The basic facilities, services, and installations needed for the functioning of a community or society, such as transportation and communications systems, water and power lines, and public institutions including schools, post offices, and prisons.

Transportation Telecommunication Real Estate Energy Health Security

Transportation & telecommunication in 2030 - By Ms. Saumya Seth

Indian Real Estate & Energy in 2030 - By Amit Raj (Leader)

Health & Security in India by 2030 - By Utkarsh Kumar Singh

Units As of 2009

Length of roads km 3,516,452

Main Roads km 666,452

Paved Roads % 47.3

Access to All-Season Roads

% 61

Road density Km/1000 sq.km 1115

Rail Track Length km 63,327

Number of Ports 197

Turnaround Time Days 3

Airports 60

International 11

BEST CASE WORST CASE

AVERAGE CASE

SCENARIOS

STEEP

SOCIAL

ECONOMICAL POLITICAL

TECHNOLOGICALENVIRONMENTAL

INDIA BECOMES ECONOMIC SUPERPOWER.

INCREASED FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI)

DEVELOPED INDUSTRIAL SECTOR DEVELOPED AGRICULTURE STABLE POLITICAL SYSTEM. DECREASED CORRUPTION.

INDIA-CHINA WAR. ECONOMIC DISORDER. INCREASED TERRORSIST ACTIVITIES. INEFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE. ENVIRONMENTAL DISBALANCE.

NO REMARKABLE IMPROVEMENT IN HIGHER EDUCATION.

STEADY ECONOMIC GROWTH. USUAL TRENDS IN R&D.

CONSISTENT ECONOMIC GROWTH. NEED TO LOWER THE CARBON EMISSION. BY 2030 ABOUT 50% OF INDIA’S

POPULATION WILL BE LIVING IN URBAN AREAS.

KEY FACTS Freight and passenger traffic carried by Indian

Railway has recorded an impressive growth. This has been possible due to conscious efforts put in by the railways in improving the productivity of the assets and modernization and technology upgradation in various fields.

Doubling/quadrupling of railway lines is being carried out on the saturated sections of Indian Railways to increase freight and passenger carrying capacity on these sections.

Indian railways is the fourth largest railway network in the world.

Indian Railways has one of the largest and busiest rail networks in the world, transporting over 18 million passengers and more than 2 million tonnes of freight daily.

Indian Railways operates about 9,000 passenger trains and transports 18 million passengers daily across twenty-eight states and two union territories. Sikkim, Arunachal Pradesh, and Meghalaya are the only states not connected by rail.

Generation of adequate rail transport capacity for handling increasing freight and passenger traffic with special emphasis on development o terminals.

Modernisation and upgradation of the rail transport system to reduce costs and improve reliability, safety and quality of service to the customers.

Expansion and upgradation of inter-modal operations

The quality of airport infrastructure, contributes directly to a country's international competitiveness and the flow of foreign investment.

While cargo carried by air in India weighs less than 1% of the total cargo exported, it accounts for 35% of the total value of exports.

97% of the country's foreign tourists arrive by air and tourism is the nation's second largest foreign exchange earner.

In many remote, hilly and inaccessible areas of the country, air transport is the quickest and sometimes the only mode of travel available.

Airports need to be integrated with other modes of transport like Railways and Highways, enabling seamless transportation to all parts of the country.

Passengers form their first impressions about a nation from the state of its airports. They can be effectively used as symbols of national pride, if we pay sufficient attention to their quality and maintenance.

Need to ensure total safety and security of aircraft operations by the introduction of state-of-art air traffic, security and related services.

The 6,000 km long Indian coastline has 12 major ports and 181 minor/ intermediate ports out of which 139 are operable.

Indian Ports are the gateways to India's international trade by sea and are handling over 90% of foreign trade.

The bulk of Indian trade is carried by sea routes, the existing port infrastructure is insufficient to handle trade flows effectively.

On three important parameters- capacity, productivity and efficiency, Indian ports lack in comparison to some of the major international ports.

To handle the increase in the sea-borne traffic on account of increase in foreign and coastal trade.

Felt need to encourage the private sector participation in enhancing port capabilities and also in modernization of port equipment.

In the last 30 years the introduction of optical fiber, digital switching and cellular radio alone has revolutionized this industry and the way the planet communicates.

The telecom industry is one of the prime contributors to India's GDP. The once monopolistic market is today, highly competitive.

The telecom sector was opened up for private investment as a part of liberalization-privatization-globalization policies.

In terms of long distance calls, India telecom infrastructure has made remarkable progress. Latest technologies, like use of fiber-optic cables has enhanced call-clarity and reduced call-costs to a large extent.

Telecom is one of the fastest growing sectors in India with a growth of 21% and revenue of Rs 86,720 crore.

Some of the major players are the major players like BSNL, MTNL, Hutchison Essar, BPL, Idea, Bharti Tele services, Tata.

Rapid technological changes, network security threat, mobile application

development, growing IP deployment in the sector have brought back the training and development in the priority

catalog.

