international expansion: the santander case°œ표자료.pdf · santander consumer has a strong...
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International Symposium on Globalizing Korea’s Financial Industry
June 2008
International Expansion:The Santander Case
Pablo de CastroCorporate DevelopmentGrupo Santander
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2
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
ConclusionsConclusions
Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy
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3
Santander in 1985
Nº 6 in SpainNº 152 in the World
1985-94
1985-94
Santander; a middle size bank in Spain in 1985…
A medium sized bank in a “medium sized” country
A medium sized bank in a “medium sized” country
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4
# 1 in theEurozone# 8 in the World
Santander today
• A Global Group
• Leader in commercial banking
• Strong balance sheet
1985-94•…into a Global bank in just 20 years
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5
September 1989: Launching of the “ La Supercuenta”
1985-94 1994-98 1999 1999-04
In the 80s, Santander grew with a strategy based on product innovation…
8,4%
13,0%14,1%
6%
9%
12%
15%
1988 1989 1990
Growth based on a strong commercial culture +
strengthening customer relationships
Growth based on a strong commercial culture +
strengthening customer relationships
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6
Nº 1 in SpainNº 45 in the World
Fuente: AEB
18, 50
12, 90
11, 6010, 80
2, 80
-1,0
1,5
4,0
6,5
9,0
11,5
14,0
16,5
19,0
Santander BCH BBV Argentaria Popular
Activos totales en 1993
Sant
ande
rB
anes
to
Total assets in 1993
•In 1994, we took a leap forward through the acquisition of Banesto
A strong organicgrowth track record allows Santander to
lead the consolidationprocess
A strong organicgrowth track record allows Santander to
lead the consolidationprocess
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7
Banco de Venezuela
1997Santander Mexicano
1996-1998: “setting the foundations for our expansion in LatAm”
1994-98
19961997
1998Banco RioArgentina
Bancos Geral de Comercio y Noroeste
Brasil
•Santander: first wave of acquisitions in LatAm between 1996 & 1998
Its leadershipposition in Spain
allowed Santander to expand abroad
Its leadershipposition in Spain
allowed Santander to expand abroad
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8
The first merger of the Eurozone
“size is crucial to be efficient and competitive”
“it is important to preserve our independence and the ability to create value”
“To be strong in Europe we need to be strong in our home market”Emilio Botín, March 1999
15 de enero de 1999: Fusión con el BCH•In 1999, we consolidated our leadership in Spain through the merger with BCH
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Nº 2 in Europe
Nº 14 worldwide
New wave of globalisation…
1985-94 1994-98 1999 1999-04
Nº 1 in LatAm
- PTF (Polonia)
- ELCON (Noruega)
- ABFIN (Holanda)
(422)*
2004
Europe
-Totta & Açores
- Crédito Predial Portugués
1999
Portugal
(2.618)*
- Banespa
2000
Brazil
(8.226)*
2000
Mexico
- Grupo Financiero Serfín
(2.323)*
- AKB Group
2002
Germany
(1.369)*
- Banco Santiago
2002
Chile
(2.179)*
- Finconsumo
2003
Italy
(163)*
* Amount of investment in each country
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Nº 1 in Europe
Nº 10 in the WorldNº 1 in LatAm
At that point, it was the largest cross-border acquisition in the history of
the European banking system…EUR 13bn, financed with stock
•In 2004… moving into the United Kingdom
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Nº 1 in Europe
Nº 8 in the WorldNº 1 in LatAm
A U$ 100bn deal, in alliance with RBS and Fortis
•In 2007… the ABN Amro “Consortium” transaction
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12
Market position: #1Market share: 18%Branches: 4,417Customers: 10m
… with leading presence in Europe in retail and commercial banking …
Spain
Market position: #3Market share: 10%Branches: 690Customers: 1.8m
PortugalMarket position: #6Market share: 9%Branches: 712Customers: 18.3m
UK
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Market position: #2
Market position: #1Market share: 22%Branches: 401Customers: 2.9m
Market position: #3Market share: 15%Branches: 1,005Customers: 9.4m
Market position: #3Market share: 12%Branches: 3,972Customers: >15m
Market position: #2
Brazil
Chile
Mexico
Argentina
Venezuela
… as well as the leading retail and corporate banking franchise in Latin America
Plus: Puerto Rico, Colombia, Peru, Uruguay …
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Holland Denmark Russia
Austria
Syria
Spain
France
Port
ugal
Belgium
IrelandUnitedKingdom
Luxembourg
Switzerland
Italy
Greece
AlbaniaMacedonia
GermanyBelarus
Latvia
Estonia
Finland
Lithuania
Sweden
Norway
Poland
CzechRep.
