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Inventing the Future of Food
Gary Hirshberg
Chairman
WHAT WILL THE FUTURE LOOK LIKE?
9 billion people Extreme weather Water scarcity
Oil scarcity Coral reef decline Climate change
TROUBLING TREND LINES…
Over dependence on fossil fuels Environmental health risks Weakened Ecosystems
Species loss Pollinator decline
WATER: THE OIL OF THE 21ST CENTURY
Worldwide H2O usage doubling every 21 years
Since 1900, a 6X increase in H2O use Rising standards of living
Unsustainable levels of irrigated agriculture
Worldwide, since 1945, severe or extreme soil degradation has affected an area larger than India and China.
1950 2000
Global Fertilizer Use
These patterns put more marginal land into production -- and increase the use of chemicals, fossil fuels, and water
Areas of low oxygen (reds and oranges) off the coast of Louisiana
Source: NOAA
ECOLOGICAL CONSEQUENCES OF UNCONSCIOUS BEHAVIORS: HYPOXIAS
About the size of Lake Ontario
Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico: World’s 2nd Largest Dead Zone
MODERN DAY MYTHS
The earth is a subsidiary of
our economies
The earth has infinite
resilience and productivity to
meet whatever
humans need
“Externalities” are real, but
because they are not on our
P&Ls or Balance Sheets, they don’t exist and no one is accountable.
CAFO’s = Confined Animal Feedlot Operation
Duckett et al., 1993 J Animal Sci
0
5
10
15
20
25
Butter Pork Beef Egg
19602000
Ailhaud et al., Prog. Lip. Res., 2006 – Simopoulos & Salem. NEJM , 1989
Om
ega-
6 /O
meg
a-3
x6 x10
x15 x20
TRANSFORMATION OF FOOD CHAIN
Source: Dr. David Servan-Schreiber
President’s Cancer Panel Report
Recommends consumers
choose food grown without pesticides or chemical fertilizers,
antibiotics, and growth hormones to help
decrease their exposure to environmental
chemicals that can increase their risk of contracting cancer.
RECENT PESTICIDE WARNINGS
Study links ADHD in Children to Pesticide
Exposure
Children exposed to higher levels of a type of pesticide found on
commercially grown fruit and vegetables are more likely to have ADHD than
children with less exposure – recommends organic foods to avoid pesticide exposure –
Journal Pediatrics
CHEMICAL EXPOSURE DURING PREGNANCY
SOURCES: UCSF study published in Environmental Health Perspectives, January 2011
163 chemicals studied in women, ages 15-44 43 were found in 99% of tested pregnant women including: • PCBs (linked to cancer & other health problems)
• Organochlorine pesticides • PBDEs (flame retardants, including some banned)
• Phthalates (endocrine disruptor)
• Phenols (endocrine disruptor)
• PFCs (organ damage, reproductive problems)
• Perchlorate (affects thyroid function)
• PAHs (organ damage, cancer)
Some of these chemicals had been banned
since before the women were
born
Cord blood samples of newborns tested for 413 chemicals (2004)
287 detected 134 known carcinogens 158 toxic to brain and nervous system 186 cause infertility 151 cause birth defects or abnormal development Synergistic effects have never been studied
HEALTH CONSEQUENCES
Source: Environmental Working Group, January 2008.
Pesticides Health and Environmental Effects
Fungicides
Mancozeb Viewed as carcinogenic and can cause thyroid gland tumors
Tridemorph Possible reproduction problems
Nematicides Terbutos One of the most toxic organophosphates; accidents can
lead to death Ethoprofos Extremely toxic organophosphates; accidents can lead to
death; probable carcinogen Fenamiphos Extremely toxic organophosphates; accidents can lead to
death Insecticides Chloropytitos Organophosphate, nerve poison; medium to high toxicity for
humans
SAMPLE OF PESTICIDES USED ON NON-ORGANIC BANANAS
1. USA (40.8%) 2. Brazil (21.4%) 3. Argentina (14%) 4. Canada (6.8%) 5. India (6.3%) 6. China (2.3%) 7. Paraguay (1.9%)
*Only 3 countries contain 76.2% of the world’s GMO acres *3.7 billion acres used to grow GMO crops worldwide
Graph Source: Mother Jones
The World’s Biggest GMO Users
Primary GE crops in the US find their way into more than 80% of conventional processed foods
• Alfalfa • Canola • Corn • Cotton • Dairy (from cows given
rBGH, GE feed) • Papaya (Hawaiian) • Soy • Sugar Beets • Zucchini, Squash
On the Horizon:
• 2,4D-resistant corn • Arctic apple • Dicamba-resistant cotton • Blight-resistant potato • GM wheat, vegetables • GE salmon
Source: Steve Hoffman
American Academy of Environmental Medicine (AAEM) Cautions: Avoid GE Foods
Calls on "Physicians to educate their patients, the medical community, and the public to avoid GM (genetically modified) foods when possible and provide educational materials concerning GM foods and health risks. “ Several animal studies indicate serious health risks associated with GM food," including infertility, immune problems, accelerated aging, insulin regulation, and changes in major organs and the gastrointestinal system. "There is more than a casual association between GM foods and adverse health effects. There is causation," as defined by recognized scientific criteria. After reviewing more than 600 scientific journals, paper concludes that GMOs are a major contributor to the sharply deteriorating health of Americans Source: Position Paper on Genetically Modified Foods; 5/8/09; aaemonline.org
DECLINING INSECTICIDE APPLICATIONS
But, corn rootworms are developing resistance to insect-resistant crops*
Corn rootworm image courtesy of Colorado State University *Gassmann, Aaron J. "Field-evolved resistance to Bt maize by western corn rootworm: Predictions from the laboratory and effects in the field."
