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i Inventory Improvement Project UK Landfill Methane Emissions Model Final Report to Defra and DECC January 2011

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Page 1: Inventory Improvement Project UK Landfill Methane ...sciencesearch.defra.gov.uk/Document.aspx?Document=... · Ann Ballinger Hans Oonk Approved by: Dr Dominic Hogg (Director) Contact

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Inventory Improvement Project – UK

Landfill Methane Emissions Model Final Report to Defra and DECC

January 2011

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Report for:

Rebecca Peberdy, Lead Contractor Operations Manager, AEA

Stephen Nelson, Defra.

Helen Champion, DECC

Prepared by:

Dr Dominic Hogg

Ann Ballinger

Hans Oonk

Approved by:

Dr Dominic Hogg

(Director)

Contact Details

Eunomia Research & Consulting Ltd

37 Queen Square

Bristol

BS1 4QS

Tel: 0117 9172250

Web: www.eunomia.co.uk

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Eunomia Research & Consulting, with Hans Oonk of OonKay, was asked to review the

MELMod model used to model emissions from landfilling of waste in the UK. The

Specification asked for the review to:

identify and correct any errors, inaccuracies, inconsistencies or out-of-date

information and reduce any areas of uncertainty. Where accurate data and

assumptions are not currently available, estimates of probable ranges should be

provided.

It did not request a review of whether the modelling approach was the right one. The aim was

upon improving data and parameters within the existing model.1

The modelling of landfills is not an exact science, least of all when the attempt is made to

model at a national level. MELMod is a multi-phase model (as is the IPCC‟s Excel model)

which assumes that specific waste materials can be „deconstructed‟ into pools of rapidly,

medium, and slowly degrading carbon (the IPCC, by comparison, assigns a specific decay rate

to each material). Degradation in landfills is likely to be determined partly by the nature of the

materials, but also partly by the mix of materials landfilled, partly by the way in which some

materials are landfilled (either as large homogenous quantities of material, or as „material

mixtures‟) and partly by the local conditions in the landfill itself.

E.1.0 Activity Data A review of the model reveals that insufficient use has been made of the empirical data which

has been generated over the past fifteen years or so (it is also unclear where data from pre-

1995 years originated). The same applies to waste composition.

We have drawn upon data from all 4 countries of the UK to generate a revised dataset for the

last 15 years. Figure E. 1 shows the difference between the current MELMod data and the

proposed figures for municipal solid waste (MSW) (likely to be referred to, henceforth, as

„local authority managed waste‟). Probably reflecting the lack of updating, as well as the fact

that it was not known (when the data was last examined closely) that the landfill tax would

increase as it has done, and that the Landfill Allowances Schemes would have the effect they

have had, the data within MELMod overestimates quantities landfilled in recent years.

The divergence between the proposed figures and those in MELMod regarding non-MSW (i.e.

wastes from commerce, industry, construction and demolition) are even greater than for MSW

(see Figure E. 2). Whilst the data upon which our estimates are based remain of poor quality,

these figures represent an improvement upon the data in MELMod precisely because they

make effective use of those datasets which do exist.

We also built into our proposed changes projections of the quantity of landfilled waste, based

upon work undertaken by HM Treasury and Defra. These show a decline in landfilled MSW

and non-MSW up to the years 2019 and 2015, respectively.

1 At present, MELMod estimates emissions of methane on the basis of parameters used to characterise, for

example, landfill gas capture and oxidation. It does not draw upon data (proxy or otherwise) regarding actual

captures of landfill gas. Our work has centred on changes to the existing model, not proposals for an altogether

different approach.

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These proposals for change, as well as our proposals for a revised waste composition, were

accepted, and have been incorporated within MELMod. As a consequence of this, it became

necessary to develop a „smoothed‟ trajectory for landfilled waste to eliminate discontinuities

in the quantity of degradable organic carbon being landfilled in years before our projections

for MSW and non-MSW commenced (1995 and 1997 respectively).

Figure E. 1: Comparison between MELMod and Proposed

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Proposed revision

Figure E. 2 Landfilled Waste, Excluding MSW

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Proposed Revision

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E.2.0 Waste Characteristics The MELMod data regarding the moisture content and the carbon constituents of the waste

were reviewed. As far as biodegradable carbon is concerned, one main source of error in the

data currently used in MELMod is the implied assumption that where degradation is

concerned, it is sufficient to look only at cellulose and hemicellulose content. This is not

correct where materials such as food waste are concerned. In addition, some internal

inconsistencies in the modelling of the degradation of specific wastes were apparent.

These were addressed through reviewing the literature regarding moisture content of specific

biodegradable waste materials and their biochemical constituents (i.e., their fat, sugar,

protein, cellulose, hemicelluloses, lignin, etc. content).

We recommended a revised set of values for moisture and carbon content (as well as the

carbon constituents). These were accepted and incorporated into MELMod.

E.3.0 Degradable Organic Carbon There are ranges of values in the literature for the proportion of organic carbon which is likely

to degrade in landfills. Some studies make use of one value for all materials. However, if the

model is intended to have functionality at the material specific level, then this does not seem

appropriate given that different materials clearly behave differently.

We have reviewed the literature with a view to generating an internally consistent set of

figures for MSW and for C&I wastes. We recommended that the degradable proportion of

carbon be calculated through reference to the lignin and non-lignin fractions of the specific

waste streams. The degradation factors proposed are in line with evidence from work by

Eleazer et al.2 There is an ongoing debate regarding these values, and we expect this to

continue. We believe, however, that the proposal represents an improvement upon the

figures currently within MELMod. The proposal was accepted and the figures in MELMod were

changed accordingly.

E.4.0 Decay Constants (k-values) There are, generally, two approaches to dealing with the rate constants which determine the

pace of decay of biodegradable wastes in landfill. One is to treat the whole mass of waste as

degrading at some „average‟ rate, the other effectively assumes a range of k-values, either for

specific materials or, as in MELMod, for different fractions of each material. Neither approach

is perfect, but the latter at least has the merit of being capable of reflecting the effect on

emissions of (changes in) the composition of waste being landfilled.

MELMod splits specific materials into rapid, medium and slow degrading fractions. The

difference between the rates in the latest version of MELMod is relatively slight, with the rapid

degrading fraction being only marginally above the rates typically used to estimate the rate of

decay for „mixed waste‟ in single phase models. Furthermore, the assignment of carbon to the

rapid, medium and slow degradation categories is, in MELMod, unrelated to specific

constituents of waste.

We made two recommendations:

2 Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid Waste

Components in Laboratory Scale Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-917

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1) that the rate constants should be linked to different constituents of the waste; and

2) that as far as rate constants were concerned, the IPPC defaults should be used

(reflecting the fact that, for the rapidly degrading fraction in particular, the rate in

MELMod appears much lower than is the case in most other multi-phase models, and

is close to the average decay rate in models representing mixed waste).

The first recommendation was accepted and reflected in the modelling of the degradation of

specific waste components. The second recommendation was not accepted.

E.5.0 Assignment of Waste to Specific Landfill Types MELMod allows users to specify up to 5 different landfill Types with different performance

levels. Landfilled waste is apportioned across these different Types. Their description

suggests they should behave differently, but for 3 of them, the key behavioural parameters

(gas extraction efficiency and oxidation rate – see below) are identical. Recommendations

regarding how to apportion waste across different site Types are only meaningful if the Types

correspond to sites with different characteristics. The interplay between the classification by

Type, the performance characteristics of each Type, and the apportionment of waste across

Types is crucial in determining overall levels of, for example, gas extraction efficiency.

We proposed a series of „linked‟ recommendations. Regarding the assignment of waste to

specific landfill Types, however, the magnitude of the task (in terms of understanding how, in

past years, landfilled waste has been apportioned across sites with different performance

characteristics) was simply too great for this project. Our recommendations focussed on

making effective use of the Types described in the model. We noted, however, that there

might be a variety of reasons why one might wish to have „additional Types‟ moving forward,

but that this would only be relevant if data allowed for accurate apportionment of waste

across those Types. Some of the apportionment within MELMod suggests quite abrupt, and

unrealistic switches of waste from one Type to another from a given year to the next.

We recommended, therefore, that:

1) The modelled performance (in terms of gas extraction and oxidation rate) of the Types

of landfill within MELMod should be consistent with their description;

2) That the assumptions regarding the proportions of waste being sent to different

landfill types is revised to reflect more gradual transitions of waste away from Type 2

sites;

3) That relevant agencies should seek to apportion waste being landfilled to different

landfill Types based upon the characteristics of the landfill where the material is being

emplaced (notably, in terms of its likely potential to extract / oxidise landfill gas

emissions).

These recommendations were not accepted.

E.6.0 Landfill Gas Extraction Efficiency It is important to appreciate the distinction between instantaneous landfill gas extraction

efficiencies (i.e. those achieved at a given point in time) and integral (or lifetime) extraction

efficiencies (the levels achieved over the life of the landfill). Instantaneous extraction

efficiencies vary over the life of a given landfill and may be close to 100%, especially in later

years post-capping, even where the extraction efficiency over the lifetime of the landfill may

be rather low. Given that MELMod is a national level model, no one knows (and no one knew,

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in past years) when, in the lifetime of a specific landfill, waste is being deposited.

Consequently, in MELMod, the relevant figure for the extraction efficiency is likely to be that

achieved over the lifetime of the site.

For all the Types of site assumed to be accepting waste more recently, relatively high

extraction efficiencies (rising to more than 76%, then flattening off at 75% in future) are used

in MELMod. This is true even for a Type of landfill described as having no gas collection

system in place. These are some of the most significant assumptions within MELMod, yet the

basis for them is not clear.

We made the following recommendations:

1) Because MELMod is not a model based upon a summation of emissions modelled for

each individual landfill, the use of integral collection efficiencies for each landfill Type

is appropriate (rather than, as currently, changing profiles over time for each Type);

2) Since MELMod assumes extraction rates which are the same for each of the landfill

Types (1, 2 and 3) receiving waste since 1980, methane is assumed to be extracted at

high rates (in recent years) even from sites which are described as having no gas

collection system in place. These figures should be changed;

3) In the absence of clear bases for the assumptions used regarding capture rates, and

partly to encourage the generation of information allowing lifetime extraction

efficiencies to be understood, we recommended that the IPCC default figure (20%)

should be used for those sites with gas extraction equipment in place. We

subsequently proposed an amended set of values to reflect three distinct types of

landfill (0% for those with no gas extraction (Type 1), 20% for those with limited gas

extraction equipment (Type 2) and 50% for the most modern landfills (Type 3).

These recommendations were not accepted and so MELMod retains the existing assumptions

regarding gas extraction efficiencies.

E.7.0 Other Recommendations On the basis of a review of literature and consideration of the evidence, a number of other

recommendations were made. These were as follows:

1. We recommend continuing with the 10% figure for oxidation used for Type 3 landfills

in MELMod. This should be kept under review, reflecting literature which suggests this

value may be too low; and

2. There is no strong reason to change the assumption that the methane content of

landfill gas at the 3 newer Types of landfill in MELMod is 50%

3. The same proportion should be extended to cover older Type 4 landfills in the absence

of a far more fundamental overhaul of the modelling of the Type 4 sites since the

presumption that a lower methane concentration would follow from the existence of

partly aerobic conditions ought also to consider that fractions of waste such as lignin

will degrade to a greater extent under such conditions.

The first two were accepted, but the third was not, so no changes were made as a result.

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Contents E.1.0 Activity Data ...................................................................................................................... i

E.2.0 Waste Characteristics .................................................................................................... iii

E.3.0 Degradable Organic Carbon ........................................................................................... iii

E.4.0 Decay Constants (k-values) ............................................................................................ iii

E.5.0 Assignment of Waste to Specific Landfill Types ............................................................. iv

E.6.0 Landfill Gas Extraction Efficiency ................................................................................... iv

E.7.0 Other Recommendations ................................................................................................ v

1.0 Introduction ....................................................................................................................... 1

1.1 Objectives ............................................................................................................................ 1

2.0 Context ............................................................................................................................... 1

3.0 The MELMod Model and the Scope of the Review ........................................................... 2

4.0 Activity Data (Waste Quantities Landfilled and Waste Composition)................................ 4

4.1 Summary and Key Recommendations .............................................................................. 5

5.0 Waste Properties ............................................................................................................... 8

5.1 Summary .............................................................................................................................. 9

6.0 The Proportion of Organic Carbon that is Dissimilable ..................................................... 9

6.1 Summary ........................................................................................................................... 11

7.0 Rate Constants ................................................................................................................ 16

7.1 The Approach Taken by MELMod.................................................................................... 16

7.2 Values Presented Within the Literature .......................................................................... 17

7.3 Rate of Degradation of Different Biochemical Constituents ......................................... 20

7.4 Summary ........................................................................................................................... 21

8.0 Landfill Gas Extraction Rates .......................................................................................... 23

8.1 Introduction and Summary .............................................................................................. 23

8.2 Definition of Extraction Efficiency ................................................................................... 23

8.3 Interpretation .................................................................................................................... 25

8.1 Summary ........................................................................................................................... 31

9.0 Oxidation Rates for Uncaptured Methane ....................................................................... 33

9.1 Basis for Revising the IPCC Default Value ...................................................................... 33

9.2 Summary ........................................................................................................................... 34

10.0 Assignment of Wastes to Types of Landfills ................................................................. 35

11.0 Landfill Types ................................................................................................................ 38

12.0 Landfill Gas Composition ............................................................................................. 42

12.1 Summary ....................................................................................................................... 43

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13.0 Recommendations and Changes Made in MELMod .................................................... 44

13.1 Recommendations ........................................................................................................ 44

14.0 References ................................................................................................................... 50

A.1.0 Chronology of Development of MELMod ...................................................................... 59

A.2.0 Waste Quantities and Composition .............................................................................. 60

A.2.1 Municipal Waste ............................................................................................................ 60

A.2.2 Commercial, Industrial and C&D Waste ....................................................................... 66

A.2.3 Construction and Demolition Wastes ........................................................................... 70

A.2.4 Our Approach ................................................................................................................. 70

A.2.5 Forward Projections ....................................................................................................... 94

A.3.0 Characteristics of Component Waste Streams ............................................................ 96

A.3.1 Moisture Content ........................................................................................................... 96

A.3.2 Organic Carbon Content of Waste Materials ............................................................ 105

A.4.0 Evidence Regarding the Extent of Degradation of Carbon in Landfills ......................115

A.4.1 Dissimilation Factors for MSW from the Literature .................................................. 118

A.4.2 Maximum Degradation under Anaerobic Conditions ............................................... 119

A.4.3 The Influence of Landfill Conditions on Degradation ............................................... 122

A.4.4 Evidence from Landfill Excavation............................................................................. 122

A.4.5 Landfill Model Calibration Studies ............................................................................ 128

A.5.0 Extraction Efficiency: Issues and Evidence ................................................................132

A.5.1 Engineering Considerations on Extraction Efficiency ............................................... 132

A.5.2 Economic and Environmental Optimal Gas Recovery .............................................. 133

A.5.3 Literature on Extraction Efficiency ............................................................................. 134

A.5.4 Other Considerations .................................................................................................. 139

A.6.0 Methane Oxidation Rates ...........................................................................................146

A.6.1 Processes Determining Methane Oxidation ............................................................. 146

A.6.2 Measurement of Methane Oxidation ........................................................................ 147

A.6.3 Results of Measurements .......................................................................................... 148

A.7.0 Methane Content of Landfill Gas ...............................................................................154

A.7.1 The Stoichiometry of Methane Formation ................................................................ 154

A.7.2 The Influence of Landfill Conditions .......................................................................... 154

A.7.3 The Changing Composition of Landfill Gas over Time.............................................. 155

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Glossary

AD Anaerobic Digestion

BAT Best Available Technology

BMP Biological Methane Potential

CDEW Construction Demolition and Excavation Waste

C&D Construction and Demolition

C&I Commercial and Industrial

DCLG Department for Communities and Local Government

DDOC Decomposable Degradable Organic Carbon

DECC Department of Energy and Climate Change

Defra Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs

DOC Degradable Organic Carbon

EWC European Waste Catalogue

FOD First Order Decay

GasSim Landfill model developed for the UK Environment Agency

GHGs Greenhouse Gases

HMRC HM Revenue & Customs

HMT HM Treasury

HPLC High Pressure Liquid Chromatography

HWRC Household Waste Recycling Centre

IPCC Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

LAC Local Authority Collected

LandGem Landfill model used by USEPA

LAS Landfill Allowance Schemes

LCA Life Cycle Assessment

LFG Landfill Gas

LFGTE Landfill Gas-to-energy

MBT Mechanical Biological Treatment

MELMod Methane Emissions from Landfills Model

MSW Municipal Solid Waste

NIEA Northern Ireland Environment Agency

ORWARE Organic Waste Research lie cycle assessment model (Swedish)

PFA Pulverised fuel ash

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SEPA Scottish Environment Protection Agency

UN-FCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change

US EPA US Environmental Protection Agency

WAG Welsh Assembly Government

WRATE Waste and Resources Assessment Tool for the Environment.

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1.0 Introduction Eunomia Research & Consulting Ltd („Eunomia‟), along with Hans Oonk of OonKay,

was asked to carry out this project, the Inventory Improvement Project – UK Landfill

Methane Emissions Model. This report presents the findings of the project and our

recommendations. It also details the changes which have been made to the methane

emissions model, MELMod.

1.1 Objectives

The work was undertaken in two phases reflecting the project specification. In the

first phase of work, the objective was to undertake a thorough review of the MELMod

model, and the data and assumptions which were contained within it, in order to

„identify and correct any errors, inaccuracies, inconsistencies or out-of-date

information and reduce any areas of uncertainty.‟ Key areas for investigation were

expected to be:

the emissions factors included for different types of waste (DOC, DDOC)

and rates of decay);

the assumptions around oxidation through the cap (including oxidation rate

if gas escape through cracks and fissures was minimal);

the different categories of waste types (for example food, paper, etc)

included in the model, and how these could be improved to more

accurately reflect emissions, and to allow detailed policy analysis;

the composition of waste sent to landfill; and

the relevance and appropriateness of waste site type definitions.

Following the initial review, decisions were made by Defra & DECC, informed by Peer

Reviews of the initial work, as to which of the recommendations made in the review

should be carried forward.

2.0 Context The context for this Project is one where the UK is striving to reduce emissions of

greenhouse gases (GHGs) by 80% by 2050 (relative to 1990 levels) with interim

budgets as set out below.

Table 2-1: Legislated Carbon Budgets and Split between Traded and Non-traded

Sectors

Budget 1

2008-2012

Budget 2

2013-2017

Budget 3

2018-2022

Carbon budgets (Mt CO2 equ.) 3018 2782 2544

Percentage reductions below 1990

levels 22% 28% 34%

Source: DECC

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It is often stated that „the waste sector‟ contributes 3% of the UK‟s GHG emissions.

The reality is that the emissions referred to are those associated with landfilling, and

they refer to emissions within the UK‟s inventory as reported to the IPCC. The

contribution is significant in the context of the national inventory, but it does not

represent the totality of the impact associated with the management of waste,

whether this is being reported in the manner suggested by the IPCC for national

inventories, or in terms of the global consequences of managing waste.

3.0 The MELMod Model and the Scope of the

Review As the basis for their reporting to the IPCC (and following the Guidance above), most

countries use a model of landfill emission which is similar, in functional form, to the

MELMod model, which is the subject of this review. In essence, these are first-order

exponential decay (FOD) models which are driven by parameters describing either the

whole waste stream (single-phase), or specific sub-streams / materials (multi-phase)

which make up the totality of landfilled waste.

The IPCC proposes three possible approaches (referred to as „Tiers‟) to landfill

modelling. MELMod is compatible with the First Order Decay (FOD - Tier 2)

methodology for estimating methane emissions from Solid Waste Disposal Sites

described in the 2000 edition of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

(IPCC) Guidelines and with the Tier 3 approach (which allows the use of country-

specific parameter values).

The IPCC acknowledges that its approach is a simple one:

Transformation of degradable material in the SWDS to CH4 and CO2 is by a

chain of reactions and parallel reactions. A full model is likely to be very

complex and vary with the conditions in the SWDS. However, laboratory and

field observations on CH4 generation data suggest that the overall

decomposition process can be approximated by first order kinetics (e.g., Hoeks,

1983), and this has been widely accepted. IPCC has therefore adopted the

relatively simple FOD model as basis for the estimation of CH4 emissions from

SWDS.

It is important, therefore, to understand that the IPCC FOD model is as much a

political construct as it is a scientific one. It has been based around the need to have

some basis for measurement (and comparison between countries) of emissions from

landfill for the reporting of inventories. It has not been based on a desire to develop a

perfect, scientifically accurate model. The model was not designed to enable detailed

policy analysis on the part of the users.

It is interesting to consider how national modelling might be distinct from models

which are based around modelling a specific landfill. A model which seeks to

understand a specific landfill (such as GasSim or the US model LandGem) will

generally be able to consider different phases of a landfill, and how the gas

generation varies over time at that specific site, at the site in question. A national

model could, in principle, do this if it was based upon a bottom up approach,

including a model of each landfill site in the UK. This is not the approach adopted in

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MELMod. As long as this is the case, factors such as „gas extraction rates‟ and

„proportion of carbon degrading which produces methane‟ have to consider what

these might be „on average‟ over the lifetime of a given type of landfill site (since the

model will not show exactly when in the life of the landfill the waste materials are

being deposited). This suggests that national models will need to consider values for

some parameters which reflect „lifetime effects‟.

It is worth stating at the outset that the model being reviewed – MELMod – is a model

which has updated the earlier national assessment model which was, itself,

developed through various iterations. The chronology of the development of MELMod

and its successors is shown in Appendix A.1.0.

It is important to note that the specification did not ask for a review of whether the

modelling approach in MELMod was the right one. The focus was, therefore, upon

improving data and parameters within the model rather than suggesting how the

approach to modelling might be revised.3

The Specification noted that Phase 1 of the work should include suggested

improvements, and the means of verifying the accuracy of these. We take the view

that whilst the review can suggest improvements, verifying the accuracy of these is

extremely difficult for two reasons:

1. The first relates to the ability of any landfill model (whether national or specific

to a given site) to be verified in a meaningful sense. All FOD models will, by

definition, have a similar shaped degradation curve. The exact shape will be

determined largely by the amount of carbon degraded and the rate of decay,

with estimated emissions being affected by the assumptions regarding landfill

gas extracted, and the extent of oxidation of methane at the cap (and in other

ways). In order to even generate the „right‟ modelled estimates, multi-phase

models, such as MELMod, require one to have a good understanding of the

composition of waste being landfilled over time. In the case of the UK, this

situation cannot be said to exist, neither in the past (for all wastes), nor in the

present (for the waste landfilled from commerce, industry, and construction

and demolition). In order to validate any such a model with data from the real

world, as well as having the aforementioned information, it would be

necessary, periodically over time, and during different phases of a landfill‟s

operation, to measure the quantity of gas collected for flaring and for energy

generation, its composition, as well as (simultaneously) measurements of the

fugitive emissions of gas from the landfill. To our knowledge, there has been

no study which fulfils these requirements (and they are unlikely to be met for

many years to come);

2. The second relates to the quality requirements of the IPCC in respect of

reporting. The Specification rightly highlights the possibility that some

3 This is an important point. At present, MELMod estimates emissions of methane on the basis of

parameters used to characterise, for example, landfill gas capture and oxidation. It does not draw

upon data (proxy or otherwise) regarding actual captures of landfill gas. Our work has centred on

changes to the existing model, not proposals for an altogether different approach.

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suggested improvements to the model might not follow IPCC Guidance. As

importantly, they might not meet IPCC requirements in respect of Inventory

Quality Assurance / Quality Control.4

Reflecting the above, there is no consideration given to validation in this work. The

data which would allow this to take place is not available. This is a field where the

scientific evidence is somewhat fragmentary, and where models seem rather more

prevalent than relevant field measurements.

4.0 Activity Data (Waste Quantities Landfilled

and Waste Composition) MELMod splits the quantities being landfilled between:

1. Municipal Waste; and

2. Commercial and Industrial Waste.

The quantitative data and the assignment of the waste quantities to specific

categories were both closely scrutinised.

In an earlier report on the previous national assessment model, written in 2006, it

was noted:5

Up until 1994 the waste arisings data are the same as that used for the AEA

model (Brown et al., 1999) and are based on waste surveys in the UK using

actual data combined with population data where necessary. After 1994, data

are based on a new study carried out by a UK consultancy ERM for input to

the LQM model, which uses updated waste survey data gathered by the

Environment Agency for 1999. Years between 1995 and 1998 inclusive are

extrapolated backwards from the 1999 data and years ahead of 1999 are

extrapolated based on a projected scenario of waste disposal. The Golder

(2005) model has revised MSW arisings from 2001 based on the Local

Authority Waste Recycling and Disposal (LAWRRD) model (AEA Technology,

2005). The LAWRRD model provides arisings for England and so the data has

been scaled upwards, assuming England represents 83% of the UK's total. A

comparison between the LAWRRD data and actual waste arisings for 2002

and 2003 showed a discrepancy of 2% and 4%, respectively. These

differences are considered insignificant and the LAWRRD model data were

taken to be representative of the current situation.

This paragraph highlights the fact that insufficient use has been made of the

empirical data which has been generated over the past ten to fifteen years or so,

especially in respect of municipal waste (much of which is discussed in Appendix

4 IPCC (2006) IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (2006). Chapter 3 - Solid

Waste Disposal, http://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp

5 S. L. Baggott et al (2006) Addendum to UK Greenhouse Gas Inventory, 1990 to 2004, Annual Report

for submission under the Framework Convention on Climate Change, Report RMP/2106, July 2006

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A.2.0). This was also highlighted by AEA in their review of the data in the national

assessment model (which was adopted for MELMod).6

Similar comments can be made in respect of waste composition. The data in MELMod

for local authority collected waste is outdated, and has been for some time (again,

sources in Appendix A.2.0 highlight the availability of relevant data over the period

during which various revisions to the model were made). Since emissions of methane

in MELMod are related back to waste composition, then how waste composition

changes over time becomes important. This ought to be based upon empirical data

rather than assumption.

It is clear, given the lack of use made of recent data, that both the quantitative figures

and the composition data are in need of updating. Data in MELMod reveal that

municipal waste composition data is still based upon data gathered in the early

1990s, and which was superseded almost ten years ago.

4.1 Summary and Key Recommendations

We have reviewed the available data for municipal waste, commercial and industrial

waste, and construction and demolition waste (see Appendix A.2.0). We have drawn

upon data from all 4 countries of the UK to generate a revised dataset for the last 15

years. This covers municipal solid waste (see Table 4-1) and the non-municipal

fractions (see Table 4-2).

We recommend that the data in MELMod model be updated to include our activity

data and the associated waste compositions. The confidence we have in our

proposals for local authority managed waste is as high as it can be, recognising that

there will always be limitations in this regard.

Where C&D and C&I wastes are concerned, we have had to incorporate rather more

by way of estimates and generalising assumptions. The data remains extremely poor

in terms of its quality, and this applies with special force to our knowledge of the

composition of the waste generated, and being landfilled. Notwithstanding these

points, the data which we have derived is based upon the best data which existed at

the time of writing.

We believe, therefore, that our activity data for C&I and C&D waste constitutes a

significant improvement upon that which exists in the existing model. Sadly, however,

one cannot express a high level of confidence in the overall quality of this data. There

is a pressing need to improve upon the quality of the data which characterises how

much C&I and C&D data there is, what it actually looks like, and how it is managed.

It should be noted that we believe it would be desirable to split the waste streams

down further into household waste, commercial waste, industrial waste and

construction and demolition waste. MELMod would also benefit, in future, from

having a far greater number of rows available to characterise the composition of each

of these waste streams.

6 AEA (2008) Revision of UK Model for Predicting Methane Emissions from Landfills Task 3 Report –

Review of Methodology, Data Quality & Scope for Improvement, Report to Defra, October 2008

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Table 4-1: Revised Figures for Landfilled Local Authority Managed Waste (Municipal Waste) for the UK (tonnes)

1995/96 1996/1997 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007

Paper 5,988,937 5,325,247 5,075,239 4,511,984 4,159,711 3,655,984 3,769,188 3,760,145 3,633,752 3,546,697 3,245,393 3,046,934

Card 1,921,165 1,703,795 1,616,612 1,432,222 1,316,817 1,151,434 1,255,161 1,315,672 1,322,296 1,353,753 1,301,879 1,282,904

Textiles (and footwear) 594,250 624,561 699,106 737,030 811,593 855,630 886,243 873,827 868,558 852,475 792,825 786,586

Miscellaneous combustibles 330,231 328,500 348,890 352,565 380,331 384,712 464,653 544,342 582,804 646,098 664,723 848,899

Food 5,424,359 5,290,261 5,555,858 5,509,110 5,709,859 5,726,952 6,006,865 6,117,595 5,968,800 6,006,076 5,708,885 5,548,669

Garden 1,870,139 2,467,310 3,229,041 3,834,326 4,589,298 5,231,592 4,922,068 4,398,287 3,782,905 3,053,382 2,250,167 1,475,826

Soil and other organic waste - 163,722 343,728 505,770 684,070 852,760 834,274 785,631 708,675 633,060 533,329 464,987

Wood 988,282 983,604 1,055,427 1,066,339 1,125,196 1,148,878 1,117,572 1,047,798 924,108 793,964 652,900 529,849

Sanitary / disposable nappies 542,623 531,273 559,242 558,828 572,784 578,192 634,909 684,319 701,576 726,589 718,992 740,337

Furniture 356,194 353,423 375,834 377,958 399,551 405,558 424,959 433,783 429,547 426,897 406,137 406,683

Mattresses - - - - - - 10,738 22,030 32,731 43,225 51,074 60,862

Other 8,443,883 7,979,258 8,123,726 7,785,868 7,807,565 7,582,865 7,738,168 7,641,918 7,287,850 6,968,141 6,336,048 6,141,309

TOTAL 26,460,062 25,750,955 26,982,702 26,672,000 27,556,774 27,574,555 28,064,798 27,625,347 26,243,602 25,050,357 22,662,352 21,333,845

Note: It is appreciated that the figures suggest an unjustified level of accuracy – we merely show the figures in their entirety as

calculated for completeness.

Note that furniture and mattresses are treated as composite materials. On a fresh matter basis, furniture in MSW is assumed to

be 62% wood and 5% textiles; mattresses are considered to be 50% textiles (clearly these are only the biodegradable

components).

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Table 4-2: Suggested Revision to MELMod data, C&I and C&D Wastes (million tonnes)

1997/98 1998/99 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009

Commercial

Paper and Card 9.12 8.92 8.71 8.88 8.70 8.41 7.64 6.76 6.10 5.09 4.95 4.48

General industrial waste

Food 6.17 6.09 6.10 6.32 6.30 6.26 5.91 5.66 5.23 4.94 4.70 4.36

Food effluent / Biodeg Ind Sludges (from

1997) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03

Abattoir waste

Misc processes

Other waste

Misc Comb 2.10 2.05 2.02 2.13 2.05 1.97 1.75 1.56 1.37 1.21 1.13 1.00

Furniture 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04

Garden 1.07 1.08 0.99 0.99 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.00 0.99 0.94 0.89

Sewage sludge

Textiles / Carpet and Underlay 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.92 0.89 0.85 0.76 0.67 0.59 0.52 0.48 0.43

Wood 3.26 3.35 3.10 3.01 3.08 3.04 2.96 2.87 2.75 2.59 2.35 2.04

Sanitary 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Other 47.02 44.89 44.41 42.95 39.53 42.44 45.35 44.41 42.95 40.20 36.87 34.24

Proposed Revision 69.82 67.44 66.36 65.37 61.74 64.17 65.56 63.10 60.13 55.67 51.53 47.56

Note: Furniture is treated as composite materials. On a fresh matter basis, furniture in non-MSW is assumed to be 50% wood.

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5.0 Waste Properties The crucial part of how MELMod models the gas generated by different materials

when landfilled is the way in which it estimates the quantity of carbon, per tonne of

waste landfilled which is „decomposable degradable organic carbon‟ (DDOC). The way

in which this is calculated is relatively straightforward:

Each material / stream is assigned:

a) a moisture content (% fresh matter) (=A);

b) a proportion of cellulose (=B) and a proportion of hemicellulose (in dry

matter terms) (=C) ; and

c) a proportion of the cellulose and hemicellulose which is considered to

degrade (as % dry matter) (=D, sometimes referred to as DOCf).

The quantity of carbon deemed to degrade per tonne of the material landfilled

is then given by:

DDOC = (1-A) x (B + C) x D x E

where E is the proportion of the mass of cellulose / hemicellulose

deemed to be carbon.

The figures used in MELMod are essentially based upon one piece of work by Morton

Barlaz in 1997. LQM, who were involved in a revision of the national assessment

model, whose parameters MELMod retains, noted:7

The amount of degradable carbon that produces landfill gas is determined

using the mass (expressed on a percentage dry weight basis) and

degradability (expressed as a percentage decomposition) of cellulose and

hemi-cellulose using data provided by Barlaz et al. (1997).

The review by AEA suggested some problems with these figures:

In their revision of the national assessment model in 2002, LQM introduced a

new method of calculating decomposable degradable organic carbon (DDOC),

based on the cellulose and hemicellulose content of waste components

developed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA),

with data on key parameters such as moisture content and the fraction of

degradable organic carbon that degrades under landfill conditions (DOCF )

being taken from a variety of published sources. This increased the overall

DDOC available for conversion to methane and was necessary, in LQM‟s view,

because the model developed by AEA (1999) and calibrated against field

measurements of emissions from landfills, underestimated methane

formation. Although a number of references are cited in the LQM report to

support this approach and some parameter values, the report does not

7 LQM (2003) Methane Emissions from Landfill Sites in the UK, Final Report to Defra, January 2003.

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provide sufficient detail to allow individual values to be checked against the

named sources. This could be a significant source of error, as some of the

values quoted appear to lack consistency. For example, paper and card

components in MSW is said to have a DOCF value of 61.8 per cent, yet the

corresponding value for this component in the C&I waste stream is 85 per

cent.

LQM cite the new approach for calculating DDOC as having been incorporated

into the Environment Agency „WISARD‟ life cycle tool8, the HELGA framework

model and the Environment Agency‟s GasSim model

AEA recommended that further work should be undertaken to determine the reliability

of information in the model that is used to generate estimates of DDOC.

5.1 Summary

Mindful of the existing structure of MELMod, we have sought to understand how the

characteristics of waste streams might be given greater internal consistency, and a

more coherent logical framework. The assumptions from predecessor models reflect

an assumption, for example, that all methane results from degradation of cellulose or

hemicelluloses. For materials such as food, this is likely to lead to underestimation of

the extent to which degradation takes place.

We have reviewed the literature for appropriate values for the moisture content of

different biodegradable components of the waste stream (see Appendix A.3.0), and

have also sought information which characterises the biochemical constituents of

these waste streams (beyond simply the cellulose and hemicellulose content).

The values we recommend for use in MELMod are set out in Table 6-1 below. These

highlight degradable components such as fat, protein, the readily soluble organic

fraction, starch, sugar and fibre. All of these are degradable in landfills, but they are

neither cellulose nor hemicelluloses, which are the only biodegradable components

currently contributing to methane emissions in MELMod.

6.0 The Proportion of Organic Carbon that is

Dissimilable In the current MELMod data, the proportion of degradable carbon which is assumed

to be dissimilated (sometimes labelled DOCf) shows considerable variation between

the municipal waste stream, and the commercial and industrial waste stream. Whilst,

for example, 20% by weight of mixed commercial and industrial waste is assumed to

be carbon which leads to gas generation, only one fraction of municipal waste

reaches double figures in this regard.

8 WISARD has since been superseded by WRATE – Waste and Resources Assessment Tool for the

Environment.

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Table 6-1: Suggested Values for Moisture (as % fresh matter), and for Biochemical Components (as % dry matter)

Moisture Cellulose Hemicellulose Lignin Fat Protein Readily

Soluble Starch Sugar

Paper 15% 61% 9% 15%

Card 20% 61% 9% 15%

Textiles 20% 20% 20%

Misc combustibles 20% 25% 25%

MSW Food 70% 28% 4% 6% 15% 16% 14% 7%

Garden 55% 19.80% 16% 19.70% 1.50% 25.90%

Wood 17% 41.50% 12% 25.50%

Nappies 65% 47.30%

C&I Food 70% 11% 11% 5% 6% 18% 0 36% 7%

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There does not appear to be any supporting rationale for these differences given the

similarity in some of the materials across the two streams. Similar concerns around

the internal consistency of these figures have already been raised by AEA.9

We have attempted to address these matters so as to ensure both internal

consistency, and supportable figures for the amount of carbon in different materials

which is likely to degrade. It is worth stating that how one arrives at the appropriate

value of the degradable organic carbon in waste is less important than the values

which ultimately enter the model. MELMod seeks to classify each material into rapid,

medium and slow degrading fractions and our approach suggested below reflects our

views as to how this might best be done (if there are components of each material

which degrade faster or slower, what would be the most plausible rationale for that?).

This is not to imply that this is necessarily the best approach to the modelling.

6.1 Summary

In Appendix A.4.0, we have reviewed dissimilation factors cited within the literature.

We have also reviewed the theoretical extent of the degradation of the different

materials that might be expected under “ideal” anaerobic conditions. We have also

considered the evidence taken from operating landfills.

This body of evidence suggests there are ranges of values in the literature for the

proportion of organic carbon which is likely to degrade in landfills. Single-phase

models effectively make use of one value for all materials. Some multi-phase models

also use a single value for all materials (including the IPCC default model). Other

multi-phase models use a specific value for each material. In the spirit of this

approach, a recent consultation on modelling of landfill emissions in Australia

suggested the factors shown in Table 6-2.10

MELMod has functionality at the material specific level, and policy makers are known

to want to understand the effect of addressing specific materials through waste policy

measures. A single value, therefore, might not be deemed so appropriate given that

different materials clearly behave differently. MELMod also seeks to characterise

each material by component parts, and then assigns the carbon from those parts into

three pools of carbon, each of which has a common decay rate for all materials in the

model. This approach seems to us to be less flexible, and rather more complicated

than it needs to be (suggesting, also, a level of detail in the extent of our knowledge

which does not obviously exist, as the evidence in our review in Appendix A.4.0

suggests). Certainly, one of the factors that affects the extent of biodegradation is the

material itself, with lignin playing a role, but one which is not entirely well understood.

Another factor of relevance is the nature of the landfill itself, with the potential for

9 AEA (2008) Revision of UK Model for Predicting Methane Emissions from Landfills Task 3 Report –

Review of Methodology, Data Quality & Scope for Improvement, Report to Defra, October 2008.

