inventory of quantitative and qualitative...
TRANSCRIPT
Report Nr.: MS 25
INVENTORY OF QUANTITATIVE AND
QUALITATIVE FUNCTIONAL LINKAGES BETWEEN
UGI COMPONENTS, BCD AND IMPACT
MILESTONE NR MS 25
Work package: 3 Partners involved: Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, University of Ljubljana
Researchers: Dagmar Haase, Nadja Kabisch, Michael Strohbach, Eler Klemen, Špela
Železnikar, Rozalija Cvejić, Marina Pintar
Description:
INVENTORY OF QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE FUNCTIONAL LINKAGES BETWEEN UGI COMPONENTS, BCD AND IMPACT • Report Milestone
NR MS 25 • WP3 • Page 1
CONTENTS
1 Introduction 6
2 Methods 9
2.1 Landscape metrics 10
2.2 Climatic and land variables 11
2.3 European Planning Families 12
3 REsults 15
3.1 Landscape metrics analysis 15
3.2 Metrics analysis 25
3.3 Land use and planning families 27
3.4 Resilience to climate change: Examples of the ULLs Berlin and Ljubljana 29
4 Discussion and conclusions 32
5 References 33
6 APPENDIX 37
6.1 Appendix 1: Input data used in the analysis 37
6.2 Appendix 2: Definition of the land use variables used in the analysis 39
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INVENTORY OF QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE FUNCTIONAL LINKAGES BETWEEN UGI COMPONENTS, BCD AND IMPACT • Report Milestone
NR MS 25 • WP3 • Page 3
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: The European Urban Audit cities and their planning families (adapted from Hansen et
al., 2015). 14
Figure 2 Mean Patch Size of green urban areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 15
Figure 3. Mean Patch Size of urban forest areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 16
Figure 4. Mean Patch Size of urban waters in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 17
Figure 5. Total Edge of green urban areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 18
Figure 6. Total Edge of urban forest areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 19
Figure 7. Total Edge of urban waters in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 20
Figure 8. Shape Index of green urban areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 21
Figure 9. Shape Index of urban forest areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 22
Figure 10. Shape Index of urban waters in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20). 23
Figure 11. Distribution of the three landscape metrics Mean Patch Size, Total Edge and Shape
Index across European cities (breaks in the distribution are 33.3 percentile, 66.6 and 99.9
percentile). 24
Figure 12. Distribution of the variable “per capita green space” across European cities (breaks in
the distribution are 33.3 percentile, 66.6 and 99.9 percentile). 25
Figure 13: Principal component analysis (PCA) analysis: similarity of cities in Europe from Urban
Atlas with regard to their climatic characteristics and their belonging to one of the five planning
traditions. 26
Figure 14: Correlations (Pearson product moment - r) depicted in a correlation plot between the
percentages of some land-uses in a defined area and various climatic characteristics of the city
area. N= 295 European cities from Urban atlas. 27
Figure 15: Differences in percentages of different land uses in EU cities between European
planning traditions (N=295 cities from Urban Atlas). 29
Figure 16: Heat island effect of Ljubljana based on mean temperature of the warmest yearly
quarter. 31
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INVENTORY OF QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE FUNCTIONAL LINKAGES BETWEEN UGI COMPONENTS, BCD AND IMPACT • Report Milestone
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 1 Landscape Metrics used for the calculation of green infrastructure component diversity
across European cities. .............................................................................................................................................................. 11
Table 2 Overview of the land use variables used in the analysis ............................................................................. 12
Table 3. Planning families and respectve EU countries grouped (adapted from Hansen et al.
2015)................................................................................................................................................................................................. 13
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1 INTRODUCTION
This milestone introduces an inventory of quantitative and qualitative functional linkages
between the components of urban green infrastructure in European cities, the green
infrastructure diversity and shape and potential impacts for green infrastructure planning. We
want to get a picture of the green infrastructure distribution across the cities of Europe and its
pattern. This pattern, respectively, gives a deeper insight into the diversity of GI and allows
conclusions for its management. Further, the purpose was to explore the interdependence of
biophysical characteristic and urban land use and its relation to the planning culture in
European cities.
The approach behind this pilot study bases on the assumption that green infrastructure
components (such as green spaces, forests, waters, see Deliverable D3.1) are not equally
distributed across European cities and planning families (Hansen et al., 2015) and, what is more,
that the populations of European cities do not all benefit from large amounts of green spaces,
forests and waters within their cities. Literature suggests that history and geographical location
play a major role in current green space extension and patterns so that Northern, Southern,
Western and Eastern European cities must differ as well as western wellfare-capitalist and
eastern post-socialist cities. Urban land use is complex interaction both with biophysical
characteristic and planning culture. Land use data is therefore crucial to explore processes
behind urban land use and its function. Politicians and planers need information on changing
proportions of areas and distribution of areas. Only in this way they are able to project
transportation and utility demand, better determine land use policy, identify future development
pressure points and areas and implement effective plans for regional development (Anderson et
al., 1976).
In order to analyse the diversity of different green infrastructure components across a large
sample of European cities, in this milestone:
• cities have been ranked according to the area the different green infrastructure
components cover;
• a set of landscape metrics have been calculated describing the diversity of the three
green infrastructure components within the city;
• the relation between urban green spaces in cities and their biophysical characteristics
based on temperature related variables were calculated and
• all calculations were used to for conclusions concerning future planning and
management of green spaces in European cities.
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Temperature and the urban heat island effect
Vegetation and trees in an urban environment can mitigate urban heat island development by
reducing summer air temperature and improve microclimates (Dimoundi et al., 2003). There are
two processes that vegetation can provide for - (a) cooling urban climates through shading and
(b) evapotranspiration (Santamouris, 2001). Studies in Australia showed that tree shade reduce
external air temperature by up to 1°C and wall surface temperature up to 9°C (Berry et al.,
2013). Also, a study in Taipei, surveyed the cool island intensity of 61 city parks, and found that
during the summer the cooling effect was stronger than in the winter (Chang et al., 2007).
