interstate statistical committee of the commonwealth of independent sate ( cis stat commettee )...
TRANSCRIPT
Interstate Statistical Committee ofthe Commonwealth of Independent Sate
(CIS Stat Commettee)
Population Census Round 2010 in CIS countries:
key results and prospects
Irina Zbarskaya
Population Censuses WorkshopUNECE, Geneve4 October 2013
population number and its distribution within the country are specified for particular moment of time;
main (in some cases – the only) source of information on demographic, ethno-linguistic and socio-economic characteristics of population;
possibility to get data by smallest territorial units and by small population groups;
informational basis for demographic and socio-economic prognosis for the countries and regions development;
the general population for sample surveys is formed.
2
IMPORTANCE OF CENSUS FOR CIS COUNTRIES:
3
POPULATION CENSUSES IN CIS COUNTRIES
1989:
USSR
ROUND 2000
1995 TURKMENISTAN
AZERBAIJAN
1999BELARUS
KAZAKHSTAN
KYRGYZSTAN
TAJIKISTAN
ARMENIA
UKRAINE
RUSSIA
MOLDOVA
2000
2001
2004
2002
ROUND 2010
2011 ARMENIA
AZERBAIJAN
2009BELARUS
KAZAKHSTAN
KYRGYZSTAN
TURKMENISTAN
RUSSIA
TAJIKISTAN
MOLDOVA
2012
2010
2014
UZBEKISTAN UZBEKISTAN
UKRAINE2015
2010 Population Census completed
2010 Population Census is on preparation stage
Round 2000 and Round 2010 were skipped
ROUND 2010 IN CIS
5
LEGISLATION ON POPULATION CENSUS
LAW ON CENSUS
LAW ON STATISTICS
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Kyrgyzstan
Kazakhstan
Moldova
Russian Federation
Tajikistan
Ukraine
The periodicity of the census;
The list of the collecting data;
The obligations of the population to provide information for the census;
The interaction between the agency responsible for the census, and other state and regional agencies involved in the census preparation;
The privacy of data;
Funding of the census.
6
LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LAWS ON CENSUS / LAWS ON STATISTICS
7
ROUND 2010 CENSUS:METHODS OF DATA COLLECTION
Sampling method was not used
TRADITIONAL
The interviews
implemented by specially hired and trained interviewers
Using paper forms
8
DATA ENTRY
ROUND 2000
Manual entry
ROUND 2010
Scanning
AzerbaijanArmeniaBelarus
KyrgyzstanMoldovaTajikistan
KazakhstanRussiaUkraine
AzerbaijanArmenia
Kyrgyzstan
BelarusKazakhstan
RussiaTajikistanUkraine
9
DATA CODING
ROUND 2000
Manually only
ROUND 2010
Computer only Azerbaijan
ArmeniaBelarus
KyrgyzstanMoldovaTajikistan
KazakhstanRussiaUkraine
ArmeniaKyrgyzstan
AzerbaijanBelarusRussia
TajikistanUkraine
CombinedKazakhstan
10
OUTSOURCED WORKS RELATED TO THE CENSUS
Software developmentBelarus Kazakhstan Russia TajikistanKyrgyzstan Ukraine
Processing of the census dataTajikistan
Informational and advocacy campaignsKazakhstan Russia Ukraine
Printing of forms and toolsBelarus Kazakhstan Russia TajikistanKyrgyzstan
Personnel hiring and trainingTajikistan
Training programmes developmentRussia
Preparation of publicationsTajikistan
11
THE CENSUS COSTS
The weighted average cost per one person in CIS countries
USD 1,1(converted at the exchange rate)
USD 3,4(converted at the exchange rate)
ROUND 2000 ROUND 2010
USD 4,5(purchasing power parity
based on the IMF)
USD 5,3(purchasing power parity
based on the IMF)
12
Difficulties in preparing and conducting the census
The population attitude and the complexity of the interview
Personnel hiring and training
Funding
The processing of the census data and getting tables
AzerbaijanBelarus
KazakhstanRussia
Tajikistan
ArmeniaTajikistanUkraine
KazakhstanKyrgyzstanTajikistan
AzerbaijanBelarus
KazakhstanRussia
Tajikistan
THE POPULATION CENSUS CHALLENGES
FINANCIAL
SOCIAL
INFORMATIONAL
INNOVATIONAL ANDTECHNOLOGICAL
POPULATIONCENSUS
14
THE CENSUS ROUND 2010
Traditional method with using interviewers,
as main method of data collection
will be kept
Using data from administrative sources
Using Internet
Replacing paper forms to electronic questionnaires
15
PREPARATION TO THE ROUND 2020: Workshops for experts of CIS national statistics services
The Round 2010 lessons learned and prospective for the Round 2020 (methodological and technological innovations, complete census, sample surveys, administrative data, the problems and difficulties);
Suggestions of the CIS countries for inclusion in the CES Recommendations on the Population and Housing Censuses Round 2020;
The measurement of the economically active population in the census and sample surveys (with the advice of the 19th International Conference of Labour Statisticians);
Possible ways of coordination of the CIS national statistical services in preparation of the Census Round 2020 in the Commonwealth.
JUNE 2014
MAIN TOPICS:
16
PREPARATION TO THE ROUND 2020: Workshops for experts of CIS national statistics services
Suggestions on organizational and methodological principles for population censuses conduction in CIS;
Measurement of labor migration in population censuses and sample surveys;
Interstate programmes on exchange of national census results;
The draft schedule for meetings of experts of the CIS national statistical services on preparation to the Population Censuses Round 2020.
APRIL 2015
MAIN TOPICS :
17
The census will retain its dominant position as the main source of information about the population;
There are serious challenges: financial issues, changing the population mentality, the need to reduce the respondents burden, the growing information needs and information technology development;
Countries are moving away from the traditional model of the "pure" census, focusing on getting information from different sources;
CONCLUSIONS
Thanks for your attention
18