International Workshop of APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation

Eiichi FukuyamaNational Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster

Prevention, Tsukuba, Japan

John B RundleACES Executive Director

University of California, Davis, CA USA

http://quakes.earth.uq.edu.au

What is ACES? ACES(APEC Cooperation for

Earthquake Simulation) project was endorsed at the APEC ISTWG Meeting in Singapore on October 1st, 1997.

Main purpose of the ACES project is to understand the earthquake and tsunami generation mechanism in Asia Pacific region.

One of the main activity in the ACES project is the International workshop scheduled every two years.

What is ACES? ACES(APEC Cooperation for

Earthquake Simulation) project was endorsed at the APEC ISTWG Meeting in Singapore on October 1st, 1997.

Main purpose of the ACES project is to understand the earthquake and tsunami generation mechanism in Asia Pacific region.

One of the main activity in the ACES project is the International workshop scheduled every two years.

What is ACES? ACES(APEC Cooperation for

Earthquake Simulation) project was endorsed at the APEC ISTWG Meeting in Singapore on October 1st, 1997.

Main purpose of the ACES project is to understand the earthquake and tsunami generation mechanism in Asia Pacific region.

One of the main activity in the ACES project is the International workshop scheduled every two years.

What is ACES? ACES(APEC Cooperation for

Earthquake Simulation) project was endorsed at the APEC ISTWG Meeting in Singapore on October 1st, 1997.

Main purpose of the ACES project is to understand the earthquake and tsunami generation mechanism in Asia Pacific region.

One of the main activity in the ACES project is the International workshop scheduled every two years.

History of Meetings• 8th International workshop on Advances of Simulation in Multihazards,

Maui, HI, USA, Oct, 2012

• ACES small workshop on Multihazards, Maui, HI, USA, May, 2011

• 7th International workshop, Otaru, Hokkaido, Japan, Oct 2010

• 6th International workshop, Cairns, AU, May 2008

• 5th International workshop, Maui, HI, USA, April 2006

• 4th International workshop and iSERVO meeting, Beijing, China, July 2004

• 3rd ACES working group meeting, Melbourne and Brisbane, AU, June 2003

• ACES working group meeting, Maui Supercomputer center, Maui, HI, USA, Aug 2001

• 2nd International workshop, Hakone, Japan, Oct 2000

• 1st Inaugural International workshop, Brisbane and Noosa, Japan, Jan-Feb 1999.

Objectives of the Project

Develop Science and Technology Network for earthquake and tsunami simulation established by the ACES project in 1997.

Share the state-of-arts technology on earthquake and tsunami simulation among APEC economies.

Establish assimilation technology of numerical modeling for the prediction of future earthquake and tsunami disasters.

Project Schedule

August, 2009: First Circular

May, 2010: Second Circular (Call for Abstract)

August, 2010: Deadline for Abstract and Registration

September, 2010: Third Circular (Final Program)

October 3-8, 2010: ACES International Workshop

November, 2010: Fourth Circular (Workshop Report)

Workshop Outline

WG1: Microscopic SimulationWG2: Scaling PhysicsWG3: Macro-scale Simulation: Earthquake Generation and CyclesWG4: Macro-scale Simulation: Dynamic Rupture and Wave PropagationWG5: Computational Environment and AlgorithmsWG6: Data Assimilation and UnderstandingWG7: Model ApplicationsWG8: Other Geoscience Simulation

Some Recent Outputs

Joint simulation of earthquake generation process constrained by GPS observation

Seismic wave and tsunami propagation

A possible future application

Earthquake Generation Cycle Simulation along San Andreas Fault system (as InSAR Images)

Hashimoto, Noda, Sagiya & Matsu’ura (2009)

GEONETEpicenters and tsunami source regions

GPS velocity vectors (1996-2000) Slip-deficit rate distribution

Slip-Deficit Rate Distribution at Plate Interfaces Inferred from GPS Data Inversion

Fukuyama, Ando, Hashimoto, Aoi & Matsu’ura (2009)

Comparison of computed (red) and observed (black) waveforms

Slip velocity changes and the final slip distribution

The source area of the 2003 Tokachi-Oki earthquakes

Joint Simulation of Stress Accumulation, Dynamic Rupture and Seismic Wave Propagation

Seismic Wave and Tsunami Propagation from Large Earthquakes

Seismic Wave Propagation

Tsunami Propagation

A Practical Application for Earthquake and Tsunami Simulation

Real-Scale Shaking Table Experiments by E-Defense

Thank you for your attention