Schwarz et al. (2012) conducted a study in Germany and found that the land cover classes
showed statistically significant influences for air temperature and land surface temperature:
Moreover the post-hoc test indicated same patterns for air and land surface temperature. In land
cover types discontinuous urban fabric and green urban areas (category artificial surfaces)
showed significantly different values from each other and from all other land cover types.
Differences between the agricultural and urban temperature showed a small range across the
measurements and points in time (1-1.5 K). Differences between urban and water temperature
according to land surface temperatures showed a cooling effect of -1 K and -4K for the evening
and morning (Schwarz et al., 2012). Cao et al. (2010) found that the cooling of urban green areas
depends on park size.
Therefore, larger parks result in greater surface temperature differences between urban and
park areas. Moreover, the configuration of the urban green area significantly affect cooling in the
cities. Woody vegetation results in highest temperature differences. Also, evenly distributed
woody vegetation reduces surface temperature more than clustered vegetation because the form
provides more shade for surrounding non-vegetated surfaces (Zhou et al., 2011). In the study of
Hamada et al. (2013) the results showed that the surface temperatures of green areas
(agricultural land, forests and lawns) in the daytime were lower than all other categories, except
ponds. Among green areas the temperatures were lower in the forest than above the lawn and
agricultural lands. The researchers concluded that the cooling effect of green areas can extend to
surrounding urban areas and improve the thermal environment. Moreover, older studies show
the following findings. The cooling impact of plants on air and surface temperature vary with
environmental factors and plant specific thermal and optical characteristics. Vegetation with
highly reflective surface can reduce surface temperature by reducing the amount and intensity of
thermal radiation. This may also lower local and downwind heat fluxes from cooler surfaces
(Taha, 1997).
There are also some critics about the research on the links between temperature and land use
types in cities. Kershaw et al. (2010) found a lack in gathering detailed information on land cover
and computing power, because most climate models generally do not include a representation of
urban areas. Therefore, their climate projections are likely to underestimate the heat island
phenomenon. Rohinton et al. (2012) found that, during summer, vegetation and urban land
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cover produces the largest proportionate sensible heat, while urban land cover produces the
second largest proportionate latent heat flux.
Fujibe (2011) found that there is a warming trend of 0.3-0.4°C/decade for locations with low
population density (<100 people per km2). For areas with larger population density (100-300 /
km2) the trend is 0.03-0.05°C/decade. This indicates that recent temperature increase is largely
contributed by background climate change. Moreover, Thorsson et al. (2011) found that, urban
geometry could cause large intra-urban differences in mean radiant temperature on yearly,
daytime and hourly time scales. They also found, densely built urban structure can mitigate
extreme swings in mean radiant temperature and in the generally adopted thermal comfort
index by improving outdoor comfort conditions both in winter and summer. Although urban
areas of the world only make up 2.8% of Earth`s land area cities drive global climate change
mainly because of their high demand for resources for energy use and material (UNFPA, 2007).
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2 METHODS
Now days, land use mapping and conditions mainly stand on Urban Atlas standards and
classifications that offer a high-resolution land use map of urban areas. Urban Atlas parts land
use in two major categories, land and water. Following the division of land use, we found that
areas of our interest, such as green urban areas, land without current use and sport and leisure
facilities fall within the category artificial surfaces. This is a part of the human activity non-
agricultural land category. Urban parks, trees, sport fields and areas without current use are all
part of the urban green space network in cities. These types of land use are all connected to
different biophysical characteristic.
In a first step, the different land cover classes have been extracted from the European Urban
Atlas land cover data set using GIS (Geographical Information System) technology. Land cover
data stem from the European Urban Atlas land cover dataset obtained from the European
Environmental Agency (EEA, http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/data/urban-atlas). The
data in the Urban Atlas data which refer to 305 larger urban zones which refer to commuting
zones around cities. Urban Atlas data are based on Earth observation satellite images with a
2.5 m spatial resolution and, thus provides comparable land use data for all of the European core
cities and respective larger urban zones with more than 100,000 inhabitants.
The analyses in this Milestone focus on the core cities. Core cities were delineated using the core
city layer from the Urban Audit (European Commission, 2004), which refers to current
administrative city boundaries. In this analysis, about 290 cities have been finally included due
to data availability reasons.
In the Urban Atlas, 21 thematic classes, including diverse urban fabric, transportation, industrial
and environmental classes, are distinguished (European Commission, 2011). This classification
of urban land cover and land use is, thus, finer than commonly used datasets of land-cover/land
use. In particular, the Urban Atlas includes groups of different urban fabric classes according to
density and a ‘‘land without current use’’ class, which represents brown fields. For green
assessments the classes “green urban areas” and “forest areas” are used. Unfortunately, the class
“agricultural areas, semi-natural areas and wetlands” combines land that can potentially serves
as green space (i.e. grasslands, semi-natural land) with land of low recreational value (i.e.
cropland). We therefore excluded it from our analysis. We also decided not to include Urban
Atlas class 142 “sports and leisure facilities” in our definition of urban green spaces because
“sports and leisure facilities” includes race courses and areas of sport compounds (e.g., football
stadiums, tennis courts, golf courses), which can be sealed to a high degree. In addition, nearly all
of them are not publicly available and thus not accessible to all urban residents. Both restrictions
might lead to an underestimation of both per capita green space values and its accessibility. The
Urban Atlas land use data refer to the year 2006, but a follow-up version that should be based on
2012 imagery is in preparation and expected to be published in 2015.
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2.1 Landscape metrics
Landscape metrics have been successfully used for quantitative spatial model building in
biological, habitat and landscape ecological contexts (McKenzie, Cooper, McCann, & Rogers,
2011; Uuemaa et al., 2009) and in connection with land use change analysis (DiBari, 2007), but
in most cases, have been used to characterise open and natural landscapes (Walz, 2011). For
quantification of the diversity of green infrastructure components in cities, based on a literature
review three landscape metrics (Table 1) were calculated using the FRAGSTATS manual,
formula presented by Farina (200&) in “Principles and Methods in Landscape Ecology” and
ArcGIS 10.0 (McGarigal, Cushman, & Ene, 2002):
a) the Mean Patch Size (MPS as average area in ha) of each green infrastructure component
class (equation 1),
ii
ij
n
AMPS ∑= (1)
b) the Total Edge (TE as Sum of perimeter in m) of each green infrastructure component
class, and, finally (equation 2),
∑=
=m
kiklTE
1
(2)
c) the Shape Index (calculated as average patch perimeter/patch size) (equation 3).
