indonesia climate change activities 2010

INDONESIA CLIMATE CHANGEINDONESIA CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIVITIES 2010

Indonesia National Council on Indonesia National Council on Climate Change Climate Change ‐‐ NCCC NCCC ggPresident Regulation # 46 /2008 President Regulation # 46 /2008

ORGANIZATION MANDATES

PengurusPengurus harianharian DNPI DNPI

Executive ChairmanChairman

Secretariat

Divisions

Mitigation Task Force Adaptation

Task ForceFinance

Task Force Post Kyoto T k F

Tech. transfer

Scientific based Task

LULUCF Task Force

Marine Task Force

Members Members Members

Task Force

Members

transfer Task Force Force

Members Members Members Members

Chairmen and members of the Task Force comprise of relevant stakeholders, including government officials, NGOs, private sector, academician, professionals

INDONESIA: OUR VULNERABILITIESSea level rise & land inundation threatens coastal zones

àNorth coast Java, south Kalimantan,west Sumatra

Water� changed water balance leading to droughts and floods – regionally differentiatedg y

Agriculture� food security threatened, and declining productivity in particular rice cultivation

Health� spread of diseases correlated to effects of climate change (malaria dengue cholera diarrhea etc)(malaria, dengue, cholera, diarrhea etc)

INDONESIA:CURRENT EMISSIONS*EMISSIONS

LULUCF + Peat burning: 866,254 +/‐ Stable+/‐ StableLULUCF + Peat burning: 866,254LULUCF + Peat burning: 866,254 +/‐ Stable

Energy: 333,540 Gg

Industry: 34,197 Gg

Energy: 333,540 Gg

Industry: 34,197 Gg

Energy: 333,540 Gg

Industry: 34,197 GgIndustry: 34,197 Gg

Agriculture: 75,419 Gg

Industry: 34,197 Gg


Industry: 34,197 Gg


Waste: 151,578 GgWaste: 151,578 GgWaste: 151,578 Gg

TOTAL: 1,415,988 GgTOTAL: 1,415,988 GgTOTAL: 1,415,988 Gg

*)Note: these emission numbers for 2004 still under calculation by SNC team

HOW IS CLIMATE CHANGE HOW IS CLIMATE CHANGE MAINSTREAMED WITHIN THE NATIONAL MAINSTREAMED WITHIN THE NATIONAL Q PRIORITY AND ACTION PLAN 2010PRIORITY AND ACTION PLAN 2010--2014?2014?Q

MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE INTO NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AGENDA:

BALI ACTION BALI ACTION PLANPLAN

MGoI’s own budgetGoI’s own budget

MainstreaMainstreai i ti i t

BiBi‐‐/Multilateral /Multilateral cooperationcooperation

PLANPLAN

PRES PRES

ROADMAPSROADMAPS(ICCSR)(ICCSR)

ming into ming into RPJMRPJM��

RANRAN GRKGRKSSSTATEMENT:STATEMENT:G20 2009G20 2009 A

ICCTFICCTFRAN RAN ‐‐ GRKGRK

Bridges National Action Plan on CC into 5 yr mid‐term development plan

ICCTF‐ International financing mechanism channeling investment Yellow

(RPJM) 2010‐2014 & inputs till 2030.

funds into national CC initiatives.

Book

NATIONAL PRIORITY & ACTION PLAN 2010-2014

1

2

Bureaucracy Reform and Good Governance

Ed ti2

3

4

Education

Health

P t All i ti4

5

6

Poverty Alleviation

Food Security

f11 National

6

7

Infrastructure

Investment Climate

Priorities ‐Indonesian Cabinet

2010‐20148

9

EnergyEnvironment and Disaster Management (incl. Climate Change)

10

11

( g )

Disadvantaged, Borders and Post‐Conflict Areas

Culture, Creativity and Technology Innovation, y gy

PRIORITY FOCUS•Land, Area Development & Agriculture Spatial Plan•Infrastructure•Infrastructure •Research and Development•Investment, Finance and Subsidy•Food and Nutrition Adaptation to Climate Change

FOOD SECURITYFOOD SECURITY

•Adaptation to Climate Change

•Policy•Restructuring of State Enterprises•Energy Capacity•Alternative Energy•Oil and Gas Derivative Production

