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Brookfield Renewable Partners
INVESTOR DAY
SEPTEMBER 27 , 2017
Table of Contents
2
Building a Leading Renewables BusinessSachin Shah Page 3
Balance Sheet StrengthNick Goodman Page 12
Surfacing Value From Our OperationsNick Goodman Page 19
Strategic OutlookSachin Shah
Page 28
3
Building a Leading Renewables Business
We are a leading, globally diversified
renewable power company
4
$26BTOTAL POWER ASSETS
~11 millionHOMES POWERED
3 continentsOPERATING EXPERTISE
>80%SHARE OF HYDRO
5
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Ja
nu
ary
200
0 =
0
Total Return¹
BEP.UN S&P/TSX
…With a strong track record of value creation
1) Bloomberg; CAD return including re-investment of dividends as at 31 August 2017
16%TOTAL
ANNUALIZED
RETURN
6
This has been underpinned by our…
7
…Focus on high quality assets acquired on a value basis
U.S. Hydros (2012-2016)
$3 billion EV
1,500 MW
Acquired at the bottom of the
market
Irish government sale in the
midst of the economic
downturn
Bord Gais (2014)
$1 billion EV
320 MW
Drawn-out, 2 year process
with no competition by
auction date
Isagen (2016)
$5 billion EV
3,000 MW
Highly complex transaction
with distressed sponsor
TerraForm (2017e)¹
$8 billion EV
3,600 MW
1) TerraForm Power and Global transactions announced March 2017
8
…Applying our operating expertise to enhance value
U.S. Hydros
• 20-25% increase in cash
flow margin
• Perpetual assets with
operating costs growing
below inflation
• Developed 170 MW of
new capacity
• Selling “green” attributes
across transmission lines
into the UK
Ireland/
Bord Gais
• Rationalize costs
• Developing 100 MW of
new hydro
• Optimize capital structure
• Signed 10 year PPA with
utility
Colombia/
Isagen
• Internalize operating
capabilities
• De-risk balance sheet
TerraForm¹
1) TerraForm Power and Global transactions announced March 2017
9
…Discipline on de-risking our balance sheet
Investment grade balance sheet since inception
Consistently grown our distribution
Hedge our currencies and interest rates
Conservative financing strategy
Opportunistic capital recycling
10
…Ability to adapt
Since 1999, we have grown from:
2014 2016 2017200520031999 20152006
Colombia
Europe
Brazil
North
America
Europe
Brazil
North
AmericaBrazil
North
AmericaNorth
America
• 950 MW to 13,700 MW
• 1 country to 9
• 1 technology to 6China
India
Europe
North America
Colombia
Brazil
Note: Pro forma position assuming the closing of the TerraForm Power and Global transactions which were announced in March 2017
11
We are positioning the business for growth over the next 20 years
We target a 12% − 15% return over the long run
Maintaining the lowest
risk balance sheet in
the sector
Surfacing cash flow
and value appreciation
from our assets
Broadening the
business once again to
take advantage of
global trends
12
Balance Sheet Strength
13
Polling Question
Do balance sheet health and credit ratings matter in
relation to your investment criteria?
a) Yes
b) Somewhat
c) Not really
d) No
14
BEP offers the lowest risk investment proposition…
Investing at the bottom is NOT risky
• Invest countercyclically in out-of-
favor assets for value to retain upside
• Finance conservatively (BBB+
rating)
• Use operating capabilities and
patient, long-term approach to drive
returns
• Portfolio of mostly perpetual hydro
assets that grow in value
• Don’t participate in well-attended
auctions
• Compete for assets based on our
cost of capital
• Use higher corporate leverage to
drive returns
• Buy mostly finite life assets with
limited value drivers
What we do… What we don’t do…
15
We have a perpetual asset base…
…meaning there is minimal annual investment required to maintain cash flows
BEP Distributions Technology Quality
Assumes:
• Perpetual life for hydro assets in North America and Colombia
• 40/30 year life for authorization/concession based hydro assets in Brazil respectively with a recovery of undepreciated replacement cost at expiry
• Straight line depreciation based on a useful life of 25 years for wind assets with a terminal value equal to ~15% of construction cost
16
…And we have outperformed our target returns since inception
We have the lowest risk and longest track record of strong returns in the sector
Source: Bloomberg; includes reinvestment of dividends
As at 15 September 2017
Dividend
Yield
Unit Price
Increase
Credit
RatingTotal Return
BEP 6% 10% BBB+ 16%
Peer Average 5% 3% BB- to BBB 8%
17
In the current environment, the market is disconnecting risk & reward
5.1%PEER AVERAGE YIELD1
BEP trades at a higher yield than the peer average…
… yet has the lowest risk profile
As an investor you are not only buying the underlying projects, you are
buying the corporate balance sheet
5.7%BEP YIELD1
1) As at 15 September 2017.