∑=i
i
A
L
nSI
1 (3)
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Table 1 Landscape Metrics used for the calculation of green infrastructure component diversity across European cities.
Landscape Metric Calculation Source
Mean Patch Size
ii
ij
n
AMPS ∑=
where Ai is the area of patches of category i in a map.
Farina, A. (2006) Principles and Methods in Landscape Ecology: Towards a Science of the Landscape. Springer, Dordrecht.
Total Edge ∑
=
=m
kiklTE
1
where lik = total length (m) of edge in landscape involving patch type (class) i; includes landscape boundary and background segments involving patch type i. E equals the sum of the lengths (perimeter, m) of all edge segments involving the corresponding patch type.
fragstats.help.4.2.pdf
Shape Index ∑=
i
i
i A
L
nSI
1
where ni is the number of patches of category i in a map, Li is the perimeter and Ai is the area of each patch in category i. High values indicate the presence of many patches with small interiors.
Farina, A. (2006) Principles and Methods in Landscape Ecology: Towards a Science of the Landscape. Springer, Dordrecht.
2.2 Climatic and land variables
The study includes 67 climatic variables. Appendix 1 shows the considered climatic variables
which were derived from surface temperature and precipitation data series of 1km x 1km
resolution for period 1995-2000 (WorldClim, 2015; Hijmans et al., 2005.). They were used as an
input data for the analysis. The climate variables are defined for the core city boundaries by
using licensed Arc GIS Spatial analyst extension. Further data analysis was performed using open
source programme R. The study includes 13 land use variables. Table 1 shows an overview of
land use variables. Appendix 2 shows the considered land use variables derived from European
Urban Atlas (EU, 2011) based on Urban Atlas mapping units.
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Table 2 Overview of the land use variables used in the analysis
Land use variable no. Labelling used in the correlation plot (Fig. 14)
1 Green urban areas
2 Forests
3 Forests + Green urban areas
4 Agricultural + Semi-natural + Wetlands
5 Agric., Semi-nat., Forests, Wetlands, Green urban areas
6 Water bodies
7 Construction sites
8 Ruderal areas
9 All green.
10 Discontinuous Very Low Density Urban Fabric
11 Discontinuous Medium Density Urban Fabric
12 Ratio Urban green + Forest vs. Urban Fabric
13 All green vs. Urban Fabric
A principle component analysis (PCA) was used to assess possible relations between land use
and climate variables for the EU Urban Atlas cities. The PCA is a multivariate method that
analyses a data table in which observations are described by several inter-correlated
quantitative dependent variables. The main goal of the method is to extract the important
information from the table, to represent it as a set of new orthogonal variables (principal
components) and to display the pattern of similarity of the observations and of the variables as
points in maps. The quality of the PCA model can be evaluated using cross-validation techniques
(Abdi and Williams, 2010).
2.3 European Planning Families
The results of the climate variables and their relation to land use were discussed against the framework of different European Planning Families (PF) which is one basis for a number of different other (planning) analyses in the GREEN SURGE project. The framework was developed by Hanson et all. (2015) and bases on a review of existing European classification frameworks for planning systems. Authors refer to a review of existing planning system typologies which were done by Nadin and Stead (2008). The framework is based on different aspects of spatial, legal and social planning issues and integrates the commonalities of the systems. It is further based on scientific studies and European projects with reflections on the ESPON (2007) and EU Compendium (COM 1997) classifications. Five main planning families were identified:
• Nordic/Comprehensive integrated, • British/Land use management, • Mediterranean/Urbanism
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• Central/Regional economic planning and • New Member States.
Table 3. Planning families and respective EU countries grouped (adapted from Hansen et al. 2015).
Planning family Description Countries
Nordic Comprehensive integrated: coordination of spatial impacts of public policies by the frame of strategic documents and plans
Denmark, Finland, Sweden
British Land use management: regulation of functional land use by plans and decisions about the conflicts
United Kingdom, Ireland
Mediterranean Urbanism: structural planning, urban design through rigid building regulations, zoning and codes
Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Malta, Cyprus
Central Regional economic planning: management of regional economy by public interventions into the infrastructure and development
Austria, Germany, France, Nether-lands, Belgium, Luxembourg
New Member States
Post-socialist: in the process of change
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Czech republic, Slovakia, Hungary, Slovenia, Croatia, Romania, Bulgaria
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Figure 1: The European Urban Audit cities and their planning families (adapted from Hansen et al., 2015).
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3 RESULTS
3.1 Landscape metrics analysis
For displaying the results of the complex analysis of almost 300 European cities, we have chosen
the bottom and top 20 cities in terms of the three landscape metrics, MPS, TE and Shape Index.
The results are shown within cities’ boundaries for “green urban areas” in Figures 1, 4 and 7, for
forest areas in Figure 2, 5 and 8 and for urban waters in Figures 3, 6 and 9.
Starting with the MPS, Figures 1-3 show a bias across Europe’s cities: Among the top 20 of cities
with the highest mean patch size of green urban areas are exclusively central and northern as
well as north-eastern European cities, and almost no capital cities. The only exception is Alba
Iulia in Romania. The highest mean patch size shows Karlovy Vary in Czech Republic followed by
the West Midlands (UK), Kaunas (Lithuania) and Antwerp (Belgium). Also five German cities are
among the top 20: Köln, Bonn, Weimar, Berlin and Leipzig. Particularly Berlin is also seen and
sold as the “green capital of Germany” and thus the metric justifies this image.
