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International Symposium on Globalizing Korea’s Financial Industry June 2008 International Expansion: The Santander Case Pablo de Castro Corporate Development Grupo Santander

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  • International Symposium on Globalizing Korea’s Financial Industry

    June 2008

    International Expansion:The Santander Case

    Pablo de CastroCorporate DevelopmentGrupo Santander

  • 2

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    ConclusionsConclusions

    Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy

  • 3

    Santander in 1985

    Nº 6 in SpainNº 152 in the World

    1985-94

    1985-94

    Santander; a middle size bank in Spain in 1985…

    A medium sized bank in a “medium sized” country

    A medium sized bank in a “medium sized” country

  • 4

    # 1 in theEurozone# 8 in the World

    Santander today

    • A Global Group

    • Leader in commercial banking

    • Strong balance sheet

    1985-94•…into a Global bank in just 20 years

  • 5

    September 1989: Launching of the “ La Supercuenta”

    1985-94 1994-98 1999 1999-04

    In the 80s, Santander grew with a strategy based on product innovation…

    8,4%

    13,0%14,1%

    6%

    9%

    12%

    15%

    1988 1989 1990

    Growth based on a strong commercial culture +

    strengthening customer relationships

    Growth based on a strong commercial culture +

    strengthening customer relationships

  • 6

    Nº 1 in SpainNº 45 in the World

    Fuente: AEB

    18, 50

    12, 90

    11, 6010, 80

    2, 80

    -1,0

    1,5

    4,0

    6,5

    9,0

    11,5

    14,0

    16,5

    19,0

    Santander BCH BBV Argentaria Popular

    Activos totales en 1993

    Sant

    ande

    rB

    anes

    to

    Total assets in 1993

    •In 1994, we took a leap forward through the acquisition of Banesto

    A strong organicgrowth track record allows Santander to

    lead the consolidationprocess

    A strong organicgrowth track record allows Santander to

    lead the consolidationprocess

  • 7

    Banco de Venezuela

    1997Santander Mexicano

    1996-1998: “setting the foundations for our expansion in LatAm”

    1994-98

    19961997

    1998Banco RioArgentina

    Bancos Geral de Comercio y Noroeste

    Brasil

    •Santander: first wave of acquisitions in LatAm between 1996 & 1998

    Its leadershipposition in Spain

    allowed Santander to expand abroad

    Its leadershipposition in Spain

    allowed Santander to expand abroad

  • 8

    The first merger of the Eurozone

    “size is crucial to be efficient and competitive”

    “it is important to preserve our independence and the ability to create value”

    “To be strong in Europe we need to be strong in our home market”Emilio Botín, March 1999

    15 de enero de 1999: Fusión con el BCH•In 1999, we consolidated our leadership in Spain through the merger with BCH

  • 9

    Nº 2 in Europe

    Nº 14 worldwide

    New wave of globalisation…

    1985-94 1994-98 1999 1999-04

    Nº 1 in LatAm

    - PTF (Polonia)

    - ELCON (Noruega)

    - ABFIN (Holanda)

