introduction to sipp and expectations of the...

Introduction to SIPP

and Expectations of the Panel

David Johnson

Social, Economic, and Housing Statistics Division

The Beginning…

The Successful

Implementation

4

Dear

President

Bush

March 10, 2006

The SIPP Mission

The mission of the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) is to provide a nationally representative sample for:

evaluating annual and sub-annual dynamics of income,

movements into and out of government transfer programs,

family and social context of individuals and households, and

interactions between these items.

5

Goals for SIPP Re-engineering

The Re-engineering will

include a new household survey data collection,

modernize the data collection instrument,

reduce respondent burden,

require fewer resources than the current SIPP program,

improve processing efficiency,

be releasable to the public in a timely manner,

integrate survey data and administrative records data

6

7

New Survey: Basic versus supplemental products

Basic Topics

Demographics General Income

Labor Force Health Insurance

Assets Education

Program Participation

Marital History

Pensions

Disability

P

SIPP

Accomplishments

Headlines Declines in Unemployment Benefits and Government Employment Shaped Poverty Trends in 2011, Preliminary Data Suggest - CBPP The federal government for the first time has data on the 50 million U.S. adults who hold some form of educational credential that isn't a college degree – Inside Higher Ed

Number of the Week: Half of U.S. Lives in Household Getting Benefits - WSJ

Millions of Americans live in extreme poverty. Here’s how they get by. – Washington Post 1-in-3 People Experienced Poverty From 2009 to 2011 - WSJ

10

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

August January June January June January June January

2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012

Percent

Around 49 Percent of Individuals were Participating in Government Programs in 2011; Household Participation in Means-Tested Noncash Benefit Programs Continued to Rise from August 2008 through January 2012, Especially for Medicaid and SNAP

Individuals receivingbenefits from one ormore programs

Households receivingone or more means-tested noncash benefits

Medicaid

Food Stamps (SNAP)

Women, Infants, andChildren (WIC)

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Survey of Income and Program Participation, Waves 1 to 11, 2008 Panel,

“The distribution of the share of household

income earned by the wife exhibits a sharp cliff

at 0.5…” - Bertrand et al. (2013)

12

SSB application November 2012, gold standard results January 2013

Conference papers using SIPP

Disparities in Health Insurance Loss in the Wake of the Great Recession

Using W2 Administrative Records to Compare Performance Across the SIPP and SIPP-EHC: An Analysis of Income and Poverty

Changing Levels of Spousal Education and Labor Force Supply

Measuring Unemployment Using Different Surveys

An Analysis of the Macro-Economics of Family Formation: Marrying in the Great Recession and Prior U.S. Recessions

Improving Measurement of Same-sex Couples

Misreporting in the SIPP about Participation in SSA Programs

The earnings impact of graduating in a recession

Evaluation of 2011 and 2012 SIPP-EHC

How long do early career decisions follow women? Impact of industry and firm size history on the middle-age gender wage gap

Employment Transitions and Earnings Instability: An Analysis Using SIPP Linked to Administrative Data at the Job-Level

Measuring earnings instability using survey and administrative data

An Evaluation of Employment-Based Health Insurance Offer Rates in the CPS ASEC Content Test

The Case of the Missing Medicaid Enrollees: Identifying the Magnitude and Causes of the Medicaid Undercount in the SIPP

Comparing SIPP and SIPP-EHC: Participation in Government Programs

The Effects of Child Support Receipt on Government Program Participation Before and After the Recession

Child support and welfare dependency before and after the recession

Employment Transitions among the Self-Employed during the Great Recession

The Supplemental Poverty Measure in the Survey of Income and Program Participation: 2004

An Examination of Medical Expenses and Retirement Income for the 65+ Population using the Supplemental Poverty Measure

The SPM and Material Deprivation 2009

Transitions in Household Sharing: Effects on Adult Well-Being and Satisfaction

Moving In, Moving Out: Household Sharing, the Public Safety Net and Economic Well-being

Conference papers using SIPP

Housing Crisis and Child-Well Being: The Effects of Foreclosure on Children and Youth

Dynamics of Disconnection: Differences in Spells of Being Disconnected and Wellbeing by Gender

Sharing a Household: Economic Downturns and Transitions in Living Arrangements, 2004-2011

Housing Crisis and Household Sharing: Does Doubling Up Prevent Foreclosure for Families at Risk

Income Estimation for non-Household Members in the Redesigned SIPP Instrument

Continuity or Change in Father Provided Child Care? Couple use of Father Care between 2010 and 2011

Participation of Mothers in Government Assistance Programs During a Period of Economic and Policy Change

Family Transitions and Child Well-Being

No Place Like Home? Home-Based Working Mothers and Child Care Outcomes

Estimating the Duration Dependence of Occupational Spells with Unobserved Heterogeneity

Analyzing the Labor Market Outcomes of Occupational Licensing

The Impact of a Mother's Decision to Work on the Development of a Childs Human Capital

Using Synthetic SIPP Data to gain access to linked Survey-Administrative Records

Fathers, Sons, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Employers

Reliability and Stability of the 6-question disability measure in the SIPP

Working at home and child care choice

A Snapshot of Grandparents in the U.S.

Estimating the Hazard Rate of Foreclosure; the Role of Non-Housing Wealth

The Effects of Foreclosure on Family Outcomes

Testing Model-Based and Hot-Deck Imputation to Fill Gaps in Longitudinal Services

Explaining Variation in the Wellbeing of Low-Income Children, The Role of Program Participation

Program Participation and Child Wellbeing: The Role of Parental and Household Characteristics

Labor Market Outcomes for Combinations of Educational Degrees and Certifications

Racial Inequality in Expanded Measures of Educational Attainment

Government agencies SIPP is used by many government agencies to measure the effectiveness of government programs, to anticipate effects of program changes, and to aid in program budget projections.

