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    NCA International Strategic PlanUpdate

    A custom report compiled by Euromonitor Internationalfor the National Confectioners Association (NCA)

    January-February 2012

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    Welcome & Introduction

    Karen HoranSenior Director of International Trade ServicesNational Confectioners Association

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    International Strategic Plan (ISP)Objectives & Deliverables

    Frank AmatoChairman of International Development Committee

    Director of International Development Just Born, Inc.

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    ISP Objectives

    Determine the needs and objectives of NCAs members regarding

    International Business Development

    Define global market dynamics of the confectionery industry

    Highlight opportunistic regions and/or markets, and recommendspecific strategies and tactics to generate a long-term increase ofU.S. confectionery exports

    Define toolbox currently utilized by members and identify key gaps

    Review NCAs role in supporting international development andmodify as necessary to better support members objectives

    Enhance NCAs core international focus while addressing

    constraints that U.S. confectionery companies face

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    ISP Key Deliverables

    Guide NCAs International Strategic Direction

    To produce a clearly defined Unified Export Strategy that will addvalue to member companies, both large and small

    To develop a plan that will positively enhance members

    opportunities to participate and thrive in international markets

    Define how the NCA can best support members interested indeveloping or supporting an export or international business

    Clearly defined NCA toolbox, inclusive of data, tactics, strategies,resources, etc.

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    Preliminary Research Findings& Market Entry Considerations

    Zandi Brehmer & Heather PrekopConsulting Group

    Euromonitor International

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    Research Update

    PROJECT OVERVIEW

    MARKET OVERVIEW:

    WHY EXPORT?

    PRELIMINARY FINDINGS:

    KEY MARKET ENTRY CONSIDERATIONS

    CONCLUSIONS

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    Project Methodology

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Evaluate CurrentSituation & Needs

    Qualitative Interviews

    Market Entry evaluatecurrent export activities ofNCA members (large andsmall)

    NCA Services understandcurrent tools/services utilizedby members

    ProvideRecommendations

    April Workshop

    Market Entry identify keyquestions as well as broadstrategies for NCA membersto consider when enteringnew markets

    NCA Services recommendmodifications as necessary tobetter support membersobjectives and establishinternational role

    Gain Further

    Insights

    Quantitative Surveys

    Market Entry betterunderstand global marketdynamics and member needs

    NCA Services reviewNCAs role in supporting

    members and identify keygaps in services/support

    1 2 3

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    Oct 31, 2011 Project Kick-off

    Nov Jan Qualitative Interviews

    Jan 31 Feb 1 ISM Presentation of Preliminary Findings

    Jan 24 Feb Quantitative Interviews

    Feb March Final Analysis and Validation

    Feb March Incorporation of Tactical Piece

    April ISP Workshop Presentation of Final Strategic Findings

    June Final Report Tactical Recommendations

    OVERVIEW| WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Project Timeline

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    PROJECT OVERVIEW

    WHY EXPORT?MARKET ENTRY

    CONCLUSIONS

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    Global Confectionery

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

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    4 Cases for U.S. Export

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Go where the growth is look at actual dollar sales

    Go where the growth is look at volume consumption

    U.S. sales wont cut it represents shrinking slice of the pie

    Just because you are small doesnt mean you cant think global

    1

    2

    3

    4

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    2.1%

    3.0%

    2.0%

    1.9%

    3.6%

    5.5%

    1.4%1.0%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    CAGRGro

    th

    ActualValueGrowth(Tonnes)

    VALUE GROWTH For U.S. Is Below Global Average (2011-16)

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Actual Growth

    % Growth

    TOTAL CONFECTIONERY GROWTH (% and Actual)

    Global Average

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    1.8%

    3.9%

    1.2%

    2.1%

    2.9%

    4.4%

    -0.8%

    0.5%

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    -200

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    %

    CAGRGrowth

    ActualVolumeGrowth(To

    nnes)

    VOLUME GROWTH Actually Declining In The U.S. (2011-16)Actual Growth

    % Growth

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    TOTAL CONFECTIONERY GROWTH (% and Actual)

    Global Average

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    Emerging Regions STEALING SHARE From Developed Markets

    35%

    22%

    16%

    10%

    11%

    4% 2%

    Retail Values: 2001

    Western EuropeNorth America

    Asia Pacific

    Latin America

    Eastern Europe

    ME/Africa

    Australasia

    32%

    20%17%

    13%

    12%

    4% 2%

    Retail Values: 2011

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

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    Significant OPPORTUNITIES REMAIN For Companies Of All Sizes

    46%

    4%

    50%

    Top 5

    Private Label

    Everyone Else

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Global Confectionary Companies(2011, US$ value sales)

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

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    PROJECT OVERVIEW

    WHY EXPORT?MARKET ENTRY

    CONCLUSIONS

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    Preliminary Findings

    OVERVIEW| WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Member needs & focus vary greatly

    The right approach to exporting differs based on level ofexperience, size of company & type of product offered

    NCA role should be broad and educational

    Develop general export guidelines/factors to consider formembers looking to enter new markets

    Provide foundational resources rather than specific tactics

    No one size fits all; teach members how to find the rightapproach for their organization

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    Market Entry Points to Consider

    OVERVIEW| WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    MARKET SIZE

    MARKET GROWTH

    REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT

    RETAILING ENVIRONMENT

    COMPETITION

    LOCAL TASTES

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    MARKET SIZE (Value)

    MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES

    How DEVELOPED is the current market?

