industry solutions for downstream challenges · 2 contents downstream challenges introduction to...
TRANSCRIPT
1
David Constable - Sasol Limited
20th World Petroleum CongressIndustry solutions for downstream challenges
2
Contents
Downstream challenges
Introduction to Sasol
Global trends and Sasol’s response
The GTL and New Energy model
Partnership delivering value – the Mozambique gas project
ORYX GTL – a perfect platform for growth
3
Drive for cleaner fuelsand reduced emissionsfrom regulators
Downstream challenges
Desire for improvedefficiency and performance by customers
Growing expectationsfrom shareholdersand stakeholders
The downstream ability to deliver technologies that offer cleaner, cost effective and more energy efficient solutions will define the 21st century...
4
Contents
Downstream challenges
Introduction to Sasol
Global trends and Sasol’s response
The GTL and New Energy model
Partnership delivering value – the Mozambique gas project
ORYX GTL – a perfect platform for growth
5
> Sasol is an integrated energy and chemicals company
> The world’s largest producer of synthetic fuels
> World leader in gas-to-liquids (GTL) and coal-to-liquids (CTL) technology
> 60 years’ experience in CTL, GTL and related technology
> Operating and technical expertise
> Strong intellectual property portfolio (372 registered patent families)
Introduction to Sasol
6
GTL/CTL technology (LT or HT)
Fuel components
Co-products
Chemical feedstock
Refining and blending
Chemical workup
Recovery and beneficiation
Exploration and production of feedstock• Coal• Gas• Oil
Crude oil – open market purchases
Chemical feedstock – third party producer
New Energy New Energy
Syngas production Marketing
of products
Our integrated business model
7
Contents
Downstream challenges
Introduction to Sasol
Global trends and Sasol’s response
The GTL and New Energy model
Partnership delivering value – the Mozambique gas project
ORYX GTL – a perfect platform for growth
8
Global GDP has recovered to above pre-crisis levels,but growth is primarily driven by developing countries
90
110
130
150
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F
GD
P in
dex
Historic GDP Index (including 2011 forecast) (2005 as base year)
Emerging and developing nations GDP Advanced nations GDP World GDP
Advanced economies only likely to exceed pre-crisis GDP levels in 2011
Source: IMF, own calculations
9
Global economic recovery has been underpinnedby growth in emerging markets
-3
0
3
6
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F
GD
P gr
owth
(%)
Regional and world GDP growth (% growth y/y)
Advanced nations GDP Emerging and developing nations GDP World GDP
Source: IMF, own calculations
10
Emerging trends
> Global energy usage is shifting from oil to gas and renewables
> With advent of shale and other unconventional gas resources, gas could be the bridge to new energy for next ~30 years
> Coal maintains its share of energy supply
Global trendsThe twenty first century – ‘century of gas’
Source: BP Statistical Review
Global energy fuel mix (%)50
40
30
20
10
0
1970 1990 2010 2030
Oil
Coal
Gas
HydroNuclear
Renewables
11
Global trendsSasol’s response
De-link of oil/gas price ratio creates a window for GTL and other gas based projects
World population increases by up to 50% by mid-century –increased demand for chemical products
Pressure of carbon intensity
• Downstream chemicals businesses
Sasol New Energy will be developing options and new technologies for Sasol in a carbon and water constrained world
• Opportunity to acquirefurther shale gas
• GTL opportunities
Sasol recently acquired 50% of Farrell Creek and Cypress A shale gas assets in Canada
• Focus is on low- orno-carbon electricity
• Accelerated exploration in southern cone of Africa- Mozambique, Botswana
Sasol studying world-scale ethane cracker opportunity in the USA
12
> In 2011 chemicals generated one third of group operating profit
> Chemicals provide a balance to Sasol’s GTL portfolio, and are less dependent on oil/gas ratio
> Optimising integration opportunities spreads risk and maximises value
> Some Sasol chemical businesses have established competitive market positions
> Selected chemicals are forecasted to grow at 1,2 – 1,5 times GDP
> Our chemicals businesses benefit from the group’s innovation
Sasol’s responseThe role of chemicals
13
Sasol patented and commercialised the selective production of 1-octene in 2010
> Next generation tetramerisation technology already in progress
