interim results presentation for the six months … · environment, low confidence and strained...

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INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2019 18 MARCH 2020

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Page 1: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 201918 MARCH 2020

Page 2: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

PRESENTERS

AG

EN

DA 1 SALIENT FEATURES Jannie Durand

2 SETTING THE SCENE Jannie Durand

3 STRATEGY Jannie Durand

4 EXECUTING ON STRATEGYJannie Durand

Pieter Uys

5 INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES Jannie Durand

6 RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD Neville Williams

Jannie Durand

(CEO)

Neville Williams

(CFO)

Pieter Uys

(Strategic Investments)

Page 3: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

SALIENT FEATURES

Page 4: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

4

SALIENT FEATURES

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

Headline earnings measures (Rand)

Headline earnings per share (HEPS) 7.51 7.52 0.2

HEPS excl. option remeasurement 7.51 7.33 2.4

Interim dividend (Rand) 2.15 2.15 0.0

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

Intrinsic net asset value per share (Rand) 240.93 233.03 3.4

Closing share price (Rand) 195.00 187.90 3.8

Discount to intrinsic value 19.1% 19.4% (30bps)

SALIENT FEATURES

Page 5: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

5

HEADLINE EARNINGS EXCL. OPTION REMEASUREMENT

R millionSix months

31 Dec 2019Six months

31 Dec 2018 % change

Reported headline earnings 4 242 4 259 0.4

Adjusted for:

Option remeasurement (1) (106)

Headline earnings excl. option remeasurement 4 241 4 153 2.1

Weighted number of issued shares (million) 565.0 566.3 0.2

HEPS excl. option remeasurement (Rand) 7.51 7.33 2.4

SALIENT FEATURES

Page 6: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

SETTING THE SCENE

Page 7: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

77

MACRO OUTLOOK

SETTING THE SCENE

SUBDUED GROWTH OUTLOOK REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT REMGRO INVESTMENTS

Deteriorating

South African GDP

growth

environment, low

confidence and

strained 2020

outlook

Precarious fiscal

position and

worsening debt

profile with ratings

downgrade risk

February Budget

Review provided

positive proposals

Vulnerability to

slowdown in global

economic activity.

Oil price volatility

and extent of

Coronavirus

impact remain

concerns

Economic

structural reform

progress remains

lackluster

Unreliable energy

provision

FRAGILE GROWTH OUTLOOK

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88

REGULATORY DEVELOPMENTS

SETTING THE SCENE

SUBDUED GROWTH OUTLOOK REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT REMGRO INVESTMENTS

National Credit

Amendment Bill

National Health

Insurance Bill

Health Market

Inquiry

Health Promotion

Levy (sugar tax)

Land Reform

Page 9: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

99

REMGRO INTO THE NEXT DECADE

SETTING THE SCENE

SUBDUED GROWTH OUTLOOK REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT REMGRO INVESTMENTS

Underlying

investments

focused on

navigating current

global storms

Resilient brands

and offerings

Reset, regrow,

repeat

Page 10: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

STRATEGY

Page 11: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

1111

INVESTMENT STRATEGY (CAPITAL ALLOCATORS)

STRATEGY

ACQUIRE HOLD DISPOSE/UNBUNDLE

• Significant contribution to Remgro’s

earnings

• Value over the long term

• Significant influence and Board

representation are integral

• No value to be added

• Maturity profile of business

• Risk profile has changed

• Strategic reasons

Prevailing culture

and ethics of the Board

and management team

Expected return

on investment

> Remgro’s internal

hurdle rate

Environmental

footprint of the

enterprise

Viability of products

and services and

their life cycles

Social responsibility

awareness of the

enterprise

Barriers

to entry

Financial

services

Consumer

products

Healthcare

Infrastructure

Page 12: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

EXECUTINGON STRATEGY

Page 13: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

HISTORY

71 YEARS OF DOING BUSINESS | MAJOR BUSINESS DEVELOPMENTS

1940sRembrandt

(now Remgro)

incorporated

1950sRembrandt

listed on the

JSE in 1956

1970sOverseas tobacco

interests

consolidated in

Rothmans

International.