18
Why is this important?
Maintaining a low risk profile provides strong downside protection, safeguardscash flows and provides a strong base to fund growth
Access to
Cash Flow
• Investment grade debt sizing combined with investment grade covenant
packages provide access to cash flows through the cycle
Rising Interest
Rates
• Predominantly fixed rate debt mitigates impact of rising interest rates
• Every 100 bps increase in interest rates impacts FFO by $2 million
FX Volatility
• Currency hedging strategy reduces impact of FX fluctuations
• 10% move in the USD vs. the CAD, BRL, COP & EUR would have a
less than 5% impact on FFO
Concentration
Risk
• Geographic diversification across 7 countries and 15 power markets
• No single plant represents more than 8% FFO
19
Surfacing Value From Our Operations
20
Global operating scale
BRAZIL430 employees
$3 Billionin total power assets
COLOMBIA680 employees
$5 Billion in total power assets
NORTH AMERICA1,100 employees
$17 Billion in total power assets
EUROPE115 employees
$1 Billionin total power assets
4,850MW 840MW 215MW
900MW 150MW 175MW
2,700MW 300MW
480MW525MW
Hydro
Wind
Other
We have integrated operating platforms on three continents with local
operating and power marketing expertise
1) As at 31 August 2017
21
BEP is focused on surfacing value from organic growth initiatives
Leverage in-house expertise as a fully integrated renewable company to grow
cash flows
• Operating Scale: Streamline processes and reduce costs
• Customer Origination: Contracting at premium prices
• Asset Management: Optimize capital structure
• Engineering & Development: Identify and advance greenfield projects to operation
Embedded
Inflation
Escalation
(1% to 2%)
Expected
Margin
Expansion
(2% to 4%)
FFO per Unit
Growth
Potential
(6% to 11%)
Advanced
Development
Pipeline
(3% to 5%)
22
Inflation: $50 million FFO contribution over five years
Our revenues are indexed to inflation providing for 1% – 2% annual FFO growth
Proportional Basis Brazil
North
America Colombia
Annual
Total
Revenues1 ($ million) $200 $1,000 $190 $1,390
% Indexed to inflation 100% 30% 100%
Estimated long-term inflation 4.5% 2.0% 3.5%
Expected annual revenue uplift ($ million) $9 $6 $6 $21
Expected FFO margin 60% 50% 35% 48%
Expected annual FFO uplift ($ million) $5 $3 $2 $10
1) Normalized 2016 revenues
23
Re-contracting: $44 million FFO contribution over five years
Limited downside risk to PPA maturities in North America plus exposure to rising power
prices in Brazil and Colombia providing for 1% – 2% annual FFO growth
Annual
Generation
Current Contract
Price ($/MWh)
Current Market
Price1 ($/MWh)
Expected FFO
Impact
($ million)
Quebec 1,470 GWh $55 $50 ($7)
New England 1,000 GWh $39 $50 $11
Other 1,620 GWh $53 $50 ($5)
North America re-contracting 4,090 GWh $51 $50 ($1)
Brazil re-contracting 1,400 GWh $72 $86 $20
Colombia re-contracting 2,800 GWh $76 $85 $25
Total re-contracting 8,290 GWh $44
Note: shown on a proportional basis
1) All-in price
24
Cost reduction: $50 million FFO contribution over five years
Targeted cost reduction of $2 per MWh would add $50 million to FFO over the next five
years or 1% – 2% annual FFO growth
Savings:
$2.00 / MWh
$30 million
North America
Savings:
$2.00 / MWh
$10 million
Brazil
Savings:
$2.00 / MWh
$10 million
Colombia
Savings:
$2.00 / MWh
$1 million
Europe
Streamlining
Processes
Operational
Efficiencies
Optimize
Structuring
Economies
of Scale
Note: shown on a proportional basis
25
Project development: $125 million FFO contribution over five years
Developed 725 MW in the past five years contributing $75 million to FFO
Expect to develop another 1,000 MW over the next five years, adding $125 million
to FFO or 3% – 5% annual FFO growth
Region Technology
Capacity
(MW)
Expected
Annualized FFO
($ million)
Delivery by 2021
Europe Wind 283 $22
Brazil Hydro & Wind 202 $37
North America Hydro & Wind 110 $9
Sub-Total 595 $68
Delivery by 2023
Europe Wind 130 $18
Brazil Hydro & Wind 225 $31
North America Hydro & Wind 50 $7
Sub-Total 405 $56
Total 1,000 $125
Note: Capacity stated on a consolidated basis. FFO stated on a proportional basis. As such, historical and projected FFO from development are not comparable due to different
ownership levels.
