investor strategy presentation - sasol...investor strategy presentation new york: 9 april 2013 cape...
TRANSCRIPT
investor strategy
presentation New York: 9 April 2013
Cape Town: 19 April 2013
introduction
and safety Raj Naidu
Executive: Investor Relations and
Shareholder Value Management
better together… we deliver 3
forward-looking statements
Forward-looking statements: Sasol may, in this document, make certain statements that are not historical facts
and relate to analyses and other information which are based on forecasts of future results and estimates of
amounts not yet determinable. These statements may also relate to our future prospects, developments and
business strategies. Examples of such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements
regarding exchange rate fluctuations, volume growth, increases in market share, total shareholder return and
cost reductions. Words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “seek”, “will”, “plan”, “could”, “may”,
“endeavour” and “project” and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements,
but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. By their very nature, forward-looking
statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and there are risks that the
predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward-looking statements will not be achieved. If one or more of
these risks materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, our actual results may differ
materially from those anticipated. You should understand that a number of important factors could cause
actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed
in such forward-looking statements. These factors are discussed more fully in our most recent annual report
under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 on Form 20-F filed on 12 October 2012 and in other filings with the
United States Securities and Exchange Commission. The list of factors discussed therein is not exhaustive;
when relying on forward-looking statements to make investment decisions, you should carefully consider both
these factors and other uncertainties and events. Forward-looking statements apply only as of the date on
which they are made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise.
setting the scene David E. Constable
Chief Executive Officer
better together… we deliver 5
what we will cover today
strategy execution and project prioritisation
Topic Duration Presenter
Introduction and safety 5 min Raj Naidu
Setting the scene 15 min David Constable
Portfolio management and finance 30 min Christine Ramon
● Portfolio management process
● Project prioritisation
● Funding and dividend
Q&A 15 min David Constable
Christine Ramon
Break 15 min
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what we will cover today
focus on North America
Topic Duration Presenter
Our North American priorities 10 min David Constable
Our North American value proposition 20 min Lean Strauss
● Technology
● Feedstock
Our North American value proposition 40 min André de Ruyter
● Market
● Capability
Closing remarks 5 min David Constable
Q&A 20 min
David Constable
Christine Ramon
Lean Strauss
André de Ruyter
Informal lunch with management
better together… we deliver 7
the past 2 years
key themes
● Goal-setting and consolidation
● Prioritisation and focus
● Delivery and growth
• Well-positioned and focused regional strategies
- “Nurture and grow” in Southern Africa
- “Expand and deliver” abroad
• Cost optimisation
• Strategy review, development and execution
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enhancing our long-term strategy
evaluating the current strategy and our strategic path forward
● Embarked on a review of the group strategy for the period beyond 2020
● Assessed our current strategic reality
● Developed scenarios to test potential strategic options
● Confirmed the robustness of our near- to medium-term strategy
● GTL and chemicals in our longer term future
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Operations
Excellence
Capital
Excellence
Business
Excellence
Values-driven
Organisation
Foundation
Develop and empower
high-performing, values-
driven people
gro
up
im
pe
rati
ve
s
Continuously improve
and grow existing asset
base
Deliver on the
South African
transformation agenda
Sustainable growth
Accelerate GTL growth
Grow related upstream
business
Grow technological lead
Grow chemicals based
on feedstock, market
and/or technology
advantage
Develop and grow new
energy
our strategic agenda will continue to guide
our near- to medium-term strategy
grow
shareholder
value
sustainably
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Financing
Technology
Feedstock
Market
Capability
our investment considerations
robust project economics remain cornerstone of our investment decisions
robust
project
economics
Do we have access to adequate funding
while maintaining our targeted gearing and
progressive dividend policy?
Do we have a technology, scale of plant or
operating know-how that provides a
competitive advantage?
Do we have a product or market position
that provides us with a compelling business
case?
Do we have the required project execution
capability?
Do we have a long-term low-cost feedstock?
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Financing
Technology
Feedstock
Market
Capability
our investment considerations
financing
robust
project
economics
Do we have access to adequate funding
while maintaining our targeted gearing and
progressive dividend policy?
Do we have a technology, scale of plant or
operating know-how that provides a
competitive advantage?
Do we have a product or market position
that provides us with a compelling business
case?
Do we have the required project execution
capability?
