inforct: simulation tool for ca based rice-wheat systems. yashpal saharawat
DESCRIPTION
Presentation made at the WCCA 2001 event in Brisbane, Australia.TRANSCRIPT
InfoRCT: Simulation Tool for Conservation Agriculture based Rice-
Wheat Systems
Y.S. Saharawat
International Rice Research Institute [email protected]
Challenges Facing the R-W System
Challenges Facing the R-W System
Growing cereal demand vis-à-vis declining harvest area.
Declining/stagnating productivity.
Degrading soil and water resource base.
Inefficiency associated with intensive tillage.
Adverse changes in micro-climate.
Inefficient nutrient management.
Growing labor shortage
Escalating fuel price.
Growing cereal demand vis-à-vis declining harvest area.
Declining/stagnating productivity.
Degrading soil and water resource base.
Inefficiency associated with intensive tillage.
Adverse changes in micro-climate.
Inefficient nutrient management.
Growing labor shortage
Escalating fuel price.
Various Conservation Agriculture based resource conservation technologies (RCTs) are believed to be resource use efficient, environment-friendly and economically superior to conventional practices.
However, an accurate accounting of the ecology and economics of such practices is lacking.
A decision support system (DSS) is required to quantify the input-output budget, fluxes of N, and global warming potential (GWP) along with detailed cost/benefit analysis of the prominent RCTs in rice-wheat systems.
Introduction
Tillage
Conventional
Unpuddled Raised bed Zero-tillage
CA based Resource conservation technologies in rice-wheat systems
Crop establishment
Transplanting Direct-drill-seeding
Quantitative Evaluation of CA based RCTsQuantitative Evaluation of CA based RCTs
Productivity
Resource use efficiency
Cost effectiveness
Environmental impact
N loss
Greenhouse gas emission
Biocide residue
InfoRCT Decision Support System (DSS): The Concept
InfoRCT Decision Support System (DSS): The Concept
The DSS integrates bio-physical, agronomic and socio-economic parameters to establish empirical input-output relationships related to water, fertilizer, labour and biocide uses, GHG emissions, biocide residue in soil and N fluxes in rice-wheat system.
This is programmed in Microsoft Excel and inputs and outputs are calculated on a seasonal basis using the target-oriented-approach.
With this an optimal combination of inputs is identified to realize a target yield based on the biophysical environment and the production technique.
Outputs like GHG emissions, N losses, and biocide residue are then calculated based on the amount of input used and the related soil-plant processes.
Pathak et al. 2006
Target yield
Nutrient requirement
Waterrequirement
Manure/residue
Soil supply
Fertilizers
Irrigation
Potential evapo-transpiration
DepositionPrecipitation
Soil organic C
Global warming potential
Technology
Manure/residues
Root exudates
Fertilizer N
Seed
Machine
Human labor
Animal labor
Biocides
Legends:
NH3
volatilizationDenitrifi
cationNO3
leaching
CH4
emission CO2
emission N2O
emission Biocide residue
Schematic overview of the InfoRCT decision support system
OutputsModel inputs
Factors
Saharawat et al. 2011
Methane, nitrous oxide and carbon dioxide emissions
Soil + organic/inorganic inputs +
Technology
~ SOC ~ bulk_density~ soil_depth ~ crop_duration
~ cont. flooding ~ midseason drying ~ alternate flooding ~ zero tillage
~ fertilizer ~ root biomass ~ manure ~ residues
Saharawat et al. 2011, Pathak et al. 2011
Global Warming Potential
GWP = CH4 * 21 + N2O * 296 +
CO2 * 44/12
Biocide residue index (BRI)
BRI = Chemical use (g ha-1) * Toxicity index * Persistence index/100
<100 = Safe
100-200 =Permissible
>200 = Unsafe
Development and Calibration of
InfoRCT
Treatments in the Modipuram Experiment
Gathala et al. 2011 (a,b)
0
2
4
6
0 2 4 6
Observed yield (Mg ha-1)
Cac
ulat
ed y
ield
(Mg
ha-1
) Modi 2003
Modi 2004
Modi 2005
Wheat
Simulated and observed yields of rice and wheat in Modipuram
0
2
4
6
8
10
0 2 4 6 8 10
Observed yield (Mg ha-1)
Cac
ulat
ed y
ield
(M
g ha-1
)
Modi 2003
Modi 2004
Modi 2005
Rice
Saharawat et al. 2011, Pathak et al. 2011
Sensitivity analysis of the InfoRCT
Saharawat et al. 2011, Pathak et al. 2011
Technology Yield Total cost Net return Return compared
(Mg ha-1) (US $ ha-1) (US $ ha-1) with TP1TP1 12.2 1137 482 1.00TP2 12.0 1002 607 1.26TP3 9.8 901 428 0.89TP4 10.8 1012 435 0.90TP5 11.1 910 572 1.19TP6 11.6 1014 540 1.12
Yield of rice is more with puddled transplanting (TP1) but net returns are higher with midseason drying (TP2) and double zero-till systems (TP5 and TP6) due to reduced cost of irrigation in the former and reduced cost of tillage in the latter.