Expanded interests

into various other

sectors

1990sCo-founded

Vodacom

2008BAT

unbundled

2019Intention to

unbundle

RMH/FirstRand

in full/part

announced

1980sSeparated local

and overseas

interests with

founding of

Compagnie

Financière

Richemont AG

2009Remgro

and VenFin

merged

2012Implats

unbundled

2001Exchanged

interests in Billiton

and Gold Fields

with Anglo

American and

De Beers for

FirstRand shares

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

2000Rembrandt

restructured

into Remgro

and VenFin

13

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14

INVESTMENT IN RMH/FIRSTRAND SINCE JANUARY 2001

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

Total shareholder return from 1 January 2001 to 16 March 2020

-200

300

800

1 300

1 800

2 300

2 800

Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

BHP Group Gold Fields Limited FirstRand Limited

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1515

RATIONALE FOR UNBUNDLING

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

MULTIPLE ENTRY POINTS INVESTMENT LIFE CYCLE STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS

Improve scarcity factor of the Remgro

portfolio

Multiple listed entry points

Rebalance the maturity profile of the

Remgro portfolio

Mix of early stage high-growth

businesses and more mature stable

businesses

FirstRand developed into large, mature,

independent business

Unlock value over the long term

Remgro’s role as a “strategic enabler” to

undertake transformational strategies

Enable greater impact of earlier life-

cycle businesses

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1616

STRATEGIC PRIORITIES | KEY ISSUES

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

MEDICLINIC

• Investment case for long-term value creation

• Unified focus

• Recent relative performance against peers

• Growing across the healthcare continuum and adapting the business to the regulatory changes affecting the Swiss

healthcare system

Share price performance from 1 July 2019 to 16 March 2020

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20

Mediclinic (LSE) (9.7%) Mediclinic (JSE) 2.2% Life Healthcare (7.3%) NMC Health (62.7%) at suspension Spire Healthcare (37.3%) Netcare (7.9%)

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1717

STRATEGIC PRIORITIES | KEY ISSUES

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

RCL FOODS

• Sugar and Chicken industries are in severe distress due to long-term structural supply-demand imbalances

• Master plans in various stages of development – chicken import tariff increase announced on 13 March 2020

• RCL seeks to

• help stabilise the industry and find appropriate long-term solutions

• build its food platform in value-added segments

Sugar Master Plan Chicken Master Plan

The industry is participating in developing a Sugar Master

Plan under the guidance of the Department of Trade and

Industry (DTI), government agencies, downstream users,

retailers and labour to urgently stabilise the industry.

Page 18: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

HISTORY

CIVH | HISTORY

2007Dark Fibre

Africa (DFA)

founded

2009Pretoria-

Mtunzini long

haul route

20101 000 km of DFA-

network rolled out

2014First

aggregation

node of DFA

built.

Expand into

FTTB: acquire

Conduct

201710 000 km of

DFA-network

rolled out.

VumaCam

founded

2019Completion of

Vumatel acquisition.

Launch Emerging

Markets FTTH

(Vuma Reach) in

Mitchells Plain

2012Cape Town –

Yzerfontein

long haul

completed

2018Sqwidnet

network

covers 90% of

population

2016Sqwidnet

founded

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

2014Vumatel

founded

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1919

CIVH | FIBRE INFRASTRUCTURE

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

• Fibre network of scale across key metros

• Open access wholesale business model

• 29 300 km of fibre owned and operated

• Highly visible and recurring cash flows

FTTB Enterprise connectivity

• High bandwidth connectivity service to customers

• Focused on layer 1 infrastructure and layer 2 managed

connectivity services

• Long-term contracts with average remaining term of

6 years

FTTH residential connectivity

• Connecting thousands of homes across key metros

through a 100% fibre network

• Emerging market roll-out into areas with lower household

income levels

• Growth in demand for bandwidth driving uptake

• More than 11 500 mobile base stations connected

• 690 000 homes and businesses passed

• 240 000 homes and businesses connected

• Low customer churn (<1%)

