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"Informing African Agricultural Development Planning and Implementation in the context of CAADP in West Africa" by Mbaye Yade, Coordinator ReSAKSS WA at IITA Contract Review, April 25, Dakar, SenegalTRANSCRIPT
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CONTRACT REVIEW26 April 2012
Informing African Agricultural Development Planning and Implementation in the context of
CAADP in West Africa
By Mbaye Yade
Coordinator ReSAKSS WA
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OUTLINE• SOME BASIS TARGETS AND PRINCIPLES OF CAADP• RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP IMPLEMENTATION• STRATEGIC ANALYSIS•MONITORING AND EVALUATION•COUNTRY SAKSS ESTABLISHMENT•PROSPECTS
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SOME BASIS TARGETS AND PRINCIPLES OF CAADP
• CAADP as a strategic framework by which to guide country development efforts and partnerships in the agricultural sector:
• agriculture led growth for poverty reduction;
• increased funding of agriculture (10%) and
• at least 6% agriculture growth – all targeted at achieving MGD1 and other welfare targets
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Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP
– (1) mobilize existing expertise , capacities and knowledge and provide first-rate analytical and advisory services to countries and Regional Economic Communities in the design, implementation, and evaluation of CAADP programs.
– (2) provide assistance to countries in the establishment of national knowledge system nodes to support CAADP implementation
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Some basic Targets and Principles of CAADP
Work with the national nodes to provide relevant and timely information to guide:
– Mutual review at the continental level to review overall progress in the implementation of CAADP
– Peer review at the regional level to promote dialogue and mutual learning around the review of progress and performance
– Progress review at the national level to ensure that country level policies and programs are aligned with CAADP principles and on track to meet the country-specific targets and objectives
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evidence- and outcome-based planning and implementation of agricultural-
sector policies and strategies in Africa
Strategic Analysis and Monitoring of CAADP and Agricultural Performance in Africa
Knowledge Management, Capacity Strengthening, and Policy Communications
support review and dialogue
• 4 nodes: managed by IFPRI, IITA, ILRI and IWMI
• Key partners: AUC/NPCA and RECs
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RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP IMPLEMENTATION
Regional ReSAKSS nodes to:
– Facilitate access by the RECs and their member states to policy-relevant analyses of the highest quality improve policymaking,
– Track progress, document success, and derive lessons that can feed into the review and learning processes associated with the implementation of the CAADP agenda
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RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP IMPLEMENTATION
National Nodes:– pursuing the same objectives at national level– ensuring the mobilization and coordination of
knowledge generating and dissemination networks– Comprising of:
• An analytical node bringing together National Agricultural Research Institutes, universities, statistics offices, the technical arms of professional organizations, etc.
• A framework for review, dialogue and advocacy coordinated at high level (Permanent Secretary of Director) including all stakeholders: government institutions, Professional associations, TFP, etc.
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RESAKSS AS PART OF CAADP IMPLEMENTATION
• Generate, compile, and share analyses and data relevant to agricultural and rural development in line with the national objectives; • Perform strategic investment analyses for the agricultural sector, especially for the different sub sectors, providing practical policy and investment options; • Undertake monitoring and evaluation of the Agriculture Sector Plan programmes to facilitate evidence-based planning and implementation; • Produce knowledge products for dissemination and outreach through a combination of real (stakeholder forums) and virtual (interactive multimedia services) mechanisms; • Contribute to fostering constructive, cross-sectoral policy debates and encourage dialogue and the exchange of data and knowledge among the different stakeholders at national, regional, and international levels; • Etc.