Do we have a long-term low-cost feedstock?
portfolio
management
and finance Christine Ramon
Chief Financial Officer
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1. Cash generated by operations after payment of taxes
value-enhancing strategic allocation of cash
0
10
20
30
0
10
20
30
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 % %
Delivering ROIC ahead of WACC
ROIC WACC IRR target
0
10
20
30
40
50
Sources Uses Sources Uses Sources Uses Sources UsesRbn
Sources and uses of cash
Cash gen. by ops after tax¹ Asset disposals
Dividends Acquisitions and investments
Downstream energy capex Upstream capex
Chemicals capex
2010 2011 2012 1H13
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Capex
M&A
Returns to
shareholders
solid strategic capital allocation process
options that maximise long-term shareholder value prioritised
Excess cash and buffer for volatility considered before capital is allocated
● Distinguish between:
• Growth / sustenance
• Upstream / downstream
• Energy / chemicals
• South Africa / international
Process
● Acquisition of businesses
● Acquisition of assets
● Dividends
● Share buybacks
● Mandatory sustenance and value-enhancing
growth capex prioritised
● Other considerations:
• Prioritisation criteria
• Geographic diversification
Response
● Considered on a case by case basis
● Progressive dividend policy followed
● Share buybacks periodically assessed for
attractiveness
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Strategy
translation
Portfolio
planning
Portfolio
re-evaluation
Execution
of portfolio
robust portfolio management process
Capital
excellence
Sasol
strategy
Portfolio analysis
and identify current gaps
to achieve strategy
Selecting the optimal project
portfolio based on available
resources
Review progress on portfolio
execution and effectiveness
of capital expenditure
Execute project
following the BD&I model
and governance principles
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Project categories
Financial
returns
Project risk
and execution
capability
Business
robustness
Project
maturity Markets
Competitive
advantage
(technology,
feedstock)
prioritising our strong project pipeline
Prioritisation criteria
Capital projects ranked with a focus on risk and returns
Sustenance
Mandatory
● Safety and compliance ● Statutory shutdowns
● Clean fuels specification
● Mines replacement
programme
Discretionary
● Renewal and non-statutory
maintenance
Growth
Economically justifiable
● Improve efficiency or
effectiveness
● New business opportunities
● Synfuels growth programme
● Integrated US chemicals
● US ethane cracker
● Ethylene purification
● C3 stabilisation
● FT wax expansion
● Tetramerisation
● US GTL
● Uzbekistan GTL
● Escravos GTL
● Canada GTL
● Upstream exploration and
potential acquisitions
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Targeted IRR for capital investments
(on an unlevered basis)
Mechanisms to mitigate
investment risk
targeted returns compensate for investment risks
● Hurdle rate = WACC x 1,3
• Includes buffer for unforeseen project risk and
sustenance projects
• Required IRR for mega projects increased for identifiable
project specific risks
● Group WACC
• Includes country risk premium adjustment
• Based on long term target gearing
● Project financing
● Investment structures
● Lump sum EPC contracting
● Long term feedstock arrangements
● JV partners
Sustenance
● Mandatory – n/a
● Discretionary – hurdle rate
Growth
● Economically justifiable – hurdle rate
Maximise returns and minimise risks to sustainably grow shareholder value
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project execution delivered through rigorous
capital governance processes
* Excludes upstream exploration + further acquisition of gas assets
● Sasol business
development and
implementation model
(BD&I Model) to govern
capital investment
decisions
● BD&I Model is
benchmarked against
“best in class”
● Staged gate approach for
approvals to ensure
balanced risk/reward
● Gate approval process
optimised to reduce impact
on project schedule
● Robust governance
structures to review and
prioritise capital projects
Idea generation
Pre-feasibility
Feasibility
Basic development
(FEED)
Implementation
BD&I model*
New energy
India CTL
Canada GTL
US ethane cracker
US GTL
Uzbekistan GTL
Tetramerisation
Secunda growth
EGTL
Gate 1
Gate 2
Gate 3
Gate 4
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enabling robust investment decision-making
● Capital excellence
definition of victory to enhance project
returns through:
• World-class project execution and delivery
(cost, schedule, operability)
• Portfolio management (value optimisation,
capital governance)
• Optimise returns through procurement and
contracting
• Learning and post-implementation reviews
● Capital scrubbing and optimisation
ensures focus on higher return projects:
• Confirming project drivers
• Ensuring reliable project valuations
• Verifying and testing assumptions
• Investigating alternative solutions
Sensitivities of key assumptions tested over the long term
Key project assumptions stress tested
through Monte Carlo analysis
(Illustrative sensitivity tornado diagram)
-1,50% -0,75% 0,00% 0,75% 1,50%
