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International Air Transport Association and Alternative Aviation Fuels Jorin Mamen, IATA Consultant Alternative Fuels 2 nd UTIAS-MITACS Int’l Workshop on Aviation and Climate Change May 27-28 2010

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1

International Air Transport Association and

Alternative Aviation Fuels

Jorin Mamen, IATA Consultant Alternative Fuels

2nd UTIAS-MITACS Int’l Workshop on Aviation and Climate ChangeMay 27-28 2010

2

About IATARepresents 230 airlines, 93% of airlines worldwideMission is to represent, lead and serve the airline industryTasks:

Safety procedures and auditsData analysis on various aspects of airlinesGuidance materialsAssigns airport and airline codesAccredits travel agentsClearing house for international flightsTraining and development, etc.

3

Aviation EmissionsIn 2008, commercial aviation consumed 71 billion USG of fuel

4

Four-Pillar Environmental StrategyTechnology

Investing in technologyOperations

Improving operational efficiencyInfrastructure

Building and improving efficient infrastructureEconomics

Carbon offsets, emissions trading

5

Emissions Reduction Roadmap

2005 20502020

No action

2030 2040

-50% by 2050

CO2emissions

2010

Business as usual emissionsGross emissions trajectory

(schematic)

650 MT

62005 20502020

TechOpsInfra

No action

2030 2040

-50% by 2050

CO2emissions

2010

Business as usual emissionsKnown technology, operations and infrastructure measuresCarbon-neutral growth 2020Gross emissions trajectory

CNG 2020

(schematic)

72005 20502020

TechOpsInfra

No action

CNG 2020

2030 2040

-50% by 2050

CO2emissions

2010

Business as usual emissionsKnown technology, operations and infrastructure measuresBiofuels and additional technologyCarbon-neutral growth 2020Gross emissions trajectoryEconomic measures

Biofuels + add. Tech

(schematic)

8

IATA Report on Alternative FuelsReleased annually - 5th edition in 2010

Available free on line

Summarizes advances in aviation biofuels

Input / updates from industry stakeholders

9

IATA Report on Alternative FuelsTopicsProduction processes

Emissions

Sustainability

Economics

Specifications

Flight Trials

10

What Are Aviation Biofuels?Fuels that resemble typical jet fuel

Dozens of varieties

Extremely strict standards for properties such as:DensityFreeze pointFlash pointEtc.

11

Renewable Sources

Plant matterVegetable oilsAnimal fatsAlgae

12

3rd Quarter 2010Hydrogen treatment

Conventional oil crops, Camelina, Jatropha, Halophytes, Algae

HydroprocessedRenewable Jet (HRJ)

Fermentation

Gasification/Fischer-Tropsch

Process

2011+SugarsFermented Renewable Jet (FRJ)

Attained 2009Energy crops, forestry residues, municipal waste

Biomass-to-Liquid (BTL)

CertificationEnergy Source

Fuels from Renewable Sources

13

Jet Fuels Must Be CertifiedASTM D1655 – US standard for jet fuel

Def Stan 91/91 – UK Military Standard

AFQRJOS – EU Civilian Fuel Quality Requirement

Others (Russian, etc.)

14

15

Alternative Fuel Test Flight Program

50% one engineCamelina23 Nov 2009GE, Honeywell UOPB747-400

50% one engineAlgae and Jatropha

7 Jan 2009Boeing,GE Aviation,CFM, Honeywell UOP

B737-800

BlendAlt FuelDatePartnersAircraftCarrier

Gas to liquid(not biofuel)

Gas to liquid(not biofuel)

Camelina, Jatropha, Algae blend

Jatropha

Coconut & Babassu

20% one engine23 Feb 2008Boeing, GE AviationB747-400

40% two engines30 April 2010RentechA319

50% four engines12 Oct 2009Airbus, ShellA340-600

50% one engine30 Jan 2009Boeing,Pratt & Whitney,Honeywell UOP

B747-300

50% one engine30 Dec 2008Boeing,Rolls-Royce

B747-400

16

Scheduled Alternative Fuel Flights

TBCSalicornia2011CFM, Safran, EADS, Airbus, Honeywell

A320

BlendAlt fuelDatePartnersAircraftCarrier

Sugars

TBC

Jatropha TBC2H 2010Airbus, CFMA320

TBC1H 2012Embraer, Amyris, GEE190

TBC2010Airbus, IAE, Honeywell

A320

17

BioJet Uptake Scenarios

Source: E4tech0%

10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Proportion of jet demand

High

Central (high)

Central (low)

Low

Very low

18 Source: IEA

Impact on production costs of each doubling of capacity-30

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

GTCCpower

(1991-97)

Gasturbines(1958-63)

Solar PV(1968-98)

Ethanol(1979-95)

Coal(1975-93)

Windturbine

(1990-98)

Nuclearpower

(1975-93)

% c

ost r

educ

tion

19Source: IATA, IEA, various biofuel studies

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

US$

per

litr

e

BTL cost

BTL cost

HRJ cost

Jet kerosene

Jet + costof carbon

HRJ cost

20

AVIATION BIOFUELS

LAND USE

FOOD CROPS

FRESH WATER

ENERGY USE

AVIATION BIOFUELS

IATA working with Roundtable on Sustainable Biofuels

Sustainability pressures

21

What Is IATA Working On?

2010 Report on Alternative FuelsGuidance materials for airportsDatabase of biofuel producersNew reporting procedures for biofuel useNew model aviation fuel purchase agreements for biofuelIATA Fuel Forum

22

The Way Forward

Agree to common sustainability standardsAgree to common carbon lifecycle calculationsDemonstrate airline demandIncrease crop yieldsScale up production capacitySupport from governments

R&DDemonstration plantsCommercialization/implementation

Questions?

Jorin [email protected]