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND
RAIP DESIGN
– STOCK TAKING EXERCICE
– MODELING WORK
– Review of the consistency of the NAIP’s vis a vis their growth, poverty and funding targets
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DONOR AND GOV
IMPLEMENT
ROUND TABLESIGNING OFCOMPACT
DRAFTINGOF COUNTRY
CAADP COMPACT
GOV APPOINTFOCAL POINTS
REC&GOVLAUNCH
PROCESS
COUNTRY STEERING & TECHNICALCOMMITTEE
STOCK TAKEGROWTH
INVESTMENTANALYSIS
CABINET MEMO ANDENDORSMENT
START
CAADP COUNTRY PROCESS
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND
RAIP DESIGN
• TREND SCENARIO FOR GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION;
• COMPARE TRENDS WITH CAADP AND MDG-1 TARGETS
• ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS TO MEET CAADP AND MDG-1 TARGETS ;
• ASSESS FUNDING REQUIREMENTS
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGNContribution of agricultural growth to poverty reduction at the national and rural levels (%)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
BENIN BURKINA FASO
CAPE VERT
GAMBIE GHANA GUINEE CONAKRY
LIBERIA MALI NIGER NIGERIA SENEGAL TOGO
Agriculture Non Agriculture sectors
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
Long term contributions of agricultural growth to increases of Agricultural GDP (millions of $US) and Poverty reduction (%)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Benin Burkina Faso Cape Verde The Gambia Ghana Guinea Liberia Mali Niger Senegal Togo Redu
ctio
n in
the
natio
nal p
over
ty ra
te (%
)
PIB
Ag( M
illion
s de
$US
)
Growth in Agricultural GDP
Reduction in national poverty rate
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGNStrategic agricultural subsectors for agricultural growth and poverty reduction
Benin Food crops (Roots and Tuber)*
Burkina Faso Cattle and Sorghum/millet
Cape Verde Food crops
The Gambia Cereals (millet/Sorghum)* and livestock
Ghana Root crops and fisheries
Guinea Rice
Liberia Food crops
Mali Food crops (Rice; Millet/Sorghum)*
Niger Livestock
Nigeria Cassava, Rice
Senegal Livestock and food crops (millet/sorghum; Rice)*
Sierra Leone Cassava
Togo Food crops
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
EXPECTED AG GROWTH IN 2015 UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIOS
0.02.04.06.08.0
10.012.014.016.0
0.02.04.06.08.010.012.014.016.0
bau national strategies CAADP
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
EXPECTED POVERTY REDUCTION BY 2015 UNDER DIFFERENT SCENARIOS
-100.0-80.0-60.0-40.0-20.0
0.020.040.0
bau national strategies CAADP MDG1
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
CURRENT AG EXPENDITURE RATIOS REQUIRED AG EXPENDITURE
TO TOTAL EXPENDITURES (%) GROWTH TO MEET 6%
AGRICULTURAL GROWTH
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS CONTRIBUTION TO NAIP AND RAIP
DESIGN
CURRENT FUNDING EFFICIENCY: ELASTICITY VIS-À-VIS AG GROWTH
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS MONITORING MDG1
POVERTY INCIDENCE IN WEST AFRICA IN THE 1990’S (%)
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS MONITORING MDG1
POVERTY TRENDS DURING THE 1990s AND THE 2000s
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS MONITORING MDG1
Poverty reduction rate required for reaching the MDG1 by 2015 compared to current trends
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS MONITORING MDG1
REQUIRED POVERTY REDUCTION RATES TO HALVE 1990 POVERTY LEVEL IN 2020 OR 2025
-16.0%
-11.0%
-6.0%
-1.0%
4.0%
Cô
te
d'Iv
oire
Se
ne
ga
l
Be
nin
Nig
er
Ga
mb
ia
Nig
eria
Ma
li
Bu
rkin
a
Faso
Current 2020 2025
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
• STUDY ON THE DYNAMICS OF FOOD CONSUMPTION IN WEST AFRICA CONDUCTED JOINTLY WITH MICHIGAN STATE UNIVERSITY IN 7 COUNTRIES: BENIN, BURKINA FASO, COTE D’IVOIRE, MALI, NIGER, SENEGAL, AND TOGO:
- ANALYSIS OF HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE SURVEYS
- ANALYSIS OF NATIONAL FOOD BALANCES
- REGRESSION ANALYSIS => MARGINAL BUDGET SHARES/DEMAND ELASTICITIES
– REGIONAL SYNTHESIS REPORT
• IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS UNDER FAO CONTRACT INCLUDING GHANA:
- REVENU TRENDS
- DYNAMICS AND DETERMINANTS OF FOOD CONSUMPTION
- FOOD DEMAND PROSPECTS
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
INCOME TRENDS DISAGREGATED BY QUINTILES
Country Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 National
Burkina Faso 4.1% 4.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.9% 3.4%
Côte d'Ivoire -3.1% -2.5% -2.4% -2.5% -2.7% -2.6%
Ghana 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2%
