introduc)on to fx markets 1.2.pdf · 1 gbp = 90 inr. 1 inr = 1/90 gbp direct and indirect quotes o...

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Introduc)on to FX Markets Spot Markets Akshat Shankar, CFA, FRM

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  • Introduc)ontoFXMarketsSpotMarkets

    AkshatShankar,CFA,FRM

  • 2

    OutlineMarketConven,ons

    •  Base&QuotedCurrencies•  Direct&IndirectCode•  CrossRates•  BigFigure&Pips

    Par,cipants

    ElectronicCommunica,onNetwork

  • 3

    Spotmarket–wherecurrenciesaretradedforimmediatedelivery.

    Forwardmarket–wherecontractsaremadetobuyorsellcurrenciesforfuturedelivery

    Swaptransac1ons–involveaseriesofforwardcontracts.

    Op1ons-involvepayoffsrelatedtospotvalue.

    FXMarkets

    SpotMarket ForwardMarket SwapMarket Op,onMarket

    FXMarket

  • 4

    SpotMarket•  Spotmarketrepresentsthedirectexchangeofcurrencies.

    •  SpotratesarequotedasoneunitoftheBasecurrencyagainstanumberofunitsoftheQuoteCurrency.

    •  ActualcurrencytransferhappensaNer2daysoftrade.(T+2).

    GBP

    USD

  • 5

    CurrencyValueo  TheCurrencyPairistherela,vevalueofacurrencyunit

    againsttheunitofanothercurrency

    51258.1=USDGBP USDGBP 51258.11 =

    BuysGBPusingUSD

    BuysGBPUSD

    SellsUSDGBP

    BuysUSDusingGBP

    SellsGBPUSD

    BuysUSDGBP

    GBP

    USD

  • BaseandQuoteCurrencies

    BaseCurrency

    Currencies

    QuoteCurrency

    Onewhichisbeingusedtoquotethe‘price’.Oneforwhichthe‘price’isbeingquoted.

    6

    USDINR=551USD=55INR

  • BaseandQuoteCurrencies

    BaseCurrency

    Currencies

    QuoteCurrency

    Onewhichisbeingusedtoquotethe‘price’.Oneforwhichthe‘price’isbeingquoted.

    7

    INRUSD=0.0181INR=0.018USD

  • DirectandIndirectQuotes

    o  Onewantstobuybanana.Whichofthetwoseems‘Direct’?

    1Banana=0.5INR.

    2Banana=1INR

    o  Interestedtofindthepriceofsomethingintermsofourowno  Whatisthepriceof1Banana(DirectQuote)o  HowmanyBananain1INR(IndirectQuote)

  • DirectandIndirectQuotes

    o  Wearealwaysinterestedtofindthepriceofsomethingintermsofourowncurrency.SoforanIndian

    o  Whatisthepriceof1EurointermsofINR(DirectQuote)o  HowmanyEuroin1INR(IndirectQuote)o  DirectQuota1onisthepricewhentheQuoteCurrencyis

    yourowncurrency.

    o  ForanIndianbuyingPound,whichseems‘Direct’?

    1GBP=90INR.

    1INR=1/90GBP

  • DirectandIndirectQuotes

    o  DirectQuota,on:Aforeigncurrencyquotedintermsofdomes,ccurrencyo  Example:

    o  1EUR=1.3387USD(forAmericans)o  1USD=0.7470USD(forEuropeans)

    o  IndirectQuota,on:Domes,ccurrencyquotedintermsofforeigncurrencyo  Example:

    o  1EUR=1.3387USD(forEuropeans)o  1USD=0.7470USD(forAmericans)

  • 11

    CrossRates

    Onecanbuy1orangewith2bananas.

    Onecanbuy1appleusing3oranges.

    Howmanybananasarerequiredtobuy1apple?

    Orange/Banana=2

    Apple/Orange=3

    Apple/Banana=(Apple/Orange)*(Orange/Banana)

    =3*2=6

  • 12

    CrossRates:TriangularArbitrage

    o  CrossRateisthevalueofacurrency-pairderivedfromathirdcurrency-pair.

    o  Arbitrageopportuni,esexistifanobservedrateinanothermarketisnotconsistentwithacross-rate(ignoringtransac,oncosts).

    o  ThiskindofArbitrageiscalledTriangularArbitrage.o  Profitopportuni,esarelikelytobearbitragedawayquickly.o  Soforthemostpart,CrossRatesareconsistentwith

    observedrates.