ENERGYENERGY

•Gas Conversion

•Climate Change•Climate Change •Environmental Degradation Control•Early Warning System•Capacity Building on Disaster Mitigation & Forest Fire

ENVIRONMENTAL AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT

ENVIRONMENTAL AND DISASTER MANAGEMENT

Fire

WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATEWHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATEWHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE CHANGE CHANGE SECTORAL ROADMAP (ICCSR)SECTORAL ROADMAP (ICCSR)??Q

THE ROADMAPThe Climate Change Sectoral Roadmap will support the GOI’s development vision related to climate change for the next 20 years.g y

The implementation of the Roadmap will be through National Development Plan; the next Development is for period 2010 – 2014.Plan; the next Development is for period 2010 2014.

There are nine priority sectors:Mitigation Sectors‐: Energy, Forestry, Industry, Transportation, WasteMitigation Sectors : Energy, Forestry, Industry, Transportation, Waste ManagementAdaptation Sectors‐: Agriculture, Marine and Fishery, Water Resources, Health

COORDINATION & IMPLEMENTATION OFSECTORAL CLIMATE CHANGE ROADMAPSECTORAL CLIMATE CHANGE ROADMAP

Phase I:Phase I:a. Awareness & Capacity

Buildingb. Policy Reorientationc Roadmap developmentc. Roadmap development

SECTORAL CLIMATE CHANGE

Phase II:d. Program Formulatione. Process of Integrating

into Dev. Planning

ROADMAP

into Dev. Planning

Phase III:Phase III:f. Implementation (Annual

Gov. Work Plan)g. Monitoring & Evaluation

Objectives �

CLIMATE CHANGE ROADMAP

Current StatusPolicy

instrument and Program Project

Funding scheme

Capacity building

Objectives �Mainstreaming climate change

into regulation

g j scheme buildingdevelopment planning

Priority Sectors1. Agriculture2. Coastal, ocean and fishery3. Energy4. Forestry4. ForestrySecondary Sectors1. Health2. Transportation3. Infrastructure4 water4. water5. IndustryCross Cutting Issues1. Research and Technology2. National security3. Biodiversity4. Poverty

WHAT IS THEWHAT IS THE NATIONAL ACTION PLANNATIONAL ACTION PLANWHAT IS THE WHAT IS THE NATIONAL ACTION PLANNATIONAL ACTION PLAN(RAN(RAN--GRK)GRK)??Q

Scenario of 26% GHG Emission ReductionScenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

President Commitment G 20 Pitt b h d COP15G-20 Pittsburgh and COP15

To reduce te GHG Emission in 2020

Unilateraland International

26% 26%41% and International

Support

15%Unilateral41%

RAN-GRK(RAN(RAN--GRK)GRK)

RAN-GRK

Scenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

RAN-GRK Compiled based on proposals of actions from Implementing AgenciesQuick start: screened based on existing actions that have co-benefits in reducing GHG emissionsg

%

Criteria:Potentially measured, reported and verified (MRV), clear and concise contracts, clear executing agencies higher abatement cost not+15%

6%

executing agencies, higher abatement cost , not included in CDM project

Criteria:

26%Criteria:Potentially measured, reported and verified (MRV), lower abatement cost, in Medium Term Development Plan, national priorities, economically feasible not included in CDMeconomically feasible, not included in CDM project

Scenario of 26% GHG Emission ReductionScenario of 26% GHG Emission ReductionGHG Emission in Indonesia is estimated to increase from 1.72

to 2.95 GtCO2e from 2000 to 2020

3 Kehutanan dan Lahan Gambut2,95 Forestry and Peat land

2

2.5

Gambut

Limbah

,

2,121,72C

O2e

)

y

Waste

1.5

2

Pertanian

,

ion

(Gto

nC

Agriculture

0.5

1

IndustriEmis

si

Industry

0

0.5

2000 2005 2020Energi dan TransportasiEnergy and Transportation

Scenario of 26% GHG Emission ReductionScenario of 26% GHG Emission Reduction

BAU Skenario 26%

3.0

3.52)

BAU Skenario 26%

2.5

3.0

e (Gt C

O2

26%

2.0

ssion Ra

te

1.5Emis

1.0

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Policy Framework of RAN GRKPolicy Framework of RAN-GRK1. What is the Action Plan?