Mali -2.5% -2.2% -2.2% -1.9% -0.6% -1.4%
Sénégal 1.0% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.9%
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
CALORIFIC CONSUMPTION SHARES IN % (2004-2008)Food product Burkina Faso Senegal Niger Togo Côte
d'Ivoire
Cereals 65.1 63.4 62.9 48.4 31.3
Roots and tubers 0.3 1.9 1.7 24.9 32.6
Legumes 10.1 0.8 14.1 3.7 0.7
Oil and Fats 11.9 17.0 8.8 14.2 13.0
Fruits and vegetables 2.1 2,5 2.9 1.2 8.0
Sugar and sweeteners 2.4 4.6 2.9 3.8
Alcoholic drinks 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.0
Animal products 4.1 8.2 9.5 3.5 4.6
Others 0.8 1.5 0.0 0.4 4.2
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION
DYNAMICS IN WEST AFRICA
Country Carbohydrate Proteins Lipids
Burkina Faso 68.0 12.0 20.0
Côte d‘Ivoire 73.2 8.3 18.6
Niger 68.2 13.1 18.7
Senegal 65.1 10.4 24.5
Togo 71.2 9.1 19.7
Recommended Ratios
Minimum 50 11 30
Maximum 55 15 35
Calorific contribution of macro nutrients in % (2004-2008)
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION
DYNAMICS IN WEST AFRICA
Absolute budget share by food product group Food Product group Benin Burkina
FasoCote d’Ivoire
Ghana
Mali Niger Senegal Togo
2007 2009 2008 2006 2006 2005 2002 2006
Cereals 22.5 55.1 25.7 22.8 44.5 60.9 28.9 20.8
Roots, Tubers and Plantain 10.2 0.6 16.8 15.0 1.9 0.8 2.3 8.0
Légumineuses 3.7 3.6 1.6 1.8 2.7
Fats and vegetal oils and fats 8.6 4.9 6.9 5.1 6.5 3.3 8.6 6.4
Fruits and vegetables 11.6 6.1 15.7 13.9 9.9 4.8 11.9 14.9
Animal products and fish 30.1 10.0 22.6 29.2 22.2 12.1 26.8 17.8
Beverage and Stimulants 6.7 8.1 2.4 6.6 6.9 4.2 6.2
Other food products 6.7 11.5 10.0 7.4 6.4 12.0 21.5 23.2
Ratio of food expenditures to total expenditures
61.7 53.6 38.6 51.0 43.4 60.1 50.8 51.6
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
Food expenditures concentration ratio
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION
DYNAMICS IN WEST AFRICA
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION
DYNAMICS IN WEST AFRICA
Marginal budget shares of selected food products in rural areas
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STRATEGIC ANALYSIS FOOD CONSUMPTION DYNAMICS
IN WEST AFRICA
Marginal budget shares of selected food products in urban areas
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
• Request from AU/NEPAD addressed to ReSAKSS• Validation of the Framework March 2010
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
Institutional Capacity Strengthening
Poverty
Hunger
Information, Knowledge, and Technologies
Prices
Human Capital
Marketing infrastructureRural roads
Agricultural Production & Food Supply
Sustainable Land Management
Agricultural Trade
Rural Infras. and Trade-Related Market Access
Land Management and Water Control Systems
Agricultural Research and Technology Dev’t
Food Security and Safety Nets
Income
1 2 43
Food reserve facilities
Investments (Presented here to reflect the four CAADP pillars)
Physical Capital
Goal Level Household assets and endowments Natural disasters Conflict
Intermediate-Goal Level Non-agricultural production Employment Rural wages InflationOutcome Level Resources Rainfall Natural disasters Trade policies Exchange rate Prices
Output Level Initial conditions of capital Social services (education, health, social security)
Input Level Political economy Governance Institutions Total government revenue Private-sector investments/FDI ODA (and harmonization)
Irrigation systems
CONDITIONING FACTORS
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
MAIN QUESTIONS ADDRESSED: 1. ENABLING ENVIRONMENT
What policies, institutions and mechanisms are in place to enhance economic management e.g. political and economic governance, private sector development, and equity?
How credible and relevant has the evidence used in the process of designing the investment programs been?
Have the processes been inclusive of all stakeholders, and are investment programs aligned with the CAADP principles and targets?
Are mechanisms in place for implementing the investment and monitoring and evaluating its impacts?
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
2. DELIVERING ON COMMITMENTS AND ACHIEVING STATED TARGETS
• Are development partners making good on their financial commitments to support CAADP?
• Are governments allocating 10 percent (or other share as stated in their investment plans) of their total budgetary resources to the agricultural sector?
• Have expectations in terms of being on track to achieving the CAADP growth and reducing poverty, hunger, and food and nutrition insecurity been met so far?