10 Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency (Australian Government) (2010) Review of the

NGER (Measurement) Determination, Discussion Paper, August 2010,

http://www.climatechange.gov.au/government/submissions/reporting/~/media/publications/greenh

ouse-report/review-nger-measurement-determination-paper.ashx

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degradation to theoretical maximum levels likely to vary across the volume of the

landfill. The mix of materials within the landfill, as well as local conditions within a

site, will also affect gas generation.

Table 6-2: DOCf Values for Individual Waste Types Derived from Laboratory

Experiments11

Waste type

Initial total organic

carbon (kg/dry kg)

A

Organic carbon

remaining after

decomposition

(kg/dry kg) B

DOCf (A-B)/A

Newsprint 0.49 0.42 0.15

Office paper 0.40 0.05 0.88

Old corrugated

containers 0.47 0.26 0.45

Coated paper 0.34 0.27 0.21

Branches 0.49 0.38 0.23

Grass 0.45 0.24 0.47

Leaves 0.42 0.30 0.28

Food 0.51 0.08 0.84

Source: Derived by Hyder Consulting 2009 in consultation with Morton Barlaz, in Department of

Climate Change and Energy Efficiency (Australian Government) (2010) Review of the NGER

(Measurement) Determination, Discussion Paper, August 2010,

http://www.climatechange.gov.au/government/submissions/reporting/~/media/publications/greenh

ouse-report/review-nger-measurement-determination-paper.ashx.

In a model such as MELMod, it makes little sense to speak of material specific

degradation factors in isolation from consideration of how the calculation will be

made. If the decision were taken to use the approach we have proposed in respect of

the characteristics of the individual materials (see Section 5.0), then it may make

sense to apply the factor to the biochemical components other than lignin, but taking

into account the role of lignin in (at least in paper and wood) preventing breakdown of

the biodegradable carbon. However, whilst studies have shown that newspapers do

not degrade rapidly in landfills, over very long periods of time, they might, and some

of the literature supports the view that some lignin may degrade over time (and that

this proportion might vary by material).12 Arguably, we have insufficient evidence to

guide us in respect of the behaviour of materials over the very long term.

11 This data appears to have come from a recently published report by Hyder et al (2009); Hyder in

turn cite their source as the US EPA (2006). The US EPA study indicates the original source of the

experimental values to be Eleazer et al, with additional interpretation carried out by Barlaz in 1998.

See: Barlaz M (1998) Carbon Storage During Biodegradation of Municipal Solid Waste Components in

Laboratory Scale Landfills, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 12, 373-380; US EPA (2006) Solid Waste

Management and Greenhouse Gases: A Life-cycle Assessment of Emissions and Sinks, September

2006; Hyder (2009) Comparative Greenhouse Gas Life Cycle Assessment of Wollert Landfill

12 Over the very long-term, it may be that degradation becomes partially aerobic, and this may explain

why some studies suggest lower concentrations of methane in landfill gas at older sites.

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To retain consistency with the existing model structure, and based upon the review in

Appendix A.4.0, we make the following recommendations:

The approach taken for most waste fractions should be as follows:

Calculate, from the biochemical constituents (see Table 6-1) and their relative

proportions of carbon (see Table A 22), the amount of carbon in fresh matter

which is deemed degradable. This should be done for non-lignin fractions, and

separately, for lignin;

Assume, bearing in mind that the modelling considers impacts occurring over

the long-term, that

For food waste, 70% of the non-lignin fraction is considered degradable

along with 15% of the lignin (it should be noted that this may be

conservative given, for example, the evidence in Table 6-2);

For garden waste, 65% of the non-lignin fraction is considered

degradable along with 10% of the lignin; and

For all other degradable materials 65% of the non-lignin fraction is

considered degradable along with 5% of the lignin.

For textiles, we propose to retain the existing MELMod assumptions due to the

lack of detailed biochemical data and composition analysis.

The maximum degradation factors indicated here are in line with the evidence from

the landfill reactor experiments undertaken by Eleazer et al.13 Lignin is treated

differently across the different waste materials, reflecting the fact that it appears to

be more readily dissimilable in food and the less woody garden waste materials such

as grasses and leaves. This, in turn, affects the extent of degradation in both the

lignin and the cellulose contained within these materials. The lower degradation

potential for garden waste in comparison to food reflects the mixture of garden waste

materials which will include some more woody materials along with the more readily

degradable grasses and leaves.

There is still considerable uncertainty in these figures, and they should certainly not

be considered „the last word‟ on the matter.

This approach appears to give a more rational means of estimating how much carbon

in a given material will degrade. For comparison, Table 6-3 shows the figures from

MELMod, the IPCC default figures, and those that result from our proposed revisions

to the model. In general, the IPCC default values provide a more internally consistent

and supportable set of values than those currently in MELMod. The most significant

differences between the IPCC values and those that would result from our proposed

revisions to MelMod are seen with respect to wood and textiles, although there is also

some deviation between the values presented for paper and card.

13 Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid Waste

Components in Laboratory Scale Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-917

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Table 6-3: Comparison of Results – MelMod, IPCC and Impact of Proposed Revisions to Model

Waste Fraction

MelMod IPCC Result of

proposed

revision to

MelMod (C

degraded,

FM)

Results comparison

C degraded

as % DM Moisture

C degraded,

FM

C degraded,

FM

Proposed

revisions /

IPCC

MelMod /

IPCC

C&I Paper and card 41.7% 30% 29.2% 20.0% 15.6% 78% 146%

C&I General commercial 31.7% 37% 20.0%

C&I General industrial waste 31.7% 37% 20.0% 7.5% 266%

C&I Food solids 21.1% 65% 7.4% 7.5% 7.8% 105% 99%

C&I Food effluent 21.1% 65% 7.4% 7.5% 7.8% 105% 99%

C&I Abattoir waste 21.1% 65% 7.4%

M Paper and card 19.3% 30% 13.5% 20.0% 15.6% 78% 68%

M Misc. combustible (plus non-inert

fines from 1995) 11.1% 20% 8.9%

C&I Other waste 11.1% 20% 8.9%

M Non-inert fines 11.1% 40% 6.7%

M Putrescible 10.7% 65% 3.7% 43%

Food 7.5% 8.5% 113%

Garden 10.0% 8.7% 87%

C&I Sewage sludge 9.3% 70% 2.8% 2.5% 112%

M Textiles 8.9% 25% 6.7% 12.0% 6.7% 56% 56%

C&I Misc processes 4.4% 20% 3.6%

C&I Construction/demolition 4.3% 30% 3.0%

M Composted Putrescibles 0.4% 30% 0.2%

Wood 21.5% 12.5% 58%

Note: IPCC considers only biodegradable textiles – MELMod appears to treat textiles as one category (i.e. including non-

degradable textiles).

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For paper, the proposed revisions to MelMod would result in only 78% of the

degradation potential in comparison to that seen under the IPCC model. Evidence

provided by the landfill reactor study suggests that the extent of degradation of paper

and card will vary considerably depending on the type of paper. Whilst nearly 90% of

the cellulose contained within office paper was degraded, the figures for newsprint

and coated paper were 30% and 45% respectively. The degradation potential of card

lies in between the two extremes, with 65% of the cellulose considered degradable.

Eleazer et al did not consider the degradation of textiles. Textiles were, however,

considered as part of the study undertaken by Godley et al which considered

evidence from MBT facilities.14 Their study suggested that only 4% of the volatile

solids contained within the mixed fibre textiles degraded under anaerobic conditions.

The fabric considered in their analysis consisted of mixed fibres that contained

natural fibres along with a plastic coating which would be expected to limit the extent

of degradation.15

Textiles made from solely natural fibres such as cotton, on the other hand, usually

consist largely of cellulose and would be expected to degrade to a much more

significant extent. As is the case for paper, the degradation potential of textiles will be

dependent to a significant extent on the precise composition of the waste textiles

fraction – in this case, the precise mix of natural and mixed fibres contained within

the waste stream. This is unlikely to be known with any detail. In addition, as was

indicated in Section A.3.1.5, there is very little data available with regard to the

biochemical constituents of the range of natural fabrics likely to exist in the waste

stream. As such, our recommendation is to retain the existing MELMod assumptions

with regard to textiles. It is assumed, furthermore, that these characteristics apply to

the whole of the textiles waste stream (not simply biodegradable ones, which is the

case with the IPCC figures).

Appendix A.3.0 similarly confirmed that the biochemical composition of wood is also

highly variable. The characteristics of untreated wood are likely to vary considerably,

whilst those of treated wood are different again. However, even assuming both the

lowest moisture content of that indicated by the literature (of 8% for MDF board)

along with the highest cellulose and hemicellulose content, this would not match the

extent of carbon degradation indicated by IPCC model. The extent of degradation of

wood products therefore appears to have been overstated in the IPCC model.

Finally, it is important to note that the issue of the extent of degradation cannot be

considered independently of the material characteristics, as the two aspects are

inseparable.

14 Godley and Frederickson (2010) Supporting Agency MBT Model Development, May 2010

15 It should also be noted that the anaerobic degradation potentials presented in Godley et al are

typically less than those provided by Eleazer et al for all other degradable types of material

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7.0 Rate Constants

7.1 The Approach Taken by MELMod

The calculations of DDOC effectively drive the quantity of landfill gas generated. They

do not determine, however, the rate at which the gas is generated (and hence, in

which year of an inventory the emissions will fall).

One possible approach might have been to assume that if the level of gassing of the

material was driven by the two components, cellulose and hemicellulose, then the

assumed rates of degradation might also be related to the proportions of these

constituents present. If this was not the case, then the assumptions might have been

modulated by some relationship to the proportion of lignin in a given material. This

does not, however, appear to be the case with the assumptions contained within

MELMod. MELMod makes no use of lignin content to estimate any effect on

degradation rate, though as the above review highlights, this is not well understood.

The model assigns, for each material, differing proportions of the degrading carbon to

„rapid‟, „medium‟ and „slow‟ degrading fractions, even though the fractions degrading

– cellulose and hemicellulose - are the same for all waste components (because of

assumptions already highlighted previously).

The question arises, therefore, as to what effectively sets the way in which the

different materials have their carbon constituents assigned to the categories:

a) Rapidly degrading organic material;

b) Medium degrading organic material; and

c) Slowly degrading organic material.

Since there are only two organic substances being modelled (cellulose and

hemicellulose), why would the rate not be determined by the relative proportions of

these materials? And if the rate is not determined by this, what is the basis for the

assignment to the different rates of degradation.

A brief examination of the MELMod assumptions also highlights the fact that for the

different components of municipal waste, the figures are neat, round figures (see

Table A.15 in Appendix A.3.0). For commercial and Industrial waste, the figures

appear to be more precise (even though the waste categories are mostly aggregated

streams whose composition is apt to vary).

The previous review by AEA seemed to suggest that the decay rates themselves were

acceptable:

The rates are close to, or within the ranges quoted by the 2006 IPCC

Guidelines […] These rates have been retained in MELMod-UK.

The rates are shown alongside IPCC defaults and ranges in Table 7-1.

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Table 7-1: Decay Rate Constants.

Waste pool IPCC Default IPCC Range MELMod

RDO 0.185 0.1-0.2 0.116

MDO 0.1 0.06-0.10 0.076

SDO 0.06 (paper/textiles)

0.030 (wood/straw)

0.05-0.07

(paper/textiles)

0.02-0.04

(wood/straw)

0.046

Notes:

The IPCC data refer to wet boreal/temperate climate zones.

7.2 Values Presented Within the Literature

Estimating the values of the decay constant, k, in real landfill conditions is difficult.

The approach adopted in MELMod – in which the decay rates relate to unspecified

parts of each material - would be incredibly difficult to verify. To our knowledge, the

study by Oonk in 1994 (also part of a 1995 measurement report) and a similar

exercise in USA in more arid conditions (by Gregg Vogt) are the only field-studies that

have been performed that shed light upon values for k.16 The study by Oonk

estimated values of 0.1 for „mixed waste‟, or 0.185, 0,1 and 0.03 for fast, moderate

and slowly degrading waste, respectively, when using a multi-phase (i.e. a model with

more than one decay constant) model. This appears to be the only information that

comes from actual field-data, and it is the data upon which the IPCC default values

are based. It also closely reflects what was used in a previous version of the national

assessment model.

In the IPCC methodology report (2006), it is also stated that it might well be the case

that neither single-phase nor multi-phase approaches accurately reflect the reality of

the conditions in a landfill. The truth may lie somewhere in between since multi-phase

models implicitly assume complete independence of degradation of different waste

fractions (i.e. „wood‟ degrades as „wood‟, independent of whether it is landfilled as

part of waste including significant amounts of putrescible material, or as part of an

inorganic matrix), whereas this independence of degradation is, in reality, unlikely to

reflect the reality.

16 Oonk H, Weenk A, Coops O and Luning L (1994) Validation of Landfill Gas Formation Models, Dutch

Organisation for Applied Scientific Research, Report no 94-315; Oonk H and Boom T (1995) Landfill

Gas Formation, Recovery and Emission, TNO-rapport 95-203,; Vogt G., Augenstein D., (1997):

Comparison of models for predicting landfill methane recovery, SCS Engineers, Report File No.

0295028, Reston, Virginia, USA

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The IPCC Guidelines in 2006 noted the following with regard to the different

approaches available in determining K values:17

There are two alternative approaches to select the half-life (or k value) for the

calculation: (a) calculate a weighted average for t1/2 for mixed MSW (Jensen

and Pipatti, 2002) or (b) divide the waste stream into categories of waste

according to their degradation speed (Brown et al., 1999). The first approach

assumes degradation of different types of waste to be completely dependent

on each other. So the decay of wood is enhanced due to the present of food

waste, and the decay of food waste is slowed down due to the wood. The

second approach assumes degradation of different types of waste is

independent of each other. Wood degrades as wood, irrespective whether it is

in an almost inert SWDS or in a SWDS that contains large amounts of more

rapidly degrading wastes. In reality the truth will probably be somewhere in

the middle. However there has been little research performed to identify the

better one of both approaches (Oonk and Boom, 1995; Scharff et al., 2003)

and this research was not conclusive. Two options of the IPCC spreadsheet

model apply either of above approaches to select the half-life as follows:

Bulk waste option: The bulk waste option requires alternative (a) above, and is

suitable for countries without data or with limited data on waste composition,

but with good information on bulk waste disposed at SWDS. Default values are

estimated as a function of the climate zone.

Waste composition option: The waste composition option requires alternative

(b) and is applicable for countries having data on waste composition.

Specification of the half-life (t1/2) of each component of the waste stream

(IPCC, 2000) is required to achieve acceptably accurate results.

The most obvious discrepancy between the default IPCC values and those suggested

by MELMod is with regard to the fast degrading carbon. Whilst MELMod applies a

maximal degradation speed of 0.116 for rapidly degrading carbon, the comparable

value given by the IPCC is 0.185. In general, MELMod values for decay constants lie

at the lower end of the relevant IPCC ranges.

Table 7-2 presents data from the literature regarding the half life in landfill of the

different carbon types. The half life can be derived from the k value using the

following formula:

Half life = 0.7

k

The shortest half life figures in Table 7-2 therefore represent the most rapidly

degrading substances. As such, the half life figure of 6 years for fast degradable

substances assumed in the GasSim model represents the lowest k value of those

17 IPCC (2006) IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Chapter 3 – Solid Waste

Disposal

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multi-phase models presented in the Table (note, only value for wet boreal and

temperate regions are presented).

Table 7-2: Review of Data on Half Life of Waste Fractions

Model Half life Country

IPCC‐model

12‐23 (slow)1,2

7 (moderate)1

4 (fast degradable)1

MSW Europe

TNO‐model 7 Dutch HHW

GasSim

15 (slow)

9 (moderate)

6 (fast degradable)

HHW UK

Landgem 14 („conventional‟)3

35 („ arid‟)3 MSW USA

Afvalzorg

23 (slow)

7 (moderate)

3 (fast degradable)

Dutch HHW

E‐PRTR (Fr) 10 HHW France

E‐PRTR (Fi)

23 (slow)

14 (moderate)

3.5 (fast degradable)

HHW Finland

Vogt et al. (1997) 17 MSW California

Notes

1. Values for wet boreal and temperate regions. For dry regions and tropical conditions other

k‐values are suggested;

2. Different half‐lives specified for paper‐like materials and wood‐like materials;

3. „Arid‟ refers to regions with less than 625 mm (25 inch) rainfall per year. „Conventional‟ refers

to non‐arid regions.

Given the above discussion, it is worth outlining the basis for the decay rates

assumed within MELMod. This is outlined by LQM, as follows:18

Manley et al (1990a; 1990b) were the first to use three rate constants for

slowly degradable, moderately degradable, and rapidly degradable waste, and

Brown et al. (1999) introduced three rate constants to the National

Assessment Model. Short half-life values for readily degradable waste

introduces an unrealistic and unobserved peaks in gas forecasting models, so

for consistency with the Environment Agency‟s GasSim Model (Environment

Agency, 2002a), the three rate constants have been replaced with GasSim

defaults (see Table 3.1). These have been validated against UK landfills and

are considered appropriate in most UK cases (Environment Agency, 2002a).

The GasSim defaults are on professional experience of UK landfill sites with

varying degrees of saturation. There has been very little research to quantify

18 LQM (2003) Methane Emissions from Landfill Sites in the UK, Final Report to Defra, January 2003.

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the rate of gas generation, although it is known that the initial hydrolysis step

from the cellulose polymer to the glucose monomer is the rate determining

step. GasSim users are encouraged to use site-specific constants. LQM

considers these default rate constants are suitable for use in the National

Assessment Model, since this model integrates degradation for many landfills,

and so will be less sensitive overall to potentially different waste degradation

rates at different landfills due to site specific differences.

The above statement says on the one hand that a model has been validated, but on

the other, that there has been very little research to quantify rates of gas generation,

and that GasSim users are encouraged to use site specific constants. It is not clear

how the rate constants could be validated given that this could not take place

independently of consideration of what materials are being landfilled (this still being

relatively poorly understood), and which components of those materials are assumed

to be degrading at the different rates.

The rates which were suggested by Brown et al, and which were altered by LQM, are

very similar to those suggested by the IPCC as default values. They are closely aligned

with the only information that comes from actual field measurements.

7.3 Rate of Degradation of Different Biochemical Constituents

In work undertaken for the UK Environment Agency, Godley et al developed a

classification of the biodegradability of specific wastes using evidence obtained from

MBT plant. This is shown in Table 7-3. This classification implies a slower degradation

speed should be applied to textiles in comparison to that of paper, and that green

waste and food should be subject to the same degradation rate.

Table 7-3: Biodegradability Classification Proposed by Godley et al

Waste

% LOI reduction

Anaerobic

digestion

% LOI reduction

Aerobic

composting

Biodegradability

classification according

to % LOI reduction

Food waste 55 80 Fast

Green waste 33 70 Fast

Paper waste 30 40 Medium

Wood waste 7.5 10 Slow

Textiles 3 4 Slow

Fines 33 70 Fast

Source: Godley A and Frederickson J (2010) Supporting Agency MBT Model Development, Report for

the Environment Agency, May 2010

The approach taken in the majority of the analyses indicated above, including the

IPCC default approach, is to apply the rate constants to the different waste fractions.

The approach in MELMod is to apply the degradation speeds to the biochemical

constituents of the waste materials. Although this approach has been used in the

context of modelling the performance of anaerobic digestion plant, evidence from

other literature reviews of published decay factors suggests this has not been done

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within the context of modelling landfill gas generation.19 One study undertaken by

Dalemo characterises the degradation seen at anaerobic digestion and sewage plant

in which five organic carbon sources were recognised. Data from the study is

presented in Table 7-4.20

Table 7-4: Degradation of Organic Substances in Anaerobic Digestion Plant

Organic substances Rate constant, k days -1

Organics slow 0.001

Carbohydrate, moderate 0.18

Carbohydrate, rapid 0.23

Protein 0.13

Fat 0.13

Source: Dalemo, M (1996) The Modelling of an Anaerobic Digestion Plant and a Sewage Plant in the

ORWARE Simulation Model, Rapport 213, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala 1996

Note that the rate constants presented here are not comparable to those suggested

for landfill, as those in the Table reflect the situation for anaerobic degradation under

controlled conditions. It would clearly be possible, however, to adapt Dalemo‟s

approach to the degradation that occurs in landfill, by assuming that specific

biochemical fractions are assigned slow, medium and fast rate constants. Dalemo‟s

work suggests an ordering in terms of the rate at which different constituents

degrade. This is the approach we propose below.

7.4 Summary

The foregoing discussion suggests a number of options with regard to the setting of

the rate constants used within the model:

1. Use the rates contained within MELMod without any amendment (applied to

the degradable carbon as calculated above);

2. Use an amended version of the rates contained within MELMod (applied to the

degradable carbon as calculated above), with the rapidly degrading fraction in

particular assigned a higher k-value;

3. Use the IPCC figures for specific materials;

4. As with option 2, but with the assignment of the different biochemical fractions

to 'rapid' (sugars and fats), 'medium' (everything else other than lignin) and

'slow' (lignin, of which we might assume a reduced percentage degrades),

rather than assigning the total carbon content somewhat arbitrarily to 'rapid',

19 Barlaz M A (2004) Critical Review of Forest Products Decomposition in Municipal Solid Waste

Landfills, National Council for Air and Stream Improvement, Bulletin 872

20 Dalemo, M (1996) The Modelling of an Anaerobic Digestion Plant and a Sewage Plant in the

ORWARE Simulation Model, Rapport 213, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala 1996

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'medium', 'slow' as is currently the case in MELMod. This mimics the approach

taken by Dalemo with regard to the modelling of AD plant.

Of these, the third and fourth options appear to offer the most promise. The IPCC

figures are based on actual field-data taken from operating landfills. Option 4,

however, allows for a link to be retained between the behaviour of the materials and

their biochemical constituents, and is consistent with the existing model structure.

We recommend that the rate constants be linked to the different biochemical

fractions of the waste. We suggest that the assignment is as follows:

Slow The small proportion of lignin assumed to be degraded over the

long term (calculated as in Section 6.0 above)

Medium Biochemical components other than those above and below

(cellulose, hemicellulose, etc.)

Fast Sugars and Fats

We suggest that as far as rate constants are concerned, the IPPC defaults (see Table

7-1) are used. This reflects the view that for the rapid degrading fraction in particular,

the rate used in MELMod appears much lower than is the case in most other multi-

phase models, and is close to the average decay rate used in single phase models.

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8.0 Landfill Gas Extraction Rates

8.1 Introduction and Summary

Type 1, Type 2 and Type 3 landfills in MELMod are all assumed to increase their

extraction efficiencies to 76% by 2004. The basis for these figures is unclear.

Type 1 landfills are described as:

„Large modern landfills without gas collection systems. Sites began receiving

waste in 1980 until 2000. No further waste inputs beyond 2000.‟

It seems unclear that sites which are described as having no gas collection system

should be assumed to have such a high extraction rate.

Type 2 landfills are defined as

„Large modern landfills with limited gas collection. Sites began receiving waste

in 1980 until 1999. No further waste inputs beyond 1999‟

It seems unlikely that all such sites – which ceased receiving waste in 1999 - would

achieve the rates being suggested.

Type 3 landfills are defined as:

Large modern landfills with comprehensive gas collection. Sites began

receiving waste in 1986, continuing thereafter.

These sites are likely to have the highest extraction rates of those described in

MELMod. It might still be an open question as to whether, and how many of these

would achieve the stated extraction rates.

In MELMod, Type 1, Type 2 and Type 3 landfills are characterized by exactly the same

parameters. This is a somewhat strange way to make use of the different landfill

types which MELMod includes. To the extent that the differentiation in type is clearly

meant to highlight the difference in, notably, extraction rates, it is surprising that

these different types are all characterized by the same extraction rates. We are

informed that this approach has been inherited by the developers of MELMod from

the national assessment model.

In what follows, we discuss landfill gas extraction from a general standpoint with no

specific emphasis on what might be „the best practice‟. It is important to note, after

all, that not all the gas emitted from landfills in MELMod is from „state of the art‟

landfills. Indeed, there appears to be no readily available information regarding the

amount of waste landfilled at different types of landfills (according to the details of

their gas collection infrastructure – see Section 10.0).

8.2 Definition of Extraction Efficiency

Other than pre-treating waste, landfill gas extraction is one of the main measures to

reduce methane emissions from landfill. The efficiency of landfill gas however is

widely discussed, and this literature survey is intended to bring this discussion one

step further.

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To begin with, it is important to note that there are different definitions of efficiency in

this respect. One definition refers to „integral efficiency‟, indicating the proportion of

landfill gas that is extracted during the landfill‟s lifetime. The other approach is a

more momentary one, describing this efficiency of a landfill at a given month or in a

given year. These two measures are often mixed up, and this tends to confuse the

discussion.

Hence, although extraction efficiency is defined as ratio of the amount of landfill gas

extracted to the amount generated, there are still two different ways to look at

extraction efficiency:

The efficiency at a single moment in time (hour, day, year); and

The total efficiency integrated over the landfills life-time.

The difference between both is illustrated in Figure 8-1 below, which depicts the

amount of landfill gas generated and extracted in time at a typical landfill (or landfill-

cell). The instantaneous efficiency is the efficiency at a certain moment in time (e.g.

the length of BC divided by AC). The integral efficiency is the ratio of the area beneath

the lower curve to the area beneath the upper curve.

Figure 8-1: Landfill Gas Generation and Extraction in Time at a Typical Landfill

During deposition of the waste, the amount of landfill gas generated increases with

increasing quantities of waste. When the landfill is closed, the amount tends to fall

over time. In some cases landfill gas extraction only starts after exploitation of the

void space has ceased and the cell has reached its final height. In the years after, the

collection efficiency might slowly increase, as gas generation reduces, the cover layer

and its vegetative cover develops and emissions from „short-cuts‟ and hot-spots

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become less important. After some time the landfill is capped with an impermeable

liner system, after which extraction efficiency becomes almost 100%.21

The example above describes a landfill, where annually the same amount of waste

was landfilled during 10 years. Even with extraction efficiency in the early closed

phase of over 60%, increasing to 80% in the later, closed phase, and almost 100%

when capped, the integral efficiency may only be 38%.

Since MELMod is not a model of „a landfill‟, but a national model for reporting

methane emissions, then it makes no distinction between periods in „a landfill‟s‟

operation. As such, the appropriate extraction rate figure ought to be that which best

represents the integral efficiency. At any given point in time, a significant amount of

fresh waste is present in parts of a landfill, where the void space is still being

exploited; another portion of the waste is in landfills that are recently closed, etc., so

extraction efficiencies will need to reflect the various phases of the sites.

It should be noted that the IPCC-default value of an extraction efficiency of 20% is

based on a view of what integral efficiencies may be.

8.3 Interpretation

As described above, the kind of technology implemented, the moment the technology

is implemented and the day-to-day operation of landfill gas extraction defines

recovery efficiency. The problem is that landfill gas recovery differs from site to site. A

single default methodology for estimating landfill gas recovery therefore is always an

approximate approach.

It is also important to note that the above discussion deliberately does not set out to

describe only „state of the art‟ landfills. Of the methane generated in landfills in 2010,

more than 25% was generated in landfills which, in the current model, ceased to

receive waste in 2000 (and are described – possibly erroneously - as having no gas

extraction system). The modern, Type 3 sites were the source of only around half the

landfill gas generated. Whatever the performance of specific landfill Types, a national

extraction rate in excess of 70% appears rather difficult to justify if the distribution of

waste across landfill types in MELMod is at all accurate (and it may well not be).

A possible way to improve on current methodology would be to distinguish different

levels of technology more carefully than is the case within MELMod at present. Such a

differentiation might move the discussion away from the potential effectiveness of

landfill gas recovery at one or other site Type, and help give more accurate

information regarding what the average level of landfill gas recovery is across the UK.

One of the improvements in MELMod is that there is an additional landfill type which

could be used (whilst three of the five types in MELMod are effectively modelled as

21 Capping of landfills normally takes place when risk of irregular settlements is significantly reduced.

Waste degradation and landfill gas generation is one of the main causes of settlements, so capping is

preferably done in the final stage of waste deposition when most landfill gas has already been

generated.

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one type at present). This could be further expanded to capture a range of landfill

types.

Below four different levels are described in more detail.

8.3.1 Basic

This level of landfill gas recovery refers to common practice in the 90‟s and is more or

less the system the IPCC default value of 20% (integral efficiency) is based upon. At

the moment, this approach is still common practice in large parts of the world. It was

also common in the UK, and some current emissions will be emitted from sites such

as these. Wells for landfill gas recovery are only dug after a landfill (or a larger area of

a landfill) is closed. At that moment in time, the first waste deposits can be already

over ten years old, and a considerable proportion of landfill gas will have been formed

and emitted prior to landfill gas extraction commencing. Well spacing might not be

especially dense (80-120 meters apart; ~1-2 wells per hectare), and the capacity of

landfill gas utilisation may have governed the effort to maximize landfill gas recovery.

Figure 8-2 below describes the integral efficiency of such a basic system, which is

generally limited to 10-25%.

Figure 8-2: Landfill Gas Recovery Efficiency, Applying a Basic System

8.3.2 State-of-the-art

Growing awareness of factors limiting the overall recovery efficiency resulted in

policies and measures to improve integral recovery efficiency, e.g. by landfill gas

extraction during the exploitation of void space (e.g. by landfilling in smaller

compartments and immediate drilling of wells, once a cell has been completed),

increased well density (2-3 wells per ha), increase of the blower capacity, improved

control the performance of each individual well and emphasizing the necessity of

landfill gas recovery as an environmental measure (thus maximising the recovery

efficiency and flaring what cannot be utilised. In the Netherlands, such a system is

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considered „state- of-the-art‟ or „best available technology, not exceeding excessive

costs‟ (BAT-NEEC, SenterNovem, 2005).22 23

In a state-of-the-art system part of the gas recovered might not be utilised, simply

because the peak utilization capacity will not be adequate to deal with all landfill

gas.24 Consequently, additional flaring capacity is required.

A state-of-the-art system also requires a careful coordination of landfill construction

and realization of landfill gas extraction. This is only possible when the landfill owner

takes care of extraction (and does not depute this responsibility to e.g. an energy

producing company).

Figure 8-3 below describes the integral efficiency of such a state-of-the-art system,

which is estimated to be 30-60%, depending on, amongst other things, the time that

it takes to fill a compartment, the well density, and the quality of intermediate cover

of closed compartments.

Figure 8-3: Landfill Gas Recovery Efficiency, Applying State-of-the-Art Recovery

22 SenterNovem (2005): Handreiking Methaanreductie Stortplaatsen (Guidelines methane emission

reduction from landfills), SenterNovem (currently AgentschapNL. Dutch Agency for Sustainability,

Innovation and International Trade and Cooperation, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

23 Measures are considered BAT-NEEC by SenterNovem (2005) when overall costs (costs per ton of

methane mitigated; costs are investment and operating costs minus revenues from utilisation) are in

agreement with costs that are accepted by society for greenhouse gas emission reduction elsewhere.

Costs can be related to e.g. current or expected market price for CO2-emission permits.

24 This might open up the possibility to utilize extra gas during a peak with mobile utilization units, e.g.

smaller gas-engines of about 100-250 kWe, which can be used at one landfill for a shorter time and

then relocated to another site. To what extent this also occurs in reality, depends on choices by the

energy producing companies involved.

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8.3.3 High-end

A number of measures might be taken, that go beyond the state-of-the-art as

described above. Temporary or sacrificial wells might be used to minimize emissions

from the exploitation period, well density might be increased to 4 wells per ha (well

spacing of 50 meters) and beyond. Smaller wells might be used to mitigate emissions

from the slopes. More gas-tight temporary cover materials might be used to minimise

emissions from closed parts.

In general, horizontal temporary wells are preferred to vertical or point-wells.25

However the effectiveness of these additional measures is uncertain. e.g. the region

of influence of sacrificial wells might be limited, especially when they are located near

the surface of the waste (about 1-3 meters), located near a slope or when waste

deposited around such a well is not well compacted. In such a case, under-pressure

on a sacrificial well has to be limited to prevent sucking in ambient air. Experience

with such wells indicates that at least 5 metres of waste is required for proper

functioning temporary wells.26 An alternative is to accept a lower quality (reduced

CH4-content, increased N2, CO2 and within limits O2) of recovered landfill gas.

Figure 8-4 below describes the integral efficiency of such a high-end system, which

could be as high as 60-80%.

Figure 8-4: Landfill Gas Recovery Efficiency, Applying a High-End System

25 Barry D.L., Watts M., Smith R. (2004): Practical gas emission control during landfilling, Proc. Waste

2004 Conf. Integrated Waste Management and Pollution Control: Policy and Practice, Research and

Solutions. Stratford-upon-Avon, UK, 28-30 September 2004, 315-324.

26 SenterNovem (2005): Handreiking Methaanreductie Stortplaatsen (Guidelines methane emission

reduction from landfills), SenterNovem (currently AgentschapNL. Dutch Agency for Sustainability,

Innovation and International Trade and Cooperation, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

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The potential influence of emissions from the “tail” of landfills that employ even a

high-end gas management system has been indicated in work done by ERM.27 Their

study modelled a range of landfill gas management scenarios using GasSim, with

instantaneous extraction efficiencies of between 75-85% considered in the modelling.

Outputs from the modelling suggested however a range of extraction efficiencies from

44-64% over the lifetime of the landfill (assumed in this case to be 100 years).

The worst performing scenario – Scenario D – assumed an instantaneous extraction

efficiency of 85% where the gas could be actively managed. The relatively low

performance in comparison to other scenarios resulted from assumptions

surrounding the flaring of the gas, with Scenario D considering that a smaller

proportion of the poorer quality landfill gas would be flared towards the end of the

site‟s life.28

8.3.4 Landfill Cells - Bioreactors

Almost complete mitigation of methane emissions might be achieved by covering

landfilled waste within a few months (to a maximum of one year) after it is deposited

and using an impermeable liner (which may have a finite lifetime, and thus be of

lower quality as a final liner system). In this way, landfill cells are created, from which

methane can be recovered at almost 100% efficiency (see Figure 8-5).

However one should realise that by doing this, infiltration of rain is reduced and

biological processes leading to landfill gas might be hampered. This is more likely to

lead to incomplete biodegradation of organic waste resulting in an increased risk for

soil and groundwater pollution in the long run. Landfilling waste in such cells is

recommended only when, simultaneously, measures are taken to complete

biodegradation. Leachate recirculation in such a cell is an obvious method to

stimulate biodegradation, thus turning these landfill cells into bioreactors, with an

integral efficiency that may exceed those suggested above.

27 ERM (2006) Carbon Balances and Energy Impacts of the Management of UK Wastes, Final Report

for Defra, December 2006

28 The authors assumed it would be unsafe to flare the gas where the methane content fell below 30%

or where the oxygen content rises above 5%. The study attempted to model this by considering that

gas would not be flared when the gas production decreased below a certain level

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Figure 8-5: Landfill Gas Recovery Efficiency, applying a State-of-the-Art System

8.3.5 Desirability of an Adapted Default Methodology

The discussion about default values for landfill gas recovery has continued within the

IPCC for more than 10 years. Considering the relatively poor efficiency of basic

systems for landfill gas recovery, the barriers that have to be overcome to achieve

more state-of-the-art landfill gas recovery (as well as the pace with which this can

feed through into a national figure, not least given the dependence of current

emissions on past deposits), and also the observed discrepancy between the national

efficiencies of countries that monitored landfill gas recovery, and countries that

estimated / modelled the efficiency, the IPCC has tended to be conservative in

defining a default value for extraction efficiency.

In theory it is feasible to distinguish different technical approaches to landfill gas

extraction, and define a default value for each group. In combination with an

inventory of how many landfill gas projects fall within each group, and the tonnages of

waste consigned to each, this ought to give an improved estimate of landfill gas

extraction. This still raises questions as to what extraction efficiencies should be

applied to each landfill type. Even an adapted methodology to assess landfill gas

recovery efficiency requires considerable knowledge for its application and the

chance still remains that in practice it will be too optimistic. This reduces the

incentive to actually conduct accurate measurement exercises, and seek to justify

estimates on the basis of empirical data.

It would be desirable for landfills in the UK that are currently in exploitation and which

apply more advanced systems for landfill gas recovery (state-of-the-art or even high-

end) to simply measure and report. The costs for installing systems is large in

comparison to the equipment needed to monitor their effectiveness. Furthermore,

landfills are obliged to report all type of emissions in the framework of E-PRTR (for the

calculation of which they need gas extraction data as well) to local authorities. So the

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reporting infrastructure from landfill to authorities is also in place. It ought to be

feasible to produce monitored landfill gas collection within a few years for UK and it is

recommended that this system is implemented as soon as possible.29 At present, in

the national inventory report, the emphasis is on interpolation of renewable energy

figures and an estimation of gas extracted for energy recovery from this. The figures

for gas extracted for flaring are essentially estimates.

8.1 Summary

Our review of extraction efficiencies reported in the literature shows that these vary

widely (see Appendix A.5.0). It highlights the fact that the reported extraction

efficiency depends strongly on the point in the landfill‟s life at which the

measurement is made. Often, during the exploitation phase of the site, landfill gas

extraction does not take place. Increasingly, in the UK, landfills are obliged to extract

landfill gas during the exploitation of void space. Technically, this is relatively difficult

and it might hinder normal operations at a landfill, but it can be realised, albeit with a

reduced effectiveness, compared to landfill gas extraction from closed cells.

Extraction efficiency estimates for closed parts of a landfill vary widely and in practice

figures can be found from as low as 10% to more than 90%. Extraction efficiency

depends on factors such as well-spacing, attention of the landfill owner to the system

(control of suction pressure on wells), design-capacity of the extraction system and

utilization and the type and thickness of the cover. It also makes a difference whether

a landfill gas project is designed and operated to extract a renewable energy source

or whether minimization of emissions is the objective.

When the final cover is applied, high landfill gas extraction efficiencies can be

obtained. A relatively small number of measurements at landfills in this phase have

received considerable attention, and efficiencies at this stage are sometimes

interpreted as being possible from all landfills in all phases, or as being

representative of a lifetime / integral extraction efficiency.

Measured efficiencies, especially in the earlier phases of the landfill‟s development,

are generally below modelled efficiencies, and they are usually below estimated

efficiencies. The same may also be true for national efficiencies. UK legislation may

require a high standard of management at landfills, but the same is true of other

jurisdictions, such as Germany, The Netherlands, Denmark, Austria and the USA. The

first four countries have introduced a range of measures to address the landfilling of

organic waste, so that there is little or no methane generation in the exploitation

phase. Data reported to the IPCC suggests countries that actually monitor landfill gas

extraction (The Netherlands, Denmark and Austria) do not perform especially well in

comparison with those who estimate methane extraction (such as UK and Germany)

(see Table 8-1). For estimating national average recovery efficiency, the integral

efficiency is the relevant measure, not the instantaneous efficiency.