Simulated yield and income in different RCTs
Saharawat et al. 2011, Pathak et al. 2011
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
TP1 TP2 TP3 TP4 TP5 TP6
GW
P (
kg
CO 2
eq
ui.
ha-1
) Rice Wheat
Calculated GWP is more in the conventional system because of more methane emission in continuously submerged condition in rice and more fuel consumption for tillage and irrigation.
GWP in different RCTs in Modipuram
Pathak et al. 2011
Biocide residue index in rice and wheat under different technologies in rice-wheat
system
0
50
100
150
200
250
TP1 TP2 TP3 TP4 TP5 TP6
Bio
cid
e re
sid
ue
ind
ex
WheatRice
Biocide residue index is at a safe limit in the puddled transplanted systems, whereas it exceeds the safe limit in direct drill-seeded and raised bed systems because of more herbicide use
Biocide residue index (BRI) in different RCTs
Pathak et al. 2011
Validation and
Evaluation of
InfoRCT at farmers’
fields
Study site
Study siteStudy site
India
Haryana
Experimental site 10 Villages at Haryana, India 76 Farmers
Survey methodology Social, economic and educational
status Input use: seed, irrigation, tractor,
labour, fertilizer, and pesticides use Output: Grain and straw yield
Simulation InfoRCT- for estimation of global
warming potential
MethodologyMethodology
Rice yield under alternative tillage and crop establishment methods
o No significant differences in rice yield between conventional tillage/CE and alternative tillage/CE.
o Aromatic rice (Basmati) had lower yield due to low genetic yield potential.
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
CTPR UPTPR CTPR BTPR CTPR DSR CTPR ZT TPR
Yie
ld (
Mg/h
a)
Saharawat et al. 2011
Economics
Conventional Alternate tillage Difference
Total Cost (US$) 518 379-473 45-139
Net income (US$) 275 345-377 70-102
fixed cost1%Seed
2%
Transplanting5%
Threshing5%
Harvest7%
Weedicide/ insecticide7%
Land preparation37%
Irrigation22%
Fertilizers14%
11
Input cost in conventional tillage/CE
Saving in alternate tillage and CE
Labour8%
Land preparation
77%
Irrigation water15%
Labour 22%
Saharawat et al. 2011
Simulated and observed net income in different tillage and crop establishment methods
y = 0.99x + 3.68
R2 = 0.95
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Observed net income (US $)
Sim
ula
ted
ne
t in
co
me
(U
S $
)
Saharawat et al. 2011
Technology
Crop CH4 soil N2O soil N2O fertilizer
CO2 machine
CO2 fertilizer
prod.
CO2 biocide prod.
CO2 fertilizer
appli.
CO2 biocide appli.
GWP (CO2 equi.)
kg ha-1 kg N ha-
1
kg N ha-
1
kg C ha-
1
kg C ha-
1
kg C ha-
1
kg C ha-
1
kg C ha-
1
kg ha-1
T1 Rice 59 0.10 0.32 478 199 47 11 11 3286Wheat 0 0.10 0.42 81 256 0.2 14 0 597RW 59 0.20 0.74 559 455 47 25 11 3884
T2 Rice 48 0.11 0.36 507 197 47 10 11 3174Wheat 0 0.11 0.47 66 256 0 14 0 576RW 48 0.23 0.83 573 454 47 24 11 3750
T3 Rice 25 0.12 0.24 389 117 82 6 18 2209Wheat 0 0.12 0.53 60 261 0 14 0 591RW 25 0.24 0.77 450 378 82 19 18 2799
T4 Rice 25 0.12 0.37 446 182 69 9 15 2491Wheat 0 0.12 0.46 59 222 0 11 0 542RW 25 0.24 0.83 505 404 70 21 15 3033
T5 Rice 25 0.12 0.41 433 202 82 10 18 2482Wheat 0 0.12 0.54 58 222 0 10 0 564RW 25 0.24 0.95 501 466 82 25 18 3046
Simulated greenhouse gas emissions in rice-wheat system with different tillage and crop establishment practices
Saharawat et al. 2011
Conclusions
Double no-till rice-wheat system increases farm income; saves water, labour and energy; and reduces global warming potential.
The technology could be a viable alternative for the conventional puddled transplanted rice- and intensive tilled-wheat system.
