international beverage plan update
TRANSCRIPT
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NCA International Strategic PlanUpdate
A custom report compiled by Euromonitor Internationalfor the National Confectioners Association (NCA)
January-February 2012
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Welcome & Introduction
Karen HoranSenior Director of International Trade ServicesNational Confectioners Association
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International Strategic Plan (ISP)Objectives & Deliverables
Frank AmatoChairman of International Development Committee
Director of International Development Just Born, Inc.
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ISP Objectives
Determine the needs and objectives of NCAs members regarding
International Business Development
Define global market dynamics of the confectionery industry
Highlight opportunistic regions and/or markets, and recommendspecific strategies and tactics to generate a long-term increase ofU.S. confectionery exports
Define toolbox currently utilized by members and identify key gaps
Review NCAs role in supporting international development andmodify as necessary to better support members objectives
Enhance NCAs core international focus while addressing
constraints that U.S. confectionery companies face
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ISP Key Deliverables
Guide NCAs International Strategic Direction
To produce a clearly defined Unified Export Strategy that will addvalue to member companies, both large and small
To develop a plan that will positively enhance members
opportunities to participate and thrive in international markets
Define how the NCA can best support members interested indeveloping or supporting an export or international business
Clearly defined NCA toolbox, inclusive of data, tactics, strategies,resources, etc.
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Preliminary Research Findings& Market Entry Considerations
Zandi Brehmer & Heather PrekopConsulting Group
Euromonitor International
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Research Update
PROJECT OVERVIEW
MARKET OVERVIEW:
WHY EXPORT?
PRELIMINARY FINDINGS:
KEY MARKET ENTRY CONSIDERATIONS
CONCLUSIONS
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Project Methodology
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Evaluate CurrentSituation & Needs
Qualitative Interviews
Market Entry evaluatecurrent export activities ofNCA members (large andsmall)
NCA Services understandcurrent tools/services utilizedby members
ProvideRecommendations
April Workshop
Market Entry identify keyquestions as well as broadstrategies for NCA membersto consider when enteringnew markets
NCA Services recommendmodifications as necessary tobetter support membersobjectives and establishinternational role
Gain Further
Insights
Quantitative Surveys
Market Entry betterunderstand global marketdynamics and member needs
NCA Services reviewNCAs role in supporting
members and identify keygaps in services/support
1 2 3
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Oct 31, 2011 Project Kick-off
Nov Jan Qualitative Interviews
Jan 31 Feb 1 ISM Presentation of Preliminary Findings
Jan 24 Feb Quantitative Interviews
Feb March Final Analysis and Validation
Feb March Incorporation of Tactical Piece
April ISP Workshop Presentation of Final Strategic Findings
June Final Report Tactical Recommendations
OVERVIEW| WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Project Timeline
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PROJECT OVERVIEW
WHY EXPORT?MARKET ENTRY
CONCLUSIONS
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Global Confectionery
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
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4 Cases for U.S. Export
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Go where the growth is look at actual dollar sales
Go where the growth is look at volume consumption
U.S. sales wont cut it represents shrinking slice of the pie
Just because you are small doesnt mean you cant think global
1
2
3
4
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2.1%
3.0%
2.0%
1.9%
3.6%
5.5%
1.4%1.0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
CAGRGro
th
ActualValueGrowth(Tonnes)
VALUE GROWTH For U.S. Is Below Global Average (2011-16)
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Actual Growth
% Growth
TOTAL CONFECTIONERY GROWTH (% and Actual)
Global Average
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1.8%
3.9%
1.2%
2.1%
2.9%
4.4%
-0.8%
0.5%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
%
CAGRGrowth
ActualVolumeGrowth(To
nnes)
VOLUME GROWTH Actually Declining In The U.S. (2011-16)Actual Growth
% Growth
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
TOTAL CONFECTIONERY GROWTH (% and Actual)
Global Average
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Emerging Regions STEALING SHARE From Developed Markets
35%
22%
16%
10%
11%
4% 2%
Retail Values: 2001
Western EuropeNorth America
Asia Pacific
Latin America
Eastern Europe
ME/Africa
Australasia
32%
20%17%
13%
12%
4% 2%
Retail Values: 2011
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
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Significant OPPORTUNITIES REMAIN For Companies Of All Sizes
46%
4%
50%
Top 5
Private Label
Everyone Else
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Global Confectionary Companies(2011, US$ value sales)
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
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PROJECT OVERVIEW
WHY EXPORT?MARKET ENTRY
CONCLUSIONS
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Preliminary Findings
OVERVIEW| WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Member needs & focus vary greatly
The right approach to exporting differs based on level ofexperience, size of company & type of product offered
NCA role should be broad and educational
Develop general export guidelines/factors to consider formembers looking to enter new markets
Provide foundational resources rather than specific tactics
No one size fits all; teach members how to find the rightapproach for their organization
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Market Entry Points to Consider
OVERVIEW| WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
MARKET SIZE
MARKET GROWTH
REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
RETAILING ENVIRONMENT
COMPETITION
LOCAL TASTES
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MARKET SIZE (Value)
MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES
How DEVELOPED is the current market?
