investor day 2012 - non-life strategy
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Barry Smith on Ageas UK's non-life strategyTRANSCRIPT
Investor Day 2012
Ageas UK
-
Delivering on our
Non-Life strategy
Barry Smith
CEO Ageas UK
INVESTOR DAY 2012
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London
Company profile
Delivering our strategy
Conclusions
295246
14 7934
6591
91434
482
FY 2009 FY 2011
Asia
CEU
UK
Belgium6,282 6,179
955 2,034
14,562
17,219
3,2926,157
4,033 2,849
FY 2008 FY 2011
Asia
CEU
UK
Belgium
18%11%
Company profile Strategic fit within Ageas
in EUR mio
Gross Inflow Net profit*
in EUR mio
Supports Ageas’s Non-Life portfolio balance
COR below 100%
Targeting customers through multi-channel distribution
Offering increasing contribution in inflows & profit
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 2
* Adjustments made on net result EUR 71 mio one off tax
adjustment in Belgium (FY 09) & EUR 795 mio
impairments & capital gains on bonds & equities FY 11)
Company profile Ageas UK structure reflecting our multi-distribution strategy
Ageas Insurance
Limited
Tesco Underwriting Limited
(partnership with Tesco Bank)
Ageas UK
Barry Smith Chief Executive Officer
Ageas Insurance Solutions
Ageas UK Retail Ageas Protect
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 3
Top 10 Non-Life insurer Top 10 Broker GWP in £ mio – 2011 data
Company profile Ageas UK: a major force in key UK insurance markets
Sources: Ageas UK internal analysis of FY 2011 FSA Returns,
Insurance Times & Insurance Age
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 4
213
222
329
393
371
505
617
669
675
678
Ageas (Retail)
CGS&C
Swinton
BGL
Towergate
Saga / Autom.Ass
Willis
Aon
JLT
Marsh
4th largest Personal Lines broker
1,456
1,595
1,721
1,729
1,770
1,875
3,118
3,209
3,558
4,691
Liverpool Vic FS
BUPA
Ageas
Admiral Grp
Allianz
Zurich Fin Serv
AXA
RSA Ins Grp
Royal Bank Scot
Aviva plc
GWP in £ mio – 2011 data
GWP in £ mio – 2011 data
24
41
48
63
67
98
203
272
296
504
Carole Nash
Adrian Flux
A-Plan
Endsleigh
Hastings
Capita
Ageas Retail
Swinton Group
BGL Group
AA/SAGA
Company profile Ageas UK: growing our business while improving our returns
in £ mio
Big freeze impacting whole market
Gross Inflow Profit before tax
in £ mio
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 5
846 856 913
1,191
2,012
998 1,043
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 6M 11 6M 12
24
64
17
(25)
105
35
64
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 6M 11 6M 12
93 94 98
146
214
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
751 760 814 1,035
1,766
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
10
47
(1)
(42)
71
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
21 24 27
35 38
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Company profile Insurance & Retail
in £ mio
Insurance Retail
Reflecting Tesco deal
& organic growth
More than doubled in 5 years
Gross Inflow Gross Inflow
Profit before tax Profit before tax
in £ mio
in £ mio
in £ mio Building good returns, barring
weather impacts on market
Consistent returns during
volatility Underwriting cycle
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 6
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London
Company profile
Delivering our strategy
Conclusions
Delivering our strategy – our 3 axes of growth Delivering innovation propositions that meet customer needs
Product: Increase product / service breadth & depth
Distribution: Build multi-channel distribution model
High-Service: Provide highest levels of service
Low-Cost: Operate at lowest level of cost
People: Building our knowledge & expertise
Products
Channels
Customers
COMBINED CAPABILITY
Ageas UK will become a leading manufacturer & retailer of insurance solutions
accessing customers through a range of distribution routes.
This will result in the delivery of consistent, competitive & sustainable
propositions direct to customers, brokers and those businesses seeking
intermediated insurance solutions for their customers.
