infographic contact sheet issue date: may 11th–17th 2013...
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INFOGRAPHIC CONTACT SHEET Issue date: May 11th–17th 2013 1/2
Race to the bottom
Source: Centre onDynamics of Ethnicity,University of Manchester
*Dissimilarity across 376 local authorities,100%=complete separation,
0%=completely evenly spread
Separation* by ethnicity, England and Wales, %
45
50
55
60
65
70
1991 2001 2011
WhiteCaribbeanAfrican
IndianPakistaniBangladeshi
NHS
Crime/lawand order
A bigger scare
Source: Ipsos MORI
The most important, or one of the mostimportant, issues facing Britain, %
2004 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 130
20
40
60
80Economy
Race/immigrationRBS
*For comparison reasons RBS price excludes tenfor one reverse stock split in 2012
It’ll cost you
Source: Thomson Reuters
RBS share price, pence
2009 10 11 12 130
200
400
600AVERAGE PRICE PAID PERSHARE BY GOVERNMENT
Euphrates
Homs
Qusayr
T U R K E Y
ISRAEL
LEBANON
S Y R I A
J O R D A N
I R A Q
Aleppo
Damascus
Deraa
Khirbet GhazalehSweida
Deirez-Zor
Med
iter
rane
an S
ea
Banias
Latakia
GOLANHEIGHTS
Antakya
LargelyAlawitearea
150 km
Tbilisi
R U S S I A
ARMENIAT U R K E Y
B l a c kS e a
ABKHAZIA
AZERBAIJAN
Batumi
Sochi
G E O R G I A
CA
UC
AS
US
CHECHNYA
SOUTHOSSETIA
100 km
1India’s moment
Source: UN Population Division
Working-age population*, bn
*15- to 64-year-olds
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1950 60 70 2000 2080 3090 4010 50
Sub-Saharan Africa
India
F O R E C A S T
China
Europe
United States
India’s population byage group and sex, m
60 40 20 0 20 40 6080 80
90+
MALE FEMALE
20102050 forecast
85-8980-8475-7970-7465-6960-6455-5950-5445-4940-4435-3930-3425-2920-2415-1910-145-90-4
3Swimming with the smaller fish
Sources: ASEAN; UNCTAD; The Economist estimates
Inward foreign direct investment in manufacturing$bn
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
+
–
1997 200199 03 05 07 09 12
ChinaIndia
Indonesia & VietnamMalaysia & Thailand
2More money under the mattresses
Source: CEIC
India’s gross domestic saving as % of GDP
Fiscal years ending March
0
10
20
30
40
1951 60 70 80 90 2000 12
Total
Excluding savingin physical assets
The sharing economy
Source: Markit
Global securities, lendable value:$trn
2007 08 09 10 11 12 130
4
8
12
16
on loan
available to borrow
to comeSlope of disappointment
Sources: Markit;J.P. Morgan; The Economist
*Values above/below 50 indicatean expansion/contraction
2007 08 09 10 11 12 1335
40
45
50
55
60
65
6
4
2
0
2
4
6
+
–
Purchasing managers’ index*,global composite
World GDP,% change on previous year
Worn out
Source: HSBC *Five-year rolling average
Japan
8
9
10
11
6
3
0
3
6
+
–
1975 80 85 90 95 2000 05 11
Workers per pensionerLabour productivity
% change on a year ago*
Network effects
Sources: Futures Industry Association;Professor Michael Gorham
*Part of CME Groupsince 2007
Volume of futures trading, US exchangesContracts, bn
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1955 70 80 90 2000 12
CME
CBOT*
Others
Fruits of office
Sources: Edwards Wildman; International Centre for AssetRecovery; Transparency International; media reports
*Estimates †Includes not only wealth illicitly accrued by former regime members butalso assets frozen under UN sanctions, such as those of state-owned institutions
Corruptly obtained assets and their recovery
Looted, $bn* Returned/frozen by other countries Notable extravagances
Muammar Qaddafi 30-80 $3.6bn returned; $25bn frozen† Gold-plated pistol. His Libyan residences were decked out with Pierre Cardin carpets, (Libya 1969-2011) baby-grand pianos, infinity pools and show-jumping circuits
Hosni Mubarak 1-70 $800m frozen Fewer than those of his relatives and cronies, who had a penchant(Egypt 1981-2011) for Spanish villas, at least nine of which have been seized
Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali 3-5 $29m returned from Lebanon; Fleet of 40-plus luxury cars, including a Lamborghini, an armoured Cadillac and a Maybach.(Tunisia 1987-2011) $69m frozen Son-in-law’s pet tiger, kept to amuse guests, was fed four live chickens a day
Sani Abacha 2-5 $160m returned from Jersey, $700m from 34 luxury houses and over 50 luxury cars. One of his sons admitted to keeping $100m in his(Nigeria 1993-98) Switzerland, $198m from Britain Abuja home. His wife was caught trying to leave the country with 38 cash-filled suitcases
Suharto 15-35 Nothing returned; $36m frozen in Guernsey Vast wealth (20-30% of development budget) distributed to relatives in the form(Indonesia 1967-98) of licences and monopolies on everything from cloves to toll roads
Mobutu Sese Seko 5 Nothing returned (new government declined 747s and Concordes chartered for shopping trips with entourage. He built a white-marble (Zaire 1965-97) $2m offer from Mobutu’s lawyers) retreat modelled on Belgium’s Laeken Palace in the jungle village of Gbadolite
