introducing the ianex project
TRANSCRIPT
SHALE GAS, A LOVE AND HATE STORY…
Earthquakes
Potential damage to water
The next financial bubble
Democracy issue
0
10000000
20000000
30000000
40000000Gas Resources in US
Imports Wells Shale
Increased US Energy Security
Reduced Gas Prices
Local Rural Development
YES!
NO!
DON’T KNOW!
THE AIM…
Part
icip
ato
ry V
alid
ati
on
2015-2016 (Yale-Pennsylvania)
EU FrackingScenario
s
PolandUK
Spain
2017 (UAB-EU)
IANEX project: Integrated Analysis of the Nexus: The case of
Hydraulic Fracturing
Decision Support Tool
Improving Nexus Governance
Case Studies in the US and the EU
US FrackingBiophysic
al Diagnosis
WaterEnergyClimateGeology
US Fracking
Social Diagnosis
EconomyHealthLaborCulture(Geo)Politics
THE CHALLENGES I
n-1Focal Level (n)
n+1
n+2
PA (State)
Water Availabilit
yClimate
Exploitation
Global market
US
Climatic System
Ecosystem Exploitation
CENTURIES
106 Ha
DECADES103 Ha
YEARS1 Ha
FrackingAnalysis
Complexity Theory (Autopoiesis, Emergence, Holarchies) (Funds) Industrial Ecology (Flow Accounting, Life Cycle Analysis) (Flows)
SocioEcosystem
METABOLISM
Flow/FundRelation
Global/National
Local/State
THE CHALLENGES II
Pennsylvania (s)Oil and Gas (s-
1)
US (s+1)
Rest (s-1)Fracking (s-
2)
Ecosystem (e)
Earth (e+1)
Watershed (e-1)
Exploitation Site (e-2)
The SocioEcosys
tem
n=e
n=s
Data Availability Contrasting
Metrics
A MULTI-LEVEL DESCRIPTION
Pennsylvania (s)
Oil and Gas (s-1)
US (s+1)
HH (s-1)
Contribution to employment
Fracking (s-2)
15Mcf
$ 0.6 bill$xx/hour
$ 3
4 b
ill
$
665
bill
Ecosystem (e)
Watershed Status Water 62
MillGa
0246
Wealth Distri-bution
Gas
300 B
cf
Xxx Invest
ment
Extraction Appropriation
Earthquake
THE CHALLENGES III
Postnormal Science
Fracking Companies
Complex System to Environmental Policy
Identification and Trust Quality of Research Relevant? Capacity Building
Funtowicz & Ravetz (2003)
High
High
Low System Uncertainty
Decision
Stake
Applied
Science
Consultancy
Post-Normal Science
SecondaryCompanies
Land Owners
Investors
Researchers
NGOsInternational Trade Agents Workers
Decision makers Gas End
Users
A preliminary Actor map of fracking
in PA
WOULD YOU LIKE TO PARTICIPATE?… What I am looking for
Collaboration• Build the agent network• Data access and quantitative
analyses• Effectiveness: Joint
Fieldwork/Workshops
Review• Being part of the agent network• Joint Publications
[email protected]@yale.edu