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

    31

    .9

    4.4 2

    1.6

    24

    .9

    8.0

    36

    .1

    58.6

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    Asia-Pacific Australasia E Europe LatinAmerica

    Middle East& Africa

    N America W Europe

    2011MarketSize(US$RSP,

    billion)

    Country 2011

    USA 32.3

    UK 12.8

    Brazil 12.5Germany 12.2

    Russia 11.8

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    MARKET GROWTH (Value)

    MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES

    5.2

    4.1

    8.7

    10.7 10.9

    2.92.3

    3.0

    2.0 1.9

    3.6

    5.5

    1.4 1.0

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    Asia-Pacific Australasia E Europe LatinAmerica

    Middle East& Africa

    N America W Europe

    CAGRGrow

    th%

    Historic CAGR (2006-11) Forecast CAGR (2011-16)

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

    Which regions are GROWING?

    Country2011-16

    CAGR

    India 13.9%

    Peru 5.2%

    Indonesia 4.9%Brazil 4.5%

    Saudi Arabia 4.5%

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    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%

    Identify Hot Spots (Value)

    MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES Western Europe North America Latin America Asia Pacific Australasia Eastern Europe Middle East & AfricaoChocolate

    oCandy

    oGum

    Middle East & Africagum expected to growfastest over forecast

    period (11.5%)

    Latin America (andEastern Europe)chocolate well

    positioned for growth

    Asia-Pacific marketsare sizable, withmoderate growth

    Western Europe andNorth America marketsare large, yet poised for

    slower growth

    Historic Growth (2006-11 CAGR)

    ForecastGrowth(2011-16CAGR)

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    Regulatory Environment

    MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES

    Key regulatory issues to consider:

    Ingredients/Product Composition (e.g. Western Europe)

    Labeling and Marketing Claims

    Packaging Standards

    Product Documentation and/or Registration

    Trademark/Copyright laws (e.g. China, India)

    Other Market Access Considerations: Tariffs, Taxes& Free Trade Agreements

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    Retailing Environment

    MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES

    0%

    10%20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Asia-Pacific Australasia E Europe LatinAmerica

    Middle East& Africa

    N America W Europe

    Retai

    lChannelShare(2011U

    S$RSP

    value

    ,by

    region) Supermarkets/Hypermarkets

    Discounters

    Small Grocery Retailers

    Confectionery specialists

    Other Grocery Retailers

    Non-Grocery Retailers

    Non-Store Retailing

    Channel TypeNational vs. Regional CoverageProduct Placement

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

    WHERE are confections sold in-market?

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    Competitive Environment

    MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL| COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES

    Concentration/FragmentationLocal vs. Foreign PlayersTotal Number of Players (Saturation)Pricing & Retailer Profiles

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    Asia Pacific Australasia E Europe Latin America Middle East andAfrica

    N America W Europe

    CompanyShare(US$%,2010)

    Player 1

    Player 2

    Player 3

    Player 4

    Player 5

    Kraft

    KraftKraft

    Mars

    Lotte

    MarsKraft

    Mars

    Kraft

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

    Who are the TOP FIVE PLAYERS in each region?

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    Category Sales & Market Trends

    MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES

    Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.

    What PRODUCTS are popular in each region? Are there any current TRENDS?

    36%

    64%71%

    42% 47%57%

    65%55%

    19%

    9%9%

    22% 16%14%

    10%14%

    44%

    27%20%

    37% 37%29% 26% 31%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    AsiaPacific

    Australasia EasternEurope

    LatinAmerica

    MiddleEast andAfrica

    NorthAmerica

    WesternEurope

    WorldCateg

    ory(%

    oftotalconfectionery

    sales

    ,US$RSP

    )

    Chocolate Gum Candy

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    PROJECT OVERVIEW

    WHY EXPORT?MARKET ENTRY

    CONCLUSIONS

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    Key Questions to Ask

    Market Size/Growth: Strategic (go where the $$ is) vs. opportunisticapproach (what makes the most sense for my company/products)?

    Distribution: In-country operations vs. sale to in-countryimporters/distributors vs. use of U.S.-based export agent?

    Retailing: Direct to retailer sales (e.g. Wal-Mart) vs. sell through localdistributors?

    Competition: Go after whitespaces (innovator)vs.

    do what has proven tobe successful for other companies in the past (imitation)?

    Local Tastes: Create a custom product to appeal to local tastes vs.stick to standard format across markets for cost efficiency?

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Again, different approaches will depend on the needs and positioning of your company

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    How to Get There

    OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

    Keep it Simple!

    Start small, focused and realistic

    Go after the low hanging fruit Do what is right for you

    Approach new markets from an opportunisticperspective

    Do not feel that you have to chase the largest orfastest growing markets to succeed

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    Formulating the Plan:Goals/Tactics/Measurements

    Eric RosenbergBryant Christie, Inc.

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    Next Steps Assess the NCAs role

    Review existing NCA services

    Determine industry needs and market opportunities

    Define success

    Define tactics (ISP Workshop)

    Quick wins

    Longer-term strategic shifts

    Final strategic/tactical plan

    INTRODUCTION | MARKET OVERVIEW | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS

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    Thank You

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    Disclaimer:

    Information in this report researched by Euromonitor has been produced by Euromonitor

    International Ltd (Euromonitor) solely for its client the National Confectioners Association.Euromonitor does not have any control over the particular purpose(s) for which itsinformation or intelligence is used. Euromonitor has agreed to permit the reproduction ofEuromonitors report on condition that Euromonitor disclaims and excludes any and allliability (whether arising in contract, tort or otherwise) for any loss of any nature suffered byany party as a direct or indirect result of any error in or omission from the report, as a direct

    or indirect result of the use of any of the report or of making any business decision, orrefraining from making any such decision, in reliance or based wholly or partly on any data,expression of opinion, statement or other information or data contained in the report.