> Construction underway of state-of-the art tetramerisation unit in Louisiana, USA
- An ideal site – ethylene feedstock sourced directly from our existing ethane cracker
- Anticipated production of 100 000 metric tons per year of combined 1-octene/1-hexene
> Sasol currently supplies 350 000 tons of co-monomers per year – a quarter of the world’s requirements
> New unit will significantly increase product yield to support expected customer demand
Sasol’s response Ethylene tetramerisation
14
Artist’s impression of Sasol tetramerisation plant
15
Contents
Downstream challenges
Introduction to Sasol
Global trends and Sasol’s response
The GTL and New Energy model
Partnership delivering value – the Mozambique gas project
ORYX GTL – a perfect platform for growth
16
> Electricity generated from two 100 MW open-cycle gas turbines at Sasol Synfuels, Secunda, being sold to Eskom (commissioned 2010)
> New R1,8bn Sasolburg power project (140MW) in execution – operational in 2013
> Increases self generated power capacity to 60% by 2013
> Reduces CO₂ emissions by ~1Mt/a
> Progressing on a gas-to-power opportunity in Mozambique
> Other renewable energy and low-carbon electricity initiatives, including concentrated solar power and biofuels under investigation
Sasol New EnergyExploring new energy options and technologies
17
Open cycle gas turbine Secunda, South Africa
18
In operation and highly successful
> Joint venture between Qatar Petroleum (51%) and Sasol (49%)
> 32 400 bbl/d design capacity, producing ultra-low sulphur diesel, naphtha and LPG
> Stable operation (80 - 90% capacity utilisation)
> Instantaneous production record of 36 860 bbl/d achieved
> Production to be increased by 10% through de-bottlenecking
> Investigating the possibility of an expansion
> Highly profitable venture with handsome returns to shareholders
ORYX GTL, Sasol’s GTL flagship
19
ORYX GTL
20
> Uzbekneftegaz, Sasol and PETRONAS established a joint venture – December 2009
> Executing joint FEED study
> Targeting nominal plant capacity of 1,4 million tons per annum
> Product slate target – GTL diesel, GTL kerosene and GTL naphtha
> The plant will be located near the town of Karshi in the southern part of Uzbekistan
> Gas feedstock from adjacent Shurtan Gas Chemical Complex
Uzbekistan GTL Karshi, Uzbekistan
21
> Sasol recently acquired 50% of Farrell Creek and Cypress A in the Montney Basin
> One of the most prolific shale plays in North America
> All year access and excellent infrastructure
> Sasol/Talisman partnership on 108 000 total net acres land –circa 20 tcf of contingent resource
> The feasibility study of a 96 000 bbl/d facility in Canada has commenced
Sasol major acquisitionsCanada – shale gas
Montney Basin, British Colombia
22
Contents
Downstream challenges
Introduction to Sasol
Global trends and Sasol’s response
The GTL and New Energy model
Partnership delivering value – the Mozambique gas project
ORYX GTL – a perfect platform for growth
23
A pioneering project in partnership between Sasol and the Mozambique and South African governments
> Sasol 70% (Operator), Companhia Moçambicana Hidrocarbonetos 25%, International Finance Corporation 5%, in natural gas central processing facility
> 50% Sasol and 25% each with two governments in an 865 km pipeline from Temane in Mozambique to Secunda in South Africa
> On stream 2004
> Currently produces ~300 MMscf/d
Mozambique natural gas project
24
> Sasol’s operation has become a catalyst for social development
> US$13 million spent on social projects in Mozambique
> 60% of employees in Mozambique are local
> 205 contracts valued at US$64 million awarded to local service providers in 2011
> Close dialogue with local communities assists in implementation of needs-driven social and medical projects
Positive impact of natural gas operations in Mozambique
25
Contents
Downstream challenges
Introduction to Sasol
Global trends and Sasol’s response
The GTL and New Energy model – value adding to gas
Partnership delivering value – Qatar, Canada and Mozambique
ORYX GTL – a perfect platform for growth
26
> Attracted the global financial community to invest in first-of-a-kind technology
> Qatar via ORYX GTL used advanced chemical engineering to diversify product slate
> ORYX GTL has been producing for over four years
> A clear example of how the downstream industry can monetise a national asset
ORYX GTL Helping Qatar realise its vision to be the ‘gas capital of the world’
27
ORYX GTL is what success looks like
28
Thank you