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Figure 2 Mean Patch Size (ha) of green urban areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
Interestingly, quite a number of (south)eastern European cities is among the top 20 which is in
accordance with a study be Larondelle et al. (2014) which found a comparatively high
contribution of inner-city areas to the overall UES performance for eastern European cities
compared to other regions in Europe. Among the bottom 20, most of the cities are from southern
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Europe, namely Greece, Italy, Mallorca (Spain) and Romania. This is not surprising as we know
that green space in southern Europe is mostly situated outside the city boundaries but it
underlines that urban planning might have little influence on the improvement and protection of
green urban area in these countries and that the city scale might not be the right/only one to be
addressed when publishing and discussing the findings of GREENSURGE.
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Figure 3. Mean Patch Size (ha) of urban forest areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
When looking at the bottom and top 20 of mean patch size of forest areas within city boundaries
we see almost the same picture as for green urban areas: Central European cities dominate, but
also the new member states of the EU such as Romanian cities with Piatra Neamt (highest MPS of
urban forest area), Arad, Targu Mures, Timisoara and Sibiu as well as Bulgarian cities with Sofia
(capital), Slovakian cities with Bratislava, Presov and Kosice or Czech Republic with Banska
Bytrica. Interestingly, again a number of German cities are among the top 20 of forest mean
patch size: Freiburg, Augsburg, Gottingen and Wiesbaden (all in western Germany). Also Vienna
is among them. Surprisingly, only two Scandinavian cities is among the top 20, Umea and
Uppsala (both in Sweden).
In terms of the bottom 20, the picture is a bit more diverse than for the mean patch size of green
urban area: We have again southern European cities here but also cities in the sparsely-wooded,
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coastal Netherlands (Amsterdam, Rotterdam), and in the agricultural east of Poland (Rzeszów)
as well as in coastal UK (Bristol, Leicester, Portsmouth). Overall, cities in vicinity to the coast
exhibit low patch sizes of forest area.
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Figure 4. Mean Patch Size (ha) of urban waters in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
Concerning the water areas, among the top 20 are the coastal cities across Europe be they along
the Baltic Sea, the North Sea, the Black Sea or the Mediterranean. Conversely, continental
settings characterise the bottom 20 cities for mean patch size of urban waters.
When comparing the top and bottom 20 list of the total edge (TE) of the green urban area across
European cities with those for the mean patch size discussed above, we find a completely
different picture: Here, among the top 20 many (large) capital cities can be found such as
Warsaw, Roma, Stockholm, Madrid, Vilnius, Budapest and Vienna which means TE is clearly
depending on space/area and thus larger cities have more niche and ecotone habitat potential
than smaller ones. This also might mean that these cities have more niches for species in these
transition spaces. But this remains an hypothesis so far. In terms of green space provision and
planning we hypothesize that capital cities are often touristic cities and smaller green spaces
have been created to give the people places close to the sites to sit and to relax.
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liaS
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iet
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tes
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ien
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aH
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ge
(m)
Gre
en U
rban
Are
as B
ott
om
20
and
To
p 2
0 E
U
Co
re c
itie
s
Figure 5. Total Edge (m) of green urban areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
Concerning the bottom 20, again southern European cities dominate among them the city with
the highest MPS of urban green areas, Alba Iulia in Romania. Having a low TE value might mean
two things: a) the city has an overall low amount of urban green area according to a smaller size
or b) the green space is clumped into single large patches and thus the “contact zone” between
green space and others land uses is small.
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0
2000000
4000000
6000000
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ge
(m)
Fo
rest
Are
as B
ott
om
20
and
To
p 2
0 E
U C
ore
cit
ies
Figure 6. Total Edge (m) of urban forest areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
When looking the ranking of the TE of forest areas within the city borders we find the expected
picture of having many Northern European cities in the top 20 (mainly from Sweden) but also
southern European cities such as Roma, Nice, Coimbra or Perugia. Among those with the lowest
TE are many southern European cities, too, which either miss forest area overall or have it
packed into one or two patches (like a “city forest”).
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0
200000
400000
600000
800000
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1400000
1600000
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tes
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ge
(m)
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er
Are
as B
ott
om
20
and
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p 2
0 E
U C
ore
cit
ies
Figure 7. Total Edge (m) of urban waters in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
The TE of the urban water areas provides a nice picture for all landscape ecologists and
landscape scientists: Here those cities in regions with glacial past and respective channel lakes
show the highest values regardless their belonging to Northern or Eastern Europe as well as
coastal cities in Southern Europe. Conversely, inland cities show low values. There are some
exceptions like Córdoba or Strasbourg which are situated along large rivers.
Coming finally to the shape index of green urban areas, urban forest areas and waters, we overall
find less differences in the values for all three green and blue space classes except the highest
values which are extreme in all three cases: Thessaloniki in terms of green urban area, Nijmegen
in terms of urban forest and Stockholm in terms of urban waters. As the shape index equals the
average area divided by patch for the respective green and blue infrastructure classes, a high
shape index means that the form of the respective land use class is spread/fragmented and less
compact compared to cities with low shape indices.
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0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
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ape
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ex G
reen
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an A
reas
Bo
tto
m 2
0 an
d T
op
20
EU
Co
re c
itie
s
Figure 8. Shape Index of green urban areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
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0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
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isoa
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ures
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ké B
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bra
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sgow
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ckN
ijmeg
en
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ape
Ind
ex F
ore
st A
reas
Bo
tto
m 2
0 an
d T
op
20
EU
Co
re c
itie
s
Figure 9. Shape Index of urban forest areas in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ioan
nina
Kos
zalin
Suw
alki
Trn
ava
Giu
rgiu
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kesf
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vár
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sbad
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ouen
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seld
orf
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apes
tN
yíre
gyhá
zaM
ainz
l'Aqu
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écs
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owic
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re /
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mer
fors
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tinge
nK
ielc
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erin
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ccio
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toW
est
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land
s ur
ban
area
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enza
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linn
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tand
erM
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chT
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mo
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ofia
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ante
/Ala
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Sh
ape
Ind
ex
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er
Are
as B
ott
om
20
and
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p 2
0 E
U C
ore
cit
ies
Figure 10. Shape Index of urban waters in European cities (bottom 20 and top 20).