Page 20: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

2020

CIVH | CAPITAL STRUCTURE

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

Debt restructure

• Balance sheet restructure required following completion

of Vumatel acquisition

• Debt refinancing and restructure completed during

December 2019

• Optimal consolidated debt package

• Debt facility capacity of up to R18 billion, depending on

group EBITDA and covenant levels

Primary Equity raise

• Targeting up to R6bn of primary capital from black fund

manager

• Reducing debt at holding company level incurred to part

fund Vumatel acquisition

• Have capital available for funding of network rollout

The capital structure changes provide CIVH with sufficient funding to execute on its planned extension of the fibre networks

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21

CIVH | OPPORTUNITIES

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

Internet of

Things (IoT)

Data Centres

High Growth

Ventures

Tower

Infrastructure

WOAN

FTTT(Long Haul & Metro Fibre)

FTTB FTTH

Page 22: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES

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23

INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2019

INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES

FIRSTRAND/RMH MILESTONE CHINA INVENFIN

• On 19 November 2019 (renewed on 7 January 2020 and 18 February 2020) Remgro announced its intention to pursue the

distribution to shareholders, in full or in part, of Remgro’s exposure to FirstRand and RMH.

• In parallel, RMH announced that it had made the strategic decision to restructure the RMH portfolio of assets and liabilities,

which will include the distribution of its shareholding in FirstRand to its shareholders.

• A detailed terms announcement is expected to be released before the end of March 2020.

Page 24: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

24

INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES FOR THE SIX MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2019

INVESTMENT ACTIVITIES

FIRSTRAND/RMH MILESTONE CHINA INVENFIN

• Remgro invested a further US$1 million in Milestone III and received distributions of US$40 million, thereby increasing its

cumulative investment to US$98 million and cumulative distributions received to US$65 million.

• As at 31 December 2019 the fair value of Remgro’s investment in Milestone III amounted to US$78 million and the

remaining commitment amounted to US$1 million, resulting in an IRR > 7% in US$ terms and 1.4x money back.

• Invenfin invested a further R56 million in Bos Brands, thereby increasing its cumulative investment in Bos Brands to

R379 million.

Page 25: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

Page 26: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

26

38.0%

14.0%

18.1%

12.5%

8.0%

8.6% 0.8%

34.7%

19.2%

17.5%

11.0%

8.0%

8.6% 1.0%

Intrinsic NAV*

Banking

Healthcare

Consumer products

Insurance

Industrial

Infrastructure

Media and sport

CONTRIBUTION BY PLATFORM

41.0%

14.4%

21.5%

13.4%

9.5%

0.2%

39.1%

18.2%

20.8%

10.7%

10.4%

0.8%

Headline earnings*

*Excluding other investments, treasury and corporate costs

**Infrastructure contributed headline losses for the six months ended 31 December 2019 and 31 December 2018

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

Dec 2019 (outer)**

Dec 2018 (inner)**

Dec 2019 (outer)

Jun 2019 (inner)

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27

BANKING

R million

Headline earnings Intrinsic value

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

RMH 1 290 1 252 3.0 31 971 33 545 (4.7)

FirstRand 548 523 4.8 13 805 15 069 (8.4)

Total 1 838 1 775 3.5 45 776 48 614 (5.8)

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

*Excluding other investments, treasury and corporate costs

39.1%

Contribution to Headline earnings*

34.7%

Contribution to Intrinsic NAV*

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28

HEALTHCARE

R million

Headline earnings Intrinsic value

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

Mediclinic 858 623 37.7 25 290 17 891 41.4

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

18.2%

Contribution to Headline earnings*

19.2%

Contribution to Intrinsic NAV*

*Excluding other investments, treasury and other corporate costs

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29

CONSUMER PRODUCTS

R million

Headline earnings Intrinsic value

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

RCL Foods 359 366 (1.9) 7 454 7 960 (6.4)

