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    ALLIANCE BUSINESS SCHOOL

    Section EGroup 10

    PGP 2008-10

    A Study onGrowth and Recent Developments in

    PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY

    Submitted To:Dr. R. Venkatamuni Reddy

    Submitted by:Atreyee Nandy - 08PG294Harkirt Kaur - 08PG306Nalini Sharma - 08PG317Sanaa Sadique - 08PG341Santosh Prasad - 08PG342

    Vineeth Gangadharan -

    08PG355

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    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    We would like to express our heartfelt gratitude and thankfulness towards our Industry

    Analytics professors, Dr. R.Venkatamuni Reddy and Dr. Gervasio S.F.L Mendes for

    giving us an opportunity to work on this project, which has helped us gain an in depth

    understanding of the Indian Pharmaceutical Industry.

    The timely advice given by Prof. Reddy and Prof. Mendes went a long way in

    ensuring that we do not lose focus while working on the project. The constant

    guidance and meaningful suggestions provided by them also helped in making this

    project a relevant and a rich source of learning for the students of Industry Analytics.

    We hope that this project would enable the readers understand the working of Indian

    Pharmaceutical Industry in detail.

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    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    The Indian pharmaceutical industry has come a long way from waiting for imports of

    bulk drugs from global players for re-processing to becoming an industry which is

    driving the product development and is breaking new grounds in medical research

    worldwide.

    The Indian pharmaceutical industry has a unique amalgamation of two major critical

    factors that make it so attractive and thereby add impetus to its growth. These are:

    The process patent regime

    Price controls

    The implementation of Good Manufacturing Practices has further supplemented the

    growth of this industry which is now producing bulk drugs for all the major therapy

    segments, which are now most in demand. In addition to this, the competencies that

    India has achieved in process re-engineering and organic synthesis have helped derive

    the most cost-effective solutions which are also compliant with the quality standards.

    The purpose of this report is to provide an extensive outlook on the pharmaceutical

    industry. The broad objectives of this report are:

    To study the growth and trend of Indian Pharmaceutical Industry and its

    contribution to Indian economy.

    To study the bottlenecks in patenting and suggest suitable measures in the light

    of the problematic issues in patenting with a focus on TRIPS Agreement.

    To track the significance of Mergers and Acquisitions in consolidation of

    Pharmaceutical Industry.

    The report provides a complete synopsis on the Indian pharmaceutical market and its

    present demographics. The reports also presents the future prospects of the industry,

    which is an indicative of vast potential and growth opportunities, and also the possible

    challenges that the Indian pharmaceutical industry may face ahead.

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    CONTENTS

    Chapter 1: GLOBAL REVIEW 6

    Origins and Evolution

    Global Scenario

    Therapeutic Market Segmentation

    Chapter 2: COUNTRY REVIEW 16

    Indian Pharmaceutical Industry

    Industry Structure

    Domestic Growth Drivers Domestic Exports

    Critical Success Factors

    Pharmaceutical Regulatory Bodies In India

    Chapter 3: PATENT- The key facet of the Indian Pharmaceutical Industry 35

    Background of Pharmaceutical Industry with respect to patents

    Patents Amendment Act (2005)

    Scenario Post Trips

    Novartis Case

    Chapter 4: PRICING OF DRUGS 45

    Pricing of Drugs-Principle and Laws

    Chapter 5: Merger and Acquisitions in the Indian Pharmaceutical Industry 54

    Drivers in Mergers and Acquisitions

    Mergers and Acquisition Trends in India

    Mergers and Acquisitions-Challenges

    Chapter 6: Framework of Analysis 66

    Qualitative Analysis

    Quantitative Analysis

    Chapter 7: Outlook 98

    Future Scenario

    Issues and Challenges

    Vision-2020

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    increased its focus on novel drugs, good delivery system, and new chemical entities.

    The other factor which is driving the growth of global pharmaceutical market is

    speeding up regulation in bio-generic segment. Moreover there will be shift in growth

    from top ten markets to emerging economies. The global pharmaceutical market will

    change its shape from primary care driven to specialty care driven that is oncology

    and biotech. The global pharmaceutical industry will take a shape of virtually

    integrated pharmaceutical company. There is a widening gap between mature market

    performance and emerging market performance, which will require many

    pharmaceutical companies all over the globe to make changes throughout their

    operations from shifting their sales and market, revising there strategies, changing

    there business models to fuel there growth.

    For the global pharmaceutical industry, 2008 will be a year of softening growth and a

    widening gap in performance between the increasingly generalized and cost-

    constrained mature markets, as well as the burgeoning pharmerging sectors where

    demand is growing and economies and access to healthcare are expanding at record

    levels. Marking an important inflection point for the industry, for the first time the

    worlds seven key markets (US, Japan, UK, Germany, France, Spain and Italy) will

    drive less than half of the industrys growth in 2008, while the pharmerging markets

    will contribute nearly a quarter of growth worldwide (Figure 1). Further divergence

    will be apparent between primary care-driven and specialist-driven therapy areas, and

    between therapy classes with major unmet needs and innovations, and those

    dominated by generics.

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    RECORD

    LOW

    GROWTH

    FOR THE

    US

    In the US,

    pharmaceutical growth will slow to 4-5% in 2008, marking an all-time low for this

    market. This is due in part to a lessening of the volume growth generated by the

    Medicare Part D prescription drug benefit. It also reflects the continued high level of

    genericisation in this market with approximately $15 billion in branded products

    expected to lose patents in the 2008 timeframe. The US will also continue to feel the

    impact of heightened safety scrutiny, as the US FDA acquires more power, slowing

    the introduction of new medicines.

    A similar level of growth is anticipated in the top five European markets (France,

    Germany, UK, Italy and Spain), as the industry faces significant generics exposure

    and governments struggle to manage their aging populations and embrace new

    treatment innovations (Figure 2). Increasing therapeutic substitution can be expected

    in these markets, along with an upturn in parallel trade, particularly with specialist-

    driven products. Cost-saving initiatives are likely to become more aggressive and will

    include price cuts, contracting and rebating, as well as the expansion of reference

    pricing schemes in Germany, Italy and Spain. Value growth in these markets will be

    limited to areas of unmet needs. In Japan, cost-containment drives including

    incentives for prescribing generics will also impact market performance as the

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    and greater

    government

    involvement in

    healthcare

    policy. This

    involvement

    extends to

    annual price

    cuts, enforced

    generic

    prescribing and

    an anticorruption

    campaign that

    targets

    promotional activity, product approvals and manufacturing.

    Overall, the global pharmaceutical market will grow 5-6% to over $735 billion in

    2008, down from 6- 7% in 2007 (Figure 3). Key dynamics shaping this growth are the

    continued wave of genericisation, expanded use of innovative specialty products,

    increasing reliance on value-based medicine and higher levels of uncertainty around

    safety issues.

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    TOP TEN PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANIES BY WORLDWIDE SALES (2007-08)

    Sales (US$ billion)

    Source: IMS Health. Intelligence 360 Global Pharmaceutical Perspective

    TOP TEN PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANIES WORLDWIDE BY TOTAL

    R&D EXPENDITURE

    Fourteen pharmaceutical companies featured in the top 50 R&D spenders according to

    European Commission research in 2007-08, including 3 in the top ten:

    Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson, and GlaxoSmithKline. Other companies to feature were

    Sanofiaventis, Roche, Novartis, Merck, AstraZeneca, Amgen, Bayer, Eli Lilly, Wyeth

    and Abbott.

    Pharmaceutical companies ranked as the highest sector of R&D investment across

    the worlds top 1400 companies, spending over 70 million euros.

    In 2007, Pfizer spent nearly US$7.6 billion on R&D globally, followed by Johnson

    & Johnson (US$7.1 billion) and GlaxoSmithKline (US$6.9 billion).

    Of the top ten pharmaceutical companies, Amgen spent the largest proportion on

    R&D with expenditure equalling over 24% of total sales.