Journal of Invertebrate Pathology (2012).
GE crops have decreased insecticide use
-123 million pounds
Blood from pregnant women, nonpregnant women, and fetal cord tested positive for the insecticidal protein found in insect resistant crops
DECLINING INSECTICIDE APPLICATIONS BT IN OUR BLOODSTREAM
Source: Aris, A. and S. Leblanc. 2011. Maternal and fetal exposure to pesticides associated to genetically modified foods in Eastern Townships of Quebec, Canada. Reproductive Toxicology
IMPACTS OF HT CROPS ON HERBICIDE USE: 1996 - 2011
GE crops have INCREASED herbicide use
527 million pounds
Benbrook, Charles. "Impacts of genetically engineered crops on pesticide use in the U.S. -- the first sixteen years." Environmental Sciences Europe 2012.
Each acre planted to a HT variety required
substantially more herbicides than acres not
planted to HT crops
Benbrook, Charles. "Impacts of genetically engineered crops on pesticide use in the U.S. -- the first sixteen years." Environmental Sciences Europe 2012.
IMPACTS OF HT CROPS ON HERBICIDE USE: 1996 - 2011
2011 Herbicide Rates of HT Crops
Corn Soybean Cotton
0.41 lbs/acre 0.73 lbs/acre 0.86 lbs/acre
CONSEQUENCES OF GLYPHOSATE RELIANCE
Glyphosate is found in 60 to 100% of rain & air samples
tested in Iowa and Mississippi by USGS
Feng-Chih Chang, Matt F. Simcik, P.D. Capel, 2011. “Occurrence and Fate of the Herbicide Glyphosate and Its Degradate Aminomethylphosphonic Acid in the Atmosphere,” Envir. Toxicology Chem., Vol. 30, pages 548-555
Source: Nancy Swanson, Ph.D., former staff scientist for the U.S. Navy, Examiner.com, April 10, 2013
New Challenges of GE: Superweeds
Map Source: BBC World Service, 2012
Today, more than 61.2 million acres of U.S. farmland are infested with weeds resistant to Roundup
A 2012 survey showed that 49% of U.S. farmers reported finding superweeds in their fields. 28 weed species worldwide are already resistant to stronger herbicides, like 2,4-D and/or Dicamba.
IOWA STATE U STUDY TIES GMOS TO MONARCH BUTTERFLY DECLINE
Source: John Pleasants & Karen Oberhauser . “Milkweed loss in agricultural fields because of herbicide use: effect on the monartch butterfly population”. Insect Conservation and Diversity. March 2012.
• Widespread use of GMO corn & soy after 1999 has drastically reduced common milkweed in agricultural areas
• Highest concentration of GMO crops (see USDA map) is the main breeding ground for monarch butterflies
• Monarch larvae feed on milkweed
60% decline in monarch population (2000-2009)
Dietary risks are leading cause of disease burden in the US and contributed to
more health loss in 2010 than smoking, high blood pressure, and high blood sugar
-Institute For Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington
Source: http://www.healthmetricsandevaluation.org/gbd/news-events/news-release/united-states-losing-ground-other-countries-health-outcom
A WATERSHED IN 1945
Source: Dr. David Servan-Schreiber
Sugar Sedentary Lifestyle
Chemical Exposure Omega-3 /Omega-6 & Trans Fats
Changing how we do business means changing
how we think.
This is not just a cup of latté. It’s also 208 liters of water.