1. an integral part of National Development Plan and updated according to scientific and policy development

2. integrated actions among sectors – environmental carrying capacity and spatial plan

3. intended to contribute to global efforts to reduce emissions and to tap international funding for Indonesia

2. The Action Plan is focused on :1. GHG Emission Reduction2. Increase of GHG Absorbtion Capacity (carbon sequestration)

3. The Action Plan - principles:3. The Action Plan principles:1. should not hinder economic growth, and prioritizing people’s welfare �

esp. in areas of energy resilience and food security2. supports protection of the poor and vulnerable communities, including pp p p , g

environment conservation in the framework of sustainable development3. consists of core activities to reduce the emission and supporting activities

to strengthen the policy framework

WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATEWHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATEWHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE WHAT IS THE INDONESIAN CLIMATE CHANGE TRUST FUND?CHANGE TRUST FUND?Q

ICCTF AND ROADMAP IN UNFCCC CONTEXTIN UNFCCC CONTEXTCC RoadmapCC Roadmap

ICCTF

CC RoadmapCC Roadmap

NAMA/NAPANAMA/NAPA

FINANCIAL MECHANISM(decentralized)

MRV

(decentralized)

THE ICCTFGOALGOAL

The goal of the ICCTF is to support the GOI’s efforts to reduce emissions, move towards a low‐carbon economy and adapt to the

impacts of climate changeimpacts of climate change.

PURPOSEPURPOSEThe purpose of the ICCTF is to attract, manage and mobilise funding to contribute efficiently

and effectively to 1) the mainstreaming of climate change issues in national, provincial and local development planning and 2) the implementation of mitigation and adaptation climate changedevelopment planning and 2) the implementation of mitigation and adaptation climate change

initiatives.

OUTCOME 1OUTCOME 1‐‐ ENERGYENERGY OUTCOME 2 OUTCOME 2 –– FORESTRY & FORESTRY & PEATLANDPEATLAND

OUTCOME 3OUTCOME 3‐‐ RESILIENCERESILIENCEThe ICCTF aims to contribute to responding

The ICCTF aims to contribute to the improvement of energy security and

reduction of emissions from the energy sector in Indonesia.

The ICCTF aims to contribute to address deforestation & forest degradation issues & to advance sustainable management of

peat‐ lands and forest resources.

to the adverse impacts of and risks posed by climate change that are already

occurring, while also preparing for future impacts through cross cutting and inter‐

sectoral measures.

Output of DNPI on 2010

▪ Climate change adaptation

Cli h i i i▪ Climate change mitigation

The Vulnerability Map on Health (The Results of DNPI’s studies on Adaptation)

The Vulnerability Map on Food Security (The Results of DNPI’S Studies on Adaptation)

ADAPTATION SCIENCE ANDADAPTATION SCIENCE AND POLICY STUDYPOLICY STUDY

OutlineOutline

• Background

• Initial Finding (AR4)Initial Finding (AR4)

• Gap Analysis (ICCSR)

• Concluding Remarks

BackgroundBackground

OBJECTIVESOBJECTIVES

To assist the Government of Indonesia to develop adaptation basic information in support of the formulation of national strategy and mid‐and‐long term plans to prepare the country to adapt to negative p p y p gimpacts of climate change

REPORT OF THE STUDY 1. Part I: General

Introduction

2. Part II: Scientific Basis Status & Capacity of Available Adaptation Sciencep y p

3. Part III: Impacts by Sector Review on Studies of Climate Change ImpactsReview on Studies of Climate Change Impacts

4. Part IV: Policy & Strategy of Adaptation by Sectors and Aspectsand Aspects Key Information on Existing Adaptation Plans, Policies, & Strategies;

Policy & Strategy Gaps on Adaptation; y gy p p ;

Needs & Availability of Technology for Adaptation Measures;

Needs & Flows of Financing for Adaptation Measures

5. Part V: Concluding Remarks

PRIMARY DOCUMENTSPRIMARY DOCUMENTSDocuments Source (Institution)Indonesian Climate Change Sectoral

National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ

Roadmap (ICCSR)Financial Assessment National Development Planning

Agency (Bappenas) & GTZAgency (Bappenas) & GTZIndonesian Climate Change Trust Fund

National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas) & GTZChange Trust Fund