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    THERAPEUTIC MARKET SEGMENTATION

    Commencing with repackaging and preparation of formulations from imported bulk

    drugs, the Indian industry has moved on to become a net foreign exchange earner, and

    has been able to underline its presence in the global pharmaceutical arena as one of

    the top 35 drug producers worldwide. Currently, there are more than 2,400 registered

    pharmaceutical producers in India. There are 24,000 licensed pharmaceutical

    companies. Of the 465 bulk drugs used in India, approximately 425 are manufactured

    here. India has more drug-manufacturing facilities that have been approved by the

    U.S. Food and Drug Administration than any country other than the US. Indian

    generics companies supply 84% of the AIDS drugs that Doctors without Borders uses

    to treat 60,000 patients in more than 30 countries. However total pharmaceutical

    market is as follows:

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    It is very much evident from above figure that chronic therapy area (Gastro Cardiac,

    Respiratory, Neuro Psychiatry and Ant diabetics) is dominating the market in long

    run.

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    CHAPTER 2

    COUNTRY REVIEW

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    INTRODUCTION: INDIAN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY

    Pharmaceutical Industry in India is one of the largest and most advanced among the

    developing countries. It is ranked 4th in volume terms and 11th in value terms

    globally. It provides employment to millions and ensures that essential drugs at

    affordable prices are available to the vast population of India. Indian Pharmaceutical

    Industry has attained wide ranging capabilities in the complex field of drug

    manufacture and technology. From simple pain killers to sophisticated antibiotics and

    complex cardiac compounds, almost every type of drug is now made indigenously.

    Indian Pharmaceutical Industry is playing a key role in promoting and sustaining

    development in the vital field of medicines. Around 70% of the country's demand for

    bulk drugs, drug intermediates, pharmaceutical formulations, chemicals, tablets,

    capsules, orals and vaccines is met by Indian pharmaceutical industry.

    A number of Indian pharmaceutical companies adhere to highest quality standards and

    are approved by regulatory authorities in USA and UK.

    The Indian pharmaceutical industry traditionally relied on reverse engineering i.e.

    product copying, through which vast profits were made. In recent years, however, the

    larger domestic companies have realised the need to undertake original research and /

    or penetrate into the regulated generics markets in the USA/EU in order to survive in

    the global market. At the same time, the Indian pharmaceutical industry is renowned

    for supplying affordable generic versions of patented drugs for illnesses like

    HIV/AIDS to some of the worlds poorest countries.

    Some of the strategies that have been followed by Indian pharmaceutical companies

    for their growth in the global markets have been as follows:

    Geographic diversification with few companies focussing on increasing

    presence in the regulated markets and others exploring the

    developing/under-developed markets of the world.

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    As a part of diversification strategy, some of the companies have acquired

    brands, facilities and businesses overseas. Some companies have even

    started their local marketing in foreign markets.

    Partnerships for supply of bulk drugs and formulations with the genericcompanies as well as innovators.

    For regulated markets such as the US, there are companies focussing on

    value added generics, niche segments or patent challenges in the US.

    Focus on offering research and manufacturing services on a contractual

    basis(CMOs and CROs)

    Apart from these strategies Indian companies have to devise newer strategies

    continuously to survive in the highly competitive global market in an industry that is

    characterised by - high capital requirement, high technical requirement, high process

    skills, high value addition prospects, high export volumes, high market sophistication.

    Indian companies are following the route of mergers and acquisitions to make inroads

    in the foreign markets. They need to consolidate further in different parts of the world

    to become trans-national players. Indian companies will have to rise above the

    statement of Michael Porter (1990), that most multi-national firms are just national

    firms with international operations. They shall certainly be at an advantage, as their

    strong national identities will give them a competitive advantage in the global

    markets.

    INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

    The Pharmaceutical industry in India is fragmented with over 3,000 small/medium

    sized generic pharmaceutical manufacturers. It has over 20,000 units out of which 300

    units are in the organized sector; while others exist in the small scale/unorganised

    sector. The leading 250 pharmaceutical companies control 70% of the market with

    market leader holding nearly 7% of the market share. There are also 5 Central Public

    Sector Units that manufacture drugs. These companies are:

    Indian Drugs & Pharmaceuticals

    Hindustan Antibiotics Ltd.

    Bengal Chemical and Pharmaceuticals Ltd.

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    Ayurveda is compiled in Charak Samhita and Sushruta Samhita. The curative

    treatment lies in drugs, diet and general mode of life.

    Siddha: The Siddha system is one of the oldest Indian systems of medicine. Siddha

    means achievement. Siddhas were saintly figures who achieved healing through the

    practice of yoga. The Siddha system does not look merely at a disease but takes into

    account a patients age, sex, race, habits, environment, diet , physiological constitution

    and so forth. Siddha medicines have been effective in curing some diseases, and

    further work is needed to truly understand why this system works.

    Unani: The Unani system originated in Greece and progressed to India during the

    medieval period. It involves promotion of positive health and prevention of disease.

    The system is based on the humoral theory i.e. the presence of blood, phlegm, yellow

    bile and black bile. A persons temperament is accordingly expressed as sanguine,

    phlegmatic, choleric or melancholic. Drugs derived from plant, metal, mineral and

    animal origins are used in this system.

    Homeopathy: Homoeopathy is a branch of therapeutics that treats the patient on the

    principle of SIMILIA SIMILIBUS CURENTUR which simply means Let likes

    be cured by likes. Homeopathy seeks to stimulate the body's defense mechanisms

    and processes so as to prevent or treat illness. Treatment involves giving very small

    doses of substances called remedies that, according to homeopathy, would produce the

    same or similar symptoms of illness in healthy people if they were given in larger

    doses. Treatment in homeopathy is individualized (tailored to each person).

    Homeopathic practitioners select remedies according to a total picture of the patient,

    including not only symptoms but lifestyle, emotional and mental states, and other

    factors.

    Yoga and Naturopathy: Yoga and Naturopathy are ways of life. In naturopathy one

    applies simple laws of nature. It advocates proper attention to eating and living habits.

    It also involves hydrotherapy, mud packs, baths, massage and so forth. Yoga consists

    of eight components: restraint, observance of austerity, physical postures, breathing

    exercises, restraining of the sense organs, contemplation, meditation and Samadhi.

    Increasing interest exists in revisiting these ancient drug systems.

    INDUSTRY SEGMENTATION

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    Indian pharmaceutical industry can be widely classified into bulk drugs, formulations

    and contract research. Bulk drugs are the Indian name for Active Pharmaceuticals

    Ingredients (API). Formulations cover both branded products and generics. Indian

    pharmaceutical sector is self sufficient in meeting domestic demand and exports

    successfully to various markets globally. The existence of process patents in India till

    January 2005 fuelled the growth of domestic pharmaceutical companies and

    developed them in areas like organic synthesis and process engineering, as a result of

    which, Indian pharmaceuticals sector is able to meet almost 95 percent of the

    countrys pharmaceutical needs. India is globally recognized as a low cost, high

    quality bulk drugs and formulations manufacturer and supplier. Contract Research, a

    nascent industry in India has witnessed commendable growth in the last few years. As

    per Yes Bank /OPPI report (2007-08), formulation segment (including domestic

    formulation and formulation exports) constituted 72%of the total pharmaceutical

    industry (in terms of sales) while bulk drugs and contract research constituted 25%

    and 3% of pharmaceutical industry respectively.

    Fig: Segment-wise sales

    BULK DRUGS

    Bulk drug industry is the backbone of the Indian pharmaceutical industry. Growth of

    Indian bulk drug industry in the last five decades has been impressive and highest

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    among developing countries. From a mere processing industry, Indian bulk drug

    industry has evolved into sophisticated industry today, meeting global standards in

    production, technology and quality control. Today, India stands among the top five

    producers of bulk drugs in the world. The market is fragmented with far too many

    players. About 300 organised companies are involved in the production of bulk drugs

    in India. Over 70 percent of Indias bulk drug production is exported to more than 50

    countries and the balance is sold locally to other formulators. Indian bulk drug

    industry is mainly concentrated in the following regional belts - Mumbai to

    Ankleshwar, Hyderabad to Madras and Chandigarh. Around, 18000 bulk drug

    manufacturers exist in India. Some major producers of bulk drugs in Indian

    pharmaceutical industry are Ranbaxy Laboratories, Sun Pharma, Cadila, Wockhardt,

    Aurobindo Pharma, Cipla, Dr. Reddys Laboratories, Orchid Pharmaceuticals &

    Chemicals, Nicholas Piramal, Lupin, Aristo Pharmaceuticals, etc. Most are involved

    in bulk as well as formulations while a few are solely into bulk drugs.