Distell 361 375 (3.7) 9 276 9 060 2.4

Entity contribution 384 399 (3.8)

IFRS 3 charge (23) (24) 4.2

Siqalo Foods 257 191 34.6 6 320 6 164 2.5

Entity contribution 297 231 28.6

IFRS 3 charge (40) (40) -

Total 977 932 4.8 23 050 23 184 (0.6)

*Excluding other investments, treasury and corporate costs

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

20.8%

Contribution to Headline earnings*

17.5%

Contribution to Intrinsic NAV*

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30

CONSUMER PRODUCTS | RCL FOODS

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

366

359

340

350

360

370

380

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

1.9%

7 960

7 454

7 200

7 400

7 600

7 800

8 000

Jun 2019 Dec 2019R

mill

ion

Intrinsic value

6.4%

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31

CONSUMER PRODUCTS | DISTELL

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

399

384

370

380

390

400

410

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings*

3.8% 9 060

9 276

8 700

8 900

9 100

9 300

9 500

Jun 2019 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Intrinsic value

2.4%

*Headline earnings excludes IFRS 3 charges

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32

CONSUMER PRODUCTS | SIQALO FOODS

*Headline earnings excludes IFRS 3 charges

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

R millionSix months

31 Dec 2019Six months

31 Dec 2018 % change

Revenue 1 448 1 405 3.1

Operating profit 330 316 4.4

231

297

200

225

250

275

300

325

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings*

6 164

6 320

6000

6100

6200

6300

6400

Jun 2019 Dec 2019R

mill

ion

Intrinsic value

2.5%28.6%

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33

INSURANCE

R million

Headline earnings Intrinsic value

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

RMI 504 582 (13.4) 14 478 15 947 (9.2)

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

10.7%

Contribution to Headline earnings*

11.0%

Contribution to Intrinsic NAV*

*Excluding other investments, treasury and corporate costs

Page 34: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

34

INDUSTRIAL

R million

Headline earnings Intrinsic value

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

Air Products 170 174 (2.3) 4 254 4 264 (0.2)

Total 166 101 64.4 2 900 2 722 6.5

KTH 102 77 32.5 2 169 2 127 2.0

Wispeco 67 52 28.8 741 866 (14.4)

PGSI (17) 8 (312.5) 528 302 74.8

Total 488 412 18.4 10 592 10 281 3.0

*Excluding other investments, treasury and corporate costs

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

10.4%

Contribution to Headline earnings*

8.0%

Contribution to Intrinsic NAV*

Page 35: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

35

INDUSTRIAL | AIR PRODUCTS

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

174

170

160

165

170

175

180

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

4 264

4 254

4 220

4 240

4 260

4 280

4 300

Jun 2019 Dec 2019R

mill

ion

Intrinsic value

0.2%

R millionSix months

30 Sep 2019Six months

30 Sep 2018 % change

Revenue 1 677 1 609 4.2

Operating profit 473 490 (3.5)

2.3%

Page 36: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

36

INDUSTRIAL | TOTAL

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

101

166

20

70

120

170

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

2 722

2 900

2 500

2 600

2 700

2 800

2 900

3 000

Jun 2019 Dec 2019R

mill

ion

Intrinsic value

6.5%

R millionSix months

31 Dec 2019Six months

31 Dec 2018 % change

Revenue 38 679 39 505 (2.1)