  • 13

    CrossRates:TriangularArbitrageExample

    GBP/USD=1.7936

    GBP/PLN=6.5492

    USD/PLN=3.7826

    Thecross-rateforUSD/PLNis:

    6.5492/1.7936=3.6514(Z/$)

    Hence,anarbitrageopportunityexists.

    USDGBPPLNGBP

    PLNUSD

    =

  • 14

    Pip(PercentageinPoint)o  Thesmallestpricechangethatagivenexchangeratecan

    make.o  Sincemostmajorcurrencypairsarepricedtofourdecimal

    places,thesmallestchangeisthatofthelastdecimalpoint.o  Formostpairsthisistheequivalentto0.0001(basispoint).

    o  EURUSD,GBPUSDo  Thesmallestmoveinacurrencydoesnotalwaysneedtobe

    equaltoonebasispoint.o  USDJPY

  • 15

    BigFigure

    o  Currenciesarenotveryvola,lesointhemarketonlylasttwodigitsareprominentlydisplayed.

  • 16

    OutlineMarketConven,ons

    •  Base&QuotedCurrencies•  Direct&IndirectCode•  CrossRates•  BigFigure&Pips

    Par,cipants

    ElectronicCommunica,onNetwork

  • Brokero  Brokerisanintermediarywhohelpstheclientinthetransac,on.

    Hasalicensetobuyandsellsecuri,esonaclient'sbehalf.

    Its great that you two have agreed to

    do the transaction. I would charge just a small commission for

    making you meet!

  • Dealero  Dealerisanintermediarywhoiswillingtobuyorsellsecuri,esfor

    theirownaccount.Itoffloadstheportoliobyfindingasuitablereversecustomer.

    DealerPlease buy

    apples from me at $1.1 per

    kg.

    Please sell apples to me at $1.2 per

    kg.

  • Hedger

    I need to export mangoes in 2 months. But I fear that Dollar

    would fall by then.

    o  Hedgerusescurrencyderiva,vestoreduceriskthatitmayfacefrompoten,almovementsintheprice.

    Don’t worry. Let’s buy a derivative on Dollar. You can

    lock in a price of Dollars today for a later date.

  • Speculator

    I would get Rs 1 crore if USDINR hits 61 by today. I pity at those who think this would not happen!

    o  Speculatorsareessen,allygamblerswhotakeaposi,oninmarketbyeitherbeungthatpriceofassetwillgoup,orbybeungthatitwillgodown.

  • Arbitrageur

    I think I can make sure shot $100 if I long

    USDINR, long JPYUSD and short JPYINR.

    o  Arbitrageurlocksinarisklessprofitbysimultaneouslyenteringintotransac,onsintwoormoremarkets.

  • CentralBanko  CentralBankisresponsibleforthemonetarypolicyofacountry

    andmaytradetoreducethevola,lityofacurrency.

    Our currency is rising these days

    which would hurt our exports. We should start selling it to

    decrease the price.

  • 23

    OutlineMarketConven,ons

    •  Base&QuotedCurrencies•  Direct&IndirectCode•  CrossRates•  BigFigure&Pips

    Par,cipants

    ElectronicCommunica,onNetwork

  • 24

    ElectronicCommunica,onNetwork(ECN)

    o  ECNsarebrokersthatuseelectronicnetworkstoconnectclientswithotherpar,cipantslikeInterbankMarket.

    o  Tradersarechargedwithfixedcommissionforeverytrade.o  Brokersdoesnottradeagainstyoubutsimplytransfersyour

    requesttoothermarketpar,cipants.

  • 25

    ECNAdvantages ECNbrokersgatherpricesfrommul,plesourcessuchasbanks,marketmakersandothertraderswhoareconnectedtotheECN.

    ECNprovideanonymoustradingwithfasterexecu,onspeed.

    InterbankMarket

    Trader1 Trader2

    ECN1 ECN2

  • 26

    ECNExample:FXCM