    India is the worlds fifth largest producer of bulk drugs. The market size is expected to

    grow at higher percentages in future years with more and more international

    companies depending on India to meet their bulk-drug supply needs. Moreover, India

    is way ahead of competitors in the total number of Drug Master File (DMF) filings.

    Of the overall DMF filings to US FDA, the portion of filings by Indian players has

    jumped from around 14% in 2000 to 46% of total filings in 2008( January-June) This

    growth in proportion speaks volumes about the quality standards followed in Indian

    manufacturing facilities.

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    Fig: Increasing share of Indian companies in DMF filings (US FDA)

    (SOURCE: CRISINFAC, YES BANK/ OPPI)

    The growing number of DMF filings signifies the increase in number of contracts that

    Indian players have garnered. While India has recorded 1671 DMF filings, China

    shows a tally of 520, the second largest number of DMF filings after India. In 2008

    (January-June), Indias DMF filings were around 3.5 times that of China -187 from

    India vis--vis 51 from China.

    The bulk drug segment is a low-margin and volume-driven business. The thrust is on

    manufacturing. In manufacturing operation, efficiency through better process skills to

    reduce both manufacturing time and cost is critical. Low cost manufacturing is a

    distinct advantage gained by Indian companies over a period of time with a steep

    learning curve. Bulk Drugs exports have grown significantly in the past on account of

    growth in generic industry, increasing share of Indian companies in DMF filings and

    contract manufacturing opportunity.

    Bulk drugs exports grew robustly by 28% CAGR between 2001-02 and 2007-08 to

    reach an estimated USD4.2 billion.

    Fig. Indias Bulk Drug Export (CRISINFAC, YES BANK/ OPPI)

    As already explained, India has carved a niche for itself by being one of the largest

    bulk drug suppliers. India offers a number of distinctive advantages in the

    pharmaceutical industry, as illustrated in the figure below:

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    Fig: Advantage India-API

    (SOURCE: CRISINFAC, YES BANK/ OPPI)

    India has many local manufacturing equipment manufacturers. These equipments are

    of high quality and low cost, thus reducing the cost of capital. According to industry

    estimates, Indian companies are able to reduce the upfront capital cost of setting up a

    project by as much as 25-50%due to locally manufactured equipment and high quality

    technology/engineering skills. Competition in the Indias domestic formulation market

    has made it inevitable for API suppliers to continuously develop alternative

    production methods to improve yield or reduce costs. This ensures that India has a

    significant cost advantage due to process engineering.

    Apart from availability of a high number of skilled chemists, India also offers

    scientists with vast experience and unmatched skills. The scientific staff in India

    though equivalent or better qualified are also available at a fraction of the cost. This

    makes Indian research firms more competitive than many international firms while

    being cost competitive. Labour costs are also low in India, being almost 1/7 th of that in

    many developed countries and offer an obvious cost advantage.

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    FORMULATIONS

    Formulations are broadly categorized into patented drugs and generic drugs. A

    patented drug is an innovative formulation that is patented for a period of time

    (usually 20 years) from the date of its approval. A generic drug is a copy of an expired

    patented drug that is similar in dosage, safety, strength, method of consumption,

    performance and intended use.

    Formulation Industry can be subdivided into two segments:

    Domestic Formulation Industry

    Indian Formulation Exports

    Domestic Formulation Industry

    Between 2002 and 2007, the domestic formulation industry grew at a CAGR of 14%

    from around USD4.3 billion in 2002 to USD 8.4 billion in 2007. Demand in India is

    growing markedly due to rising population, increasing per capita income, increasing

    access to medicine, especially in the rural areas and an increasing population of over

    sixty years of age.

    Fig: Growth in domestic formulation industry (OPPI, ORGIMS)

    (SOURCE: CRISINFAC, YES BANK/ OPPI

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    multinationals and global pharmaceutical companies. The Indian pharmaceutical

    outsourcing market was valued at USD1.27m in 2007 and is expected to reach

    USD3.33 billion by 2010, growing at a CAGR of 37.6%. The Indian CRAMS market

    stood at USD1.21 billion in 2007, and is estimated to reach USD3.16 billion by 2010.

    India holds the lion's share of the world's contract research business as activity in the

    pharmaceutical market continues to explode in this region. Over 15 prominent

    contract research organisations (CROs) are now operating in India attracted by her

    ability to offer efficient R&D on a low-cost basis. Thirty five per cent of business is in

    the field of new drug discovery and the rest 65 per cent of business is in the clinical

    trials arena. India offers a huge cost advantage in the clinical trials domain compared

    to Western countries. The cost of hiring a chemist in India is one-fifth of the cost of

    hiring a chemist in the West.

    DOMESTIC GROWTH DRIVERS:

    Pharmaceutical sector is one of the most globalized sectors among the Indian

    industries. The downside is pharmaceutical sector traditionally has been immune to

    business cycles. The upside of Indian pharmaceutical sector, however, is influenced by

    a mix of global and local factors. Global factors are important as most Indian

    companies ship a major portion of their production to overseas markets. Also,

    multinationals operating in the Indian market follows the central research and global

    marketing model. Their actions are largely dictated by global trends although local

    issues are given due importance. The domestic market is critical for both Indian

    companies and multinationals. For Indian companies, the domestic market lends

    stability to bottom line and offer means to cope with fluctuations in global demand.

    The growth drivers for Indian pharmaceutical market are:

    Growing Population and Improving Incomes: Household incomes are rising

    in India; the proportion of middleclass in Indian population is also increasing.

    Statistics show a clear migration of population towards middle and upper

    classes. Rise in income levels is always accompanied by greater demand for

    medical facilities and pharmaceutical products. Middle class is already 70

    million strong and is expected to grow even fast, accounting for a higher share

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    DOMESTIC EXPORTS

    Pharmaceutical exports touched a level of Rs. 24942 crores during 2006-07. Exports

    constitute a substantial part of the total production of pharmaceuticals in India.

    YEAR EXPORT(Rs. in Crores)

    1998-1999 6256.06

    1999-2000 7230.16

    2000-2001 8757.47

    2001-2002 9751.20

    2002-2003 12826.10

    2003-2004 15213.24

    2004-2005 17857.80

    2005-2006 22578.98

    2006-2007 24942.00

    (Source:-Directorate General of Commercial Intelligence and Statistics - DGCIS, Kolkata)

    The formulations contribute nearly 55% of the total exports and the rest 45% comes

    from bulk drugs. Pharmaceutical exports clocked $7.2 billion in 2007-08, accountingfor six per cent of the countrys total exports, according to Pharmexcil, the

    Pharmaceutical Export Promotional Council.

    CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS

    The rules of pharmaceutical business are changing. Indian pharmaceutical companies

    can no longer get away with plundering intellectual properties of multinational

    companies. Pharmaceutical business has become a new ballgame altogether after the

    introduction of product patents in January 2005.

    (a) NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT

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    Pre 2005: New product development efforts of Indian pharmaceutical companies in

    process patents era were limited to reverse engineering molecules discovered by other

    companies. Thanks to absence of product patents, Indian companies did not have to go

    through long winded drug development process. Nor did Indian companies have to

    expend any effort on research focus. Indian companies simply zeroed in on

    blockbuster drugs and tried to come up with an alternative process as fast as they

    could. The focus of the Indian companies was to launch a copy of a blockbuster drug

    ahead of their rivals in India and abroad.

    Key areas to focus on R&D for Indian companies:

    1. Potential product identification

    Complex API

    Complex finished product

    Commercial potential of products

    Out-licensing opportunity to MNCs

    2. Novel Drug Delivery System (NDDS)

    3. New Drug Development

    Post 2005: A large number of drugs are going off patent in the next few years.

    According to IMH Health, more than $60 billion worth of drugs are going off

    patent by 2011. Thus, Indian companies will not be short of new products for at least

    another two years. In the long run, however Indian companies may find it hard to

    make money from drugs coming off patent. Already competition in generic market is

    intense and likely to increase further in the future. Hence, new molecules rather than

    generics will drive revenues and profits in the product patents area. Indian companies

    need to discover new drugs either through their own efforts or research alliances.