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
3. EFFECTIVENESS OF INTERVENTIONS (PROCESSES, POLICIES, INVESTMENTS)
• How effective have different types of interventions been in the achievements realized so far?• What factors have shaped the level of impact that has been achieved?• What are the trade-offs and complementarities, if any, among different types of interventions?
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
4. CONSISTENCY OF PLANNED INTERVENTIONS WITH INITIAL TARGETS
• What are the projected impacts if interventions proceed as currently planned?
• Are these projected impacts compatible with the CAADP growth and goals on reducing poverty, hunger, and food and nutrition insecurity?
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
5. EXPLORING INTERVENTIONS WITH GREATER OR BETTER DISTRIBUTED
IMPACTS• Could greater or better distributed impacts be obtained by reconfiguring the interventions?• What are the different or new interventions that can lead to greater and more sustainable growth as well as greater and better distributed impacts?• What are the new targets that can be set for implementing these new types of interventions?• What are the resources needed for implementing these new interventions to achieve the desired impacts?
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION CAADP M&E FRAMEWORK
INDICATORS
SMART: Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Realistic and Timely:• 13 Process indicators (M&E of CAADP Design)• 4 Input Indicators (Agricultural Funding: Maputo Declaration)• 22 Output and Outcome Indicators (Agricultural Performance)• 8 Impact Indicators (CAADP Goals: poverty, hunger, malnutrition, etc.)
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
PROCESSES AND PRINCIPLES
FRAMEWORK– (POLICY/PRIMARY FACTOR ENDOWMENT)– FUNDING– AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE– TRADE PERFORMANCE– POVERTY, HUNGER, CHILD MALNUTRITION– LINKAGES BETWEEN FUNDING, PERFORMANCE, AND LIVELIHOODS
NO OR LIMITED PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION
CHALLENGES– DATA QUALITY– CONTINUITY– DATA FORMAT COMPATIBILITY– SUSTAINABILITY
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
PROCESSES AND PRINCIPLES
TEAM: CORE COUNTRY ACTORS – Planning and statistics unit of MINAGRI (PSU) as
coordinator– National Institute of Statistics (poverty unit, national
accounting unit)– Budget unit in Ministries of Finance– Professional think tanks– Market information systems– M&E units in other relevant ministries such as
livestock, environment, fisheries, trade, etc– NARS including Universities– Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRSP) unit
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
PROCESSES AND PRINCIPLES
ACTIVITIES: REGIONAL – Drafting of terms of reference: list and
specification of indicators, rationale, definitions, computation, sources and links to policy targets; profile of collaborators
– Methodology workshops , quality review, technical backstopping
– Regional synthesis of each component by ReSAKSS in collaboration with lead experts
– Regional validation and dissemination workshop
– Finalization of regional trends and outlook report
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
PROCESSES AND PRINCIPLES
ACTIVITIES AT NATIONAL LEVEL– PSU as coordinator develops operational plan and
monitors execution– Data collection and analysis by different subgroups
following the components– Subgroup reports submitted to the planning unit with
data sheets as annexes – Planning unit consolidates subgroup reports and
submits to ReSAKSS with all data sheets for review– Technical meetings and national validation
workshops– Finalization of national trends and outlook report
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – SELECTED MACRO ECONOMIC INDICATORS
annual GDP growth Current account balance (% of GDP) Inflation rate
Country 20102007/08-2009/10 20102008-2010 20102008-2010
Benin 2.60% 3.40% -4.20% -14.80% 1.90% 3.70%