29 It would be important to ensure that the reporting mechanism was not based upon a modelled

estimate, but was linked back to actual measurements.

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Table 8-1: Methane Emissions and Recovery Reported to UN-FCCC and Calculated

National Recovery Efficiency in 2008

Emission (Gg) Recovery (Gg) Efficiency

Austria monitored 74 15 15%

Denmark monitored 15 5 8%

Germany estimated 358 526 57%

The Netherlands monitored 233 44 15%

UK estimated 960 2,561 71%

USA estimated 6,016 6,451 49%

Source: Data retrieved from CRF‟s of individual countries, to be found at:

http://unfccc.int/national_reports/annex_i_ghg_inventories/national_inventories_submissions/items

/5270.php

For the UK, with considerable amounts of organic waste landfilled each year, with

almost all operational landfills equipped with landfill gas recovery, but with much gas

generation still arising from less well-equipped sites (from historic deposits), there

seem to be few reasons why the national integral extraction efficiency would be

significantly higher than those suggested through monitoring in the Netherlands and

Austria (i.e. 15%). One reason might be that the proportion of waste landfilled in the

UK has remained at higher levels (so that proportionately more waste is landfilled at

newer, better-equipped sites). Even so, the IPCC default of 20% seems no less likely

to be in line with the actual situation than the currently assumed figure of 75%.

It is difficult to separate out this recommendation from the consideration of matters

discussed in Sections 10.0 and 11.0. For this reason, we defer our recommendations

to the end of Section 11.0.

We note, in passing, that it is no doubt tempting to seek to utilise real data on gas

extracted for energy recovery and flaring (or imputed data on the former, and

estimates of the latter, as happens today) as a means to establish a capture rate for

the UK as a whole by using the modelled landfill gas generation as the denominator

in the following identity:

Capture rate = (quantity of methane collected for utilisation +

Quantity of methane collected for flaring) ÷

Modelled quantity of methane generated

Although it might be argued that this is the best that can be done, it assumes that the

denominator (the modelled quantity of methane generated) is accurate. There are

very good reasons (highlighted at the end of Section 4.0 and in Appendix A.2.0) to

believe that it is not. In addition, the approach relies upon estimation of the quantity

of methane extracted for flaring. Consequently, we would discourage discussion of

extraction rates on this basis. The past data on quantities and composition remains

of low quality, and estimations made on the above basis are likely to be similarly so

(and remain so for some time into the future even if the quality of data improves

dramatically for every from here on).

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9.0 Oxidation Rates for Uncaptured Methane When methane migrates through the top-layer, part of it is oxidized to carbon dioxide.

Although the process of methane oxidation is increasingly well understood, it is still

extremely difficult to quantify, because it depends on the stage and age of the landfill,

climate conditions and on the exact nature of the cover material. Moreover,

heterogeneity of emissions plays an important role. Methane that diffuses in a more

or less homogeneous way through the top-layer may be converted; however, a large

part of the methane may be emitted via so-called hot-spots and short cuts and has

little or no time to oxidize through covering layers.

All four types of landfill in MELMod are estimated to have oxidation rates of 10%. This

is also the IPCC default value.

9.1 Basis for Revising the IPCC Default Value

We have reviewed the literature regarding oxidation rates at landfills. From the review

(see Appendix A.6.0) it is evident that little or no authoritative information exists on

the basis of which the IPPC-default values could be revised. The same conclusion is

drawn by Kühle-Wiedemeijer and Bogon on the basis of a review of methane

oxidation in scientific journals and available grey literature on this topic.30 They

conclude there is no solid basis for the definition of more accurate default-values and

therefore propose values close to the IPCC default (10% when methane flux is higher

than 1,5 g CH4 m-2 hr-1 and 15% oxidation when the flux is lower), but they mention

this may be probably an underestimate. A similar conclusion has also been reached

by Dever in Australia, who has confirmed that short-cuts are likely to significantly

influence the overall oxidation rate.31 Elsewhere the USEPA has suggested a range of

10% to 25%, with clay soils at the lower end of the range and top-soils being at the

higher end.

The CLEAR group (an international group of leading experts on methane oxidation)

discusses improvement of quantification of methane oxidation. Some members of the

group have proposed a draft model in which methane oxidation is either limited by

the amount of methane that is homogeneously emitted, or the maximum oxidation

capacity of the top-layer. Both parameters are estimated as a function of methane

flux, top-layer material, porosity, moisture content and ambient temperature and the

lowest of both is actual methane oxidation. The draft model will be discussed, revised

and defined in more detail by the whole CLEAR group in the near future.32

30 Kühle-Weidemeier M., Bogon H., (2008): Methanemissionen aus passiv entgaste Deponien und der

Ablagerung von mechanisch-biologisch behandelten Abfällen - Emissionsprognose und Wirksamkeit

der biologischen Methanoxidation - Schlussbericht, Wasteconsult international, Langenhagen,

Germany.

31 Dever S. (2010): Personal communication S. Dever, GHD, Melbourne, Australia.

32 Scharff (2010). Personal communication H. Scharff, Afvalzorg, Assendelft, The Netherlands.

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9.2 Summary

There are only few methane oxidation measurements available, and only a subset of

these can be considered as estimates of an annual average oxidation, measured

under conditions relevant for UK. Most information comes from closed chamber

measurements, which are believed to overestimate actual methane oxidation.

Information seems to indicate that the IPCC-default may be an underestimation of

actual methane oxidation, something that has already been acknowledged by the

IPCC in 2006. However actual methane oxidation on active or recently closed landfills

will most likely be close to these values. It will almost certainly not exceed 30%. At the

moment it is felt there is insufficient information available to assume another

oxidation value than the 10%.

The oxidation rates in MELMod are the same for all 3 types of landfill receiving waste

after 1986. It might be expected that Type 1 landfills, presumably deploying passive

venting, would have a lower oxidation rate through the cap since the rationale is to

allow a ready escape path for the landfill gas to the atmosphere. We would argue,

therefore that the oxidation rate at Type 1 sites should be set to a lower figure of say

5%.

We recommend continuing with the 10% figure for oxidation used for Type 3 landfills

in MELMod. This should be kept under review. There do not appear to be any peer

reviewed UK-based measures of landfill oxidation, not to mention, of the more

conservative 13C plume measurement variety, and across all seasons.

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10.0 Assignment of Wastes to Types of Landfills As highlighted in Section 8.0 above, MELMod assigns waste landfilled across 4

different landfill Types, with a fifth possibility also available for use. It was highlighted

at the start of Section 8.0 that limited use is being made (in terms of the model‟s

functionality) of these different landfill types in the sense that three of the types of

landfill are assumed to have exactly the same characteristics in all years. This is not

only counter-intuitive (given the description of the landfills), but it is also a missed

opportunity to the extent that one believes (and this seems highly likely) that there

are landfills, with different characteristics, which extract gas to different degrees. The

issue of how different types of landfill might be used is considered in Section 11.0.

SEPA data suggests that even as late as 2004, a significant proportion (close to 50%)

of MSW was being landfilled at sites without gas recovery. The Welsh Waste Strategy,

Wise About Waste, reported that in 2002, it was expected that of 25 landfills

receiving biodegradable waste in Wales, 18 would be equipped with gas recovery for

the purposes of electricity generation, 4 would be equipped with flaring, and another

4 would be equipped only with passive venting. Historically, the data regarding gas

control systems was as shown in Table 10-1. This highlights the fact that as late as

1995, at least in terms of number of sites, more than half either had no gas control or

were passively venting landfill gas.

Table 10-1: Gas Controls at Sites Receiving Biodegradable Wastes in Wales

Total No.

Of

Landfills

No of Landfills

with Flaring

No of Landfills

with Electricity

No of Landfill

with passive

venting

No Controls total

1960 2 1 1 2

1965 3 1 2 3

1970 4 1 3 4

1975 7 1 6 7

1980 8 2 6 8

1985 17 1 3 13 17

1990 22 2 5 15 22

1995 25 6 6 5 8 25

2000 25 9 8 8 0 25

planned 2002 25 4 17 4 0 0

Source: Environment Agency (2002)

Current data in MELMod assumes that after 2000, all waste being landfilled is

disposed of in sites with levels of gas extraction which rise progressively over time. In

2003, a report concerning the national assessment model, MELMod‟s predecessor,

suggested:33

33 LQM (2003) Methane Emissions from Landfill Sites in the UK, Final Report, January 2003.

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It is considered that with current landfill engineering requirements, all new

waste arising will be emplaced in landfill Type 3 (with comprehensive gas

collection) and no waste has been partitioned to other landfill types since

1999.

The sources mentioned above suggest that it might have been clear that this was not

the case. Furthermore, the report cited above gives no rationale for splitting waste

across the different landfill types. As it happens, this is irrelevant for landfills of Types

1, 2 and 3 as they are currently constituted in MELMod precisely because they

perform in exactly the same way in the model. This does then rather beg the question

as to why any attention at all was given to specifying that waste would be emplaced in

Type 3 landfills beyond a certain date (in the model as it stands, this simply does not

matter).

If we assume that it is a mistake in the model to have modelled each of the landfill

Types 1, 2 and 3 as performing in exactly the same way (and it is difficult to see this

in any other way for reasons discussed at the start of Section 8.0), then one needs to

ask how one should be allocating waste to landfill across the different landfill types.

The following discussion assumes that something more rational should be happening

with different landfill types in terms of their performance (since this is the only way to

bring some sense of order to this discussion).

There are some abrupt discontinuities in the way in which landfilled waste is allocated

across the landfill Types. Table 10-2 shows the radical switch of material from Type 4

to Type 1 landfills in 1980. On the basis of the SEPA data and the WAG information,

the MELMod assumptions might be optimistic in terms of UK landfill emissions since

Type 4 landfills have no gas collection.

Table 10-2: Current MELMod Data Regarding Proportion of Waste Sent to Different

Landfill Types, 1995-2009

1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983

Type 1 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 99.0% 98.0% 96.0% 94.0%

Type 2 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0%

Type 3 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Type 4 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Data within MELMod also assumes that the quantity of waste being sent to Type 2

landfills falls from 77% of all waste in 1999, down to zero in 2000 (see Table 10-3).34

Similarly, the quantity sent to Type 3 landfills increases from 18% in 1999 to 100% in

2000 (see Table 10-3).35 It was, perhaps, being assumed that the Landfill Directive

would lead to a dramatic, more or less instantaneous switch in the fate of wastes

34 Type 2 landfills are defined as large modern landfills with limited gas collection. Sites began

receiving waste in 1980 until 1999. No further waste inputs beyond 1999

35 Type 3 landfills are defined as large modern landfills with comprehensive gas collection. Sites began

receiving waste in 1986, continuing thereafter

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over an unrealistically short period of time. The evidence in support of such a radical

switch has not been provided, and indeed, such evidence as there is appears to

suggest that the assumption is not correct.

Table 10-3: Current MELMod Data Regarding Proportion of Waste Sent to Different

Landfill Types, 1995-2009

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Type 1 48.0% 40.0% 30.0% 18.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Type 2 38.8% 45.5% 54.2% 64.9% 77.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Type 3 13% 14% 16% 17% 18% 100% 100% 100%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Type 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Type 2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Type 3 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

In terms of having a sensible estimate of emissions associated with past deposits, it

would appear absolutely essential to know what quantities of waste were being sent

to landfills with more limited capacity for gas extraction than is assumed in MELMod

for each of the landfills of Types 1, 2 and 3. The basis for doing so is not clear at

present, and is beyond the resources of this project (it would involve reviewing

deposits by site, over time, taking into account the gas collection infrastructure in

place). More generally, it seems appropriate for the relevant agencies to seek, in

future (and as far as possible, to review data from past years with a view to doing the

same for those years), to match data from site returns (in terms of waste landfilled)

with the type of landfill where the waste is being deposited. This makes sense only if

these landfill types are well characterised (notably, in terms of their likely potential to

extract / oxidise landfill gas emissions).

Interestingly, the more one moves towards this type of approach, the stronger the

rationale probably becomes for a more „bottom up‟ model which is based upon each

individual landfill and the waste being deposited there (clearly, there still needs to be

some way of dealing with emissions from past emplacements, but it would be far

from impossible to marry the type of top-down model, using integral extraction

efficiencies, with a bottom up one which might deploy different extraction efficiencies

for different years following emplacement, and for landfills with different levels of

extraction performance).

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11.0 Landfill Types MELMod provides for 5 different landfill types. In recent years, the data currently in

MELMod has assumed that all landfilled waste is sent to so-called Type 3 landfills,

these being described as „Large modern landfills with comprehensive gas collection.

Sites began receiving waste in 1986, continuing thereafter.‟ There is no

differentiation across Landfill Types 1, 2 and 3 in the model so that their performance

is not in any way aligned with their description.

In principle, it would seem desirable to have, within MELMod, the potential to allow

for user-defined landfill variants to be specified within the model. One does not need

to know, at this time, exactly how the specifications might look to make the case for

the revision in model structure.

We suggested, at the end of Section 8.0, four broad types. However, the key point

would be that the number of Types should reflect the potential to allocate the waste

being emplaced in a given year to landfills of one or other type. It would seem that to

be able to achieve this accurately for past years would require considerable effort

(and indeed, may not be possible). Hence, the current figures are quite crude in the

manner in which they allocate waste to one or other landfill type over time.

In essence, one could perceive a range of arguments for having additional landfill

types:

1. First, and rather obviously, to reflect views as to the variation in performance

of different sites. The model currently „wastes‟ two landfill Types by modelling

them as behaving in exactly the same way as another Type. Presumably, if

these was a reason to assign waste to one or other landfill Type, it was based

upon differences in performance across these Types;

2. Second, to allow one to assign some of the waste already deposited

(historically) in one Type of landfill to a different landfill Type. This might be

desirable where, for example, additional attempts were being made either to

extract methane (low calorific flares, for example) or to alter the oxidation rate

through the cap (for example, through the use of active cover layers). Since it

could not be assumed that this was happening to all waste allocated to a given

landfill Type, it might not be appropriate to alter the characteristics of the

landfill Type concerned. It might be more appropriate to shift that waste into a

different landfill Type altogether (with different extraction efficiency, or

oxidation rate, or both);

3. The third might be for new landfills (or newer regulatory requirements), or to

„split‟ more carefully the landfills receiving waste in recent years into a broader

range of Types than is currently available (let alone, modelled). The discussion

at the end of Section 8.0 may or may not be deemed an appropriate basis for

this;

4. A fourth might be to reflect perceived changes in waste composition. In

respect of the latter, for example, the activity data highlights that landfilled

MSW is likely to have, today, a composition of just under 30% food waste. To

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the extent that one accepts that food waste degrades relatively rapidly (see

the recommendation at the end of Section 7.0), then the efficiency of

extraction of methane in the exploitation phase becomes quite critical in

determining integral efficiencies of extraction. It might be sensible to assume

different extraction rates, reflecting the extent to which landfill gas is emitted

in the exploitation phase;36 and

5. A fifth reason might be to allow for new landfill concepts, such as cells

receiving only biologically stabilised wastes (for example, from mechanical

biological treatment systems). These might not have high capture rates, but if

they have active cover layers, the oxidation rates could be high.

Therefore, even if these types are not currently used, the model‟s flexibility could be

utilised through allowing for a range of landfill types. There is already one „user

defined‟ Type. There are also three types which are modelled in exactly the same way.

Hence, there is scope for some rationalisation in the model as it stands to allow for

additional landfill types, though this should only be undertaken where there is a

strong rationale (in terms of GHG performance) for doing so, and only if these Types

are not utilised in characterising the historic apportionment of landfilled waste across

different types.

Fundamentally, there is unlikely to be much point in using a very large number of

landfill types if data concerning what wastes are being emplaced in what Types of

landfill is not available in the appropriate form. The number of landfill Types ought to

reflect the ability to make reasonable assumptions in respect of the quantities

emplaced to each of these Types. To do otherwise will simply imply adding

sophistication without necessarily improving the accuracy of the model.

The following recommendations reflect the interlinked factors of Landfill Type, the

quantity of waste assumed to be placed in each Type, and the extraction efficiencies

used in MELMod for each of the landfill Types.

Recommendations:

We recommend that:

1) The modelled performance (in terms of gas extraction and oxidation rate) of

the Types of landfill within MELMod should be consistent with their

description;

2) The assumptions regarding the proportions of waste being sent to different

landfill types is revised to reflect more gradual transitions of waste away from

Type 2 sites (see Table 11-1);

3) That relevant agencies should seek to apportion waste being landfilled to

different landfill Types based upon the characteristics of the landfill where the

36 It should be noted that an alternative model would be to assign material specific extraction

efficiencies for each landfill type. More rapidly degrading wastes would have a lower extraction

efficiency than slower degrading ones, with the differences being greatest at those sites where gas

extraction is not present in the exploitation phase.

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material is being emplaced (notably, in terms of its likely potential to extract /

oxidise landfill gas emissions).

The current profiling of landfill gas extraction efficiencies, which is used for all landfill

Types, and which rises as shown in Figure 11-1 below, is not supportable, either

through evidence or logic. It could not be a reflection of the integral extraction

efficiency at a given landfill Type (since this would be expected to be, by definition,

constant). It could not, either, reflect a logically coherent view as to how a national

rate would evolve over time since it peaks around 2004 and reaches a steady state

by 2009. It would only be by an astonishing coincidence that a national rate could

flatten off in this way, and so near (in time) in the future, simply because the

emplacement of waste in past years at less well-equipped sites would still be exerting

an influence on the extraction efficiency some way beyond this. Finally, if the graphic

was an attempt to anticipate the evolution of extraction efficiencies on the basis of

expected performance in future, then this would seem to make the extraction rate in

any year endogenous to the nature and quantity of waste being landfilled (if these

assumptions were wrong, the extraction efficiencies would need to change). Such an

approach would render the model extremely inflexible, unless there was a clear

functional relationship linking the proportion of DDOC landfilled in different landfill

Types to the extraction efficiency estimated (and there is not).

4) Because MELMod is not a model which adds together the emissions modelled

for each individual landfill, it is recommended that for each Type of landfill,

there is a single lifetime / integral collection efficiency which does not change

over time. This will incur some small errors, but they are well within the

bounds of what is reasonable to expect from such models;

Figure 11-1: Evolution in Extraction Rates Within MELMod (landfills of Type 1, 2 and3)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

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Since MELMod assumes extraction rates which are the same for each of the landfill

Types (1, 2 and 3) receiving waste since 1980, methane is assumed to be extracted

at relatively high rates (in recent years) even from sites which are described as having

no gas collection system in place.

5) The extraction efficiency for sites with no gas collection should be set to zero;

6) The extraction rates need to reflect the landfill Type. We suggest a figure of 0%

for Type 1 sites (see above). For Type 2 and 3 sites, it is very difficult to

confidently state what extraction rates should be. Peer reviewers were critical

of our proposal that the extraction rates in MELMod should be changed for

Type 3 landfills to reflect the IPCC default (20%) for integral extraction

efficiency. The position reflected our view, and the intent of IPCC, that

extraction rates should not be overly-optimistic in the absence of clear

justification for higher levels. We suggest figures of 20% for Type 2 landfills

and 50% for Type 3 landfills, the latter figure being somewhat above the

national level of extraction efficiency calculated through reference to the level

of electricity generation from landfill gas.

These recommendations would, if adopted, give rise to the figures as set out in Table

11-1.

Table 11-1: Proposed Revisions Regarding Proportion of Waste Sent to Different

Landfill Types, and Associated Extraction Rates, 1995-2009

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Type 1 48.0% 40.0% 30.0% 18.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Extraction

Efficiency 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Type 2 38.8% 45.5% 54.2% 64.9% 77.6% 70% 60 50%

Extraction

Efficiency 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

Type 3 13% 14% 16% 17% 18% 30% 40% 50%

Extraction

Efficiency 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Type 1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Extraction

Efficiency 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Type 2 40% 30% 20% 10% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Extraction

Efficiency 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

Type 3 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 100% 100%

Extraction

Efficiency 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% 50%

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12.0 Landfill Gas Composition Some information regarding landfill gas formation and its composition is given in

Appendix A.7.0. MELMod assumes 50% of the landfill gas by volume is CH4. LQM

confirmed the basis for this assumption, initially made in the National Assessment

Model, in their 2003 report to Defra, as follows:37

The decomposition of cellulose in landfilled waste gives rise to both methane

and carbon dioxide, in approximately equal quantity by volume. The

mechanics of this process are a number of different biochemically mediated

reaction schemes (AFRC, 1988), and so the actual quantity of methane or

carbon dioxide produced by decomposition will vary according to the dominant

microbiological processes. For a single site, the ratio of methane to carbon

dioxide may differ from the typical 50:50 ratio observed. However, in a

situation where the entire UK LFG inventory is being simulated (as in the

National Assessment Model), these differences will tend to even out. For the

purposes of modelling this process, a value of F of 0.5 has been used.[…].

In older uncapped sites, natural diffusion of air through the cover materials

led to a greater degree of aerobic degradation, and thus the proportion of

methane produced changed from 50:50 reflecting the increased carbon

dioxide and reduced methane production. Consequently, it is considered that

for Type 1, 2 and 3 landfills (the more modern designs) the model should be

run with a methane content in LFG of 50%, and so F = 0.5. For Type 4 landfills

(the old unengineered design), a methane content in LFG of 30% has been

used, and so F = 0.3. These settings are identical to those used by Brown et

al. (1999).

The assertion that 50% of landfill gas by volume is methane is widely held, and

appears to be the default assumption in the five models considered in a Canadian

model calibration study.38 However, Afvalzorg assume 56% of the gas to be CH4,

whilst Oonk, in his recently published literature review on CH4 generation from

landfills, indicated a range of possible CH4 concentrations in landfill gas of between

45 and 60% - the latter echoing the range of values proposed in earlier analysis by

Tchobanoglous et al. 39

37 LQM (2003) Methane Emission from Landfill Sites in the UK, Final Report for Defra, January 2003

38 Thompson S, Sawyer J, Bonam R and Valdivia JE (2009) Building a better methane generation

model: Validation models with methane recovery rates from 35 Canadian landfills, Waste

Management, 29, pp2085-2091

39 Oonk H (2010) Literature Review: Methane from Landfills: Methods to Quantify Generation,

Oxidation and Emission, Report for Sustainable Landfill Foundation; Jacobs J and Scharff H (u.d.)

Comparison of Methane Emission Models and Methane Emission Measurements, NV Afvalzorg, The

Netherlands; Tchobanoglous G, Hilary T and Vigil S (1993) Integrated Solid Waste Management:

Integrated Principles and Management Issues, McGraw-Hill, New York

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12.1 Summary

The discussion in Appendix A.7.0 suggests the main phase of methanogenesis

produces a landfill gas that is relatively high in methane, particularly where the

degradation of fats and proteins is concerned. At this point in the degradation cycle,

the methane concentration may be as high as 60%. What happens during the early

stages landfilling is relatively significant as it is at this point that an appreciable

proportion of the fugitive emission is likely to occur. The degradation of fats and

proteins may also be relatively rapid in comparison to that of the cellulosic materials

and thus might be expected to exert a particular influence during these early stages.

However, in the situation where conditions for methanogenesis are sub-optimal, and

during the latter phases of the operation of the landfill, the relative proportion of

methane can be expected to decrease relative to that of the CO2 such that it may

account for considerably less than 50% of the content of the gas. The proportion of

methane in landfill gas is thus likely to vary considerably throughout the lifetime of

landfill, and will be dependent in part on the long term landfill management regime

and the extent to which optimal conditions for methanogenesis are present.

Current MELMod data assumes that landfill gas generated at Type 4 landfills (the

older uncapped sites) has a methane concentration of 30% reflecting the higher

proportion of aerobic degradation anticipated to occur at such sites. However the lack

of covering material is also likely to allow for greater penetration of moisture into the

lower layers of the landfill, and this would tend to increase methanogenesis thus

increasing the proportion of methane. Furthermore, if it really were the case that

more of the degradation was aerobic, then all of the factors characterising the Type 4

landfills would, logically, have to change. In particular, the degradation of lignin would

be expected to be higher, so that the 30% figure might possibly reflect a smaller

proportion of a higher level of degradation of the materials landfilled. We recommend,

therefore, that in the absence of a complete overhaul of the Type 4 modelling, the

50% figure is used for these sites too. It is not reasonable to consider methane

concentration in isolation from all of the factors characterising degradation in these

landfills, particularly where the underlying rationale relates to the ingress of air.

Recommendation: It is felt that there is no strong reason to change the assumption

that the methane content of landfill gas is 50% for landfill Types 1, 2 and 3 as current

knowledge suggests this to be a reasonable proxy for gas composition over the

lifetime of the landfill.

We recommend that the same proportion be extended to cover Type 4 landfills in the

absence of a far more fundamental overhaul of the modelling of the Type 4 sites.

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13.0 Recommendations and Changes Made in

MELMod

13.1 Recommendations

On the basis of the work undertaken, a number of recommendations have been

made. We list these below, and also indicate whether the recommendation was

accepted.

Recommendation 1

Regarding activity data and waste composition, we recommended that the data in

MELMod model be updated to include our activity data and the associated waste

compositions. The confidence we have in our proposals for local authority managed

waste is as high as it can be, recognising that there will always be limitations in this

regard.

Where C&D and C&I wastes are concerned, we have had to incorporate rather more

by way of estimates and generalising assumptions. The data remains extremely poor

in terms of its quality, and this applies with special force to our knowledge of the

composition of the waste generated, and being landfilled. Notwithstanding these

points, there is, at least, within the data which we have derived some underlying

rationale for the figures. The same cannot be said for the data in the existing model.

We believe, therefore, that our activity data for C&I and C&D waste constitutes a

significant improvement upon that which exists in the existing model. Sadly, however,

one cannot express a high level of confidence in the overall quality of this data. There

is a pressing need to improve upon the quality of the data which characterises how

much C&I and C&D data there is, what it actually looks like, and how it is managed.

It should be noted that we believe it would be desirable to split the waste streams

down further into household waste, commercial waste, industrial waste and

construction and demolition waste. MELMod would also benefit, in future, from

having a far greater number of rows available to characterise the composition of each

of these waste streams.

This recommendation was accepted. The new activity and composition data has been

used within MELMod.40

When this data was entered into the model, with the changes in the data relating to

the period post 1995, a discontinuity showed up in the amount of degradable organic

carbon being landfilled in the years where new data was entered. Although this does

not translate into major discontinuities in the emissions from landfills (which reflect

the degradable organic carbon landfilled over a number of years), in order to

eliminate these discontinuities, it was decided to „smooth‟ the introduction of the new

40 It was not possible to accommodate in MELMod, under C&I waste, paper and card as two distinct

categories. They were, therefore, characterised as paper (rather than paper and card).

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data and the phasing out of the old. This is effectively a requirement under IPCC

guidelines.

The rationale for the pre-1995 data was not easy to discern. However, in MELMod,

one notes that in the pre-1997 period, Commercial waste and general industrial

waste make up 75%-84% of all DDOC over time (for the non-MSW / local authority

managed waste). In MELMod, these materials have had their „growth path‟ (or trend

growth) altered in the historic data at various points. In particular:

1. There is a change in the rate of growth of waste in 1965. This appears to be the

first point where there is recognition that industrial waste to landfill might be

declining, though with commercial waste continuing to increase (previously, both

were increasing). In this period (from 1965), DDOC starts to fall

2. There is a further change in 1975. Here, industrial waste to landfill starts to

increase once more. DDOC also starts to turn upward again. From 1975 onwards,

at least until around 1996, the data simply shows an upward trend for all

materials with the exception of construction waste, which in any case is not a

major contributor to DDOC (1.52%, falling to 0.87% in 1995);41

3. In 1996, there is a discontinuity. This is not a large one, but is fairly significant by

comparison with the minimal changes which occur from year to year in the

preceding period (1945 to 1995). There is, in general, a lack of any change over

this period, reflecting, we suspect, the paucity of any data of any quality on this

issue prior to the landfill tax‟s introduction (but arguably, in truth, continuing also

to the present day if one considers composition as a relevant matter, and it clearly

is).

Our approach was to smooth the data from 1975, which is the last point from which it

appears someone in the past discerned the need to change the trend in waste

landfilled. We do not know the reason for this, but presumably, there was one.

The smoothing of the data was achieved in the following way:

1. Some „waste types‟ in MELMod are no longer used post 1996

2. Some new „waste types‟ are used from 1997

3. The category „other‟ essentially contains „non-gassing‟ materials, but in

the pre 1997 period, this quantity is much smaller than post 1997,

mainly because we have effectively sought to identify separately, post-

1996, the „gassing‟ elements of mixed commercial, mixed industrial,

and C&D, leaving a larger „non gassing‟ (other) fraction;

41 Note that the best data available to us suggests that far from declining to 14 million tonnes or so by

1995, the quantity of C&D waste landfilled was around 35 million tonnes in 1997 – a truly massive

discrepancy. The quantity of waste landfilled at the lower rate of tax in 1997 was around 31 million

tonnes, and this excludes a) C&D waste exempt from tax (and reported as such to HMRC) and b) C&D

materials landfilled at sites not registered for tax at all (because they were only receiving untaxed

waste, and so, completely unreported as far as HMRC was concerned).

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4. For categories in MELMod pre-1997, but not post-1997, we have set

these to decline linearly from their 1975 level to zero

5. For categories not in MELMod pre-1997, but in MELMod in subsequent

years, these increase from zero in 1975 to the level we have estimated

for them in 1997; and

6. For the category „other‟, the numbers from 1975 increase linearly to

the figure we have estimated from 1997.

This gives a smooth decline in DDOC; and a smooth decline in tonnages sent to

landfill, thus eliminating discontinuities. Effectively what happens is that the influence

of our calculations is increasing from 1975 onwards, and from 1975 onwards, the

significance of the previous data is diminished. The data „shades‟ from the previous

figures to those we have estimated.

Recommendation 2

We recommended a revised set of values for moisture and carbon content (as well as

the carbon constituents) for some materials already in MELMod and proposed values

for some materials not in MELMod.

The proposal was accepted and the values incorporated into MELMod.

Recommendation 3

We suggested that the approach taken for most waste fractions, for calculating

DDOC, should be as follows:

Calculate, from the biochemical constituents and their relative proportions of

carbon (see Section 5.0), the amount of carbon in fresh matter which is

deemed degradable. This should be done for non-lignin fractions, and

separately, for lignin;

Assume, bearing in mind that the modelling considers impacts occurring over

the long-term, that

For food waste, 70% of the non-lignin fraction is considered degradable

along with 15% of the lignin (it should be noted that this may be

conservative given, for example, the evidence in Table 6-2);

For garden waste, 65% of the non-lignin fraction is considered

degradable along with 10% of the lignin; and

For all other degradable materials 65% of the non-lignin fraction is

considered degradable along with 5% of the lignin.

For textiles, we propose to retain the existing MELMod assumptions due to the

lack of detailed biochemical data and composition analysis.

These changes were accepted and incorporated into MELMod.42

42 It should be noted that during the final revision of this report, it transpired that an error had been

made in entering the relevant figures, characterising the properties of „textiles‟, into MELMod. This

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Recommendation 4

Regarding decay constants, we made two recommendations:

1) that the rate constants be linked to the different biochemical fractions of the

waste. We suggest that the assignment is as follows:

a. Slow The small proportion of lignin assumed to be degraded

over the long term (calculated as in Section 6.0 above)

b. Medium Biochemical components other than those above and

below (cellulose, hemicellulose, etc.)

c. Fast Sugars and Fats; and

2) that as far as rate constants were concerned, the IPPC defaults should be

used (reflecting the fact that, for the rapidly degrading fraction in particular,

the rate in MELMod appears much lower than is the case in most other multi-

phase models, and is close to the average decay rate in models representing

mixed waste).

The first recommendation was accepted and reflected in the modelling of the

degradation of specific waste components. The second recommendation was not

accepted.

Recommendation 5

We recommended, in respect of the apportioning of waste to different landfill types,

that:

1) The modelled performance (in terms of gas extraction and oxidation rate) of

the Types of landfill within MELMod should be consistent with their

description;

2) That the assumptions regarding the proportions of waste being sent to

different landfill types is revised to reflect more gradual transitions of waste

away from Type 2 sites;

3) That relevant agencies should seek to apportion waste being landfilled to

different landfill Types based upon the characteristics of the landfill where the

material is being emplaced (notably, in terms of its likely potential to extract /

oxidise landfill gas emissions).

These recommendations were not accepted. It should be noted that some

consideration was given to changing the allocation of waste to different landfill types.

However, this was rejected since the shift of waste into sites described as having no

gas extraction led, perhaps counterintuitively, to an overall reduction in emissions.

This is because the combination of MELMod‟s high capture rate for such sites, and

the assumption regarding 30% concentration of methane in landfill gas, led to an

overall reduction in emissions rather than an increase (partly because

error came to light too late to alter the latest inventory report but will be addressed in subsequent

years through correcting the figures in the model. Our understanding is that this will lead to only a

small change in the inventory.

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recommendations for change in the parameters characterising such landfills were not

accepted).

Recommendation 6

We made the following recommendations related to gas extraction efficiencies:

1) Because MELMod is not a model based upon a summation of emissions

modelled for each individual landfill, the use of integral collection efficiencies

for each landfill Type is appropriate (rather than, as currently, changing

profiles over time for each Type);

2) Since MELMod assumes extraction rates which are the same for each of the

landfill Types (1, 2 and 3) receiving waste since 1980, methane is assumed to

be extracted at high rates (in recent years) even from sites which are

described as having no gas collection system in place. These figures should be

changed;

3) In the absence of clear bases for the assumptions used regarding capture

rates, and partly to encourage the generation of information allowing lifetime

extraction efficiencies to be understood, we recommended that the IPCC

default figure (20%) should be used for those sites with gas extraction

equipment in place. We subsequently proposed an amended set of values to

reflect three distinct types of landfill (0% for those with no gas extraction (Type

1), 20% for those with limited gas extraction equipment (Type 2) and 50% for

the most modern landfills (Type 3).

These recommendations were not accepted and so MELMod retains the existing

assumptions regarding gas extraction efficiencies.

Recommendation 7

Regarding oxidation rates, we made the following recommendation:

1. We recommend continuing with the 10% figure for oxidation used for Type 3

landfills in MELMod. This should be kept under review, since some literature

suggests this value may be too low

The recommendation was accepted, so no changes were made to MELMod as a

result.

Recommendation 8

Regarding the concentration of methane in landfill gas, we made two

recommendations:

1. There is no strong reason to change the assumption that the methane content

of landfill gas at the 3 newer Types of landfill in MELMod is 50%

2. The same proportion should be extended to cover older Type 4 landfills in the

absence of a far more fundamental overhaul of the modelling of the Type 4

sites since the presumption that a lower methane concentration would follow

from the existence of partly aerobic conditions ought also to consider that

fractions of waste such as lignin will degrade to a greater extent under such

conditions.

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The first of these was accepted, but the second was not, so no changes were made to

MELMod as a result.

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A.1.0 Chronology of Development of MELMod MELMod is a model which has been developed following on from previous landfill

models. This development is summarised in Table A 1 below. The new model -

MELMod-UK (Methane Emissions from Landfills Model) was developed with the aim

of improving usability and rationalising the previous model, focussing on the

functionality and structure of the model. A report was also prepared identifying areas

where improvements in data quality and methodology were required.

Table A 1: Evolution of the UK National Assessment Model of Methane Emissions

from Landfills

Model

authors Key features Comments

ETSU (1996)

Based on two types of landfills

Biodegradable waste characterised by a single rate

constant

Survey to estimate flare capacity.

Utilisation plant based on renewable energy

statistics.

Emission rates for 1990 estimated at ~1.8

million tonnes methane.

AEA (1999)

Based on four types of landfills characterised by

different levels of gas collection and methane

oxidation

Biodegradable waste allocated to rapidly,

moderately and slowly degrading fractions

Methodology developed to allow for retrofitting of

more efficient gas collection to existing landfill sites

Calibration of the model against field

measurements of emissions at a number of

landfills

Emission rates for 1990 estimated at 1.12

million tonnes (90% confidence range 0.7 to

1.5 million tonnes), compared with site

measurements made by NPL and then scaled

up to produce a UK estimate of 1.04 million

tonnes. The model covered the period 1990 to

2012.

Land Quality

Management

Ltd (LQM)

(2003)

Addition of new scenarios and projections for waste

sent to landfill were added

Revised DOC and DOCF parameter values, and rate

constants, adopted using the approach developed

for site specific methane assessment with the

GasSim model

Implemented a mechanistic model for methane

oxidation, allowing much higher rates of oxidation

Incorporated survey data to estimate methane

recovery from utilisation and flare stack capacity.

A new method of calculating DOC, based on

cellulose and hemicellulose content of the

waste was adopted. The revised model

increased the estimate of methane generation

to almost 3 million tonnes in 1990 (compared

with ~1.8 million tonnes methane generated for

the AEA model).

Implementation of the new approach to

methane oxidation and methane recovery

meant that emissions of methane remained

comparable with NPL and AEA estimates. Time

was extended to 2025.

Golder

Associates

(2005)

The time line of the model was extended from

2025 to 2050, with new waste arisings data

New MSW arisings data based on the LAWRRD

model and new C&I waste arisings data were

incorporated from 2005

The module for calculating methane oxidation

introduced by LQM was discontinued and fixed

rates of recovery were introduced from 2005

onwards.

MELMod-UK

Complete rebuild of the model, retaining IPCC 2000

based methodology.

Scenarios for waste arisings and composition

developed.

Removed legacy code and redundant features;

improved logic flow, usability and traceability.

Developed a system for storing input and

output datasets for scenario analysis. Included

the capability of including a new landfill type for

future analysis. Prepared user guide and

documentation sheet.

Source: AEA (2008) Revision of UK Model for Predicting Methane Emissions from Landfills Task 3

Report – Review of Methodology, Data Quality & Scope for Improvement, Report to Defra, October

2008

The new model retains the same functionality as the previous model in terms of how

emissions are calculated.

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A.2.0 Waste Quantities and Composition This Appendix is intended to highlight the approach, and data sources, used to

update the data within MELMod.