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 8
Delivering our strategy Product: Increase breadth and depth of products
Legal Protection Cover
Mid-net worth Buildings
and Contents Insurance Aggregator Motor Product
Motor and Household
product suite
Strong product positions
GWP (in £ 000s) Market Growth 10-11 Ageas % share Position
Household* 6,360 4.5% 395 6.2% 6
Private Car* 9,243 9.7% 1,028 11.1% 5
Travel 583 (5.5%) 61 10.4% 5
Van (Commercial Motor) 3,015 13.4% 71 3.3% 6
* includes Ageas Insurance Ltd & Tesco Underwriting inflow
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 9
Commercial Vehicle Product
Young Driver Telematics
Motor Insurance
Owned Tesco Brokers
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Affinities IFAs MGAs
Implementation of the UK’s multi-channel strategy has delivered:
A significant growth in distribution via Affinities and owned distribution
Entry into new segments such as Managed General Agents (MGAs) and Protection
Delivering our strategy Distribution: Build a multi-channel distribution model
Inflow in £ mio
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 10
Delivering our strategy High-service: A lot of awards to prove Ageas delivers
Business Transformation Award 2012
Claims Innovation awards 2012
Gold Standard Award for Insurance 2008, 2009,
2010, 2011
“World Class” status, Institute of Customer Services
Insurance Times Awards 2010 & 2011
ABP Awards 2010 & 2011
UK Broker Awards 2010 & 2011
North West Contact Centre Awards 2011
British Insurance Awards 2011 & 2010
Money Wise Awards 2011
Protection Review Awards 2011
Post Magazine Claims Awards 2011
Insurance Times Claims Awards 2011
Financial Services Technology Awards 2011
LifeSearch Protection Awards 2011, 2010 & 2012
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 11
5.6 5.4 5.1 5.1 5.1
Like doingbusiness with
Recommendto others
Committed toworking with
brokers
Delivers whatit says
Deliversservice above
marketstandard
High fit
2011 ratings compared to 2010
2011 reputation monitor based on 6 point scale
Delivering our strategy A strong brand among brokers and partners
Ageas UK rebrand tracker survey results 2010 2011
Brand essence Ageas business partners/brokers
Underperforming
Positive reputation gap between Ageas and
competitors is growing
Performing strongly with
clients on delivery, service
& partnership
Source: WHY 5 Research
Fair
Good
Very good
Excellent
6861 64 61
73
5159
44
Ageas Aviva Zurich AXA
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 12
Underperforming
Source: FSA 2010 returns and Ageas internal analysis
Figures concern Ageas Insurance Limited
Ageas almost half that of UK
Market average
Claims excellence Low cost: Operate at lowest level of cost
Incurred claims handling expense /net incurred claims Estimated Unit Cost Production (Private Motor 2011
Household claims mgmt costs / net incurred claims
One of the most efficient for claims
operations
Lowest unit costs of production in Motor
Investor Day 24-25 September 2012 | Andaz Liverpool Street London 13
7.4%
4.0%
4.8%
4.8%
5.4%
5.6%
6.2%
6.2%
8.0%
8.9% 11.5%
UK Market
AXA
LV= / Highway
Co-Op
Ageas
NFU
esure
RSA
Aviva / Gresham
Allianz
Direct Line
63.1
17.8
40.2
41.9
43.3
44.4
45.7
47.0
51.4
53.4
56.2
57.1
61.4
76.7
82.5
91.1
UK Non-Life…
Ageas
AXA
NFU
Sabre
Groupama
Aviva
RSA
Highway
Tesco…
esure
Tradex
LV=
Co-Operative
Allianz
RBSI
9.0%
4.3%
4.6%
5.4%
5.9%
6.6%
9.3%
9.7%
10.1%
10.8%
11.2%
UK Market
Co-Op
Ageas
LV= / Highway
L&G
NFU
RSA
Allianz
Lloyds TSB / St Andrews
Aviva / Gresham
Direct Line
Focused on the customer • Design solutions to meet individual needs
• Listen, empower and do what we say we’ll do