IPTV services spectrum allocation Tariffs & Regulations FDI Rural India Competition Mobile Telephony Number portability One India, one call rate system

Best Case Indian roads not just reach the remotest areas but also

get advanced with more number of multiple lane highways well networked ‘in and out’ the country. An efficient road transport system to meet the requirements of modern vehicles on the Indian roads.

Worst Case

There will be a crying need for a transportation system, which is seamlessly integrated across all modes with the growing passenger traffic and as the majority of freight transport in the country is by roads without its advancement it would directly hit country’s growth.

Best CaseEntire railway network in India will be capable of

high speed advance trains ensuring passenger safety and making railway a time sensitive transport option. Railway tracks reaching some of the remotest areas and also connecting all neighboring countries.

Worst CaseWith increasing passenger traffic railways become

incompetent of meeting the travel demand making rail travel an inconvenient travel option in the country.

Best Case All future upgradation and modernization done with

keeping safety, passenger facilities, aircraft and cargo handling in priority with more number of international and regional airports in the country.

Worst Case Indian airports get more insecure without the most

updated systems of the time to ensure safety, passenger facilities, aircraft and cargo handling.

Best CaseIndian coastal line gets more number of

international seaports with advance equipments and well trained labour to ensure capacity, productivity and efficiency.

Worst CaseSea port labor and equipment productivity levels

get very low due to the outdated equipment, poor training, low equipment handling levels by labor, uneconomic labor practices, idle time at berth, time loss.

Best Case With advancement in technologies like

nanotechnology and mesh networking, that could change the entire cost structure of hardware and networks, the components of telecoms technology are getting smaller. Nanotech is also promising to change the rules on things like data storage.

Worst Case India remains at the same level where it is now

without seeing any remarkable growth in technological advancement.

1) Indian IT and ITES sector2) Growth in organized retail sector3) REMFs (Real Estate Mutual Funds) and

REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts)4) Easy availability of home loans5) Various authorities such as

NOIDA,DDA,HUDA,MMRDA6) FDI investment7) Increasing purchasing of individuals8) Government regulations

Contribution of IT industry in Indian GDP is 7.5%.

Top IT companies in India are 3644. In Delhi &NCR,57 IT companies are

existed. Total number of companies in Delhi

&NCR are 6717 , and offices are 7067.

Over 1000 hypermarket &5000 supermarket is expected by 2011.

India will require additional 70,00,00,000 sq ft

it is mandatory for an REMF to invest at least 35 per cent of itscorpus in completed real estate assets (read flats, row houses, bungalows, shops).

second investment condition of SEBI mandates that at least 75 percent of the corpus must be invested in real estate or related securities.

Home loan at low EMI.

Lowest home loan rates.

NOIDA:-(New okhla industrial development authority)

DDA:-Delhi development authority AAI:-Airport authority of India SAIL:-Steel authority of India Ltd GAIL:-Gas authority of India Ltd HUDA:-Haryana urban development

authority

The Government of India has allowed 100% FDI in construction business in March 2005.

Only NRI & PIO are permitted to invest in housing and real estate sector.

Quality education

Availability of employment

Loan facilities

Opportunities to invest

In 2002-03 the Per Capita Income in India was Rs 19040.

In2003-04 the Per Capita Income in India was Rs 20989.

In2004-05   the Per Capita Income in India was Rs 23241.

In2008-2009 the Per Capita Income in India was 37490.

1. Indian real estate industry will be organized.

2. Indian will start investing their money in REMF for long period.

3. Tier II and III cities will have luxuries apartments.

4. Real estate will be cheaper for rural people by the help of Government subsidy.

5. Society complexes & townships will have helipad.

6. Revenue sharing model b/w retailers & real estate companies will see a surge in demand.

7.Rural India will have apertments.

1. Because of demand price may high.2. People will start loosing their interest

to invest their in real estate.3. Reduction in forest and agriculture.4. People will have more burden to pay

EMI.5. Risk on investment will increase.

Focused on electricity generation

Huge demand-supply gap Growth pegged to range from 2.-6%p.a The thermal power will remain the

prime source Hydroelectricity Indo-US nuclear deal Electricity from nuclear reactors Solar energy Wind energy Government policies

Basin/RIvers Probable Installable Capacity(MW)

Indus basin 33,832

Ganga Basin 20,711

Central river system 4152

Eastern flowing rivers of south India

14,511

Western flowing rivers of south India

9,430

Brahmputra Basin 66,065

Total 1,48,701

The geographical location of India provides long days of sunny weather for the majority of the year

The geographical location of India allows the country to receive well over 4500 trillion kWh of pure solar energy each year, which is far beyond the annual power consumption of India