Source: WWF
Supporting over 200,000 acres of
organic farmland
Avoided over 10 million lbs of
synthetic nitrogen fertilizer
Avoided over 200,000 lbs of insecticides and
herbicides
Avoided over 460,000 drug treatments
(antibiotics, rBGH, reproductive aids)
2012 IMPACTS ORGANIC INGREDIENTS
(c) 2012. Stonyfield Farm, Inc. All Rights Reserved
BRAZIL ORGANIC SUGAR
In 1997, converted 3,000 acres to organic Today, 35,000+ acres are certified organic
BRAZIL SUGAR: AN ECOLOGICAL AND FINANCIAL SUCCESS STORY
Sustainable agricultural practices
Cane is green harvested, not burned
Waste streams from production recycled for soil building or power generation
Biological pest control program uses beneficial insects and
natural predators
Fields reconfigured to prevent soil erosion
PAYOFFS
• Green harvesting saves 40K tonnes CO2/yr & 3.5 million liters water/hr at mill
• 90% reduction in pest damage
• Increased biodiversity (312 species of birds, amphibians, reptiles, and mammals)
• Increasing groundwater quality and volume
• Topsoil carbon content nearly equal to native forests
• 10% Yield Increase
• 50% Cost Premium Decrease
Source: Reganold et al. Washington State University. “Fruit and Soil Quality of Organic and Conventional Strawberry
Agroecosystems” September 1, 2010
CONVENTIONAL VS. ORGANIC Is there a difference in food & soil quality?
Washington State University study tested fruit & soil quality from 13 pairs of commercial organic & conventional strawberry farms Organic strawberry farms produce higher quality berries with….
• Longer shelf life (even without fungicides) • Higher antioxidant activity, ascorbic acid (Vitamin C) & phenolic compounds
Organically farmed soils have …
• Greater total carbon & nitrogen • Greater microbial biomass and activity • Greater resilience to stress • Higher concentrations of micronutrients
CONVENTIONAL VS. ORGANIC Is there a difference in food & soil quality?
ORGANIC OUTPERFORMS CONVENTIONAL YIELDS: Corn
Organic agriculture has: • Higher overall yields • Higher soil quality • More drought resistance
In drought years (<7.9 in) of rain in July and Aug) corn yields +28 -34% in organically managed soils
Source: The Rodale Institute
Organic corn, 2005 (Severe drought year)
Conventional corn (same day), 2005
During record rainfall season (2004): • Organic corn yields: 146 bu/A (+31.2%) • Conventional: 129 bu/A • Organic had higher grain protein content
• Side-by-side comparisons of organic & conventional systems using identical crop varieties
• Results: organic systems provide similar yields & much higher economic return while improving soil quality
Long-Term Agroecological Research (LTAR) Experiment (1998 – present) Iowa State University
Source: Leopold Center, Iowa State University Neely-Kinyon Research & Demonstration Farm, Nov 2011
Cows love it!
Farmers love it
Increased the Omega-3 in
the milk by 29%
(almost 1/3)
Reduced enteric emissions by 12% on average
If every dairy farm in the U.S. had these results, it would be equivalent to taking
500,000 cars off the road!
THE GREENER COW PROJECT
Organic Whole Milk – the healthier choice!
Study published in PLOS One in 2013 shows that organic whole milk has
62% more omega 3 fatty acids than conventional
milk
New York Times calls it: “the most clear-cut
instance of an organic food’s offering a
nutritional advantage over its conventional
counterpart.”
It all comes down to pasture: organic standards require cows to get a significant portion of their diet from grazing, and this results in milk that is
naturally rich in healthy fatty acids
PFIZER AD on e-coli
!
COSTA RICA ORGANIC BANANAS
• Crop diversification
• Income diversification
• Soil fertility and conservation
• Natural resistance to pest
• Ecosystems protection
• Individual & community health
Complementary crops
Livestock integration
DOMESTIC & INTERNATIONAL STUDIES CONCLUDE: Sustainable farming methods could improve the situation of
about a billion malnourished people
Toward Sustainable Agricultural Systems in
the 21st Century:
Incremental improvements to conventional ag are not
sufficient to feed the world. We must increase organic & agro-ecological approaches.
Released 2010 by the National
Research Council of the National Academy of Science (U.S.)
ORGANIC CAN FEED THE WORLD
Organic Agriculture and Food Security in Africa
24 African countries
established that organic or similar farming methods produce over 100% higher
crop yields
Released 2008 by UNEP - UNCTAD
“Agriculture at a Crossroad”
Prepared with the assistance of 400 experts, assumes that the
way in which food is produced must change
radically to meet the future requirements.
Released 2009 by International Assessment of Agricultural
Knowledge, Science and Technology for Development
(IAASTD)
ORGANIC VS CONVENTIONAL FOOD
While on organic diets, children’s pesticide levels were below EPA safety threshold
While on conventional diets, levels were 4x EPA safety
standard
Source: Curl et al., 2003 Env. Health. Persp.
ikiPearls are portion-ntrolled scoops of gurt, ice cream and
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vector for nutrition d a barrier against ntaminants and
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First Commercial Test in
100% biodegradeable sacs (3/14)
WHY POLICY IS IMPORTANT: Why a salad costs more than a Big Mac
Publicly Funding Research in Organic Agriculture
Total investment in sustainable agriculture and
development is a tiny fraction of the over $2.5
billion annual federal investment in food and
agriculture research
Organic Conventional
98.5%