Exchange rates
Commodity prices
Feedstock prices
Operating costs
Capital expenditure
Conservative assumptions
Change in IRR
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prudent long term oil price view supported
by fundamentals
Marginal cost of production = about $90 per barrel
80
100
120
140
160
180
FY11 FY14 FY17 FY20 FY23 FY26 FY29
No
min
al o
il p
rice
US
$/b
bl
Oil price – long-term panel comparison
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prudent long term gas price view compares
favourably to panel view
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
FY11 FY13 FY15 FY17 FY19 FY21 FY23 FY25 FY27 FY29
He
nry
Hu
b g
as p
rice
($
/MM
)
Gas price – long-term panel comparison
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focused on managing long-term gearing
within target
Incorporates progressive dividend policy
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22
Ge
arin
g
Ca
pe
x s
pen
d
South Africa Rest of Africa Europe Middle East
Far East North America South East Asia /Aus Total Growth
Total Sustenance Gearing Target gearing
Gearing
within targeted range
during capex peak
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maintaining flexibility to fund capital investments
All options are under consideration
Internal options
Debt options
Other options
● Phase capex spend to maintain flexibility
● Reduce capex and enhance project NPV
● Cost optimisation
Options
● Various sources of funding include:
• Bank loans (local and international)
• Bond markets (local and international)
• Export Credit Agency funding
• Project finance
● Potential equity options
● Projects could be phased to reduce
gearing
● Potential loss of synergies
Considerations
● Debt more cost effective than equity
● Impact on credit rating and cost of funding
● Equity is an expensive funding option until
projects are commissioned
● Delays in process
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strong track record of delivering consistent returns
0
2
4
6
0
10
20
30
2009 2010 2011 2012 1H13 % ZAR
Stable interim dividend
Interim Final Dividend yield (year-end)
0
10
20
30
40
2009 2010 2011 2012 1H12 1H13ZAR
Growth in earnings per share
Earnings per share Dividend per share
1. Source: Bloomberg 31 December 2009 to 31 December 2012, assuming dividends are reinvested in securities
Rand TSR1 29%
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delivering leading dividend yield vs. peer indices
Sasol’s dividend yield compares favorably on historic basis
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Sasol MSCI EM Energy MSCI World energy JSE Resi 10 JSE Top 40 JSE Top 10
Historic dividend yield FY12
Source: Bloomberg market data as at 14 March 2013
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growing shareholder value sustainably
growing
shareholder
value
sustainably
Robust investment
decision making
Strong track record
of delivering superior
shareholder returns
Solid strategic
capital allocation process
Focused on managing
long-term gearing
questions
and answers
break
our North
American
priorities David E. Constable
Chief Executive Officer
better together… we deliver 30
the home of our US growth projects
Lake Charles
Lake Charles
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top management line of sight
Sasol Limited
board
CEO/GEC
Mandating
committee
Project sponsor
Executive
committee
US GTL
project team
Steering
committee
Technical contract
approval committee
LCCP
project team IPMT
better together… we deliver 32
priority areas to drive project progress
in the near term
guiding principles
● Appoint the best people for the job at hand
● Ensure robust Integrated Project Management Team with world-class project
controls and management systems
● Leverage industry best practices and lessons learned
• Mindset of zero scope changes post-EPC award
• Single point of accountability
• A robust yet flexible contracting strategy
• Quality of agreements, incentives and relationships with contractors paramount
• Better market intelligence than contractors and competitors
• Create independent key craft labour strategy
better together… we deliver 33
Financing
Technology
Feedstock
Market
Capability
our investment considerations
technology and feedstock
robust
project
economics
Do we have access to adequate funding
while maintaining our targeted gearing and
progressive dividend policy?
Do we have a technology, scale of plant or
operating know-how that provides a
competitive advantage?
Do we have a product or market position
that provides us with a compelling business
case?
Do we have the required project execution
capability?
Do we have a long-term low-cost feedstock?
better together… we deliver 34
Financing
Technology
Feedstock
Market
Capability
our investment considerations
market and capability
robust
project
economics
Do we have access to adequate funding
while maintaining our targeted gearing and
progressive dividend policy?
Do we have a technology, scale of plant or
operating know-how that provides a
competitive advantage?
Do we have a product or market position
that provides us with a compelling business
case?
Do we have the required project execution
capability?