Passionate to deliver • Take decisions and follow through on our actions
• Be dedicated and flexible
Working together • Work in a collaborative way with common goals
• Be open and build a common approach
Energised • Respond quickly, pro-actively and strive to make a
difference
• Be enthusiastic with a ‘Can do’ attitude to get the job
done
Trusted • We believe in honesty and transparency
• Be professional, straightforward and demonstrate and
understanding of each other, our clients and
customers
Kwik Fit Insurance,
The Green Insurance
Company & Express
Insurance
Glasgow
Tesco Underwriting
Newcastle
Ageas Insurance
Limited
Gloucester
Ageas Protect
& Tesco
Underwriting
Reigate, Surrey
Ageas Protect
London
Ageas Insurance Limited
Eastleigh
RIAS & Castle Cover
Bournemouth
Ageas Insurance
Solutions
Stoke
RIAS
Belfast
Delivering our strategy Building our people knowledge & expertise
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 14
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London
Company profile
Delivering our strategy
Conclusions
Key
transaction
terms
7 September: Ageas UK & Groupama SA announce exclusive negotiations
20 September: they announce signing of the acquisition of Groupama’s UK
Non-Life business, Groupama Insurance Company Ltd
Excluded from scope: Groupama’s UK broking operations & GICL’s DB Pension
Liability, significantly de-risking the transaction
Transaction subject to Regulatory Approvals & expected to be closed in Q4 12
Price of EUR 145 mio fully funded through existing capital resources
book value of EUR 252 mio
Expected to operate as Ageas UK subsidiary, in short term as standalone entity
DRAFT
Key
transaction
highlights
Acceleration of a powerful UK Non-Life franchise Ageas will become
no5 UK Non-Life insurer & no4 private motor insurer
Highly complementary business fit strengthened offering in core business &
addition of profitable new niche product lines
Compelling strategic rationale complements Ageas UK’s multi-channel
distribution strategy, strengthens our reach in the UK broker market & adds key
skills & talent to the Ageas UK team
Compelling financial rationale – price represents P/BV multiple of 0.53x* & P/E
multiple of 5.86x* expected to exceed Ageas’s minimum return thresholds
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 16
* based on 6M 12 figures
Ageas announced the acquisition of GICL Further strengthening of Non-Life UK activities
1.1%
5.9%
7.1%
Groupama
Insurer 17
Insurer 16
Insurer 15
Insurer 14
Insurer 13
Insurer 12
Insurer 11
Insurer 10
Insurer 9
Insurer 8
Insurer 7
Ageas
Insurer 5
Insurer 4
Pro-forma
Insurer 3
Insurer 2
Insurer 1 Increased size and presence
in key private motor,
household and commercial
SME lines
Enhanced growth potential
through expanded product
capabilities in new product
areas
Revenue streams not at risk
from potential regulatory
reforms – GICL has no
reliance of referral fees
No4 Private Motor…
Source: Datamonitor, Group accounts
Note: Based on FSA regulated entities. Admiral volumes based on total premiums written including premiums written by co-insurers. [GICL
premiums adjusted for sale of PMI portfolio]
1.0%
4.2%
5.2%
Groupama
Insurer 20
Insurer 19
Insurer 18
Insurer 17
Insurer 16
Insurer 15
Insurer 14
Insurer 13
Insurer 12
Insurer 11
Insurer 10
Insurer 9
Ageas
Insurer 7
Insurer 6
Insurer 5
Pro-forma
Insurer 4
Insurer 3
Insurer 2
Insurer 1
1.5%
10.2%
11.7%
Groupama
Insurer 13
Insurer 12
Insurer 11
Insurer 10
Insurer 9
Insurer 8
Insurer 7
Insurer 6
Ageas
Insurer 4
Pro-forma
Insurer 3
Insurer 2
Insurer 1
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 17
Acceleration of a powerful UK Non-Life franchise Creating No4 in Private Motor
No4 Personal lines… No5 overall...