26
InflationEscalation
Re-Contracting CostReduction
ProjectDevelopment
North America
Europe
Brazil
Colombia
Sustainable Organic Cash Flow Growth Levers
Supports target annual distribution growth of 5% - 9%
1% – 2% 1% – 2% 3% – 5%1% – 2%
6% to 11%
CAGR
27
To recap…
Lowest risk profile offering best investment proposition
Clear path to surfacing value from existing operations
5% – 9% annual distribution growth target
28
Strategic Outlook
29
Growth over the next five years will build on our strengths…
Invest $3.0 to $3.5 billion
in hydro, wind and solar globally
Deploy $700 million in our project development
backlog to build 1,000 MW at premium returns
Grow our distribution at 5% to 9% annually and
compound capital at 12% to 15% per unit
30
…And build for the future
The global move to decarbonize
energy is creating a
growing investible universe
31
Polling Question
Which renewable technology is best positioned to prosper in the
growing low-carbon environment?
a) Hydro
b) Storage (pumped hydro & batteries)
c) Wind
d) Solar
e) Distributed Generation
32
We are investing capital in the power grid of the future
Markets globally are
de-carbonizing
StorageOn-shore
Wind
Off-shore
Wind
Demand
Management
Utility
Solar
Hydro
Distributed
Generation
(DG)
33
Where are we today?
Opportunities in
sectors that are
ancillary to our core
business are growing
On-shore
Wind
Demand
Management
Off-shore
Wind
Storage
Hydro
Utility
Solar
Distributed
Generation
(DG)
34
Where could we be after TerraForm Power (TERP)?
On-shore
Wind
Demand
Management
Off-shore
Wind
Storage
Hydro
Utility
Solar
Distributed
Generation
(DG)
The TERP¹acquisition would
mark our first
investment into
utility and DG-scale
solar
1) TerraForm Power transaction announced March 2017
35
0
100
200
300
400
Global Clean Energy Investment$ in billions
W. Europe U.S. & Canada Australia LatAm China India
$325 billion is invested annually in renewables in our target markets
…And we are tapping into this growing universe by seeking out
opportunities in new sectors and geographies
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance; excludes hydroelectric plants larger than 50MW
36
Of that, over $155 billion is in sectors we don’t currently invest in
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
0
50
100
150
200
Global Clean Energy Investment$ in billions
Off-Shore Wind Solar (Utility & Distributed) Geothermal
37
The private sector is better positioned to provide bulk green power
1) Bloomberg New Energy Finance; small hydro defined as a hydroelectric plant with a capacity of 50MW or less
Over the next 20 years, this funding gap will grow as consumers
continue to shift to newer sources of power
4%
96%
Governments/SOEs Private Sector
Global Ownership of Wind, Solar, Small Hydro¹
38
Our Growth Priorities
• Distributed Generation
• New Technologies
1
Sector
Expertise
• India
• China
2
Geographic
Expansion
39
Our Approach
Establish
scalable platforms
Develop local operating
teams
3
Look for accretive
development and
opportunistic
acquisitions
1 2
The U.S. Commercial and Industrial
(C&I) Distributed Generation (DG)
Landscape
41
Dramatic Cost Declines…
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2012 2016
C&
I S
ola
r P
V C
ap
ex C
ost ($
/Wd
c)
30%
decline in
costs
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
42
A Rapidly Growing Market…
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2012 2016
Insta
lled
ca
pa
city o
f U
.S. C
&I
DG
(M
W)
150%
growth in
capacity
43
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
C&I DG Market Share
…But with fragmented ownership
We aim to invest $500 million into this sector over the next five years
Top 5
Owners
All
Other
Players
Source: GTM Research
44
India – the fastest growing major economy in the world
Strong Macro Fundamentals
Significant Power Deficit
Growing renewable demand
45
Our progress in India so far…
We are pursuing the TerraForm Global¹ acquisition which includes:
• A 300 MW portfolio in India of high-quality cash flows that would provide us with an
experienced operating team on the ground and a meaningful platform for future growth
102MWWIND
200MWSOLAR
1) TerraForm Global transaction announced March 2017
46
China – the largest power market in the world
Significant Demand Growth
Government Focus on Pollution Reduction
Strategic Domestic Industry
47
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
China Cumulative Solar Installed CapacityGW
Utility PV Residential Commercial & Industrial
Solar is a nascent technology in China’s coal-dominated supply stack
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
132%CAGR
48
Our progress in China so far…
• We have hired a small team in the country, led by an experienced investment
professional, to source opportunities
• The closing of the TerraForm Global¹ transaction would give us a 170MW renewable
portfolio in China
149MWWIND
18MWSOLAR
1) TerraForm Global transaction announced March 2017
49
Pulling it all together…
Long track record of exceeding our return target
Lowest risk balance sheet in the sector
Significant operational levers to deliver 5% to 9%
distribution growth annually
We have a large and growing investible universe
We are singularly focused on delivering 12% to 15%
total returns per share
50
Q&A
Important Cautionary Notes
51
All amounts are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise
specified. Unless otherwise indicated, the statistical and
financial data in this presentation is presented as of
June 30, 2017, and on a consolidated basis.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING FORWARD-
LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION
This presentation contains “forward-looking information”
