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INNOVATING IN AN AGE OF EXPONENTIAL CHANGE
MOVING FROM COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE TO DISRUPTIVE ADVANTAGE
Terry Stuart Partner, Chief Innovation Officer Deloitte Canada February 8th, 2017
Canadian businesses
show higher risk
aversion than the US
Canada has fewer
high growth mature
firms than the US
1 in 3 Canadian
businesses invest below
average for their industry
without knowing
Past research already suggests Canada is vulnerable to disruption
Highly prepared
13%
Single-minded
23%
Unprepared
35%
Tentative
29%
87% of Canadian firms are not fully prepared for disruption from advanced technologies
What do we mean by disruption?
“A process by which a product or service takes root
initially in simple applications at the bottom of a market
and then relentlessly moves up market, eventually
displacing established competitors.”
Clayton Christensen, Author - Innovator’s Dilemma.
Terry Stuart @ C2 Montreal 7
Spotify 6 years to a billion
UBER +2 years
Oculus just over a year
Slack just over a year
Shopify 9 years to a billion
AirBnB 4 years
The speed to $1 billion
The increasingly crowded unicorn club
Time
Op
po
rtu
nit
ies –
New
In
no
vati
on
s
Emergence of new models for customer & channel value
Living in an exponential world
30 linear steps
About 30 yards… … 26 times around the earth
The disruptive nature of exponential growth
30 exponential steps (i.e. 1 + 2 + 4 + 8 + 16 + 32 …)
Advanced Robotics
Artificial Intelligence
Networks and sensors
Advanced Manufacturing
Collaborative Platforms
Change enablers
Virtual / Augmented Reality
Blockchain
Artificial intelligence is displacing
Human workers in professional practices
Watson is an artificially intelligent software built to mirror the same learning process that we use to
inform decisions
14 Go to "Insert" tab in Ribbon to insert Header & Footer
Meet Amelia:
The virtual agent avatar
that can redefine the
future of IT
Networks and sensors enable
companies to deliver a level of customization never before possible
Blue Rover uses the Internet of
Things to provide businesses
with real time analytics
The Industrial Internet
brings together brilliant
machines, advanced
analytics and people to
eliminate any unplanned
downtime
Cheap and advanced sensors
Smart meters
Real time information
BIG data
Machine Learning
Dynamic customer segmentation
Personalized messaging
Better customer experience
Behavioral nudges
Accurate Supply-Demand Forecast
Putting it all together
Advances in robotics are changing how we manufacture goods and
replacing human labour
Robots are coming
HERE and are smaller, safer and can work among us
Meet Navii:
A fully autonomous
Inventory and Customer
Service solution
Advanced/additive manufacturing techniques are changing how products are
made, tested and developed
3D Printing & Construction
There are various technologies that use 3D printing to construct buildings. The process
exponentially speeds up construction, lowers labour costs, and produces less waste.
Real Estate Disruption
Densification: No need to hold inventory, on demand printing
Location Independence: A fundamental disruption of the current supply chain
Affordability: New technology enable more cost effective ways of construction
Potential to impact:
Insurance
Infrastructure
Parking
Real estate
Auto manufacturing
Autonomous Cars
No longer science fiction…formal target dates:
2020 2018 2030 2020 2024
2020 ? 2018 2025
2025
2020 2020
Short term? Longer term?
The impact of electric cars has a material impact on parking
Storage is still a challenge
Public sector: The Civic Innovation Lab
"It is really looking at how as a city we can leverage some of the incubators that we have here, and work with them to find solutions
to municipal problems."
Barry Vrbanovic
We believe effective innovators replace myths with methods
What does this mean for you?
Observable events
Patterns
Trends
System Dynamics
Be explicit
about innovation ambition
1. Look beyond product innovation
2. Drive innovation from deep and unconventional insights
3. Focus on discipline
4.