Do we have a long-term low-cost feedstock?
our North
American value
proposition –
technology and
feedstock Lean Strauss
Senior Group Executive:
international energy, new business
development and technology
technology
better together… we deliver 37
gas to liquids(GTL) in a nutshell
Product work-up
10 mcf 1 barrel of product
1 bcf/d 100 000 bbl/day
1 tcf reserve 100 million bbl of products Over 30 years
GTL synthesis Reforming Natural gas
as feedstock
Diesel: 75%
Naphtha: 20%
LPG: 5%
GTL products
better together… we deliver 38
ORYX Qatar, Sasol’s GTL flagship
● A joint venture with Qatar Petroleum
● A total of 45+ million barrels produced to date
• 32 400 bbl/d nameplate capacity
● Some key performance indicators from 2012:
• Zero RCR
• Six months production in excess of design capacity
• Nine months at 99%+ on-line availability
● Technology proven and feedstock conversion target exceeded
better together… we deliver 39
● Joint venture with Chevron + NNPC
● 32 400 bbl/d – Oryx look alike
● Beneficial operation: December 2013
● Joint venture with Uzbekneftegaz + Petronas
● 38 400 bbl/d – enhanced Oryx
● Decision to proceed – 2nd half 2013
other GTL projects in the pipeline
Escravos GTL, Nigeria OLTIN YO’L GTL, Uzbekistan
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● Across the fence utility
supply
● Modularisation
● Partnerships and alliances
● Chemicals
● Electricity
● Base oils
● Reactor intensification
● Generation 3 FT catalyst
● Improvement in reforming
technology
identified various levers to extract greater value
5-7% improvement in IRR targeted
Improving
capital
productivity
Driving
technology
improvement Improving
product
value
better together… we deliver 41
scale up and intensification of GTL reactor
● Significant scale-up during successful
commercialisation at ORYX GTL
● Subsequent focus on intensification to
increase production in essentially the
same shell
● Enabled by:
• Integrated catalyst and reactor
technology developments
• Intensive fundamental studies,
model systems and semi-commercial
piloting
• Understanding critical design
parameters and margins based on
commercial operation – enabled
significant optimisation
● US GTL design at 150% of ORYX GTL
reactor capacity
feedstock
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not only shale gas, but also shale ethane has changed
North American energy and chemical markets
estimates vary from 40-100 years of supply
Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2011
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
US
dry
ga
s (
trill
ion
cu
bic
fe
et p
er
ye
ar)
2009 History Projections
11%
14%
20%
9%
28%
8% 2% 9%
Net imports
Shale gas
Non-associated onshore
Non-associated offshore
Tight gas
Coal-bed methane Alaska
Associated with oil
1%
45%
8%
8%
22%
7% 1% 7%
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the US GTL opportunity is advantaged by
favourable oil/gas price ratios
0
10
20
30
40
1992 1997 2002 2007 2012 2017 2022 2027 2032 2037
Crude oil (Brent) prices expressed as a multiple of natural gas prices (Henry Hub)
actual EIA (2013)
● More than 400 tcf of
gas in the US can be
commercially produced
at <$6/mmbtu
● All reputable long-term
energy consultants
forecast Henry Hub in a
USD 4-6/mmbtu range
(real ‘12)
● Oil/gas price differential
forecast to remain
favourable
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Montney shale gas – a feedstock hedge for US GTL
● A 50:50 Joint venture with Talisman in British Columbia
● Drilling and completion costs coming down – approaching investment assumptions
● 129 mcf/d average (gross) production for 2012
● Montney gas production to provide ~ 2/3 feedstock price cover for GTL investment in US
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043 2045
mm
cf/
day
Sasol Montney
gas production
US GTL
consumption
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Standalone Integrated
integrated gas and GTL economics in North America
Integrated economics between Montney and GTL robust
eco
no
mic
va
lue
- N
PV
Henry Hub gas price
eco
no
mic
va
lue
- N
PV
Henry Hub gas price
US GTL Montney
integrated:
US GTL +
Montney
US GTL
Montney gas
provides risk cover
in higher gas scenario
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GTL a compelling value proposition in Lake Charles
● Phased approach after ethane cracker
● Value indicators
• Capacity (nameplate): +96 kbpd
• Gas requirement: 9 - 9,5 mmbtu
per barrel product
• Capital range ($11-$14bn, including
value adds)
• Operating cost: < $20/bbl
• Economics further enhanced by
attractive incentives
● GTL exceeds hurdle on standalone
basis
● Chemical products make a significant
incremental contribution to GTL value
proposition
GTL
Diesel
Naphtha and LPG
Paraffin cuts and LAB
Wax products
Synthetic base oils
96 000 bbl/d Fuels
Chemical value adds
~ 43%
~ 29%
~ 28%
better together… we deliver 48