The three landscape metrics are displayed again in their spatial patterns for all European cities involved
in the calculation in Figure 10.
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Mean Patch Size Total Edge Shape index
Forest Areas
Water areas
Figure 11. Distribution of the three landscape metrics Mean Patch Size, Total Edge and Shape Index across European cities
(breaks in the distribution are 33.3 percentile, 66.6 and 99.9 percentile).
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When comparing the picture of diversity of green and blue urban infrastructure across European cities with the variable of “per capita green space” (Fig. 11) the patterns of urban green areas fit best meaning that there where we have low MPS of green space also the per capita values are low and vice versa. This might be an indication that biological and socio-cultural diversity could be spatially linked.
Figure 12. Distribution of the variable “per capita green space” across European cities (breaks in the distribution are 33.3
percentile, 66.6 and 99.9 percentile).
3.2 Metrics analysis The results of the analysis of climatic variables an land use are discussed around the following themes:
• similarity of the cities based on their climate characteristics,
• correlation between the land use and the climate characteristics,
• relation between the land use and the planning families, and
• resilience to climate change: examples of Berlin and Ljubljana.
Similarity of the cities based on their climate characteristics
In this chapter we represent the similarity of the European cities based on their climate characteristics.
The city sample is represented by 295 European cities. Figure 2 visualises how cities are similar with
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regard to their climatic characteristics. The x-axis (PC1) shows cities with high average temperatures. The
ones with lower average temperatures are shown at the right part of the figure and are generally northern
European cities such as Helsinki, Uppsala and Stockholm. At the left part of the figure we can observe cities
have higher average temperature, which are generally southern cities such as Sevilla, Cordoba and Bari.
There are no extreme clusters among the sample of the cities, although extremes are less numerous and
most cities resemble semi high temperatures. The y-axis (PC2) axis distributes cities with regard to their
precipitation. Continental climate cities are drier and are show at the bottom part of Figure 2 while wetter,
ocean climate cities at the upper part of PC2 axis of the Figure 2.
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15
-50
510
PC1
PC
2
Wien
GrazLinz
Salzburg
Innsbruck
Bruxelles/BrusselAntwerpenGent
CharleroiLiege
Brugge Namur
Sof ia
Plov div
VarnaBurgas
Plev enRuseVidin
Lef kosia
PrahaBrno
Ostrav aPlzenUsti nad Labem
Olomouc
LiberecCeske Budejov ice
Hradec Kralov ePardubice
Zlin
Jihlav a
Berlin
Hamburg
Munchen
Koln
Frankf urt am Main
Stuttgart
Leipzig
Dresden
DusseldorfBremen
Hannov er
Nurnberg
Wuppertal
Bielef eld
Halle an der SaaleMagdeburg
Wiesbaden
Gottingen
Darmstadt
Trier
Freiburg im Breisgau
Regensburg
Frankf urt (Oder)
Weimar
Schwerin
Erf urt
AugsburgBonn
Karlsruhe
Monchengladbach
Mainz
Kiel
KoblenzKobenhav n
AarhusOdense
Aalborg
Tallinn
Tartu
Madrid
Barcelona
Valencia
Sev illa
Malaga
Murcia
Las PalmasValladolid
Palma di Mallorca
Santiago de Compostela
Vitoria/Gasteiz
Ov iedoPamplona/Iruna
Santander
Toledo
Badajoz
Logrono
Cordoba
Alicante/Alacant
Vigo
Gijon
Santa Cruz de Tenerif e Helsinki
Tampere
Turku
Oulu
Ly onToulouse
Strasbourg
BordeauxNantes
Lille
Montpellier
Saint-Etienne
Le Hav reRennes
Amiens
Rouen
NancyMetz
Reims
Orleans
Dijon
Poitiers
Clermont-Ferrand
Caen
Limoges
Besancon
Grenoble
Ajaccio
Toulon Tours
Aix-en-Prov ence
Marseille
Nice
Lens-Liev in
Thessaloniki
Patra
Irakleio
Larisa
Volos
Ioannina
Kav ala
Kalamata
Budapest
MiskolcNy iregy haza
Pecs
Debrecen
Szeged
Gy orKecskemetSzekesf eherv ar
Dublin
Cork
Limerick
Galway
Waterf ord
RomaMilano
Napoli
TorinoPalermo
Genov a
Firenze
Bari Bologna
Catania
Venezia
VeronaCremona
Trento
Trieste
Perugia
Ancona
l'Aquila
Pescara Campobasso
Caserta
Taranto
Potenza
Catanzaro Reggio di Calabria
Sassari
Cagliari
Padov a BresciaModena
Foggia
Salerno
VilniusKaunasPanev ezy s
Luxembourg
Riga
Liepaja
VallettaGozo
s' Grav enhageAmsterdam
RotterdamUtrecht
Eindhov enTilburg Groningen
EnschedeArnhemHeerlen
Breda
Nijmegen
Apeldoorn
Leeuwarden
WarszawaLodz
Krakow
WroclawPoznan
Gdansk
Szczecin
By dgoszcz
Lublin
KatowiceBialy stokKielce
Torun
Olszty n
Rzeszow
Opole
Gorzow Wielkopolski
Zielona Gora
Jelenia Gora
Nowy SaczSuwalki
Konin
Czestochowa
Radom
Plock
Koszalin
Lisboa
OportoBraga
FunchalCoimbra
Setubal
Ponta Delgada
Av eiro
Faro
Bucuresti
Cluj-Napoca
Timisoara
Craiov a
Braila
Oradea
Bacau
Arad
SibiuTargu Mures Piatra Neamt
CalarasiGiurgiu
Alba Iulia
Stockholm
Goteborg
Malmo Jonkoping
UmeaUppsala
LinkopingOrebro
Ljubljana
Maribor
Bratislav a Kosice
Banska By strica
Nitra
Presov
Zilina
Trnav a
Trencin
London
Birmingham
Glasgow
Liv erpoolEdinburgh
Manchester
Cardif f
Shef f ield
Bristol
Belf ast
Newcastle upon Ty ne
Leicester
Derry
Aberdeen
Cambridge
Exeter
Lincoln
Portsmouth
WorcesterCov entry
Kingston-upon-Hull
Stoke-on-trent
Wolv erhampton
Nottingham
Planning families / traditions
CentralNew memberMediterraneanNordicBritish
Scores
BerlinBari
Malmo
LjubljanaEdinburgh
Figure 13: Principal component analysis (PCA) analysis: similarity of cities in Europe from Urban Atlas with regard to their
climatic characteristics and their belonging to one of the five planning traditions.