SlovakiaHungary
SloveniaCroatia
Bosnia-Herz.Yugoslavia
Bulgaria
Romania
Moldova
Ukraine
Turkey
Santander Consumer has a
strong presence in the most dynamic countries (Iberia,
UK, Hungary, Czech Republic, Poland, Italy,…)
Presence in 13 European countries
Santander Consumer's presence: access to the largest economies in Europe 5,304 employees
278 branches353 mn. inhabitants
… with the addition of Drive
Financial in the US
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Our growth in the last 20 years has allowed us to take a giant leap in a relatively short period of time
From a domestic retail bank… … to a global bank
200769 mill
7,596 Eur Mill
75bn
1.2 euros
18.8%
Number of customers
Net profit
Market cap
EPS
TSR*
1985
750,000
133 mill euros
2.5bn euros
0.16 euros
*Total shareholder return
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16
0,04
0,11
0,19
0,53
0,42
0,33
'86 '92 '98 '04 '05 ´07
0,090,22
0,38
1,06
0,840,73
'86* '92* '98* '04 '05 '07
(*) Adjusted to splits and capital increases. In 2004 and 2005 under IFRS criteria.
CAGR: +14% CAGR: +15%
Dividend per shareEarnings per share*
EUR
EUR
1985-94
•A strong value creation track record for Santander’s shareholders
**1,28 0,65
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17Santander is recurrently among the top of our peer group by dividend + share price (Total Shareholder Return)
15 years 5 years 3 years
4º5º 2º
+12%
+18%
SAN DJS Banks*
+14%
+22%
SAN DJS Banks*
+10%
+22%
SAN DJS Banks*
… surpassing banking indices
(*) Dow Jones Stoxx Banks: Index of 65 European Banks
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0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000
IND & COMM BK OF CHINA - A
CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK-H
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC
BANK OF CHINA LTD - H
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO
BANK OF AMERICA CORP
BANCO SANTANDER SA
CITIGROUP INC
MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GRO
BNP PARIBAS
UNICREDIT SPA
WELLS FARGO & CO
GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC
BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTA
ING GROEP NV-CVA
INTESA SANPAOLO
Top 10 by market capitalisation
Number7 in theWorld
Number7 in theWorld
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19
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
ConclusionsConclusions
Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy
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20The Spanish banking sector has accomplished a remarkable productivity jump over the past 20 years…
This productivityimprovement has beenmade possible by:
• Cost synergies resulting frommergers
• Use of technology• Constructive dialogue withtrade unions
This productivityimprovement has beenmade possible by:
• Cost synergies resulting frommergers
• Use of technology• Constructive dialogue withtrade unions
1987 1992 1997 2002 2007
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2.000
4.000
6.000
Loans / employee-Spanish banking system
(EUR 000s)
x11
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21We had developed a successful business model at home…one which we could export to other markets
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22Solid retail banking model
… and a strict risk policy• Credit risk• Balance sheet management
… and a strict risk policy• Credit risk• Balance sheet management
Commercial focus
• Client focus• Focus on distribution• Service quality• Product innovation• Relevant market share
Commercial focus
• Client focus• Focus on distribution• Service quality• Product innovation• Relevant market share
Efficiency focus
• Top technology / sharedplatform• Process improvement• Continuous restructuring
Efficiency focus
• Top technology / sharedplatform• Process improvement• Continuous restructuring
Expandthe “front”Expand
the “front”Cut the“back”
Cut the“back”
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… is moving abroad made possible
… is moving abroad made possible
Internationalisation…… “exporting” the strong business modelswhich had been developed at home
Internationalisation…… “exporting” the strong business modelswhich had been developed at home
Only afterdeveloping a strong retail and commercialbusiness model at home…
Only afterdeveloping a strong retail and commercialbusiness model at home…
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StrategicStrategic CyclicalCyclical FinancialFinancial
Internationalisation: a triple hurdleInternationalisation: a triple hurdle
“Natural owner”“Natural owner” “Timing”“Timing” Good priceGood price
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25
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
ConclusionsConclusions
Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy
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We disagree… cross border mergers can create value, but ONLY if certain conditions are met…We disagree… cross border mergers can create value, but ONLY if certain conditions are met…
+
What the acquirer needs to have
What the target needs to have
1. Clear retail business and organizational model to export
2. Exportable IT…
3. …with capacity to industrialize operations
4. “Spare” international management capacity
1. Good old franchise…
2. Commercially underperforming