● Arbitraging gas and oil - shale
gas revolution
● Technology enhancements -
extending our lead
● World class products
● Chemical value adds
● Integrated value chain
● World class infrastructure
● Supportive government
● Access to multiple markets
● Competitive labour and
contractor market
● Abundant feedstock
in summary
GTL value proposition Lake Charles
compelling
investment
opportunity
our North
American value
proposition –
market and
capability André de Ruyter
Senior Group Executive:
global chemicals and
North American operations
market
better together… we deliver 51
ethane associated with gas leads to global
leadership position for US crackers
Source: CMAI
Position in bottom 30% on a cash cost basis
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low market risk
Lake Charles Chemical Project gives backward-integrated growth for Sasol into
a well-established and uniquely diversified market
Balanced portfolio of commodity and differentiated products
Ethane
Cracker
Ziegler
Alcohol
TET
LLDPE
Ethoxylates
Guerbet
Alcohols
MEG
To existing ETO
ETO sales
Guerbet sales
Alcohol sales
Alumina
1-Octene
LLDPE
Ethane
Crude C3s
Crude C4s
Light Pygas
Heavy pygas
1-Hexene
LDPE LDPE
External Alcohol
Oxygen Ethylene
Oxide/MEG*
External Alcohol
Ethylene
Ethylene
better together… we deliver 53
prudent long term oil price view supported
by fundamentals
Marginal cost of production = about $90 per barrel
80
100
120
140
160
180
FY11 FY14 FY17 FY20 FY23 FY26 FY29
No
min
al o
il p
rice
US
$/b
bl
Oil price – long-term panel comparison
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GTL sells diesel, not crude oil…
Diesel prices in the US are linked to international prices
129,8
128,7
130,2
132,6
126,2
129,2
Average oil prices in 2012:
● Brent: $111,6/bbl
● WTI: $ 94,2/bbl
Source: Platts
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US GTL product marketing
● A balanced product portfolio of 29% chemicals and 71% fuels (by mass)
natural gas
reforming
sasol LTFT
process
wax
extraction
paraffin
extraction
fuels
product
work - up
Process *
oxygen
natural
gas
syngas
reactor wax
condensate
Paraffin for LAB production
natural gas
reforming
sasol LTFT
process
paraffin
extraction
fuels
product
work - up
Process * syngas
reactor wax
condensate
wax products
LPG
naphtha
diesel
paraffins
LPG
naphtha
diesel
base oils base oils
ph
as
e 1
p
ha
se
2 oxygen
natural
gas
a Sasol wholly-owned facility with a nameplate capacity of +96 000 bbl/d
debottleneck in
Hamburg,
Germany
four new
emulsification
units
new LAB unit in
Lake Charles
minor
modifications in
Augusta, Italy
* flexible design allows for operation in fuels only or value adds mode
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our key markets and products
improving the competitiveness of Sasol’s current global business
Value chain Feedstock
Technology/
production
platform Market
C₂ > Polyethylene
C₂ > Co-monomers
C₂ > Alcohols
Paraffin > LAB
Wax
Base oils/lubricants
GTL diesel
Fair position Good position Strong position
Feedstock
Technology/
production
platform Market
Current Future
No position
capability
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proactive actions to address execution challenges
Recent mega-project
experience in the Gulf
Coast
Contracting strategies
Labour availability and
productivity
● Utilization of
standard
designs where
possible
● Disciplined
stage-gate
discipline to
control change
during design
evolution
● Extended FEED
programme to
allow sufficient
time to complete
designs prior to
construction
● Integrated project management team
● Sasol and expert contractor members
● Leverage local mega-project expertise and
execution
● Holistic review of feasible contracting options and
defined contracting strategies
● Comprehensive contractor scan and development
effort to ensure most competitive pool of qualified
EPCs
● Current preference for FEED contracts is a
converted lump sum approach
● Detailed market analysis of key labour
supply/demand balances, productivity and labour
rates
● Market intelligence and resource planning
● Modularization strategies
Mitigation
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actions to mitigate similar risks and apply
best practices
mega-project experience
● In process to contract with
• A global construction company, with relevant US
Gulf Coast experience
• A global engineering and construction
management company with GTL and lump sum
credentials
● Experienced IPMT*
• ‘Salt and pepper’ team under Sasol’s leadership
- Sasol South Africa and Sasol North America
employees
- Local US Gulf contractor experts
- Local/Sasol expat split 75%/25%
• Members selected for relevant experience
• Independent
- No execution responsibilities, thus no conflict of
interest
- Own FEED and EPC management control systems
* IPMT: mega-project experience
IPMT schematic for illustrative purposes
