international banking - final presentation - nov - 15 - 09

“A feasibility report”

WESTPAC BANK’S POTENTIAL ENTRY

INTO PAKISTAN

Group Members:Awais Ahmed MemonShaikh Faizan AhmedSyed Anser AhmedSyed ImranRavi Kumar

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Introduction of Westpac

HISTORY

BACKGROUND TO OUR BEGINNINGS

FIRST PREMISES


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VISION AND VALUES

Vision

Purpose

Values

Ambition


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OVERVIEW OF AUSTRALIA’S ECONOMY

Australia has an enviable, strong economy with a per capita GDP on par with the four dominant West European economies

Business and consumer confidence and high export prices for raw materials and agricultural products economy in recent years


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Remains relatively healthy despite falling export commodity prices.

• The government plans to counter slowing growth in 2009 with fiscal stimulus efforts.


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WESTPAC BUSINESS PORTFOLIO

Westpac Retail and Business Banking

St.George Bank

BT Financial Group New Zealand

Westpac Institutional Bank

Westpac New Zealand


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THE STATE OF THE PAKISTANI ECONOMY

OVERVIEW Performance of the country would remain weak in

FY09.

Massive deterioration in external accounts, and declining industrial output.

Government focused on restoring macroeconomic stability, and entered into a Stand By Arrangement (SBA) with the IMF in support of its reform program.


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Inflation began to was maintained with the fiscal deficit being reported to be 3.1 percent of GDP

Major macroeconomic indicators weaknesses which, if not addressed, could hamper economic recovery.

The downtrend in inflation owes to both, favorable international and domestic developments, as well as a deceleration in domestic demand


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The weakness in demand pressures amid fiscal prudence, lagged impact of relatively lower international commodity prices

To support industry and particularly the export-oriented sectors, that were pressured by the impact of the global recession

As a result of this, SBP projections suggest that deceleration in inflation will be much sharper in the next few months.


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The growth in tax collections has already slowed, and may decline further in Q4-FY09

The government’s expenditure budget will also be stretched by the ongoing war on terror

It is important to stress the “improvement” in the fiscal picture as a result of the sharp cut on development spending is neither sustainable nor desirable.


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It is crucial that the government increase its spending on health, education, and strengthening social safety nets.

Flows under financial and capital accounts are relatively lower compared with the preceding years, causing a rise in overall external account deficit


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Finally, a practical solution is to enhance productivity in the medium term


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THE STATE OF THE PAKISTANI BANKING SRECTOR

Complete transformation of the banking industry, supported by privatization and restructuring and market oriented policies.

A significant majority are unable to access even the simplest financial services, meaning that they pay more to manage their money.

The domestic liquidity condition, as a result of slowdown in domestic credit requirements by the government


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The impact of improvement in demand pressures on rupee liquidity is quite visible from the softening of market interest rates.

The overall deposits mobilization by banks remained weak during July-Mar FY09.


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LENDING BEHAVIOR OF BANKS

During the initial months of FY09, not only the demand for private sector was strong, banks were also willing to extend credit to the private sector.

With continued decline in deposit growth, rupee liquidity in the inter-bank market started drying up – this was also reflected in falling banks


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Liquidity conditions worsened further following an abrupt and heavy withdrawal of deposits from the banking system

Concerns on quality of credit began to surface

Banks used to assess collateral value more, which includes inventories and fixed assets, and less importance was given to the cash flows of corporates.


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The resulting availability of loanable funds with banks permitted the government to sharply increase its financing of the deficit through scheduled banks.

The group-wise analysis of incremental advances by banks suggests that the slowdown in private sector credit since September 2008


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FOCUS ON BANKING BUSINESS

SBP wants banks to strengthen their business activities so that significant progress made in recent years is consolidated

Strong capital adequacy along with profitability indicators

Improvement in economic indicators in the recent months due to implementation of macroeconomic stabilization


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IMPROVING COMPETITION IN THE BANKING SECTOR

The emergence of normal size banks

Allowing the entry of strong foreign bank

Establishing Islamic Banks parallel to conventional banks are some of the key steps to promote competition and inclusive finance


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CREATING A LEVEL PLAYING FIELD

Significantly changed the incidence of minimum capital requirements for small-medium size banks.

Small size banks in the wake of losses stemming from cyclical downturn in economic activities


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The small/medium size banks are in expansion phase as data on number of branches for CY08.

The small and medium size banks have attracted larger number of personnel in line with their expanding business activities.


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ASSUMPTIONS

Westpac’s strategy is to enter the Pakistani market as a corporate banking entity.

In the fourth year of operations Westpac will go under the expansion process by introducing two more branches and entering into the retail business

Westpac will initially start off with a network of five branches and a head office


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We expect our advances to grow by an average of 18% annually. While deposits on the other hand are expected to grow at a rate of 32% annually.

WestPac will be bringing in AUD 103 Million as paid up capital which is equivalent to PKR 8 Billion.


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MARKETING FEASIBILITY

FIRST YEAR OF OPERATIONS

Industry expertise


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COMPREHENSIVE RANGE OF FINANCIAL OPTIONS

Bilateral and syndicated loan facilities.

Leasing products

Project and structured debt

Leveraged and Acquisition finance


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SECOND YEAR OF OPERATIONS

HOME LOANS

PERSONAL LOANSUNSECURED SECURED

CREDIT CARDS

BUSINESS LOANS


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BANK ACCOUNTS

BUSINESS

PERSONAL


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THIRD YEAR OF OPERATIONS

CAR LOANFixed rate car loans for the life of the loan Financing of all brand new locally assembled vehicles

and used cars.Financing limit ranging between Rs. 200,000/- to Rs.

2000,000/- for brand new cars.


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SWOT ANALYSIS OF WESTPAC

STRENGTHSAdvanced InfrastructureFriendly Staff24 hrs. Banking servicesDIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO


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WEAKNESSES

High Bank Service Charges

Less Credit Period


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OPPORTUNITIES

Bank –Insurance services

Associate with social cause


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THREATS

Competition

Net Services

Decentralized Management


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SWOT ANALYSIS OF PAKISTAN

STRENGTHSCompared favorably on growthChanges in policyStrengthen in the sectorExtensive reach


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WEAKNESSES

Old private sector

Need to fundamentally strengthen institutional skill levels


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OPPORTUNITIES

Demographic shifts

New private banks could reach the next level of their growth


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THREATS

Political instability

Rise in inflation


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PROMOTIONAL STRATEGY

Divided into various phases

Kiosk activation

MAUs (Mobile activations units)


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OPERATIONAL FEASIBILITY


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OFFICE LOCATIONS

Initially opening five branches in the different areas of Karachi:

North Nazimabad Chundrigar Road Gulshan-e-Iqbal Saddar Shahrae-faisal


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Fourth year we are planning to expand our business

Commercial and business hub

Potential of customer base


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RISKS

Market risk

Political instability

Forex risk


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INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND WESTPAC

Computerized banking system

Westpac chose the ACI solution to strengthen its fraud detection

Technological innovation


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FINANCIALS


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COST FOR OPERATIONS


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CONTINUED


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CONTINUED..


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Projected Statements

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow Statement

NPV-IRR


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CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

Best bank in 2007

In Pakistan, Westpac realizes IRR of 6% and NPV of 11,219780

Westpac can introduce new products as initially we are launching selective products in Pakistan


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We do have an option to go public in 5th year of our operations

Based on the report, we highly recommend the entry of Westpac in Pakistan


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THE END

THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME!

international banking - final presentation - nov - 15 - 09

Education