The InfoRCT decision support system could capture the major effects of tillage and crop management practices and could be used for a comparative assessment of different resource conservation technologies in rice-wheat system.
Technologya Crop Input Output
Fertilizer
Irrigation
Rain Fixation Uptake Leaching
Volatilization
Denitrification
Total loss
kg N ha-1
TP1 Rice 153 12 3 25 108 19 33 26 79
Wheat 173 1 1 5 113 11 31 4 46
RW 326 13 4 30 221 30 64 31 125
TP2 Rice 138 10 3 25 101 18 31 24 73
Wheat 188 1 1 5 121 11 34 5 49
RW 326 11 4 30 222 29 64 29 122
TP3 Rice 71 8 3 25 72 9 20 16 45
Wheat 176 1 1 5 114 9 32 4 45
RW 247 9 4 30 186 18 52 20 90
TP4 Rice 107 10 3 25 88 14 26 21 60
Wheat 171 1 1 5 112 9 31 4 44
RW 278 11 4 30 200 22 57 25 104
TP5 Rice 114 8 3 25 90 15 26 21 63
Wheat 178 1 1 5 116 10 32 4 47
RW 292 9 4 30 205 25 59 26 110
TP6 Rice 120 10 3 25 93 15 28 22 65
Wheat 191 1 1 5 122 11 34 5 50
RW 310 11 4 30 215 26 62 27 115
Calculated input, uptake and losses of N in rice-wheat system with different technologies in
Modipuram
• Midseason drying and double zero-till systems increased income whereas raised bed systems decreased it compared with the conventional system.
• Direct-seeding and double zero systems reduce GWP but have a risk of high biocide residue. More efficient and safer herbicides, therefore, need to be developed.
• The InfoRCT decision support system could be used for a comparative assessment of different RCTs for productivity, income and environmental impact at different scenarios of soil, climate and crop management.
Conclusions
Diffusion of zero tillage in wheat in the IGP
Diffusion of zero tillage in wheat in the IGP
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Are
a un
der z
ero-
tilla
ge
(mill
ion
ha)
Mechanistic Model vs. Decision Support Tool
Parameter Mechanistic model (DNDC)
Decision Support Tool (InfoRCT)
Overall purpose
Computation of actual pools and fluxes
Comparison of technologies for yield, net income, N balance and GHG emission
Scale Plot Farm
Basic concept Description of processes through algorithms and empirical data
Description of processes through empirical data and algorithms
Programming C++ MS Excel
Inputs Detailed soil, climatic and management data
Basic soil, climate, management, and prices data
Outputs C and N budget (daily records)
C and N budget (seasonal records)
Socio-economic parameters
Indirect: Yields Direct: Net income
o Higher GWP in the conventional system was due to more fuel use for tillage, water pumping and more methane emission in submerged condition.
o At the current price of C credit (US$ 30 Mg-1 CO2) double no till system fetches an additional income of US$ 24 ha-1 compared to the conventional rice-wheat system.
Simulated global warming potential
1697
1514
1742
2400
1616
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
CTPR-CW UTPR-ZTW BTPR-Bed DSR-ZTW ZT TPR-ZTW
Co 2
(kg/h
a)
CTPR-CW UTPR-ZTW BTPR-Bed DSR-ZTW ZT TPR-ZTW
Monthly total rainfall, mean maximum and minimum temperatures and mean solar radiation
in Modipuram
00
05
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Tota
l ra
infa
ll (
mm
)
00
05
10
15
20
25
30
Tem
per
atu
re (
o C)
an
d s
ola
r ra
dia
tion
(M
J m
-2 d
-1)
RainfallMax. temp.Min. temp.Solar radiation
Technologies Adopted by FarmersTechnologies Adopted by Farmers
Treatment Rice Wheat Number of
farmers
T1 Transplanted rice after
conventional puddling
(FP),
Broadcasted wheat after
Conventional tillage (FP)
76
T2 Transplanted rice in
unpuddled fields (UP-TPR)
Drill sown wheat after zero
tillage (ZTW)
41
T3 Transplanted rice on raised
beds (BP-TPR)
Drill sown wheat on same
beds after reshaping (ZTW)
9
T4 Transplanted rice after
zero tillage (ZT-TPR)
Drill sown wheat after zero
tillage (ZTW)
6
T5 Direct-drill-seeded rice
after zero tillage (DSR)
Drill sown wheat after zero
tillage (ZTW)
20
Monthly total rainfall, mean maximum and minimum temperatures and mean sunshine hour
in Haryana
00
05
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Tot
al r
ainf
all (
mm
)
00
50
100
150
200
250
Ave
rage
tem
p. (
o C) a
nd s
unsh
ine
(hr d
-1)
Rainfall
Max. temp.
Min. temp.
Sunshine hours