    (422)*

    2004

    Europe

    -Totta & Açores

    - Crédito Predial Portugués

    1999

    Portugal

    (2.618)*

    - Banespa

    2000

    Brazil

    (8.226)*

    2000

    Mexico

    - Grupo Financiero Serfín

    (2.323)*

    - AKB Group

    2002

    Germany

    (1.369)*

    - Banco Santiago

    2002

    Chile

    (2.179)*

    - Finconsumo

    2003

    Italy

    (163)*

    * Amount of investment in each country

  • 10

    Nº 1 in Europe

    Nº 10 in the WorldNº 1 in LatAm

    At that point, it was the largest cross-border acquisition in the history of

    the European banking system…EUR 13bn, financed with stock

    •In 2004… moving into the United Kingdom

  • 11

    Nº 1 in Europe

    Nº 8 in the WorldNº 1 in LatAm

    A U$ 100bn deal, in alliance with RBS and Fortis

    •In 2007… the ABN Amro “Consortium” transaction

  • 12

    Market position: #1Market share: 18%Branches: 4,417Customers: 10m

    … with leading presence in Europe in retail and commercial banking …

    Spain

    Market position: #3Market share: 10%Branches: 690Customers: 1.8m

    PortugalMarket position: #6Market share: 9%Branches: 712Customers: 18.3m

    UK

  • 13

    Market position: #2

    Market position: #1Market share: 22%Branches: 401Customers: 2.9m

    Market position: #3Market share: 15%Branches: 1,005Customers: 9.4m

    Market position: #3Market share: 12%Branches: 3,972Customers: >15m

    Market position: #2

    Brazil

    Chile

    Mexico

    Argentina

    Venezuela

    … as well as the leading retail and corporate banking franchise in Latin America

    Plus: Puerto Rico, Colombia, Peru, Uruguay …

  • 14

    Holland Denmark Russia

    Austria

    Syria

    Spain

    France

    Port

    ugal

    Belgium

    IrelandUnitedKingdom

    Luxembourg

    Switzerland

    Italy

    Greece

    AlbaniaMacedonia

    GermanyBelarus

    Latvia

    Estonia

    Finland

    Lithuania

    Sweden

    Norway

    Poland

    CzechRep.

    SlovakiaHungary

    SloveniaCroatia

    Bosnia-Herz.Yugoslavia

    Bulgaria

    Romania

    Moldova

    Ukraine

    Turkey

    Santander Consumer has a

    strong presence in the most dynamic countries (Iberia,

    UK, Hungary, Czech Republic, Poland, Italy,…)

    Presence in 13 European countries

    Santander Consumer's presence: access to the largest economies in Europe 5,304 employees

    278 branches353 mn. inhabitants

    … with the addition of Drive

    Financial in the US

  • 15

    Our growth in the last 20 years has allowed us to take a giant leap in a relatively short period of time

    From a domestic retail bank… … to a global bank

    200769 mill

    7,596 Eur Mill

    75bn

    1.2 euros

    18.8%

    Number of customers

    Net profit

    Market cap

    EPS

    TSR*

    1985

    750,000

    133 mill euros

    2.5bn euros

    0.16 euros

    *Total shareholder return

  • 16

    0,04

    0,11

    0,19

    0,53

    0,42

    0,33

    '86 '92 '98 '04 '05 ´07

    0,090,22

    0,38

    1,06

    0,840,73

    '86* '92* '98* '04 '05 '07

    (*) Adjusted to splits and capital increases. In 2004 and 2005 under IFRS criteria.

    CAGR: +14% CAGR: +15%

    Dividend per shareEarnings per share*

    EUR

    EUR

    1985-94

    •A strong value creation track record for Santander’s shareholders

    **1,28 0,65

  • 17Santander is recurrently among the top of our peer group by dividend + share price (Total Shareholder Return)

    15 years 5 years 3 years

    4º5º 2º

    +12%

    +18%

    SAN DJS Banks*

    +14%

    +22%

    SAN DJS Banks*

    +10%

    +22%

    SAN DJS Banks*

    … surpassing banking indices

    (*) Dow Jones Stoxx Banks: Index of 65 European Banks

  • 18

    0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000

    IND & COMM BK OF CHINA - A

    CHINA CONSTRUCTION BANK-H

    HSBC HOLDINGS PLC

    BANK OF CHINA LTD - H

    JPMORGAN CHASE & CO

    BANK OF AMERICA CORP

    BANCO SANTANDER SA

    CITIGROUP INC

    MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GRO

    BNP PARIBAS

    UNICREDIT SPA

    WELLS FARGO & CO

    GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC

    BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTA

    ING GROEP NV-CVA

    INTESA SANPAOLO

    Top 10 by market capitalisation

    Number7 in theWorld

    Number7 in theWorld

  • 19

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    ConclusionsConclusions

    Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy

  • 20The Spanish banking sector has accomplished a remarkable productivity jump over the past 20 years…

    This productivityimprovement has beenmade possible by:

    • Cost synergies resulting frommergers

    • Use of technology• Constructive dialogue withtrade unions

    This productivityimprovement has beenmade possible by:

    • Cost synergies resulting frommergers

    • Use of technology• Constructive dialogue withtrade unions

    1987 1992 1997 2002 2007

    -

    2.000

    4.000

    6.000

    Loans / employee-Spanish banking system

    (EUR 000s)

    x11

  • 21We had developed a successful business model at home…one which we could export to other markets

  • 22Solid retail banking model

    … and a strict risk policy• Credit risk• Balance sheet management

    … and a strict risk policy• Credit risk• Balance sheet management

    Commercial focus

    • Client focus• Focus on distribution• Service quality• Product innovation• Relevant market share

    Commercial focus

    • Client focus• Focus on distribution• Service quality• Product innovation• Relevant market share

    Efficiency focus

    • Top technology / sharedplatform• Process improvement• Continuous restructuring

    Efficiency focus

    • Top technology / sharedplatform• Process improvement• Continuous restructuring

    Expandthe “front”Expand

    the “front”Cut the“back”

    Cut the“back”

  • 23

    … is moving abroad made possible

    … is moving abroad made possible

    Internationalisation…… “exporting” the strong business modelswhich had been developed at home

    Internationalisation…… “exporting” the strong business modelswhich had been developed at home

    Only afterdeveloping a strong retail and commercialbusiness model at home…

    Only afterdeveloping a strong retail and commercialbusiness model at home…

  • 24

    StrategicStrategic CyclicalCyclical FinancialFinancial

    Internationalisation: a triple hurdleInternationalisation: a triple hurdle

    “Natural owner”“Natural owner” “Timing”“Timing” Good priceGood price

  • 25

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    ConclusionsConclusions

    Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy

  • 26

    We disagree… cross border mergers can create value, but ONLY if certain conditions are met…We disagree… cross border mergers can create value, but ONLY if certain conditions are met…

    +

    What the acquirer needs to have

    What the target needs to have

    1. Clear retail business and organizational model to export

    2. Exportable IT…

    3. …with capacity to industrialize operations

    4. “Spare” international management capacity

    1. Good old franchise…

    2. Commercially underperforming

    3. Lack of management focus

    4. “Pre –industrial”operating systems

    Traditional view on mergers… only in market mergers create significant value (e.g., FT (12/04/08)

  • 27We entered the UK because we considered its bankingmarket to be very attractive…

  • 28… but it was also a very competitive one…… which put pressure on the weaker players

  • 29

    -25

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    10 20 30 40 50 60 70

    Abbey was the worst performing UK bank at the time…

    •Revenue growth CAGR 2001-2003

    •Average cost to income ratio 2001-2003

    •Average:•6.0

    •Business volume

    Source: Bankscope

    •RBS

    •Barclays

    •HBOS

    •Lloyds TSB

    •Abbey

    •Nationwide

    •HSBC

    •Alliance & Leicester

    •Northern Rock

    •90 •80 •70 •50 •40 •30•Average:

    •60

    … in terms of efficiency as well as in terms of growth… in terms of efficiency as well as in terms of growth

  • 30There was clear upside from a commercial point of view

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    9%

    10%

    Mortgages Savingsaccounts

    Currentaccount

    Generalinsurance

    UPL Credit cards Investments SMEs

    Significant potential to increase share of wallet

    Mortgage bank

    Commercial bank

    Abbey’s “commercial gap”

    Abbey’s “commercial gap”

    Market share by product

  • 31We designed a clear turnaround plan

    Executionand

    Team-Building/Leadership

    Executionand

    Team-Building/Leadership

  • 32

    Fast-forward threeyears…

    Fast-forward threeyears…

  • 33Abbey is already outperforming its peers (I)…

    … in terms of revenue growth…… in terms of revenue growth…

  • 34

    Q1 05 Q1 08

    71% 47%24pp

    Abbey is already outperforming its peers (II)…

    … in terms of cost discipline and efficiency improvement…… in terms of cost discipline and efficiency improvement…

  • 35Abbey is already outperforming its peers (III)…

    … as well as in terms of operating “jaws”… as well as in terms of operating “jaws”

  • 36This is just the tip of the iceberg

    Good old fashioned cost discipline + first efforts to

    recover the “commercial pulse”