    Perhaps licensing deals with multinationals could also provide Indian companies

    access to new drugs. Focus on basic research will come with its own issues. Indian

    companies will have to acquire the skills of identifying research areas that offer

    excellent revenue and profit potential. This will entail a closer tracking of disease

    profiles and related therapies as well as keeping a close tab on the research

    programmes of rivals. Besides, Indian companies will have to pay more attention to

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    economics of drug development process. A product patent is granted for a period of

    20 years

    (b) THERAPEUTIC COVERAGE

    Pre-2005: In the absence of product patents, Indian pharmaceutical companies did

    not feel the need to focus on specific therapeutic areas. Most Indian pharmaceutical

    companies eschewed narrow focus and tried to cover as many therapeutic areas as

    possible. Now the product portfolio of many Indian companies has considerable

    breadth and depth. Given the price controls in the market, diversification worked to

    the advantage of companies in the domestic markets. In the export markets, a wider

    product portfolio gave companies the option of picking and choosing from an array

    of opportunities.

    Post 2005: Opinion is divided over the therapeutic strategy that Indian companies

    should pursue in product patent era. Some companies believe that focus on select

    therapeutic segment will fetch them greater dividends in terms of new chemical

    entities and market share. Other companies believe such a strategy is risky given the

    size of Indian companies and that a big setback in research could sink the company.

    Instead such companies are pursuing a de-risking strategy of building a wide product

    portfolio. In the domestic market, such a strategy will result in economies of scale at

    production and marketing stage, putting the company in a better place to weather

    competition from multinationals. In the export markets even after the introduction of

    product patents, products under patent protection will comprise only 15 percent of

    the market. So a vast chunk of the market will be still open for competition although

    margins will be wafer thin.

    EXPORTS

    Pre-2005: Most Indian companies focused on exports. Exports improve the valuation

    of companies owing to higher margin in overseas markets. Indian companies built

    fortunes by making cheaper versions of blockbuster drugs and selling them in

    domestic and export markets. Indian companies built especially strong position in

    manufacture of bulk drugs. Out of the total exports, formulations constituted 55

    percent and bulk drugs constituted 45 percent. Success in export market allowed

    some Indian companies to build a strong position in the domestic market organically

    and through acquisitions of brands and companies.

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    Post 2005: Exports has continued to be a priority for Indian companies. Major

    blockbuster drugs will come off patent in the near future, creating a big generic

    opportunity for Indian companies. Also, a growing demand for anti-AIDS drugs in

    Africa will keep Indian companies busy. Exports have and will continue to provide

    Indian companies with the strength to withstand the onslaught of multinationals in

    the domestic market.

    (d) LOW COST PRODUCTION THROUGH SCALE

    Pre-2005: Indian pharmaceutical companies have mastered the science of producing

    drugs cheaply. Thanks to benign patents regime, Indian companies have developed a

    high level of chemical synthesis skills. The absence of development costs together

    with efficient production has enabled Indian companies to establish a solid position

    in bulk drug manufacturing. But scale did not receive as much importance as it

    should have, because the cost of Indian pharmaceutical companies was already low

    owing to aforesaid reasons. Many Indian companies did not find the return on

    investment of world class plants compelling enough.

    Post 2005: By 2011, drugs worth $60 billion will come off patent, presenting a huge

    generic opportunity to Indian companies. But the competition in the generic market

    will be brutal, resulting in thin margins. The cost of production will hold the key to

    success in the generic market. The production cost in turn depends on scale. Indian

    pharmaceutical companies need to build global scale to stand a chance in the generics

    market.

    PHARMACEUTICAL REGULATORY BODIES IN INDIA

    National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA)-

    NPPA is an organization of the Government of India which was established,

    to fix/ revise the prices of controlled bulk drugs and formulations and to

    enforce prices and availability of the medicines in the country, under the

    Drugs (Prices Control) Order, 1995.

    The organization is also entrusted with the task of recovering amounts

    overcharged by manufacturers for the controlled drugs from the consumers.

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    It also monitors the prices of decontrolled drugs in order to keep them at

    reasonable levels.

    Central Drugs Standard and Control Organization (CDSCO) -

    CDSCO lays down standards and regulatory measures of drugs, cosmetics,

    diagnostics and devices in the country. It regulates clinical trials and market

    authorization of new drugs. It also publishes the Indian Pharmacopeia. The main

    functions of the Central Drug Standard Control Organization (CDSCO) include

    control of the quality of drugs imported into the country, co-ordination of the activities

    of the State/UT drug control authorities, approval of new drugs proposed to be

    imported or manufactured in the country, laying down of regulatory measures and

    standards of drugs and acting as the Central Licensing Approving Authority in respect

    of whole human blood, blood products, large volume parenterals , sera and vaccines.

    The CDSCO functions from 4 zonal offices, 3 sub-zonal offices besides 7 port offices.

    The four Central Drug Laboratories carry out tests of samples of specific classes of

    drugs.

    Department of Chemicals & Petrochemicals (DCP)

    DCP is responsible for the policy, planning, development, and regulation of the

    chemical, petrochemical, and pharmaceutical industries in India. This department

    aims:

    To provide impartial and prompt services to the public in matters relating

    to chemical, pharmaceutical and petrochemical industries;

    To take steps to speedily redressal of grievances received;

    To formulate policies and initiate consultations with Industry associations

    and to amend them whenever required.

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    CHAPTER 3

    PATENT

    THE KEY FACET OF INDIAN

    PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY

    WHAT IS A PATENT?

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    Patent is a legal document granted by the government giving an inventor the

    exclusive right to make, use and sell an invention for a specified period of time. It is

    also available for significant improvements on previously invented articles. The

    underlying idea behind granting patents is to encourage innovators to advance the

    state of technology. According to the UN definition, a patent is a legally enforceable

    right granted by countrys government to its inventor.

    Patent Law represents one branch of a larger legal field known as intellectual

    property rights. Patent Law centres on the concept of novelty and non-obvious

    inventions. The invention must me legally useful. The imitators and all independent

    devisors are prevented from using the invention for duration of patent.

    BACKGROUND OF PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY WITH RESPECT TO

    PATENTS:

    Indian Pharmaceutical industry is undergoing fast paced changes. The Indian

    Generics market is witnessing rapid growth opening up immense opportunities for

    firms. This is further triggered by the fact that generics worth over $40 billion are

    going off patent in the coming few years which is close to 15% of the total

    prescription market of the US. The Indian pharmaceutical companies have been

    doing extremely well in developed markets such as US and Europe. The quality and

    affordability of generic drugs have made India a virtual pharmacy to the world.

    Nearly 70 percent of generic drugs manufactured in India are exported to other

    developing countries. The expansion of AIDS treatment over the past few years has

    been driven by the accessibility and affordability of generic ARVs (anti-retro viral

    drugs) from India.

    Pharmaceutical multinationals have maintained a low-key presence in Indian market

    due to absence of product patents and rigid price controls. In the domestic market,

    the share of Indian companies has steadily increased from around 20 per cent in 1970

    to 70 percent now

    The industry has thrived so far on reverse engineering skills exploiting the lack of

    process patent in the country. This has resulted in the Indian pharmaceutical players

    offering their products at some of the lowest prices in the world. The quality of the

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    products is reflected in the fact that India has the highest number of manufacturing

    plants approved by US FDA, which is next only to that in the US.

    Patents Act 1970 in its original form does not differentiate between Process and

    Product patents for medicines, food and chemicals. One of the important features of

    the Act was that it did not provide product patents for the three mentioned industries.

    These industrial sectors were covered by product patent only. In addition the Drug

    Price control Order, 1970 put a cap on the maximum price that could be charged and

    ensured that the life saving drugs are available at reasonable prices. The Act of 1970

    safeguards the interests of the inventor and consumer in an even-handed manner. The

    Act has been promulgated in keeping with the Socialistic Principles outlined in the

    Directive Principles of State Policy.

    Therefore with a regulatory system focused only on process patents, helped to

    establish the foundation of a strong and highly competitive domestic pharmaceutical

    industry which in the grip of a rigid price control framework transformed into a

    world supplier of bulk drugs and medicines at affordable prices to common man in

    India and the developing world.

    PATENTING' INDEPENDENCE: 1972

    The Indian Patents Act of 1972 granted independence to the Indian pharmaceutical

    industry. There was nothing much that Cipla or any other Indian pharmaceutical

    company could do before that.