Burkina Faso 8.70% 5.70% -3.30% -6.50% -0.60% 4.20%Cape Verde 5.40% 5.10% -11.20% -13.20% 2.10% 3.30%Cote d'Ivoire 1.10% 2.60% 43.00% 26.40% 1.80% 3.00%
Gambia 6.10% 6.00% -17.10% -12.10% 5.80% 5.10%
Ghana 6.60% 6.60% -8.60% -9.10% 10.70% 15.50%Guinea 1.90% 2.20% -7.20% -9.50% 15.50% 12.80%Guinea Bissau 3.50% 3.20% 0.00% -4.50% 2.50% 3.80%
Liberia (1) 5.50% 5.70% -42.20% -38.60% 7.40% 12.50%
Mali 5.80% 5.10% -7.80% -9.10% 1.20% 4.20%
Niger (1) 8.50% 5.60% -20.70% -18.60% 0.90% 4.90%
Nigeria 7.90% 6.90% 1.30% 7.60% 13.70% 12.60%Senegal 4.10% 3.30% -7.00% -10.20% 1.20% 2.00%Sierra Leone 4.90% 4.60% -16.80% -12.90% 16.60% 13.60%
Togo (2) 3.70% 3.20% -5.60% -6.30% 2.10% 4.20%
median ECOWAS 5.40% 5.10% -7.20% -9.50% 2.10% 4.20%Median WAEMU 3.90% 3.40% -4.90% -7.80% 1.50% 4.00%median non WAEMU 5.50% 5.70% -11.20% -12.10% 10.70% 12.60%diff. WAEMU 1.60% 2.40% -6.30% -4.30% 9.20% 8.60%Sahelian countries 5.80% 5.10% -7.80% -10.20% 1.20% 4.20%Coastal Countries 4.30% 4.00% -6.40% -9.30% 9.10% 12.50%ECOWAS without Nigeria 5.20% 4.80% -7.50% -9.90% 2.10% 4.20%
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – Agricultural Funding
Agricultural expenditures ratio Agricultural expenditures trends
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – Agricultural Funding
Country Crop production Livestock
Fisheries
Forestry
% ag. Expenditure % ag GDP
% ag. Expenditure % ag GDP
% ag. Expenditure % ag GDP
% ag. Expenditure % ag GDP
Benin 70.80% 72.60% 4.00% 15.40% 9.90% 6.80% 15.30% 5.20%
Burkina Faso 71.20% 52.90% 20.50% 35.40% 8.30% 11.70%
Côte d'Ivoire 82.20% 89.90% 12.00% 7.70% 1.30% 0.40% 4.50% 2.00%
Mali 65.30% 61.80% 24.80% 27.90% 10.00% 10.30%
Senegal 71.80% 57.20% 7.80% 29.30% 8.60% 8.90% 11.80% 4.50%
Sectoral distribution of agricultural expenditure over the period 2008-2010
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – Agricultural Funding
Breakdown of agricultural expenditure by function for 2008-2010
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE
Country 2008 2009 2010 AAGRBenin 3.60% 2.50% 1.40% 2.50%Burkina Faso 8.10% -4.10% 9.00% 3.30%Cape Verde 16.10% 0.40% 4.50% 6.20%Côte d'Ivoire -1.00% 5.40% 4.90% 3.30%The Gambia 28.60% 13.50% 12.10% 17.40%Ghana 7.40% 7.20% 5.30% 6.70%Guinea 3.60% 3.20% 3.20% 3.30%Bissau-Guinea 5.60% 9.60% 3.30% 6.50%Liberia 7.20% 6.50% 5.20% 6.30%Mali 13.20% 5.60% 7.70% 8.50%Niger 16.20% -9.50% 16.30% 5.20%Nigeria 6.30% 5.90% 5.70% 5.90%Senegal 19.70% 11.40% 4.90% 11.80%Sierra Leone 4.50% 4.00% 4.10% 4.20%Togo 4.00% 8.30% 3.10% 5.40%ECOWAS 6.60% 5.50% 5.80% 5.90%coastal countries 6.10% 6.00% 5.50% 5.90%
Sahelian countries 13.00% -0.60% 9.70% 6.40%
Agricultural Growth in 2008-2010
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE
Country 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010Benin 5.10% 5.70% 9.40% 19.00% 1.40%Burkina Faso 0.90% -16.10% 41.10% -16.60% 25.50%Cap Vert 12.80% -25.50% 277.60% -36.30% -4.60%Côte d'Ivoire 1.40% -15.00% 15.20% 1.30% 1.80%Gambia 4.70% -30.20% 60.50% 29.00% 16.90%Ghana 1.10% -17.50% 45.10% 13.80% 11.30%Guinea 6.70% 6.30% 1.20% 4.20% 6.60%Guinea Bissau 6.00% -18.50% 18.20% -4.40% 14.40%Liberia 5.90% 41.30% 20.40% 5.00% 1.10%Mali 8.70% 5.20% 6.00% 53.80% 1.30%Niger 10.80% -4.90% 27.00% -27.90% 45.90%Nigeria 6.60% 6.60% 6.60% 5.50% 4.80%Senegal -28.40% -22.60% 99.30% 7.40% -5.40%Sierra Leone 4.50% 15.60% 29.70% 17.60% 15.20%Togo 6.90% -1.30% 6.60% 13.40% -1.50%
West Africa 5.20% 2.00% 12.80% 5.30% 7.80%
RECENT TRENDS IN CEREAL PRODUCTION IN WEST AFRICA
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL PERFORMANCE
Country 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Benin -11.20% -9.40% 54.20% 3.50% 11.80%
Burkina Faso 16.20% -21.20% 42.80% 39.40% 17.10%
Cap Vert 14.30% 6.30% 0.00% 53.50% 3.50%
Côte d'Ivoire 6.40% 0.20% 8.00% -10.60% 1.70%
Gambia 0.00% 4.00% 0.00% -5.50% 3.10%
Ghana 2.70% 4.50% 5.80% 13.30% 6.70%
Guinea 4.90% 2.50% 2.40% 1.40% 2.80%
Guinea Bissau 5.30% 8.50% 10.00% 138.80% 10.30%
Liberia 2.00% 8.60% -7.50% -12.80% -0.50%
Mali 39.30% 52.60% 2.50% -12.90% -13.40%