A.2.1 Municipal Waste

The data in MELMod are shown in Table A 2 and Table A 3. The total quantity

landfilled is shown in graphic form in Figure A 1. The following are surprising features

of the quantitative and compositional data:

a) MELMod suggests a pronounced increase in landfilled MSW in the period from

1995 to 2001. This peak bears no resemblance to the reality (see below). In

the second half of the 1990s, the view that commonly prevailed was that:

1. Municipal waste would grow at a fairly rapid rate; and

2. Recycling achievement would be limited.

It was anticipated, therefore, that quantities of landfill would grow significantly

before alternative treatments, mostly incineration, „came in‟ to plug the landfill

diversion „gap‟ required to meet the Landfill Directive targets. Virtually every

aspect of these projections has been shown to be incorrect:

a. Municipal waste has not grown as rapidly as was anticipated, especially

in the years post 2000 (this is recognised by the AEA review43);

b. Recycling rates have proceeded far more quickly to levels beyond those

which had previously been considered very challenging (this is not

recognised by the AEA review, but it might be expected to have

implications for waste composition since not all materials are recycled

to the same extent); and

c. As a consequence, the „hump‟ in landfill has been much less

pronounced than was anticipated;

b) Some special attention appears to have been given to both „stabilised

residues‟ and to „incinerator ash‟ in recent years (with no similar „special

consideration‟ being given to anything else). The provenance of the figures for

incinerator ash and of stabilised residues is unclear. It seems highly unlikely

that 1.13 million tonnes of stabilised waste would be landfilled in 2010. This

would require the capacity for treatments generating such residues to be of

the order of 2 million tonnes, well in excess of the total current capacity for

such facilities.

c) In terms of composition:

43 AEA (2008) Revision of UK Model for Predicting Methane Emissions from Landfills Task 3 Report –

Review of Methodology, Data Quality & Scope for Improvement, Report to Defra, October 2008

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i. As a general comment, one would expect considerable change in the

composition of waste landfilled over time given the significant increase

in recycling over the period under examination. In addition, the „official‟

view of MSW composition in England moved fairly swiftly away from the

„1995‟ view following the publication of Parfitt‟s review of the

composition of municipal waste for the Strategy Unit in 2002 (relating,

evidently, to data from earlier years).44 This was broadly consistent with

data from a composition study carried out for the Welsh Assembly

Government, updated work for Defra in England, and more recent

analysis for Scottish Government.45 MELMod, on the other hand,

employs outdated composition data from the early 1990s through to

the present day even though the data in the model has been updated

since the publication of Parfitt‟s work. There are also reasons to doubt

the accuracy of earlier datasets since those developed over the last

decade are showing a degree of consistency across the composition of

key biodegradable fractions in the local authority managed waste

stream (paper, card, food and garden waste). The 1995 dataset, on the

other hand, suggests a very different waste composition to that which

was being suggested only 7 years later;

ii. The categories into which waste is split in MELMod are shown in Table

A 2 and Table A 3 below. It is unclear to us why the model would

assume, as MELMod does, that all landfilled putrescibles are

„composted putrescibles‟ from 1995 onwards;

iii. The categories „paper and card‟ and „putrescible‟ are possibly too blunt.

Even the IPCC‟s own model recommends different parameters for food

waste and for garden waste, and there are probably good reasons for

doing so based on the quite different biochemical constituents of the

different „putrescible‟ materials (see Appendix A.3.0 below);46

44 Julian Parfitt (2002) Analysis of Household Waste Composition and Factors Driving Waste Increases,

Report to the Prime Minister‟s Strategy Unit, November 2002.

http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/media/cabinetoffice/strategy/assets/composition.pdf

45 AEAT (2003) The Composition of Municipal Waste in Wales. National Assembly for Wales

(NAW)/AEAT Technology - December 2003.

46 See IPCC (2006) IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (2006): Chapter 3 - Solid

Waste Disposal, http://www.ipcc-

nggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/pdf/5_Volume5/V5_3_Ch3_SWDS.pdf

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Table A 2: Quantitative Data for MSW in MELMod

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Paper and card 5.76 6.04 6.31 6.59 6.87 7.63 7.92 8.36 8.30 8.65 8.73 8.51 8.61 8.37 8.07 7.66 6.87 6.35 5.80 4.91 3.95

Dense plastics 0.93 1.00 1.07 1.15 1.22 2.62 2.72 2.88 2.85 2.97 3.44 3.37 3.41 3.31 3.20 3.03 2.72 2.52 2.30 1.94 1.56

Film plastics

(until 1995) 0.86 0.92 0.98 1.04 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Textiles 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.43 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.54 0.59 0.58 0.58 0.57 0.55 0.52 0.46 0.43 0.39 0.33 0.27

Misc. combustible

(plus non-inert

fines from 1995)

0.98 1.14 1.31 1.49 1.68 1.91 1.98 2.09 2.08 2.16 2.51 2.45 2.48 2.41 2.32 2.20 1.98 1.83 1.67 1.41 1.14

Misc. non-

combustible

(plus inert fines

from 1995)

0.43 0.42 0.41 0.39 0.37 2.14 2.23 2.35 2.33 2.43 2.34 2.28 2.31 2.24 2.16 2.05 1.84 1.70 1.55 1.32 1.06

Putrescible 4.02 4.07 4.12 4.15 4.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Composted

Putrescibles 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 5.20 5.49 5.45 5.68 5.62 5.48 5.54 5.39 5.20 4.93 4.42 4.09 3.73 3.16 2.54

Glass 1.72 1.78 1.83 1.88 1.93 2.14 2.23 2.35 2.33 2.43 2.25 2.19 2.22 2.16 2.08 1.97 1.77 1.64 1.50 1.26 1.02

Ferrous metal 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.18 1.18 1.43 1.49 1.57 1.56 1.62 1.48 1.44 1.46 1.42 1.37 1.30 1.16 1.08 0.98 0.83 0.67

Non-ferrous metal

and Al cans 0.19 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.33 0.48 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.54 0.58 0.57 0.57 0.56 0.54 0.51 0.46 0.42 0.39 0.33 0.26

Non-inert fines 1.45 1.45 1.43 1.41 1.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Inert fines 0.19 0.15 0.11 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Incinerator Ash 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.23 0.27 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.57

Stabilised

Residues 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.09 0.09 0.16 0.31 0.44 1.13

TOTAL 18.19 18.84 19.47 20.09 20.71 23.83 24.76 26.14 25.94 27.03 27.54 27.08 27.39 26.62 25.74 24.55 21.93 20.37 18.79 16.10 14.17

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Table A 3: Composition Data for MSW in MELMod

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Paper and card 32% 32% 32% 33% 33% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 31% 30% 28%

Dense plastics 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11%

Film plastics (until

1995) 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Textiles 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

Misc. combustible

(plus non-inert fines

from 1995) 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8%

Misc. non-

combustible

(plus inert fines from

1995) 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8%

Putrescible 22% 22% 21% 21% 20% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Composted

Putrescibles 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 18%

Glass 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7%

Ferrous metal 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

Non-ferrous metal

and Al cans 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

Non-inert fines 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Inert fines 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Incinerator Ash 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 4%

Stabilised Residues 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 3% 8%

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Figure A 1: Change in Quantity Landfilled

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

MSW

/ L

oca

l A

uth

ori

ty C

olle

cte

d W

aste

Lan

dfi

lled

in

th

e U

K (

mill

ion

to

nn

es)

Year

TOTAL MSW Landfilled

iv. The category „Paper and card‟ includes materials with widely varying

biochemical constituents, and thus are recycled (and hence landfilled)

to quite different degrees. Because more up-to-date composition data

exists regarding quantities of waste generated, and quantities recycled,

then in principle, it becomes possible to make use of a more detailed

list of categories.

v. The IPCC model also includes relevant parameters for wood. Wood

does not appear at all in the list of municipal waste materials in

MELMod (other than, presumably, as part of „miscellaneous

combustible‟ material);

vi. Lumping categories into „miscellaneous combustible‟ or „miscellaneous

non-combustible‟ is not especially helpful, and as far as possible, we

take the view that such general categories should be avoided insofar as

they refer to groups of materials which contribute to landfill gas

generation. Included in this category are materials such as nappies,

which the IPCC lists as a separate category (and whose degradation

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characteristics are deemed very different from those of „wood and

straw‟); and

vii. Stabilised residues (if this refers to biologically stabilised residues) are

not 100% inert, as is assumed in MELMod.47

Taking these matters into account, the MELMod estimate of GHGs from

landfilling of municipal waste is derived, therefore, from modelling of the 6

emboldened categories in Table A 4 below. In practice, the modelling relates

only to 4 categories since „Non-inert fines‟ have been added in to

„miscellaneous combustibles‟ over recent years, and there are no landfilled

„Putrescible‟ materials, only landfilled „Composted putrescibles‟.

Table A 4: Material Categorisation Used in MELMod for Municipal Waste

Municipal Waste Categories

Paper and card Glass

Dense plastics Ferrous metal

Film plastics (until 1995) Non-ferrous metal and Al cans

Textiles Non-inert fines

Misc. combustible (plus non-inert fines from

1995) Inert fines

Misc. non-combustible (plus inert fines from

1995) Incinerator Ash

Putrescible Stabilised Residues

Composted Putrescibles

Of these 4 remaining categories:

i. the way in which activity data is being reported to „composted

putrescibles‟ is incorrect. There are some composted putrescibles

which are landfilled. To the extent that these warrant a separate

category, they ought to be reported under commercial and industrial

waste rather than under municipal / local authority managed waste;

ii. the modelling of paper and card as one category is more blunt than

might be desirable (as it ignores the widely varying lignin content of

different components of the paper and card stream – see Section A.3.2

for further discussion); and

iii. the modelling of the category „miscellaneous combustibles‟ makes it

difficult to understand what is really being modelled (and what the

47 This is especially true in the UK where there is no minimum level of pre-treatment for biologically

stabilised wastes. Instead, the landfill allowance schemes (LASs) allow wastes to be landfilled with

varying potentials to generate methane (though with some variation in policy across England and the

devolved administrations).

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justification is for the choice of parameters). It also makes it impossible

to understand what the effect might be of removing a sub-category of

„miscellaneous combustibles‟, such as wood, from landfill. The removal

of any „miscellaneous combustible‟ from landfill has the same impact,

whether it is wood, nappies, the food fraction of non-inert fines, or

synthetic rubber.

A.2.2 Commercial, Industrial and C&D Waste

The quality of UK data on commercial waste is rather poor, though attempts are being

made to improve this. In England, which accounts for the majority of C&I waste, only

two significant surveys have been carried out, both on behalf of the Environment

Agency (in 1997 and 2002/3). A further survey is ongoing at the time of writing.

There have been some attempts to understand the nature and quantity of

commercial and industrial waste more recently.48 However, these have not managed

to give a clear picture of the quantity, composition, and management of the

commercial and industrial waste streams.

This poses a challenge to the launch of a review.

Even so, some points do emerge:

a) In every year since 2002, the quantities of general commercial, general

industrial, and C&D waste landfilled have remained constant in MELMod. This

is likely to be correct only by coincidence, as all indications (for example,

landfill tax returns) suggest that something very different is happening to what

the data in MELMod suggests;

b) MELMod data indicates that since 1990, the quantities of general commercial

and general industrial waste landfilled have grown at an identical rate (they

remain in fixed proportions). This seems unlikely given the likely ongoing shift

in total C&I arisings from industrial to commercial over the period, reflecting

the change in the structure of economic activity in the UK.

This highlights the need for some analysis of that data which is available to impart

some rationale to the way in which the figures change over time.

The breakdown of the non-municipal wastes by category leaves, as in the case of

municipal waste, much to be desired (see Table A 5). Consistently, the largest fraction

being landfilled in recent years in MELMod (apart from C&D waste, which MELMod

treats as largely inert – see Table A 15 below) has been „Commercial Waste‟ (see

Table A 6), which represents, presumably, a mixed commercial waste fraction.

The problem with this is that it allows for no change in the characteristics of this large

fraction as progressively more material is recycled from the commercial stream (as

48 ADAS (2009) National Study into Commercial and Industrial Waste Arisings, Final report for EERA;

Urban Mines (2009) Welsh C&I Survey 2007/08, Report to WAG; SEPA (2007) Scotland Business

Waste Survey 2006; MEL and EnviroCentre (2002) Industrial and Commercial Waste Production in

Northern Ireland, Final Report to the Northern Ireland Environment and Heritage Service.

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seems likely in the wake of rising landfill tax). In other words, removing biodegradable

elements for recycling / composting / digestion would not change how this (large)

mass of material behaves in the model as its composition changes (because the

model does not allow its changing composition to be reflected in its behaviour). It

should be noted that the composition of this waste stream in the total non-municipal

stream remains constant post 2001 (see Table A 7).

It would be desirable to split the commercial waste fraction into component parts as

far as possible, not least since the aim should be to understand how residual

commercial / industrial waste is changing over time, and how initiatives which

improve recycling of specific components of the commercial stream could contribute

to reducing GHG emissions. Having said this, the poor quality of the available data

presents significant obstacles, as we shall see.

Table A 5: Material Categorisation Used in MELMod for Non-municipal Wastes

Non-Municipal Waste Categories

Paper and card Blast furnace and steel slag

General industrial waste Construction/demolition

Food solids Sewage sludge

Food effluent Textiles

Abattoir waste Wood

Misc processes Industrial Putrescibles

Other waste Metals

Power station ash

The same applies to three other major categories, „General Industrial Waste‟,

„Miscellaneous Processes‟ and „Other Waste‟. Along with „Commercial waste‟, these 4

broad categories accounted for more than 30.6 million tonnes of the 38.9 million

tonnes of C&I waste (i.e. excluding construction and demolition wastes) assumed to

be landfilled in 2007 within MELMod (see Table A 6). The categorisation of these

materials, in terms of how they might behave in a landfill, cannot be estimated in any

meaningful way, so as long as the model is set up so that most landfilled waste

reports to these categories, it will not produce accurate results. That having been

said, as long as better data on commercial and industrial waste is not forthcoming –

see below - it remains largely beyond criticism. What one can say is that the modelled

figures are highly unlikely to be correct.

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Table A 6: Quantitative Data for Commercial, Industrial and Construction and Demolition Wastes in MELMod

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Commercial 14.11 14.23 14.34 14.46 14.58 14.70 14.62 14.35 15.68 15.64 15.60 15.55 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51

Paper and card 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.19 0.22 0.26 0.30 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.34

General industrial waste 8.87 8.89 8.92 8.95 8.97 9.00 9.09 9.17 10.43 10.55 10.66 10.78 10.89 10.89 10.89 10.89 10.89 10.89 10.89 10.89 10.89

Food solids 2.35 2.36 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.40 1.53 0.85 0.41 0.33 0.24 0.16 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08

Food effluent 13.87 13.95 14.02 14.10 14.17 14.25 9.12 5.12 2.55 2.07 1.58 1.10 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62

Abattoir waste 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 1.40 0.92 0.54 0.28 0.23 0.18 0.13 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08

Misc processes 15.07 15.11 15.16 15.21 15.25 15.30 10.75 7.00 4.57 3.99 3.40 2.81 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23 2.23

Other waste 1.68 1.69 1.69 1.69 1.70 1.70 3.09 3.83 4.43 4.31 4.19 4.08 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.96 3.96

Power station ash 6.40 6.42 6.44 6.46 6.48 6.50 5.52 4.56 4.07 3.83 3.59 3.36 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12 3.12

Blast furnace and steel

slag 1.77 1.78 1.78 1.79 1.79 1.80 1.82 1.80 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99

Construction/demolition 16.20 15.84 15.48 15.12 14.76 14.40 21.59 25.44 29.27 28.71 28.15 27.59 27.03 27.03 27.03 27.03 27.03 27.03 27.03 27.03 27.03

Sewage sludge 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11

Textiles

Wood

Industrial Putrescibles

Metals

Total 81.83 81.77 81.72 81.66 81.61 81.56 78.17 72.86 74.01 71.99 69.98 67.96 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94

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Table A 7: Composition Data for Commercial, Industrial and Construction and Demolition Wastes in MELMod

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Commercial 17.2% 17.4% 17.6% 17.7% 17.9% 18.0% 18.7% 19.7% 21.2% 21.7% 22.3% 22.9% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 23.5% 15.51

Paper and card 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.34

General industrial waste 10.8% 10.9% 10.9% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.6% 12.6% 14.1% 14.6% 15.2% 15.9% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 16.5% 10.89

Food solids 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.08

Food effluent 17.0% 17.1% 17.2% 17.3% 17.4% 17.5% 11.7% 7.0% 3.4% 2.9% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.62

Abattoir waste 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.08

Misc processes 18.4% 18.5% 18.6% 18.6% 18.7% 18.8% 13.8% 9.6% 6.2% 5.5% 4.9% 4.1% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 2.23

Other waste 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.0% 3.96

Power station ash 7.8% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 8.0% 7.1% 6.3% 5.5% 5.3% 5.1% 4.9% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 3.12

Blast furnace and steel slag 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 1.99

Construction/demolition 19.8% 19.4% 18.9% 18.5% 18.1% 17.7% 27.6% 34.9% 39.6% 39.9% 40.2% 40.6% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0% 27.03

Sewage sludge 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.11

Textiles

Wood

Industrial Putrescibles

Metals

Total 81.83 81.77 81.72 81.66 81.61 81.56 78.17 72.86 74.01 71.99 69.98 67.96 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94 65.94

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This coincidence is (happily, given the direction of travel in terms of landfilled waste)

not one which has arisen, at least in terms of overall quantities landfilled. We note, in

passing, that in every year since 2002, MELMod has assumed that 38.9 million

tonnes of C&I waste (i.e. excluding the construction and demolition waste element)

was being landfilled. Landfill tax returns show that the total of all active wastes

landfilled (i.e. including all municipal waste landfilled) has been below this figure in all

years since 2007/8. This alone suggests that, given that much of this is likely to be

subject to higher rate tax, MELMod figures probably overstate the quantity of C&I

waste landfilled, perhaps significantly. This is not surprising, perhaps, given that the

last time projections were made, the known future levels of landfill tax were well

below those which have subsequently been announced.

A.2.3 Construction and Demolition Wastes

The figures for landfilled C&D wastes are also shown in Table A 6.

As sorting of the inert fraction from the active fraction has proceeded (in response to

the landfill tax and other initiatives, such as, in England, the mandating of Site Waste

Management Plans for projects in excess of £300,000 by value), the remaining

fraction of C&D waste looks less „inert‟ than was previously the case. Indeed, it

contains, typically, wood, paper and card, and other biodegradable fractions

(sometimes other forms of vegetation).

MELMod does not treat this material as wholly inert (it treats it as 90% inert, though

because of the way in which the dry matter influences the quantity of degradable

carbon, the material is effectively modelled as containing roughly the same amount of

degradable carbon – tonne for tonne – as municipal food waste). It would be

desirable, clearly, to understand how the make-up of residual C&D waste is changing

over time (it does not change at all in MELMod).49

The quantitative data is clearly incorrect and needs updating. The task of

disentangling the composition of C&D waste is clearly challenging.

A.2.4 Our Approach

In order to understand the quantity and composition of waste landfilled, one is

seeking to understand the composition of the waste which:

1. Remains after recycling and composting / anaerobic digestion and reuse;

2. Are residues from treatment / sorting processes;

3. But are not being sent to other means of residual waste management

(incineration, MBT etc.).

49 At the other end of the spectrum, the SEPA Waste Data Digest 10 suggests that mixed C&D waste

landfilled is 60% biodegradable.

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In the case of local authority collected (LAC) waste, in the ideal case, this composition

calculation would be estimated, for local authority collected waste, at the level of

each local authority since:

1. Each local authority‟s waste composition will be specific to the authority;

2. Its recycling performance will be specific to the authority;

3. Its residual waste composition will, therefore, be specific to the authority; and

4. The destination of each local authority‟s residual waste may or may not be

landfill (and where some or all of it is, it might be that specific fractions – e.g.

residual HWRC waste – are landfilled).

The basis for resorting to this ideal case simply does not exist at present (though with

some care, it might well do so in future – the task is certainly far from impossible).

Similarly, for businesses, the analysis would ideally happen at the level of the

enterprise and would then be grossed up. This is clearly unrealistic, and as we shall

see below, the quality of the currently available data is a very long way indeed from

being able to make even second best (for example, sectoral) approaches possible.

Time series data for arisings, composition and the fate (in terms of treatment /

disposal) of commercial and industrial waste is of extremely poor quality.

A word of caution is also required at this stage. Implicit within MELMod, and its

predecessor, the national assessment model, is that the emissions of methane from

landfill are closely linked to the composition of the waste being landfilled. The same is

implied in other multi-phase models, such as that proposed by the IPCC. There is a

discussion to be had regarding the relative influence of the nature of the landfill, the

nature of the overall mix of material landfilled, and the nature of individual materials

being landfilled in terms of overall emissions.

Our point of departure has been to maintain a model which gives outputs which are

sensitive to waste composition, and which can, as a result, indicate the likely effect of

policies which may target one or more specific materials in the waste stream. As

such, the underlying assumption is that the aim is to improve the accuracy, and the

resolution, of the data already within a model which is seeking to be sensitive to

waste composition.

The approach we have taken is described below.

A.2.4.1 Local Authority Collected Waste

We have concentrated on improving the historic data in MELMod through the

empirical data which exists in Departmental reports and strategies. We have done

this with a view to making improvements in the model more generally. We have taken

the view that in the absence of a „bottom up‟ local authority-specific approach, we

should use a more top down approach. The basic approach is to:

Obtain the most applicable data on the quantity of waste which was generated in the

year in question;

1. Use the most applicable (in the year in question) composition breakdown for

all MSW;;

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2. Gather data on the quantity and composition of waste which was recycled in

the year (this is not entirely straightforward as some datasets refer only to

waste collected for recycling whilst others refer to waste recycled);

3. Obtain, as a result, a composition of the residual waste;

4. Apply this composition to the tonnage of waste which is landfilled according to

the best available data on MSW.

As far as possible, we have sought to make this approach „country specific‟. We stress

again that we have based this on existing published sources. There are reasons why

one might question the accuracy of some of these (the more so, the further back we

go). We comment on some of these issues in passing but do not offer a complete

critical review of all datasets.

England

For England, the following sources have been used:

1. For quantities generated, Defra statistics (working back in time through

successive tables);50

2. For composition of total MSW, we have used:

a. For 1995, the data in Waste Strategy 2000, which was also the

composition used to report to EUROSTAT the proportion of MSW which

was thought to be biodegradable (it should be noted here that other

DAs chose to base their LAS system accounting on different proportions

from that used in England);

b. For 2000/01, the work of Parfitt undertaken for the Strategy Unit;51

c. For 2006/7 onward, the update of that work by Resource Futures (also

Julian Parfitt‟s work).52

3. The current situation in MELMod is shown in Figure A 2. For the quantities

recycled, the data for the 3 most recent years come from Waste DataFlow.53

For earlier years, the data comes from statistics reported by Defra. The data

are in a more „aggregated‟ form in these earlier years, and we have made

certain assumptions regarding how some categories are split (for example, the

50 In some cases, for older data, it has been necessary to use the Defra reports, and these frequently

report data which is not statistically robust. Some assumptions have been made to fill in these gaps

where necessary.

51 Julian Parfitt (2002) Analysis of Household Waste Composition and Factors Driving Waste Increases,

Report to the Prime Minister‟s Strategy Unit, November 2002.

http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/media/cabinetoffice/strategy/assets/composition.pdf

52 Resource Futures (2010) Municipal Waste Composition: Review of Municipal Waste Component

Analyses, Report to Defra, WR0119,

http://randd.defra.gov.uk/Document.aspx?Document=WR0119_8662_FRP.pdf

53 We are grateful to Isabella Hayes from Defra‟s Waste Statistics branch for her assistance in this

respect.

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split between paper and card, or the split of „compost‟ between food, garden,

paper and card). These splits have been made based upon a combination of

recent data (i.e. the more recent studies of composition or the more recent

figures from Waste Dataflow) and/or knowledge regarding what systems were

operating in previous years (for example, we know that very little food waste

was being collected from households for composting in the years prior to

2003);

4. This data is used to estimate the composition of residual waste in England.

The quantities of different materials sent to landfill are then based upon this

composition, multiplied by the quantity of waste sent to landfill. This latter

figure comes from Defra statistics.

Figure A 2: Changes in Waste Composition Over Time in MELMod (note the x-axis is

not scaled to the time intervals - this graphic shows the movements over time in key

fractions)

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%

1970 1973 1976 1980 1982 1990

Inert fines

Non-ferrous metal and Al cans

Misc. non-combustible (plus inert fines from 1995)

Misc. combustible (plus non-inert fines from 1995)

Textiles

Film plastics (until 1995)

Dense plastics

Ferrous metal

Non-inert fines

Glass

Putrescible

Paper and card

Scotland

For Scotland, the following sources have been used:

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1. Arisings data has been taken from the SEPA Waste Data Digests;54

2. For composition of total MSW, we have used:

a. Prior to 2006/7, we have used data from the 2002/3 Data Digest. This

data actually applies only to household waste;55

b. After 2006/7, we have used more recent composition data for MSW

from a separate study;56

3. For recycling, by material, we have again drawn on the successive Waste Data

Digests. Note that we have not considered the recycling of materials from

incineration and MBT as the approach here is to understand the composition

of residual waste as sent to all treatment / disposal processes through

subtracting the materials recycled before residual waste treatment / disposal

from the total quantity of material;

This has enabled us to estimate the residual waste composition, and using the Waste

Data Digest estimates of what is landfilled, to estimate the quantity and composition

of landfilled material.

Wales

For Wales, figures from 1996/7 to 2006/7 have been supplied by the Welsh

Assembly Government.57 The methodology used in the figures provided by WAG is

essentially the same as we have used for England. It makes use of the composition

data derived from a study undertaken by AEA for WAG (using this for years back to

1996/7).58 The composition data used for most recent years is an adapted form of

this, and reflects the findings of work undertaken by Eunomia for WAG (in which it

was found that if the AEA composition was used, the capture of specific materials for

recycling was calculated to be in excess of 100%. As a consequence, we adapted the

data to ensure that captures greater than 100% could not be realised).59 The most

recent years have made use of more recent statistics from StatsWales.60

Northern Ireland

For Northern Ireland, the following sources have been used:

54 See Waste Data Digest, http://www.sepa.org.uk/waste/waste_data/waste_data_digest.aspx

55 SEPA (2004) Waste Data Digest 4 (2002 and 2002/3 Data),

http://www.sepa.org.uk/waste/waste_data/waste_data_digest.aspx

56 WastesWork and AEA (2010) The Composition of Municipal Solid Waste in Scotland, Final Report for

Zero Waste Scotland, April 2010.

57 We are grateful to Rhiannon Jones of WAG for supplying this data.

58 AEAT (2003) The Composition of Municipal Waste in Wales. National Assembly for Wales

(NAW)/AEAT Technology - December 2003.

59 See Eunomia (2008) Scoping New Municipal Waste Targets for Wales, Report for the Welsh Local

Government Association and the Welsh Assembly Government.

60 Seethe statswales website at

http://www.statswales.wales.gov.uk/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx

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1. Arisings data for Northern Ireland has been taken from the Municipal Data

Reporting of the Northern Ireland Environment Agency (NIEA).61 For earlier

years, data is scarce. We have estimated mass flows for 1995/96 to 1997/98

using „snippets‟ from the Northern Ireland Waste Strategy;62

2. For composition of total MSW, we have used:

a. Prior to 2006/7, we have used data for household waste from a 2001

study;63

b. After 2006/7, we have used more recent composition data for MSW

from a separate study;64

3. For recycling, by material, we have again drawn on the successive reports from

the Northern Ireland Environment Agency;

This has enabled us to estimate the residual waste composition, and using the NIEA

data regarding what has been landfilled, to estimate both the quantity and

composition of landfilled material.

United Kingdom

Data regarding he total quantity of MSW landfilled are taken from the constituent

countries. As can be seen below (in Figure A 3) the waste quantities into MELMod

appear to have been too low in the early years in the period which we have reviewed,

but too high in years after 2002/3. One possible reason for this is that it was

surprisingly common, in our experience, for analysts to assume that English data (or

England and Wales data) was representative of the UK. Evidently, the more recent

divergences relate to the fact that no one has updated projections initially made back

in the late 1990s.

On composition, the data has presented several challenges. As discussed above for

England, nationally representative composition datasets tend to be produced on an

occasional basis. The material classifications used vary across the countries, and for

any one country, between analyses. As a result, one has to consider the appropriate

classification of materials to use, with a view to the landfill modelling. This also has to

take into account that the way in which materials are categorised in terms of what

has been recycled / composted / digested also varies over time.

This led us to develop a „reduced form‟ for „waste arising‟, „recycled / reused

materials‟ and residual waste. The materials used in this reduced form are shown in

Table A 8. In this classification, everything non-biodegradable falls into the category

„other‟. This includes categories of material currently listed in MELMod, such as

Dense Plastics, Film Plastics, Miscellaneous Non-combustibles, Inert Fines, Glass,

61 See http://www.ni-environment.gov.uk/waste-home/municipal_data_reporting.htm

62 We are grateful to Adrian Fitzpatrick for supplying historic data in electronic form and for guiding us

through the available data, as well as that which is not available.

63 Northern Ireland Household Waste Characterisation Study NI 2000, 2001 (Table 3.1).

64 RPS (2008) Review of Municipal Waste Component Analysis (Northern Ireland), 2008

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Ferrous metal, Non-ferrous metal and aluminium cans. There seems to be no point at

all in retaining these multiple categories in MELMod when they have no bearing on

methane emissions (hence, the rationale for the encompassing nature of our „Other‟

category).

For England in particular, the treatment of composition data highlighted a key issue:

i. Whether one accepts the 1995 data as being an accurate representation of

waste composition at the time; and

ii. If one does, how should one „engineer‟ the transition from one composition

dataset to another over the period assessed.

One solution considered was to ignore the 1995 dataset altogether and extrapolate

backwards using the more recent composition figures. However, the approach

requested by Defra has been to smooth the transition from one set of composition

estimates to the other over the periods between revisions of the composition data.

This was achieved through linear interpolation between these years of the quantity of

the material landfilled, though normalised back to ensure total landfill quantities

remained as intended in the „raw‟ calculations. This avoids discontinuities in the

quantity of a given waste landfilled from one year to the next owing to sudden

changes in waste composition (which would otherwise result from the use of different

datasets). The „unsmoothed‟ and „smoothed‟ datasets are shown in Note that

furniture and mattresses are treated as composite materials. On a fresh matter

basis, furniture in MSW is assumed to be 62% wood and 5% textiles; mattresses are

considered to be 50% textiles (clearly these are only the biodegradable components).

Figure A 4 and Figure A 5 below.

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Figure A 3: Comparison between MELMod and Proposed Revision

0

5000000

10000000

15000000

20000000

25000000

30000000

Ton

ne

s M

SW L

and

fille

d

MELMod

Proposed revision

Table A 8: Proposed Material Classifications for Establishing Composition of

Landfilled Waste

Proposed Material Classification

Paper Soil and other organic waste

Card Wood

Textiles (and footwear) Sanitary / disposable nappies

Miscellaneous combustibles Furniture

Food Mattresses

Garden Other

Note that furniture and mattresses are treated as composite materials. On a fresh

matter basis, furniture in MSW is assumed to be 62% wood and 5% textiles;

mattresses are considered to be 50% textiles (clearly these are only the

biodegradable components).

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Figure A 4: Evolution of Landfilled Local Authority Managed Waste by Waste Type,

Composition „Unsmoothed‟ („000 tonnes)

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Other

Mattresses

Furniture

Sanitary / disposable nappies

Wood

Soil and other organic waste

Garden

Food

Miscellaneous combustibles

Textiles (and footwear)

Card

Paper

Figure A 5: Evolution of Landfilled Local Authority Managed Waste by Waste Type,

Composition „Smoothed‟ Between 1995-2001 („000 tonnes)

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Other

Mattresses

Furniture

Sanitary / disposable nappies

Wood

Soil and other organic waste

Garden

Food

Miscellaneous combustibles

Textiles (and footwear)

Card

Paper

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In our proposal, we stated our intent

to broaden the categorisation of materials to the extent that:

1. The quality of composition data allows; and

2. The expansion of the list of materials is meaningful.

We went on to say:

In practice, this is likely to lead to:

a) A splitting of „Putrescibles‟ to give separate figures for Garden waste and

Food waste. Collection systems work to target these in different ways, and

the biochemical characteristics of the materials are very different (see

below);

b) Expanding the category „Paper and Card‟ which is too blunt at present. It

fails to recognise the different biochemical composition of the different

paper and card fractions. In particular, newsprint, which is relatively high

in lignin content (and therefore, generally more recalcitrant to degradation

in landfills) is already targeted for collection by recycling operations

because of the quantity available and the value of the material. The

suggestion is that the relative rates of capture of different paper and card

streams will affect the degradability of that fraction of the „Paper and card‟

stream which still finds its way to landfill

c) Inclusion of „wood‟ as a separate category (this does not appear as a

separate category at present, and the relevance to policy of generating

renewable energy from woody wastes suggests a specific focus is

warranted). One problem with „wood‟ is that some wood is also found in

the category recorded as „furniture‟ in most waste analyses. We propose to

make an estimate of the proportion of furniture which is wood, and to set

this as a variable in the model;

d) Inclusion of „nappies‟ as a separate category (this does not appear as a

separate category at present but composition data allows for this to be

done); and

e) Splitting out textiles into non-biodegradable and biodegradable textiles so

as to allow for an estimate of the change which may occur as shifts in

consumption patterns take place;

We would remain indifferent to the aggregation of, for example, plastics as one

group of materials, or glass, etc. because these do not give rise to relevant

emissions. There may be some merit, however, in assessing the picture in respect

of „biodegradable‟ plastics with an eye to the future.

We note also that figures are in place for „Composted putrescibles‟. We believe

this is a relevant category but should be re-labelled „stabilised biowastes‟. One

problem here is that the UK has no defined standard for „stability‟ so that in

future, wastes with varying levels of stability will be consigned to landfill. We

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propose to investigate the potential for sub-categories of such waste,

representing varying levels of pre-treatment of the waste.

With these categories in place, we would seek to review the available evidence in

respect of waste arisings and waste composition to review data over the past

fifteen years. Eunomia has carried out a number of policy projects over the past

decade where this type of analysis has been necessary. We propose to draw upon

these reports, which are in the public domain, as the basis for such estimates.

We have managed to do this for the MSW stream. We have also kept „furniture‟ as a

separate category. Furniture has been assigned a composition of 5% textiles and 62%

wood. Textiles are reported a „textiles and footwear‟ since this is the category

reported by the main composition analyses.

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Table A 9: Revised Figures for Landfilled Local Authority Managed Waste (Municipal Waste) for the UK (tonnes)

1995/96 1996/1997 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007

Paper 5,988,937 5,325,247 5,075,239 4,511,984 4,159,711 3,655,984 3,769,188 3,760,145 3,633,752 3,546,697 3,245,393 3,046,934

Card 1,921,165 1,703,795 1,616,612 1,432,222 1,316,817 1,151,434 1,255,161 1,315,672 1,322,296 1,353,753 1,301,879 1,282,904

Textiles (and footwear) 594,250 624,561 699,106 737,030 811,593 855,630 886,243 873,827 868,558 852,475 792,825 786,586

Miscellaneous combustibles 330,231 328,500 348,890 352,565 380,331 384,712 464,653 544,342 582,804 646,098 664,723 848,899

Food 5,424,359 5,290,261 5,555,858 5,509,110 5,709,859 5,726,952 6,006,865 6,117,595 5,968,800 6,006,076 5,708,885 5,548,669

Garden 1,870,139 2,467,310 3,229,041 3,834,326 4,589,298 5,231,592 4,922,068 4,398,287 3,782,905 3,053,382 2,250,167 1,475,826

Soil and other organic waste - 163,722 343,728 505,770 684,070 852,760 834,274 785,631 708,675 633,060 533,329 464,987

Wood 988,282 983,604 1,055,427 1,066,339 1,125,196 1,148,878 1,117,572 1,047,798 924,108 793,964 652,900 529,849

Sanitary / disposable nappies 542,623 531,273 559,242 558,828 572,784 578,192 634,909 684,319 701,576 726,589 718,992 740,337

Furniture 356,194 353,423 375,834 377,958 399,551 405,558 424,959 433,783 429,547 426,897 406,137 406,683

Mattresses - - - - - - 10,738 22,030 32,731 43,225 51,074 60,862

Other 8,443,883 7,979,258 8,123,726 7,785,868 7,807,565 7,582,865 7,738,168 7,641,918 7,287,850 6,968,141 6,336,048 6,141,309

TOTAL 26,460,062 25,750,955 26,982,702 26,672,000 27,556,774 27,574,555 28,064,798 27,625,347 26,243,602 25,050,357 22,662,352 21,333,845

Note: It is appreciated that the figures suggest an unjustified level of accuracy – we merely show the figures in their entirety as

calculated for completeness.

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In future, it would be desirable to have a better split – both in terms of total arisings

and in terms of recycled materials – of both paper and card. This is because the sub-

categories have such differing biochemical constituents. The collection of data for

recycling, and the way in which composition data is reported, do not always allow a

ready match between the two.

We believe it would make sense in future for MELMod to have a „frontsheet‟ which

models the management of waste materials over time so that the landfilled quantities

„fall out‟ of this sheet.

A.2.4.2 Non-MSW

In embarking on an attempt to improve the data for non-MSW, it was known, at the

outset, that the quality of data would leave a great deal to be desired. It might

reasonably be asked why, given this simple fact, it was felt necessary to seek to

improve this data. There are two reasons for this:

1. The data within MELMod had not been updated to reflect the data that was

being made available over time;

2. The coarse breakdown of C&I and C&D waste within MELMod gave no insight

into what it was assumed was being landfilled from these waste streams. If for

no other reason, then with a view to having improved data in future to input

into the model (in respect of the composition of landfilled waste), the model

could be improved. We sought – on the basis of what little data is available

regarding the composition of C&I and C&D waste in the UK – to break out the

„mixed‟ categories into the key constituent biodegradable materials.

As will become clear, the data regarding both quantities and composition is far from

perfect, but we believe it represents an improvement on the existing data in MELMod,

if only for the reason that it does seek to make the best use of what little data there is

available of this nature.

For the UK as a whole, the information from HMRC on landfill tax receipts probably

provides one of the most reliable sets of data regarding the quantity of material that

has been landfilled. The merit of this data is that it provides a (broadly) consistent

time-series which can be used to generate a time series for quantities of non-MSW

sent to landfill.

