossing cluster−−−−−−−−−−−−→ ω̃

enhancement−−−−−−−→ ω̃δ

Proposition

For δ > 0 small enough, as n→∞,

Ppc,δ ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 5 / 8

Page 23: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing estimate ⇒ Theorem

For δ

> 0 small, Ppc,δ ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 6 / 8

Page 24: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing estimate ⇒ Theorem

For δ

> 0 small, Ppc,δ ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0

For p1 ≥ p2 and δ1, δ2 such that p1 + (1− p1)δ1 ≤ p2 + (1− p2)δ2,

Pp1,δ1 ≤st Pp2,δ2 .

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 6 / 8

Page 25: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing estimate ⇒ Theorem

For δ′> 0 small, ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0Pp,δ′ , for p ≥ pc .

For p1 ≥ p2 and δ1, δ2 such that p1 + (1− p1)δ1 ≤ p2 + (1− p2)δ2,

Pp1,δ1 ≤st Pp2,δ2 .

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 6 / 8

Page 26: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing estimate ⇒ Theorem

For δ′> 0 small, ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0Pp,δ′ , for p ≥ pc .

0

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 6 / 8

Page 27: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing estimate ⇒ Theorem

For δ′> 0 small, ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0Pp,δ′ , for p ≥ pc .

0∞

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 6 / 8

Page 28: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing estimate ⇒ Theorem

For δ′> 0 small, ( )4n nn

nω ω̃δand → 0Pp,δ′ , for p ≥ pc .

0

In both ω̃δ and ωδ!

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 6 / 8

Page 29: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 30: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 31: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 32: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 33: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

γ - vertical crossing with minimal number of enhanced points.

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 34: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

γ - vertical crossing with minimal number of enhanced points.

X = {enhanced points used by γ}. If no crossing X = ∅.

Ppc ,δ(vertical crossing in ω̃δ) =∑

X 6=∅Ppc ,δ(X = X ).

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 35: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Annulus surrounding passage points but not containing passage points:6 arms or 4 half-plane arms in ω (possibly with one defect).

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 36: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Annulus surrounding passage points but not containing passage points:6 arms or 4 half-plane arms in ω (possibly with one defect).

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 37: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Annulus surrounding passage points but not containing passage points:6 arms or 4 half-plane arms in ω (possibly with one defect).

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 38: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Annulus surrounding passage points but not containing passage points:6 arms or 4 half-plane arms in ω (possibly with one defect).

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 39: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Annulus surrounding passage points but not containing passage points:6 arms or 4 half-plane arms in ω (possibly with one defect).

Ppc ( )R

≤(rR

)2+λr Ppc ( )R ≤

(rR

)2+λr

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 40: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

For a set X , what is Ppc ,δ(X = X )?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 41: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

For a set X , what is Ppc ,δ(X = X )?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 42: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

For a set X , what is Ppc ,δ(X = X )?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 43: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

For a set X , what is Ppc ,δ(X = X )?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 44: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

For a set X , what is Ppc ,δ(X = X )?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 45: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

d1 d2

d3

d4

d5

d6

For a set X , what is Ppc ,δ(X = X )?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 46: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

For a set X , what is Ppc ,δ(X = X )?

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 47: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Pp,δ(X = X ) ≤ ckn−2−λ∏

j

d−2−λj × δk ,

where d1, . . . , dk are the merger times of X .

#{X with merger times d1, . . . , dk} ≤ C kn2∏

j

dj .

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 48: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

P(vetical crossing in ω̃δ) ≤ n−λ∑

k≥1d1,...,dk

(δkck

k

d−1−λk

)

= n−λ∑

k≥1

δc

d≥1

d−1−λ

k

→ 0,

for δ > 0 small.

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 49: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

P(vetical crossing in ω̃δ) ≤ n−λ∑

k≥1d1,...,dk

(δkck

k

d−1−λk

)

= n−λ∑

k≥1

δc

d≥1

d−1−λ

k

→ 0,

for δ > 0 small.

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 7 / 8

Page 50: Ioan Manolescu Joint work with Demeter Kiss and Vladas … · Introduction Result Result Theorem (Kiss, M., Sidoravicius) There exists >0 such that, for all p >p c, P p; (in nite

Proof of crossing probability estimate

Thank you!

Ioan Manolescu (University of Geneva) Subcritical phase of 2D SDP 31 March 2014 8 / 8