(ICCTF)Agency (Bappenas) & GTZ

Second National Ministry of Environment (KLH) & Communication (SNC)

UNDP

Vulnerability Ministry of Environment (KLH)Vulnerability Assessment (VA) of Lombok Island

Ministry of Environment (KLH), Government of West Nusa Tenggara (NTB) & WWF

Gap Analysis (ICCSR)p y

Gap Analysis --> Findings Assessment

LEGEND ■ out of scope - missingо incomplete ● complete

Title of Report: ICCSR Bappenas-GTZ, 2010

Name of Assessor: Ibnu SofianAnalysis Variable Indicator Chapter,Page,

Figure, TableComments Rating

1. Science basis related to hazard analysis o1 1 D t d S S f T t1.1. Data and Information

Sea Surface TemperaturePage 20-24 4.1 Sea surface temperature trend ●

Tide Page 8-9 2.2.2 Tidal Forcing oWave Page 9-10,

43-47 2.2.3 Significant Wave Height ●g gOcean Current Page 5-8 2.2.1 Ocean currents and sea level oOcean acidification - - -Water transport - - -Biogeochemistry Page 11-12,

47 50 5 3 SST and Chlor a o47-50 5.3 SST and Chlor-a o1.2. Analysis and Modelling

Global sea level risePage 24-34 4.2 Sea level rise projection ●

ENSO Page 35-41 5. El Nino and La Nina Projections ●Windwaves Page 43-47 4.2 ENSO and extreme waves oOcean Currents

-Impacts of climate change on the ocean current characteristics -

ProblemsProblems•Limited of observation data both of ocean and

climate data•Limited of coverage area and time-span

•High spatial resolution of atmospheric and oceanic models

Time span ? *from 1960 or 1980??Observational for assimilation and model validation??for assimilation and model validation??

Output of DNPI on 2010

▪ Climate change adaptation

▪ Climate change mitigation

Company LOGODNPI created the details of low carbon growth strategy in 3 provinces

Low Carbon Growth Strategy Main Elements of LCGSLow Carbon Growth Strategy

Sustainable Economic Growth Strategy

▪ Competitive excess and deficiency

▪ New growth source

Main Elements of LCGS

KaltengIndonesia

New growth source

Sectoral strategies

▪ The opportunity of the required reduction, pilot project and policyproject and policy

▪ Palm oil, forestry, agriculture, coals, oil and gas

Regional strategies

▪ Large area and land useLarge area and land use

▪ Emission and the reduction opportunity

▪ GDP and labor

Implementation and enabler

KaltimJambi

p

▪ Detailed action plan

▪ Required important enabler

▪ Estimation of total costs

38

Source: DNPI; Govt of Central Kalimantan, Govt. Of East Kalimantan, Govt of Jambi

East Kalimantan has the potency to reduce emission in the amount of 60% while the GDP growth increasing from 3% to 5%

While towards the advanced production with value added can increase the GDP growthThe more efficient land use can reduce the emission significantly

MtCO e IDR Trillionsi iMtCO2e IDR TrillionsEmissions

Abatement

4734

331

2418 12

200

250

300Environmentally Sustainable DevelopmentStrategy

62 134

12

0

50

100

150

Business As Usual

CO2Reduction Initiatives Reduction GDP Initiatives IDR Trillions

Label Use degraded land

Zero Burning

Reduced impact logging

Reforestation

Remaining emissions

Water management

Other initiatives

2030252015102005

1) Zero burning

2) Reducing the impacting logging

3) Damaged land using

CO2 Reduction Initiatives Reduction

47 MtCO2e

34 MtCO2e

24 MtCO2e

1) CBM development and using

2) Developing the downstream forest products

3) Increasing the productivity of timber plantation

GDP Initiatives IDR Trillions

28

11

3) Damaged land using

4) Water and peat land management

5) Reforestation

24 MtCO2e

18 MtCO2e

12 MtCO2e

3) Increasing the productivity of timber plantation

4) Accelerating the oil and gas production

5) Increasing the agriculture productivity5

5

39

SOURCE: East Kalimantan– Environmentally Sustainable Development Strategy

3

Company LOGODNPI has identified the emission sources as well as the emission reduction methods per regency for 3 provinces

40

Terima Kasih 31 January 2003