introduc)on to fx markets 1.2.pdf · 1 gbp = 90 inr. 1 inr = 1/90 gbp direct and indirect quotes o...
TRANSCRIPT
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Introduc)ontoFXMarketsSpotMarkets
AkshatShankar,CFA,FRM
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OutlineMarketConven,ons
• Base&QuotedCurrencies• Direct&IndirectCode• CrossRates• BigFigure&Pips
Par,cipants
ElectronicCommunica,onNetwork
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Spotmarket–wherecurrenciesaretradedforimmediatedelivery.
Forwardmarket–wherecontractsaremadetobuyorsellcurrenciesforfuturedelivery
Swaptransac1ons–involveaseriesofforwardcontracts.
Op1ons-involvepayoffsrelatedtospotvalue.
FXMarkets
SpotMarket ForwardMarket SwapMarket Op,onMarket
FXMarket
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SpotMarket• Spotmarketrepresentsthedirectexchangeofcurrencies.
• SpotratesarequotedasoneunitoftheBasecurrencyagainstanumberofunitsoftheQuoteCurrency.
• ActualcurrencytransferhappensaNer2daysoftrade.(T+2).
GBP
USD
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CurrencyValueo TheCurrencyPairistherela,vevalueofacurrencyunit
againsttheunitofanothercurrency
51258.1=USDGBP USDGBP 51258.11 =
BuysGBPusingUSD
BuysGBPUSD
SellsUSDGBP
BuysUSDusingGBP
SellsGBPUSD
BuysUSDGBP
GBP
USD
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BaseandQuoteCurrencies
BaseCurrency
Currencies
QuoteCurrency
Onewhichisbeingusedtoquotethe‘price’.Oneforwhichthe‘price’isbeingquoted.
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USDINR=551USD=55INR
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BaseandQuoteCurrencies
BaseCurrency
Currencies
QuoteCurrency
Onewhichisbeingusedtoquotethe‘price’.Oneforwhichthe‘price’isbeingquoted.
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INRUSD=0.0181INR=0.018USD
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DirectandIndirectQuotes
o Onewantstobuybanana.Whichofthetwoseems‘Direct’?
1Banana=0.5INR.
2Banana=1INR
o Interestedtofindthepriceofsomethingintermsofourowno Whatisthepriceof1Banana(DirectQuote)o HowmanyBananain1INR(IndirectQuote)
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DirectandIndirectQuotes
o Wearealwaysinterestedtofindthepriceofsomethingintermsofourowncurrency.SoforanIndian
o Whatisthepriceof1EurointermsofINR(DirectQuote)o HowmanyEuroin1INR(IndirectQuote)o DirectQuota1onisthepricewhentheQuoteCurrencyis
yourowncurrency.
o ForanIndianbuyingPound,whichseems‘Direct’?
1GBP=90INR.
1INR=1/90GBP
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DirectandIndirectQuotes
o DirectQuota,on:Aforeigncurrencyquotedintermsofdomes,ccurrencyo Example:
o 1EUR=1.3387USD(forAmericans)o 1USD=0.7470USD(forEuropeans)
o IndirectQuota,on:Domes,ccurrencyquotedintermsofforeigncurrencyo Example:
o 1EUR=1.3387USD(forEuropeans)o 1USD=0.7470USD(forAmericans)
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CrossRates
Onecanbuy1orangewith2bananas.
Onecanbuy1appleusing3oranges.
Howmanybananasarerequiredtobuy1apple?
Orange/Banana=2
Apple/Orange=3
Apple/Banana=(Apple/Orange)*(Orange/Banana)
=3*2=6
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CrossRates:TriangularArbitrage
o CrossRateisthevalueofacurrency-pairderivedfromathirdcurrency-pair.
o Arbitrageopportuni,esexistifanobservedrateinanothermarketisnotconsistentwithacross-rate(ignoringtransac,oncosts).
o ThiskindofArbitrageiscalledTriangularArbitrage.o Profitopportuni,esarelikelytobearbitragedawayquickly.o Soforthemostpart,CrossRatesareconsistentwith
observedrates.
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CrossRates:TriangularArbitrageExample
GBP/USD=1.7936
GBP/PLN=6.5492
USD/PLN=3.7826
Thecross-rateforUSD/PLNis:
6.5492/1.7936=3.6514(Z/$)
Hence,anarbitrageopportunityexists.
USDGBPPLNGBP
PLNUSD
=
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Pip(PercentageinPoint)o Thesmallestpricechangethatagivenexchangeratecan
make.o Sincemostmajorcurrencypairsarepricedtofourdecimal
places,thesmallestchangeisthatofthelastdecimalpoint.o Formostpairsthisistheequivalentto0.0001(basispoint).
o EURUSD,GBPUSDo Thesmallestmoveinacurrencydoesnotalwaysneedtobe
equaltoonebasispoint.o USDJPY
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BigFigure
o Currenciesarenotveryvola,lesointhemarketonlylasttwodigitsareprominentlydisplayed.
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OutlineMarketConven,ons
• Base&QuotedCurrencies• Direct&IndirectCode• CrossRates• BigFigure&Pips
Par,cipants
ElectronicCommunica,onNetwork
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Brokero Brokerisanintermediarywhohelpstheclientinthetransac,on.
Hasalicensetobuyandsellsecuri,esonaclient'sbehalf.
Its great that you two have agreed to
do the transaction. I would charge just a small commission for
making you meet!
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Dealero Dealerisanintermediarywhoiswillingtobuyorsellsecuri,esfor
theirownaccount.Itoffloadstheportoliobyfindingasuitablereversecustomer.
DealerPlease buy
apples from me at $1.1 per
kg.
Please sell apples to me at $1.2 per
kg.
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Hedger
I need to export mangoes in 2 months. But I fear that Dollar
would fall by then.
o Hedgerusescurrencyderiva,vestoreduceriskthatitmayfacefrompoten,almovementsintheprice.
Don’t worry. Let’s buy a derivative on Dollar. You can
lock in a price of Dollars today for a later date.
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Speculator
I would get Rs 1 crore if USDINR hits 61 by today. I pity at those who think this would not happen!
o Speculatorsareessen,allygamblerswhotakeaposi,oninmarketbyeitherbeungthatpriceofassetwillgoup,orbybeungthatitwillgodown.
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Arbitrageur
I think I can make sure shot $100 if I long
USDINR, long JPYUSD and short JPYINR.
o Arbitrageurlocksinarisklessprofitbysimultaneouslyenteringintotransac,onsintwoormoremarkets.
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CentralBanko CentralBankisresponsibleforthemonetarypolicyofacountry
andmaytradetoreducethevola,lityofacurrency.
Our currency is rising these days
which would hurt our exports. We should start selling it to
decrease the price.
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OutlineMarketConven,ons
• Base&QuotedCurrencies• Direct&IndirectCode• CrossRates• BigFigure&Pips
Par,cipants
ElectronicCommunica,onNetwork
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ElectronicCommunica,onNetwork(ECN)
o ECNsarebrokersthatuseelectronicnetworkstoconnectclientswithotherpar,cipantslikeInterbankMarket.
o Tradersarechargedwithfixedcommissionforeverytrade.o Brokersdoesnottradeagainstyoubutsimplytransfersyour
requesttoothermarketpar,cipants.
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ECNAdvantages ECNbrokersgatherpricesfrommul,plesourcessuchasbanks,marketmakersandothertraderswhoareconnectedtotheECN.
ECNprovideanonymoustradingwithfasterexecu,onspeed.
InterbankMarket
Trader1 Trader2
ECN1 ECN2
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ECNExample:FXCM