    The hands of all the Indian pharmaceutical companies were tied by the then patent law

    that put the interest of foreign monopolies before the health of millions of suffering

    Indians. April 20, 1972 was a red-letter day for India. It was the day when the Patents

    Act (Act 39 of 1970) came into force, replacing the Indian Patents and Designs Act of

    1911. The new Patents Act abolished product patents and allowed process patents for

    seven years only.

    Come to think of it, the rationale behind the patent amendment of 1972 was not very

    different from the rationale behind the Independence movement. Our freedom-fighters

    essentially fought for the right to decide what was best for our country rather than be

    dictated to by foreign powers.

    The Indian Patents Act of 1972 granted the pharmaceutical sector the right to produce

    any drugs the country needed. It did away with the shackles imposed by monopoly. It

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    refused to let multinational corporations (MNCs) wear the noble garb of intellectual

    rights.

    If IT professionals give a thought to the significance of this old law they can

    easily imagine what could have been the plight of the Indian IT industry if Microsoft

    and other software giants were to prevent any Indian from doing any developmental

    work on their software platforms???

    There are no two opinions on the view that the Amendment brought by the Act in

    1972, played an important role in avoiding the health care catastrophe.

    In 1971, MNCs had an over 70 per cent share of the Indian pharmaceutical industry.

    In 2007, in a reversal of roles, Indian companies commanded 83 per cent. In 1971,

    Alembic was the only Indian among the top 12 companies in the Indian

    pharmaceutical market. In 2007, there are only three MNCs in the top-12 list.

    Pharmaceutical business models are changing. The world is now discovering India as

    a preferred place for clinical research. In more ways than one, the industry appears set

    to keep up its growth and progress, but for the 2005 Act.

    Now we shall see in the next section of the report what exactly does the Patent Act

    2005 indicate and suggest.

    PATENTS AMENDMENT ACT (2005)

    The Patent Amendment Act 2005 passed by the Parliament in its budget session of

    2005 brings the Indian Patent Act in full conformity with the intellectual property

    system in all respects. The major amendments introduced in Sections 2 and 3 of the

    India patent Act suggest:

    An invention in order to be patentable, should:

    (i) involve an inventive step capable of industrial application;

    (ii) involve technical advances as compared to the existing knowledge or having

    economic significance or both; and

    (iii) not be obvious to a person skilled in art.

    Section 3 outlines various situations where an invention (properly so called) can yet

    be not patentable.

    Section 3(d) of the Patents Act 1970 has been amended under the new Act to

    prescribe a class of discovery which cannot be subject matter of patent under the

    following clauses:

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    WHAT IMPLICATIONS DOES TRIPS HAVE FOR INDIAN

    PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY?

    If 1972 was motivated by national interest, 2005 was prompted by international

    pressure, by an ill-perceived need to "belong" to the international community. The

    Patents Act 1972 resurrected a flagging domestic pharmaceutical industry. This Act

    had a much wider purpose; to help the Indian who had to fight TB, diabetes and a

    multitude of diseases with affordable medicines.

    Every country has its own specific need-based patent laws, which are national laws.

    There is no harmonization in patent laws of different countries. Each country has to

    decide for itself its own destiny.

    Today we have a population of over 1,100 million. The diseases that used to worry us

    the most are still around. There is the additional scourge of HIV/AIDS. Millions of

    Indians need medicines. Most of them cannot afford to pay high prices.

    Going by global experience, product patents that are now again enforced, can only

    lead to monopolies and these, in turn, to high prices. Africa and the AIDS issue of

    1990-2000 is a clear example.

    India needs to build in enough safeguards even in our current patent law. Perhaps in

    our haste to join WTO, we neglected many important issues.

    A product patent system will make India dependent on the multinational companies

    for technology and for permission to produce the patented drug. Exorbitant prices

    will be charged and the Indian pharmaceutical industry will become subservient to

    the MNCs. They will lose the position that they had gained in the wake of the Act of

    1970.

    The immediate and the most drastic effect that TRIPS compliance and introduction

    of the new Act of 2005 will have will be with respect to the health sector in India.

    The patients are the ultimate beneficiaries of the pharmaceutical research and

    development. By denying product patents India will be able to encourage bulk

    generic drug production at cheap prices.

    However generics are not the only solution to counter the problem of access to

    medicines. Generic production of drugs will not necessarily result in the innovation

    of new and more effective drugs and by not acknowledging innovation India will run

    the risk of not having access to future medicines which will in turn affect public

    health.

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    The actual problem lies in the fact that the product patents not only increase the cost

    of the drugs and medicines, but that most of them fail to introduce research and

    development in the neglected diseases. Hence while on one side the introduction of

    product patents will help in development of new and more effective drugs, the

    problem still remains that the research and development undertaken by the drug

    manufactures evade the neglected diseases and the diseases which are region specific

    such as medicines for malaria and tuberculosis which are found prevailing in

    developing countries like India.

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    A DEBATE ON PRODUCT PATENT AMENDMENT- NOVARTIS CASE.

    Protestors marched in India against Novartis. WHY?

    Nearly a quarter of a million people from 150 countries voiced concerns over the

    negative impact of a legal challenge brought by Novartis that could have on access to

    medicines in developing countries and had asked Novartis to drop the case. Had the

    challenge been won by Novartis it would have been a major blow to production,

    domestic use and exports of generics to the world. The drug at issue was a cancer

    drug (Glivec) which Novartis sold at US$2500 per patient per month while generic

    versions of Glivec in India only cost about US$175 per patient per month.

    A court case brought by Swiss drugs giant Novartis in India could define how the

    industry distributes discount medicine to the developing world while maintainingprofits.

    Novartis moved the court on contesting that India's patent law could leave millions

    without access to affordable drugs. Opponents accused the Basel-based firm of

    squeezing the competition.

    In 2005, the Indian government introduced patent protection for drugs for the first

    time. But the law only protects completely new compounds that were invented after

    1995, a deviation of the industry standard.

    The Novartis leukaemia drug Gleevec (Glivec in some countries) fell foul of this

    ruling as it was deemed to be a new form of an existing treatment that was developed

    before the cut-off date.

    This opened the door for generic pharmaceutical companies to copy the treatment,

    which was earlier distributed free to thousands of patients in India, at a fraction of the

    cost.

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    A POSSIBLE SOLUTION TO THE PRODUCT PATENT ISSUE

    The most practicable solution to the problem which at the same time allows for

    TRIPs compliance would be granting of dual licenses. This would mean that the

    patent would be partly product patent and after a reasonable time being given to the

    inventor to make a reasonably large profit it would be converted to a process patent

    whereby the patented drug can be manufactured by competing manufacturers using

    an alternative process. This would solve the problem of excessive hike in prices and

    would render the drugs more accessible to the millions suffering. Collaboration with

    the MNCs on various fronts such as research and development, manufacturing and

    marketing will help Indian Pharmaceutical companies make profitable

    breakthroughs.

    As far as Indias pharmaceutical industry is concerned, various options are possible

    in the WTO regime. But ultimately, the path currently is followed by international

    standards for patent protection moves inevitably toward a clash between public

    health and intellectual property.

    Stringent intellectual property protection for pharmaceuticals would only retard

    public health initiatives in the coming years. Given the rapid evolution of the AIDS

    crisis throughout the world, with more than 35 million cases alone in India, a twenty-

    year term of market exclusivity for new treatments is not reasonable if we expect to

    make real progress in containing the disease. It might well be appropriate for a

    governing body to clearly define a list of essential medicines, such as antiretroviral

    (ARV) agents, that would be subject to somewhat more relaxed patent protection

    compared to other drugs.

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    CHAPTER 4

    PRICING OF DRUGS

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    PRICING OF DRUGS- PRINCIPLES AND LAWS

    The Drug Policy Control Order (DPCO) in 1995 has introduced three parameters to

    ensure proper market conditions

    turnover

    market monopoly

    market competition.