within the meaning of Canadian provincial securities laws
and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of
Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as
amended, Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange
Act of 1934, as amended, “safe harbor” provisions of the
United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of
1995 and in any applicable Canadian securities
regulations. Forward-looking statements include
statements that are predictive in nature, depend upon or
refer to future events or conditions, and include
statements regarding our and our subsidiaries’
operations, business, financial condition, expected
financial results, performance, growth prospects and
distribution profile, growth of FFO (defined below),
priorities, targets, ongoing objectives, strategies and
outlook, as well as the outlook for North American and
international economies for the current fiscal year and
subsequent periods, and include, but are not limited to,
statements regarding our asset management. In some
cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by
terms such as “expects,” “plans,” “estimates,” “seeks,”
“targets,” “projects,” “grow” or negative versions thereof
and other similar expressions, or future or conditional
verbs such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “would” and “could.”
Although we believe that our anticipated future results,
performance or achievements expressed or implied by the
forward-looking statements and information are based
upon reasonable assumptions and expectations, the
reader should not place undue reliance on forward-
looking statements and information because they involve
known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors,
many of which are beyond our control, which may cause
our and our subsidiaries’ actual results, performance or
achievements to differ materially from anticipated future
results, performance or achievements expressed or
implied by such forward-looking statements and
information.
Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from those contemplated or implied by forward-looking
statements include, but are not limited to: changes to
hydrology at our hydroelectric stations or changes to
weather generally, the impact or unanticipated impact of
general economic, political and market factors in the
countries in which we do business; the behavior of
financial markets, including fluctuations in interest rates
and foreign exchanges rates; changes in inflation rates in
North America and international markets; the
performance of global equity and capital markets and the
availability of equity and debt financing and refinancing
within these markets; the competitive market for
acquisitions and other growth opportunities; our ability to
close announced acquisitions; our ability to realize the
expected benefits of acquisitions and of our organic
growth initiatives; the outcome and timing of various
regulatory, legal and contractual issues; changes in
accounting policies and methods used to report financial
condition (including uncertainties associated with critical
accounting assumptions and estimates); the effect of
applying future accounting changes; business
competition; operational and reputational risks;
technological change; our ability to diversify into new
technologies; changes in government regulation and
legislation within the countries in which we operate;
changes in tax laws; catastrophic events, such as
earthquakes and hurricanes; the possible impact of
international conflicts, including terrorist acts and
cyberterrorism; and other risks and factors detailed from
time to time in our documents which can be found on
our website or filed with the securities regulators in
Canada and the United States.
We caution that the foregoing list of important factors that
may affect future results is not exhaustive. When relying
on our forward-looking statements, investors and others
should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other
uncertainties and potential events. Except as required by
law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or
revise any forward-looking statements or information in
this presentation, whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT REGARDING USE OF
NON-IFRS MEASURES
This presentation contains references to financial metrics
that are not calculated in accordance with, and do not
have any standardized meaning prescribed by,
International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”). We
believe such non-IFRS measures including, but not
limited to, funds from operations (“FFO”) and FFO per
unit, are useful supplemental measures that may assist
investors and others in assessing our financial
performance and the financial performance of our
subsidiaries. As these non-IFRS measures are not
generally accepted accounting measures under IFRS,
references to FFO and FFO per unit, as examples, are
therefore unlikely to be comparable to similar measures
presented by other issuers and entities. These non-IFRS
measures have limitations as analytical tools. They
should not be considered as the sole measure of our
performance and should not be considered in isolation
from, or as a substitute for, analysis of our financial
statements prepared in accordance with IFRS. For a more
fulsome discussion regarding our use of non-IFRS
measures and their reconciliation to the most directly
comparable IFRS measures refer to our documents
which can be found on our website or filed with the
securities regulators in Canada and the United States.
References to Brookfield Renewable are to Brookfield
Renewable Partners L.P. together with its subsidiary and
operating entities unless the context reflects otherwise.