intro lecture 2a - york university€¦ · riddles are like scientific method similarities &...
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SCIENTIFIC METHOD – topursue goals Research Theory Research reports
Replication Hypothesis testing
difficulties/examples (ONLY YES/NO QUESTIONS ALLOWED FOR
DATA)
RESEARCH – complicated bysubtle biases Hypothesis: “York Brand” T.P. is the
best test U of T York Western
RESEARCH APPROACHES – 5RESEARCH GOALS – 3 A,B,C
A: DESCRIBE 1. Naturalistic Observation
- “Deindividuation” –
2. Case Study clinical psychology, e.g., Freud
3. Survey Research -polls -representative sample
Second Goal (& 4th research approach)
B : PREDICTION 4) Correlational Research
is there an association between two variables variable is:
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correlation coefficient (is a statistic, a numberrepresenting the degree of association)
its characteristics: - -
PROBLEM: IT DOES NOT IMPLYCAUSATION!
EXAMPLE: measure variables A & B if A & B are correlated (are associated) then possible explanations are:
Example Correlation of + .70
As the number of storks in winter resting on roofs increases, thenumber of human births 9 months later increases
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Both A & B increase (at the same time, so seemto be related) but neither causes the other, theyare caused (independently) by C
EXAMPLE: Height & weight + . 78
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Negative Correlations A (anxiety) & B (test performance)
-.65 Thus,
- Finally, correlation does not imply
causation
EXPERIMENTS if well done, allow for causal statements Hypothetical Example: Alcohol and
memory Hypothesis: Independent Variable –
Levels of the independent variable createexperimental“conditions” Levels: 0 beer, 1 beer, 8 beer
(thus, three conditions) Participants:
Dependent Variable
-here,
RESULTS: (numbers represent average recall of
participants in that condition) 0 Beer 1 Beer 8 Beer - (also called thecontrol condition)
CONCLUSIONS:-
Important Concepts Hypothesis Independent Variable Dependent Variable & Extraneous Variables
Example: Height and Reaction Time - - -
Important Concepts Hypothesis, Independent Variable, Dependent
Variable, & Extraneous Variables
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Good Experiments: - - -
EXAMPLE O BEER 8 BEER
Ss 10 females 10 males Recall
Causes (interpretation): independent variable - -
here, is an extraneous variable
EXAMPLE 2
Hypothesis – pleasant scentattraction Independent – - Dependent – Participants – first year undergrad
males
Problems… INDEPENDENT EXTRANEOUS RESULT
No scent
Mildly Pleasant
Very Pleasant
Explanation Differences in Differences in
Types of extraneousvariables: 2
A) problem with how expt. conducted- ??? (which one)
B) subject characteristics
Solutions: A)- B) -
e.g.,.. personality, age, IQ, religion, ethnicbackground, height, education, … etc. …
How to equalize…. Random Assignment:
-“controls for extraneous variables bymaking chances or probability equalthat each characteristic will berepresented in each condition”
e.g., flip a coin to decide whichcondition a participant is in whenthey arrive (random)
now, done by computer
Important Concepts cont’d
Validity: Internal – External – (generalizability)
relationship to “real world”
Psych labs real worldParticipants broader world-
research tool Descriptive * - describe the results
in your sample of participants Inferential – go beyond your
sample, to the population -
DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Experimental Example: imagery &
recall Conditions:
1. Control – (No image group) –remember the words
2. Image – try to visualize the wordswhile remembering them
Procedure: -
Results(Note: 25 words in the list, 10 participants per condition)
Image No Image 20 5
24 9 20 5 18 9 22 6 19 11 20 8
19 11 17 7 21 9
Presenting Sample Results:Descriptive Statistics In describing the shape of frequency
polygons: A. Symmetricality
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B. Kurtosis (peakedness) - - - (see examples…)
Descriptive Stats: Measures of CentralTendency
one number gives a concise,description of the condition, can beused to compare two (or more)conditions mean:
e.g.,
mode: = e.g.,
median:
To calculate the median:
rank order scores from smallest to largest then identify score that splits group in half
(may be real, or imaginary score) no-image group:
5, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 9, 9, 11, 11 median is
if the scores were, 5, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 9, 9, 11 - -
these measures of “centraltendency” provide a more concise,descriptive statement of groupthat the freq. distribution
Descriptive Stats: Measures of variability
(a measure of how much the scoresvary, or differ): e.g. – temperature of Albuquerque & San.
Fran. for a year lowest highest X
ALBER SAN. FRAN. thus,
range: (highest score – lowest) AL = SF =
however, Can be a problem example: age variability in two classes
M R A 19, 19, 19, 19, 19, 20, 25 B 17, 17, 17, 20, 23, 23, 23
neither age or range differentiatesclasses
but, for A,
use the variance: VAR =
Standard Deviation = variance
EXAMPLE: No-image group (variance)
Score S – mean (S – M)2
8 8-8=0 02 = 0 11 11-8=3 9 6 -2 4 7 -1 1 5 -3 9 9 1 1 5 -3 9 9 1 1 9 1 1 11 3 9 44 Variance = 44/10 = 4.4 Standard Deviation = var = 2.1
Descriptive statistics summarize our“sample” of subjects/participants
Central Tendency mean * mode median
Variability range variance standard deviation*
Inferential Stats:
However, we want to make a moregeneral statement In our experiment
Image X = 20 No-image X = 8 Thus, Image> No-image
how do we go beyond our sample??
Inferential Statistics
are a set of mathematical operationsthat… tells us the probability of getting the same
results if we took another sample, another,…
we accept an error probability of p< .05 =
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