    Under this, prices of 74 bulk drugs and their formulation are being controlled

    representing approximately 20% of the pharmaceutical market. Bulk drugs, with a

    turnover of over Rs40 million, are under the purview of the DPCO, excluding

    those drugs with sufficient market competition. Sufficient market competition isdefined as the presence of at least five bulk producers and 10 formulations, with

    no producer's market share exceeding 40 per cent. In case a single producer

    controls about 90 per cent of the market for a drug, which has a turnover in the

    range of Rs.10-40 million, the drug is considered to be under the purview of the

    price order (ICRA, 2000).

    Industrial licensing has been abolished for all drugs, formulations and drug

    intermediates except for the five drugs which are reserved for public sector. Moreover,

    price controls have been waived for a period of five years for drugs which have been

    developed indigenously there is a price controls under DPCO, still a majority of drugs

    in the market are not regulated and the price rise during this period is still considered

    to be minimal. In short, while the DPCO has evolved in a step-by-step ad hoc fashion,

    it has managed to strike a rough balance between regulating prices to ensure adequate

    access to essential medicines for the rural and urban poor, while allowing the

    emergence of a globally competitive Indian domestic drug industry. The new research

    environment has added important new elements to the risk environment of

    pharmaceutical research as a by-product of the dramatic exploration of entirely new

    areas of application. Manufacturers that venture into new territory are less certain of

    what they will find and less confident of what it will be worth when they find itthey

    face new uncertainties over both supply and demand.

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    I. HOW TO DETERMINE THE PRICE OF DRUGS?

    As a developing country, India has much more limited fiscal and economic resources

    alongside a much larger population of low-wage urban workers and small farmers. As

    a result, establishing a European-style drug reimbursement scheme, even with a

    combination of public and private financing, would require a vast expansion of public

    subsidies by the Indian Government.

    Although reference pricing is the most common international cost-containment tool,

    adopting a European drug pricing system and referencing prices to foreign prices also

    would have serious disadvantages in an Indian context. Even if Indian prices were

    referenced to, the prices of most advanced drugs would still be prohibitively high and

    likely well beyond the reach of the common man. While a European-style universal

    health insurance system and a comprehensive public drug benefit could be used to

    alleviate the burden on the common man through a public subsidy, it would impose a

    massive long-term fiscal burden on the Indian Government. According to the OECD,

    in 2003 per capita drug expenditures averaged $606 in France, $507 in Canada, $393

    in Japan, $353 in Australia, $284 in the Czech Republic, and $225 in Poland.

    Even if these costs were partially subsidized by the Indian Government or the states,

    the cost would be prohibitive and would likely displace other vital government

    programmes. On the other hand, if the prices of advanced drugs were referenced to

    other developing countries, or domestic generic drug prices, such controls would keep

    drug prices lower, but undermine the global competitiveness of India's world-class

    pharmaceutical companies, and deter future private sector investments in advanced

    biopharmaceutical discovery. In such a situation, research by Indian companies and

    patenting activity of scientists would likely shift offshore, probably to the U.S. or to

    the U.K.

    II. WHY PRICES OF PATENTS AND GENERICS DIFFER?

    If a government sets the same price for generic and patented medicines, consumers

    naturally tend to choose the more advanced product, since it provides better value or

    greater quality assurance. Accordingly, demand for unbranded generics in price

    controlled markets tends to be artificially reduced.

    It is universally acknowledged that drug discovery is an extremely expensive process;

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    Given the high number of pharmaceutical firms in the informal/unorganized sector,

    domestic and foreign drug companies in India also run a large risk that their patented

    drugs will be pirated even with protected product patent system.

    Price controls benefit health delivery in countries that have a well regulated public

    health delivery system. Public health expenditures in Indian states continue to be low,

    with a wide disparity in effectiveness of delivery between states. There is a large

    private sector and unorganized access to medicines. In these circumstances, price

    controls would lead to market distortions, excessive regulation and the development

    of grey markets. High duties and transaction costs impose a heavy burden on the

    consumerthere are examples where these distort prices enormously, against

    imported drugs. A mindset that creates negativity towards imported drugs needs to be

    changed.

    III. WHY DOES INDIAN DRUG PRICING SYSTEM NEEDS TO BE

    DIFFERENT FROM EUROPEAN STYLE AND OTHER DEVELOPING

    COUNTRIES PRICING SYSTEM

    The above analysis makes clear that India should develop a new approach that avoids

    the costs of European-style drug price controls, while also avoiding the inequities of a

    free market style.

    The issue of drug availability is to ensure that-

    the latest clinical treatment and drugs must be available

    these should be accessible to the entire population

    there should be incentives for development of new drugs through R&D that

    would require adequate compensation for development costs.

    India presents a unique situation. Absence of product patents for over three decades, a

    large indigenous industry, coupled with political economy requirements of a welfare

    state; require a balance between incentives and control. It is important that the latest

    drugs and formulations are available, that they can be reached to all, whether in the

    public health or the private health systems. It is equally important that there be an

    environment for industry and research to grow, and that global firms are comfortable

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    using the talent pool in India for R&D and drug discovery, assured of reasonable

    returns.

    Given wide income disparities, a range of public health and private care systems, and

    freedom of choice, and the distortions likely to be caused by the price fixing for

    patented products, it is important to consider creative solutions that would suit a

    developing country like India. A possible alternative that could be adopted in India for

    patented drugs is the adoption of a two tier price system.

    For example, in some states like Tamil Nadu, drug purchases for public hospitals by

    the government are negotiated with the companies. Each tablet carries a distinctive

    mark and the strips are separately labelled to indicate that they are not for sale, but

    part of the public health care system. The same drugs are available in the open market

    at market prices. Such a twin pricing system has the advantage of delivering drugs at

    low costs to the public health care system without distorting the market mechanism.

    In the case of patented drugs it is conceivable that producers may be willing to accept

    prices that are close to marginal costs of production plus fixed returns, if allowed to

    access the market for pricing that covers development costs. In this approach, the

    Department of Petrochemicals would finalize a list of patented drugs that it intends to

    be used in the public health system. Using this approach, the producing companies

    would be invited to convey the prices at which these drugs would be made available to

    government hospitals and dispensaries. These would be distinctively packaged and

    labelled and supplied to the health departments of the states against invoices raised by

    them, and accepted terms of payment. Outside this, firms would be free to charge

    market prices, and enjoy IP protection in full for their products.

    Such an approach might offer a short term solution to drug access concerns, while

    longer term structural reforms are explored. In the long-term, any solution to India's

    drug access problem requires major structural reforms to the health care system. In

    formulating such reforms, a balance must be struck between the markets for free sales

    and government supplies. The government cannot supply the entire demand for drugs

    unless it is prepared to commit to massive public subsidies and drastic price controls.

    A fresh approach is needed.

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    IV. CHALLENGES FACED BY THE GOVERNMENT TO DEVELOP A

    NEW APPROACH TO PHARMACEUTICAL PRICING.

    The Government has an overriding responsibility to ensure that the citizens of

    India especially the common man -- have access to affordable medicines for

    treating the most common and important disease conditions.

    At the same time, any new policy must maintain a world-class Indian life

    sciences capability. India is a world leader in the advanced life sciences. The

    Indian pharmaceutical industry dominates global generics markets and has

    begun making serious investments in innovative drug discovery. Given

    adoption of the Product Patents Act and increasing competition from Chinese

    generic companies in the international generics marketplace, the future of the

    Indian biopharmaceutical industry rests on its ability to innovate. Thus, any

    new policy must balance improved access to key medicines for the common

    man with support for India's continued capability to discover and develop

    advanced medicines, which represents a long-term national asset.

    V. KEY FEATURES OF THE NEW PRICING APPROACH

    Such a solution requires a two-track approach.

    First, the government should strengthen the public health infrastructure to

    ensure that rural and urban poor have universal access to treatments for basic

    medical needs. Such a system should be built around government bulk

    purchases of low-cost generic medicines. Also, instead of seeking to provide

    the latest state-of-the-art treatments for the rural and urban poor, the focus

    should be on the low-cost delivery of high-quality, essential care for all.

    While patients in the public health system should be free to purchase more

    expensive patented or branded drugs, this could be achieved through a

    "balanced-billing" arrangement in which the government would subsidize

    only the cost of the basic generic drug, with the remainder being contributed

    by the patient. Such an approach would avoid the prohibitive cost of have the

    Central or State governments subsidize state-of-the-art foreign medicines,

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    allowing government funds to be allocated to an expansion of basic care to a

    larger number of people.