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
31
.9
4.4 2
1.6
24
.9
8.0
36
.1
58.6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Asia-Pacific Australasia E Europe LatinAmerica
Middle East& Africa
N America W Europe
2011MarketSize(US$RSP,
billion)
Country 2011
USA 32.3
UK 12.8
Brazil 12.5Germany 12.2
Russia 11.8
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MARKET GROWTH (Value)
MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES
5.2
4.1
8.7
10.7 10.9
2.92.3
3.0
2.0 1.9
3.6
5.5
1.4 1.0
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Asia-Pacific Australasia E Europe LatinAmerica
Middle East& Africa
N America W Europe
CAGRGrow
th%
Historic CAGR (2006-11) Forecast CAGR (2011-16)
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
Which regions are GROWING?
Country2011-16
CAGR
India 13.9%
Peru 5.2%
Indonesia 4.9%Brazil 4.5%
Saudi Arabia 4.5%
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0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
-2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%
Identify Hot Spots (Value)
MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES Western Europe North America Latin America Asia Pacific Australasia Eastern Europe Middle East & AfricaoChocolate
oCandy
oGum
Middle East & Africagum expected to growfastest over forecast
period (11.5%)
Latin America (andEastern Europe)chocolate well
positioned for growth
Asia-Pacific marketsare sizable, withmoderate growth
Western Europe andNorth America marketsare large, yet poised for
slower growth
Historic Growth (2006-11 CAGR)
ForecastGrowth(2011-16CAGR)
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Regulatory Environment
MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES
Key regulatory issues to consider:
Ingredients/Product Composition (e.g. Western Europe)
Labeling and Marketing Claims
Packaging Standards
Product Documentation and/or Registration
Trademark/Copyright laws (e.g. China, India)
Other Market Access Considerations: Tariffs, Taxes& Free Trade Agreements
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Retailing Environment
MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES
0%
10%20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Asia-Pacific Australasia E Europe LatinAmerica
Middle East& Africa
N America W Europe
Retai
lChannelShare(2011U
S$RSP
value
,by
region) Supermarkets/Hypermarkets
Discounters
Small Grocery Retailers
Confectionery specialists
Other Grocery Retailers
Non-Grocery Retailers
Non-Store Retailing
Channel TypeNational vs. Regional CoverageProduct Placement
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
WHERE are confections sold in-market?
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Competitive Environment
MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL| COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES
Concentration/FragmentationLocal vs. Foreign PlayersTotal Number of Players (Saturation)Pricing & Retailer Profiles
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Asia Pacific Australasia E Europe Latin America Middle East andAfrica
N America W Europe
CompanyShare(US$%,2010)
Player 1
Player 2
Player 3
Player 4
Player 5
Kraft
KraftKraft
Mars
Lotte
MarsKraft
Mars
Kraft
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
Who are the TOP FIVE PLAYERS in each region?
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Category Sales & Market Trends
MARKET ENTRY: MARKET SIZE & GROWTH | REGULATORY | RETAIL | COMPETITION | LOCAL TASTES
Source: Euromonitor Data, 2011.
What PRODUCTS are popular in each region? Are there any current TRENDS?
36%
64%71%
42% 47%57%
65%55%
19%
9%9%
22% 16%14%
10%14%
44%
27%20%
37% 37%29% 26% 31%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
AsiaPacific
Australasia EasternEurope
LatinAmerica
MiddleEast andAfrica
NorthAmerica
WesternEurope
WorldCateg
ory(%
oftotalconfectionery
sales
,US$RSP
)
Chocolate Gum Candy
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PROJECT OVERVIEW
WHY EXPORT?MARKET ENTRY
CONCLUSIONS
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Key Questions to Ask
Market Size/Growth: Strategic (go where the $$ is) vs. opportunisticapproach (what makes the most sense for my company/products)?
Distribution: In-country operations vs. sale to in-countryimporters/distributors vs. use of U.S.-based export agent?
Retailing: Direct to retailer sales (e.g. Wal-Mart) vs. sell through localdistributors?
Competition: Go after whitespaces (innovator)vs.
do what has proven tobe successful for other companies in the past (imitation)?
Local Tastes: Create a custom product to appeal to local tastes vs.stick to standard format across markets for cost efficiency?
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Again, different approaches will depend on the needs and positioning of your company
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How to Get There
OVERVIEW | WHY EXPORT? | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
Keep it Simple!
Start small, focused and realistic
Go after the low hanging fruit Do what is right for you
Approach new markets from an opportunisticperspective
Do not feel that you have to chase the largest orfastest growing markets to succeed
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Formulating the Plan:Goals/Tactics/Measurements
Eric RosenbergBryant Christie, Inc.
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Next Steps Assess the NCAs role
Review existing NCA services
Determine industry needs and market opportunities
Define success
Define tactics (ISP Workshop)
Quick wins
Longer-term strategic shifts
Final strategic/tactical plan
INTRODUCTION | MARKET OVERVIEW | MARKET ENTRY | CONCLUSIONS
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Thank You
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Disclaimer:
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or indirect result of the use of any of the report or of making any business decision, orrefraining from making any such decision, in reliance or based wholly or partly on any data,expression of opinion, statement or other information or data contained in the report.