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OEIC Solving the Income Problem Investec Diversified Income Fund
John Stopford – Portfolio Manager, Co-Head of Fixed Income & Currency
January 2013
Growth
Defensive
Uncorrelated
Page 2 | CONFIDENTIAL
11711
Sources: Investec Asset Management, UN
Dependency Ratios
The need for income is likely to rise...
● Aging populations will need income as they move to retirement
● The opportunities to earn real incomes are becoming more scarce
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Japan
UK
US
Western Europe
Page 3 | CONFIDENTIAL
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● Annuity rates continue to fall putting pressure on retirement income
− At beginning of 1990s a £100,000 pension pot - income of £15,640
− 2012 a 65 year old man will get £5,140
...but retirement income continues to fall
Source: Telegraph.co.uk
£15,640 £5,140
1990s 2012
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Source: Investec Asset Management
Central banks are supressing real yields
● A little bit of inflation and low borrowing costs ease the burden of too much debt
UK Base Rate UK CPI vs. BoE Target
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1694
1718
1742
1766
1790
1814
1838
1862
1886
1910
1934
1958
1982
2006
UK bank rate
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Jan-0
1
Nov-0
1
Oct-
02
Sep-0
3
Aug-0
4
Jul-05
Jun-0
6
May-0
7
Apr-
08
Mar-
09
Feb-1
0
Jan-1
1
Nov-1
1
Oct-
12
Deviation from target
Pre-Crisis average
Post-Crisis average
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Investors will have to look further afield for income
Market Yields
2.7
0.5
1.3
1.9
2.8
3.9 4.04.3
5.5
6.2
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
UK
Infl
atio
n
UK
Cash R
ate
Glo
bal G
ov't B
ond
s
UK
Gilt
s
Glo
bal E
quitie
s
UK
Eq
uitie
s
UK
Co
rpo
rate
Bo
nd
s
EM
Hard
Curr
ency D
eb
t
EM
Lo
cal D
eb
t
Glo
bal H
igh Y
ield
Sources: ONS UK CPI YoY, Bloomberg UK GBP O/N LIBOR, Merrill Lynch Global Gov’t Bond Index YTM, Merrill Lynch UK Gilt Index
YTM, MSCI Dividend Yield, FTSE Dividend Yield, Merrill Lynch UK Corporate Bond Index YTM, JP Morgan EMBIG Index YTM,
JP Morgan GBI EM Index YTM, Merrill Lynch Global High Yield Constrained Index YTM, as at 3 January 2013
Page 6 | CONFIDENTIAL
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Source: Investec Asset Management, November 2012
Equities look an increasingly attractive source of income
● But they also remain a source of volatility
Dividend Yield (%) US Dividend & Bond Yields have crossed over
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
UK France Japan Germany US Canada
Current
15 year average
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
1925
1929
1934
1939
1944
1949
1954
1958
1963
1968
1973
1978
1983
1988
1992
1997
2002
2007
2012
US long-term Treasury yield
S&P dividend yield
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-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
200 700 1200 1700
Annualis
ed 3
year
out-
perf
orm
ance
High Yield spread 3 years earlier
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
HY vs. Gilts Corporates & collateralised vs. Gilts
Sources: Investec Asset Management, Bloomberg, November 2012
High Yield bonds typically pay a risk premium
● Current yield spreads have tended to deliver decent out-performance historically
● High Yield bonds tend to be better insulated against rising rates than other bonds
Excess Return Over Treasuries Return Correlation to Gilt Returns
Page 8 | CONFIDENTIAL
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0
50
100
150
200
250
Ru
ssia
Ch
ileN
ige
ria
Pe
ruIn
do
ne
sia
Au
str
alia
Co
lom
bia
Sw
ed
en
Tu
rke
yN
ew
Ze
ala
nd
So
uth
Afr
ica
Ph
ilip
pin
es
Me
xic
oC
ze
ch
Re
pu
blic
Th
aila
nd
Slo
va
k R
ep
ub
licS
witze
rla
nd
De
nm
ark
No
rwa
yF
inla
nd
Ma
laysia
Slo
ve
nia
Po
lan
dB
razil
Ne
the
rla
nd
sM
alta
Isra
el
Au
str
iaG
erm
an
yC
yp
rus
Ca
na
da
Un
ite
d K
ing
do
mF
ran
ce
Sp
ain
Ice
lan
dB
elg
ium
Sin
ga
po
reU
nite
d S
tate
sIr
ela
nd
Po
rtu
ga
lIt
aly
Gre
ece
Ja
pa
n
Emerging Markets Developed Markets
Sources: Investec Asset Management, IMF, 2012 (estimated)
Gross government Debt/GDP (%) Yield Premium Between EM & DM Bonds
Sources: Investec Asset Management, JP Morgan Indices, November 2012
● Emerging Market risks have tended to decline
● Their bond markets still tend to pay a yield premium
Emerging Markets are no longer the world’s basket cases
Page 9 | CONFIDENTIAL
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Multi-asset approach can exploit diversified sources of yield
● Multi-asset approach aims to avoid the tail-risks associated with single asset strategies
● Exposure is actively managed to reflect evolving investment opportunities and risks
● Well placed to exploit yield potential of both developed and emerging markets