Correlation between land use and climate characteristics
After exploring the similarities of cities in Europe to their climatic characteristics we explored
the corresponding variabilities of the PCA between them. As shown in Figure 3 the most
important variability was annual precipitation. As shown in Figure 4 the correlation between
selected climatic variables and selected land use variables for the Urban Atlas sample cities are
not very high ranging between 0.4 and -0.6. Correlations are higher for temperature-related
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variables and lower for precipitation-related variables. Relatively high negative correlations
between percentage of forests and green urban areas and the temperatures - meaning that the
larger the percentage of these areas is the lower are the temperatures. Moreover relatively high
positive correlation could be observed between the percentages of agricultural areas and
construction sites and the temperatures – larger percentage of these areas, higher the
temperatures. Some correlations, e.g. for forests and urban green areas with temperatures have
yearly dynamics – lower correlations for summer and higher for winter.
Correlation plot
Ratio All green vs. Urb. Fabr.Ratio Urban green+Forest vs. Urb. Fabr.
Discont. Medium Dens. Urb. Fabr.Discont. Very Low Dens. Urb. Fabr.
All greenRuderal areas
Construction sitesWater bodies
Agric., Semi-nat., Wetl., Forests, Green urbanAgricult. + Semi-nat. + Wetlands
Forests + Green urban areasForests
Green urban areas
Ann
ual M
ean
Tem
p.M
ean
Diu
rnal
Ran
geIs
othe
rmal
ityT
empe
ratu
re S
easo
nalit
yM
ax T
emp.
of
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mes
t M
onth
Min
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p. o
f C
olde
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onth
Tem
p. A
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geM
ean
Tem
p. o
f W
ette
st Q
uart
.M
ean
Tem
p. o
f D
riest
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rt.
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n T
emp.
of
War
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t Q
uar.
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n T
emp.
of
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dest
Qua
rt.
Ave
r. M
in.
Tem
p. J
anA
ver.
Min
. T
emp.
Feb
Ave
r. M
in.
Tem
p. M
arA
ver.
Min
. T
emp.
Apr
Ave
r. M
in.
Tem
p. M
ayA
ver.
Min
. T
emp.
Jun
Ave
r. M
in.
Tem
p. J
ulA
ver.
Min
. T
emp.
Aug
Ave
r. M
in.
Tem
p. S
epA
ver.
Min
. T
emp.
Oct
Ave
r. M
in.
Tem
p. N
ovA
ver.
Min
. T
emp.
Dec
Ave
r. M
ax.
Tem
p. J
anA
ver.
Max
. T
emp.
Feb
Ave
r. M
ax.
Tem
p. M
arA
ver.
Max
. T
emp.
Apr
Ave
r. M
ax.
Tem
p. M
ayA
ver.
Max
. T
emp.
Jun
Ave
r. M
ax.
Tem
p. J
ulA
ver.
Max
. T
emp.
Aug
Ave
r. M
ax.
Tem
p. S
epA
ver.
Max
. T
emp.
Oct
Ave
r. M
ax.
Tem
p. N
ovA
ver.
Max
. T
emp.
Dec
Ave
r. M
ean.
Tem
p. J
anA
ver.
Mea
n. T
emp.
Feb
Ave
r. M
ean.
Tem
p. M
arA
ver.
Mea
n. T
emp.
Apr
Ave
r. M
ean.
Tem
p. M
ayA
ver.
Mea
n. T
emp.
Jun
Ave
r. M
ean.
Tem
p. J
ulA
ver.
Mea
n. T
emp.
Aug
Ave
r. M
ean.
Tem
p. S
epA
ver.
Mea
n. T
emp.
Oct
Ave
r. M
ean.
Tem
p. N
ovA
ver.
Mea
n. T
emp.
Dec
Ann
ual P
reci
p.P
reci
p. o
f W
ette
st M
onth
Pre
cip.
of
Drie
st M
onth
Pre
cip.
Sea
sona
lity
Pre
cip.
of
Wet
test
Qua
rt.
Pre
cip.
of
Drie
st Q
uart
.P
reci
p. o
f W
arm
est
Qua
rt.
Pre
cip.
of
Col
dest
Qua
r.P
reci
p. J
anP
reci
p. F
ebP
reci
p. M
arP
reci
p. A
prP
reci
p. M
ayP
reci
p. J
unP
reci
p. J
ulP
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p. A
ugP
reci
p. S
epP
reci
p. O
ctP
reci
p. N
ovP
reci
p. D
ec
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
Figure 14: Correlations (Pearson product moment - r) depicted in a correlation plot between the percentages of some land-
uses in a defined area and various climatic characteristics of the city area. N= 295 European cities from Urban atlas.
3.3 Land use and planning families
The relation between the different shares of land use in the European cities concerning their
related planning families (PF) of respective countries is displayed in Figure 5. The share of green
urban areas is larger in cities related to the Nordic and British PF within cities (>5%) compared
to other planning families (<5%). A quarter of Nordic PF cities reach green urban area cover of
about 10-20%, which is more than in British PF (10-15%) and others (5-12%). Concerning share
of forest areas, cities grouped to the Nordic PF have larger average percent of forest areas within
cities (>12%) compared to the other PF (<8%). A quarter of Nordic PF cities areas of urban
forests cover 35-78%. The lowest values can be found for cities of the British PF. Here, average
percent of urban forests in cities is less than 2%. The highest variability in percent of forest areas
has the Nordic PF, followed by New Member PF and Central PF.