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addressing execution risks
building on prior experience
● Construction will not commence until well-defined design targets have been achieved
● Access to partners’ systems to enable tracking of costs and schedule independent of
engineering contractors
● Scope for FEED is frozen
● Alleviating craft shortage by moving certain activities off site through modularization
● Utilization of known technologies
● Leveraging of world class suppliers (e.g. Oxygen OTF, electricity co-generation)
● Utilization of local employees and contractors with in-country experience
● Careful study and review of lessons learnt executing megaprojects at Sasol and by others
● Experienced, well-resourced integrated owner team
with participation of independent reputable industry partners
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extending the GTL schedule
will reduce risk
● Advancing project definition past typical end of FEED
(30%) to between 40% and 50%, would improve
estimate accuracy by ~10%
● 10% on a US$6,5bn EPC cost could equate to
a US$650m improvement in accuracy
● Delay engagement of EC and give
better definition for FEED kickoff of:
• External license packages,
OOTF and co-generation
definition
● Greater project scope and design
definition at time of FID
• Reduced execution risk and
narrows the band for EPC cost
by extending FEED
• Less potential of scope growth
• Support more accurate prices
from market (e.g. lump sum)
● Consideration of alternative
contracting strategies
Source: Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering International
project definition drives estimate accuracy
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modularization mitigates shortage of skills
LCCP modularization study (feasibility)
Module Yard Craft Peak
Site Personnel (with modularization)
Site Personnel (without modularization)
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favourable location enables modularization
MATERIALSLABORHEAVY HAULRAILROAD
EV
ER
GR
EE
N R
D
MATERIAL OFF-LOADINGFACILITY
PotentialModule
Laydown Area
I-10
SULPHUR ROAD
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in summary
● Good positioning of products
● Well-established and uniquely diversified
market
● Balanced portfolio of commodity and
differentiated products
Market
● Experienced, well-resourced integrated
owner team
● Participation of independent reputable
industry partners
● Lessons learned executing mega-projects
at Sasol and by others
Capability
ORYX GTL, Qatar Lake Charles, Louisiana
closing remarks David E. Constable
Chief Executive Officer
better together… we deliver 66
LCCP business drivers
to create meaningful and profitable growth by capitalising on abundant and
low-cost US ethane supplies
● Establish an ethylene-based chemicals facility with a balanced product portfolio
● Unique products and established market position
● Maintain the strategic position in alcohols and ethoxylates
● Maintain the strategic position in octene and grow market share
● Replace divested production and grow polymers global footprint within existing portfolio
● Create a sustainable competitive advantage by positioning ourselves in the lower third of the
global ethylene cash cost curve
● Produce current tolled ethylene oxide thereby improving cost base, operations, safety and
sustainability
better together… we deliver 67
US GTL business drivers
the US holds significant fuels and chemical growth opportunities
for Sasol and supports our strategic objectives
● Favourable US natural gas market dynamics
● Security of feedstock supply
● Sasol’s GTL and value-add technologies - unique products and established market position
● Existing asset and resource base in North America
● Integration synergies with the LCCP
● Enable Sasol to enter a lucrative and quickly developing premium base oils market
● One of the lowest cost paraffin and LAB value chains globally
● Allow production of high quality waxes to support differentiation strategy
better together… we deliver 68
revisiting our investment considerations
robust project economics remain cornerstone of our investment decisions
Financing
Technology
Feedstock
Market
Capability
robust
project
economics
● Prioritised portfolio
● Managing balance sheet within gearing target
● Good market appetite for Sasol debt
● Record performance levels at ORYX GTL
● Superior technology value proposition
● Utilisation of proven technologies
● Well-established and uniquely diversified market
● Good market positioning of products
● Balanced portfolio of commodity and
differentiated products
● Experienced, well-resourced team
● Independent, reputable industry partners
● Lessons learned executing mega-projects
● Abundant low-cost feedstock supply
● Volume and price feedstock cover for
GTL investment
questions
and answers
informal lunch