Calendar Year Returns in GBP for different assets – best to worst
Lowest
return
Highest
return
Source: Investec Asset Management, Bloomberg FTSE 100 Index Total Return for Equities; 50:50 JP Morgan EMBIG & ELMI+
index prior to 2002 then 50:50 JP Morgan EMBIG & GBI_EM for EM Bond in GBP for EM Debt; Merrill Lynch European Non-
Financial High Yield Constrained Index hedged into GBP for High Yield; 1/3rd mix of Equities, EM Debt & High Yield for Mixed
Page 10 | CONFIDENTIAL
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Investec Diversified Income Fund
● Aims to provide an attractive yield through an actively managed multi-asset portfolio
● Managed by highly experienced portfolio manager John Stopford,
backed by a specialist Multi-Asset team
● Uses the breadth and depth of Investec’s global investment capabilities across the
developed and emerging world
● Actively manages downside risk
● RDR-ready share class and part of Investec’s Managed Solutions Range
Seeking attractive income from a diversified portfolio of “global best ideas”
* The Distribution Yield reflects the amount that may be expected to be distributed over the 12 months beginning 1 October 2012, as a percentage
of the mid-market unit price of the Fund. The Underlying Yield reflects the annualised income expected to be received by the Fund. Both are based
on a snapshot of the portfolio as at 30 November 2012, are not guaranteed, will vary over time and take no account of any preliminary charge. The
Distribution Yield is higher than the Underlying Yield because the Fund’s expenses are charged to capital. This has the effec t of increasing the
Fund’s distribution (which may be taxable) whilst reducing its capital to an equivalent extent and may constrain future capital and income growth.
As at 30 November 2012 A-class I-class
Distribution yield 5.6%* 5.6%*
Underlying yield 3.9%* 4.7%*
Page 11 | CONFIDENTIAL
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Multi-Asset approach to providing diversified income
Equities
● Focus on large and
medium-cap
companies with high
and sustainable yield
High Yield debt
● High-yielding
companies with strong
balance sheets
Emerging markets debt
● Attractive yield
opportunities relative
to developed markets
debt
Indentifying attractive opportunities within leading Investec strategies
Equities High Yield Emerging Market
Debt
20-40% of Portfolio 0-50% of Portfolio 0-50% of Portfolio
Global Franchise
Universe
Temple Bar
Universe
Blended EMD
Strategy
Monthly High
Strategy
The investment team can also invest in attractive opportunities across listed property, infrastructure and the broader fixed income
market. These internal parameters are subject to change without notification necessarily to investors
Page 12 | CONFIDENTIAL
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John Stopford (22*)
Portfolio Manager
Co-Head of Fixed Income & Currency
High YieldGlobal Equities
Contrarian Equities
A highly experienced, multi-disciplinary team
Diversified Income team(A 14 strong multi-asset team with an average experience
15 years in industry, 10 years at Investec)
Diversified Income team and specialist support 26/07/2012
Clyde Rossouw (18*) – Portfolio Manager
6 team members with average experience of
11 years in industry, 6 years at Investec
* Industry experience
Strategy Leader
Core team
Chris
Freund (22*)
Seamus
Vasey (8*)
Peter Eerdmans (18*) – Head of Emerging
Markets Debt & Currency
12 team members with average experience
of 10 years in industry, 5 years at Investec
Emerging Markets Debt &
CurrencyAlastair Mundy (24*) – Head of Contrarian,
Portfolio Manager
13 team members with average experience
of 14 years in industry, 6 years at Investec
Kieran Roane(12*) – Investment Specialist
14 team members with average experience
of 11 years in industry, 5 years at Investec
Philip
Saunders (31*)
Max
King (28*)
Diversified Income
Multi-asset core team and specialist support
A highly experienced, multi-disciplinary team * Industry experience
Page 13 | CONFIDENTIAL
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-1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%
Equities
Tilts
Equity Futures
Credit
CDS
Bond Futures
EMD
FX
Portfolio
Diversified asset exposure and defensive equity holdings help
to control risk
Asset Allocation
● Expected volatility c.40% of UK equity market and c.2/3rds of High Yield
● Risk exposure managed to reflect relative value and changing economic conditions
Contributions to Expected Volatility
Source: Investec Asset Management, as at 17 December 2012
The portfolios may change significantly over a short period of time. Tilts include listed property and infrastructure
Equities, 26%
Tilts, 7%
Credit, 32%
EMD, 33%
Cash, 2%
Page 14 | CONFIDENTIAL
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Why the Investec Diversified Income Fund?