    Full implementation of our IT platform (Partenon)- 2007 / 2008

    Full development of business lines such as credit cards, SMEs,

    asset management…

    Strong leadership, team-building and right incentives…

    + synergies with the Group

  • 37

    StrategicStrategic CyclicalCyclical FinancialFinancial

    Abbey’s triple hurdleAbbey’s triple hurdle

    “Natural owner”• Improve efficiency

    • IT• Commercial best

    practices

    “Natural owner”• Improve efficiency

    • IT• Commercial best

    practices

    Trough profitability(losses in corporate

    book, insurancebusiness)

    Trough profitability(losses in corporate

    book, insurancebusiness)

    ROI > cost ofcapital in year 3

    (2007)

    ROI > cost ofcapital in year 3

    (2007)

  • 38

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    ConclusionsConclusions

    Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy

  • 39

    n Brazil is an attractive marketn The deal would create a leading bank in Brazil

    – Third bank in terms of network and loans; second bank in terms of customer deposits– This will translate into a qualitative leap in key segments

    n Excellent fit with our existing businesses – Geographic complementarity: Both banks create a powerhouse in the South/South

    East of the country (the economic hub of Brazil).– Business complementarity: Real stronger in mass market, small businesses, while

    Santander Banespa is stronger in affluent segments and business banking

    n Value creation potential through in-market synergies– Integration of head offices, central functions; optimisation of distribution networks– Santander Banespa has a scalable IT system, which can easily absorb Real’s

    business volume, with very limited additional investment

    n … with low execution risk– Santander has extensive experience in integrating banks in the region; specifically

    in Brazil

    Building the best bank in Brazil

  • 40

    Brazil: a virtuous circle out of policy improvement and commodity prices leads to the development of local capital markets; on track for an investment grade rating

    n Debt issuance– Local denominated– Long term maturities – Fixed rates– Long yield curve

    Increased confidence

    n Reliance on domestic saving– ... out of necessity Brazil enjoys…

    n Current account surplusn Primary Fiscal surplus

    n Floating exchange rates– competitive adjustments if

    requiredn Independent monetary policy

    – Sucessful fight against inflation

  • 41

    Brazil has a lot of banking potential compared to other developing countries …

    Lower penetration ratios than other BRIC countries

    10%3%3%Insurance Premiums / GDP

    61%5%2%Mortgages / GDP

    97%79%30%Deposits / GDP

    139%58%32%Loans / GDP

    Developed CountriesOther BRICBrazil

    Source: Merrill Lynch ResearchNote: Other BRIC includes Russia, India and China and developed countries include the US, the UK, Japan and GermanyBased on non-weighted averages

  • 42

    … and this results into very attractive growth rates of banking volumes

    Source: Central Bank Brazil

  • 43

    The new bank would become the 3rd franchise in terms of distribution network …

    5.205

    4.064 3.9723.383

    1.946 1.8971.392 1.256 898

    129

    BB Bradesco ABN+SAN ITAÚ ABN Real SAN HSBC Unib N. Caixa

    Opened in 2006

    Branches & PABs 2006

  • 44

    Excellent geographical fit within Brazil… both banks create a power force in the core economic hub of Brazil

    Banespa: stronger in Sao Paulo stateReal: strong in Sao Paulo city, Rio,

    main cities, Northeast… which should translate into

    limited customer attrition

    Excellent complementarity

    in key states

    % of national

    GDP

    Market share-SAN

    Market share-ABN

    Combined market share

    Sao Paulo 34% 13% 7% 20%

    Rio de Janeiro 13% 3% 10% 13%

    Minas Gerais 10% 2% 7% 9%

    Rio Grande do Sul 8% 8% 2% 11%

    Subtotal- "top 4" 64% 9% 7% 16%

    Brazil- total 100% 6% 6% 12%

  • 45

    … as well as an excellent product markets fit

    Mortgages3%

    Consumer lending +

    cards34%

    SMEs7%

    Largecorporates

    24%

    Corporates32%

    Mortgages4%

    Largecorporates

    8%

    Corporates19% Consumer lending +

    cards44%

    SMEs25%

    SAN Banespa: stronger in the affluent segments + corporate banking

    ABN Real: stronger in mass market + small companies

  • 46

    Phase 3: Integration IIPhase 2: Integration IPhase 1: Cost Reduction

    Efficiency best practices

    IT Integration

    Head office/central function Integration

    Full Merger / networks

    1

    2

    4

    5

    Operations Integration3

    We have structured a plan composed of five initiatives, starting with a cost rationalization program