For the agricultural, semi-natural areas and wetlands, notably cities of the Mediterranean PF
have larger average percent of agricultural and semi-natural areas within cities (appr. 30%)
compared to other PF (15-20%). In a quarter of Mediterranean PF cities agricultural, semi-
natural areas and wetlands cover 58-85%, which is more than in New Member PF (38-70%) and
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British PF that has the lowest (20-38%). The highest variability in percent of agricultural and
semi-natural areas has the Mediterranean PF, followed by New Member PF.
The share of construction area is in all PF have approx. 1%. A quarter of Mediterranean PF
construction areas cover 1.5-3%, which is more than in all other PF (approx. 2%). There are no
considerable differences between variability among all PF.
All PF have an average share of ruderal areas within cities <2%. In a quarter of Mediterranean
PF cities ruderal areas cover 3-6%, this is more than in all other PF (approx. 4%). There are no
considerable differences between variability among all PF.
Concerning all green areas, notably cities of Central, Mediterranean, New Member and Noric PF
have a similar average share (appr. 30%) compared to a lower share in cities of British PF
(20%). Cities from the British PF show the lowest share of all green areas (35-50%). There are
no considerable differences between variability among all PF, except for British PF.
Concerning residential space in cities expressed as continuous urban fabric in Urban Atlas land
cover classes, cities in Central, Mediterranean and New Member PF cities have a similar average
percent of continuous urban fabric within cities (8-11%) and British and Nordic PF cities have a
similar average percent of continuous urban fabric within cities (approx.2%). In a quarter of
New Member PF cities areas of continuous urban fabric cover 18-38%, which is more than in all
other PFs, where the highest is the Mediterranean PF with approx. 30%. There are considerable
differences between New Member and Mediterranean PF compared to others PF.
In less dense urban fabric classes such as the discontinuous dense urban fabric cities from
Central, Mediterranean, New Member and Nordic PF have smaller average shares of (<15%)
compared to British PF cities where the share is approx. 25%. In a quarter of British PF cities
discontinuous dense urban fabric covers 30-45%, which is more than in all other PF where the
highest shares have Mediterranean and New Member PF cities with approx. 18-30%. There are
considerable differences between British PF compared to others PF.
Finally, in the low dense urban fabric land cover - the discontinuous dense urban fabric
(medium, low, very low) it is cities from the British and Nordic PF which have a similar shares of
appr. 15% compared to Central and Mediterranean PF cities with approx. 5% and New Member
with approx. 2%. In a quarter of British PF cities discontinuous dense urban fabric covers 18-
33%, followed by Nordic PF with 23-32% cover.
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Brit
ish
Cen
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% of urban green areas
% a
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40
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% a
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% of agricultural and seminatural areas
% a
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% of all green areas
% a
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Brit
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% a
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510
15
2025
3035
% of discontinuous urban fabric (medium, low , very low )
% a
rea
Figure 15: Differences in percentages of different land uses in EU cities between European planning traditions (N=295 cities
from Urban Atlas).
3.4 Resilience to climate change: Examples of the ULLs Berlin and Ljubljana
We discuss the predicted climate changes from Table 2 only for the city relevant climate change
predictions – surface temperature and precipitation change. The two climatic variables are dis-
cussed through perspective of planning families and land use categories.
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Overall the results show the surface temperature has a positive correlation with the share of
agricultural, semi-natural areas and wetlands (higher share higher temperature), while share of
forest has a negative correlation (higher share lower temperature). However these results are
not conclusive to understand certain agricultural plants lower local surface temperature as
explained in other scientific literature (Hamada et al., 2013; Berry et al., 2013; Zhou et al., 2011).
This should be further discussed in the forthcoming GREEN SURGE deliverables.
Ljubljana and Berlin have similar average temperatures, although Ljubljana receives more
annual precipitation.
Berlin has approx. 15% of forest within the city, which is close to the average share of forests in
the cities within the Central PF. Based on the share of agricultural, semi-natural areas and wet-
lands (less than 7%) Berlin falls within the first quarter of the Central PF. Berlin has a low share
of agricultural and semi-natural land within city boundaries. Therefore it is expected that the
influence of surface temperature rise will be less expressed as would be with lower share of
agricultural, semi-natural areas and wetlands. It is expected that the average local temperature
rise will not be as high as predicted for entire Central and Eastern Europe. As above, the results
are not conclusive and should be developed further.
Ljubljana has a high share of forest (40%) within the city in comparison to other cities in the
New Member PF and is therefore comparable with some of higher ranked cities from the Nordic
PF. Although Ljubljana has a high share of agricultural and semi-natural land (approx. 27%)
within city boundaries the predicted increases in warm temperature extremes might in future be
compensated by its extremely high share of forest within the city. Nevertheless, we should not
neglect the fact the predicted decreases in summer precipitation might influence the vitality of
forests and decrease their ecosystem value. The predicted decrease of economic value of forest
in Ljubljana is negligible as the forests within the city area are not used as economic asset.
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Planning family Land use Heath island
Central/ Regional economic planning
BE
RLI
N
New member states in the process of change
LJU
BLJA
NA
Figure 16: Heat island effect of Ljubljana based on mean temperature of the warmest yearly quarter.
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4 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
The results of this study about the diversity of green and blue infrastructure across a large
number of European cities have clearly shown that there is not “the one parameter/variable”
that explains this diversity and its spatial patterns. Using the three landscape metrics of mean
patch size, total edge and shape index we were able to uncover that there is a number of factors
that determines green infrastructure diversity: Situation within Europe, glacial landscape
formation, history of land use and last but not least current planning. All these factors contribute
to either positive or negative consequences for urban green infrastructure provision in the cities
itself. A more detailed analysis of the single green space classes below the current separation
level between “green urban areas”, “forest area” and “urban waters” would permit to distinguish
the importance of the single factors for each class/type of green infrastructure. Thus, the glacial
past is more important for the total edge and contact zone of blue infrastructure than current
planning. The latter, vice versa, determines the total edge of urban parks in capital cities which is
clearly a man-made/induced setting. For green infrastructures like gardens, cemeteries, green
roof tops or wall green such a patterns and diversity analysis is still pending.