It is clear, however, that this data also has its drawbacks. During the course of this

part of our work, the biggest challenge was posed by the inconsistencies across

datasets. We interrogated (and sought to find consistency between - or plausible

explanations for - any differences between) the following datasets:

1. HMRC data on quantities of waste landfilled (standard rate, lower rate and

exempt);

2. Environment Agency and SEPA site returns;

3. Defra reporting to Eurostat under the Waste Statistics Regulation.

The truth remains that one can generate plausible explanations for the differences in

data, but it is not possible to be certain about the magnitude of the contribution of

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one or other feature of the explanation to explaining the differences between

datasets. It is clear to us that there would be merit in a check on the relevant

datasets to seek to understand which factors explain which discrepancies.

The approach we took is explained in what follows.

Step 1

We gathered all available data for the 4 countries of the UK regarding construction

and demolition wastes. Sources included:

Capita Symonds with Alfatek Redox (2010) Construction, Demolition and

Excavation Waste Arisings, Use and Disposal for England 2008. CON900-001,

Final Report to WRAP

CLG Survey of Arisings and Use of Construction, Demolition and Excavation

Waste as Aggregate in England (1999, 2001, 2003 and 2005 reports)

Environment Agency Site Returns

SEPA (2008) Construction and Demolition Wastes in Scotland (2006)

http://www.sepa.org.uk/waste/waste_data/commercial__industrial_waste/co

nstruction__demolition.aspx (and similar reports from 2004 and 2005)

SEPA Waste Data Digests (1997/98 – 2008)

http://www.sepa.org.uk/waste/waste_data/waste_data_digest.aspx

SEPA Licensed/Permitted Site Returns and Exempt Activity Returns;

Environment Agency (2008) Wales Construction And Demolition Waste Arising

Survey 2005-06, http://www.environment-

agency.gov.uk/research/library/publications/33979.aspx;

Capita Symonds (2006) Survey of Arisings and Use of Construction,

Demolition and Excavation Waste as Aggregate in Northern Ireland in

2004/05 and 2005/06, Final Report to the Northern Ireland Environment and

Heritage Service, June 2006.

Enviros (2003) Environment and Heritage Service: Construction and

Demolition Waste Survey, April 2003.

Katherine Adams on behalf of the Strategic Forum for Construction (2010) CD

& E Waste: Halving Construction, Demolition and Excavation Waste to Landfill

by 2012 Compared with 2008, March 2010

http://www.strategicforum.org.uk/pdf/Waste_Draft_Part%202_22-3-10V4.pdf

Step 2

We used England data (which accounts for the bulk of construction waste in the UK)

as the basis for estimating how the composition of landfilled C&D waste has changed

over time. We used English data because this was the most often surveyed, the data

was tolerably good over a period of time (the first credible data point was from 1999),

and surveys also sought to give some indication of how much waste landfilled was

used at the site and how much was landfilled without being used. The significance of

this is explored below.

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There is very little data on the composition of C&D waste, either in total, or for the

landfilled fraction. Two sources are:

1. Environment Agency (2008) Wales Construction And Demolition Waste Arising

Survey 2005-06, http://www.environment-

agency.gov.uk/research/library/publications/33979.aspx; and

2. East of England Construction and Demolition Waste Arisings – Final report

2009

The East of England work gives a composition which relates only to „new build

construction and repair and maintenance.‟ It also gives limited break down by

„material‟, focussing instead on the type of product which becomes waste (and it

should be said that this is a more useful classification where the aim is to understand

how best to minimise waste, so it is not intended to be critical of the approach). For

this report, therefore, we have assumed that the Welsh C&D composition can be

applied to the UK. Furthermore, given the absence of any alternative sources (of

which we are aware), we have assumed that this composition has remained constant

since 1997 (the first date at which we have sought to revise the data). This is clearly a

bold assumption but one which we make in the absence of any better information

Taking the Welsh situation in 2005/6 data as a baseline, we examined how much

waste of each different type was sent to landfill in that year. The results are shown in

Table A 10. It should be mentioned that we cross-checked these figures with those

from the East of England study. The figures in that study suggest very low rates of

landfilling for „canteen / office / ad hoc‟ and „mixed‟ wastes. It may be that the

sources of this data are reporting what they are told will happen with their waste

rather than its actual fate. The inert materials, on the other hand, show similarly low

proportions being landfilled across both the Welsh and East of England studies. That

having been said, these components constitute large parts of the C&D stream so

small variations in capture for recycling and recovery can significantly affect the

assumptions regarding the composition of waste landfilled.

We have then used our judgement as to which materials would be recycled /

recovered / re-used on site and to what extent over the period since 1997 basing our

assumptions on the view that in early years, it was likely (because the standard rate

of tax was much lower, but we know that the effect on inert wastes was large) that the

inert fractions would have been recycled / recovered (for example, at sites which

were exempt from waste management licensing, or as now, exempt from

environmental permitting) / re-used at rates closer to their current levels back in

1997 than would the materials which are not inert.65 That having been said, the

proportion of C&D waste being landfilled has not, at least according to the available

data, fallen radically. According to the England data, it has dropped from around 34%

65 See ECOTEC (2000) Effects of the Landfill Tax – Reduced Disposal of Inert Wastes to Landfill, Final

Report to DETR, January 2000; D. Hogg (1999) The Effectiveness of the UK Landfill Tax: Early Indications,

in Thomas Sterner (ed.) (1999) The Market and the Environment: Environmental Implications of Market-

Based Policy Instruments, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

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in 1997 to 26% in 2008. Hence, the extent to which the modelling of radical changes

in recycled quantities proved necessary was limited.

Table A 10: Composition and Management of C&D Wastes in Wales

Material Material % of total

arisings

Proportion of Material

Landfilled

Aggregate 88.4% 9%

Insulation & Gypsum based

materials 1.4% 72%

Hazardous site waste 1.6% 13%

WEB (WEEE, ELV, Batteries) 0.1% 48%

Glass 0.1% 51%

Plastic 0.9% 71%

Paper and Cardboard 0.5% 70%

Wood 3.3% 25%

General site waste 1.3% 67%

Metals 1.5% 13%

Biodegradable waste

(Mainly Green) 1.0% 47%

Total 100.0% 12.7%

Source: Environment Agency (2008) Wales Construction and Demolition Waste Arising Survey 2005-

06, http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/research/library/publications/33979.aspx

This process effectively gave us a composition of landfilled C&D waste (by deducting

the recycled tonnages from the total quantities).

Step 3

Using the data from all countries, we then applied this composition to all the C&D

waste being landfilled in the UK, drawing on the data sources mentioned in Step 1,

and interpolating data between years where no data was available. The result was a

dataset showing the quantity and composition of C&D waste delivered to landfills.

Step 4

This, however, included material beneficially used at landfill sites.

In one of the more recent reports Capita suggests that the HMRC figures for waste

exempt from landfill tax appear to be an acceptable proxy for the amount of landfilled

C&D material which is beneficially used in landfills:66

66 Capita Symonds with Alfatek Redox (2010) Construction, Demolition and Excavation Waste Arisings,

Use and Disposal for England 2008. CON900-001, Final Report to WRAP.

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There are therefore good grounds for believing that the 10.6 million tonnes of

waste treated by HMRC as being exempt from Landfill Tax is a very good proxy

for the tonnage of CDEW beneficially used at landfills.

Before accepting this conclusion at face value, however, it is worth comparing

the equivalent HMRC figures for 2005 (i.e. the UK returns multiplied by 0.836

to generate estimates for England) with the estimates generated via the 2005

CDEW survey carried out for DCLG, not least because some wastes gain

exemption from landfill tax because they come from site remediation, and

some tax is deferred (e.g. where waste is used to create a haul road which is

subsequently buried within the landfill, at which point the deferred tax

becomes due).

The 2005 CDEW survey carried out for DCLG generated estimates of 27.75

million tonnes of „hard‟ C&D waste and soil-based waste being used or

disposed of as waste at landfills, of which 4.20 million tonnes were used for

engineering, 5.41 million tonnes were used for capping, and 10.24 million

tonnes although classified as waste, were reckoned to be being used to

restore former quarries (yielding a total estimate of 19.85 million tonnes of

CDEW being beneficially used at landfills). In addition, an estimated 7.90

million tonnes were estimated to have been disposed of as waste at landfills

that were not former quarries. Some 2.70 million tonnes of this may well not

have qualified for the lower rate of landfill tax. On this basis, the total tonnage

qualifying for the lower rate of tax or outright exemption would have been

expected to be 25.05 million tonnes (i.e. 19.85 million tonnes plus 7.90

million tonnes minus 2.70 million tonnes).

Although this figure is clearly higher than HMRC‟s 2005 figure of 23.3 million

tonnes, the difference (of 1.75 million tonnes) is 7.0% of the higher figure and

7.5% of the lower one. Certainly the HMRC-derived figure is comfortably within

the applicable confidence limits attached to the 2005 survey results. On

balance, therefore, the HMRC figures can be treated as providing a very good

indication of the amount of CDEW being beneficially used in landfills.

We, therefore, took HMRC data on „exempt‟ quantities as indicative of material being

beneficially used at landfills. We further assumed that this material was likely to be

comprised of aggregate and soils and that they contributed, in proportion to their

presence in the total waste stream, to this fraction.

Subtracting this from the landfilled waste gave a new quantity and composition of

waste relating to waste which is landfilled, but not beneficially used.

Step 5

In principle, it might be expected that the quantity of waste landfilled at the lower rate

would include:

1. Inert construction and demolition waste;

2. Inert commercial and industrial wastes; and

3. Other sources of inert material being landfilled (wastes from the mining

industry).

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We compared the remaining quantity of the inert materials with the HMRC reported

quantities landfilled at the lower rate and reviewed the difference between the two

figures. Commercial and industrial wastes which are landfilled, but qualify for the

lower rate of tax (the list of these is shown in Table A 11) were estimated in the

consultation conducted by HMT and HMRC around the landfill tax for 2005. The

figures are shown in Table A 12.

Table A 11: List of Wastes Qualifying for Lower Rate Landfill Tax

Group Description of Material Conditions

Group 1 Rocks and soils Naturally occurring

Group 2 Ceramic or concrete materials

Group 3 Minerals Process or prepared, not used

Group 4 Furnace slags

Group 5 Ash

Group 6 Low activity inorganic compounds

Group 7 Calcium sulphate

Disposed of either at site not

licensed to take putrescible waste

or in containment cell which takes

only calcium sulphate

Group 8 Calcium hydroxide and brine Deposited in brine cavity

Group 9 Water Containing other qualifying material

in suspension

Notes: Group 1 includes clay, sand, gravel, sandstone, limestone, crushed stone, china clay, construction stone, stone from

the demolition of buildings or structures, slate, topsoil, peat, silt and dredgings.

Group 2 comprises only the following–

(a) glass;

(b) ceramics;

(c) concrete.

For these purposes–

(a) glass includes fritted enamel, but excludes glass fibre and glass-reinforced plastic;

(b) ceramics includes bricks, bricks and mortar, tiles, clay ware, pottery, china and refractories;

(c) concrete includes reinforced concrete, concrete blocks, breeze blocks and aircrete blocks, but excludes concrete

plant washings.

Group 3 comprises only the following–

(a) moulding sands;

(b) clays;

(c) mineral absorbents;

(d) man-made mineral fibres;

(e) silica;

(f) mica;

(g) mineral abrasives;

(h) used foundry sand (by extra-statutory concession).

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For these purposes –

(a) moulding sands excludes sands containing organic binders;

(b) clays includes moulding clays and clay absorbents, including Fuller's earth and bentonite;

(c) man-made mineral fibres includes glass fibres, but excludes glass-reinforced plastic and asbestos.

Group 4 includes–

(a) vitrified wastes and residues from thermal processing of minerals where, in either case, the residue is both fused

and insoluble;

(b) slag from waste incineration.

Group 5–

(a) comprises only bottom ash and fly ash from wood, coal or waste combustion; and

(b) excludes fly ash from municipal, clinical and hazardous waste incinerators and sewage sludge incinerators.

Group 6 comprises only titanium dioxide, calcium carbonate, magnesium carbonate, magnesium oxide, magnesium

hydroxide, iron oxide, ferric hydroxide, aluminium oxide, aluminium hydroxide and zirconium dioxide.

Group 7 includes gypsum and calcium sulphate based plasters, but excludes plasterboard.

Table A 12: Estimates of Commercial and Industrial Wastes Qualifying for Lower Rate

of Landfill Tax (data appears to be for 2005)

The Landfill Tax (Qualifying Material)

Order 1996 Waste material

Estimated tonnage

put to landfill

Group 3 Minerals Used foundry sand* 200,000

Group 4 Furnace slags Furnace slags (thermal

processing of minerals) 670,000

Group 4 Furnace slags Waste incineration slag 314,000

Group 5 Ash Coal fly ash ** 3,000,000

Group 7 Calcium sulphate Gypsums 11,000

Group 8 Calcium hydroxide & brine Brine purification wastes 44,000

TOTAL 4,239,000

Source: Adapted from HM Treasury and HM Revenue & Customs (2009) Modernising Landfill Tax

Legislation, April 2009

http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20100407010852/http://www.hm-

treasury.gov.uk/d/Budget2009/bud09_landfill_tax_964.pdf

Environment Agency Waste Data 2007

*Communities and Local Government (2007) Construction Demolition and Excavation Waste (CDEW)

Survey of arisings and use of alternatives to primary aggregates in England 2005

** Waste & Resources Action Programme (WRAP)/Environment Agency (2008) Waste Protocol

Project- Pulverised fuel ash and furnace bottom ash

In more recent years, this „gap‟ between HMRC figures for material landfilled at the

lower rate of tax and the quantity of non-exempt inert wastes we have estimated was

being landfilled can be explained through reference to the tonnages of PFA and other

slags landfilled. In earlier years, the figures are less easy to reconcile (the reported

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lower rate tonnages from HMRC are much higher than our estimates could justify67).

There may be reasons for this (for example, the quantity of standard rate materials

mixed with lower rate ones, but passed as lower rate for tax, might have been

relatively high in early years of the tax). In any case, we decided that this was not the

most pressing „discrepancy‟ on the basis that it mainly concerned difficulties in

reconciling data regarding wastes which were likely to be „non-gassing‟ ones. Given

the emphasis of the study, it seemed less pressing than where one could not explain

the discrepancies in wastes responsible for methane generation.

Step 6

Two categories of waste in the Welsh study were „composites‟. These were:

1. General Site Waste; and

2. Paper and Card

For General Site Waste, we assumed 20% would be food and 40% would be paper

and card. As will become clear below, despite our desire to have separate

characteristics for paper and card, this proved not to be possible, so the paper and

card category was kept as one.68

The landfilled quantities of C&D waste were reported under the following headings:

Paper

Card

Food

Garden; and

Other.

Step 7

Data on commercial and industrial waste was gathered from a number of sources.

The period for which we sought data was from 1997 onwards. Sources included:

1. Environment Agency (England and Wales data for 1998/99 and 2002/3;

2. SEPA Waste Data Digests (landfilled quantities in early years, and total

quantities in later years)

3. ADAS (2009) National Study into Commercial and Industrial Waste Arisings,

Final report for EERA;

4. Urban Mines (2009) Welsh C&I Survey 2007/08, Report to WAG;

67 The discrepancies are as high as 8 million tonnes in early years. This is based upon historic figures

from the UK Quality Ash Association and the Environment Agency and SEPA. We take the matter up

again below.

68 There was another reason for this: MELMod does not include a sufficient number of rows (for

different waste materials) to enable us to break down the composition as finely as one might ideally

like.

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5. SEPA (2007) Scotland Business Waste Survey 2006;

6. MEL and EnviroCentre (2002) Industrial and Commercial Waste Production in

Northern Ireland, Final Report to the Northern Ireland Environment and

Heritage Service.

Other data sources were examined but not used, principally because they suggested

data which was inconsistent, and significantly so, with the available time series (to

the extent that such a time-series could meaningfully be discerned).

Step 8

We interpolated data (usually linear interpolation) between the known data points. In

some cases, the data appeared to give figures which were simply difficult to believe

given all the other available data sources and the trends they were suggesting. So, for

example, the estimated level of waste landfilled under the recent ADAS report seems

much higher than can be explained through either reference to other data points, or

to the trends in landfilled waste suggested by HMRC data.

The data has been used to estimate quantities of commercial and industrial waste

landfilled over the period from 1997. It is worth stating at this juncture that this data

is of extremely low quality. It is hoped that it will improve in the wake of ongoing work

by the Environment Agency.

Step 9

The Environment Agency reported C&I data according to sector or according to „waste

type‟. Unfortunately, as with the data in MELMod, the landfilled quantities relate

mainly to the „mixed‟ waste classifications. The same is true of Environment Agency /

SEPA site return data, which now reports against EWC codes, as well as the data

reported to the Waste Statistics Regulation (where, incidentally, it seems difficult to

reconcile figures on waste quantities, and the way the different types of waste are

managed).

Data concerning commercial waste suggests that recycling rates have barely changed

over the period (remaining broadly constant at around 53%) whilst the landfilling of

industrial waste has fallen from 38% to 26% of the total over the same 1997/8-

2008/9 period. This is a much smaller drop than one might expect (and far lower

than „what is happening on the ground‟ would lead one to expect).69

It is difficult to know exactly how the composition of landfilled industrial waste would

have changed over this period as the proportion landfilled has declined. Industrial

wastes are highly heterogeneous across producers (each sector tends to produce

relatively high proportions of a small range of wastes). Therefore, in the absence of

data (at present) allowing for varying composition over time, we chose to use a

constant composition for the landfilling of industrial waste.

69 Although few studies set out to answer this question, it is quite clear that the offer of, and uptake of,

commercial waste recycling services has increased significantly over the last decade. It is very difficult

to reconcile this widening service roll-out with an unchanging level of commercial waste recycling.

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Where commercial waste is concerned, the nature of the materials produced as

commercial waste exhibit some commonality across commercial enterprises,

although different enterprises will produce slightly different proportions of those

materials. We set up our approach to model changes in composition over time

through varying recycling rates of specific materials, though as mentioned above, the

recycling rate for commercial waste – at least, according to the best available data –

has barely changed over time. Consequently, limited adjustment of the recycling rates

was required.

The sources used for waste composition were (the data used is shown in Table A 13):

1. For landfilled industrial wastes, a report for the Environment Agency Wales;70

and

2. For the total commercial waste stream, the same report, though adding back

to the landfilled quantities the quantities which it was estimated were being

recycled from the commercial waste stream in the same year. 71

Table A 13: Composition of Commercial and Industrial Wastes Landfilled, Total

Commercial Waste, and Captures of Commercial Waste for Recycling and Recovery

Industrial

Waste

Landfilled

Commercial

Waste

Landfilled

Total

Commercial

waste

Captures for

recycling etc,

(Commercial Waste)

Paper 13.60% 14.90% 18.29% 55.80%

Card 21.80% 20.90% 21.55% 47.37%

Plastics 17.40% 14.80% 10.33% 22.29%

Textiles and Shoes 1.10% 1.20% 0.85% 23.20%

Nappies 0.10% 0.20% 0.11% 0.00%

Wood 4.80% 4.50% 4.15% 41.21%

Carpet and Underlay 3.20% 1.00% 0.54% 0.00%

Furniture 0.20% 0.30% 0.16% 0.00%

OMC [define] 9.80% 5.10% 2.77% 0.00%

MNC [define] 6.60% 2.10% 9.13% 87.52%

Glass 0.90% 4.90% 6.34% 58.05%

Garden 0.40% 1.40% 0.76% 0.00%

Kitchen 12.40% 21.65% 13.53% 13.17%

Oils 0.00% 0.00% 0.97% 100.00%

Metals WEE and potentially haz 6.70% 5.40% 8.47% 65.41%

Biodegradable industrial sludges 0.00% 0.20% 0.72% 84.84%

Fines 1.00% 1.45% 0.79% 0.00%

Healthcare and biological 0.55% 100.00%

Source: SLR (2007) Determination of the Biodegradability of Mixed Industrial and Commercial Waste

Landfilled in Wales, November 2007, Report to Environment Agency Wales

70 See SLR (2007) Determination of the Biodegradability of Mixed Industrial and Commercial Waste

Landfilled in Wales, November 2007, Report to Environment Agency Wales

71 See SLR (2007) Determination of the Biodegradability of Mixed Industrial and Commercial Waste

Landfilled in Wales, November 2007, Report to Environment Agency Wales

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92

Step 10

For industrial wastes, as stated above, it was assumed that the composition of

landfilled mixed waste has been constant over time. This mixed waste would most

probably be landfilled separately from inert, non-mixed wastes, especially where

these attract a lower rate of landfill tax. It was necessary, therefore, to deduct, from

the estimated quantity landfilled, an estimate of the quantity of inert, non-mixed

wastes (ash etc.) which are landfilled. Table A 12 above suggests this is in excess of 4

million tonnes. However, we believe this figure is likely to be somewhat higher (given

the difficulties explaining the gulf between HMRC data and site return data / the

results of survey work) and have estimated this figure at 7 million tonnes.

The commercial waste composition was applied to the remaining quantity landfilled in

each year to generate figures regarding the quantity of each material landfilled in any

given year. This is a gross simplification, and one which it is to be hoped can be

replaced over time with more robust information about which materials are being

managed in which way across the UK economy.

For commercial waste, the starting point was the composition for total commercial

waste. The captures of material for recycling / recovery calculated using the same

Welsh report were used to guide how well different fractions of the waste stream were

assumed to be captured in the years since 1997. These captures were adjusted to

ensure that the results were delivering the required recycling rate in each year (in

other words, so that the landfilled quantities reflected the data). As mentioned

previously, limited adjustment was required owing to the relatively constant level of

recycling at the start and end of the period (some variation appears – at least,

according to the data – to have taken place over time).

Step 11

The figures for landfilled commercial and industrial wastes were then aggregated.

These were subsequently added to the figures for construction and demolition

wastes. The results for the quantities landfilled, shown alongside data currently within

MELMod, are shown in Figure A 6. This illustrates how far removed the data within

MELMod appears to have become from the figures suggested by the best data

currently available.

The suggested breakdown, in terms of composition, is as set out in Table A 14.

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93

Figure A 6: Data for Landfilled C&I and C&D Waste, MELMod and Proposed Revision

(million tonnes)

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

Lan

dfi

lled

C&

I an

d C

&D

Was

te,

Mill

ion

To

nn

es

Proposed Revision

MELMod

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Table A 14: Suggested Revision to MELMod data, C&I and C&D Wastes (million tonnes)

1997/98 1998/99 1999/00 2000/01 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Commercial

Paper and Card 9.12 8.92 8.71 8.88 8.70 8.41 7.64 6.76 6.10 5.09 4.95 4.48

General industrial waste

Food 6.17 6.09 6.10 6.32 6.30 6.26 5.91 5.66 5.23 4.94 4.70 4.36

Food effluent / Biodeg

Ind Sludges (from

1997) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03

Abattoir waste

Misc processes

Other waste

Misc Comb 2.10 2.05 2.02 2.13 2.05 1.97 1.75 1.56 1.37 1.21 1.13 1.00

Furniture 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04

Garden 1.07 1.08 0.99 0.99 1.04 1.03 1.03 1.03 1.00 0.99 0.94 0.89

Sewage sludge

Textiles / Carpet and

Underlay 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.92 0.89 0.85 0.76 0.67 0.59 0.52 0.48 0.43

Wood 3.26 3.35 3.10 3.01 3.08 3.04 2.96 2.87 2.75 2.59 2.35 2.04

Sanitary 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04

Other 47.02 44.89 44.41 42.95 39.53 42.44 45.35 44.41 42.95 40.20 36.87 34.24

Proposed Revision 69.82 67.44 66.36 65.37 61.74 64.17 65.56 63.10 60.13 55.67 51.53 47.56

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A.2.5 Forward Projections

We were asked by Defra to make forward projections in the model. These projections

are not our own and are based upon Defra / HMRC views as to the likely effects of

policy instruments currently in place. This was carried out separately for commercial

and industrial waste, and for local authority managed waste.

It should be noted that the projections for commercial and industrial waste landfilled

are related to a considerable degree to data from landfill tax returns. We highlighted

above the differences between the landfill tax data and the site returns generated by

the relevant environment agencies. These include the following, and mainly result

from the fact that the data sources are used for different purposes:

1. Persons registrable for landfill tax are required to submit a return to HMRC in

respect of each accounting period and make payment of the tax liability

established by that return. This form also asks that the person submitting the

return provides information on the weight of waste in tonnes, per rate category

(standard, lower, and exempt waste), landfilled in the return period to which

the return relates. A return will normally cover a three month period. In some

instances, schemes are in place to discount the water content of waste and so

therefore the weight recorded does not necessarily correspond with the weight

landfilled;

2. There are definitional differences between the two sets of figures as the HMRC

figures are based on the amounts of waste liable for tax, whereas the site

returns record total waste landfilled. Not all waste is liable for landfill tax, so

some sites which landfill waste may landfill only waste which is not subject to

tax (such as mining and quarrying waste, dredged waste, pet cemeteries,

restoration of landfill sites and quarries taking only inert waste). Where the

sites concerned are only taking these categories of waste they are not

required to register for landfill tax and therefore tonnage from these sites will

not appear in HMRC figures, even as wastes exempt from tax; and

3. The site return data comes from returns from operators of facilities that are

described by the Agency as landfills, but in reality often include some

associated treatment and transfer facilities that divert some of their incoming

waste from disposal to recovery (indeed, some have tax exempt areas for

sorting waste prior to landfilling, so re-export of waste off-site likely takes

place).Sites sitting inside the ring fence of a landfill are covered by

Environmental Permits which are considered by the Agency to have been

primarily aimed at landfilling activity. As a consequence, the materials going to

some treatment and transfer facilities are included within the landfill site

returns made to the Agency by their operators, and effectively overstate the

tonnage of waste actually being disposed of to landfill.

In summary, there are fundamental differences in what the figures cover, and so the

two data sets cannot be directly compared. The HMRC data probably implies an

under-estimate of landfilled quantities whereas the opposite may apply to site returns

data.

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96

In making the projections, we have sought to ensure that the quantities and the

composition are consistent with our proposed revisions, and with expectations for

improved recycling and recovery of materials as existing policy instruments take

effect.

The details of the projections are confidential and so are not revealed here. It should

be noted, however, that the projections only affect landfilled quantities in the years to

2019 for MSW and to 2015 for non-MSW. After these years, the landfilled quantities

are assumed to remain constant. We note again that these are not our own

projections.

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A.3.0 Characteristics of Component Waste

Streams This Appendix reviews the data on moisture content, and on the biochemical

constituents of the component waste streams modelled in MELMod. It goes on to

review the available evidence in terms of these factors as a basis for proposing

alternative figures to those currently used in the model.

There are a number of problems with the figures derived by LQM, which are contained

in MELMod, and which are shown in Table A 15. These are outlined in the Sections

that follow.

A.3.1 Moisture Content

The moisture contents deserve closer examination. For example, paper and card are

rarely characterised as being 30% moisture (see Table A 15). If putrescibles include

both food and garden waste, then other than in a case where the overwhelming

majority was food waste, the 65% moisture figure seems too high.

It is difficult to comment on the miscellaneous combustibles for reasons already

described (the general nature of this category). To the extent, however, that fines are

often approximately 50% food waste, and with food waste being of the order 70%

moisture, the 20% moisture figure is likely to be too low (one can also point out that

the organic component with the lowest moisture content and highest degradable

carbon content – paper and card – is estimated to have 30% moisture. Since

miscellaneous combustibles are the second most degradable fraction, the figure

looks internally inconsistent at least).

The following is a review of alternative data in this respect. A number of sources for

the moisture content and carbon constituents of waste materials exist, both from the

UK and overseas. In some cases considerable variation can be seen in the values

obtained from the different sources, particularly with regard to the moisture content.

What matters is that the moisture content chosen for use is consistent with the way in

which any related composition analysis – used to derive the composition of what is

landfilled - has been carried out. The „as received‟ moisture content of a given

material depends, unsurprisingly, on the exact form in which it is received.72

72 This point was also made in Barlaz review of composition data associated with landfilled waste

materials. See Barlaz M A (2006) Forest products decomposition in municipal solid waste landfills,

Waste Management, Issue 26, pp. 321-333

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98

Table A 15: MELMod Parameters for Waste Components

Component RDO MDO SDO Inert

Typ

ica

l w

ate

r co

nte

nt

Ce

llu

lose

co

nte

nt

(pe

r ce

nt

dry

we

igh

t)

He

mi-ce

llu

lose

co

nte

nt

(p

er

ce

nt

dry

we

igh

t)

De

co

mp

osit

ion

(pe

r ce

nt

dry

we

igh

t)

DO

C t

ha

t ca

n d

eco

mp

ose

ca

lcu

late

d f

rom

ce

llu

lose

an

d h

em

ice

llu

lose

co

nte

nt

(DD

OC

)

MSW

Paper and Card 0% 25% 75% 0% 30% 61.2% 9.1% 61.8% 13.5%

Dense plastics 0% 0% 0% 100% 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Film plastics (until 1995) 0% 0% 0% 100% 30% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Textiles 0% 0% 100% 0% 25% 20.0% 20.0% 50.0% 6.67%

Misc. combustible (plus non-inert fines from 1995) 0% 100% 0% 0% 20% 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 8.89%

Misc. non-combustible (plus inert fines from 1995) 0% 0% 0% 100% 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Putrescible 100% 0% 0% 0% 65% 25.7% 13.0% 62.0% 3.73%

Composted Putrescibles 0% 50% 50% 0% 30% 0.7% 0.7% 57.0% 0.25%

Glass 0% 0% 0% 100% 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Ferrous metal 0% 0% 0% 100% 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Non-ferrous metal and Al cans 0% 0% 0% 100% 10% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Non-inert fines 100% 0% 0% 0% 40% 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 6.67%

Inert fines 0% 0% 0% 100% 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Incinerator Ash 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Stabilised Residues 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

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99

Component RDO MDO SDO Inert

Typ

ica

l w

ate

r co

nte

nt

Ce

llu

lose

co

nte

nt

(pe

r ce

nt

dry

we

igh

t)

He

mi-ce

llu

lose

co

nte

nt

(p

er

ce

nt

dry

we

igh

t)

De

co

mp

osit

ion

(pe

r ce

nt

dry

we

igh

t)

DO

C t

ha

t ca

n d

eco

mp

ose

ca

lcu

late

d f

rom

ce

llu

lose

an

d h

em

ice

llu

lose

co

nte

nt

(DD

OC

)

C&I waste

Commercial 15% 57% 15% 13% 37% 76.0% 8.0% 85.0% 19.99%

Paper and card 0% 25% 75% 0% 30% 87.4% 8.4% 98.0% 29.21%

General industrial waste 15% 43% 20% 22% 37% 76.0% 8.0% 85.0% 19.99%

Food solids 79% 10% 0% 11% 65% 55.4% 7.2% 76.0% 7.40%

Food effluent 50% 5% 0% 45% 65% 55.4% 7.2% 76.0% 7.40%

Abattoir waste 78% 10% 0% 12% 65% 55.4% 7.2% 76.0% 7.40%

Misc processes 0% 5% 5% 90% 20% 10.0% 10.0% 50.0% 3.56%

Other waste 15% 35% 35% 15% 20% 25.0% 25.0% 50.0% 8.89%

Power station ash 0% 0% 0% 100% 20% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Blast furnace and steel slag 0% 0% 0% 100% 20% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%

Construction/demolition 0% 5% 5% 90% 30% 8.5% 8.5% 57.0% 3.01%

Sewage sludge 100% 0% 0% 0% 70% 14.0% 14.0% 75.0% 2.80%

Textiles (user defined) 100% 0.00%

Wood (user defined) 100% 0.00%

Industrial Putrescible (user defined)s 100% 0.00%

Metals (user defined) 100% 0.00%

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A.3.1.1 Paper and Card

It may be that the data underpinning MELMod was derived from UK data gained in

the 1990s from the UK National Household Waste Analysis Programme initiated by

the then Department of Environment. This data is shown below, and for none of the

paper / card fractions represented in MELMod does the figure reach the 30% used in

MELMod. Indeed, whilst the average for paper and card is given as 24%, the moisture

content of magazines is much lower. This data is used in the Environment Agency LCA

tool, WRATE, and data from this source is shown in Table A 16.

Table A 16: Moisture Content of Paper and Card

Moisture content %

Newspapers 25.57

Magazines 11.30

Recyclable paper 27.45

Other paper 27.45

Card packaging 26.73

Other card 24.15

Note: WRATE gives generic value for the moisture content of paper and card as 24%

Source: National Household Waste Analysis Programme (data supplied by personal communication

with the Environment Agency)

More recent UK data has been generated by Godley et al. Table A 17 presents

information on moisture content of card and newspaper, along with their loss on

ignition (measures organic content). This suggests a much lower moisture content for

both newspaper and cardboard packaging, although data for wet cardboard confirms

the ability of paper and card to „collect‟ moisture.

Table A 17: Dry and Organic Matter Content of Paper and Card

Dry matter content, %

wet weight

Organic matter content

(Loss on ignition, % dry

weight)

Packaging waste - wet cardboard 44.5% 94.2%

Cardboard packaging 92.3% 90.0%

Newspaper 90.8% 92.8%

Source: Godley A, Frederickson J, Lewin K, Smith R and Blakey N (2007) Application of DR4 and

BM100 Biodegradability Tests to Treated and Untreated Organic Wastes, Proceedings of the Eleventh

International Waste Management and Landfill Symposium, Caliari, Italy, October 2007

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In developing the Orware simulation model of an Anaerobic Digestion facility, Dalemo

(2004) suggested the moisture content for dry paper was 12%, but assumed

cardboard would have a moisture content of 21%.73

The Austrian Umweltbundesamt, in its waste modelling, uses figures of 15% moisture

for packaging paper and board, and 12.5% moisture for non-packaging paper and

board.74 VITO used a figure of 18% moisture for paper and card.75 A Swiss study used

figures of 15.7% for paper and 22% for packaging board.76

Data from the Netherlands suggests a moisture content for mixed paper and

cardboard of 12% using data from samples taken in the mid 1990s.77

The review appears to confirm that the 30% figure is too high. However, there is some

disagreement in studies as to the extent of the over-estimate. It would be preferable

to have figures for both paper and for card.

We would suggest the following figures for use in the model:

Paper 15% moisture

Card 20% moisture

We believe these are appropriate for both MSW and non-MSW.

A.3.1.2 Food Waste

Data on composition of food waste is available through studies on Anaerobic

Digestion. In some cases data relating to an unspecified mixture of “domestic organic

waste” is given with no information on the relative proportions of food and garden

waste. The data in Table A 18 relates to the moisture content of food waste alone

unless otherwise stated. This data indicates that the moisture content of food waste

fractions varies from 60-80%, with a typical moisture content of 70%.

We suggest that for food waste, the moisture content is set at 70%. This is higher

than in MELMod (which uses lower figures even for food effluent, and for abattoir

wastes).

73 M. Dalemo (2004) The Modelling of an Anaerobic Digestion Plant and a Sewage Plant in the Orware

Simulation Model: Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Report 213

74 Personal communication with Wolfgang Stark.

75 VITO (2001) Procesbeschrijving Afvalverwerkingstechnieken: Integrale Miliestudies.

76 SEAFL (1998) Life Cycle Inventories for Packagings, Volumes I and II, Environmental Series No.

250/I&II Waste, Berne, Switzerland, Swiss Agency for the Environment, Forest and Landscape/

77 Beker D and Cornelissen A A J (1999) Chemische Analyse Van Huishoudelijk Restafval: Resultaten

1994 en 1995, National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, Nederland

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Table A 18: Moisture Content of Food Waste Fractions

Source Description Moisture content

Biocycle Household food waste 72%

Dalemo Household food waste 70%

Canteens, restaurants 70%

NHWAP Household food waste 62%

Cecchi et al Fruit & vegetable markets 80-85%

Household food waste 70-80%

Canteens, restaurants 70-80%

Davidsson et al Household food waste 63-83%

Godley et al Raw vegetable mixture 87%

Sources: Biocycle (2009) Demonstration Project: Biocycle South Shropshire Ltd Biowaste Digestor,

Report for Defra; M. Dalemo (2004) The Modelling of an Anaerobic Digestion Plant and a Sewage

Plant in the Orware Simulation Model: Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Report 213; Cecchi

F, Traverso P, Pavan P, Bolzonella D and Innocentia L (2003) Characteristics of the OFMSW and

behaviour of the anaerobic digestion process, in Biomethanization of the Organic Fraction of Municipal

Solid Wastes, Ed. Mata-Alvarez J, Publ. IWA Publishing; National Household Waste Analysis Programme

(data supplied by personal communication with the Environment Agency); Davidsson A, Gruvberger C,

Christensen T, Hansen T and la Cour Jansen J (2007) Methane Yield in Source-sorted Organic Fraction

of Municipal Waste Management, Waste Management 27 pp.406-14; Godley A, Frederickson J, Lewin

K, Smith R and Blakey N (2007) Application of DR4 and BM100 Biodegradability Tests to Treated and

Untreated Organic Wastes, Proceedings of the Eleventh International Waste Management and Landfill

Symposium, Caliari, Italy, October 2007

A.3.1.3 Garden Waste

The literature confirms the considerable variation in the moisture content of garden

waste components. Tree branches, for example, show both diurnal and seasonal

variations in moisture content.78 The annual pattern of branch temperature and

moisture contents consisted of a cold wet winter period when branch moisture

contents are at or above saturation, low temperatures and high rainfall prevent

drying. When temperatures rise in spring the trend is for branches to begin gradually

to dry. During the summer months moisture contents are not constant and vary

considerably from day to day with fairly rapid drying following periods of wetting.

Moisture contents only rarely fell below the fibre saturation point. With the approach

of autumn and winter the overall trend is for a gradual increase in moisture content

but with periods of slow drying occurring whilst temperatures are still high enough to

allow this. Garden waste may also, however, lose moisture in a dry environment.

Table A 19 shows moisture content ranges presented in a range of literature sources.