3. Lack of management focus
4. “Pre –industrial”operating systems
Traditional view on mergers… only in market mergers create significant value (e.g., FT (12/04/08)
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27We entered the UK because we considered its bankingmarket to be very attractive…
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28… but it was also a very competitive one…… which put pressure on the weaker players
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29
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Abbey was the worst performing UK bank at the time…
•Revenue growth CAGR 2001-2003
•Average cost to income ratio 2001-2003
•Average:•6.0
•Business volume
Source: Bankscope
•RBS
•Barclays
•HBOS
•Lloyds TSB
•Abbey
•Nationwide
•HSBC
•Alliance & Leicester
•Northern Rock
•90 •80 •70 •50 •40 •30•Average:
•60
… in terms of efficiency as well as in terms of growth… in terms of efficiency as well as in terms of growth
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30There was clear upside from a commercial point of view
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
Mortgages Savingsaccounts
Currentaccount
Generalinsurance
UPL Credit cards Investments SMEs
Significant potential to increase share of wallet
Mortgage bank
Commercial bank
Abbey’s “commercial gap”
Abbey’s “commercial gap”
Market share by product
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31We designed a clear turnaround plan
Executionand
Team-Building/Leadership
Executionand
Team-Building/Leadership
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32
Fast-forward threeyears…
Fast-forward threeyears…
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33Abbey is already outperforming its peers (I)…
… in terms of revenue growth…… in terms of revenue growth…
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34
Q1 05 Q1 08
71% 47%24pp
Abbey is already outperforming its peers (II)…
… in terms of cost discipline and efficiency improvement…… in terms of cost discipline and efficiency improvement…
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35Abbey is already outperforming its peers (III)…
… as well as in terms of operating “jaws”… as well as in terms of operating “jaws”
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36This is just the tip of the iceberg
Good old fashioned cost discipline + first efforts to
recover the “commercial pulse”
Full implementation of our IT platform (Partenon)- 2007 / 2008
Full development of business lines such as credit cards, SMEs,
asset management…
Strong leadership, team-building and right incentives…
+ synergies with the Group
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StrategicStrategic CyclicalCyclical FinancialFinancial
Abbey’s triple hurdleAbbey’s triple hurdle
“Natural owner”• Improve efficiency
• IT• Commercial best
practices
“Natural owner”• Improve efficiency
• IT• Commercial best
practices
Trough profitability(losses in corporate
book, insurancebusiness)
Trough profitability(losses in corporate
book, insurancebusiness)
ROI > cost ofcapital in year 3
(2007)
ROI > cost ofcapital in year 3
(2007)
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38
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
ConclusionsConclusions
Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy
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39
n Brazil is an attractive marketn The deal would create a leading bank in Brazil
– Third bank in terms of network and loans; second bank in terms of customer deposits– This will translate into a qualitative leap in key segments
n Excellent fit with our existing businesses – Geographic complementarity: Both banks create a powerhouse in the South/South
East of the country (the economic hub of Brazil).– Business complementarity: Real stronger in mass market, small businesses, while
Santander Banespa is stronger in affluent segments and business banking
n Value creation potential through in-market synergies– Integration of head offices, central functions; optimisation of distribution networks– Santander Banespa has a scalable IT system, which can easily absorb Real’s
business volume, with very limited additional investment
n … with low execution risk– Santander has extensive experience in integrating banks in the region; specifically
in Brazil
Building the best bank in Brazil
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40
Brazil: a virtuous circle out of policy improvement and commodity prices leads to the development of local capital markets; on track for an investment grade rating
n Debt issuance– Local denominated– Long term maturities – Fixed rates– Long yield curve
Increased confidence
n Reliance on domestic saving– ... out of necessity Brazil enjoys…
n Current account surplusn Primary Fiscal surplus
n Floating exchange rates– competitive adjustments if
requiredn Independent monetary policy
– Sucessful fight against inflation
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41
Brazil has a lot of banking potential compared to other developing countries …
Lower penetration ratios than other BRIC countries
10%3%3%Insurance Premiums / GDP
61%5%2%Mortgages / GDP
97%79%30%Deposits / GDP
139%58%32%Loans / GDP
Developed CountriesOther BRICBrazil
Source: Merrill Lynch ResearchNote: Other BRIC includes Russia, India and China and developed countries include the US, the UK, Japan and GermanyBased on non-weighted averages
