informing agricultural trends and livelihoods in west africa by mbaye yade coordinator resakss wa

Informing Agricultural Trends and Livelihoods in West Africa

By Mbaye Yade Coordinator ReSAKSS WA

Exploring New Opportunities and Strategic Alternatives to Inform African Agricultural Development, Planning and

Policy-----------------------------------

ReSAKSS Africa wide ConferenceUN-ECA Headquarters, Addis Ababa,

Ethiopia, 23-24 November 2009

Regional Strategic Analysis aNA Knowledge Support System – West Africa

OUTLINE

• INTRODUCTION• AGRICULTURAL FUNDING• AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE• MONITORING MDG1• RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AG

FUNDING, AG GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION

• CONCLUSION


INTRODUCTION

• MAIN ACTIVITY FIELD:– INFORMING DESIGN,

IMPLEMENTATION AND MONITORING OF ECOWAP/CAADP THROUGH NAIP AND RAIP IN WA

• MAIN SOURCES OF THE PRESENTATION: – NATIONAL STUDIES ON TRENDS IN

AGRICULTURE AND LIVELIHOODS– CAADP PROGRAMMES DESIGN

PROCESS


AGRICULTURAL FUNDING

• DOWNWARD TRENDS• SHARES IN GENERAL: >10% FOR SAHELIAN COUNTRIES

AND < % FOR COASTAL COUNTRIES EXCEPT FOR GHANAAG BUDGET SHARES

BENIN

BURKINA FASO

COTE D'IVOIRE

GHANA

MALI

NIGERIATOGO

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 2008

AG ACTUAL EXPENDITURES SHARES

BENIN

BURKINA FASO

COTE D'IVOIRE

GHANA

MALI

NIGER

NIGERIA

SENEGAL

TOGO0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 2008


AGRICULTURAL FUNDING (Cont.)

SHARES HIGHER FOR SAHELIAN COUNTRIESRatio Ag expenditures/ contribution to Economy

Investment share in Ag expenditures

BENIN

BURKINA FASO

C. D'IVOIRE

GHANA

MALI

NIGER

NIGERIASENEGAL

TOGO

0

25

50

75

100

1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 2008


AGRICULTURAL FUNDING (cont.)

RATIOS HIGHER FOR COASTAL COUNTRIES Share of internal resources Share of internal

resources in Ag Investments in Ag Expenditures

BENIN

BURKINA FASO

COTE D'IVOIRE GHANA

MALI

NIGER

SENEGAL

TOGO

0

25

50

75

100

1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 2008

BENIN

BURKINA FASO

COTE D'IVOIRE

GHANA

MALI

NIGER

SN

TOGO0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 2008



Share of individual sub sectors to ag expenditures

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Benin BurkinaFaso

Côted’Ivoire

Ghana Mali Niger Senegal Togo

Crop production Livestock Forestry and Fisheries

Share of selected expenditure types to ag expenditures

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Burkina Faso Mali Ghana Benin

Irrigation Research



TRENDS OF RATIO AG EXPENDITURES/TOTAL EXPENDITURES

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Mean 2000-2004 Mean 2005-2008 Target



REQUIRED GROWTH RATES OF AG FUNDING TO MEET 10 % IN 2015 OR 2020

0.0%5.0%

10.0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%35.0%40.0%45.0%

Nigeria Côted'Ivoire

SierraLeone

Gambia Togo Benin Liberia

2015 2020 Current


AGRICULTURE PERFORMANCE

SHARE OF AGRICULTURE IN WHOLE ECONOMY

Period 1990-1994 1995-19992000-2004

2003-2007

ECOWAS 31% 31% 32% 31%

ECOWAS without Nigeria

31% 30% 30% 29%

Sahelian Countries 28% 29% 28% 27%

Coastal Countries 31% 32% 32% 32%


AGRICULTURE PERFORMANCE (Cont.)

DISTRIBUTION OF LAND AMONG CROPS IN WEST AFRICA

Coff ee/Cacao 8.7% Grain Legumes 9.8%

Oil Seeds 11.4%

Roots and Tubers 13.9%

Cereals , 56.2%



AGRICULTURAL GROWTH DURING THE 1990’S AND THE 2000’S

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%1990-1999 2000-2008 Target



Contribution of individual sectors to Ag growth in the 1990’s

Contribution of individual sectors to Ag growth in the 2000’s

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Benin BurkinaFaso

Mali Niger Nigeria Togo

Crop Production Livestock Fisheries and Forestry

`

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Benin BurkinaFaso

Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal Togo

Crop Production Livestock Fisheries and Forestry



PRODUCTIVITY TRENDS OF SELECTED CROPS 1990-2008

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

Production Yield


MONITORING MDG1

POVERTY INCIDENCE IN WEST AFRICA IN THE 1990’S (%)


MONITORING MDG1 (Cont.)

POVERTY TRENDS DURING THE 1990s AND THE 2000s



Poverty reduction rate required for reaching the MDG1 by 2015 compared to current trends



REQUIRED POVERTY REDUCTION RATES TO HALVE 1990 POVERTY LEVEL IN 2020 OR 2025

-16.0%

-11.0%

-6.0%

-1.0%

4.0%

Cô

te

d'Iv

oire

Se

ne

ga

l

Be

nin

Nig

er

Ga

mb

ia

Nig

eria

Ma

li

Bu

rkin

a

Faso

Current 2020 2025


RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AG FUNDING AND AG GROWTH


RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AG GROWTH AND POVERTY

REDUCTION


CONCLUSION

• IN GENERAL MAPUTO TARGET MET ONLY IN SAHELIAN COUNTRY AND GHANA

• BY CURRENT FUNDING GROWTH RATES ONLY LIBERIA AND NIGERIA ON TRACK TO REACH THE 10 % TARGET IN 2020 AND JOIN THE FIRST GROUP

• INVESTMENT SHARES HIGHER FOR SAHELIAN COUNTRIES

• BUT SAHELIAN COUNTRIES DEPEND HEAVILY ON DONORS FOR AG FUNDING

• SHARE OF AG SECTOR STABLE AROUND 30 % AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN COASTAL COUNTRIES

• AGRICULTURAL GROWTH IN THE 1990’S AND IN THE 2000’S IN GENERAL LOWER THAN THE 6% TARGET


CONCLUSION

• CROP PRODUCTION CONTRIBUTES MOST TO AG GROWTH – LIVESTOCK IMPORTANT IN SAHELIAN COUNTRIES

• 1990-2008: LIMITED PROCTIVITY GROWTH FOR FOOD CROPS BUT AREA EXPANSION CONTRIBUTED MO0RE TO PRODUCTION INCREASES

• REACHING MDG1 IN WEST AFRICA IS JEOPARDIZED BY THE NEGATIVE PERFORMANCE IN THE 1990’S WITH POVERTY INCIDENCE INCREASES IN MOST COUNTRIES

• ONLY CAPE VERDE AND GHANA LIKELY TO MEET MDG1

• WITH CURRENT POVERTY REDUCTION TRENDS NO OTHER COUNTRY WILL HALVE INCIDENCE POVERTY LEVEL OF 1990 HIGHER GROWTH RATES REQUIRED IN AGRICULTURE AND OTHER SECTORS


MERCI DE VOTRE AIMABLE ATTENTION

informing agricultural trends and livelihoods in west africa by mbaye yade coordinator resakss wa

Documents

ag funding

ag growth

ag investments

ag expenditureschart20

strategic alternatives

coastal countries

economyinvestment share

internal resources