Niger 35.60% 16.80% -33.30% -9.40% -63.50%
Nigeria 8.70% 6.60% 7.70% 6.40% 6.00%
Senegal -57.10% 155.10% 211.70% -66.10% -22.80%
Sierra Leone 28.30% 4.90% 42.30% 15.40% 15.50%
Togo 9.90% 0.20% 5.30% 10.80% 1.30%
West Africa 6.80% 5.30% 10.00% 5.60% 6.10%
RECENT TRENDS IN ROOTS AND TUBERS PRODUCTION IN WEST AFRICA
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL TRADE
AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS VALUE BY PRODUCT
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL TRADE
•AGRICULTURAL EXPORTS VALUE BY COUNTRY
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL TRADE
FOOD AND AGRICULTURAL TRADE BALANCE (RATIO EXPORTS/IMPORTS)
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – AGRICULTURAL TRADE
FOOD TRADE BALANCE (RATIO EXPORTS/IMPORTS)
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR - POVERTY
NATIONAL POVERTY LINE BASED POVERTY INCIDENCE
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
Benin BurkinaFaso
CapeVerde
Coted'Ivoire
Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau
Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal SierraLeone
Togo
1990s
2000s
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR - POVERTY
POVERTY GAP RATIO
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Benin BurkinaFaso
CapeVerde
Coted'Ivoire
Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau
Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal SierraLeone
Togo
1990s2000s
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR - POVERTY
SHARE OF POOREST QUINTILE IN NATIONAL CONSUMPTION
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Benin BurkinaFaso
CapeVerde
Coted'Ivoire
Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau
Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal SierraLeone
Togo
1990s
2000s
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR – CHILD MALNUTRITION
STUNTING
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Benin BurkinaFaso
Coted'Ivoire
Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau
Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal SierraLeone
Togo
1990s2000s
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR - HUNGER
PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION UNDERNOURISHED
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Benin BurkinaFaso
CapeVerde
Côted'Ivoire
Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau
Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal SierraLeone
Togo
1990s 2000s
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MONITORING AND EVALUATION ANNUAL TRENDS AND OUTLOOK REPORTS (ATOR)
2011 ATOR -HUNGER
GLOBAL HUNGER INDEX
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Benin BurkinaFaso
Coted'Ivoire
Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau
Liberia Mali Niger Nigeria Senegal SierraLeone
Togo
1990 2009
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ESTABLISHMENT OF COUNTRY SAKSS
• Guidelines for the establishment of CAADP Country Team, including the SAKSS node
• Support to Ghana, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, and Togo to implement the guidelines and set up the national SAKSS node
• Support to the agricultural statistics unit of Togo to :
– harmonize CAADP M&E framework with M&E needs for NAIP
– conduct the baseline study for the implementation of Togo NAIP.
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PROSPECTS• SUPPORT TO NATIONAL ATOR AND PRODUCTION OF REGIONAL ATOR•TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE TO SET UP/STRENGTHEN COUNTRY SAKSS NODES IN “SAKSS READY COUNTRIES”•CAPACITY STRENGTHENING OF ECOWAS AND OTHER REGIONAL INSTITUTIONS•STRATEGIC ANALYSIS: ATOR FEATURE THEMES:
2012: FLOWS AND IMPACT OF AGRICULTURAL INVESTMENTS (PUBLIC AND PRIVATE; FDI IN LAND)
2013: AGRICULTURE AND VULNERABILITY AND SOCIAL PROTECTION STRATEGIES IN AFRICA
2014: MDG ACHIEVEMENT STATUS IN AFRICA
2015: POST MDG GROWTH AND POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGIES IN AFRICA
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THANK YOU