Gross profit 2 405 2 298 4.7

Operating profit 898 590 52.2

64.4%

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37

INDUSTRIAL | KTH

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

77

102

60

70

80

90

100

110

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

2 127 2 169

100

600

1 100

1 600

2 100

2 600

Jun 2019 Dec 2019R

mill

ion

Intrinsic value

2.0%32.5%

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38

INDUSTRIAL | WISPECO

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

52

67

30

40

50

60

70

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

866

741

700

750

800

850

900

Jun 2019 Dec 2019R

mill

ion

Intrinsic value

14.4%

R millionSix months

31 Dec 2019Six months

31 Dec 2018 % change

Revenue 1 163 1 222 (4.8)

Operating profit 98 77 27.3

28.8%

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39

INDUSTRIAL | PGSI

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

8

(17)

(20)

(15)

(10)

(5)

0

5

10

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

302

528

100

175

250

325

400

475

550

Jun 2019 Dec 2019R

mill

ion

Intrinsic value

74.8%

R millionSix months

31 Dec 2019Six months

31 Dec 2018 % change

Revenue 2 033 2 238 (9.2)

Operating profit 7 93 (92.5)

312.5%

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40

INFRASTRUCTURE

R million

Headline earnings Intrinsic value

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

Grindrod 41 101 (59.4) 871 1 049 (17.0)

Grindrod Shipping (22) (18) (22.2) 420 292 43.8

SEACOM 9 (1) nm 797 912 (12.6)

CIVH (197) (104) (89.4) 8 945 8 403 6.5

Other (incl. PRIF) 4 2 100.0 279 259 7.7

Total (165) (20) (725.0) 11 312 10 915 3.6

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

nm: not meaningful | *Excluding other investments, treasury and corporate costs

Infrastructure contributed headline losses for the six months ended 31 December 2019 and 31 December 2018

8.6%

Contribution to Intrinsic NAV*

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41

INFRASTRUCTURE | GRINDROD

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

101

41

10

30

50

70

90

110

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

1 049

871

100

300

500

700

900

1 100

Jun 2019 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Intrinsic value

59.4%

17.0%

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42

INFRASTRUCTURE | GRINDROD SHIPPING

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

(18)

(22)

(25)

(20)

(15)

(10)

(5)

0

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

292

420

100

175

250

325

400

475

Jun 2019 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Intrinsic value

22.2%

43.8%

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43

INFRASTRUCTURE | SEACOM

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

(1)

9

(1)

1

3

5

7

9

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

912

797

700

775

850

925

1 000

Jun 2019 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Intrinsic value

nm

12.6%

nm: not meaningful

Page 44: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

44

INFRASTRUCTURE | CIVH FIBRE COMPANY

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

R millionSix months

30 Sep 2019Six months

30 Sep 2018 % change

Revenue 1 745 1 352 29.1

Operating profit 523 297 76.1

(104)

(197)

(220)

(170)

(120)

(70)

(20)

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Headline earnings

8 4038 945

1 000

3 000

5 000

7 000

9 000

11 000

Jun 2019 Dec 2019R

mill

ion

Intrinsic value

6.5%

89.4%

Page 45: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

45

MEDIA AND SPORT

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

R million

Headline earnings Intrinsic value

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

eMedia Investments 36 11 227.3 1 005 773 30.0

Other - (3) 100.0 277 267 3.7

Total 36 8 350.0 1 282 1 040 23.3

0.8%

Contribution to Headline earnings*

*Excluding other investments, treasury and corporate costs

Contribution to Intrinsic NAV*

1.0%

Page 46: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

46

OTHER INVESTMENTS, TREASURY AND CORPORATE COSTS

R million

Headline earnings Intrinsic value

Six months31 Dec 2019

Six months31 Dec 2018 % change

As at31 Dec 2019

As at30 Jun 2019 % change

Other investments 1 15 (93.3) 4 386 4 795 (8.5)

Central treasury

- Finance income/cash 276 397 (30.5) 16 675 15 727 6.0

Central treasury

- Finance costs/debt (478) (459) (4.1) (14 222) (13 919) (2.2)

Other net corporate

costs/assets (94) (112) 16.1 2 425 2 499 (3.0)