Ferdinand Marcos 5-10 $683m returned from Switzerland, $24m from 2,700 pairs of shoes found in his wife Imelda’s closet. She imported Australian white sand(Philippines 1965-86) Singapore and $50m from US civil cases for her beach. 24 suitcases of gold bricks and jewellery were found hidden in nappy bags
Jean-Claude Duvalier 0.3-0.8 Nothing returned; $6m frozen in Switzerland Chateau outside Paris and a Côte d’Azur villa. Drove a Ferrari Testarossa on the Riviera. Blew(Haiti 1971-86) $150,000 on Givenchy clothes and Hermès children’s horse saddles in one shopping spree
Irrawaddy
Salween
Y
Y
Mekong
Indus
T ibetanplateau
I N D I A
C H I N A
The Keeling curveCO2 concentration parts per million
1958 70 80 90 2000 13
300325350375400
Sixty million customers
Source: Selig Centre for Economic Growth
America’s Hispanics:
0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
0
20
40
60
80
1990 95 2000 05 10 1517
income, $trn population, m
F’CAST
11.1Share of America’stotal income, %
5.0
Bainies, brainies and vainies
Sources: Kennedy Consulting Research & Advisory;company websites; press reports; The Economist
*Estimates are from Kennedy Information for the sake of comparability;figures may differ from the firms’ own numbers
Big strategy consulting firms, 2013
Revenue*, Estimated % change Number of revenue*, on a year Employees, countries Alumni, NotableCompany (HQ) 2011, $bn earlier ’000 with offices ’000 alumni
Bain & Company 2.1 17.3 5.5 31 9 Mitt Romney,(Boston) Meg Whitman
Boston Consulting 3.1 14.5 6.2 43 14 Binyamin Netanyahu,Group (Boston) Bob Kagle
McKinsey & Company 5.3 12.4 17 50 26 Sheryl Sandberg,(New York) James Gorman, William Hague
INFOGRAPHIC CONTACT SHEET Issue date: May 11th–17th 2013 2/2
2Terminal decline?
Source: Federal Reserve
US primary dealers’ holdings of corporate bonds, $bn
2001 0302 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 130
50
100
150
200
250
6Thank heavens for Asia
Source: Dealogic
Global investment banks, share of revenue by region, %
1999
2012
Americas AsiaPacific
Europe, Middle Eastand Africa
54.7 7.8 37.5
44.5 22.5 33.0
6.58
9.94
Total$trn
1Coming down in the world
Source: Knight Capital Group
S&P 500 median bid-ask spread, US cents
2003 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
4A cross to bear
Source: Deutsche Bank*Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America,
Citigroup, Morgan Stanley †Forecast
Big investment banks*, market share by revenue, %
30
40
50
60
2006 07 08 09 10 11 12 13†
Fixed income, currencies and commodities
Equities
5Depleted ranks
Source: Bureau of Labour Statistics
US securities brokerage industry, employees, ’000
2001 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
300
350
250
200
400
3The heavyweights
Source: JPMorgan *FICC, equities and investment-banking division
Investment banks’ global market share by revenue*, 2014 forecast, %
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
JPMorgan Chase
Goldman Sachs
Citigroup
Bank of America
Deutsche Bank
Barclays Capital
Morgan Stanley
HSBC
49% M
ARKET SHARE
*28 large banks †Purchasing-power parity, current prices ‡Total revenues, 18 large banksSources: Bank of England; Boston Consulting Group; IMF; Jorda; Google Trends; Nomura; Schularick and Taylor (2011)
The long and the short of it
Average weekly search volumes for “investment banking”, 100=peak
Bank assets as % of GDP, selected countriesCapital-markets and investment-banking revenue*, $bn
2004 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 130
20
40
60
80
100
0
100
200
300
400
500
1870 90 1910 30 50 70 90 2008
Minimum/maximum rangeAverage
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1989 95 2000 05 10 13
World GDP†
$trnTotal investment-banking revenue‡
$bn
0
100
200
300
400
2002 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Equities salesand trading
Fixed-income salesand trading
Emerging markets Origination and advisory
Onwards and upwards?
Source: Scripps Institutionof Oceanography
*Parts per million,measured at the Mauna
Loa Observatory, Hawaii
CO2 concentration, ppm*
1958 70 80 90 2000 1310
300
320
340
360
380
400
420
T i b e t a np l a t e a u
Ganges
Irrawaddy
Salween
Yellow
Yangzi
Mekong
Brahmaputra
Indus
Amu Darya
Syr Darya
I N D I A
C H I N A
Hi
ma l a y a s
Karakoram
Pam
irs
Dehradun
PermafrostGlacier
500km
Falling or flat?
Sources: Bureau of Labour Statistics; Bureau of Economic Analysis
*All items excludingfood and energy
Core inflation*, % increase on a year earlier
2007 08 09 10 11 12 130
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Consumer price index (all urban consumers)
Consumer price index, chain-weightedPrice index of personal consumptionexpenditures (PCE)
Recession-proof jobs
Source: Bureau of Labour Statistics *January-September
Employment, % change on a year earlier
6
4
2
0
2
4
+
–
2001 03 05 07 09 11 12*
Health care and social assistanceTotal industries
Youth* unemployment rates
Source: ILO *15- to 24-year-olds
2013 forecast, %
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Middle East
North AfricaDevelopedeconomiesWorldSub-SaharanAfricaEast Asia
South Asia