    A second way is that the government should aim to facilitate the continued

    evolution of private health care markets, including private hospitals, private

    insurance, and high-cost patented drugs. Creating a separate private market

    would ensure that the cost of such advanced care would be borne by middle-

    income household. This two-track system would avoid the bureaucraticcomplications and prohibitive cost of transferring a European-style

    government health care system to a developing country like India.

    VI. AN URGENT NEED FOR A THIRD WAY APPROACH

    The "third way" would address the expanding needs of the Indian middle-class for

    world-class health care, whilst creating a strong domestic home base for Indian

    biopharmaceutical companies to launch their new innovative patented products. And it

    would offer a new and creative third-way drug pricing model for developing countries

    around the world, which look to India for continued leadership.

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    CHAPTER 5

    MERGERS AND

    ACQUISITIONS IN THE

    INDIAN PHARMACEUTICAL

    INDUSTRY

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    IMPACT OF MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS ON INDIAN

    PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY

    The healthcare sector in India has experienced a paradigm a shift due emerging

    trends in globalization, developing markets, industry dynamics and increasing

    regulatory and competitive pressures.

    Companies across the world are reaching out to their counterparts to take mutual

    advantage of the others core competencies in R&D, Manufacturing, Marketing and

    the niche opportunities offered by the changing global pharmaceutical environment.

    The pharmaceutical sector offers an array of growth opportunities. This sector has

    always been dynamic in nature and the pace of change has never been as rapid as it is

    now. To adapt to these changing trends, the Indian pharmaceutical and biotechnology

    companies have evolved distinctive business models to take advantage of their

    inherent strengths and the "Borderless" nature of this sector. These differentiated

    business models provide the pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies the

    necessary competitive edge for consolidation and growth.

    DRIVERS IN MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS

    Today, there is a global trend towards consolidation and going forward, as pressures

    on the pharmaceutical industry increase, this trend will continue. The driving factors

    for mergers and acquisitions in the global pharmaceutical industry are:-

    The lack of research and development (R&D) productivity

    expiring patents

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    generic competition

    high profile product recalls

    This sector is unique in the sense that it traverses across geographies, as health

    has no boundaries, and this very boundary-less nature supports consolidation inthis Industry. With the easy availability of capital and increased global interest in

    the pharmaceutical and biotech industry, the sector has become quite a `mergers-

    and-acquisitions' favourite.

    Apart from the patented pharmaceutical and biotech companies scouting for newer

    geographies to launch their patented molecules, the global generics market also has

    undergone an unprecedented consolidation wave in the past three years. In 2007,

    Teva acquired US generics major IVAX for $7.4 bn, to become the worlds largestgenerics company. In 2004, Teva paid $3.4 bn for Sicor of the US. Teva and Sandoz

    is the generics arm of the Swiss pharmaceutical group.

    Novartis, has been buying small generics companies to grow in size.

    Sandoz bought Hexal and Eon Laboratories in Germany, as well as Croatias Lek,

    Canadas Sabex and Denmarks Durascan in 2004 and 2005.

    Deflation in the generic industry would lead to displacement of weaker players

    leading to consolidation. The trend has gathered momentum with the $1.9bn buyout

    of Andrx by Watson to create the 3rd largest specialty pharma company

    There are three levels of integration that are currently being sought in the generics

    industry

    Back-end manufacturing capability (API/formulation)

    Product integration (ANDA pipeline)

    Front-end (marketing and distribution) in the developed world

    The US and European generics companies are scouting for alliances/buyouts at the

    back end of the chain, which would allow them to offset any manufacturing cost

    advantage held by companies in the developing markets. The Indian companies are

    looking at the front-end integration as building a front-end distribution set-up from

    scratch could take significant time. The product side integration is common to both

    sides, with weaker US/European generics companies looking at anyone that could

    offer a basket of products. This is because the US/European pipeline is weak while

    Indian companies are aspiring to grow rapidly, want to achieve critical mass quickly,

    and are looking for geographic expansion.

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    MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS TREND IN INDIA

    Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) interest in India is currently very high in the

    pharmaceutical industry. Size and end-to-end connectivity are major detriments in the

    global markets. To achieve them, Western MNCs have to look to Indian companies.

    Indias changing therapeutic requirements and patent laws will provide new

    opportunities for big pharmaceutical for launching their patented molecules. While,

    Indias strong manufacturing base will stand global generic companies in good stead

    as a low-cost development and manufacturing destination.

    Besides consolidation in the domestic industry and investments by the US and

    European firms, the spate of mergers and acquisitions by Indian companies has

    ushered an era of the "Indian Pharmaceutical MNC". After traversing the learning

    curve through partnerships and alliances with international pharmaceutical firms,

    Indian pharmaceutical companies have now moved up a step in the value chain and

    are looking at inorganic route to growth through acquisitions. Many top and mid tier

    Indian companies have gone on a global "shopping spree" to build up critical mass in

    International markets. Also, given the easy access to global finance the Indian

    companies are finding it easier to fund their acquisitions.

    Incentives for Mergers and Acquisitions by Indian companies

    Build critical mass in terms of marketing, manufacturing and research

    infrastructure

    Establish front end presence

    Diversification into new areas: Tap other geographies / therapeutic segments /

    customers to enhance product life cycle and build synergies for new products

    Enhance product, technology and intellectual property portfolio

    Catapulting market share

    The Indian companies excel as far as the back end of the pharmaceutical value chain

    is concerned i.e manufacturing APIs and formulations. Over the past few years the

    Indian pharmaceutical companies have also stepped up their efforts in product

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    development for the global generic market and this is visible with the DMF filings at

    the US FDA. About 30% of the new DMF filings at the US FDA are being filed by

    Indian companies. What the Indian companies are short of is the front-end

    distribution and marketing infrastructure in the developed world. The current stress is

    on bridging this gap through any / or all of the following strategies. The type of tactic

    employed would depend on the companies existing capabilities, available resources,

    nature and scale of expansion planned and on the targeted geographical market. The

    following is a table of major mergers and acquisitions involving Indian companies.

    Acquisitions are the quickest way to front end access. What is interesting is the fact

    that apart from market access i.e marketing and distribution infrastructure, the

    acquiring company also gets an established customer base as well as some amount of

    product integration (the acquired entities generally have a basket of products) without

    the accompanying regulatory hurdles.

    There are also entry barriers for companies from the developing countries and

    acquisitions make it easy for these organizations to find a foothold in the developed

    markets.

    Over the last two years, several Indian companies have targeted the developed

    markets in their pursuit of growth, especially via the inorganic route. Companies such

    as Ranbaxy, Wockhardt, Cadila, Matrix, and Jubilant have made one or more

    European acquisitions, while others such as Torrent are also scouting for potential

    targets.

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    Arcolab Venezuela America

    Mar-05 Uno-Cicle

    Hormonal

    Brand

    Glenmark Establish brand presence in

    Brazilian market

    4.6 Brazil

    Feb-05 Strides

    Latina

    Strides

    Arcolab

    Additional 12.5% stake to

    establish presence in

    Brazilian market

    6 Brazil

    Feb-05 Mchem

    Pharma

    Group

    Matrix Lab Backward integration, ARV

    mfg in China

    NA China

    Dec-04 Rhodia

    Anathetic

    Business

    Nicholas

    Piramal

    International Product line 14

    Jun-04 Psi

    SupplyNV

    Jubilant

    Organsys

    NA NA Belgium

    May-04 Trigenesis

    Therapeutics

    Dr.Reddys

    Labs

    Niche Technology 11 US

    May-04 Espama

    Gmbh

    Wockhardt Front end line in Germany 11 Germany

    Apr-04 Laboratories

    Klincer Do

    Glenmark Entry in Brazil 5.2 Brazil

    Dec-03 RPG Aventis

    SA

    Ranbaxy Front end in France 84 France

    Jul-03 Alpharma

    Saa

    Cadila

    healthcare

    Front end in France 6.2 France

    Jul-03 CP Pharma Wockhardt Front end and mfg in Europe 17.7 UK

    MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS- CHALLENGE

    While growth via acquisitions is a sound idea in principle, there are challenges as

    well, which relate mainly to the stretched valuations of acquisition targets and the

    ability to turn them around within a reasonable period of time. The acquisitions of

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    RPG Aventis (by Ranbaxy) and Alpharma (by Cadila) in France are clear examples

    of acquisitions proving to be a drain on the companys profitability and return ratios

    for several years post acquisition. In several other cases acquisitions by Indian

    generic companies are small and have been primarily to expand geographical reach

    while at the same time, shifting production from the acquired units to their cost-

    effective Indian plants. A few have been to develop a bouquet of products. Other than

    Wockhardts acquisition of CP Pharma and Esparma, it has taken at least three years

    for the other global acquisitions to see break-even.