78 Boddy L (1983) Microclimate and Moisture Dynamics of Wood Decomposing in Terrestrial

Ecosystems, Soil Biology and Biochemistry, 15, pp146-157

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Table A 19: Moisture Content of Garden Waste Components

Source Description Moisture content

Barkdoll et al Yard waste 30%

Biomass handbook Branches 30-80%

NHWAP Garden waste 58%

Das Mixed branches & leaves 52-59%

Dalemo Park & garden waste 30-40%

Phyllis Grass 20-64%

Straw 15%

Godley et al Grass (lawnmower cuttings) 81%

Greenwaste 59%

Sources: Barkdoll A, Nordsedt R and Mitchell D (2001) Large Scale Utilization and Composting of Yard

Waste, University of Florida; Dalemo M (2004) The Modelling of an Anaerobic Digestion Plant and a

Sewage Plant in the Orware Simulation Model: Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Report

213; Das K (2007) Co-composting of Alkaline Tissue Digester Effluent with Yard Trimmings, Waste

Management, 28, 1785-1790; Kitani O and Hall C (1989) Biomass Handbook, Publ. Gordon and

Breach Science Publishers; Phyllis Database for Biomass and Waste http://www.ecn.nl/phyllis/;

National Household Waste Analysis Programme (data supplied by personal communication with the

Environment Agency); Godley A, Frederickson J, Lewin K, Smith R and Blakey N (2007) Application of

DR4 and BM100 Biodegradability Tests to Treated and Untreated Organic Wastes, Proceedings of the

Eleventh International Waste Management and Landfill Symposium, Caliari, Italy, October 2007

It would be desirable to have a more appropriate split of garden waste across

different fractions (MELMod includes information on garden waste only in the

„putrescibles‟ category as part of MSW, which our analysis suggests is now around

88% food waste). However, in the absence of our being able to do this, we suggest

that a figure of 55% would be appropriate, reflecting a mix across the year of wetter

grass, and drier branches and leaves. For the reasons discussed above, this figure

will vary depending upon how, and under what conditions, and at what time of year,

garden waste is collected.

A.3.1.4 Wood

As is the case with garden waste, the moisture content of wood varies enormously.

Wood products from virgin, untreated wood can contain up to 60% moisture. In

contrast, treated waste wood such as packaging material or MDF board has a much

lower moisture content. Data is shown in Table A 20.

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Table A 20: Moisture Content of Wood Products

Source Description Moisture content

Biomass Energy Centre Virgin wood as received Up to 60%

Austrian Energy Agency Wood fuel (not specified) 10-60%

NCP (Finland) Wood fuel as received 20-65%

NIFES Wholewood & Stemwood as

received 40-55%

Logging residue chip as received 50-60%

Beker and Cornelissen Packaging wood 12%

Stubenberger et al MDF board 8%

Waste wood 17%

Frandsen et al Waste wood 16%

Godley et al Construction wood waste 23%

Source: Biomass Energy Centre http://www.biomassenergycentre.org.uk ; Austrian Energy Agency

(u.d.) Wood Fuels: Characteristics, Standards, Production Technology; NCP (u.d.) Wood as a Fuel:

Material for 5EIRES Training Sessions; NIFES (2004) Wood-fuel Seminar: Notes and Worked Examples:

Seminar for OPET Scotland; Stubenberger G, Scharler R, Zahirovic S and Obenberger I (2008)

Experimental Investigation of Nitrogen Species Release from Different Solid Biomass Fuels as a Basis

for Release Models, Fuel, 87, pp793-806; Beker D and Cornelissen A A J (1999) Chemische Analyse

Van Huishoudelijk Restafval: Resultaten 1994 en 1995, National Institute of Public Health and the

Environment, Nederland; Flemming J, Frandsen S, van Lith S, Korbee R, Yrjas P, Backman R,

Obenberger I, Brunner T and Joller M (2007) Quantification of the Release of Inorganic Elements from

Biofuels, Fuel Processing Technology, 88, pp1118-1128; Godley A, Frederickson J, Lewin K, Smith R

and Blakey N (2007) Application of DR4 and BM100 Biodegradability Tests to Treated and Untreated

Organic Wastes, Proceedings of the Eleventh International Waste Management and Landfill

Symposium, Caliari, Italy, October 2007.

We propose the following figures for waste wood:

1. From the MSW stream, the remaining wood waste being landfilled is likely to

relatively dry. Not all of it, however, will be as dry as prepared pallets. We

suggest, therefore, using the figure for waste wood proposed above, i.e. 17%.

2. For the non-MSW stream, it seems likely that most wood being landfilled will

be of a dry nature, though it is believed that the capture of packaging wood for

re-use and recycling is very high (and data suggests this has been true since

the late 1990s). We propose the same figure of 17%.

A.3.1.5 Textiles

Godley et al examined bedding sheets and knitting wool and both had moisture

contents below 10% (3% and 6% respectively).79 A Dutch study found a similarly low

79 Godley A, Frederickson J, Lewin K, Smith R and Blakey N (2007) Application of DR4 and BM100

Biodegradability Tests to Treated and Untreated Organic Wastes, Proceedings of the Eleventh

International Waste Management and Landfill Symposium, Cagliari, Italy, October 2007

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figure of 3%.80 The Austrian Umweltbundesamt uses a figure of 18% moisture for

textiles. VITO used a figure of 30% moisture.

Some of this variation would clearly be explained by the nature of the materials

examined, and indeed, which categories were being included under „textiles‟.

However, it seems as though the moisture content would be relatively low. Some

studies do give a much higher moisture content for carpets and rugs, but this

category is kept within „miscellaneous combustibles‟ in this study.

We propose to leave the 20% figure in MELMod unchanged. Please note that this

figure is also applied to footwear since composition analyses generally report the two

together when the household / municipal / local authority controlled waste stream is

being examined.

A.3.1.6 Nappies

For nappies, we show in Table A 21 the composition used by ERM in their life cycle

assessment of nappies. If one assumes the urine remains as a liquid, and if one

assumes the remaining matter is dry (and the unsoiled nappy figures from Godley et

al support this view), then the moisture content is as in the final column of the Table.

VITO suggested a moisture content for sanitary products of 52%.81 The ORWARE

model in Sweden suggested a value of 72% moisture content, much closer to the

values in the ERM study.

Table A 21: Disposable Nappy Composition

Scenario Urine

(kg)

Faeces

(kg)

Plastics

(kg)

Pulp

(kg)

Miscellaneous

(kg)

Total

(kg)

Urine

as %

Total

Original 299 66 84 50 13 482 62%

WRAP Estimate* 596 131 84 50 13 874 68%

Note: WRAP estimate assumes the same urine to faeces split

Source: Eunomia calculations and ERM (2008) An updated lifecycle assessment study for disposable

and reusable nappies, Environment Agency Science Report – SC010018/SR2,

http://publications.environment-agency.gov.uk/pdf/SCHO0808BOIR-e-e.pdf

We propose to use the average of the two studies from the ERM study, a figure of

65% moisture.

80 Beker D and Cornelissen A A J (1999) Chemische Analyse Van Huishoudelijk Restafval: Resultaten

1994 en 1995, National Institute of Public Health and the Environment, Nederland

81 VITO (2001) Procesbeschrijving Afvalverwerkingstechnieken: Integrale Miliestudies.

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A.3.1.7 Furniture

In our modelling, we suggest that furniture should be treated as being composed of a

specific proportion of both textiles and wood. As such, the category refers essentially

to those materials. We have calculated this based upon a composition which includes

62% wood and 5% textiles (by weight) in municipal waste, and 50% wood (by weight)

when from commercial and industrial waste (the balance, in each case, being non-

biodegradable material).

A.3.1.8 Mattresses

In our modelling, we suggest that mattresses should be treated as being composed of

a specific proportion of textiles. As such, the category refers essentially to textiles. We

have assumed mattresses are 50% textiles by weight, with the balance being non-

biodegradable material).

A.3.1.9 Miscellaneous Combustibles

In our analysis we have tried to maintain the discipline of having only biodegradable

materials in the miscellaneous combustibles. However, the nature of miscellaneous

combustibles makes it difficult to argue strongly for any specific value for moisture

content. We note, however, that a 20% content, as in MELMod, may be quite low as

this is close to the lower end of moisture content for any of the biodegradable

materials reviewed.

A.3.2 Organic Carbon Content of Waste Materials

Data currently in MELMod bases the degradable carbon content of different wastes

upon their cellulose and hemicellulose content. The calculation ignores the fact that

other fractions of carbon clearly exist, which do degrade in landfill. For example, the

degradability of a waste stream consisting entirely of protein would be assumed to be

zero in MELMod even though proteins might degrade quite rapidly under anaerobic

conditions.

For some specific materials, the bulk of the organic matter is not composed solely of

cellulose and hemicellulose, but includes other readily degradable organic molecules

(fats, proteins, etc.), the majority of food wastes being a case in point. MELMod

implies that only 38.7% of dry matter in Putrescible waste is degradable, whilst the

figure is higher for all other biodegradable materials (other than composted

putrescibles). It does raise the question as to what the term „putrescible‟ is really

intended to convey.

It is unclear why the other organic fractions were not taken account of. A report by

AEA Technology stated:82

82 S. L. Baggott et al (2006) Addendum to UK Greenhouse Gas Inventory, 1990 to 2004, Annual

Report for submission under the Framework Convention on Climate Change, Report RMP/2106, July

2006.

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Cellulose and hemi-cellulose are known to make up approximately 91% of the

degradable fraction, whilst other potential degradable fractions which may

have a small contribution (such as proteins and lipids) are ignored.

The statement is unsupported, and is obviously not true for all waste fractions. In any

(policy) analysis which examines the effect on different materials / waste streams,

overlooking the widely varying contributions made by other biochemical components

is likely to generate erroneous results.

Back in 1997, in a seminal paper, Eleazer et al wrote:83

In previous research with mixed refuse, carbohydrates accounted for 91%of

the stoichiometric methane potential (18). Carbohydrates were the major

organic compounds analyzed in the waste components tested here, and the

relationship between carbohydrate concentration and methane yield is

presented in Figure 3. The relatively weak linear relationship (r2) 0.49) and

failure of the regression line to pass through zero suggest that factors in

addition to carbohydrate concentration influence methane yield.

The „previous work‟ referred to was carried out by Barlaz in 1989.84

In what follows, we seek to understand the organic carbon constituents of the key

materials. It is worth starting by highlighting the fact that for most biodegradable

materials, the carbon content of dry matter is relatively constant. This is because of

the nature of the organic molecules which constitute biodegradable materials.

In doing so, we also have in mind the distinction, in MELMod, between different pools

of carbon which are deemed to degrade at different rates. It makes more sense, in

our view, if these rates can be linked to specific constituents of the degradable

wastes. In other words, as in the ORWARE model, it makes sense to consider the

different decay constants applying to the different biochemical constituents.

It should be noted that both cellulose and hemicellulose are deemed to be composed

of the same proportion of carbon. Table A 22 suggests this is not the case and that

for cellulose and hemicellulose, as well as the other biochemical constituents, the

proportion of carbon in the constituent needs to be considered.

83 W. Eleazer et al (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid Waste Components in Laboratory-scale

Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 1997, 31, pp.911-917.

84 M. A. Barlaz, R. K. Ham, D. M. J. Schaefer(1989) Journal of Environmental Engineering . Eng.

Div.(Am. Soc. Civ. Eng.) 1989, 115, 1088-1102.

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Table A 22: Carbon Content of Cell Wall Components

Component Monomer Carbon Content (%)

Lignin (C9H10O3)n a 65.1

Hemicellulose {(C5H8O4)3.(C5H8O4)2.(C5H8O4.C6H8O6)}n b 44.6

Cellulose (C6H12O6)n c 40

Starch (C6H10O5)n 44.4

Sugar (as sucrose) C12H22O11 42.1

Fats Variable formulae 73-79

(76 as mid-point)

Protein (as amino acids) Variable formulae 25-52 (40 as weighted

average of acids)

Fibre 45 (est)

Readily soluble 45 (est)

It should also be noted that the way in which studies report the biochemical fractions

varies. Importantly, it is clear that the single studies reporting „readily soluble‟ and

„fibre‟ are not referring to lignin in either case.

A.3.2.1 Paper and Card

Barlaz (2006) presented the data shown in Table A 23.85 This confirms the very low

lignin content of office paper in comparison to that of newsprint, coated paper and

card.

Table A 23: Chemical Composition of Paper Products (% Dry Weight) - Barlaz

Newsprint Office paper

Corrugated

card

Coated

paper

Wu Eleazer Wu Eleazer Eleazer Eleazer

Cellulose 48.30% 48.50% 64.70% 87.40% 57.30% 42.30%

Hemicellulose 18.10% 9.00% 13.00% 8.40% 9.90% 9.40%

Lignin 22.10% 23.90% 0.93% 2.30% 20.80% 15.00%

Volatile Solids 98.00% 98.50% 88.40% 98.60% 92.20% 74.30%

C:L

[reference?] 3.00 2.41 83.55 41.65 3.23 3.45

Sources: Wu B, Taylor C M, Knappe D R, Nanny M A and Barlaz M A (2001) Factors Controlling

Alkybenzene Sorption to Municipal Solid Waste, Environmental Science and Technology, 35, pp4569-

4576; Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid

Waste Components in Laboratory Scale Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-

917

85 Barlaz M A (2006) Forest products decomposition in municipal solid waste landfills, Waste

Management, Issue 26, pp. 321-333

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The Dutch database of biomass and waste materials, Phyllis, presents more

information with regard to the composition of newspaper, mixed paper and card. This

is shown in Table A 24.

Table A 24: Chemical Composition of Paper Products (% Dry Weight) - Phyllis

Newsprint Mixed paper Corrugated

Card Min Max Min Max

Cellulose 43% 64% 45% 56% 50%

Hemicellulose 16% 33% 13% 16% 14%

Lignin 21% 27% 16% 21% 15%

Notes:

1. Range across 10 records (some were average measurements from a number a samples)

2. Range across 3 records

Source: Phyllis Database for Biomass and Waste http://www.ecn.nl/phyllis/

More recent data presented by Godley et al reported detailed the chemical

constituents of cardboard packaging waste (in dry matter terms) as 2.7% fat, 11.3%

hemi-cellulose, 42.6% cellulose and 34.0% lignin – the only analysis to suggest any

fat might be present in paper products.86 This presumably reflects the content of the

packaging rather than the packaging itself.

MELMod uses figures of 61% and 9% for cellulose and hemicellulose respectively. We

think these are respectable figures, but that there is an argument for differentiating

paper and card in future. Ideally this would take into account the relative proportions

of different paper and card fractions being recycled.

A.3.2.2 Food Waste

Landfill excavation studies and reactor studies such as those carried out by Barlaz

have focused on “forest products” such as paper, card and lignin; in contrast food

waste – a significant component of the UK waste stream - has received relatively little

attention. The focus on paper products and wood has similarly led to a lack of

consideration of the fat and protein content of biodegradable wastes. Thus Eleazer et

al‟s 1997 study only presented data on the cellulose, hemicellulose and lignin of the

waste materials investigated as part of their study, although food waste was

considered (and in this case, some data with regard to protein was investigated). The

suggestion here is that the food waste sample contains very little fat. No data on

moisture content was provided. The data is shown in Table A 25.

86 Godley A, Frederickson J, Lewin K, Smith R and Blakey N (2007) Characterisation of Untreated and

Treated Biodegradable Wastes, Proceedings of the Eleventh International Waste Management and

Landfill Symposium, Caliari, Italy, October 2007

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Table A 25: Chemical Composition of Food Waste – Eleazer et al

% dry matter

Cellulose 55.4

Hemicellulose 7.2

Lignin 11.4

Volatile solids 93.8

Note: Report states that cellulose, hemi-cellulose, lignin and protein combined make

up 99% of volatile solids.

Source: Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid

Waste Components in Laboratory Scale Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-

917

Data on the chemical constituents of food waste is, however, also available from

research considering the AD of the food waste fraction. A study by Davidsson et al on

AD in Sweden analysed the composition of 17 organic waste samples that contained

only food waste – in Sweden garden waste is composted, and so does not form the

part of the feedstock for source separated AD plant. Data from this study is presented

in Table A 26, and includes total solids content as well as information on the chemical

constituents.

Table A 26: Chemical Composition and Moisture Content of Food Waste Samples

Minimum Maximum Median

Total solids (% wet weight) 17% 37% 30%

Volatile solids (% total solids) 81% 92% 87%

Crude fat (% total solids) 10% 18% 15%

Crude protein (% total solids) 10% 18% 16%

Crude fibre (% total solids) 8% 26% 15%

Starch (% total solids) 10% 19% 14%

Sugar (% total solids) 1% 10% 7%

Source: Davidsson A, Gruvberger C, Christensen T, Hansen T and la Cour Jansen J (2007) Methane

Yield in Source-sorted Organic Fraction of Municipal Waste Management, Waste Management 27

pp.406-14

The previously cited Dutch database Phyllis has data on chemical constituents of food

industry waste although no data is provided with respect to the moisture content of

these samples. The 15 samples consider a very heterogeneous mix of materials;

including residues from fruit and vegetable processing as well as fish meal. This data

is presented in Table A 27.

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Table A 27: Chemical Composition of Food Industry Waste

Minimum Maximum Median

Cellulose (% dry weight) 0% 50% 12%

Hemicellulose (% dry weight) 0% 51% 12%

Lignin (% dry weight) 0% 40% 6%

Lipids (% dry weight) 6% 18% 7%

Protein (% dry weight) 15% 56% 20%

Starch (% dry weight) 17% 70% 40%

Sugar (% dry weight) 1% 15% 8%

Note: Ranges from 15 samples.

Source: Phyllis Database for Biomass and Waste http://www.ecn.nl/phyllis/

MELMod uses, for putrescibles, figures of 26% for cellulose and 13% for

hemicellulose (dry matter).87 This clearly needs revision as it underplays the presence

of other biodegradable elements. For food from MSW, we propose to use the median

figures from Davidsson et al above for the fat, protein, sugar and starch content. The

remainder of the total volatile solids content is assumed to be cellulose,

hemicellulose and lignin. Values for hemicelluloses, cellulose and lignin are used to

make up the total to 90% organic volatile solids, with the apportionment across these

three in line with the work from Eleazer et al. For C&I wastes, we propose to use the

median values from Phyllis. These, however, sum to more than 100% so we have

normalised them to 95% of total solids.

A.3.2.3 Garden Waste

Eleazer et al considered three garden waste components in their 1997 analysis –

branches, leaves and grass. Data from the study is presented in Table A 28.

87 A review of the GasSim model manual indicates that these are figures used in GasSim for garden

waste (in which case, the moisture content – 65% in GasSim - is too high). For „other putrescibles,

GasSim gives more sensible values of 55.4% cellulose and 7.2% hemicellulose, which are the values

from Eleazer et al above, and closer to what might be expected for food waste (though still omitting

fats, proteins, other sugars, etc.). GasSim also suggests that 76% of this would biodegrade (see Golder

Associates (2006) GasSim User Manual). It is, perhaps, also interesting to note that GasSim‟s

predictions for the composition of landfilled waste – as made in 2006 – were, like MELMod, still based

upon outdated figures regarding composition of landfilled waste. Any validation of GasSim must be

seen in this light (i.e. that the modelled gas generation being „validated‟ was likely based upon an

erroneous estimate of the composition of the material being landfilled).

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Table A 28: Chemical Composition of Garden Waste Components – Eleazer et al

% dry weight

Grass 1 Grass 2 Leaves Branches

Cellulose 26.5% 25.6% 15.3% 35.4%

Hemicellulose 10.2% 14.8% 10.5% 18.4%

Lignin 28.4% 21.6% 43.8% 32.6%

Volatile solids 85.0% 87.8% 90.2% 96.6%

Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid Waste

Components in Laboratory Scale Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-917

Data from Phyllis presents further information on the carbon constituents of different

types of grass, although no data on the chemical constituents of common garden

waste components was available from this source. Data presented in Table A 29

suggests that the proportion of protein is variable, depending on the species of grass.

Table A 29: Chemical Composition of Grasses - Phyllis

Verge grass Switch grass

Cellulose (% dry weight) 20-33% 35-45%

Hemicellulose (% dry weight) 0-20% 26-35%

Lignin (% dry weight) 10-26% 26%

Lipids (% dry weight)

Protein (% dry weight) 3-11%

Starch (% dry weight)

Sugar (% dry weight)

Notes: Verge grass appears to refer to general grass at verges; switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) is a

summer perennial grass that is native to North America

Source: Phyllis Database for Biomass and Waste http://www.ecn.nl/phyllis/

Godley et al also produced figures for garden waste, shown in Table A 30.

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Table A 30: Chemical Composition of Garden Waste (% total solids)

Fat

Readily

soluble

material

Hemicellulose Cellulose Lignin

Residue

after

ashing

Green

Waste 1.5 25.9 16.0 19.8 19.7 17.1

Note: The sources states that: „Biochemical composition was determined (van Soest et al. 1991,

Effland 1977, Richards 2005) using an adaptation of the Gerhardt Ltd. fibrebag system. Dried, ground

samples, with fine material that would pass through the fibrebags removed, underwent sequential

treatment with petroleum ether, neutral detergent solution, acid detergent solution, cold 72%

sulphuric acid and ashing at 600 ºC. The fractions removed by these processes are nominally

identified as fat, soluble material, hemicellulose, cellulose and lignin respectively. These designations

may not be exclusively composed of the described biochemical classes but be mixtures of different

materials with similar sequential extractive properties by the methodology.‟ The source suggests that

soluble fraction is „readily biodegradable‟.

Source: Godley A, Frederickson J, Lewin K, Smith R and Blakey N (2007) Characterisation of Untreated

and Treated Biodegradable Wastes, Proceedings of the Eleventh International Waste Management

and Landfill Symposium, Caliari, Italy, October 2007

MELMod uses, for putrescibles, figures of 26% for cellulose and 13% for

hemicellulose (dry matter). This clearly needs revision as it underplays the presence

of other biodegradable elements. For garden waste from MSW, we propose to use the

figures from Godley et al above.

A.3.2.4 Wood

Data from Phyllis for the carbon constituents of treated wood and bark is presented in

Table A 31.

Table A 31: Chemical Composition of Wood

Treated wood

Untreated wood

(different types of

bark)

Cellulose (% dry weight) 35-48% 0-30%

Hemicellulose (% dry weight) 7-17% 0-34%

Lignin (% dry weight) 22-29% 0-50%

Lipids (% dry weight) [Why are these

blank - Zero?]

Protein (% dry weight)

Starch (% dry weight)

Sugar (% dry weight)

Source: Phyllis Database for Biomass and Waste http://www.ecn.nl/phyllis/

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For Box-wood, Preece proposed values of 41.4% for cellulose, 14.1% for

hemicellulose and 26.5% for lignin.88 Interestingly, these lie right in the middle of the

above ranges.

We propose to use the mid-point of the Phyllis values for treated wood.

A.3.2.5 Textiles

For textiles, the data is somewhat more scarce. One study gives a figure of 90%

cellulose and 1.6% lignin.89 Other sources similarly suggest cotton has a cellulose

content of around 90%, along with a low lignin content.90 In the case of the finer

fabrics made from natural fibres the lignin is usually removed as part of the textiles

manufacturing process to improve the flexibility of the fabric. Analysis by Godley et al,

on the other hand, suggests much higher lignin values, but the authors noted that

man-made fibres (in the form of a plastic coating) were effectively included in the

lignin analysis. Their data are presented in Table A 32, but the confounding effect of

man-made fibres, and the absence of information on other biochemical components,

makes this data difficult to use, though the BM100 and DR4 figures reveal

information regarding the biodegradability of the materials which suggests a low

propensity to degrade on the part of the materials examined.

Table A 32: Biodegradability of Selected Textile Wastes

Waste

LOI

content

(%DM)

Lignin content

(%DM)

DR4 test

(mg O/kg LOI)

BM100 test

(l/kg LOI)

Wool 95 33.1 17000 21

Cotton 99 2.1 13000 26

Mean (mixed textiles) 97 17.6 15000 23.5

Notes

The lignin content includes manmade fibres within the lignin analysis

Source: Godley A and Frederickson J (2010) Supporting Agency MBT Model Development, Report for

the Environment Agency, May 2010

No detailed composition analysis exists with regard to the exact proportions of

natural, synthetic and mixed fibre textiles present in the waste stream and

biochemical data is only available for very few of the natural fabrics. We therefore

propose to retain the existing MELMod assumptions with regard to the carbon

88 Preece, I..A. (1931) Studies on hemicelluloses. IV. The proximate analysis of box-wood and the

nature of its furfuraldehyde-yeilding constituents. Biochemical Journal 25(4) 1304-1318

89 C. Johnson and F. Worrall (2006) Modelling the fate of carbon from MSW during incineration,

landfill, aerobic digestion and application of CLO to land, Report from the University of Durham, 28th

April 2006.

90 Kim H (u.d.) Cellulose Synthase Catalytic Subunit (Cesa) Genes Associated with Primary or

Secondary Wall Biosythesis in Developing Cotton Fibres, University of New Orleans

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constituents. Further discussion with regard to this waste fraction is provided in

Section 6.1. As with moisture content, it should be noted that this figure is also

applied to footwear because the two are often reported together in composition

studies.

A.3.2.6 Nappies

In the ORWARE model, 21% of the dry matter in nappies is believed to be carbon in

the form of cellulose. This equates to a value of around 47% of dry matter as

cellulose. This is only just internally consistent with the composition of nappies

highlighted above. It is assumed, here, that this effectively includes the faeces.

We propose to use this value (47% cellulose) for nappies.

A.3.2.7 Furniture

As for moisture, furniture is treated as a composite in our proposed model (see

Section A.3.1.7 above).

A.3.2.8 Mattresses

As for moisture, mattresses are treated as a composite in our proposed model (see

Section A.3.1.8 above).

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A.4.0 Evidence Regarding the Extent of

Degradation of Carbon in Landfills In order to make recommendations regarding the modelling of the proportion of

organic carbon that degrades in landfill, a review of the available evidence was

undertaken. The evidence that is presented in this Appendix takes the following

forms:

The anaerobic degradation potential of organic substances, investigated

through:

Laboratory scale landfill reactors;

The degradation that occurs in an anaerobic digester.

Field studies at the landfill involving the excavation of decomposed refuse;

Research calibrating the output from theoretical models that consider landfill

gas generation with field measurements of generation taken at the landfill.

The focus throughout is on the differential behaviour of the different constituent

carbon fractions – cellulose, hemicellulose, lignin, fats and proteins.

There are ranges of values in the literature for the proportion of organic carbon which

is likely to degrade in landfills. Single-phase models effectively make use of one value

for all materials. Some multi-phase models do also (such as the IPCC model).

However, MELMod has functionality at the material specific level, and policy makers

are known to want to understand the effect of addressing specific materials through

waste policy measures. A single value, therefore, does not seem appropriate given

that different materials clearly behave differently.

The figures in MELMod for the dissimilable fraction of degradable organic carbon (or

DDOC) seem to display some internal consistencies. By way of example, the DDOC

figures in MELMod are 98% for commercial and industrial paper and card, but 62%

for municipal paper and card. For mixed commercial waste, the degradable fraction is

85%, but there is no single fraction of the municipal stream (not even the

putrescibles) for which the degradation comes close to this figure. There is a general

lack of consistency across the figures for commercial waste and for municipal waste,

even though the majority of wastes landfilled fall into general categories which cannot

be properly characterised.

In MELMod, the proportion of organic carbon that is considered dissimilable varies

across the different waste fractions. Other models have however applied a DOCf or

DOCm factor to the total organic carbon content of MSW as a whole, to reflect the fact

that the anaerobic degradation process is typically not completed within the

heterogeneous environment of an actual landfill – effectively implying the permanent

sequestration of some of the organic carbon content in the long term.

For each component waste stream / material, in MELMod:

A moisture content is given for the waste (M);

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A decomposition factor (by dry weight) is specified for the waste (F)

The proportion (by dry weight) that is cellulose is given (C);

The proportion (by dry weight) that is hemicellulose is given (H);

The proportion of the mass of cellulose / hemicellulose that is carbon is given

(Carb)

The equation used to calculate DDOC is then:

DDOC = (1-M) * F * (C + H) * (Carb)

For food waste the values given are:91

M = 65% this is slightly too low (see above)

F = 62% we think this is likely to be low for highly putrescible

materials

C = 25.7%, H = 13% these imply 38.7% of the dry weight is potentially

degradable. This is too low

Carb = 0.444 this is correct.

The important factors, then, are F, C and H. Taken together, these imply that for every

dry tonne of food waste, only

62% * 38.7% = 24%

will degrade in landfill.

Since virtually all food waste consists of some organic matter, the implications would

be that landfills act as significant sequesters of carbon for the future. For every wet

tonne of food waste, the figures imply that only 8.4% is degraded, or that 3.7% is

carbon which is degraded.

Further inspection of the model highlights additional anomalies. In Table A 33 below,

we have calculated the proportion of dry matter of each of the waste streams with

biodegradable content which is assumed to degrade in the landfill, expressed both in

terms of carbon, and in terms of total material degraded. For ease of viewing, we

have ranked these in descending order.

The following comments seem relevant:

94% of paper and card from commercial and industrial waste is assumed to

degrade. This runs counter to much of the experimental logic which suggests that

of the biodegradable materials, paper and card is likely to be sequestered to

some degree in landfills (see later in this Appendix);

91 This is outlined in Land Quality Management (2003) Methane Emissions from Landfill Sites in the

UK, Report for Defra, January 2003.

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Table A 33: Quantity of Carbon and Total Dry Matter Degraded, Dry Matter Basis

Sourc

e

Carbon degraded

(% d.m.)

Total Material

degraded (% d.m.)

C&I Paper and card 41.68% 93.88%

C&I General commercial 31.70% 71.40%

C&I General industrial waste 31.70% 71.40%

C&I Food solids 21.12% 47.58%

C&I Food effluent 21.12% 47.58%

C&I Abattoir waste 21.12% 47.58%

M Paper and card 19.29% 43.45%

M Misc. comb. (+ non-inert fines from „95) 11.10% 25.00%

C&I Other waste 11.10% 25.00%

M Non-inert fines 11.10% 25.00%

M Putrescible 10.65% 23.99%

C&I Sewage sludge 9.32% 21.00%

M Textiles 8.88% 20.00%

C&I Misc processes 4.44% 10.00%

C&I Construction/demolition 4.30% 9.69%

M Composted Putrescibles 0.35% 0.80%

The difference in modelled behaviour of paper and card from commercial and

industrial waste, and paper and card from municipal waste (94% degraded v 44%

degraded) is difficult to rationalise;

Similar comments might be made concerning the difference between the

modelled behaviour of food solids from the C&I stream, and putrescibles from the

MSW stream (48% v 24%). Explaining these differences is far from straightforward

(not least given the invariant nature of the 48% figure for C&I sourced material

across a range of categories, making the 24% figure for MSW putrescibles seem

inconsistent with the other materials);

The suggestion that mixed commercial waste and mixed industrial waste will

degrade to the tune of 71.4% is difficult to believe when set alongside, for

example, the low figures for food waste, and the fact that mixed commercial and

industrial wastes will include substantial quantities of non-biodegradable material.

These will feature disproportionately strongly in dry matter terms (because the

non-biodegradable materials generally have lower moisture content than the

biodegradable ones). It is, indeed, questionable whether commercial and

industrial waste actually contains 71.4% of biodegradable material at all in dry

matter terms. Even if it did, it would be inconsistent with the degradation levels

posited for individual (this proportion of organic matter degrading would need to

be close to 100% to make this physically possible, whilst the individual

components of the mixed waste are characterised by much lower degradation

rates);

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Also worthy of note is the fact that C&D waste –much of which will have been inert

in the mid 1990s and before - is reckoned to be, by implication, half as

degradable as MSW „putrescibles‟. Also, textiles in municipal waste are assumed

to be degraded to an almost equal extent to putrescibles in MSW, even though it

is believed that a significant proportion of textiles are not biodegradable.

A.4.1 Dissimilation Factors for MSW from the Literature

Table A 34 presents factors cited in the literature and shows that a range of values

for MSW from 0.5 to 0.8 have been used. Most are applied to the total carbon

content of the waste stream. However the factor recommended by the IPCC varies

depending on whether lignin is included within the total organic carbon content.

The factor of 0.58 suggested by Coops and Oonk has been validated against

measurements of landfill gas extraction. This outlined in more detail in Section A.6.0,

which also discusses attempts by others to assess the validity of this dissimilation

factor through a calibration of model outputs against field measurements.

Table A 34: Dissimilable Carbon Factors for MSW Cited in the Literature

Source Dissimilable carbon factor

Technical Research Centre of Finland (2001)1 0.5

Coops, Oonk et al (1995) 0.58

Afvalzorg (2006) 0.7 – 0.8 (for non-inert waste)

IPCC (2006)2 0.77 (lignin excluded)

0.5 – 0.6 including lignin

Notes

1. Finland also uses a methane correction factor of 0.7 (relates to non-anaerobic conditions)

2. The value of 0.77 was retained from initial guidance developed in 1995, the original objective

of which had been to estimate CH4 emissions from landfills in developing countries. The value

was subsequently adopted by the IPPC without revision following the acceptance of the Kyoto

Protocol (by which time emissions targets had been negotiated).In developing the revised

guidelines in 1999, the authors were explicitly advised by the IPCC not the change the defaults

and thus developed the above factors in order to fit with this stipulation.

Sources: IPCC (2006) 2006 Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories: Volume 5, Waste;

Technical Research Centre of Finland (2001) Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Removals in Finland,

Espoo; Coops O, Lunin L, Oonk H and Weenk A (1995) Validation of Landfill Gas Formation Models, in

Proceedings Sardinia 95, Fifth International Landfill Symposium, Cagliari, Italy, October 2-6, pp635-

646; Scharff H and Jacobs J (2006) Applying Guidance for Methane Emission Estimation for Landfills,

Waste Management, 26, pp417-429

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A.4.2 Maximum Degradation under Anaerobic Conditions

A.4.2.1 Laboratory Studies in Landfill Reactors

Eleazer et al (1997) measured the biodegradability of the major components of MSW

in laboratory-scale (2-L) reactors that were operated to maximise anaerobic

decomposition.92 The study considered a range of paper products as well as selected

plant materials and food waste. Degradation was related to the cellulose,

hemicellulose and lignin content of the materials, and ratios of these three

components both before, and after decomposition were measured (degradation

ratios calculated by dividing the mass of each component recovered from the reactor

by the initial mass) – effectively calculating the proportion of each element

Data from the study are shown in Table A 35. For most materials considered within

the study lignin has a higher degradation ratio, indicating its resistance to anaerobic

decomposition, although the extent of degradation varies – the range of ratios 0.78

to 1.03. This suggests a maximum of 20% of the lignin will degrade under anaerobic

conditions for food and grass.

These ratios were much higher for paper and woody materials – suggesting that here

only 1-5% of the lignin was lost. Although cellulose and hemicellulose were less

resistant to degradation, ratios varied from 0.02 to 0.68 across the different waste

materials, suggesting that between 32-98% of the cellulosic materials decomposed.

The study discussed relationship between the extent of lignification and the

degradation of cellulose. The relationship between these two types of molecule and

their relative degradation is outlined in more detail in Section A.4.4 with reference to

the evidence from landfill excavation studies.

A similar study performed by Chugh et al (1999) performed research to demonstrate

the biodegradation of shredded MSW in a two-stage anaerobic digester operated with

leachate recirculation.93 The study reported volatile solids losses of 55 to 69% for

MSW subjected to two months of anaerobic digestion - on average, measured

methane yields in the reactor system were 75% of the ultimate methane yields as

measured by BMP tests.

92 Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid Waste

Components in Laboratory Scale Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-917

93 Chugh, S, Chynoweth, D.P., Clarke, W., Pullammanappallil, P. and V. Rudolph (1999) Degradation of

unsorted municipal solid waste by a leach bed process, Bioresource Technology, 69, pp103-115

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Table A 35: Methane Yield and Initial and Final Solids Composition Data

Yield CH4

(mL per

dry g)

Composition % dry weight

Cellulose

start:end

Hemi-

cellulose

start:end

Lignin

start:end

Extent of

decom-

position

(%)

CHL:VS

Cellulose Hemi

cellulose Lignin VS

Seed (control) 25.5 23.4 4.7 22.5 48.2 0.18 0.36 0.83 21.8 1.05

Seed 2 (control) 5.8 18.3 3.7 22.1 42.4 0.34 0.69 0.85 6.3 1.05

Grass 144.8 26.5 10.2 28.4 85.0 0.19 0.42 0.78 94.3 0.77

Grass 2 127.6 26.6 14.8 21.6 87.8 Not measured 0.7 - - -

Leaves 30.6 15.3 10.5 43.8 90.2 0.43 0.68 0.90 28.3 0.77

Branch 62.6 35.4 18.4 32.6 96.6 0.52 0.59 0.93 27.8 0.89

Food 300.7 55.4 7.2 11.4 93.8 0.24 0.58 0.80 84.1 0.99

Coated paper 84.4 42.3 9.4 15.0 74.3 0.54 0.58 1.03 39.2 0.90

Old newsprint 74.3 48.5 9.0 23.9 98.5 0.73 0.46 0.99 31.1 0.83

Corrugated card 152.3 57.3 9.9 20.8 98.2 0.36 0.38 0.93 54.4 0.90

Office paper 217.3 87.4 8.4 2.3 98.6 0.02 0.09 0.95 54.6 0.99

MSW 92.0 28.8 9.0 23.1 75.2 0.25 0.22 0.95 58.4 0.81

Notes

1. Average data presented

2. Protein is included along with the CHL in the ratio CHL:VS for food waste

3. Degradation ratios calculated by dividing the mass (of each component) recovered from the reactor by the initial mass

4. The extent of decomposition is the measured methane yield divided by the yield calculated assuming conversion of 100% of the cellulose and

hemicellulose (and protein in the case of food waste) to methane and carbon dioxide.

Source: Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid Waste Components in Laboratory Scale Landfills,

Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-917

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In a review of the evidence taken from laboratory studies, Barlaz indicated that the

BMP data suggested about 70 to 75% of the degradable solids could be degraded in

a reactor system.94 This was also suggested through studies undertaken by Barlaz,

Ham, and Schaefer (1989) and Barlaz, Schaefer, and Ham (1989) in which 71 and

77% of the cellulose and hemicellulose, respectively, added to a reactor system in the

form of shredded MSW was degraded.

A.4.2.2 Evidence from Studies Focusing on Anaerobic Digestion

Davidsson et al (2006) studied the anaerobic digestion of 17 food waste samples

and found that on average 80% of the total volatile solids content was degraded after

a 15 day period in the digester. 95 These results are not inconsistent with those

suggested by Eleazer et al in the study discussed above, as the latter study

considered digestion over a longer period of time (and therefore suggested 84% of

the total volatile solids would be decomposed). Composition analysis presented by

Davidsson et al indicated that the crude fibre content was between 8-26% of the total

volatile solids content of the food waste samples. These results again suggest that a

significant proportion of the lignin based material is not affected by anaerobic

decomposition but that much of the rest of the volatile solids are degraded under

such conditions.

A.4.2.3 Theoretical and Measured Biological Methane Potential

Research indicates that the relationship between theoretical and measured biological

methane potential (BMP) is not straightforward. Theoretical values can be calculated

either from the element composition (C H O) or the component composition (fats,

proteins etc). These theoretical values are usually found to be higher than those

found through the measured methane potential using laboratory batch tests -

Davidsson et al found on average, measured potentials achieved in these tests

represented 74% of the theoretical value based on element composition and 87% of

the theoretical value, based on component composition calculated by Buswell‟s

formula.96 This difference is likely to reflect, in part, the amount of material used by

the micro-organisms involved within the degradation process.