The only problem is high installation cost

Fourth largest source of energy generation in India

Indo-US nuclear deal is a big boost Nuclear energy to become the second

largest source of electricity by 2030

India will be able to tap whole of the hydroelectric potential

Nuclear power shall stem up India’s electricity generation

Solar Energy will be utilized to the maximum

Electricity shall be available 24X7 The whole of the nation will be

electrified Gone will be the days of power-cuts &

power-tripping

The gap between demand & supply to remain

Power theft to remain a continuous issue The power tariffs would be too high Long scheduled & unscheduled power

cuts to remain A substantial area of the nation will still

look forward for electric supply The deficit of the power transmission

companies shall increase

Booming Industry of over 74bn USD Increased instances of lifestyle related

diseases in India Expected to grow at 10-12% p.a. Just 3 medical practitioners per 10,000 22,400 Primary health centres, 11,200

Hospitals, 27,400 dispensary Critical for the development of the

nation

Changing Lifestyle Emergence of New Diseases New Diagnostic techniques New Drug Development Health Insurance Medical Tourism Public Private Partnership in Healthcare Rise of many Hospital chains Powerful Indian Pharmaceutical Sector

Fit India (best Case) Healthy India(optimum) India in hospitals (worst Case)

The Best case

The expenditure on the healthcare would increase up to 2.5% of the GDP against 1% at present

With many private universities coming up, the average number of doctors will increase from today’s level of 3 per 10,000 people to at least 7 per 10,000

Increased awareness about lifestyle diseases will lead to a % fall in number of people suffering from them

Indian system of medicine may improve, and only a team of doctors will be allowed to diagnose & advise a patient

As 100% FDI is allowed in the hospitals, many new MNC hospital chains will come up

The level of medicare in India will rise to Phoenix

The cheap cost of treatment in India will make it a preferred destination for medical tourism

India will become a preferred location for the Clinical Trials & this shall boost the growth of medicare facilities

The emergence of new diseases will sustain the momentum of investment in Indian healthcare

India will emerge as the largest manufacturing hub as well as the largest market for generic drugs by that period

Health insurance will help remove the hesitation of Indian population to go to hospitals for treatment

The average life expectancy of the nation will rise from current 64.7 years to 75 years

Good ambulance services will save the lives of millions every year

The worst Case

Despite all odds, the expenditure on healthcare may fall below 1% of the GDP

Owing to the population blast, the average number of doctors may fall to an all time low of even upto 2 per 10,000

India may fall in the category of last few nations in terms of healthcare

The poor hospital facilities in India may keep medical tourists at Bay

The complex regulations may force very few Clinical Trial activities in India

Owing to the increased number of accidents & road-rage, the Emergency wards of the hospitals may witness the highest occupancies

If diseases such as AIDS, Hepatitis C remain uncurable even during those days, a substantial amount of population may be found in the hospitals

The number of epidemics may rise Poor Ambulance services may play with

the lives of the people The cost of medication may increase

substantially owing to the rise in the prices of many life saving medicines

The R&D in the healthcare may suffer a setback as a result of the poor policies of the government

The optimum case

The expenditure on health will vary from 1.5-2% of the GDP

Owing to various immunization programs funded by the government & the UN, many of the diseases will remain under control

The number of epidemics will be under control

India will still remain a favorite destination for medical tourism

The Indian Ambulance services will play an important role

The average number of doctors will remain around 5 per 10,000

The prices of the drugs will head northwards, but government will try to contain them

The private hospital chains may try to raise the bar of the healthcare, but may face the crunch for efficient manpower

Good healthcare services may remain limited to the Urban areas only

The rural India will lag behind in terms of getting good healthcare facilities

Patients at the various hospitals may become guinea pigs & clinical trials may be conducted over them without their knowledge about it

Best healthcare facilities may remain confined only to the reaches of the rich

Threats on eastern as well as western fronts

Increasing expenditure on defence Terrorism Naxalism Maoism Regional insurgencies in the North East Imbalance of power in the region Purchase of modern equipments &

machinery

With a whooping budget of US$40bn, 3% of Indian GDP goes to defence

Around 3.3% of the Indian population is engaged in active defence duties

The Indian defence services have some of the world’s best ranked hospitals & institutes

The number of troops in the armed forces to rise

The number of paratroopers will be greater than that of the army personnel

Indian Navy will strengthen its position through consolidation

The acquisition of Gorshkov sea carrier, & nuclear submarines will boost up the confidence of the Navy personnel

The IAF is poised to become one of the world’s leading air defence

The role of Army shall increase in the counter-insurgency operations

The use of modern weapons & the modern training methods shall ensure the regional stability

The DRDO shall come up with new weapons in the INSAS category

The defence bodies shall need greater infrastructure, attributed mainly to the staff housing needs

Special colonies for the defence staff will also show a boom

The defence bodies, especially the Border Roads Organization, shall help connect the far flung areas to the mainland

A mixture of the scenarios shall emerge during 2030

2030 will see a rise in the number of apartments, malls, & hospitals

The problem of traffic congestion will be sorted to some extent

The Indian defence sector shall show a phenomenal growth

If all goes well, the menaces of Naxalism & Maoism shall finish

Thus, Indian infrastructure will become one of the world’s best