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Innovation and Regulatory Adaptability International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald and Stuart Smyth)

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Page 1: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Innovation and

Regulatory Adaptability

International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR)

Ravello, ItalyJune 2012

Cami RyanUniversity of Saskatchewan

(co-authors: Jillian McDonald and Stuart Smyth)

Page 2: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Brazil

South Africa

The Philippines

Free Trade Area

Agreement of the

Americas(2004)

Asia-Pacific Economic

Cooperation(1989)

Cotonou Agreement

(2003) (formerly the

Lomé Convention

(1975))

Examining innovative science policy…

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Page 3: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Roles of international agreements…

Facilitate trade interests

Goals for research & innovation

European Economic Community (EEC)

Free Trade Agreement (FTA) / NAFTA

CGIAR

…challenges / complexities…

Page 4: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Free Trade Area

Agreement of the

Americas(2004)

Brazil

•signed on: 2004•Trade & investment

•Other partners:

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Page 5: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Brazil

Political turmoil 80s

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Military dictatorship 60s

Economic growth 80s

Measures to liberalize

Global leader in GM crops

Page 6: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

South Africa

Cotonou Agreement

(2003) (formerly the

Lomé Convention

(1975))

•signed on: 2003•Trade & aid

•Other partners:

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Page 7: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

South Africa

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Not party to same preferential treatment

Trade relations with the EU - TDCA

Prior to 1994: SA policy affected by Apartheid

Turbulent changes in mid 90s public inv

Private sector investment in R&D

9th in GM crop production

Page 8: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

The Philippines

Asia-Pacific Economic

Cooperation(1989)

•signed on: 1989•Trade, tech transfer and food security

•Other partners:

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Page 9: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

The Philippines

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

First ASEAN region to establish GM reg system

1/3 total land mass is dedicated to ag production

First ASEAN country to commercialize GM crop (Bt corn)

Adoption of GM crops – farmer driven

Page 10: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Trade Analysis: relative distributions of exports

  Canada United States European Union

Maize Soybean

Cotton Maize Soybean

Cotton Maize Soybean Cotton

Brazil 0% 0% 0% 0.1% 0.3% 0% 99.9%

99.7% 100%

South Africa 0.02%

0.7% 0% 2.3% 91% 100% 97.7%

8.3% 0%

The Philippines

7.7% 0% 0% 92.3% 0% 100% 0% 0% 0%

Authors’ calculations on data sourced from: FAO Tradestat, 2012

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Page 11: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Qualifying Trade Relationships…

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Page 12: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Innovation/Science Policy Matrix

Brazil South Africa The Philippines

Political status Democratic/developing

Democratic/developing

Democratic/developing

Economic status Producer/exporter Producer/domestic consumption/exporter

Producer/domestic consumption

Major strategic partners

United States EU (aid), South African countries

Australia

Major trading partners

EU (soybeans) EU, United States United States

LLP Policy n/a n/a Developing

Science based regulations development status

In place, evolving In place, evolving In place, evolving

Science-based policy goals

Development and trade

Development and trade

Education, attraction of educated ex-pats, trade & commercialization

WTO status 1995 1995 1995

CBD status Rtf: 1994 Rtf: 2003 Rtf: 1995

BSP status Rtf: 2004 Rtf: 2010 Rtf: 2004ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Page 13: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Policy implications & conclusions

Almost 50% of biotech crops in developing countries (James 2010) Growth rates 2x that of developed

countries (2011)

33+ Million Has.

James 2011

Page 14: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Policy implications & conclusions

H0: International & trade agreements serve as influencers to adoption of policy/regulatory systems in developing countries

results: it’s just not that simple! Development of reg systems

Complex! Partially influenced by trade/strategic

partnerships Other context-dependent factors▪ Political history▪ Geo-political factors▪ Historical relationships

ICABR 2012 Ryan, McDonald & Smyth

Page 15: International Consortium of Applied Bioeconomy Research (ICABR) Ravello, Italy June 2012 Cami Ryan University of Saskatchewan (co-authors: Jillian McDonald

Questions? Comments?

Cami RyanUniversity of Saskatchewan

[email protected] to my co-authors!

Jillian McDonald & Stuart Smyth

No? Good… let’s drink wine.