  • 47

    3,734,19

    General and administrative

    expenses

    Personnel expenses

    (*) Includes loans, deposits and off-balance funds

    0,39

    0,08

    0,46

    The first step would be to bring Real to

    Santander Banespa’sstandalone

    efficiency level

    Difference

    In terms of ordinary efficiency best practices, Real has significant potential to improve administrative expensesPercentage, 2006

    Cost over volume (%)*

    1,88 1,96

    1,852,24

    Banespa Real

  • 48

    These initiatives will allow to capture > EUR 800 million in pre-tax synergiesEUR Million

    810110

    7040

    150

    135

    305

    Costreduction

    Real

    OpsIntegration

    Head Office

    integration

    Merger Total synergies

    IT Integration

    Revenues1 3 4 52 6

  • 49

    … but still below the profit generation levels of peers…(even after assumed synergies)

    Potential to capture the enhanced profitabilityassociated with scale in Brazil

    Consensus- net profit 2010 (U$ m)

    Synergies

    SAN

    Real

    766

    5.271 5.162

    -

    1.000

    2.000

    3.000

    4.000

    5.000

    6.000

    Itau Bradesco SAN + Real

    3.781

    3.015

  • 50

    Santander’s has a strong integration track record in Brazil

    1997

    Banco Geral do Comercio

    Banespa

    1998

    2000

    2000

    Track Record in Brazil

    We are ready to integrate Real: In Brazil, we now have a single, multi-bank and scalable IT platform

    Banco Noroeste

    CF Meridional

  • 51We have executed several integrations in Latin America over the past decade- e.g., integration of two banks in Mexico and in Chile

    In Mexico, the combination of in-market synergies (from the integration of Santander Mexicano and Serfin), along with strong business growth, has

    allowed us to achieve a significant reduction in our efficiency ratio

    C/I Mexico

    35%

    40%

    45%

    50%

    55%

    60%

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 preNICs

    2004NICs

    2005 2006 Q1 07

    2005: full mergerbetween Serfin and

    SAN Mexicano becomes effective

    2000: acquisitionof Serfin

    2002: single brand:

    Santander Serfin

    2001: implementation ofAltair (IT platform)

    in Serfin starts

    2004: implementation

    of Altair completed

  • 52

    StrategicStrategic CyclicalCyclical FinancialFinancial

    Banco Real’s triple hurdleBanco Real’s triple hurdle

    “Natural owner”• Improve efficiency

    • In market synergies• Critical mass

    “Natural owner”• Improve efficiency

    • In market synergies• Critical mass

    Brazil’s “virtuous cycle”

    Growth multiplier(economic growth +

    increasedbancarisation)

    Brazil’s “virtuous cycle”

    Growth multiplier(economic growth +

    increasedbancarisation)

    ROI: 18%EPS: +4%(year 3)

    ROI: 18%EPS: +4%(year 3)

  • 53

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    Santander- the past 20 years…From a regional bank to a global bank

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The Abbey example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    When does a cross-border acquisition create value? The ABN Amro (Banco Real) example

    ConclusionsConclusions

    Guiding principles of our internationalisation strategyGuiding principles of our internationalisation strategy

  • 54

    International expansion can be a powerful source of value creation…

    … but only when carried out in a very disciplined way:

    Strategic discipline:

    • The “natural owner”concept

    • Markets you know well• Potential to create value

    • In-market synergies• Exporting best practices

    Financial discipline:

    • No “strategic” acquisitions• Every acquisition needs to be done at a price which creates valuefor the shareholders• Communicate clear financialtargets. In Santander’s case:

    • EPS accretion (year 3)• ROI > cost of capital (year 3)