Similarity of the cities based on their climate characteristics show there here are no extreme
clusters among the sample of the cities. Although extremes are less numerous and most cities
resemble semi high temperatures and are significantly distributed with regard to their annual
precipitation. Correlation between the land use and the climate characteristics is not very high.
Relatively high positive correlations between percentage of forests and green urban areas and
the temperatures - meaning that the larger the percentage of these areas the lower are the
temperatures. Moreover relatively high positive correlation is observed between the
percentages of agricultural areas, semi-natural areas and wetlands and the temperatures – larger
percentage of these areas, higher the temperatures. However this correlation should be
discussed further also regarding the available literature. Cities belonging to Nordic PF has the
largest average share of forest areas within cities (>12%) compared to the other PF but also the
highest variability share of forest areas, followed by New Member PF and Central PF. Cities of
Mediterranean PF have on average larger shares of agricultural areas, semi-natural areas and
wetlands (appr. 30%) to other PF (15-20%).
Ljubljana and Berlin have similar average temperatures, although Ljubljana receives more
annual precipitation. Berlin has a relatively high share of forest and a low share of agricultural
areas, semi-natural areas and wetlands within the city. Therefore the capacity on lowering
surface temperatures by agricultural areas, semi-natural areas and wetlands lowering is
expected to be small. Ljubljana has a high share of forest and agricultural areas, semi-natural
areas and wetlands within the city. Therefore the influence of forest on lowering the surface
temperature and the influence of agricultural areas, semi-natural areas and wetlands on
increasing the surface temperature, is expected to be higher, but mutually compensated.
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5 REFERENCES
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6 APPENDIX
6.1 Appendix 1: Input data used in the analysis
Appendix 1: Input data used in the analysis.
BIO1 Annual Mean Temperature
BIO2 Mean Diurnal Range (Mean of monthly (max temp - min temp))
BIO3 Isothermality (BIO2/BIO7) (* 100)
BIO4 Temperature Seasonality (standard deviation *100)
BIO5 Max Temperature of Warmest Month
BIO6 Min Temperature of Coldest Month
BIO7 Temperature Annual Range (BIO5-BIO6)
BIO8 Mean Temperature of Wettest Quarter
BIO9 Mean Temperature of Driest Quarter
BIO10 Mean Temperature of Warmest Quarter
BIO11 Mean Temperature of Coldest Quarter
BIO12 Annual Precipitation
BIO13 Precipitation of Wettest Month
BIO14 Precipitation of Driest Month
BIO15 Precipitation Seasonality (Coefficient of Variation)
BIO16 Precipitation of Wettest Quarter
BIO17 Precipitation of Driest Quarter
BIO18 Precipitation of Warmest Quarter
BIO19 Precipitation of Coldest Quarter
PREC1 Average monthly precipitation (mm)jan
PREC2 Average monthly precipitation (mm)feb
PREC3 Average monthly precipitation (mm)mar
PREC4 Average monthly precipitation (mm)apr
PREC5 Average monthly precipitation (mm)maj
PREC6 Average monthly precipitation (mm)jun
PREC7 Average monthly precipitation (mm)jul
PREC8 Average monthly precipitation (mm)avg
PREC9 Average monthly precipitation (mm)sep
PREC10 Average monthly precipitation (mm)okt
PREC11 Average monthly precipitation (mm)nov
PREC12 Average monthly precipitation (mm)dec
TMIN1 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)jan
TMIN2 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)feb
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Appendix 1: Input data used in the analysis.
BIO1 Annual Mean Temperature
TMIN3 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)mar
TMIN4 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)apr
TMIN5 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)maj
TMIN6 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)jun
TMIN7 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)jul
TMIN8 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)avg
TMIN9 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)sep
TMIN10 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)okt
TMIN11 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)nov
TMIN12 tmin = average monthly minimum temperature (°C * 10)dec
TMAX1 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)jan
TMAX2 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)feb
TMAX3 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)mar
TMAX4 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)apr
TMAX5 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)maj
TMAX6 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)jun
TMAX7 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)jul
TMAX8 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)avg
TMAX9 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)sep
TMAX10 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)okt
TMAX11 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)nov
TMAX12 tmax = average monthly maximum temperature (°C * 10)dec
TMEAN1 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)jan
TMEAN2 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)feb
TMEAN3 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)mar
TMEAN4 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)apr
TMEAN5 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)maj
TMEAN6 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)jun
TMEAN7 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)jul
TMEAN8 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)avg
TMEAN9 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)sep
TMEAN10 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)okt
TMEAN11 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)nov
TMEAN12 tmean = average monthly mean temperature (°C * 10)dec
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6.2 Appendix 2: Definition of the land use variables used in the analysis
Land use
variable no.
Labelling used in the
correlation plot (Fig. 5)
Urban Atlas
No.
Vector data
code
Urban Atlas mapping unit
nomenclature
1 Green urban areas 1.4.1 14100 Green urban areas
2 Forests 3 30000 Forests
3 Forests + Green urban
areas COMPOSED COMPOSED COMPOSED
4 Agricult. + Semi-nat. +
Wetlands 2 20000
Agricultural areas, semi-natural
areas and wetlands
5
Agric., Semi-nat., Forests,
Wetlands, Green urban
areas
COMPOSED COMPOSED
Agricultural areas, semi-natural
areas and wetlands + Forests +
Green urban areas
6 Water bodies 5 50000 Water bodies
7 Construction sites 1.3.3 13300 Construction sites
8 Ruderal areas 1.3 / Mine, dump and construction sites
9 All green. COMPOSED COMPOSED COMPOSED
10 Discont. Very Low Dens.
Urb Fabr. 1.1.2.4 11240
Discontinuous Very Low Density
Urban Fabric (S.L. < 10%)
11 Discont. Medioum Dens.
Urb. Fabr. 1.1.2.2 11220
Discontinuous Medium Density
Urban Fabric (S.L.: 30% - 50%)
12 Ratio Urban green +
Forest vs. Urb. Fabr. COMPOSED COMPOSED COMPOSED
13 All green vs. Urb. Fabr. COMPOSED COMPOSED COMPOSED