However Barlaz noted that the ratio of the measured BMP to the theoretical BMP

showed considerable variability.97 It was therefore suggested that variability in the

ratio between measured and theoretical BMP together with the variable nature of

94 Barlaz M A (2004) Critical Review of Forest Products Decomposition in Municipal Solid Waste

Landfills, National Council for Air and Stream Improvement, Bulletin 872

95 Davidsson A, Gruvberger C, Christensen T H, Hansen T L and la Cour Jansen J (2007) Methane Yield

in Source-Sorted Organic Fraction of Municipal Solid Waste, Waste Management, 27, pp406-414

96 This is a formula used to predict the yield of component products from anaerobic digestion based

upon the chemical composition of the degrading material.

97 Barlaz M A (2004) Critical Review of Forest Products Decomposition in Municipal Solid Waste

Landfills, National Council for Air and Stream Improvement, Bulletin 872

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cellulose decomposition made it difficult to formulate the theoretical maximum

degradation potential of cellulose.

A.4.3 The Influence of Landfill Conditions on Degradation

Environmental conditions influence the extent of degradation occurring in the landfill.

The factors that have most consistently been shown to affect the rate of refuse

decomposition are the moisture content and pH.97 It is generally accepted that refuse

buried in arid climates decomposes more slowly than refuse buried in regions that

receive greater than 20 to 40 inches of annual infiltration into the waste.

The way in which the landfill is managed – with respect to the covering of cells, for

example – also has an important influence on the extent of degradation. This is

discussed further in the next section.

A.4.4 Evidence from Landfill Excavation

In addition to the evidence from the laboratory studies presented above, some

evidence of the differential behaviour of the constituent carbon fractions is available

from field studies undertaken at landfill sites. However the focus of these studies is

largely on paper and wood – the so-called “forest products”.

Much of the work of this nature has been carried out by researchers working with

Barlaz, who has also produced several reviews of the evidence gained through this

type of research.98 These reviews justify the focus on paper and wood products

through citation of data from the US EPA that suggest very high quantities of paper

products within the landfilled waste stream in the US during the late 1990s. This data

suggests the food waste constituted only around 10% for landfilled waste as a whole

when commercial and industrial waste is considered alongside the municipal. The

data further suggests that wood content of the total waste stream is relatively high -

as much as 20% of construction and demolition waste is assumed to be wood.

As a result, landfill excavation studies only consider the relative degradation of

cellulose and lignin. No data is available for the relative decomposition of fats and

proteins from field studies undertaken at landfill sites. This is disappointing since it

seems clear from the review of activity data that food waste is a far more significant

component of landfilled waste in the UK than paper and card.99

A.4.4.1 Cellulose

Evidence taken from landfill field studies considers the degradation of cellulose and

hemi-cellulose relative to that of lignin through an analysis of cellulose to lignin ratios

(C:L) or cellulose + hemi-cellulose ratios (CH:L). These ratios are used to minimise the

98 Barlaz M A (2004) Critical Review of Forest Products Decomposition in Municipal Solid Waste

Landfills, National Council for Air and Stream Improvement, Bulletin 872; Barlaz M A (2006) Forest

products decomposition in municipal solid waste landfills. Waste Management, Issue 26, pp. 321-333

99 The situation in the UK appears to be very different indeed. The current situation suggests that as

much food waste is landfilled as the combined total of wood, paper and card.

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effect of soil dilution from the daily cover of the landfill that would otherwise

contaminate the samples.

Recent reviews of the evidence produced by Barlaz confirm that there has been a

wide range of studies on the degradability of refuse buried in landfills beginning with

the work of Ham and Bookter in 1982 and concluding with the work of Gardner et al

in 2003.100 These studies are generally consistent in demonstrating that CH:L ratios

can go as low as at least 0.2, and in the case of Wang, Byrd, and Barlaz (1994), as

low as 0.02.

Barlaz notes that many of the older studies overestimated the amount of cellulose

present because they relied upon gravimetric analysis. This tends to lead to an

overstatement of the amount of cellulose since non-cellulosic material is included as

cellulose. This overestimation is more likely to occur in the samples that are the most

decomposed, as the concentration of non-cellulosic recalcitrant material will increase

relative to the cellulose concentration in well decomposed samples. In contrast, the

study by Wang et al used High Pressure Liquid Chromatography (HPLC) which ensures

a more accurate reporting of the cellulose content and also allows for the reporting of

the hemicellulose content. This is suggested by Barlaz as a possible reason for the

very low CH:L ratios indicated by that study in comparison to others.

The values presented above likely represent the maximum extent of degradation. The

older more decomposed samples such as those excavated in Wang et al‟s study were

approximately 20 years old; however, none of the samples taken from the US studies

were more than 30 years old. All represent the conditions in sanitary landfills, in

which waste was covered with soil to discourage vermin rather than with a liner, likely

to keep waste drier and inhibit decomposition.

In presenting these results, Barlaz makes little comment with regard to the

substantial changes in landfill management that occurred in the period leading up to,

and beyond the sampling studies from which these results are presented. The studies

were carried out in the US in the 1990s. Evidence such as that presented above led

to the basis for the 30 year rule in the US – the idea that most of the decomposition

will have occurred during this period, and that landfills would not pose an

100 Ham R K and Bookter T J (1982) Decomposition of Solid Waste in Test Lysimeters, Journal of

Environmental Engineering, 108, pp1147-1170; Jones K L and Grainger J M (1983) Methane

Generation and Microbial Activity in a Domestic Refuse Landfill Site, European Journal Applied

Microbiological Biotechnology, 18, pp242-245; Fawcett, J D and Ham R K (1986) Refuse analysis data

and evaluation for the Mountain View controlled landfill project, Department of Civil and Environmental

Engineering, The University of Wisconsin – Madison; Ham R K, Norman M R and Fritschel P R (1993)

Chemical Characteristics of Fresh Kills Landfill Refuse and Extracts, Journal of Environmental

Engineering, 119, pp176-1195; Suflita J M, Gerba CP, Ham R K, Palmisano A C, Rathje W L and

Robinson J A (1992) The World‟s Largest Landfill: A Multi-disciplinary Investigation, Environmental

Science and Technology, 29, pp2305-2310; Wang Y S, Byrd C S and Barlaz M A (1994) Anaerobic

Biodegradability of Cellulose and Hemi-cellulose in Excavated Refuse Samples, Journal of Industrial

Microbiology, 13, pp147-153; Gardner W D, Ximenes F, Cowie A, Marchant JF, Mann S and Dods K

(2003) Decomposition of Wood Products in the Lucas Heights Landfill Facility: Internal Report,

Research and Development Division, State Forests of New South Wales

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125

environmental problem after this time.101 Liners and dry entombment followed in the

US in the early 1990s – along with leachate recirculation (introduced to maximise gas

production), which would be expected to increase the extent of degradation by

ensuring that moisture did not become a limiting factor. However landfill cells are not

permanently covered whilst the landfill is operating – during periods of fill,

decomposition might be expected to occur in a similar way to that seen in the sanitary

landfills described above. Table A 36 therefore presents cellulose lignin ratios of

samples that are less than 10 years old. The majority of samples were taken from

landfills where no leachate circulation was taking place.

Table A 36: Cellulose Lignin Ratios for Samples Less than 10 Years Old

Source Location Approx age

years C:L Comments

Bookter and Ham

(1982)

Wisconsin

6 1.43 Shredded test samples in 4

ft deep cells – cold weather

limited 9 0.57

Los Angeles 2-10 0.6 Moisture limited

New York 2-4 0.87

Fawcett and Ham

(1986)

4 1.2 Higher value - leachate

recirculation. Test cells 50

ft deep 4 1.9

Ham, Norman,

Fritschel (1993) New York 0-5

0.2-3

(median 1.5)

Low gas production

measured

Sources: Ham R K and Bookter T J (1982) Decomposition of Solid Waste in Test Lysimeters, Journal of

Environmental Engineering, 108, pp1147-1170; Fawcett, J D and Ham R K (1986) Refuse analysis

data and evaluation for the Mountain View controlled landfill project, Department of Civil and

Environmental Engineering, The University of Wisconsin – Madison; Ham R K, Norman M R and

Fritschel P R (1993) Chemical Characteristics of Fresh Kills Landfill Refuse and Extracts, Journal of

Environmental Engineering, 119, pp176-1195

What do these ratios imply for the degradation of cellulose, hemi-cellulose and lignin

considered separately? Table A 37 shows CH:L ratios of refuse taken from Barlaz‟s

2006 review. Measurements of cellulose and hemi-cellulose content in these

samples were taken using HPLC. The table also shows indicative ratios for three

scenarios developed on the basis of the maximum degradation evidence presented in

Section A.4.2 - one where 70% of the cellulose and hemicellulose is degraded; one

where 90% of cellulose and hemicellulose is decomposed, and a further scenario

where 50% of the cellulose is degraded but hemicellulose is not considered. In all

cases 5% of the lignin is also assumed to be degraded. The scenarios are developed

in line with the evidence from the landfill excavation studies described above, and, in

the case of the lignin degradation, taking into consideration the lignin degradation

figures presented in Section A.4.2.1). The scenarios indicate the following:

101 Centre for a Competitive Waste Industry (2004) Day of Reckoning: Protecting California Tax-Payers

from the Looming Landfill Crisis: Report to the Grassroots Recycling Network, September 2004

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1. The median CH:L ratio with 70% degradation of cellulose and hemi-cellulose is

1.10 (with a range of 0.51 – 1.42);

2. The median CH:L ratio with 90% degradation of cellulose and hemi-cellulose is

0.37 (with a range of 0.17 – 0.47);

3. The median C:L ratio with 50% degradation of cellulose is 1.40 (with a range of

0.70 – 2.40).

The first of these two scenarios is suggested as representative of the maximum

degradation that might be expected. The third is presented as representative of the

extent of degradation that might be expected to occur during the pre-cover period.

Table A 37: CH:L and C:L Ratios of Refuse and Indicative Ratios Post Degradation

Barlaz et

al Eleazer

Rhew and

Barlaz Ress et al Barlaz Price et al Barlaz

1989 1997 1995 1998 unpublished 2003 unpublished

Cellulose 51.2 28.8 38.5 48.2 36.7 43.9 54.3

Hemi-

cellulose 8.7 10.6 6.7 10.0 10.8 5.8

Lignin 15.2 23.1 28.0 14.5 13.6 25.1 12.1

CH:L

of refuse

at start

4.2 1.6 1.7 4.1 3.2 2.2 5.4

CH:L with

70% loss

of C & H1 1.24 0.54 0.51 1.27 1.10 0.63 1.42

CH:L with

90% loss

of C & H1 0.41 0.18 0.17 0.42 0.37 0.21 0.47

C:L of

refuse at

start 3.4 1.2 1.4 3.3 2.7 1.7 4.5

C:L with

50% loss

of C 1.8 0.7 0.7 1.7 1.4 0.9 2.4

Note: 5% of the lignin is also assumed to be degraded in each case

Sources: Barlaz M A, Ham R K and Schaefer D M (1989) Mass balance analysis of decomposed refuse

in laboratory scale lysimeter, Journal of Environmental Engineering, ASCE, 11,5 pp1088-1102; Rhew

R and M A Barlaz (1995) The effect of lime stabilized sludge as a cover material on anaerobic refuse

decomposition, Journal of Environmental Engineering, ASCE, 121, pp499- 506; Ress B B, Calvert P P,

Pettigre, C A and Barlaz M A (1998) Testing anaerobic biodegradability of polymers in a laboratory-

scale simulated landfill, Environmental Science & Technology, 32, pp821-827; Price G A, Barlaz M A,

Hater G R, (2003) Nitrogen management in bioreactor landfills. Waste Management, 23, pp675–688

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127

A.4.4.2 Lignin

Plant cell wall material is composed of three important constituents: cellulose, lignin,

and hemicellulose. Lignin is particularly difficult to biodegrade, and its presence is

known to further reduce the bioavailability of the other cell wall constituents.

Lignin is both a physical and chemical barrier to microbial attack.102 The molecule is a

complex polymer of phenylpropane units, which are cross-linked to each other with a

variety of different chemical bonds. The presence of lignin reduces the surface area

available to enzymatic penetration and activity, restricting the extent to which the

other cell wall components can be decomposed.

Research carried out at Cornell University has sought to understand the nature of the

bioavailability of lignin in aerobic and anaerobic systems and subsequent impact on

cellulose and hemicellulose, and subsequently postulated mathematical relationships

that considered the effect of lignin on biodegradability in anaerobic systems.

Chandler et al (1980) developed a linear relationship for bioavailability of a substance

in anaerobic systems based on its lignin content.103 Whilst, however, this relationship

was found to make mechanistic sense for materials that had a relatively low lignin

concentration, the model was found to be less good for molecules that had a large

amount of lignin present. In this case, some of the lignin was overlapping other lignin

molecules rather than cellulose, reducing the incremental effect.104 Subsequent

analysis of extensive databases on the maximum digestibility of lignocellulosic

materials in the rumen led to the development of a log-linear relationship which was

found to provide a better fit. An alternative means to calculate the biodegradable

carbon available was therefore proposed by Van Soest:105

10010541.01

100

%76.0

%

%

deg

CellWallCLignin

CellWallCC totalCellWalltotalradablebio

where

Cbiodegradable = Total amount of biodegradable carbon under anaerobic

conditions

102 Colberg, P.J., 1988. Anaerobic microbial degradation of cellulose, lignin, oligolignols, and

monoaromatic lignin derivatives. In Biology of anaerobic microorganisms, ed. A. J. B. Zehnder, 333-

372. New York: Wiley-Liss Dehority, B. A. and R. R. Johnson. 1961. Effect of particle size upon the in

vitro cellulose; digestibility of forages by rumen bacteria. Journal of Dairy Science, V (44):2242-2249.

Tong, X, L. H. Smith, and P. L. McCarty. 1990. Methane fermentation of selected lignocellulosic

materials. Biomass, 21:239-255. Pfeffer, J. T. and K. A. Khan. 1976. Microbial production of methane

from municipal refuse. Biotechnology and Bioengineering, 18:1179-1191

103 Chandler, J.A., W.J. Jewell, J.M. Gossett, P.J. Van Soest, and J.B. Robertson. 1980. Predicting

methane fermentation biodegradability. Biotechnology and Bioengineering Symposium No. 10, pp. 93-

107

104 Conrad, H.R., W.P. Weiss, W.O. Odwongo, and W.L. Shockey. 1984. Estimating net energy of

lactation from components of cell solubles and cell walls. J. Dairy Sci. 67:427-436.

105 Van Soest, P.J. 1994. The Nutritional Ecology of the Ruminant, 2nd edition. Cornell University

Press.

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Ctotal = Total amount of biodegradable carbon under aerobic condition

Lignin%CellWall = Lignin as % of cell wall components

CellWall% = Sum of Carbon from Lignin and Holocellulose106 as percentage of

Ctotal

Evidence for the reduced bioavailability of cellulose and hemicellulose as a result of

the presence of lignin is available from a number of studies.107 However some

analysis suggests this relationship is far from straightforward. The previously cited

work by Eleazer et al (see Section A.4.2.1) found that the degree of lignification of a

particular component was not a good predictor of the extent of biodegradation. Whilst

the relationship was relatively strong for the paper products it was found that grass -

which is also highly lignified - underwent nearly complete decomposition in the

reactor. The authors noted:108

…. “Apparently, the lignin in grass is not as restrictive to microorganisms as

the lignin in other components such as branches. This result is consistent with

a report by Akin et al. (1995) who stated that “The chemistry of grass

lignocellulose varies considerably from that of wood.””

The differential behaviour of the lignin in grass has been highlighted in other

studies.109 A curvilinear relationship was shown to relate increasing lignin

concentrations to a decrease in the digestibility of cellulose in eight species of grass

(Jung and Vogel 1986).110

Wood products are highly lignified and as such, some studies have suggested very

little anaerobic degradation occurs in a landfill. Recent research by Gardner et al

(2009) suggested that no significant loss of dry mass could be measured in wood

products buried for 19 and 29 years. Where refuse had been buried for 46 years, the

measured loss of carbon (as a percentage of dry biomass) was 8.7% for hardwoods

and 9.1% for softwoods. The authors calculated that this mass loss equated to a loss

106 Barlaz notes that Van Soest fibre determination method suffers from the same shortcomings as the

gravitimetric methods previously cited.

107 Wang Y S, Byrd C S and Barlaz M A (1994) Anaerobic Biodegradability of Cellulose and Hemi-

cellulose in Excavated Refuse Samples, Journal of Industrial Microbiology, 13, pp147-153; Baldwin,

T.D., Stinson, J., and R. K. Ham. 1998. Decomposition of specific materials buried within sanitary

landfills. Journal of Environmental Engineering, 124 (12):1193-1202; Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S

and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid Waste Components in Laboratory Scale

Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-917

108 Eleazer W E, Odle W S, Wang Y S and Barlaz M A (1997) Biodegradability of Municipal Solid Waste

Components in Laboratory Scale Landfills, Environmental Science and Technology, 31, pp911-917

109 Dehority, B. A. and R. R. Johnson. 1961. Effect of particle size upon the in vitro cellulose;

digestibility of forages by rumen bacteria. Journal of Dairy Science, V (44):2242-2249. Tong, X, L. H.

Smith, and P. L. McCarty. 1990. Methane fermentation of selected lignocellulosic materials. Biomass,

21:239-255.

110 Jung, H. G. and K. P. Vogel. 1986. Influence of lignin in digestibility of forage cell wall material.

Journal of Animal Science, 62:1703-1712.

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129

of 18% and 17% of their original carbon content, respectively. They further suggested

that these results indicated that the published decomposition factors based on

laboratory research – such as that presented by Eleazer et al (in Section A.4.2.1) -

significantly overestimated the decomposition of wood products in an actual landfill.

The output from this analysis led the authors to consider a maximum DOCf for wood

products of 0.3 if lignin is not considered to be „„degradable”, or a DOCf of 0.18 if

lignin is considered to be „„degradable”.

However, in a previous review of the earlier research published by Gardner et al,

Barlaz noted that their analysis did not cross-reference the decay of the wood in the

landfill with that of any non-wood products and thus provided no indication of what

conditions in the landfill were like. In addition, Barlaz‟s review indicated that the

ultimate extent of decomposition of carbon or mass could not be quantified from the

available data obtained from the study.

A.4.5 Landfill Model Calibration Studies

There have been a number of attempts to reconcile the outputs predicted by landfill

gas generation models with the amount of methane emitted at landfill sites.111 One

such study of gas generation at a number of landfills in Canada attempted to

benchmark the performance of a series of models using two different dissimilation

factors.112 Gas generation measurements taken at the landfills were compared with

that predicted using the following models:

EPER Zero Order Model;

TNO;

The Belgian model;

Scholl Canyon;

LandGEM v2.01.

Of these, the zero order EPER model considers the rate of CH4 production

independently of the amount of substrate remaining or of the biogases already

111 These include: Oonk H and Boom T (1995) Landfill Gas Formation, Recovery and Emission, TNO-

rapport 95-203, Oonk H, Weenk A, Coops O and Luning L (1994) Validation of Landfill Gas Formation

Models, Dutch Organisation for Applied Scientific Research, Report no 94-315; Ehrig H and

Scheelhaase T (1999) Abschätzung der Restemissionen von Deponien in der Betriebs und

Nachsorgephase auf der Basis realer Überwachungsdaten, Bergische Universität – Gesamthochschule

Wuppertal, Germany; Fellner J., Schöngrunder P., Brunner P.H. (2003): Methanemissionen aus

Deponien, Bewertung von Messdaten (METHMES), Technische Universität Wien, Austria; Fredenslund

A.M., Kjeldsen P., Scheutz C., Lemming G. (2007) BIOCOVER – Reduction of Greenhouse Gas

Emissions from Landfills by Use of Engineered Bio Covers Eco Tech 2007, 6th International

Conference on Technologies for Waste and Wastewater Treatment, Energy from Waste, Remediation

of Contaminated Sites, Emissions Related to Climate, Kalmar; Scharff H and Jacobs J (2006) Applying

Guidance for Methane Emission Estimation for Landfills, Waste Management, 26, pp417-429

112 Thompson S, Sawyer J, Bonam R and Valdivia JE (2009) Building a better methane generation

model: Validation models with methane recovery rates from 35 Canadian landfills. Waste

Management, Issue 29, pp. 2085-2091

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produced, through a consideration of only the waste input from the previous year. The

remaining models all consider waste decay using a first order kinetic equation in a

similar way to that of MELMod.

The study considered 35 out of a total of 52 Canadian landfills, with modelled decay

rates linked to the precipitation rate in each case. Gas collection efficiency was

assumed to be 80%, as all landfills were assumed to be covered with a final clay

cover (this value was taken as it is the mid point between the default 75% recovery

rate assumed by the US EPA, and the 85% recovery rate adopted by the French

Environment Agency following the work of Spokas et al, 2006).

The authors suggested that all the models performed better when a DOCf of 0.5 was

used as opposed to the higher factor of 0.77, and that the Belgium, LandGem v2.01

and the Scholl Canyon models provided the closest estimates in terms of correlation

with total generated in Canadian landfills. The TNO model was found to overestimate

gas generation. A more recent review of the evidence presented in the Canadian

study suggests however that these conclusions need to be treated with caution. In

some of the models reviewed – including the TNO model - landfill gas generation in

volume (m3) per year is apparently mistaken for methane generation in kg per year,

resulting in estimated methane generation which is about 2.5 times too high.113

An earlier study carried out similar analysis comparing landfill gas generation

measurements from three Dutch landfills against the predicted gas production using

six models including the TNO model.114 In this case, a dissimilation factor of 0.58 was

used in the TNO model. On all three sites considered within the study, measured gas

generation was approximately in the centre of the range of estimates produced by the

model. However, the same study also evaluated another Dutch model – that

produced by Afvalzorg - in a similar manner. In the case of the latter model,

dissimilation factors of 0.7-0.8 were used (although these are only applied to the

biodegradable part of the waste). The TNO estimates were, however, higher than the

Afvalzorg estimates despite the use of the lower dissimilation factor. This highlights

the fact that the dissimilation factor is thus only one variable of many to be

considered when comparing the performance of different models against field

measurements taken at landfill sites.

The TNO-model has been validated, both in a comparison with results from landfill

gas extraction (blue dots) and modeled emission estimates (blue circles) (see Figure

A 7). In 2002 TNO carried out some follow-up measurements at landfills with more

industrial waste (generally, containing less carbon per tonne, shown as red dots). The

model appears to show a reasonable agreement between modelled and measured

formation and resulted in a figure for gas generation of about 60 kg methane per

tonne of waste. Based on specific assumptions regarding DOC, this enabled a figure

for DDOC of around 0.58 to be estimated.

113 Oonk H (2010) Literature Review: Methane from Landfills: Methods to Quantify Generation,

Oxidation and Emission, Report for Sustainable Landfill Foundation

114 Scharff H and Jacobs J (2006) Applying Guidance for Methane Emission Estimation for Landfills,

Waste Management, 26, pp417-429

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131

At present, in the Netherlands, there is much focus on making landfills more

sustainable, with a desire to force the biological degradation of waste through to

completion. To facilitate this, efforts have been made in detecting either dry or

acidified regions in the waste using geoelectrical methods. An example of a result of

such a measurement for a bioreactor test-cell is given in Figure A 8 below. The

method highlights the conductivity of areas in the cell. A high conductivity (dark blue)

means waste is saturated with leachate with high salt content, whilst a low

conductivity (red) indicates that waste is locally unsaturated. What is not clear is

whether these zones would remain entirely stable over time.

Figure A 7: Plot Illustrating Correspondence Between Calculated and Measured

Landfill Gas Emissions

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000

calculated formation (m3 hr-1)

mea

sure

d fo

rmat

ion

(m3 h

r-1)

Nauerna

3e Merwedehaven

Wieringermeer

Braambergen

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Figure A 8: Diagrammatic Representation of Variation in Conductivity Using Geo-

electrical Tests

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A.5.0 Extraction Efficiency: Issues and Evidence This Appendix explores some of the issues associated with landfill gas extraction

efficiency, as well as reviewing the evidence from the literature regarding

measurements of extraction efficiency.

A.5.1 Engineering Considerations on Extraction Efficiency

Landfill gas is extracted using gas wells. Vertical wells are most frequently applied,

but horizontal systems or gas trenches are possible as well. A vertical gas well has a

specific region of influence (as indicated in Figure A 9) which often is assumed to be

35-50 m for landfills with household waste. This region of influence is determined by

well-design, the way the well is operated and waste characteristics. A simplified way

to estimate collection efficiency is from the ratio of the total surface of the landfill and

the surface within influence of the wells.

Figure A 9: Regions of Influence of Vertical Wells

well

region of influence

landfill border

Of course the actual regions of influence are not neat circles of a uniform and

predictable size. It is obvious, however, that collection efficiency decreases when

distances between wells increases, when the suction pressure on each individual well

is not optimized on a regular basis or when the permeability of the waste changes,

due to changes in its composition. High efficiencies require a state-of-the art design

of the well system and considerable knowledge and attention on the part of the

operator.

As described above, proper maintenance of the suction pressure on the wells is of

importance. Normally the suction pressure on each individual well can be controlled

with valves in the well-head. With little or no suction pressure on a well, internal

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pressure in the waste is the main driving force enabling the landfill gas to be

extracted with relative high methane content, but at a low flow-rate. 115

Increasing the suction pressure on the well increases the flow-rate. However suction

pressure cannot be increased in an unlimited manner since air will be sucked in

through cracks and fissures in the top-layer. So, increasing suction pressure results in

an increasing region of influence of a well and increasing amounts of landfill gas

collected, but at the cost of a reduction in the methane content in the gas. Due to

settlements, but also due to precipitation, the permeability of the top-layer changes

continuously. So when high collection efficiencies must be maintained, especially in

the first years after closure, continuous attention to the suction pressure of each well

is required.

A.5.2 Economic and Environmental Optimal Gas Recovery

At a first glance landfill gas extraction is an obvious, win-win technology for

greenhouse gas abatement. Emissions of methane are abated and at the same time

landfill gas is recovered that can be utilized e.g. to generate electricity. As a result, an

important economic incentive exists to reduce methane emissions. However as long

as the economic incentive is the only one driving the recovery of landfill gas, a system

might be obtained that does not extract all the gas that could, technically, be

extracted.

In a landfill gas project driven purely by economics, the capacity for landfill gas

utilization becomes critical. This is illustrated in Figure A 10 below. Landfill gas

projects become less profitable when the utilization (e.g. the size of a gas engine or a

unit to upgrade biogas to natural gas quality) is below its design capacity for long

periods. In such cases, the capacity of the utilization is not always based on the

amount of landfill gas that can be extracted from the outset. The capacity may be

based more on expected quantities of landfill gas over longer term horizons (5 to 10

years). Since gas generation over the longer term is unpredictable, sometimes, low-

estimates of gas generation are used as a design basis for gas extraction.

If the utilization capacity is fixed,116 the economic incentive to extract more than the

amount that can be utilized might be relatively weak. For example, a landfill

compartment immediately after closure might produce 1,000 m3 hr-1. Suppose, for

the sake of argument, that 600 m3 per hr-1 could be extracted. Long-term gas

production may be much lower 500 m3 hr-1 and the utilization capacity might,

115 Due to the continuous process of waste degradation and landfill gas generation, the internal part of

the landfill has a pressure greater than that of the atmosphere. This excess pressure is one of the

factors behind landfill gas emission, but it also helps gas extraction.

116 This is not necessarily the case. Part of the peak might be utilized as well using modular utilization

options, e.g. smaller gas engines of about 100-250 kWe. However in practice this is not easily done

because of limited availability of these gas engines. The willingness of energy producing companies to

invest in such machines will depend a.o. on the long-term possibilities of finding new applications for

such an engine and these long-term possibilities depend on long-term landfill policies

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therefore, be set somewhat below this at 400 m3 hr-1. So immediately after closure it

is only economically feasible to extract 40% of what is being generated.

Economic considerations might lead to increased well-spacing. When gas wells are

put closer together, the total amount of landfill gas extracted will increase, but the

gas extracted per well might decrease, thus increasing the costs of a cubic metre of

landfill gas extracted. For example, 1 well per ha might extract 200 m3 hr-1, where 2

wells per ha might extract 300 m3 hr-1. The extra gas extraction due to the 2nd well is

only 100 m3 hr-1 and this may or may not be considered cost-effective depending

upon the various factors affecting the overall economics of the site.

Economic considerations also have impact on, for example, maintenance of negative

pressure on suction wells. As shown in Figure A 10, immediately after closure gas is

abundant and one does not have to put that much attention to landfill gas extraction

to fill the utilization capacity. Optimization of landfill gas extraction at this time

requires significant man-power and is costly. As long as the utilization capacity is

filled, it is not cost-effective to optimize landfill gas extraction.

Figure A 10: Landfill Gas Generation and Extraction in Time, Driven by Economy

These types of mechanisms are most likely the reason why average integral extraction

efficiencies are, in practice, likely to be low - in the order of 20%. This may be true

even where – as suggested above – instantaneous extraction efficiencies can be very

high, particularly some years after site closure. It is extremely important to

understand the differences in the performance of landfills over their lifetime, not least

because most measurements cited in the literature have been carried out when sites

are partially or fully closed, and sometimes, a reasonable period after closure (see

Table A 38 below).

A.5.3 Literature on Extraction Efficiency

There is some literature available on extraction efficiencies. In most cases this refers

to the instantaneous extraction efficiency (the ratio of gas extraction and gas

generation at a certain point in time). Only in very few cases is it clearly documented

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within a study at what phase in the life of the landfill (exploitation phase, early closed

stage, late closed stage or capped) the measured extraction efficiency refers to.

There are several ways to quantify extraction efficiency:

From a ratio of measured amounts of landfill gas extracted and an estimate,

or model, of landfill gas generation. In this case the estimate or model

determines the accuracy of the estimate;

From measurements of extracted amounts and of emissions. In most cases

where emissions are measures, the measurement targets only methane. Since

part of the gas is neither extracted nor emitted, but oxidized, an estimation of

methane oxidation is required (see below). In some cases both methane and

carbon dioxide emissions are measured and since oxidation does not affect

the sum of both (the methane is converted to carbon dioxide by oxidation), this

results in a more reliable measurement of recovery efficiency. In general the

quality of the measurement itself is important as well. Most methane emission

measurements are performed using flux chambers, a method which is known

to underestimate actual emissions; and

Collection efficiency might also be estimated from system design, based on

engineering considerations, preferably done by engineers with experience in

the design of landfill gas systems, who have performed test-extractions, and

who are involved in system optimization in the field.

An overview of collection efficiencies is given in Table A 38. The various studies in the

table are described in more detail below.

Table A 38: Overview of Collection Efficiencies from the Literature

Landfill

type Reference Method

Gas

extraction

efficiency

Remarks

Partial

exploit-

ation

Oonk

(1994)

Engineering

considerations 20%

Based on knowledge of experienced

engineers

Mostly

closed

Oonk

(1995)

MBM-measurements of

CO2 and CH4 11-52% 3 Dutch landfills

Ehrig

(1999)

Engineering

considerations, validated

by comparing extractions

and models

40-60%

German landfills in exploitation and

closed landfills. Validation suggests

efficiency is overestimated

Mosher

(1999)

Static chamber and tracer

plume measurements of

methane

70%

One USA landfill, partly in operation,

partly sealed with a geo-membrane.

Methane oxidation assumptions

unclear

Scharff

(2003)

MBM-measurements of

CO2 and CH4 10-55% 4 Dutch landfills

Michaels

(2006)

Gas extraction compared

to prognosis

75-85%

46-54%

Wisconsin landfills, efficiency

dependent on assumed model for

LFG generation

Lohila

(2007)

Micrometeorological

method 69-78%

Emission reduction upon start-up of

collection at Finnish landfill. Note the

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Landfill

type Reference Method

Gas

extraction

efficiency

Remarks

applicability of the measurement

method is currently under discussion.

Themelis

(2007)

Gas extraction compared

to prognosis 35%

Average value taken across 25

Californian landfills. Assumptions for

gas generation are very uncertain.

Borjesson

(2007)

CH4 emission and

oxidation measurements 33-64% 4 Swedish landfills

Oonk

(2010)

Gas extraction compared

to prognosis 15% 45%

State of the art & non-state of the art

Dutch landfills

Recently

closed

Oonk

(1994)

Engineering

considerations 45-60%

Based on knowledge of experienced

engineers

Oonk

(1995)

MBM-measurements of

CO2 and CH4 10-80% 9 Dutch landfills, sand cover

Spokas

(2005)

CH4 emission and

oxidation measurements

88-92%

5% 1 French landfill, 30cm clay cover

Borjesson

(2007)

CH4 emission and

oxidation measurements 14-65% 2 Swedish landfills

Less

recently

closed

Oonk

(1994)

Engineering

considerations 60-95%

Based on knowledge of experienced

engineers

Oonk

(1995)

MBM-measurements of

CO2 and CH4 96-100%

2 Dutch landfills, clay and geo-textile

cover

Mosher

(1999)

Static chamber and tracer

plume measurements of

CH4

90%

1 USA landfill. Result somewhat

unreliable due to inaccuracies in

measured extraction

Spokas

(2005)

CH4 emission and

oxidation measurements 84-93%

3 French landfills, clay and geo-textile

caps

Spokas

(2005)

CH4 emission and

oxidation measurements 40% 1 French landfills, geosynthetic clay

Huitric

(2006) CH4 emissions 93-96% 1 Californian landfill 1.5m clay

Huitric

(2007) CH4 emissions 99% Same Californian landfill 5 years later

In 1994 Oonk et al evaluated the performance of a series of landfill gas generation

models.117For this purpose gas generation was estimated from gas extraction at

actual landfill sites (FOD-model, LFG0=186 m3/tonne; k=0.1 y-1).118 Only those landfill

117 Oonk H., Weenk A., Coops O., Luning L., (1994): Validation of Landfill Gas Formation Models, TNO,

Dutch organization for Applied Scientific Research, Report No. 94-315., Apeldoorn, The Netherlands

118 LFG0 is initial landfill gas potential of waste in m3 per ton waste. It is a variation on L0 as used by

US-EPA and IPCC, which describes the initial methane potential per ton waste.

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gas extraction projects that were considered state-of-the art, and where actual gas

extraction was not limited by the capacity of utilization, were included. Gas extraction

efficiencies were estimated by Grontmij, an experienced engineering company and

were dependent on, inter alia, well distance, cover, landfill geometry and steepness of

slopes.

Oonk et al later described methane and carbon dioxide emission measurement on 21

Dutch landfill sites using a 1D mass-balance method.119 Gas was extracted from a

number of landfills and the emitted amount of methane and carbon dioxide was

compared with landfill gas extraction, yielding extraction efficiencies in Table A 38.

The measurements described by Scharff in 2003 follow on from the measurements

made in the early 90s at four Dutch landfills, and were compared with plume

emission measurements for methane.120

In 1999 Ehrig compared landfill gas extraction with modeled generation at a number

of German landfills, both open and closed using multi-phased models (LFG0=196

m3/ton and k=0,035-0,35 y-1).121 Assuming a recovery efficiency of 40-60%,

extracted amounts were below modelled generation, indicating that either the model

was overestimating landfill gas generation or extraction efficiency was lower than

assumed.

In the same year, Mosher et al reported a summary of methane emissions from nine

landfills in the Northeastern US.122 Emissions were measured by both static

chambers and a tracer flux technique. Two of the landfills collected LFG, making it

possible to compare emissions to collected gas. One of the two landfills was closed

and had a geo-membrane plus soil cover. A collection efficiency of 90.5% was

calculated. The authors indicate that the gas collected was not measured accurately,

which casts some doubt on this value. This collection efficiency is nonetheless likely

to be reasonable from two perspectives. First, this landfill had the lowest emissions of

the sites studied, and, second, the collection efficiency is consistent with other values

in this review. A collection efficiency of 70% was calculated for an active landfill in

which part of the landfill was covered with a geo-membrane but other parts had daily

cover only.

119 Oonk H., Boom T. (1995): Landfill gas formation, recovery and emission, TNO-rapport 95-203, TNO,

Apeldoorn, the Netherlands.

120 Scharff H., Martha A., v. Rijn D.M.M., Hensen A., Flechard C., Oonk H., Vroon R., de Visscher A.,

Boeckx P. (2003): A comparison of measurement methods to determine landfill methane emissions,

NV Afvalzorg, Haarlem, The Netherlands.

121 Multi-phase models, distinguishing fractions with rapid, moderate and slow degradation. Rate

constant of biodegradation, k, varies 0,035 and 0,35 y-1 (half-times of 2 to 20 years). See Ehrig H.-J.,

Scheelhaase T. (1999): Abschätzung der Restemissionen von Deponien in der Betriebs- und

Nachsorgephase auf der Basis realer Überwachungsdaten, Bergische Universität – Gesamthochschule

Wuppertal, Germany.

122 Mosher, B. W., Czepiel, P.M., Harriss, R.C., Shorter, J.H., Kolb, C.E., McManus, J.B., Allwine, E., and

Lamb, B.K. (1999): Methane emissions at nine landfill sites in the northeastern United States,

Environmental Science and Technology 33, p. 2088–2094.

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Spokas et al. in 2005 carried out closed chamber measurements at 7 spots at 3

French landfills, with known gas extraction.123 Along with the closed chamber

measurements, 13C analyses were made to measure methane oxidation. In this way a

full „fate‟ analysis of methane could be made.

In 2006, Huitric et al describes emission measurements, using closed chambers,

performed in 2002 at a closed landfill site near LA.124 In the analysis methane

oxidation was neglected, so part of the reported extraction efficiency might be

attributed to methane oxidation. A year later Huitric described measurements from

the same landfill, taken 5 years later.125

Michels and Hamblin provided an overview of landfill gas extraction in Wisconsin, all

for landfills with parts still in exploitation.126 In total, extraction compared to modelled

generation (using a first order decay model with LFG0=200 m3/ton and k=0,04 y-1)

increased from about 75 to 85% in the period 2000-2004. However these results are

highly dependent on the assumed rate of biodegradation of waste. When a higher

rate of biodegradation and a slightly reduced LFG-potential are assumed (LFG0=186

m3/ton; k=0,1 y-1 for example) and when an evaluation is made on a landfill by landfill

basis, these efficiencies drop to 46-54% on average.