We believe effective innovators follow 4 important principles
Innovation Ambition matrix
MARKETS &
CU
STO
MERS
70%
20%
10%
PRODUCTS & ASSETS
TRANSFORMATIONAL
ADJACENT
CORE
Building for sustainable breakthroughs
Easier to Implement Bolder Concepts Harder to Copy
Look beyond product innovation
Think Tanks
Influencers
Federal
Provincial
Municipal
Programs
Experts
Clients
Start-Ups
Partners
Vendors / Suppliers
Speak
Host
Sponsor
Attend
Innovative
Companies
Government
Community
Member Firms
Competitors Investment Community
Incubators / Accelerators
Education institutions
Thought
Leaders
Organized Networks Conferences
Media
Engaging an innovation ecosystem
Staying current on new disruptive technologies requires active Ecosystem Management
• How prepared is my organization for this new age of disruption?
• How does my organization build a sustained Innovation Engine?
• Which specific exponential technologies are most likely to disrupt my industry?
• How do I build a continuous sensing organization?
• What Ecosystems does my organization need to build linkages to?
The impact of innovation is a function of the level of courage that we have (and our ability to execute).
By now you should be asking yourself
“All too often we...
...look for someone else to make the difficult choice or pursue the challenging route” ...shy away from making key investments and executing dynamic strategies” ...unwilling to accept short-term challenge for long-term opportunity” ...lack the necessary courage to make bold decisions in the face of uncertainty and risk”
© Deloitte LLP and affiliated entities. 46
Measuring the impact of courage
We designed and deployed a survey that evaluated 1,200 Canadian businesses on the five elements of courage.
A framework was developed to segment the survey respondents by courageousness.
The impact of courage on business outcomes was evaluated using survey questions aimed at measuring respondents’ businesses performance.
We surveyed 1,200 Canadian business leaders and evaluated the level of courage in their organizations.
47 © Deloitte LLP and affiliated entities.
Canadian companies that
can be considered truly
courageous
11%
Canadian companies that are
evolving—they are on the cusp
of courageous
30%
Only one in ten
Canadian businesses is
truly courageous.
Building courage in
evolving firms is critical to
the country’s future
prosperity.
48 © Deloitte LLP and affiliated entities.
Canada
consistently
underinvests
in growth.
We have a
deep-rooted
aversion to
risk.
Projections
of future
growth
are grim.
49 © Deloitte LLP and affiliated entities.
One third of Canadian firms are evolving—these firms are on the cusp and can become courageous if their leaders take action now
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
11%
30%
43%
15%
Fearful Hesitant Evolving Courageous
50 © Deloitte LLP and affiliated entities.
To secure a brighter future for our country, business leaders must make a commitment to cultivating courage in their organizations.
The Constructive Disruptor Experience Roadmap
Schedule a test drive
Get your headset and explore
(Oculus, Vive, Daydream)
Ask Watson a question on TED
Try a personal drone
Watch Westworld
Buy an ecobee3 Thermostat
Buy a Philips Hue
Exponential Organizations by
Salim Ismail
Canada's Age of Disruption Report
Visit: exponentials.xyz
Read
Doblin's Ten Types of Innovation book
BOLD by Peter Diamandis
World Economic Forum: The Future of Financial Services
Watch
Engagement Opportunity
INNOVATION STRATEGY
CAPABILITY BUILDING
DISRUPTION LABS
SENSING PLATFORM
AGILE DELIVERY LABS
INNOVATION JOURNEY
For the first time in Canada, the top speakers from
SingularityU will join Canadian leaders and innovators for
an unforgettable experience.
Singularity University empowers a global
community with the mindset, skillset and network
to create an abundant future.
OCTOBER 10-12, 2017 // TORONTO
SAVE THE DATE
Limited seating available.
Go to SUCanada,org to save your spot
ca.linkedin.com/in/terrysstuart
TERRY STUART Learn more at:
www.exponentials.xyz
Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries and territories, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering the insights they need to address their most complex business challenges. Deloitte’s more than 200,000 professionals are committed to becoming the standard of excellence. Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee (“DTTL”), its network of member firms, and their related entities. DTTL and each of its member firms are legally separate and independent entities. DTTL (also referred to as “Deloitte Global”) does not provide services to clients. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a more detailed description of DTTL and its member firms.
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