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42
… and this results into very attractive growth rates of banking volumes
Source: Central Bank Brazil
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43
The new bank would become the 3rd franchise in terms of distribution network …
5.205
4.064 3.9723.383
1.946 1.8971.392 1.256 898
129
BB Bradesco ABN+SAN ITAÚ ABN Real SAN HSBC Unib N. Caixa
Opened in 2006
Branches & PABs 2006
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44
Excellent geographical fit within Brazil… both banks create a power force in the core economic hub of Brazil
Banespa: stronger in Sao Paulo stateReal: strong in Sao Paulo city, Rio,
main cities, Northeast… which should translate into
limited customer attrition
Excellent complementarity
in key states
% of national
GDP
Market share-SAN
Market share-ABN
Combined market share
Sao Paulo 34% 13% 7% 20%
Rio de Janeiro 13% 3% 10% 13%
Minas Gerais 10% 2% 7% 9%
Rio Grande do Sul 8% 8% 2% 11%
Subtotal- "top 4" 64% 9% 7% 16%
Brazil- total 100% 6% 6% 12%
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45
… as well as an excellent product markets fit
Mortgages3%
Consumer lending +
cards34%
SMEs7%
Largecorporates
24%
Corporates32%
Mortgages4%
Largecorporates
8%
Corporates19% Consumer lending +
cards44%
SMEs25%
SAN Banespa: stronger in the affluent segments + corporate banking
ABN Real: stronger in mass market + small companies
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46
Phase 3: Integration IIPhase 2: Integration IPhase 1: Cost Reduction
Efficiency best practices
IT Integration
Head office/central function Integration
Full Merger / networks
1
2
4
5
Operations Integration3
We have structured a plan composed of five initiatives, starting with a cost rationalization program
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47
3,734,19
General and administrative
expenses
Personnel expenses
(*) Includes loans, deposits and off-balance funds
0,39
0,08
0,46
The first step would be to bring Real to
Santander Banespa’sstandalone
efficiency level
Difference
In terms of ordinary efficiency best practices, Real has significant potential to improve administrative expensesPercentage, 2006
Cost over volume (%)*
1,88 1,96
1,852,24
Banespa Real
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48
These initiatives will allow to capture > EUR 800 million in pre-tax synergiesEUR Million
810110
7040
150
135
305
Costreduction
Real
OpsIntegration
Head Office
integration
Merger Total synergies
IT Integration
Revenues1 3 4 52 6
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49
… but still below the profit generation levels of peers…(even after assumed synergies)
Potential to capture the enhanced profitabilityassociated with scale in Brazil
Consensus- net profit 2010 (U$ m)
Synergies
SAN
Real
766
5.271 5.162
-
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
6.000
Itau Bradesco SAN + Real
3.781
3.015
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50
Santander’s has a strong integration track record in Brazil
1997
Banco Geral do Comercio
Banespa
1998
2000
2000
Track Record in Brazil
We are ready to integrate Real: In Brazil, we now have a single, multi-bank and scalable IT platform
Banco Noroeste
CF Meridional
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51We have executed several integrations in Latin America over the past decade- e.g., integration of two banks in Mexico and in Chile
In Mexico, the combination of in-market synergies (from the integration of Santander Mexicano and Serfin), along with strong business growth, has
allowed us to achieve a significant reduction in our efficiency ratio
C/I Mexico
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 preNICs
2004NICs
2005 2006 Q1 07
2005: full mergerbetween Serfin and
SAN Mexicano becomes effective
2000: acquisitionof Serfin
2002: single brand:
Santander Serfin
2001: implementation ofAltair (IT platform)
in Serfin starts
2004: implementation
of Altair completed
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52
StrategicStrategic CyclicalCyclical FinancialFinancial
Banco Real’s triple hurdleBanco Real’s triple hurdle
“Natural owner”• Improve efficiency
• In market synergies• Critical mass
“Natural owner”• Improve efficiency
• In market synergies• Critical mass
Brazil’s “virtuous cycle”
Growth multiplier(economic growth +
increasedbancarisation)
Brazil’s “virtuous cycle”
Growth multiplier(economic growth +
increasedbancarisation)
ROI: 18%EPS: +4%(year 3)
ROI: 18%EPS: +4%(year 3)
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53
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example
ConclusionsConclusions
Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy
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54
International expansion can be a powerful source of value creation…
… but only when carried out in a very disciplined way:
Strategic discipline:
• The “natural owner”concept
• Markets you know well• Potential to create value
• In-market synergies• Exporting best practices
Financial discipline:
• No “strategic” acquisitions• Every acquisition needs to be done at a price which creates valuefor the shareholders• Communicate clear financialtargets. In Santander’s case:
• EPS accretion (year 3)• ROI > cost of capital (year 3)