Börjesson et al subsequently performed tracer plume measurements of methane

emissions along with 13C plume measurements to assess methane oxidation at 6

Swedish landfills.127

Lohila et al reported methane fluxes for a section of a Finnish landfill that included an

active disposal area and a sloped area.128 The active area was covered daily with soil

and construction-and- demolition waste rejects, and the sloped area had a cover that

included 0.2 to 0.5 meters of compost over 0.5 to 2 meters of diamicton and clay.

Three estimates of collection efficiency were reported. First, it was reported that the

mean methane flux over seven days was reduced by 79% when the gas collection

123 Spokas K, Bogner J, Chanton JP, Morcet M, Aran C, Graff C, Moreau-Le Golvan Y and Hebe I (2005)

Methane mass balance at three landfill sites: What is the efficiency of capture by gas collection

systems? Waste Management, Issue 26, pp. 516-525

124 Huitric, R., and Kong, D. (2006): Measuring Landfill Gas Collection Efficiencies Using Surface

Methane Concentrations, Solid Waste Association of North America (SWANA) 29th Landfill Gas

Symposium, St. Petersburg, FL.

125 Huitric, R., Kong, D., Scales, L., Maguin, S., and Sullivan, P. (2007): Field Comparison of Landfill

Gas Collection Efficiency Measurements, Solid Waste Association of North America (SWANA) 30th

Landfill Gas Symposium, Monterey, CA.

126 Michels, M., Hamblin, G. (2006): LFG Collection Efficiency is Improving in Wisconsin, Waste

Management, Cornerstone Environmental Group.

127 Gunnar Börjesson, Jerker Samuelsson, and Jeffrey Chanton (2007) Methane Oxidation in Swedish

Landfills Quantified with the Stable Carbon Isotope Technique in Combination with an Optical Method

for Emitted Methane Environmental Science and Technology 2007, 41 (19), pp.6684-6690.

128 Lohila, A., Laurila, T., Tuovinen, J.P., Aurela, M., Hatakka, J., Thum, T., Pihlatie, M., Rinne, J., and T.

Vesala (2007): Micrometeorological measurements of methane and carbon dioxide fluxes at a

municipal landfill, Environmental Science and Technology, 41, p. 2717–2722.

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system was turned on. This measurement was made by using methane concentration

data coupled to an eddy covariance method. Another estimate was made by

comparing the mean methane emission to the volume of gas collected and assuming

that methane production was the sum of emissions and collection. This resulted in an

estimate of 69% collection efficiency.

Themelis et al reported methane extraction and estimated methane loss (emission

and oxidation) for 25 Californian landfills in analysis published in 2007.129 Methane

loss was calculated from amounts of waste, assuming direct decomposition and a

production (LFG0) of 122 m3 per ton of waste. Extraction efficiency was estimated as

loss divided by the sum of extraction and loss, and in this way, an average efficiency

is obtained of 35%. The assumption of direct decomposition is a rough one, but might

be a first indicator when landfills are operational for longer times. An overestimation

due to gradually increasing amounts of waste deposited might be compensated by

the relative low assumed LFG0, so the 35% by indicated by the authors might still be

considered an overestimate.130

Recently in 2010 Oonk and Coops evaluated implementation of „state of the art‟

landfill gas extraction at Dutch landfills.131 All of them were still in exploitation, but no

organic waste was being landfilled (the landfills were effectively implementing the

Dutch ban on landfilling of organic waste. Conclusions were that extraction at most

Dutch landfill could be considered state of the art (well distance of about 70 meters,

frequently controlled suction pressure on the wells). The average collection efficiency

of landfills whose collection efficiencies were labelled „good‟ to „very good‟ was 46%

(efficiencies ranged from 20-85%), compared to a modeled level of landfill gas

generation. Landfill gas projects with greater distance between wells or a less

controlled suction pressure on wells were substantially less efficient (15% on

average).

A.5.4 Other Considerations

In the current UK approach, a collection efficiency of 75% is assumed. The

description of MELMod includes the following statement:

“Although the UK‟s level of landfill gas recovery appears to be high in

comparison with other countries, there are grounds for confidence in the UK‟s

overall recovery rate of 70 per cent. With regard to landfill gas utilization,

energy recovery from landfill gas has benefited greatly in the UK as a result of

various initiatives to stimulate electricity production from renewable sources.”

129 Themelis N.J., Ulloa P.A., (2007): Methane generation in landfills, Renewable Energy 32, 1243–

1257

130 When assuming direct decay, landfill gas generation follows waste deposition in a 1 to 1 relation.

When amounts of waste landfilled slowly increase, landfill gas generation increases as well, but in a

somewhat delayed way. Assuming direct decomposition in such a case results in an overestimation of

landfill gas generation.

131 Information from Oonk (2010). The study was performed in 2005 and results are confidential; thus

the details unfortunately can not be disclosed.

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However in other (north western) European countries this situation is not significantly

different in respect of efforts to control emissions of methane. The situation in these

countries might not be entirely comparable in UK (e.g. these countries significantly

reduced landfilling of organic years in the last 10 years), but similarities are just as

large: most landfills with landfill gas extraction (valid for Denmark and the

Netherlands) still produce significant amounts of gas with good quality; mitigation of

landfill gas emission receives lots attention of both local and national government for

maximised landfill gas recovery (effectuation of this in legislation differs however),

and implemented technology and capabilities of waste treating companies have

developed in the past 20 years.

The difference between measured national collection efficiencies in Denmark, Austria

and the Netherlands at one hand and the UK-estimate at the other hand is sufficiently

large, that a simple statement as in the MELMod description does not suffice. It

needs to be emphasised again that the modelling we are discussing is not a model of

a single landfill with state-of-the-art gas extraction technology. Rather, we should

consider the fact that landfill emissions originate from sites of varying ages, so that it

is no exaggeration to state that the mix of landfills of relevance to emissions from UK

landfills as a whole most likely includes sites with no gas extraction technology, as

well as ones with technologically advanced systems.

In this respect, it might be noted that whilst some of the countries listed below might

be landfilling less biodegradable waste today than the UK, few have enacted bans or

restrictions which exerted their full effect a very long time ago. As such, the argument

that might be played regarding the lower likely extraction efficiencies from these

countries would be consistent with a view that only the most recently built landfills are

capturing large proportions of the generated methane. This would appear to

strengthen the argument against the high extraction rates used in MELMod for three

different landfill types in recent years.

A.5.4.1 Denmark

In Denmark all major and intermediate sized landfills extract landfill gas (Willumsen,

2010).132 The Danish Energy Agency registers the gas amounts recovered at disposal

sites in energy units (TJ) (Danish Energy Agency, 2009)133. For the emission

estimation this amount of gas in energy unit is converted to volume of gas using the

calorific value of 20 MJ per m3.

A.5.4.2 Germany

In Germany, landfill gas collection is obligatory for all landfills for municipal waste,

since 1993 (prescribed in the "TA Siedlungsabfall" of 1993). Collection of gas from

landfills began in the 1980s. In the German report of greenhouse gas emissions to

132 H. Willumsen (2010), personal communication, LFG Consult, Denmark.

133 Danish Energy Agency (2009) Denmark‟s fifth national communication on climate change, Danish

Energy Agency, Denmark.

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UN-FCCC,134 it is assumed that all landfills that are relevant for methane production

have gas collection. In total 95% of methane is assumed to be produced at landfills

with 60% collection efficiency. However the intention is expressed to base the figure

on actual landfill gas recovery with monitored data in future. No evidence is given for

the assumed collection efficiency used this far.

A.5.4.3 Netherlands

Landfill gas recovery in the Netherlands was given considerable stimulus in the first

half of the „90‟s. In a government backed initiative, feasibility studies were performed

for all closed and open sites larger than few hectares. In those years, energy

distributing companies had significant support, and also targets, for renewable energy

generation, and since landfill gas recovery and utilization was one of the more cost-

effective options, companies were very active in initiating new projects. In 1993

legislation was enforced with the objective to limit methane emissions from the

waste, prescribing landfill gas extraction at all operational landfills (Stortbesluit). As a

result the number of landfills with landfill gas recovery rose from about 10 in 1990 to

over 60 in 1999.

All operational landfills, and most of the medium sized, and virtually all larger, closed

landfills have landfill gas recovery. In the 1993 legislation, it was also recognized that

a large amount of methane is produced and emitted during exploitation, so that the

legislation aimed to ensure gas recovery during the exploitation phase as well.

In this period it was also recognized that landfill gas recovery for energy utilization is

not necessarily an effective system for mitigation of methane (see appendix), and in

2005 best available technology (BAT) for landfill gas recovery was defined with

detailed prescriptions on:

Design basis for landfill gas recovery, capacity of extraction;

Well-laid-out, distance between wells;

Operational regime. Suction pressure on wells, maximum CH4-content in

extracted gas.

In summary, the majority of Dutch landfills that contribute to emissions have landfill

gas recovery.

There has been a great deal of attention to implementation of state of the art

projects, and maximizing emission reduction (rather than maximizing energy

generation from landfilled waste). There are limited amounts of degradable carbon

landfilled in those sites in operation. Even so, despite these efforts, it is calculated

that still no more than 15% of methane overall is extracted.

134 Umweltbundesamt, (2010) Submission under the United Nations Framework Convention on

Climate Change and the Kyoto Protocol 2010, Umweltbundesamt, Dessau. Germany.

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A.5.4.4 Austria

The development of landfill gas extraction in the 1990s and its stimulation due to the

potential for recovery of renewable energy is not well documented. However in the

1990s landfill gas extraction must have developed significantly, since by 2002, in

total, 61.2 million m3 of landfill gas was extracted and utilized or flared.

Currently, landfill gas recovery is regulated in the “Deponiegasverordnung” from

2004, which obliges operators to have adequate landfill gas extraction, monitoring

and reporting to the legislative authorities. This obligation applies for landfills with

both untreated and pretreated (e.g. MBT) waste. As a result of this legislation all

operational landfills, as well as all medium sized and large closed landfills, have

landfill gas recovery.135

Due to Austrian waste policy, the amount of waste landfilled without pre-treatment

has fallen significantly, and the practice of landfilling untreated waste is now banned.

As a result, landfill gas production is diminishing and landfill gas extraction also fell

back to 43.3 million m3 in 2007.136 To prevent landfill gas projects from closing down

before most of the methane potential is released, the 2008-version of the

“Deponiegasverordnung” prescribes leachate recirculation to enhance gas

production.

The quantification of the amount of methane recovered (as the basis for the inventory

of national emissions) proceeds in a periodic inquiry amongst all Austrian landfill gas

projects. A recent inquiry from 2008 collected amounts recovered in the period 2002-

2007 and obtained responses from 90% of all Austrian landfill gas projects. The total

amount recovered amounted to 15% of the total amount that is generated.

A.5.4.5 USA

In USA, the total amount of landfill gas recovered per year is based on sales of flaring

equipment, a database of landfill gas-to-energy (LFGTE) projects, and a database for

the voluntary reporting of greenhouse gases.137 Specifics of the method are not

revealed, but overall the method results in a nationwide efficiency of almost 50%.

The US landfill industry regards itself as a world leader in landfill gas recovery.

Sullivan et al.138 state:

135 Lambert C. (2010); personal communication.

136 Based on an inquiry amongst all Austrian landfills with landfill gas recovery (Lambert C.,

Schachermayer E. (2008): Deponiegaserfassung auf österreichischen Deponien, Zeitreihe 2002 bis

2007, Umwelbundesamt, Austria). Enquiry had 90% response. No correction of results for amounts

recovered by non-respondents.

137 US-EPA, (2010) Inventory of U.S. greenhouse gas emissions and sinks: 1990 – 2008, US_EPA,

Washington, USA.

138 Sullivan (2010): Current MSW Industry Position and State-of-the-Practice on LFG Collection

Efficiency, Methane Oxidation, and Carbon Sequestration in Landfills; SCS Engineers, Sacramento,

USA.

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“Further, the US has the most comprehensive requirements for LFG collection

and control in the world, as accomplished through the landfill New Source

Performance Standards (NSPS) under 40 CFR, Part 60, Subpart WWW, as well

as more stringent state regulations such as California Assembly Bill 32‟s

landfill methane rule. These regulations prevent excessive fugitive emissions

by requiring LFG collection and control as well as extensive monitoring for

surface emissions of methane to maximize LFG capture. They also dictate

specific requirements for how comprehensive LFG systems must be designed

and operated.”

Sullivan et al. appear to consider the nationwide figure of 50% as an underestimation

and propose collection efficiencies of 50-85% (mid-range default = 68%) for a landfill

or portions of a landfill that are under daily cover with an active LFG collection

system; 85-99% (mid-range default = 92%) for a landfill or portions of a landfill that

are closed and have active LFG collection system; and 95-99% (mid-range default =

97%) for capped landfills an active LFG collection system. These values are based on

selected information from Table A 38. Only the emission measurements of Spokas et

al. and Huitric, largely at capped landfills, and the Wisconsin database of Michels and

Hamblin are considered as the basis for these views.139

A.5.4.6 New Zealand

SKM developed an approach for the Ministry for the Environment which aimed to

estimate the quantity of methane recovery between 1990 and 2012. This was based

upon a bottom-up methodology, seeking to understand the situation at each

individual landfill, but not involving measurements.140 The work clearly faced a

number of constraints in terms of responses from operators and the absence of

quality data, not least, that of a historical nature (which is important for

understanding current and future emissions).

The report notes:

Where there is no gas flow data, SKM has estimated the collection efficiency

from a number of factors. The estimate is based on the IPCC suggested range

of 10% to 90% collection efficiency and adjusted for known factors (the mean,

50%, was made the default).

139 Spokas K, Bogner J, Chanton JP, Morcet M, Aran C, Graff C, Moreau-Le Golvan Y and Hebe I (2005)

Methane mass balance at three landfill sites: What is the efficiency of capture by gas collection

systems? Waste Management, Issue 26, pp. 516-525; Huitric, R., and Kong, D. (2006): Measuring

Landfill Gas Collection Efficiencies Using Surface Methane Concentrations, Solid Waste Association of

North America (SWANA) 29th Landfill Gas Symposium, St. Petersburg, FL.; Huitric, R., Kong, D., Scales,

L., Maguin, S., and Sullivan, P. (2007): Field Comparison of Landfill Gas Collection Efficiency

Measurements, Solid Waste Association of North America (SWANA) 30th Landfill Gas Symposium,

Monterey, CA.; Michels, M., Hamblin, G. (2006): LFG Collection Efficiency is Improving in Wisconsin,

Waste Management, Cornerstone Environmental Group.

140 SKM (2010) Estimates of Landfill Methane Recovered in NZ 1990 to 2012, Report for the Ministry

for the Environment, June 2009.

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This does not accurately represent the IPCC view. The IPCC gives no „suggested

range‟. Furthermore, the default chosen is well above what is recommended by the

IPCC.

The reported range for gas collection efficiency in the study is 42-90%. It is difficult to

square this range with the statement in the report that:

Of the 24 landfills that were identified, 17 are currently destroying methane, 3

are planning to destroy methane in the future, 1 destroyed methane in the

past, and we do not know whether or not the remaining 3 landfills will begin

destroying methane in the future. Four of the landfill operator/owners

provided actual gas quantity data while ten landfill operator/owners did not

provide any information.

Figure A 11: Methane Generated and Captured from New Zealand Landfills

Source: SKM (2010) Estimates of Landfill Methane Recovered in NZ 1990 to 2012,

Report for the Ministry for the Environment, June 2009.

The results for New Zealand as a whole are shown in Figure A 11. What is interesting

is that in 2006, the capture rate is assumed to be already approaching 50%. This is

the same year for which a landfill census suggested that only 22% of landfills had gas

collection systems in place (of any sort).141

141 Ministry for the Environment (2007) The 2006/07 National Landfill Census, October 2007.

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Of course, it is possible that the sites with gas extraction systems in place were the

ones receiving the majority of waste, but given that only 5% of sites in 1998 had gas

collection systems in place, then given also that the historic deposit of waste will

contribute significantly to methane generation 8 years later, the conditions under

which around 22% of landfills would be capturing almost 50% of all emissions in that

year would appear to be very restrictive indeed.

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A.6.0 Methane Oxidation Rates This Appendix reviews the processes for determining methane oxidation, as well as

evidence from the literature regarding oxidation. The review forms the basis for

recommendations made in the main report.

A.6.1 Processes Determining Methane Oxidation

In recent years substantial attention has been paid to methane oxidation by research

groups around the world. The most important factors determining methane oxidation

are:

The homogeneity at which methane is emitted. At landfills, a large part of the

methane which escapes from the site believed to be is released through short-

cuts. These short cuts are typically cracks and ruptures at the surface or

subsurface, but may also include gas-wells or drainage pipes that are not well

sealed or are leaking. As a result methane emissions are highly heterogeneous

and methane oxidation at hot-spots is most likely much less than oxidation

methane that which is emitted in a more homogeneous way;

The flux of homogeneously emitted methane (the flow of methane from the

bulk of the waste to the bottom of the top-layer in g m-2 hr-1). When this flux

increases, diffusion of oxygen into the top-layer is reduced and methane

oxidation declines as well;142

The porosity of the top-layer. Increased porosity implies on the one hand a

more homogeneous methane emission. On the other hand, oxygen diffusion

into the top-layer is enhanced. So, increased porosity is advantageous to

methane oxidation. Water-logging in periods with high precipitation decreases

porosity;143

The water-content of the top-layer. The oxidation process involves bacterial

action. Bacteria need moisture to be active and bacteriological activity is

favored by moisture. However too much water might block the pores. So there

is an optimum water content of the top-layer;144

142 Scheutz C., Kjeldsen P., Bogner J.E., De Visscher A., Gebert J., Hilger H.A., Huber-Humer M., Spokas

K. (2009): Microbial methane oxidation processes and technologies for mitigation of landfill gas

emissions, Waste Management & Research, 27: pp. 409–455.

143 Gebert J., Rachor I., Gröngröft A. (2009): Column Study for Assessing the Influence of Soil

Compaction on CH4 Oxidation in Landfill Covers, University of Hamburg, Ger-many.

144 Börjesson G., Svensson B. (1997): Seasonal and diurnal methane emissions from a landfill and

their regulation by methane oxidation. Waste Management and Research, 15, pp. 33–54; Cabral, A.R.,

Tremblay, P. & Lefebvre, G. (2004): Determination of the diffusion coefficient of oxygen for a cover

system composed of pulp and paper residues. ASTM Geotechnical Testing Journal, 27, pp. 184–197

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The temperature of the cover-layer, which is closely connected to ambient

temperatures. At higher temperatures bacteria become more active. Every

10 o C temperature increase means about 2-4-fold increase in methane

oxidation.145

As a result of its moisture and temperature dependency, methane oxidation depends

on average weather conditions. It is, therefore, climate-dependent. Methane oxidation

is thought to be at its maximum effectiveness in temperate to warm conditions with

limited excess rainfall. Methane oxidation is most likely less effective in colder

climates, and under warm but dry conditions.146

For a specific top-layer, oxidation also depends on the season. Methane oxidation is

lower in winter than in summer. This is observed in Nordic countries, such as

Denmark, Sweden, Belgium, and in northerly states of the USA.147

A.6.2 Measurement of Methane Oxidation

Methane oxidation can be measured by 13C analysis of gas samples, obtained by

either closed chambers or plume measurements. The method is based on the fact

that CH4 with 12C is preferably oxidized, compared to methane built from 13C. Upon

oxidation methane is enriched in 13C and the shift in 13C concentration is used to

calculate methane oxidation.

Closed chamber box measurements have to be considered unreliable and tend to

overestimate methane oxidation for two reasons:

Methane emissions exhibit a huge variation from spot to spot and when

performing closed chamber measurements, which makes it hard to obtain a

reliable, average emission. To improve closed-chambers measurements,

protocols are drafted, defining e.g. the intensity of the grid, where emission

measurements have to take place and geostatistical procedures are proposed

to extrapolate such a grid-wise measurement to the whole landfill. Hot-spots

and short cuts will, however, most likely will be missed or under-represented.

Even when a high-intensity measurement is performed on a landfill, and

145 Gebert J., Gröngröft A. (2007): Potential and Limitations of Passively Vented Biofilters for the

Microbial Oxidation of Landfill Methane, 2nd BOKU Waste Conference, Vienna, April 2007

146 Abichou T., Johnson T., Mahieu K., Chanton J.P., Romdhane J., Mansouri I. (2010): Developing a

Design Approach to Reduce Methane Emissions from California Landfills, Florida State University, USA.

147 Christophersen, M. and Kjeldsen, P. (1999): Field investigations of lateral gas migration and

subsequent emission at an old landfill; Sardinia 99 Seventh International Waste Management and

Landfill Symposium; IV (79-86); 4-8 October 1999, Cagliari, Italy; Maurice C., Lagerkvist A. (1997):

Seasonal influences of landfill gas emissions, Sardinia 97 Sixth International Landfill Symposium; IV

(87-94); 13-17 October 1997, Cagliari, Italy; Börjesson, G., Samuelsson J., Chanton J., (2007):

Methane oxidation in Swedish landfills quantified with the stable carbon isotope technique in

combination with an optical method for emitted methane, Environ. Sci. Technol., 41, 6684-6690;

Boekx, P., Van Cleemput, O., and Villaralvo, I. (1996): Methane emission from a landfill and the

methane oxidising capacity of its covering soil, Soil Biology & Biochemistry, vol. 28, pp 1397-1405;

Czepiel P.M., Mosher B., Crill P.M., Harris R.C. (1996b): Quantifying the effect of oxidation on landfill

methane emissions. Journal of Geophysical Research. 101, 16721-16729

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149

geostatistical techniques are used for interpolation, therefore, closed chamber

measurements tend to underestimate short-cuts and underestimate methane

emissions (and lead to an overstatement of extraction efficiencies). Similarly

closed box measurements of methane oxidation tend to overestimate

methane oxidation. Short-cuts are places with locally increased methane flux

and therefore reduced or even negligible methane emissions, and when such

short-cuts are missed, these spots with low methane oxidation will not be

considered in the average;

Even when short-cuts are measured, the way methane oxidation

measurements are averaged is a basis for overestimating methane oxidation.

For example, when 90% of emissions takes place on 10% of the landfill

surface and 10 closed chamber measurements are performed, 9

measurements can be expected in a low flux area and only 1 measurement in

a high flux region. So the low flux-area is overrepresented in a simple average;

the 9 measurements, yielding high oxidation, represent only 10% of total

methane flux and 90% of methane is emitted at no or negligible oxidation.

Plume measurements of 13C are considered a more reliable way to measure methane

oxidation. At the moment this is considered state-of-the-art. In this method, 13C is

measured away in the plume on top or away from the landfill. The method however is

not without problems as well. Chanton et al describe three issues affecting the 13C

method, the most important being a by-pass effect.148 However all of the key issues

affecting measurement tend to result in an underestimation of methane oxidation

(whereas the opposite is the case with chamber box measurements).

Mass-balance measurement of oxidation relies on a shift in the CO2/CH4-ratio in

landfill gas, caused by the oxidation of methane to carbon dioxide. Measured

emissions of CO2 and CH4 can be compared with the CO2/CH4-ratio of the landfill gas

as extracted. This method of assessing methane oxidation is also disputable. The

main reasons for this are that other sources and sinks of CO2 are present in the top-

layer of the landfill, e.g. CO2 assimilated by vegetation or CO2 dissolved in rainwater.

Besides, part of the CH4 which is oxidized is used to fuel the growth of the

methanotrophic bacteria and is not released as CO2. Effectively, the carbon is used to

build cell matter.

A.6.3 Results of Measurements

As described above, methane oxidation depends on factors such as climate, the

season and also on the methane flux through the top-layer. So for a reliable

estimation of methane oxidation in the UK, reliable measurements of oxidation are

required in climatic conditions comparable to UK, performed in all seasons, and also

with methane fluxes that are representative for the methane fluxes that exist in the

landfill phases when most methane emissions take place.

148 Chanton, J.P., D.K. Powelson, T. Abichou, and G. Hater. (2008): Improved field methods to quantify

methane oxidation in landfill cover materials using stable isotope carbon isotopes, Environ. Sci.

Technol., 42, pp. 665–670

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150

Figure A 12 shows again the landfill gas formation and recovery. The total methane

flux (in m3 per year) through the top-layer is proportional to this. Apart from the

exploitation phase, when the landfill surface area steadily increases, the grey area is

also proportional to the flux, expressed in g CH4 m-2 hr-1. From Figure A 12 it becomes

obvious that national methane oxidation estimates have to be based on oxidation

measurements at landfills in the exploitation phase, or early on following the end of

exploitation.

Figure A 12: Landfill Gas Generation, Recovery and Total Flux through the Top-layer

(in gray) at a Landfill

0

1000000

2000000

3000000

4000000

5000000

6000000

7000000

8000000

9000000

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034

LFG

form

atio

n an

d ex

trac

ted

time

exploitation closed capped

Table A 39 gives an overview of relevant studies determining average methane

oxidation over a period of a year. The studies are described in more detail below.

Chanton et al give a review of measurements for methane oxidation throughout the

world. 149 The vast majority of methane oxidation measurements are performed using

closed chambers, often with very few measurements, rarely using a carefully planned,

or sufficiently tight grid, and rarely interpreted using geostatistical or other methods.

Furthermore, few have been averaged in a particularly sophisticated manner, and

most have been performed at landfills that have been closed for a long time or have

been capped (and where the surface flux is therefore low). The authors pay extra

attention to the small number of year round studies.

149 Chanton J.P., Powelson D.K., Green R.B. (2009): Methane oxidation in landfill cover soils, is a 10%

default value reasonable? J. Environ. Qual. 38:654–663.

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Table A 39: Summary of Methane Oxidation Measurements from the Literature

Landfill

type Literature source Method

Oxidation

rate Remarks

Mostly

closed

Bergamaschi

(1998)

Closed chambers,

plume

measurements

25%

Interpretation by Chanton et al

(2009), measurements at 4

German / Dutch landfills

Abichou (2004) Closed chambers 23% Fresh waste, daily cover in Florida

Borjesson

(2007)

Plume

measurements 10%

Oonk (2010) Mass-balance

method 10-30% Methodology under discussion

Closed Borjesson

(2001) Closed chambers

26 and

42%

Interpretation by Chanton et al

(2009), two Swedish landfills one

recently closed, the other closed for

20 years

Christophersen

(2001)

Closed chambers,

13C and mass

balance

interpretation

28 and

89%

Interpretation by Chanton et al

(2009), rate dependent on method

of interpretation

Achibou (2004)

& Stern (2007) Closed chambers 19–30%

Three testfields in Florida. Results

dependent on interpretation

Barlaz (2004) Closed chambers 21% Intermediate cover, 3-5 year old

waste

Borjesson

(2007)

Plume

measurements 20%

Oonk (2010) Mass balance

method 20-40% Methodology under discussion

Capped Closed chambers 40% 1 m compacted clay, 0.5 m sand

Bergamaschi et al measured 13C isotopes from 4 landfills in the Netherlands and

Germany, both in the plume and directly from the soil using closed chambers.150 All

landfill were still in operation and had at least one part where fresh waste was

dumped. They observe a significantly higher shift of 13C in the box, compared to the 13C in the plume. On the basis of this, the authors conclude that 70% of all landfill gas

is emitted through short-cuts. On the basis of the results of Bergamaschi et al.,

Chanton et al. estimate methane oxidation to be 84%. This is likely to relate to the

oxidation of the 30% of methane that does pass through the landfill surface in a more

homogeneous way, yielding an overall oxidation of 25%.

150 P. Bergamaschi, C. Lubina, R. Königstedt, H. Fischer, A.C. Veltkamp, and O. Zwaagstra (1998)

Stable isotopic signatures ( 13C, D) of methane from European landfill sites. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.

103:8251–8265

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Börjesson et al. measured methane emissions and oxidation (13C) on two Swedish

landfills, using closed chambers. 151 One of the landfills was recently closed, the other

one was closed for almost 20 years. Measurements were performed in August,

February and March for both sites. Methane oxidation in summer was substantially

higher than in winter. Methane oxidation on the top of the landfill (with lower methane

flux) was higher than on the slopes. On the basis of these results, Chanton et al.

estimate average oxidation to be 42% and 26% at the two sites.

Christophersen et al. perform closed chamber measurements throughout the surface

of a Danish landfill, closed over 10 years ago, measuring both CH4 and CO2-

emissions, along with 13C.152 Chanton et al estimate methane oxidation to be 89% on

basis of a shift in CO2/CH4 ratio and 28% on the basis of shift in 13C.

An earlier study by Chanton et al in 2002 used closed chambers to measure methane

emissions from a closed and a capped landfill.153 The closed landfill still gave

significant methane emissions and an oxidation of 4%. Methane emissions from the

capped landfill were considerably less and methane oxidation was 40%.

Abichou and Chanton measured methane oxidation at a Florida landfill, using closed

chambers.154 The methane oxidation was measured at 22.5% for a part with 45-cm-

thick soil layer on top of 7-year-old waste, 11.4% for a 45-cm soil cover on top 14-

year-old waste and 22.7% for fresh waste with daily cover. Later on, methane

oxidation from the same spots was reported to be 30% on an annual average

basis.155 This was however based on 3 measurements, including a number of

observations of 100% methane oxidation, without any attempt to average these

observations on a weighted basis. As a result the regions with 100% oxidation (most

likely representing little to negligible flux) increase the average value of oxidation

considerably, and give what is almost certainly a falsely high value.

Barlaz et al. measured methane emissions and oxidation, using closed chambers on

a soil-covered area on a Kentucky landfill, on top of a temporary cover of 3-5 year old

151 Borjesson, G., J. Chanton, and B.H. Svensson (2001): Methane oxidation in two Swedish landfill

covers measured with carbon-13 and carbon-12 isotope ratios, J. Environ. Qual. 30, pp. 376–386.

152 Christophersen M., Kjeldsen P., Holst H., Chanton J. (2001): Lateral gas transport in soil adjacent to

an old landfill: factors governing emissions and methane oxidation, Waste Manag. Res., 19, pp. 595-

612.

153 Chanton, J.P., Fields, D., Bogner, J., Morcet, M., and Scheutz, C. (2002). A Stable Isotope Technique

for Determining Methane Oxidation in Landfill Covers, Proceedings SWANA 25th annual landfill gas

symposium, March 25-28th, Monterey, California, published by SWANA, Silver Spring, MD.

154 T. Abichou, J. Chanton, (2004) Characterization of Methane Flux, Oxidation, and Bioreactive Cover

Systems at the Leon County Landfill, Annual Report- Florida Center for Solid and Hazardous Waste

Management.

155 Stern J.C., Chanton J., Abichou T., Powelson D., Yuan L., Escoriza S., Bogner J., (2007), Use of a

biologically active cover to reduce landfill methane emissions and enhance methane oxidation, Waste

Management 27, pp. 1248–1258.

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153

waste.156 The resulting methane oxidation varied significantly from 0 to 100%. Simple

averaging of all values gave an average of 21% oxidation in the summer period.

Börjesson et al performed measurements at a few landfills in Sweden, as shown in

Figure A 13.157 Some landfills were still in operation while others were recently

closed. The measurement method was based on 13C of the methane in the plume, a

method which can be considered as one of the more reliable methods to quantify

methane oxidation. The authors explicitly paid attention to improved default values

for methane oxidation and propose 10% for active and 20% for closed landfills.

Figure A 13: Methane Oxidation at Swedish Landfills

Source: Börjesson G., Samuelsson J., and Chanton J. (2007) Methane Oxidation in Swedish Landfills

Quantified with the Stable Carbon Isotope Technique in Combination with an Optical Method for

Emitted Methane, Environmental Science and Technology, 41 (19), pp.6684-6690.

Recently Oonk re-evaluated earlier measurements performed by TNO in the period

1991-1994 and in 2002.158 Using a 1D-mass balance method, both CH4 and CO2-

emissions were measured at Dutch landfills. The ratio of both emissions, compared to

the ratio of CH4 and CO2 in the extracted landfill gas, is an indication of oxidation, as

shown in Figure A 14. The measurement method itself is not recognized as a

promising one and in particular the emission measurements of CO2 have limited

accuracy. Also the interpretation of CH4 and CO2-ratio is disputable (see above under

„measurement of methane oxidation‟). However the results in Figure A 14 seem to

156 Barlaz M., Green R.B., Chanton J.P., Goldsmith C.D., Hater G.R. (2004): Evaluation of a biologically

active cover for mitigation of landfill gas emissions, Environ. Sci. Technol., 38, pp. 4891-4899.

157 Börjesson G., Samuelsson J., and Chanton J. (2007) Methane Oxidation in Swedish Landfills

Quantified with the Stable Carbon Isotope Technique in Combination with an Optical Method for

Emitted Methane, Environmental Science and Technology, 41 (19), pp.6684-6690.

158 Oonk H., (2010): Oxidatie van methaan in toplagen van stortplaatsen, naar een betere

kwantificering, OonKAY!, Apeldoorn, The Netherlands; Scharff H., Martha A., v. Rijn D.M.M., Hensen A.,

Flechard C., Oonk H., Vroon R., de Visscher A., Boeckx P. (2003): A comparison of measurement

methods to determine landfill methane emissions, NV Afvalzorg, Haarlem, The Netherlands

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154

make sense and indicate a methane oxidation 10-30% oxidation for Dutch landfills in

exploitation and 20-40% oxidation for closed landfills with a maximum of 5-10 kg

CH4/m2/yr. Therefore the validity of this new interpretation of these old

measurements is currently being discussed amongst specialists.

Figure A 14: Methane Oxidation as a Function of Flux to the Top-layer (n.b.

measurements were taken in all seasons, except winter

0

4

8

12

16

20

0 30 60 90 120 150

me

than

e o

xid

atio

n (

kg/m

2/j

r)

methaanflux to the top layer (kg/m2/jr)

100% 30% 20%

10% oxidation

Source: Oonk H., (2010): Oxidatie van methaan in toplagen van stortplaatsen, naar een betere

kwantificering, OonKAY!, Apeldoorn, The Netherlands

The recent analysis by Chanton et al. also discussed the IPCC-default value in a

review that limits itself to peer-reviewed literature.159 They conclude that only 1 out of

10 measurements result in a value of less than 10%. The average of all available

measurements is 35%. It has to be noted that the authors were not especially critical

of the derivation of the measurements and simply took an average of all available

measurements. As such, the average is overly weighted towards measurements

performed using flux chambers, which, as discussed above, is recognized as

inaccurate on larger surfaces and likely to lead to over-estimates.

159 Chanton J P, Powelson D K and Green R B (2009) Methane Oxidation in Landfill Cover Soils, is a

10% Default Value Reasonable? Journal of Environmental Quality, 38, pp 654-663.

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155

A.7.0 Methane Content of Landfill Gas This Appendix briefly presents information regarding the formation of methane in

landfills, before discussing key factors which affect the composition of methane in

landfill gas, major constituents of which are carbon dioxide and methane.

A.7.1 The Stoichiometry of Methane Formation

Barlaz describes the stoichiometric relationship for the conversion of cellulose and

hemicellulose to methane, using equations (1) and (2) respectively:160

(C6H10O5)n + nH2O → 3nCO2 + 3nCH4 (1)

(C5H8O4)n + nH2O → 2.5nCO2 + 2.5nCH4 (2)

In each case, equal molar quantities of CO2 and CH4 are produced, implying that

equal quantities of the two gases by volume will also be produced. However, Barlaz

goes on to suggest that landfill gas typically contains more CH4 because CO2 is

partially soluble in water and thus some dissolves in leachate. In addition, the

relationship described in the two equations presented above does not hold true for

fats and proteins, which follow a different chemical conversion route during

methanogenesis. The chemical conversion of protein to CH4 has been described

elsewhere by White et al, and is considered to occur in the following stages:161

C46H77O17N12S+19.95H2O=0.42C69H138O32+5.18CH3-COOH+6.55CO2+12NH3+H2S (1)

C69H138O32+18.5H20=16CH3COOH+27.75CH4+ 9.25CO2 (2)

CH3COOH=CH4+CO2 (3)

These equations suggest that Stage 2 – which also holds true for the degradation of

fats - will result in a higher CH4 yield relative to the CO2 production (albeit that Stage 1

results in the formation of only CO2).

A.7.2 The Influence of Landfill Conditions

The above equations represent the situation for optimal methanogenesis. However

the actual proportion of methane in the gas will vary depending on the extent to which

the conditions required for optimal methanogenesis are present in the landfill.

Methane formation only occurs in moist, airless spaces.162 Whilst an increase in the

moisture content leads to more methane formation, the presence of oxygen, on the

other hand, prevents methane from forming. The proportion of methane in landfill gas

160 Barlaz M A (2004) Critical Review of Forest Products Decomposition in Municipal Solid Waste

Landfills, National Council for Air and Stream Improvement, Bulletin 872

161 White J, Robinson J and Ren Q (2004) Landfill Process Modelling Workshop: Modelling the

Biochemical Degradation of Solid Waste in Landfills, Waste Management, 24, pp227-240

162 Center for a Competitive Waste Industry (2008) Landfill Gas to Energy Compared to Flaring

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156

is thus dependent upon the percentage of moisture and the absence of oxygen at any

given time. In a situation where conditions are sub-optimal for methanogenesis, the

resulting CH4 fraction of the landfill gas may be as low as 35%.

As was indicated at the start of this Section, MELMod currently assumes that landfill

gas generated at Type 4 landfills (the older uncapped sites) has a methane

concentration of 30%. This is intended to reflect the higher proportion of aerobic

degradation anticipated to occur at such sites, which would tend to increase the

proportion of CO2 relative to methane. However the lack of covering material is also

likely to allow for greater penetration of moisture into the lower layers of the landfill,

and this would tend to increase methanogenesis.

The oxidation of methane that occurs as the landfill gas passes through the covering

materials will also decrease the amount of methane relative to the CO2 content.

A.7.3 The Changing Composition of Landfill Gas over Time

The composition of landfill gas is likely to vary over the life of landfill, as a

consequence of both the stages of methanogenesis and landfill gas management

practices.

During both the early stages of degradation (such as the acidogenesis phase) and the

early part of the methanogenesis phase, the gas is likely to have a greater proportion

of CO2 in comparison to its methane content.163 Once the main phase of

methanogenesis is underway, the concentration of methane generally increases

relative to that of CO2 – influenced in part by the stoichiometry, as was described in

Section A.7.1. As methanogenesis slows the concentration of CO2 again rises relative

to the amount of methane.

Landfill management practices are also likely to influence the relative proportions of

the two gases over time. Once applied, the permanent cover of the landfill acts as a

barrier to moisture, reducing CH4 formation. At the same time, however, this will also

reduce the availability of leachate within which the remaining CO2 can dissolve.

163 Tchobanoglous G, Hilary T and Vigil S (1993) Integrated Solid Waste Management: Integrated

Principles and Management Issues, McGraw-Hill, New York