Total (295) (159) (85.5) 9 264 9 102 1.8

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

Page 47: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

47

SUMMARY OF INTRINSIC NET ASSET VALUE – MATERIAL INVESTMENTS

R millionAs at

31 Dec 2019As at

30 Jun 2019 % change

RMH and FirstRand 45 776 48 614 (5.8)

Mediclinic 25 290 17 891 41.4

RMI 14 478 15 947 (9.2)

Distell 9 276 9 060 2.4

CIVH 8 945 8 403 6.5

RCL Foods 7 454 7 960 (6.4)

Siqalo Foods 6 320 6 164 2.5

Other smaller investments 21 052 21 127 (0.4)

Net asset value before net cash 138 591 135 166 2.5

Cash at the centre 16 675 15 727 6.0

Debt at the centre (14 222) (13 919) (2.2)

Intrinsic NAV before CGT 141 044 136 974 3.0

Potential CGT liability (4 927) (5 327) 7.5

Intrinsic NAV after CGT 136 117 131 647 3.4

Shares in issue (million) 565.0 564.9 0.0

Intrinsic NAV per share (Rand) 240.93 233.03 3.4

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

Page 48: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

4848

SUMMARY OF INTRINSIC NET ASSET VALUE

R millionAs at

16 Mar 2020As at

31 Dec 2019As at

30 June 2019 % change

Discount to intrinsic value 28.1% 19.1% 19.4% (30 bps)

Intrinsic value – after CGT (Rand) 191.35 240.93 233.03 3.4

Closing share price (Rand) 137.56 195.00 187.90 3.8

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

Remgro started trading ex-BAT on 28/10/2008

Discount = 27.7%

Discount @ 30/06/2019 = 19.4%

Discount @ 31/12/2019= 19.1%

Discount @ 16/03/2020= 28.1%

5 500

10 500

15 500

20 500

25 500

30 500

35 500

Oct-

08

May-0

9

Ju

l-09

Oct-

09

Dec-0

9

Mar-

10

Ju

n-1

0

Au

g-1

0

Nov-1

0

Ja

n-1

1

Ap

r-1

1

Ju

n-1

1

Se

p-1

1

Nov-1

1

Feb

-12

Ap

r-1

2

Ju

l-12

Se

p-1

2

Nov-1

2

Feb

-13

May-1

3

Ju

l-13

Se

p-1

3

Dec-1

3

Feb

-14

May-1

4

Ju

l-14

Se

p-1

4

Dec-1

4

Feb

-15

May-1

5

Ju

l-15

Se

p-1

5

Dec-1

5

Feb

-16

May-1

6

Ju

l-16

Se

p-1

6

Dec-1

6

Feb

-17

May-1

7

Ju

l-17

Se

p-1

7

Dec-1

7

Feb

-18

May-1

8

Ju

l-18

Se

p-1

8

Dec-1

8

Feb

-19

May-1

9

Ju

l-19

Oct-

19

Dec-1

9

Feb

-20

Cen

ts

Intrinsic value vs Remgro share price

Remgro share price Intrinsic value per share

As at 16 March 2020 Remgro:- outperformed the ALSI +13.8%- underperformed the FINDI (35%)

As at 31 December 2019 Remgro:- outperformed the ALSI +5.7%- underperformed the FINDI (25.6%)