● Targets an attractive yield through an actively managed multi-asset portfolio
● Managed by highly experienced portfolio manager backed by a specialist Multi-Asset
team
● Uses the breadth and depth of Investec’s global investment capabilities across the
developed and emerging world
● Actively manages downside risk
● RDR-ready share class and part of Investec’s Managed Solutions Range
● Distribution Technology risk profiled 4
Attractive income from a diversified portfolio of “global best ideas”
Dynamic Planner is a registered trademark of Distribution Technology
OEIC Thank you www.investecassetmanagement.com
Page 16 | CONFIDENTIAL
11711
Contact details
Fergus McCarthy
Sales Director
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7597 1891
Email: [email protected]
Charles Wilson
Sales Director
Tel: + 44 (0)20 7597 2184
Email: [email protected]
Investec Asset Management
Woolgate Exchange
25 Basinghall Street
London
EC2V 5HA
United Kingdom
www.investecassetmanagement.com
Telephone calls may be recorded for training and quality assurance purposes.
Issued by Investec Asset Management, January 2013
Page 17 | CONFIDENTIAL
11711
Important information
This communication is not for general public distribution. If you are a private investor and receive it as part of a general circulation, please
contact us at +44 (0)20 7597 1900. The value of this investment, and any income generated from it, will be affected by changes in
interest rates, general market conditions and other political, social and economic developments, as well as by specific matters relating to
the assets in which it invests. The Fund’s investment objective will not necessarily be achieved and investors are not certain to make
profits; losses may be made. Past performance should not be taken as a guide to the future. Performance would be lower had initial
charges been included and will vary between different share classes dependant upon their applicable charges. Returns to individual
investors will vary in accordance with their personal tax status and tax domicile.
All the information contained in this communication is believed to be reliable but may be inaccurate or incomplete. Any opinions stated
are honestly held but are not guaranteed and should not be relied upon. This is not a buy, sell or hold recommendation for any particular
security. The portfolio may change significantly over a short period of time.
This communication is provided for general information only. It is not an invitation to make an investment nor does it constitute an offer
for sale. The full documentation that should be considered before making an investment, including the Prospectus and Key Investor
Information Documents or Offering Memorandum, which set out the fund specific risks, is available from Investec Asset Management.
This communication should not be distributed to private customers who are resident in countries where the Fund is not registered for sale
or in any other circumstances where its distribution is not authorised or is unlawful. Please visit
www.investecassetmanagement.com/registrations to check registrations by country. For Funds registered in Switzerland, the Prospectus,
Key Investor Information Documents and Report & Accounts may be obtained free of charge from the Swiss Representative and Paying
Agent, RBC Dexia Investor Services Bank S.A., Esch-sur-Alzette, Badenerstrasse 567, P.O. Box 101, CH-8066 Zurich.
In the USA, this communication should only be read by institutional investors, professional financial advisers and, at their exclusive
discretion, their eligible clients, but must not be distributed to US Persons.
THIS INVESTMENT IS NOT FOR SALE TO US PERSONS.
Telephone calls may be recorded for training and quality assurance purposes. Issued by Investec Asset Management Limited, which is
authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, January 2013.