international space 2013 douglas messier parabolicarc.com
TRANSCRIPT
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International Space 2013
Douglas MessierParabolicarc.com
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International Investments & Partnerships
Virgin Galactic SpaceShipTwo & LauncherOne Virgin Group (UK) Aabar Investments (Abu Dhabi) – $490 Million Abu Dhabi spaceport Spaceport Sweden
XCOR Lynx Space Expedition Corporation (Netherlands) Curacao spaceport Lynx campaign closed PR gap w/ VG
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Russia
Angara Modular LV family from light to heavy-lift Replaces Proton, Zenit, Dnepr First flight October/November 2013 Possible LV for Soyuz replacement (c. 2018)
Soyuz 2.1v Domestic light launch vehicle NK-33 engine First flight second half of 2013
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Russia
Vostochny Major construction underway First launch 2015 Human missions in 2018 (Soyuz or PPTS)
Baikonur Kazahkstan wants to renegotiate lease (2050) Russians run spaceport and city Russia reaffirmed lease
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Russia
Announced 2010 Energia, Roscosmos 7 crew members Tourism, research Launch: 2015-16 No funding identified No recent news
Orbital Technologies Commercial Space Station
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Russia
Announced Years Ago 1 Pilot, 2 billionauts $150 million apiece 1 passenger signed Test flight needed Commercial flight NLT January 2017 No recent news
Space Adventures Circum-lunar Trip
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Russia
Leads in launches (25 in '12) – but nothing else New strategic plan to improve across-the-board US $52 billion in spending through 2020 Restore Soviet-era capabilities by 2015 New technological breakthroughs 2015-2020 Raise global market share from 10 to 16% PPTS Soyuz replacement circa 2018 (6 seats)
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Russia
Reorganize entire space sector Sector operating at 30-40% capacity Effective bankruptcy of certain firms Roscosmos very small, supervision difficult Solution – consolidation under Roscosmos Potential problems
Destroy competitiveness Extreme disruption
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Russia
Space czar – Deputy PM Dmitry Rogozin Improve quality control system Worker training and education consortium Increased industry salaries Corruption crackdown
1 in 5 rubles lost through waste, fraud Russian Space Systems – GLONASS fraud Skolkovo Foundation – fraud investigation
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China
Second in launches with 19 in 2012 2 commercial launches last year New Long March 5 delayed to 2015 Tiangong-1 mission set for June First lunar lander with rover this summer ISS-style space station in 2020 Plan for manned lunar missions uncertain
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China
Cooperation with U.S. blocked by Congress Even scientific cooperation difficult Investigations into espionage Widespread hacking of U.S. servers (JPL)
Cooperation with ESA & others growing Possible European astronauts on Shenzhou Cooperation with Italy on space modules Possibly alternative to ISS continuation
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India
Privatize PSLV and comsats – 2018 PSLV is only reliable launch vehicle (21-1-1) GSLV-II highly unreliable (2-4-1) Only 7 launches in 12 years Limited payload – 2.5 metric tons to GTO GSLV-II with domestic cryogenic stage in July GSLV-II cryogenic stage failure in April 2010
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India
GSLV-III Under Development Larger rocket: 10 tons (LEO), 4 tons (GTO) Different design and technology from GSLV-II Scheduled test launch in 2014
Human Spaceflight Program Overly ambitious – on hold until 2020s Initial studies underway but not much Rejected idea of foreign collaboration
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India
Foreign Cooperation U.S. lifted sanctions against country Trade mission last year Boeing, other companies interested Outcome of commercial cooperation uncertain New NASA cooperative agreement SBSP satellite cooperation with NSS Possible SBSP cooperation with China
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Brazil
Cyclone 4 – Medium launch vehicle Upgraded version of Soviet-era
Cyclone 3 Joint Brazilian-Ukrainian project Alcantara Launch Center –
equatorial First launch NET 2015
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Brazil
Scaled back launcher plan Formerly based on Russian
Angara Smaller launch vehicles,
more domestic involvement Smallsat launcher (VLM-1)
with Germany Sufficient government funding? SpaceX visit to AEB in January
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Backup Slides
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India
PSLV remains workhorse Only reliable Indian satellite launcher (21-1-1) 3,250 kg/7,200 lbs. (LEO); 1,410 kg/3,100 lbs.
(GTO) 4 stages – 3 solid, 1 liquid Marketing arrangement w/ Arianespace Mars spacecraft set for launch in late 2013
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Japan
Epsilon light launcher Solid fuel stages 1.2 metric tons to LEO Highly automated, cheaper Replaces M-V rocket First launch in August or
September 2013
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Japan
Basic Space Law – 2008 Support commercial space through:
– Procurement of goods and services
– Cutting edge R&D and tech transfer
– Taxation and fnancial policies
– Maintenance of launch sites and infrastructure Simplified complex space policy structure “Non-military” to “non-aggressive” use of space
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Ukraine
Coasting on Soviet era technology Cyclone 4 project with Brazil Zenit Sea Launch & Land Launch
– reliability & financial issues Dnepr – negotiations with Russia Orbital Antares first stage Dim ESA membership prospects
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South Korea
Naro-1 project completed Successful launch in January Russian first stage prototype for
Angara South Korean upper stage and
satellite Domestic launcher by 2021 – 1.5
metric tons to LEO
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Israel
Internationally competitive space sector Optical and radar surveillance satellites Advanced components and technologies Small launch vehicles Cooperation agreement with ESA Not on path for full ESA membership