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Oct-

08

Ja

n-0

9

Ap

r-0

9

Ju

l-09

Oct-

09

Ja

n-1

0

Ap

r-1

0

Ju

l-10

Oct-

10

Ja

n-1

1

Ap

r-1

1

Ju

l-11

Oct-

11

Ja

n-1

2

Ap

r-1

2

Ju

l-12

Oct-

12

Ja

n-1

3

Ap

r-1

3

Ju

l-13

Oct-

13

Ja

n-1

4

Ap

r-1

4

Ju

l-14

Oct-

14

Ja

n-1

5

Ap

r-1

5

Ju

l-15

Oct-

15

Ja

n-1

6

Ap

r-1

6

Ju

l-16

Oct-

16

Ja

n-1

7

Ap

r-1

7

Ju

l-17

Oct-

17

Ja

n-1

8

Ap

r-1

8

Ju

l-18

Oct-

18

Ja

n-1

9

Ap

r-1

9

Ju

l-19

Oct-

19

Ja

n-2

0

Share price performance since BAT unbundling

FINDI ALSI Remgro

Page 49: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

49

CASH AND DEBT AT THE CENTRE

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

R million 30 Jun 2019 % of total 31 Dec 2019

Local cash 9 032 48.1 8 016

Offshore cash 6 695 51.9 8 659

GB£ 356.8m (@ R18.55/GB£) 2 063 39.7 6 619

US$ 142.3m (@ R14.00/US$) 4 550 11.9 1 992

Other 82 0.3 48

Cash at the centre 15 727 100.0 16 675

Debt at the centre (at face value) R million Maturity date

Exchangeable bonds (GB£350m, 2.625% coupon) 6 492 22 Mar 2021

RMB preference shares (7.5%) 3 500 15 Jan 2024

Standard Bank preference shares (8.3%; 16 Mar 2021: 7.8%) 4 366 17 Mar 2025

Total debt at the centre 14 358

Net cash at the centre 2 317

48.4%

39.7%

11.9%

Currency exposureBalance: R16 675m

ZAR GB£ US$

Page 50: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

50

CASH FLOW AT THE CENTRE

2 580

948

610

377 95 (1 972)

(400)

(207)(135)

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

3 500

4 000

Dividendsreceived

Investments soldand loans

repaid*

Interest incomeand other

Exchange raterevaluation ofoffshore cash

Dividends paid Finance costs Corporate costsand taxation

Investmentsmade and loans

advanced

Net cashmovement

R m

illio

n

* The investments sold relate mainly to distributions from Milestone III amounting to US$40m (R592m)

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

Page 51: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

51

DIVIDENDS RECEIVED AT THE CENTRE

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

1 046 1 121

456 479

300

305

161

174 140

160

100

63

73

167

68 77

100 2 410

2 580

-

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

Dec 2018 Dec 2019

R m

illio

n

Other

RCL Foods

Total

Siqalo Foods

Air Products

Distell

RMI

Mediclinic

RMH & FirstRand

+7.1%

+5.0%

+7.2%

Page 52: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

52

CASH DIVIDEND (SUSTAINED)

204 215 215

328349

532564

215

2.6%3.0%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

30 June 2018 30 June 2019 30 June 2020

Ce

nts

Interim dividend Final dividend Total dividend Dividend yield

6.0%

5.4%

6.4%

0.0%

RESULTS FOR THE SIX-MONTH PERIOD

Page 53: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

THANK YOU For more information visit our website

www.remgro.com

Investor Relations contact:Mari [email protected]

Page 54: INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION FOR THE SIX MONTHS … · environment, low confidence and strained 2020 outlook Precarious fiscal position and worsening debt profile with ratings downgrade

54

VALUATION OF UNLISTED INVESTMENTS | IFRS 13 FRAMEWORK

Investment Valuation method 6 month changeForecast and/or

tradability discount

Siqalo Foods Discounted cash flow 2.5% Yes

Total Discounted cash flow 6.5% Yes

Air Products Discounted cash flow (0.2%) Yes

KTH Sum-of-the-parts (external valuation) 2.0% Yes

Wispeco Discounted cash flow (14.4%) Yes

PGSI Discounted cash flow 74.8% Yes

CIVH Discounted cash flow 6.5% Yes

SEACOM Discounted cash flow (12.6%) Yes

eMedia Investments Comparable market price 30.0% No

EXECUTING ON STRATEGY

Factors taken into

consideration in

determining the

unlisted investments’

valuations:

• Growth potential

and risk

• Underlying NAV

• Profit history

• Cash flow projections

• Macroeconomic

factors

• Peer group

performance