2011 UK market share (%)
Strong overlap in personal motor & household markets
strengthened offering in core business lines
Addition of GICL areas of strength to Ageas UK’s platform (eg Motorcycle insurance)
diversification of product mix
Enhanced offering for key commercial partners
Additional product niches with superior underwriting margins and strong growth potential
Source: Datamonitor (via FSA returns). GICL excludes PMI portfolio sold in 2011
GICL GWP £408 mio 70% personal lines / 30%
commercial lines
Ageas UK GWP £1,721 mio 88% personal lines / 12% commercial lines
Pro-forma GWP £2,130 mio 85% personal lines / 15% commercial lines
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 18
Highly complementary business fit CIGL & Ageas UK have complementary business mixes
Com motor
6.9%
Com property
5.2%
Personal Motor
54.1%
Motorcycle
1.1%
Houeshold
22.6%
Travel
3.6%
Other personal
3.3%
Com liability
2.8%Other com
0.4%Com liability
2.1%
Other personal
2.0%
Travel
3.5%
Houeshold
23.0%
Personal Motor
59.7%
Com property
3.9%Com motor
5.8%
Other com
2.3%
Com liability
6.0%
Other personal
8.6%
Travel
3.9%Houeshold
20.9%
Motorcycle
5.8%
Personal Motor
30.7%
Com property
10.5%
Com motor
11.3%
Enhances
skills & talent
Compelling strategic rationale Multi-channel distribution & resources
Acquisition complements Ageas UK’s multi channel distribution strategy,
strengthening its reach in the UK broker market
Acquisition provides security for Groupama UK’s existing intermediary
relationships and reinforces Ageas UK’s ongoing commitment to its broker relationships
Transaction enhances e-trading offering, including e-fleet and e-commercial
combined products
Strengthens
multi-
channel
distribution
strategy
Depth and experience of GICL management talent with proven operational
and financial track records will help drive the business as it is integrated into the
Ageas Group
Addition of expertise in niche and specialty lines to complement Ageas UK’s
existing underwriting talent
Ability to draw on GICL’s strong claims & operational management capabilities, together with Ageas UK’s existing strengths in these areas
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 19
Beneficial outcome for both parties - security & immediate capital release for Groupama
- compelling financial rationale for Ageas & its shareholders
GICL strongly capitalised & well positioned for Solvency II
GICL reported net combined ratio of 97.8% & post tax profit for business
acquired of EUR 29.8 mio (FY11)
Defined Benefits Pension Liability excluded (liabilities retained by Groupama
SA ), significantly de-risking transaction
Metrics materially below recent sector acquisition multiples
In-market consolidation in geographies & lines of business that Ageas UK
knows well & would give rise to synergies.
Expected to be highly cash generative, supporting growth in Ageas UK
Financial
rationale of
transaction
Strong
outcome for
Ageas
shareholders
Expected to exceed Ageas’s minimum return on investment threshold of 11%
Expected to result in immediate shareholder value creation post completion
Represents excellent opportunity to profitably deploy Group capital
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 20
Financial rationale
Conclusions
Significant scale change
Good balance of manufacturing & retail distribution
Contributing to increase in GWP, net profit & ROE
With distinct attributes recognised in the UK market:
partnership, delivery & service above market norms
Mark will talk through the insurance story
Andy will cover customers & distribution
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 21
Disclaimer
Investor Day 24&25 September 2012 - Andaz Liverpool Street London 22
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of
future expectations and other forward-looking statements
that are based on management's current views and
assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or
events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in
such statements. Future actual results, performance or
events may differ materially from those in such statements
due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions,
including in particular economic conditions in Ageas’s core
markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the
frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality
and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi)
interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii)
increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and
regulations, including monetary convergence and the
Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of
central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general
competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or
national basis. In addition, the financial information
contained in this presentation, including the pro forma
information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided
for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be
indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial
condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had
these events occurred or transactions been consummated
on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be
indicative of the results of operations or financial condition
that may be achieved in the future.