    Most of the acquiring companies have to pay greater attention to post merger

    integration as this is a key for success of an acquisition and Indian companies have to

    wake up to this fact. Also, with the increasing spate of acquisitions, target valuations

    have substantially increased making it harder for Indian companies to fund the

    acquisition

    I. ANALYSIS OF WOCKHARDTS ACQUISITION

    Wockhardt is a global, pharmaceutical and biotechnology company that has grown by

    leveraging two powerful trends in the world healthcare market - globalization and

    biotechnology.

    Acquisition Management

    The company has a strong track record in acquisition management, with three

    successful acquisitions in the European market and two in the domestic space.

    The acquisitions in Europe and the subsequent integration of their operations have

    strengthened Wockhardts position in the high-potential markets of UK and Germany,

    and have expanded the global reach of the organization.

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    The growth drivers for Wockhardts European business include exports, new product

    launches, penetration in the European Union through mutual recognition, and

    strategic acquisitions.

    Wockhardt UK Limited (Erstwhile CP pharmaceuticals) is amongst the 10

    largest generics companies in UK and the second largest hospital generics

    supplier.

    The Company has a comprehensive, FDA-approved manufacturing facility for

    injectables that plays a strategic role in driving the companys growth through

    partnerships in contract manufacturing

    Wockhardt UK has built up a critical mass in the segments of Retail Generics,

    Hospital Generics, Private Label GSL / OTC Pharmaceuticals, Dental Care

    (denture cleaning tablets, powders and fixative creams)

    The acquisition of Esparma GmbH in 2004, has given Wockhardt a strategic

    entry point into Germany, the largest generics market in Europe

    Esparma has a strong presence in the high-potential segments of urology,

    neurology and diabetology, assisted by a dedicated sales & marketing

    infrastructure

    The key to Wockhardts successful acquisition management is the managements

    ability to turnaround the acquired company in record time and thus create value out

    of the acquisition. The company believes in value buys that would have a tactical fit

    with its core competencies and key strategic objectives. The acquisitions are mainly

    driven by market access since Wockhardt has an extensive pipeline of generics and

    biogenerics and needs a strategic front-end for the same. The company has plans for

    further acquisitions in the developed markets of Europe and US to further consolidate

    and strengthen their positions in these geographies.

    II. IMPLICATIONS OF THE MERGER OF RANBAXY AND DAIICHI

    We will study the implications of the merger between Ranbaxy and Daiichi Sankyo,

    from an intellectual property as well as a market point of view.

    Why did Ranbaxy go in for a merger with Daichii?

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    Daiichi Sankyo Co. Ltd. signed an agreement to acquire 34.8% of Ranbaxy

    Laboratories Ltd. from its promoters. After the acquisition, Ranbaxy continued to

    operate as Daiichi Sankyos subsidiary but was managed independently.

    The main benefit for Daiichi Sankyo from the merger was Ranbaxys low-cost

    manufacturing infrastructure and supply chain strengths. Ranbaxy gained access to

    Daiichi Sankyos research and development expertise to advance its branded drugs

    business. Daiichi Sankyos strength in proprietary medicine complemented Ranbaxys

    leadership in the generics segment and both companies acquired a broader product

    base, therapeutic focus areas and well distributed risks. Ranbaxy is now functioning as

    a low-cost manufacturing base for Daiichi Sankyo. Ranbaxy, for itself, has gained a

    smoother access to and a strong foothold in the Japanese drug market. The immediate

    benefit for Ranbaxy was that the deal freed up its debt and imparted more flexibility

    to its growth plans. Most importantly, Ranbaxys addition is said to elevate Daiichi

    Sankyos position from 22 to 15 by market capitalization in the global pharmaceutical

    market.

    Synergies

    The key areas where Daiichi Sankyo and Ranbaxy are synergetic include their

    respective presence in the developed and emerging markets. While Ranbaxys

    strengths in the 21 emerging generic drug markets can allow Daiichi Sankyo to tap the

    potential of the generics business, Ranbaxys branded drug development initiatives for

    the developed markets will be significantly boosted through the relationship.

    To a large extent, Daiichi Sankyo will be able to reduce its reliance on only branded

    drugs and margin risks in mature markets and benefit from Ranbaxys strengths in

    generics to introduce generic versions of patent expired drugs, particularly in the

    Japanese market.

    Both Daiichi Sankyo and Ranbaxy possess significant competitive advantages, and

    have profound strength in striking lucrative alliances with other pharmaceutical

    companies. Despite these strengths, the companies have a set of pain points that can

    pose a hindrance to the merger being successful or the desired synergies being

    realized.

    With R&D perhaps playing the most important role in the success of these two

    players, it is imperative to explore the intellectual property portfolio and the gaps that

    exist in greater detail. Ranbaxy has a greater share of the entire set of patents filed by

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    CHAPTER 6

    FRAMEWORK OF

    ANALYSIS

    (A)QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS

    (B)QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS

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    SWOT ANALYSIS OF INDIAN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY

    The SWOT analysis of the industry reveals the position of the Indian pharmaceutical

    industry in respect to its internal and external environment.

    STRENGTHS-

    1. India with a population of over a billion is a largely untapped market. In fact

    the penetration of modern medicine is less than 30% in India. To put things in

    perspective, per capita expenditure on health care in India is US$ 93 while the

    same for countries like Brazil is US$ 453 and Malaysia US$189.

    2. The growth of middle class in the country has resulted in fast changing

    lifestyles in urban and to some extent rural centres. This opens a huge market

    for lifestyle drugs, which has a very low contribution in the Indian markets.

    3. Indian manufacturers are one of the lowest cost producers of drugs in the

    world. With a scalable labour force, Indian manufactures can produce drugs at

    40% to 50% of the cost to the rest of the world. In some cases, this cost is as

    low as 90%.

    4. The fact that despite the low level of unit labour costs India boasts a highly

    skilled workforce has enabled the country's pharmaceutical industry at a

    relatively early stage to offer quality products at competitive prices. Each year,

    roughly 115,000 chemists graduate from Indian universities with a masters

    degree and roughly 12,000 with a PhD.4 The corresponding figures for Germany

    just fewer than 3,000 and 1,500, respectively are considerably lower. After

    many chemists from India migrated to foreign countries over the last few years,

    they now consider their chances of employment in India to have improved. As a

    result, a smaller number is expected to go abroad in the coming years; some may

    even return.

    5. Indian pharmaceutical industry possesses excellent chemistry and process

    reengineering skills. This adds to the competitive advantage of the Indian

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    companies. The strength in chemistry skill helps Indian companies to develop

    processes, which are cost effective.

    WEAKNESS-

    1. The Indian pharmaceutical companies are marred by the price regulation. Over

    a period of time, this regulation has reduced the pricing ability of companies.

    The NPPA (National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority), which is the authority

    to decide the various pricing parameters, sets prices of different drugs, which

    leads to lower profitability for the companies. The companies, which are

    lowest cost producers, are at advantage while those who cannot produce have

    either to stop production or bear losses.

    2. Indian pharmaceutical sector has been marred by lack of product patent, which

    prevents global pharmaceutical companies to introduce new drugs in the

    country and discourages innovation and drug discovery. But this has provided

    an upper hand to the Indian pharma companies.

    3. Indian pharma market is one of the least penetrated in the world. However,

    growth has been slow to come by. As a result, Indian majors are relying on

    exports for growth. To put things in to perspective, India accounts for almost

    16% of the world population while the total size of industry is just 1% of the

    global pharma industry.

    4. Due to very low barriers to entry, Indian pharma industry is highly fragmented

    with about 300 large manufacturing units and about 18,000 small units spread

    across the country. This makes Indian pharma market increasingly

    competitive. The industry witnesses price compet