- DEPARTMENT of AGRICULTURE: model food stamp eligibility and measure food stamp receipt

- DEPARTMENT of HEALTH and HUMAN SERVICES: measure the economic effect of disabling

conditions on children and adults; measure outcome and participation of disabled women on TANF;

measure the effect of welfare reform on the disabled

- SOCIAL SECURITY ADMINISTRATION: model SSI benefits; model the restructuring of Social Security

and effects of benefits for couples vs. surviving spouses; project retirement income NEW for 2014 SIPP: Reimbursable Supplement on Retirement and pensions, disability, and marital history

- DEPARTMENT of LABOR: research and simulations to identify characteristics of workers with and

without pensions and health plan coverage

- CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE: measure actual counts of participants and non-participants and dollars associated with major government programs

- CONGRESSIONAL RESEARCH SERVICE: conduct policy research and microsimulations for spells of unemployment, spells without health insurance, participation rates for programs such as AFDC and Medicaid

Academics and Others - labor force characteristics and dynamics - welfare duration and correlates - migration

- family structure and stability - child support and child care - work schedule

- economic well-being of children - utilization of health care services - poverty studies

- assets, wealth and retirement - marital status changes

How are SIPP Data Used?

15

NSF/Census Research Network Census Research Data Centers

Working with Researchers and providing access to data

Example: NCRN project - CenHRS

Linking HRS (and SIPP) to Census data

Business Register

EIN, Name and Address

LEHD Quarterly

earnings, co-worker

characteristics (age, earnings)

HRS Survey data Linked to SSN, W-2

and Medicare

SIPP survey data Linked to W-2 and

Program data

Business Data Firm characteristics

(size, growth)

Example: Social Mobility Project

Linking Census and ACS data with SIPP

1990 Census Long form

(Income, Occupation, Education, Work status, Family composition)

2000 Census Long form


2008-2012 ACS


2013-2018 ACS


SSA Earnings records

(1978-2012)

IRS 1040 data (1995-2012, 1969, 74,

79, 84, 89)

SSN Parent/Child link

SIPP 1984-89

SIPP 1990-96

SIPP 2014

SIPP 2001

SIPP 2004

SIPP 2008

Improved Data Access

Upcoming Users Guide

Revised website

www.census.gov/programs-surveys/sipp/

Orlin Research Interactive tool –

www.Orlinresearch.com

SIPP Synthetic File - VirtualRDC@Cornell

NCRN SIPP Training – University of Michigan and Duke

http://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/sipp/



http://www.orlinresearch.com/

Re-contact

Activities

2013SIPP-EHC

Wave 3 Inst.

SIPP 2008 Panel – Waves 1 – 12 (Rotation 1 field months)

2008

Sep

2009

Jan - May - Sep -

2010

Jan - May - Sep -

2011

Jan - May - Sep -

2012

Jan - May - Sep -

2013

Jan - May - Sep -

2014

Jan

Paper Test Eval. Analysis

2010 SIPP-EHC

Instrument Dev. Processing and

Evaluation 2010 SIPP-EHC

Dress Rehearsal

Ref. Period – CY2009

Field

work

Extension w13-w16

2011 SIPP-EHC

Inst. Dev.

2011SIPP-EHC

Dress Rehearsal


Processing and

Evaluation

Field

work

Wav

e 1

2012 SIPP-EHC Wave 2 Inst.

2012 SIPP-EHC

Ref. Pd – CY2011

Processing and

Evaluation

Field

work

Wav

e 2

2013 SIPP-EHC


Processing and

Evaluation

Field

work

Wav

e 1

2014 SIPP Panel

Inst. Refinement

Production

2014 SIPP Panel Wave 1


Field

work

Wav

e 1

6 Regions – 8k hhlds – 10 States

12 Regions-4k hhlds-20 States–Test of Wave 1, 2 & 3 [Feedback and movers]

Materials

Prep

12 Regions-Full Production Panel 2010 based sample

2012 SIPP-EHC CARI

SIPP-EHC Development and Implementation for 2014 20

Realignment of SIPP Survey Management

The Goals of the CNSTAT Panel

Panel’s Charge

The committee will conduct analyses of data collected under the new and old designs, compared with administrative records whenever feasible and appropriate, to determine the extent to which the new design improves upon, maintains, or underperforms the old design in terms of the quality of key estimates, such as poverty rates and participation in assistance programs, and other metrics. The committee will also evaluate the depth and breadth of the 2014 SIPP content; evaluate the impact of the new SIPP data collection instrument on respondent burden; and consider content changes for subsequent SIPP survey panels that could improve the utility of the data.

Panel’s tasks The committee will commission analyses of data made available by

the Census Bureau. …but some analysis may require access to confidential microdata

related to individual respondents that are protected under Title 13 of the United States Code.

Very likely, there will be an arrangement for commissioned analysts and perhaps NRC staff to acquire status as Census Bureau special sworn agents, which will permit them to analyze confidential microdata at the Census Bureau headquarters in Suitland, MD.

…this procedure for accessing confidential microdata and providing only aggregate results to the committee.

Panelists may need to obtain Special Sworn Status and work at Census or RDCs (e.g., Michigan, Cornell, Baruch, NBER, Chicago, Penn State, UCI (forthcoming))

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